XAUUSDG trade ideas
Trade Plan (Multi-Leg Strategy)This chart outlines a two-phase trading strategy:
▶ Buy from the demand zone, followed by
▶ Sell from the resistance/range zone.
🟦 Phase 1: Buy Setup
Buy Entry: Around 3301 (marked demand/support zone)
: TP1 (Take Profit): 3340–3350 zone (previous supply/resistance area)
: The price is expected to bounce from this demand zone and rally toward the Range Zone.
🟧 Phase 2: Sell Setup (After Confirmation)
Sell Zone: After price hits 3340–3350 and confirms rejection in the Range Zone
> TP1 for Sell: 3310–3300 zone
> Final Target: 3250 (major support level)
> This move expects a bearish reversal after failing to break the range top.
🟡 Key Notes:
Range Zone = 3340–3350 is a key decision point. Wait for a reversal signal (e.g., double top, bearish engulfing) before shorting.
The setup blends support/resistance, price action, and zone trading logic.
✅ Summary:
Buy from 3301 → TP at 3340–3350
Sell from 3340–3350 (after confirmation) → TP1: 3300, TP2: 3250
XAUUSD 15MThis chart appears to show a technical analysis of gold prices (XAU/USD) on a 15-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
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🔍 Key Chart Features
Green Arrow & Circle: Marks a bullish entry point, likely where price respected a trendline and bounced up.
Rising Trendline: Indicates the short-term bullish trend leading into a peak.
"REGISTER LEVEL POINT" (Resistance Area ~3336–3340): This zone is likely where traders anticipate a reversal or sell-off.
Price Projection: The zigzag black line suggests a projected move upward to the resistance, then a sharp decline.
"TARGET SUCCESSFUL" Zone (~3288–3292): Indicates a bearish price target was hit, suggesting a successful short trade after hitting resistance.
Current Price: 3328.25 USD.
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📈 Interpretation
This looks like a completed price action playbook:
1. Buy near support (green arrow).
2. Sell or short near the resistance ("REGISTER LEVEL POINT").
3. Target achieved around the demand zone ("TARGET SUCCESSFUL").
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🧠 Trading Insights
The setup relies on:
Trendline support for entry
Resistance zone for exit or short
Price retracement toward a known support/demand zone
This type of analysis is typical of price action trading strategies, where key levels and candlestick behavior guide entries and exits.
Let me know if you'd like help with:
Marking similar levels on your own chart
Creating a script/alert for these setups
Strategy automation in TradingView (Pine Script)
Gold is rising, will there be a new intraday high?Yesterday, gold closed with an engulfing positive line, and the closing line stood above the 5-day and 10-day moving averages.
From the analysis of gold in 1 hour, the current price is still in a fluctuating upward channel. Based on this technical pattern feature, if the subsequent economic data is positive and pushes the gold price to further strengthen, it may form a trading opportunity for shorting at a staged high. Although the gold price showed a rapid upward trend after the data was released, there has been obvious resistance in the historical trading concentration range of 3400-3410. The current bullish momentum has no technical conditions to break through this position, and the technical correction after the price surge is in line with the price behavior logic.
The current price has reached a high of around 3398. After today's rise, there is not much room for upward movement; since the market is rising in a volatile manner this week, it is not suitable to chase the rise directly. Although the 4-hour Bollinger Band opening continues to diverge upward and the moving average is arranged in a bullish pattern, the upward momentum is slightly insufficient and may be under pressure to move downward near 3410. I suggest that all traders short at high levels.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3410, stop loss at 3420, profit range 3360-3355. If it breaks through 3355, it may hit the intraday low below 3340.
Gold Bearish Outlook | Short Opportunity AheadGold has just tested a major resistance zone at $3,390–$3,400 and faced a sharp rejection, forming a possible double top. The price is still respecting the parallel ascending channel, but current momentum suggests a bearish move could be underway.
🔍 Key Technical Levels:
Resistance: $3,390 – $3,400 (strong rejection zone)
Support: $3,282 (watch for reaction here)
Channel Structure: Price is still within an ascending channel
📉 Possible Scenarios:
1. Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below $3,340 and sustains momentum, we could see a drop to $3,282 support — a key level to watch for a potential bounce or further breakdown.
2. Bullish Scenario (less likely short-term):
If bulls regain control, watch for a breakout above $3,400, confirming upside continuation.
💡 Trading Idea:
Currently leaning bearish unless we see a confirmed breakout above resistance. Short setups could be considered on lower timeframes with targets near the support level.
