Short XAUUSDElite Analysis
Price Hit a 6H BOS
Price rejected the OB
Detected a bearish BOS, confirmed it a second time.
Executed in 5m, targeting a lower liquidity pool.
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Gold repeatedly tested lows. Will it break through?On Monday, the Asian market opened low and rose in the early trading. In the European trading, it rose to around 3345. The European trading was under pressure and fluctuated. The US trading began to accelerate its decline, and the lowest point reached around 3302. Then it continued to fluctuate in the range of 3300-3320.
On July 27, the United States and the European Union reached a framework trade agreement; the agreement reduced market concerns about the global economic recession, promoted the attractiveness of risky assets, and boosted the stock market and the US dollar. Although Trump has repeatedly pressured for a substantial interest rate cut, the market has strong expectations for a September interest rate cut. The current expectation of maintaining a stable interest rate dominates the market, coupled with the strength of the US dollar, which puts gold prices under downward pressure in the short term.
Gold opened low in the early trading on Monday and then rebounded to recover the losses, but then fell below the low again, and the daily line closed in the negative, and now it has formed a four-day negative decline. MA5 and 10-day moving averages form a dead cross, and there is a downward turn.
The focus on the upper side is around Monday's high of 3345, which is also near the current position of MA5, 20, and 30-day moving averages. Below this position, gold is weak; if it breaks upward, it is necessary to prevent the possibility of a rebound correction.
The lower support first focuses on the 3300 integer mark; secondly, focus on the area around 3285-3275.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3340, stop loss 3350, profit range 3320-3300;
Long near 3300, stop loss 3290, profit range 3320-3340.
Before the release of US data on Tuesday, you can maintain this operation strategy; after the data is released, adjust the strategy based on the impact of the data.
Gold at Key Resistance – Bearish Pullback Ahead?Technical Analysis (2H Chart)
1. Trend Structure:
Price is moving in a clear ascending channel (black trend lines).
Currently testing the upper boundary of the channel, which may act as resistance.
2. Resistance Zones:
$3,431–$3,450: Strong resistance zone.
Horizontal resistance at $3,450.73 (marked in red).
Price may form a lower high before reversal, as the black arrow suggests.
3. Support Zones:
$3,374 – $3,360: Previous structure and demand zone (highlighted green).
Strong potential bounce zone if price drops.
4. Price Action Expectation:
Possible fakeout or retest near $3,450 → followed by a rejection and drop toward the $3,360 area.
Bearish bias indicated by the projected path.
Is Smart Money Selling Gold? A VSA LookHey Traders,
Let's take a look at the Gold (XAU/USD) 1-hour chart using Volume Spread Analysis (VSA). The price made a strong run-up to a new high around $3,438, but the volume is telling us a story of potential weakness.
Here’s a simple breakdown of what I'm seeing.
The Trap at the Top (Signs of Weakness)
Think of the market as being moved by "smart money" (professionals) and "herd money" (the crowd).
Climax Volume: See that huge volume spike right at the peak on July 23rd? While it looks like strong buying, this is often a classic sign of a Buying Climax. This is where smart money starts selling their positions to the excited crowd who are buying at the top, fearing they'll miss out.
No Real Buyers Left: After the peak, notice how the price tried to push higher a few times but on much lower volume? This is a "No Demand" signal. It’s like a car trying to rev its engine, but it's out of gas. It shows there isn't enough buying power to push the price any higher.
Sellers Take Control: As the price started to fall from the top, look at the volume on the down bars. It got bigger. This tells us that supply (selling pressure) is now in control, and they are pushing the price down with force.
Where Are We Now?
The price has dropped and is now hovering around the $3,330 area. The volume has dried up for now, which means the market is taking a pause and deciding where to go next.
What to Watch For Next
Based on the VSA story, here are two possible scenarios:
Scenario 1 (Bearish 📉): The weakness continues. If we see the price try to rally from here but the volume is very low, it would be another major red flag. It would suggest sellers are still in control, and we could see a break below the recent low of $3,320 for another leg down.
Scenario 2 (Bullish 📈): This is a bear trap. For this to happen, we would need to see a strong sign of buying returning. For example, a sharp drop on massive volume that is quickly bought back up. This would signal that the sellers have been absorbed and smart money is starting to buy again.
