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XAUUSDG trade ideas

$XAUUSD: Macro InterconnectionsResearch Notes Linking historic surface area and coordinates of consistent geometric expressions to document and learn more about the "texture" of self-organizing processes. The topology assumes that current price is a result of all history together that took to make the price end up where it is. The fastest shortcut to figure out fractal hierarchy of waves and general direction is through Fractal wave marker . Since angle of highs cycle is broken and price stayed above it for long time. That means it would be better to strip the chart starting from the lower levels, in order to get better coordinates for structural basis. FWM helps to spot that distinctive part of broken waves that enables visual orientation in the rhythm. They manifest in its closest formative across cycles. The angle that links the pattern through the time can have deterministic property, therefore we can use that direction for fibonacci channels to fill the gaps. The fact that on log scale the bits from bullish phase of cycles contracted on price scale, I'd orientate with thin fibonacci channels (that is based on angle of lows of macro-cycle applied to previous ATH. There are some other interconnection that are being tested.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by fract
1
The Most Accurate Gold Forecast on the MarketThis is a continuation of sorts of my educational article that received an "Editor's Pick" from TradingView and a large number of positive reactions from this amazing trading community. However, unlike that post, this is a trade idea that outlines clear entry conditions for when the price reaches a relevant manipulation zone and shows a reversal reaction. If you don't want to get into the details and trace the entire chain of events through which large capital brought the price to its current levels, feel free to skip the intro and go straight to the 4H chart with the long setup conditions. To better understand the logic of "smart money," let's revisit the Gold daily timeframe from my educational article: We will approach this analysis like detectives, following the facts and footprints in the style of Sherlock Holmes and Hercule Poirot. So, let's begin our investigation. On the daily structure, we see a clear order flow confirming the intention of large capital to lead the price in continuation of the uptrend. After the latest impulse that began on February 28th and ended on April 3rd, the price corrected and mitigated the DEMAND1 manipulation zone. The "Whale" refueled with liquidity, eliminated some competitors, closed its losing short positions used for the manipulation, and gained energy for the next impulse that set a new ATH. The correction that mitigated the DEMAND1 zone was nothing other than the next manipulation, also in the form of a DEMAND zone, within which there is a still-valid daily order block. How can we assert that DEMAND 2 is a manipulation and not just a correction? Firstly, the sharp nature of the move swept liquidity from the March 21st low. Secondly, the sharp upward impulse accompanied by a series of FVGs showed the Whale's true intention. And thirdly, the reversal from this DEMAND 2 zone, combined with the 61.8% Fib retracement level, resulted in the formation of the next manipulation in the form of the OB 1 order block. Further, we see the continuation of the order flow on this daily structure; the price reacts to OB1, forming another order block, OB2 . The impulse from OB2 sweeps liquidity from the May 6th high. Many might have expected a continuation of the impulse and a new ATH instead of a sweep of this high, but as often happens when too many participants pile into one direction, the price sharply reverses and liquidates their positions. This intense decline after sweeping the high looked something like a local trend change from bullish to bearish, but the sharp recovery after sweeping the liquidity from the June 9th low and forming a new order block, OB 3 , finally revealed what was really happening: it turned out to be a range . It's impossible to identify a range until it is fully formed. A range is another type of manipulation where internal and external liquidity is swept from both sides. In our case, there was first a deviation above (Deviation 1 on the chart), then a deviation below (Deviation 2), after which the price swept some internal liquidity and got stuck exactly in the middle of the range. And finally, after all our investigations and deductions, we can say with absolute certainty, practically with 100% confidence divided by two, that ABSOLUTELY NO ONE KNOWS where the price will go from the current levels. Because the center of a range is a state of complete uncertainty. Moreover, I dare to suggest that even the Whales don't know where the price will go right now. They certainly have enormous funds to sharply move prices at the right moments to capture liquidity and conduct manipulations. At other times, they can nudge the market to create a trend and direct it like a chain reaction of falling dominoes. But the entire market is much larger, and if its sentiment changes drastically due to external factors, smart money won't waste its resources fighting it. Their goal is to make more money, nothing personal. Why else is the price stuck in the middle right now? Inflation data is coming out soon, which could push the price in an unpredictable direction. The Whales will wait to use this news-driven impulse to their advantage. So, what have we concluded from this investigation? Was it all in vain since we can't even say with 51% probability where the price will go next? Of course not. We simply need to wait for the price to reach an area where the probability of it moving in a certain direction is significantly higher than 50% — that's all you need to be profitable in the long run. This probability will never be close to 100% because we don't know what's really happening in the depths of the market. Are the Whales