XAUUSD 4H AnalysisBased on Ichimoku, we expect short-term uptrend toward 3348 and after that we expect rejection from these levels and starting downward movement to support levels (3228-3179).
we consider all these levels as valuable zones for our trading so be cautious about the reaction of XAUUSD.
XAUUSDG trade ideas
The strategy remains unchanged: buy on dipsThe key to the short-term trend of gold lies in the rising channel of the technical aspect. The hourly chart shows that the price is running along the trajectory of gradually rising lows. In this form, the upward momentum is stronger. When the trend is upward, any pullback is a signal of bullish accumulation, which is a good time to enter the market and do more. In a strong market, the pullback range is often limited, and it is more of a short-term bullish pullback to accumulate power. The current key pressure above is in the 3355-3360 first-line range. If the price can break through and stabilize this level, the rising rhythm will most likely accelerate. At this time, the operation does not need to be complicated, just follow the trend: try to go long with a light position when stepping back, and you can cover your position according to the situation after breaking through, so that profits can grow naturally in the continuation of the trend. Remember, the power of the trend is far greater than short-term fluctuations. Instead of worrying about whether it has risen too much, it is better to follow the trend and treat every pullback as an opportunity to confirm the trend.
The recommended strategy for gold remains unchanged: go long in the current price range of 3330-3325, stop loss 3320, target 3360
Time for the Hammer?” – When Price Breaks, Then Breathes🧠 What Just Happened?
The chart opens with a classic market behavior:
Price runs above recent highs — triggering a wave of emotional entries and stop hunts. Right after, it drops sharply, hinting that something deeper is at play.
This sequence reflects how markets often:
Bait retail traders with a breakout
Break structure suddenly
Then pull back — not for mercy, but to reload
🔍 Why This Pullback Matters
After the aggressive drop, price didn't just fall aimlessly. It paused and returned to a zone of imbalance , a gap where liquidity is still waiting. That retrace isn’t weakness — it’s intent.
This kind of setup teaches a key concept:
“The real move comes after the aggressive move — not before.”
📚 A Lesson in Patience
Most traders enter on the breakout (the sweep)
Smart traders enter on the pullback into value
Pros wait for the reaction + structure shift before doing anything
This isn’t about being first. It’s about being right when it matters.
🧭 Final Thought
The hammer doesn't fall until the trap is fully set.
Study these moves. Study the emotion behind the candles. That's where edge lives.
💬 Drop your thoughts — did you catch this behavior on Gold today?
🔁 Follow for more thought-driven, story-based chart breakdowns.
How to Calculate Forex Lot Size on TradingView. Free Calculator
Do you know that TradingView has a built-in Forex position size calculator?
It is completely free, it is simple to use, and it does not require a paid subscription to use it.
In this article, I will teach you how to calculate a lot size for your trades on TradingView easily in 3 simple steps.
Step 1 - Setting Up the Calculator
First, open a price chart on TradingView and find a "Trading Panel" button in the bottom of the window.
Click "Maximize Panel" afterward.
In the list of brokers, select " TradingView Paper Trading" and click "Connect".
Paper Trading is built in demo trading account on TradingView.
It does not require KYC or any other verification.
Choose "Account" list box and tap "Create Account" .
Then fill all the inputs with exactly the same parameters as your real trading account has.
Type in your exact account size, leverage and commission rate.
Then click "Create".
TradingView position size calculator is ready to use.
Step 2 - Find the Trading Opportunity
Find a trading setup to trade. Make sure that you know the exact entry level and stop loss.
Imagine that you want to buy EURUSD from 1.0899 price level with 1.08846 stop loss level.
Step 3 - Measure a Proper Lot Size
Right-click on a price chart and choose "Trade" and in the appeared menu select "Create New Order".
Fill the following fields:
"Price" - your entry level,
"% risk" - your desired risk per trade in %,
"Stop Loss price" - your stop loss price level.
Your lot size will be based on the calculated units .
In forex trading 1 standard lot equals 100000 units.
The only thing that you should do is to take the exact units number and divide it by 100000.
In our case we have 704225 units.
704225 / 100000 = 7,04 lot.