Conclusion:
For now, the evidence points more towards weakness. The action at the top suggests that smart money was distributing (selling) their gold.
Key Takeaway: Be cautious of any weak-looking bounces. The sellers appear to have the upper hand until we see a clear sign of strength with high buying volume.
This is not financial advice. This is just my interpretation of the chart using VSA. Always do your own research and manage your risk. Good luck trading!
NordKern - XAUUSD InsightNordKern | Simplified Insight OANDA:XAUUSD – Short Opportunity Ahead
Gold is now near our important level at 3370, offering a shorting opportunity considering recent events and technical action.
Gold Price Decline – What's Behind It?
In the last two sessions (July 23–24), gold has retreated strongly owing to a set of global as well as market-specific circumstances:
1. Trade Deal Optimism
Advances in U.S.–Japan and U.S.–EU trade discussions lessened worldwide uncertainty, decreasing demand for gold as a safe-haven.
2. Higher U.S. Yields
Higher Treasury yields are rendering non-yielding assets such as gold less appealing, adding to downward pressure.
3. Technical & Profit-Taking
Following a recent rally, gold was exposed to selling. Stop-loss and profit-taking triggers hastened the fall.
Summary of Key Drivers
U.S. Trade Deals: Reduced geopolitical risk
Higher Treasury Yields: Decreased gold's relative attractiveness
Technical Selling: Enhanced the downward trend
Trade Setup – Bearish Bias
Entry : 3374.4
Stop Loss : 3387.3
Take Profit : 3345.4
Extended Target : 3322
Key Notes:
- Trade Deal Optimism: U.S.–Japan and U.S.–EU agreements eased global tensions, reducing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
- Yield Pressure: Rising U.S. Treasury yields made gold less attractive compared to interest-bearing alternatives.
- Technical Selling: Profit-taking and stop-loss triggers accelerated the decline after gold’s recent rally.
This setup remains tactically driven. Manage risk carefully and monitor for any renewed political shifts.
GOLDGOLD looks like it will be giving us correction or impulse up early part of this week. Reaction will be above 3360.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 28
✅ Fundamental Analysis:
🔹 The United States and the European Union have reached a significant trade agreement, setting a unified tariff rate at 15% (previously threatened at 30%). The EU has also pledged to invest an additional $600 billion in the U.S. and to purchase $750 billion worth of American energy and military equipment.
🔹 This agreement has significantly eased trade tensions between the U.S. and EU, boosting market risk appetite and sending U.S. stock markets to new record highs. As a result, capital has shifted away from safe-haven assets like gold, causing gold prices to drop to the $3320 level during the Asian session.
✅ Technical Analysis:
🔸 4-Hour Chart:
Since retreating from the 3438.77 high, gold has formed a clear descending channel. While the current candlestick shows some signs of stabilization near the lower Bollinger Band, the rebound has been weak and has yet to touch the middle band, suggesting the downtrend remains intact.
Moving averages are in a bearish alignment, with the MA5 crossing below the MA10, and price continues to trade below both—indicating ongoing bearish control.
If the price fails to reclaim the MA10 level around 3347, the structure will likely remain bearish, with further downside potential targeting the 3316 and 3309 support levels.
On the upside, the 3365–3380 zone represents key resistance. For the bulls to gain meaningful control, the price must break and hold above this area.
🔸 1-Hour Chart:
The overall trend remains bearish within a weak consolidation phase, with price hovering near the lower Bollinger Band.
Despite several attempts to rebound, gold has repeatedly failed to break above the 3350 level, which now acts as a key resistance line.
The Bollinger Bands have begun to flatten slightly, and if the price cannot hold above the 3345–3350 area, the risk of a renewed drop remains. Focus on the 3320–3317 support zone in the near term.
Overall, recent rebounds appear to be corrective in nature, and the 1-hour bearish structure remains unchanged.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3345–3350 / 3365–3370
🟢 Support Levels: 3330–3325 / 3316–3309
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔻 Short Position Strategy:
🔰Consider entering short positions in batches if gold rebounds to the 3350-3355 area. Target: 3330-3310；If support breaks, the move may extend to 3280.