💬 Let me know what you think — will gold break down or bounce back? 👇
👍 Like & follow for more trade ideas and updates!
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingView #Forex #Commodities
Short gold ,it is expected to retreatToday, we accurately seized the trading opportunity of long gold at 3350 according to the trading plan, and hit TP: 3380 in the process of rebounding. We firmly grasped the profit of 300pips in the short-term long trading. At present, gold maintains the trend of continued rise! Now I definitely do not advocate chasing gold in short-term trading. On the contrary, I will actively look for good opportunities for short-term short trading to earn profits from short-term retracement.
In the short term, the suppression area I focus on is the 3390-3395 area, because the gold trend is relatively strong during the European session, and the US session should continue. If gold cannot break through this area in the short term, gold will likely usher in a wave of retracement. I think it should not be difficult to test the 3370-3360 area downward; secondly, we must pay attention to the same suppression area as the short-term high of 3402: 3405-3415; if gold touches this area and stagflation occurs, then it may form a secondary high in the short term, thereby hitting the firmness of the bulls' confidence and ushering in a retracement.
So next, I will test the gold short trade around the two areas of 3390-3395 and 3405-3415. Relatively speaking, the profit and loss ratio is still very favorable to us! But in the process of trading, we must strictly set up protection, after all, it is a counter-trend trade in the short term!
GOLD → Intra-range strategy. Waiting for NFPFX:XAUUSD remains consolidated in the 3340-3391 range. The price is stuck in the middle of the range due to the uncertainty created by upcoming unemployment news...
On Friday, gold rose slightly, remaining within the range ahead of important US employment data (NFP), which could set the direction for the market. Optimism over the US-China deal and profit-taking on the dollar are supporting the USD, holding back gold's rise. A weak NFP (less than 100,000) will reinforce expectations of a Fed rate cut and support gold. A strong report (above 200,000) will have the opposite effect. The probability of a rate cut in September is 54%.
Technically, on the daily timeframe, the market structure is bullish. After a sharp breakout of resistance and a new high, the price is consolidating above the upward trend line, forming a plateau in the 3300-3340 zone. Another shakeout from support is possible before the trend resumes
Resistance levels: 3375, 3391, 3414
Support levels: 3339, 3331
Forming a price forecast ahead of news, especially ahead of NFP, is a thankless task. Therefore, it is advisable to wait for the news and monitor the price reaction. A retest of the consolidation boundary and a rebound are possible. There is a chance that the price will remain in consolidation until next week, but again, it all depends on the fundamental background...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD Federal Reserve Interpretation of May CPI Data
Key CPI Figures (May 2025)
Headline CPI:
MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior 0.2%).
YoY: 2.4% (vs. 2.5% forecast, prior 2.3%).
Core CPI (ex-food/energy):
MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior 0.2%).
YoY: 2.8% (vs. 2.9% forecast).
Fed’s Likely Interpretation
Cooling Inflation Momentum:
The softer-than-expected MoM and core CPI prints suggest inflation is moderating, particularly in goods categories like gasoline (-2.6% MoM) and autos. Shelter inflation (3.9% YoY) also cooled slightly, a critical factor for the Fed.
Annual CPI (2.4%) remains above the Fed’s 2% target but shows progress from pandemic-era peaks.
Tariff Impact Delayed:
The data reflects limited immediate pass-through from Trump’s April tariffs, which are expected to raise prices by ~1.5% over time. The Fed will remain cautious, as tariff effects could materialize in late 2025, complicating the inflation trajectory.
Labor Market Resilience:
Despite softer inflation, unemployment held at 4.2% in May, and wage growth stayed elevated (3.9% YoY). This gives the Fed flexibility to prioritize inflation containment over premature easing.
Policy Implications:
Near-Term Hold: The Fed is almost certain to keep rates at 4.25–4.50% in June, aligning with its "higher for longer" stance.
Dovish Tilt for 2025: Markets now price a ~75% chance of a September cut (up from ~55% pre-CPI). The Fed may signal openness to easing if inflation continues trending toward 2% and tariff impacts remain muted.
Market Reactions
Bonds: 10-year Treasury yields to 4.12%, reflecting bets on future rate cuts.
Dollar: The DXY dipped to 98.50 but stabilized as traders weighed Fed caution against global risks.
Equities: Nasdaq and S&P 500 rallied on reduced stagflation fears.
What’s Next?
June 12 PCE Data: The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge will confirm whether disinflation is broadening.