That will be your lot size for buying EURUSD with 1% risk for 100000 trading account.
If you apply TradingView for market analysis and charting and your trading terminal does not have a lot size calculator, this method will be the quickest and the easiest to apply for measuring the position size.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Report – June 12, 2025As of today, markets are navigating a cautious and complex macro landscape driven by sticky inflation, mixed economic momentum, and upcoming supply events in the U.S. Treasury market. At the center of market focus is the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI), which surprised to the upside. The headline PPI YoY came in at 2.6%, above the prior month’s 2.4%, while the month-over-month figure rebounded to +0.2%, recovering from -0.5% in April. Although Core PPI YoY held flat at 3.1%, the level remains elevated. These numbers reinforce the perception that inflationary pressures remain embedded at the producer level, limiting the Federal Reserve’s flexibility to ease policy in the near term.
Simultaneously, the U.S. labor market continues to show resilience. Initial Jobless Claims printed at 242,000, slightly better than the consensus estimate of 247,000. The four-week average stabilized at 235,000, and Continuing Claims remained firm at 1.904 million. This combination of firm labor and sticky inflation supports a “higher-for-longer” rates environment, with no immediate pressure on the Fed to pivot dovish. These data points, taken together, imply that the fixed income and equity markets are still subject to repricing risk, especially if the Fed maintains its hawkish rhetoric or if real yields begin to trend higher again.
In the bond market, U.S. Treasury yields moved slightly lower across the curve, with the 2Y yield at 3.958% (-0.6bp), the 10Y at 4.416% (-1.0bp), and the 30Y at 4.905% (-1.4bp). The curve remains inverted, although the steepness has moderated somewhat, indicating a cautious recalibration of forward rate expectations. Markets are closely watching today’s 30-year Treasury bond auction, scheduled for later in the session. A weak result — defined as a tail greater than 1.5bps — could lead to a renewed sell-off in long-duration Treasuries and reinforce the bear trend in TLT.
Looking internationally, Japan’s 10Y yield remains stable at 1.454%, suggesting no immediate pressure from the BoJ to shift policy. In the UK, the 10Y Gilt yield stands at 4.526%, continuing to reflect persistent inflation risk. German 10Y Bunds yield between 2.41–2.45%, slightly firmer, maintaining a neutral to moderately hawkish stance ahead of upcoming ECB communications. Collectively, these yield levels reflect a global market pricing in differentiated inflation risks and rate divergence.
In fixed income ETFs, we see short-duration U.S. Treasury instruments leading, with SHY (1–3Y) up +0.13%, while TLT (20Y+) gained +0.30%, showing tentative stabilization ahead of the auction. Investment-grade credit, as tracked by LQD, rose +0.34%, benefiting from risk-off hedging and carry trades. However, high-yield (HYG) was flat at -0.02%, and convertibles (CWB) edged lower at -0.06%, both signaling a decline in speculative appetite. Internationally, emerging market debt (EMB +0.3%) and global Treasuries (IGOV +0.29%) are firming as the USD softens modestly.
In the equity space, today’s session is showing a mild risk-off tilt. The S&P 500 trades at 6,022 (-0.3%), holding just above key support at 5,975. The Dow Jones is flat at 42,865, with underlying breadth weakening. The Nasdaq 100 fell -0.4% to 21,860, and Russell 2000 declined -0.4% to 2,148, continuing its underperformance. The VIX has risen to 17.27 (+1.9%), closing in on the psychological stress level of 18.5.
Sector rotation aligns with a defensive narrative. Energy is leading, up +1.4% (with oil rallying sharply), followed by Utilities (+0.1%) and Health Care (+0.1%), both classic low-volatility, defensive groups. Conversely, Technology (-0.2%) and Real Estate (-0.5%) are underperforming, as the market de-risks rate-sensitive sectors. Financials (-0.1%) remain cautious due to yield curve pressure and auction-related uncertainty.
From a style and factor perspective, momentum continues to lead with +0.72% relative outperformance versus SPY, followed by high dividend (+0.39%) and value (+0.16%). Meanwhile, growth stocks are soft (-0.04%), and small caps are lagging further (-0.32%), signaling a clear rotation away from riskier, high-beta equity exposure.