🔺 Long Position Strategy:
🔰Consider entering long positions in batches if gold pulls back to the 3333-3338 area. Target: 3345-3355；If resistance breaks, the move may extend to 3365.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
GOLD: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry Point - 3337.3
Stop Loss - 3340.4
Take Profit - 3330.9
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Bullish continuation?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 3,390.13
1st Support: 3,356.66
1st Resistance: 3,491.05
Risk Warning:
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Disclaimer:
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XAUUSD FULL WEEKLY STRUCTURE MAPHello traders! 🌟
We’re stepping into a pivotal week for gold (XAUUSD), and the weekly chart tells a story of tension, liquidity hunts, and potential big moves. Let’s dive into the three truly critical zones, backed by SMC/ICT logic, Fibonacci, EMAs, RSI, and fair‑value gaps — all in one elegant map. 🎨✨
🔹 HTF Overview & Macro Pulse
Current Price: 3336
Weekly Trend: Bullish overall, but momentum is fading as price coils under premium highs.
EMAs (5/21/50/200):
EMA5 & EMA21 are flattening beneath price, hinting at stall.
EMA50 sitting near 3120 as a deep support magnet.
RSI (Weekly): Cooling from ~75 down to ~66, showing bearish divergence vs those upper wicks.
Fair‑Value Gaps:
Unfilled 3365–3405 zone above — institutional imbalance still waiting.
Partially filled 3280–3320 below — common reaction pocket.
Fibonacci Extensions (1984 → 3365 high): 127.2% at 3405, 161.8% at 3439 — the exact top of our supply wick.
Macro Catalysts This Week
Wed (Jul 30): FOMC + Fed Statement
Thu (Jul 31): Core PCE + Unemployment Claims
Fri (Aug 1): NFP + ISM Manufacturing
Prepare for violent spikes into one of our zones — then trade the reaction.
🔸 The Three TRUE Weekly Zones
W1 Supply (Ultimate Wick Zone)
🔥 3350 – 3439
This entire wick from May–July is YOUR one and only supply zone on weekly.
Pure liquidity sweep area
Confluence: unfilled fair‑value gap, 127–161.8% Fib, RSI divergence
Every touch here is a short‑trap until we see a full weekly close above 3439.
W1 Demand (Primary Buy Zone)
🌊 3220 – 3285
The last robust order block & BOS base before gold ran vertical.
Confluence: filled FVG, weekly OB body, EMA21 target, RSI back at 50
Ideal sniper entry after a news‑driven sell‑off into this range.
Deep Discount Block
🛡️ 2960 – 3050
The origin of the full 2024–2025 bull trend — true institutional accumulation.
Confluence: March 2024 CHoCH base, EMA50/200 proximity, 78.6–88.6% Fib retrace
Only for a major quarterly reset; not on the immediate radar unless USD spikes dramatically.
🧭 Strategy & Execution
Short Bias: Wait for a liquidity spike into 3350–3439 (likely around FOMC/NFP), then watch for a clean rejection candle.
Long Bias: After a thrust down into 3220–3285, look for wick‑based rejection plus EMA21 hold and a bullish engulf on weekly.
Avoid the mid‑zone between 3285–3350 — that’s noise, not structure.
Patience is everything. Let price sweep, then let us strike. The real power trades this week will be born from clear structure — not guesswork.
💬 What’s your favorite zone to watch? Drop a comment below!
👍 Smash that like🚀🚀🚀 if you found this map helpful, and hit follow for more GoldFxMinds sniper blueprints.
Disclosure: Analysis based on Trade Nation’s TradingView feed. I’m part of their Influencer Program.
GoldFxMinds 💛
GOLD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,337.68.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,280.02 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD Weekly Idea💡Why Gold Pulled Back
- Gold pulled back today after hitting $3439.04, just below resistance at $3451.53. Traders took profits ahead of key Fed and trade headlines. Right now, it’s trading around $3414.48, down 0.50%.
- The dip came after the U.S.-Japan trade deal eased geopolitical tension, cutting safe-haven demand. Plus, U.S. bond yields are climbing (10-year at 4.384%), which adds pressure on gold.
Support is building at $3374.42, with stronger buying interest expected around $3347.97 and the 50-day moving average at $3336.40 — a key level bulls want to defend.
Short-term looks a bit weak, but as long as gold holds above the 50-day MA, the bullish trend remains intact. Longer-term, weakness in the dollar, central bank gold buying, and concerns about Fed independence could push prices higher.