Federal Reserve Interpretation of June 12 Economic Data
Key Data Points
PPI (Producer Price Index) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior -0.5%).
Core PPI (ex-food/energy) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior -0.4%).
Unemployment Claims: 248K (vs. 242K forecast, prior 247K).
Fed’s Likely Interpretation
1. Subdued Producer Inflation
Cooling Input Costs: Both headline and core PPI rose 0.1% MoM, below expectations, signaling muted producer-side inflation. This follows prior declines (-0.5% headline, -0.4% core), suggesting persistent disinflationary pressures in supply chains.
Implication: Weak PPI supports the Fed’s view that inflation is moderating, reducing urgency for rate hikes. However, the Fed will remain cautious about potential tariff-driven price spikes later in 2025.
2. Labor Market Softening
Rising Jobless Claims: Claims increased for the second straight week (248K vs. 242K forecast), aligning with May’s softer ADP and NFP reports. The 4-week average now sits at 243K, the highest since September 2023.
Implication: A cooling labor market supports arguments for rate cuts to avoid over-tightening, but the Fed will seek confirmation in future reports (e.g., June NFP).
3. Policy Outlook
September Rate Cut Odds: Markets now price a ~70% chance of a September cut (up from ~65% pre-data). The Fed is likely to hold rates steady in July but may signal openness to easing if disinflation broadens.
Balancing Risks: While PPI and claims data lean dovish, the Fed remains wary of premature easing given:
Sticky Services Inflation: CPI services ex-energy rose 4.1% YoY in May.
Tariff Uncertainty: Trump’s tariffs could add 1.5% to inflation by late 2025.
Market Reactions
Bonds: 10-year Treasury yields fell 3 bps to 4.09%, reflecting rate-cut bets.
DXY: Dollar index dipped to 98.30, pressured by dovish Fed expectations.
Conclusion
The Fed will view today’s data as reinforcing the case for rate cuts in 2025, but policymakers will likely wait Q2 GDP before committing. While PPI and jobless claims suggest easing inflation and labor momentum, the Fed’s cautious stance on tariffs and services inflation means a September cut remains the baseline scenario, contingent on sustained disinflation.
July Meeting: Likely a hold, but the Fed’s updated dot plot could hint at 2025 cuts.
Tariff Watch: Delayed price pressures from tariffs remain a wildcard, keeping the Fed data-dependent.
Summary
The Fed will view May’s CPI as encouraging but insufficient to justify imminent rate cuts. While inflation moderation supports a dovish pivot later in 2025, policymakers will demand more evidence of sustained disinflation and clarity on tariff impacts before easing.
#gold
6/9 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsLast Friday, gold experienced a sharp drop, briefly testing the 3300 level. From a technical standpoint, the market has started to show early signs of bottom formation, which could materialize either as a double bottom / multiple bottom pattern, or through a direct upside breakout.
If the former unfolds, we expect a stronger and more sustainable rebound.
If it turns into a straight bullish leg, traders should be cautious of potential exhaustion in the rally, which may invite a renewed bearish attack.
📊 Key Macro Focus This Week:
Markets will be primarily influenced by data releases on Wednesday through Friday, including:
Monthly CPI
Initial Jobless Claims
Inflation Expectations
As a result, Monday's trading will be dominated by technical patterns, with a bias toward a corrective rebound. The strategic focus should be on buying near support, with short-term opportunities to sell near key resistance.
📌 Monday Trading Plan:
✅ Buy in the 3303–3286 zone (early base-building area)
✅ Sell in the 3343–3353 zone (overhead resistance)
🔄 Intraday pivot levels for tactical entries:
3338 / 3326 / 3317 / 3309
Sell before psych value Gold has been on a strong run since it's previous dip. However, price action states we're in a key position to short back into the pivot around 3330.
The psychological value of 3400 will be a common tp mistake at this stage.
Additionally, we still have imbalance from the start of the monthly open(June) so the market will gravitate towards these zones.
SL: 3410
TP: 3333
Will gold definitely rise if the news is good?
📊Technical aspects
1. The daily line pattern continues to close. The previous three days relied on the lifeline to lift the space. Now the lifeline position is in the 3317 area, which is close to the early morning low point 3319 and becomes the support range
The upper rail resistance position 3405 coincides with the previous high point 3403.5 area
Comprehensive support 3317-3319, resistance 3403-3405
2. The four-hour surge of more than 50 US dollars has pulled the pattern upward, but the European session just fell sharply by 37 US dollars, and the market has been pulled back to the exit again. Pay attention to the lifeline position and the double line superposition at 3335-3330, which also coincides with the lower track of the small channel 3330-3325 area, and together become the nearest support area
The upper track overlaps with the upper track of the small channel 3370 area
Comprehensive support 3320-3330, resistance 3370-3380
Currently, under multiple favorable factors, gold has repeatedly failed to break the previous high (3403).