In currencies, the U.S. dollar is slightly weaker today. USD/JPY trades at 143.99 (-0.4%), showing softness despite higher PPI, likely due to short-term positioning. EUR/USD has strengthened to 1.1516 (+0.2%), and GBP/USD is stable at 1.3547. Crypto remains soft with BTC/USD down 1.2% to $107,669, confirming that risk appetite remains limited.
The commodity complex is stronger. Gold is up $18.20 to $3,371.13, reflecting safe-haven buying as real yields pause. Crude oil (WTI) has rallied $2.90 to $67.88, and Brent is at $69.51, with supply dynamics and macro demand recovery pushing prices higher. Natural gas remains flat at $3.51. These moves have boosted commodity-sensitive equities in the emerging market space. For example, Brazil (EWZ) is up 1.8%, South Korea (EWY) up 1.3%, and India (EPI) +0.3%, while developed markets (EFA) are flat to down (-0.2%).
Tactically, the SPX remains neutral to bearish. Holding above 5,975 preserves structure, but a breakdown below this level — especially if triggered by a hot auction or inflation shock — could drive further downside. The Dow remains in a bearish posture below 43,000, with a downside trigger at 42,300. Gold remains in a bullish technical setup with breakout potential above $2,350 and support at $2,325–2,330. USD/JPY is a tactical long above 143.80, aiming for 144.60, conditional on yields rising. TLT remains weak, and a close below 86.50 following the auction would confirm downside continuation. WTI oil is long-biased above 67, targeting $69.80 and higher if USD continues to weaken.
Key macro risk triggers include: a PPI print above 2.8% or Core PPI above 3.2%, which would reinforce Fed hawkishness; a long bond auction tail greater than 1.5bps, which would signal poor demand and push long yields higher; a VIX breakout above 18.5, which would signal a broader risk-off episode; and a gold breakout above $2,350, which would confirm macro hedge acceleration.
Asset Action
Gold Long bias
Oil Long setup
SPX Hedged
Dow Bearish lean
USD/JPY Buy dips > 143.80
TLT Bear or avoid
Gold delivering excellent opportunitiesTechnical analysis: Gold remains top tier safe-haven at the moment and prolonged weakness on DX isn’t going in Sellers favor. #3,357.80 (news aftermath) test way above #3,352.80 benchmark test sequence (Gold tests record High’s on Monthly basis) was quiet straightforward, where break of mentioned level has #3,400.80 psychological benchmark as an Buying Target to pursue. Gold didn’t appeared as underpriced since by my estimations, these are fair Technical values on Gold as this could be the first Month lately to close in hard gains. Downwards dynamics should start pressuring smaller charts however (Selling options will certainly appear) as current area should be Traded / Sold between local Top’s (what I successfully did).
My position: I have waited for Gold to Bottom out near #3,318.80 - #3,322.80 and aggressively Bought the Bottom which delivered spectacular returns (monitoring DX on Selling sequence which added significant Buying pressure). Keep in mind that Gold has #3,400.80 benchmark on the cards now as an decent possibility.
Lingrid | GOLD resistance Swap Zone Shorting OpportunityOANDA:XAUUSD is approaching a critical retest of the broken upward trendline and swap zone near 3342 after failing to maintain resistance above the 3400 area. The prior double top pattern and bearish divergence signal weakening momentum. If the price is rejected at the retest level, a move toward 3300 becomes likely.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: rejection from 3340-3350 with lower high
Buy zone: 3295–3300
Target: 3300 and potentially 3245
Buy trigger: reclaim of 3342 with strong bullish candle
💡 Risks
Breakout above 3342 could reverse structure
Support at 3300 may hold firm on the first test
Weak volume could lead to fake moves in tight consolidation
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
XAUUSD, GoldGold is in a correction phase. If the price cannot break through the $3429 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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CPI, US inflation, gold price waiting to decrease⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) drew fresh bids in Wednesday’s Asian trading, reclaiming the $3,340 level and edging back toward this week’s high. A U.S. federal appeals court decision allowing President Donald Trump’s broad tariffs to remain in force—for now—added a fresh layer of trade uncertainty and stoked safe-haven demand. Heightened geopolitical tensions and growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in September further bolstered the non-yielding metal. Even so, optimism surrounding ongoing U.S.–China talks has lifted broader risk sentiment, while a mildly stronger U.S. Dollar is helping keep gold’s upside in check.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovered, buying power increased gradually in Asian session, approaching resistance zone 3348
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3373- 3375 SL 3380
TP1: $3360
TP2: $3350
TP3: $3340
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3278- $3280 SL $3273
TP1: $3290
TP2: $3300
TP3: $3314
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Room for Further Strength as Price Approaches ResistanceOn the 1-hour timeframe, I estimate that XAUUSD is currently forming wave c of wave b of wave (a). This implies that XAUUSD still has the potential to strengthen, testing the 3379 level and possibly retesting the resistance area at 3403. However, caution is warranted going forward, as this outlook reflects the bearish scenario for XAUUSD.