accumulating positions in this range now, or are they selling off at high prices after the ATH? Unless you are one of the few direct participants in large capital, you can't know this. Moreover, you don't need to know it to make a consistent profit in the market. It is enough for us to predict the next move of smart money with high probability at certain moments, join their movement, and take our profit. It's like a weather forecast: the further from the current date, the lower the probability of it being accurate. It's the same with the market; a completely unpredictable combination of factors, news, and hidden internal processes can lead the price on a unique path, but always accompanied by smart money. It doesn't matter where the gold market goes next, whether to a new ATH or down to the next correction level. When the Whale reveals itself again by leaving a trail in the form of a manipulation, we can lie in wait near it and join its next move. Why is it generally a good idea to enter from manipulation zones? You are essentially stepping onto a field where the Whale has already cleared the liquidity, and it has returned to that place for other business — to close its losing positions. That is, a mitigated manipulation zone is a safer place to enter the market; there's a much lower chance the Whale will absorb your position. Right now, we have such a manipulation in the form of the OB 4 order block, and we can switch to the 4H timeframe to look at a potential entry zone in more detail. 4H CHART - SETUP CONDITIONS So, we already know the general context: the price is inside a range. After the second deviation, it has already reacted to the order block formed after it, and we are waiting for the mitigation of the next one, OB 4 , which will serve as a pivot point for a potential setup. A reversal from this order block will confirm the order flow for the price to move at least to the upper boundary of the range. The presence of a manipulation zone alone is not enough to open a position; additional confirming conditions are always needed. As one such condition here, we can take the combination of mitigation with one of the Fibonacci retracement levels — 61.8% or 78.6%. Upon reaching each level, the price must hold (not be broken by the bodies of 1-4H candles) and show a reversal reaction. The final confirmation for entry will be an LTF confirm in the form of a break of structure (BOS) or the beginning of order flow on a lower timeframe. An important part of the context is that important US inflation news is coming out soon, and positions should not be opened right before it or for some time after (at least an hour). Invalidation of the long scenario would be a break below the 78.6% level and OB 4. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you found this analysis helpful, support it with a Boost! 🚀 Have a question or your own view on this idea? Share it in the comments! I read every single one. 💬 ► Follow me on TradingView for more educational content like this and to not miss my next detailed trade idea . ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by TheWhaleSM
30
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateA rare day for us today even though we got the level for the short from above, we activated again, and due to everything lining up confirming the short into the lower order region where we wanted to bounce, we took it. Gold, had other plans, engulfing upside resulting in us having to SL the trade. It then went on to break above and complete our daily targets. You win some, you lose some! Now, we have support below at the 3410 region which will need to break to change short-term structure, while there is the order region above 3430-35 which could hold price and accumulate. All our bullish targets for the day are completed, we just wanted lower to then go higher. If lower support can be targeted and held, we could see a move higher into the 3345-50 region before then a reaction in price. I'm still not happy with this move, something doesn't quite look right, so let's play it day by day. RED BOXES: Break above 3395 for 3404✅, 3410✅ and 3420✅ in extension of the move Break below 3375 for 3368 and 3355 in extension of the move As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
10
GOLD Will Move Lower! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,337.68. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,280.02 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1
XAUUSD Monthly Technical OutlookMarket Structure Overview: • The chart reveals consistent Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside, confirming a strong bullish market trend. • Price has successfully reclaimed and retested the strong resistance zone (~3390–3400), which now acts as new support. • A series of higher highs and higher lows show clear bullish intent, supported by sustained bullish momentum after each correction. ⸻ 📈 Volume & Price Action: • The Volume Profile (VRVP) on the left shows strong historical accumulation near the current breakout zone. • After the breakout from resistance, the price retested this zone—validating it as support—and is expected to continue its bullish leg toward $3,500, the next psychological and technical target. ⸻ 📍 Key Levels: • Support Zone: $3,375 – $3,390 (previous resistance turned support) • Immediate Resistance: $3,425 • Target Level: $3,500 (Monthly High Projection) ⸻ 📘 Educational Note: • This setup aligns with classic market structure theory: BOS + Retest + Continuation. • The pullback into the breakout zone is a textbook bullish continuation signal often used in institutional trading strategies. • Traders watching this pattern should combine it with confirmation entries such as bullish engulfing candles, FVGs, or order block rejections for safer entries. ⸻ 🎯 Projection: • As long as the price holds above $3,375, the bullish scenario toward $3,500 remains valid. • Expect possible consolidation or minor pullbacks before continuation. ⸻ 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before entering the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