From the technical pattern, it can be seen that the upper resistance line is still strong. On the contrary, the sharp drop just echoes the weakness of the bulls. Gold is still dominated by shorts.
Finally, let me talk about the current international situation that is favorable to gold. If you simply trade based on news, I don’t think everyone will become a millionaire by reading the news.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3370-3385
GOLD: Short Signal Explained
GOLD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry - 3384.7
Stop - 3393.2
Take - 3368.8
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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6/12 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning, everyone!
Gold rebounded after dipping to around $3320 yesterday, following a pullback from our previously defined sell zone (3358–3373). Early today, price broke above 3360, reaching a high of 3373, exactly within the resistance zone we expected. The initial rejection from this level aligns well with our plan.
📈 Technical Analysis:
Watch closely whether 3373 can be broken with strong volume. If so, the next key resistance lies around 3385.
However, if price reaches this level without first testing the 3352–3346 support, a rejection is likely. In such case, 3385 may serve as a temporary top and a potential short entry point.
🧭 Trend Structure:
On the 4H timeframe, the bullish momentum remains intact. The last two candles suggest strong buying pressure. If today's fundamentals are supportive, a test of 3400 or higher is possible.
On the 1D chart, the market is still in a technical correction phase. The bounce near 3300 was supported by the long-term trendline. However, if price drops back below 3340 and stays there, a trend reversal becomes more likely.
Focus on the 3314–3296 support zone. If that breaks, a deeper drop is likely, possibly $100 or more, pushing price toward 3200–3190. The decline may unfold as a slow grind or sharp breakdown.
📊 Fundamental Watch:
Today’s Initial Jobless Claims data could have greater-than-usual impact due to the recent CPI release.
The Federal Reserve's Quarterly Financial Accounts Report is also due today and may affect broader market sentiment.
📌 Today’s Trading Recommendations:
✅ Sell Zone: 3385–3403
✅ Buy Zone: 3331–3321
🔄 Intraday Scalping Levels:
3376 / 3358 / 3346 / 3334
XAUUSD TRADING ROADMAP 09 - 13 JUNI 2025XAUUSD TRADING ROADMAP
Trade Plan & Market Outlook
Currently, XAUUSD is trading below the Supply Zone, following a clear rejection from both H4 and Daily Supply areas.
Price is now showing a potential move to retest the Daily Demand Zone at 3286.00 – 3205.00.
🔹 Key Zones to Watch:
🟩 Demand Zones:
H4 Demand: 3261.00 – 3232.00
Daily Demand: 3286.00 – 3205.00
Strong Demand (next level if breakdown): 3176.00
🟥 Supply Zones:
H4 Supply: 3393.00 – 3438.00
Daily Supply: 3357.00 – 3430.00
🔹 Market Outlook & Scenarios:
Price is currently pulling back after rejecting from Supply, and may retest Daily Demand (3286.00 – 3205.00)
A breakdown below this zone could lead to further bearish movement toward the strong Demand at 3176.00
However, if price rejects the Daily Demand Zone, there's potential for the bullish trend to resume
→ As long as price stays above 3205.00, the medium-term bullish outlook remains valid
📌 Wait for price action confirmation around demand zones before entering any trades.
Always apply sound risk management and avoid chasing unconfirmed moves.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER ON
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors.
Please conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management at all times.
Buy gold, it is expected to continue to rise and test 3380-3390After the Asian session began, gold began to rise rapidly, and the original plan to short gold near 3355 had to be cancelled. After gold touched 3374, it fell back slightly, but after retreating to 3357, it rebounded again and broke through the short-term suppression near 3370 again. At present, gold still has the potential to rise further.
According to the current structure, gold has formed an oscillating upward structure, and the lows have been rising. After breaking through the short-term resistance area of 3360-3370, the willingness to rise has strengthened. Gold is expected to usher in a second rise and test the 3380-3390 area. If it breaks through this area, gold is even expected to continue to the 3410-3420 area. As gold rises, the gold support area rises to the 3360-3350 area.
So for short-term trading, we can try to go long on gold while controlling the risk after gold retreats to the 3360-3350 area!