GOLD H1 Intraday Chart Update For 12 June 2025Hello Traders
First of all we have US CPI High Impact event due today
now market is try to testing 3400 Psychological level once it will pass 3380-86 strong resistance zone and once market will break 3400 it will move towards 3423
3350 Psychological level remains in focus for a while due to retesting RBS zone
overall 334050 zone remain solid Buying Zone for now
Also keep an eyes on US CHINA Tariff news
Middle east tensions are remains watchable for now
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
XAUUSD DAILY PLAN 11 JUNE | CPI FIRE & STRUCTURE SNIPES!Hey GoldMinds! 🔥
Welcome to the June 11 plan — perfect timing as CPI is dropping tomorrow and the market is heating up! Let’s get tactical and prep for both volatility and sniper setups.
🌎 Macro & News Context
All eyes on CPI (US Inflation Data) tomorrow — expect increased volatility and liquidity sweeps!
USD is showing signs of strength after a broad correction. DXY breakout could pressure gold lower, but a miss on CPI could mean instant reversal.
Market is trapped in a wide structure, so we’re trading only the best confluence zones — not mid-range noise.
📊 Key Levels & Zones
Type Zone Logic / Target
Buy #1 3315–3310 Daily OB + H4 demand + FVG sweep, strong bounce expected if CPI spike flushes price
Buy #2 3292–3280 Deep discount zone, liquidity inducement & last-stand HL
Sell #1 3352–3362 H1/H4 premium OB + FVG + prior sweep, CPI pump trap
Sell #2 3384–3400 Extreme premium, stop hunt and sweep zone, strong rejection expected if FOMO kicks in
Mid Range 3330–3340 If NY plays range, look for quick reaction scalps here with M5 confirmation only
🧭 Bias
Neutral-to-Bearish (with event risk):
Market is currently consolidating below premium supply, showing signs of distribution and lower highs on H1/H4.
As long as price is capped below 3350–3362, sellers remain in control — especially if USD holds its strength into CPI.
However, CPI can easily flip the script! If data surprises dovish and USD drops, we could see an aggressive squeeze higher.
Best play: Let price reach extreme zones (either buy discount or sell premium) and wait for clear confirmation — don’t force trades in the middle.
Summary:
→ Bearish below 3350–3362
→ Bullish only on sharp flushes into 3310 or deeper discount, with M15 reversal
→ Flat/mixed in the mid-range (3330–3340), scalp only with confirmation
🎯 Trade Scenarios
Bullish:
If CPI comes in weak or USD retraces, expect price to spike into 3315–3310 and 3292–3280 zones. Look for strong M15 reversal for buys.
Targets: 3345 (first), then 3360.
Bearish:
Strong CPI = gold pumps into 3352–3362 or even 3384–3400, then look for M15/M5 rejection to sell.
Targets: 3330 (first), then 3310.
🧠 Tactical Notes
Only trade with confirmation — ignore random candles in mid-range!
If price is between 3330–3340, wait for clear M5 structure flip.
CPI can create fakeouts — first reaction isn’t always real direction!
Protect capital, don’t chase, and always respect your plan.
👇 Drop a 🚀 if the plan helped you or you enjoy the daily insights!