XAUUSD could potentially drop down to 3120XAUUSD has broken its most recent descending trendline on the Weekly chart, signaling a possible short-term reversal. It’s now approaching a higher-timeframe descending trendline, which could act as resistance. The next key demand zone is around 3246; if that fails, the more significant demand lies at 3120. Despite this pullback, the macro trend remains bullish. Notably, institutional traders increased their net long positions by over 40,000 contracts last week, bringing the total to more than 253,000, reflecting a potential shift in sentiment.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by supertrader72
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jul 28 - Aug 01]This week, OANDA:XAUUSD prices had a positive start, rising sharply from 3,345 USD/oz to 3,439 USD/oz because investors were concerned about the risk of financial market instability when US President Donald Trump continuously pressured the FED Chairman to reduce interest rates, and there were even rumors of the Fed chairman resigning. However, the upward momentum in gold prices was not maintained when the US continuously reached trade agreements with partners such as Japan, Indonesia, Philippines..., cooling down the trade war. This caused gold prices to drop sharply for three consecutive trading sessions, at one point the gold price dropped to 3,325 USD/oz and closed at 3,336 USD/oz. Trade war worries are starting to subside. Therefore, we continue to witness a shift of investment capital flows from gold to risky assets such as stocks.. Notably, this week is the fourth time gold prices broke the $3,400 threshold but did not stay above this level. Next week, in addition to the FED meeting, the market will also receive information about US non-agricultural employment (NFP) data. If this index falls stronger than expected, it will further strengthen expectations that the FED will continue to keep interest rates at the current level in upcoming meetings, causing gold prices to drop even more sharply next week. 📌In terms of technical analysis, the three crows pattern (3 long red candles) appeared on the D1 chart, showing that sellers were still in control throughout the past 3 trading sessions without much buying power. This technical pattern often suggests that gold prices may be shifting from their recent upward trajectory into a more prolonged period of decline. This technical signal also quite coincides with the context of many fundamental factors, such as geopolitical conflicts, trade wars, low physical gold demand in the summer... no longer strongly supporting gold prices as before. However, according to many experts, if the gold price drops sharply, it will be a good opportunity to buy, because the gold price is forecast to still increase strongly in the long term. On the H4 chart, gold price may continue to adjust down below the 3,285 USD/oz mark, before recovering again. Meanwhile, the 3,450 USD/oz area is still a strong resistance level for gold prices next week. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292USD Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,430USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3383 - 3381⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3387 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3316 - 3318⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3312
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
Analysis for the next week (XAUUSD) Hello Traders, Happy Weekend. The market is going to open tonight, As you see the down trend is running, the price is falling like a waterfall. Now the market is on the support area according to H1 & H4 TimeFrame. The market is respecting the support area and there is a Trend line support according to D1 TimeFrame. The market is respecting the Trend line and support area. According to my analysis gold will drop till 3287 to 3271. If gold fly, it can fly till 3350 then it will fall. Stay tune for update. Kindly share your views and leave positive comments here, Thanks.
TVC:GOLD
by Zayn_GTH
Gold analysis Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis Date: July 28, 2025 Market Context Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading at $3,313.01, showing a modest gain of +0.32% on the day. From a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) perspective, price action is now positioned at a high-probability demand zone, presenting an attractive opportunity for long positions. Key Technical Observations Liquidity Grab at $3,308 Price has recently swept the liquidity resting below $3,308, indicating the possible completion of a stop-hunt move orchestrated by institutional players. This move created an ideal setup for a bullish reversal from a zone where weak longs have been shaken out. Discounted Price Zone (89% Fibonacci) The market has retraced deeply into a discounted region, reaching the 89% Fibonacci retracement level of the most recent bullish leg. This zone coincides with a previously identified demand block, enhancing the confluence for potential bullish continuation. Market Structure & Order Blocks The current structure shows a bullish intent with price revisiting a bullish order block that previously led to a strong rally. The reaction from this block is key—holding above $3,300 would confirm buyers stepping in with conviction. Internal Liquidity Void (Imbalance) A visible inefficiency (price imbalance) exists between $3,345 and $3,398, acting as a magnet for price in the short-to-mid term. This inefficiency aligns perfectly with SMC principles that favor price filling these voids. Bullish Targets If price holds and confirms bullish intent from the current zone, we expect a move toward the following key levels: Target 1: $3,345 This is the midpoint of a previous consolidation range and also lies just above the 50% Fibonacci level. It also aligns with a minor supply area and could serve as a first TP level. Target 2: $3,398 This is the upper bound of a key supply zone that previously initiated a strong sell-off. It coincides with the 0.00% Fib retracement, marking the origin of the most recent bearish leg.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gol-DTrader