🔍Watching the Fed’s July 29–30 meeting next
XAUUSD Monthly Technical OutlookMarket Structure Overview:
• The chart reveals consistent Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside, confirming a strong bullish market trend.
• Price has successfully reclaimed and retested the strong resistance zone (~3390–3400), which now acts as new support.
• A series of higher highs and higher lows show clear bullish intent, supported by sustained bullish momentum after each correction.
⸻
📈 Volume & Price Action:
• The Volume Profile (VRVP) on the left shows strong historical accumulation near the current breakout zone.
• After the breakout from resistance, the price retested this zone—validating it as support—and is expected to continue its bullish leg toward $3,500, the next psychological and technical target.
⸻
📍 Key Levels:
• Support Zone: $3,375 – $3,390 (previous resistance turned support)
• Immediate Resistance: $3,425
• Target Level: $3,500 (Monthly High Projection)
⸻
📘 Educational Note:
• This setup aligns with classic market structure theory: BOS + Retest + Continuation.
• The pullback into the breakout zone is a textbook bullish continuation signal often used in institutional trading strategies.
• Traders watching this pattern should combine it with confirmation entries such as bullish engulfing candles, FVGs, or order block rejections for safer entries.
⸻
🎯 Projection:
• As long as the price holds above $3,375, the bullish scenario toward $3,500 remains valid.
• Expect possible consolidation or minor pullbacks before continuation.
⸻
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before entering the market.
XauusdThe price enters the supply zone and the possibility of the gold price falling to the specified range
XAUSD We expecting this week the gold will be bearish becouse of the braking trend line and I wish you guys will took advantage of this and thank me latter
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 7/28/2025As explained in my weekly post, I am bearish on gold in short and medium term right now. Moreover, in smaller timeframe, the trendline has been broken. I am looking for selling opportunity from the retesting of the trendline, which is around 3352. My target for today is 3300, ultimate target for this week is 3252.
XAUUSD could potentially drop down to 3120XAUUSD has broken its most recent descending trendline on the Weekly chart, signaling a possible short-term reversal. It’s now approaching a higher-timeframe descending trendline, which could act as resistance. The next key demand zone is around 3246; if that fails, the more significant demand lies at 3120. Despite this pullback, the macro trend remains bullish. Notably, institutional traders increased their net long positions by over 40,000 contracts last week, bringing the total to more than 253,000, reflecting a potential shift in sentiment.
XAUUSD approaches a strong buy zoneGold is approaching a strong buy area. Aggressive traders set pending orders whereas cautious ones wait for some confirmation signals in the range of such zones. I expect buyers to push price back up for atleast half day today Follow risk management to enjoy your trading journey.
Target1 3374
$XAUUSD: Macro InterconnectionsResearch Notes
Linking historic surface area and coordinates of consistent geometric expressions to document and learn more about the "texture" of self-organizing processes. The topology assumes that current price is a result of all history together that took to make the price end up where it is.
The fastest shortcut to figure out fractal hierarchy of waves and general direction is through Fractal wave marker .
Since angle of highs cycle is broken and price stayed above it for long time. That means it would be better to strip the chart starting from the lower levels, in order to get better coordinates for structural basis.
FWM helps to spot that distinctive part of broken waves that enables visual orientation in the rhythm. They manifest in its closest formative across cycles.
The angle that links the pattern through the time can have deterministic property, therefore we can use that direction for fibonacci channels to fill the gaps.
The fact that on log scale the bits from bullish phase of cycles contracted on price scale, I'd orientate with thin fibonacci channels (that is based on angle of lows of macro-cycle applied to previous ATH.
There are some other interconnection that are being tested.
Analysis for the next week (XAUUSD) Hello Traders, Happy Weekend.
The market is going to open tonight, As you see the down trend is running, the price is falling like a waterfall.
Now the market is on the support area according to H1 & H4 TimeFrame.
The market is respecting the support area and there is a Trend line support according to D1 TimeFrame.
The market is respecting the Trend line and support area.
According to my analysis gold will drop till 3287 to 3271.
If gold fly, it can fly till 3350 then it will fall.
Stay tune for update.
Kindly share your views and leave positive comments here, Thanks.