Comment your bias, follow for more sniper plans, and let’s boost the post if you found value!
Community = power. Let’s own CPI together, GoldMinds! 🧠✨
GoldFxMinds
Gold Price ActionHello Traders, I've observed that gold is currently respecting the trendline in both directions. However, there's still a valid Fair Value Gap (FVG) in play. If the trendline fails to hold, there's a good chance that price could reverse from that FVG zone.
So, keep a close watch on both the trendlines and the FVG area, and don’t forget to monitor volume for confirmation.
Wishing you all the best — happy trading, and thank you!
Gold within my mentioned rangeTechnical analysis: Gold is Trading within my projected zones as I will constantly monitor the situation and will await for confirmation of a break-out or Trading my key reversal zones (either below the Hourly 4 chart’s Support or Daily chart Resistance). That is the plan and it is my belief that it is the most viable one to get the most of the current Price-action as I will continue Scalping (Swing orders not possible under such market setting). I still don’t have entry confirmation as Technically Gold is Trading on Ascending Channel but isolated within Rising Wedge, however both correlating assets are Trading on disappointing numbers so Bullish trend (spikes to the upside) are here to stay.
My position: So far I have Buy and Sell limits which are working greatly so far. I have Sold Gold throughout yesterday’s session from #3,348.80 and added more Selling orders on #3,337.80 break-out to the downside which delivered decent Profit.
GOLD PAY ATTENTION TO BULISHXAUUSD (Gold) Technical Signal ⚠️ | Price action is forming a classic bull flag pattern, showing consolidation after a strong upward move. The flag is starting to 'blush' — early signs of momentum building for a potential breakout. If price breaks above the upper trendline with volume confirmation, we could see a continuation toward higher resistance levels. Traders, keep a close eye – gold may be preparing for its next leg up. #XAUUSD #GoldSignal #BullFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSignals #GoldBreakout #PriceAction"
XAUUSD SELL 3391On the 4-hour chart, XAUUSD stabilized and rebounded. At present, attention can be paid to the resistance near 3349. If it breaks through, it will continue to rise. If the price reaches around 3391, pay attention to the potential bearish bat pattern, which is in the previous supply area.
Selling pressure, bears active⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) edge higher toward $3,325 during the early Asian session on Tuesday, supported by a softer US Dollar as markets turn cautious ahead of key developments in US-China trade negotiations.
Delegations from the United States and China are set to continue discussions for a second consecutive day in London. President Donald Trump expressed optimism, stating the talks “should go very well.” According to US officials, discussions may lead to Washington lifting certain tech export restrictions in exchange for Beijing easing controls on rare earth exports — materials vital to sectors ranging from energy and defense to advanced technology. The outcome of these negotiations could provide fresh direction for the precious metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The market is mainly sideways and accumulating, under selling pressure below 3300 due to the US-China trade negotiations taking place today.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3350- 3352 SL 3357
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3320
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3276- $3274 SL $3269
TP1: $3285
TP2: $3300
TP3: $3312
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Trading Signals for GOLD sell below $3,337 (21 SMA-6/8 Murray)Early in the American session, gold traded around 3,334, within the bearish trend channel formed on 1H charts since May 23.
The yellow metal is likely to continue its bearish cycle in the coming hours if the price consolidates below the 21SMA or below 3,337.
If its bearish cycle continues, we should expect gold to fall below 3,337. Then. it could reach the 6/8 Murray line at 3,293 and even fall to the bottom of the bearish trend channel around 3,271 and finally at 3,245.
On the other hand, if the price consolidates above the 21SMA, the outlook could be positive, and we could buy with targets at the 7/8 Murray line at 3,349.
Gold prices are consolidating below the level of 3,337. Rising U.S. inflation and the potential for even partial agreements between China and the U.S on mutual trade could push the price of the yellow metal down to 3,271. The 3,321 mark may serve as a selling trigger.
GOLD TODAYHello friends🙌
🔊Due to the weakness of buyers and the strength of sellers, the price continues to fall...
We have identified two supports for you that will not be seen if the price continues to fall, and if the selling pressure increases, we will update you.
🔥Join us for more signals🔥
*Trade safely with us*