XAUUSD FULL WEEKLY STRUCTURE MAPHello traders! 🌟 We’re stepping into a pivotal week for gold (XAUUSD), and the weekly chart tells a story of tension, liquidity hunts, and potential big moves. Let’s dive into the three truly critical zones, backed by SMC/ICT logic, Fibonacci, EMAs, RSI, and fair‑value gaps — all in one elegant map. 🎨✨ 🔹 HTF Overview & Macro Pulse Current Price: 3336 Weekly Trend: Bullish overall, but momentum is fading as price coils under premium highs. EMAs (5/21/50/200): EMA5 & EMA21 are flattening beneath price, hinting at stall. EMA50 sitting near 3120 as a deep support magnet. RSI (Weekly): Cooling from ~75 down to ~66, showing bearish divergence vs those upper wicks. Fair‑Value Gaps: Unfilled 3365–3405 zone above — institutional imbalance still waiting. Partially filled 3280–3320 below — common reaction pocket. Fibonacci Extensions (1984 → 3365 high): 127.2% at 3405, 161.8% at 3439 — the exact top of our supply wick. Macro Catalysts This Week Wed (Jul 30): FOMC + Fed Statement Thu (Jul 31): Core PCE + Unemployment Claims Fri (Aug 1): NFP + ISM Manufacturing Prepare for violent spikes into one of our zones — then trade the reaction. 🔸 The Three TRUE Weekly Zones W1 Supply (Ultimate Wick Zone) 🔥 3350 – 3439 This entire wick from May–July is YOUR one and only supply zone on weekly. Pure liquidity sweep area Confluence: unfilled fair‑value gap, 127–161.8% Fib, RSI divergence Every touch here is a short‑trap until we see a full weekly close above 3439. W1 Demand (Primary Buy Zone) 🌊 3220 – 3285 The last robust order block & BOS base before gold ran vertical. Confluence: filled FVG, weekly OB body, EMA21 target, RSI back at 50 Ideal sniper entry after a news‑driven sell‑off into this range. Deep Discount Block 🛡️ 2960 – 3050 The origin of the full 2024–2025 bull trend — true institutional accumulation. Confluence: March 2024 CHoCH base, EMA50/200 proximity, 78.6–88.6% Fib retrace Only for a major quarterly reset; not on the immediate radar unless USD spikes dramatically. 🧭 Strategy & Execution Short Bias: Wait for a liquidity spike into 3350–3439 (likely around FOMC/NFP), then watch for a clean rejection candle. Long Bias: After a thrust down into 3220–3285, look for wick‑based rejection plus EMA21 hold and a bullish engulf on weekly. Avoid the mid‑zone between 3285–3350 — that’s noise, not structure. Patience is everything. Let price sweep, then let us strike. The real power trades this week will be born from clear structure — not guesswork. 💬 What’s your favorite zone to watch? Drop a comment below! 👍 Smash that like🚀🚀🚀 if you found this map helpful, and hit follow for more GoldFxMinds sniper blueprints. Disclosure: Analysis based on Trade Nation’s TradingView feed. I’m part of their Influencer Program. GoldFxMinds 💛
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Still a chance for gold bulls? 💡Message Strategy The gold market was volatile this week, and gold prices ultimately closed lower for the week. Gold prices have failed to stabilize above $3,400 an ounce after a bullish breakout. The technical outlook highlights the recent indecision of gold bulls. Looking ahead to next week, the Fed's policy statement and US-China trade talks could trigger the next big move for gold. These important factors may trigger the market next week 1. The Fed will announce its monetary policy decision after its policy meeting on July 29-30. Before the Fed meeting, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release its first estimate of annualized growth in gross domestic product (GDP) in the second quarter. 2. Next Friday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the July employment report. If the non-farm payrolls (NFP) increase by more than 100,000, it may indicate that the labor market is in good enough condition for the Fed to prioritize controlling inflation and support the dollar when making policies. If the new non-farm payrolls data reaches or falls below 70,000, the dollar may find it difficult to find demand before the end of next week and help gold gain bullish momentum. 3. Market participants will be closely watching the headlines of the US-China negotiations. If the two sides make further progress in trade and economic relations, risk flows may dominate the actions of financial markets, making it difficult for gold to find demand. 📊Technical aspects The short-term technical outlook highlights the hesitation among gold buyers. The daily chart shows that the relative strength index (RSI) remains just below 50, and gold is struggling to move away from both the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 50-day SMA after breaking above both levels earlier this week. If the price of gold falls to the key support level of $3,310 and fails to break down (trend line support/Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level), it will force a large number of shorts to exit the market and may further test the $3,340 range (psychological level/Fibonacci 76.4% retracement level). Combined with the current trend, the downward momentum of gold has weakened, and it is seeking support to restart the long position 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3310-3320，SL：3290，Target: 3340
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheodoreSilas
GOLD Drops $60 – Bearish Bias Holds Below 3365GOLD | OVERVIEW As expected, gold continued its bearish momentum, dropping from the 3430 level and delivering a move of approximately $60. For today, the bearish bias remains valid as long as the price stays below 3365, with potential targets at 3337 and 3320. However, if the price reverses and stabilizes above 3365, it could signal a shift to bullish momentum. Key Levels: Support: 3355 · 3337 · 3320 Resistance: 3374 · 3388
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi