Gold is ShortI will be waiting for this pullback to mitigate the supply zone in which is my POI ... then i will see how it goes .
Happy Trading
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Gold drops sharply amid panic but fundamentals remain strongGlobal markets opened the week under pressure, with major equity indices tumbling once again as volatility swept through the Asian session. The latest wave of selling follows China’s announcement of retaliatory tariffs on the U.S., intensifying the fallout from last week’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariff shock.
Investors had hoped that the worst of the uncertainty would fade following the initial U.S. tariff announcements. Instead, the reality has proven more severe. With tariffs exceeding expectations and no sign of negotiations, markets are now increasingly pricing in the risk of a global recession—beginning with the U.S.
This risk-off mood has triggered broad-based liquidation across asset classes. Even traditional safe havens have not been spared.
Gold Suffers in Unusual Selloff
Gold, typically a beneficiary of risk aversion, has not been immune. XAU/USD has dropped more than 6% since Thursday, a move that seems to defy its status as a hedge during times of market stress. The likely explanation: forced liquidation. As losses pile up elsewhere, investors appear to be selling profitable or liquid assets like gold to meet margin calls or reduce exposure. As a result, this selloff looks more technical and sentiment-driven than fundamental. The key factors that have supported gold remain intact:
- Rising geopolitical tensions
- Ongoing global growth concerns
- Expectations for lower interest rates
- Continued central bank demand for gold
Looking beyond the short-term panic, the medium- to long-term outlook for gold remains bullish. The current environment—marked by volatility, economic uncertainty, and central bank caution—typically favours gold.
Last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the Fed’s “wait-and-see” approach in response to the unfolding instability. This week’s March CPI release will be crucial. If inflation data shows further softening, it could strengthen the case for future rate cuts, potentially reigniting demand for gold. On the other hand, a surprise uptick in inflation could limit the Fed’s ability to ease, injecting more uncertainty into the macro picture.
Technical View: Consolidation May Invite Fresh Buyers
On Monday morning, XAU/USD briefly dipped below the 3,000 level, but quickly found support and began stabilizing. While gold has pulled back from recent highs, the daily chart suggests there’s no strong appetite for aggressive selling at current levels.
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) has reset from overbought territory, creating a more favourable technical backdrop for new buying interest—particularly from bargain hunters seeking entry at lower prices.
XAUUSD NEXT MOVE 1. Double Top Resistance Breakdown
The chart suggests a strong double top resistance zone around 3,160 USD.
Disruption: If price tests this zone and fails again (creating a third top), a sharp reversal could occur.
Implication: Bearish pressure may increase, potentially invalidating the long-term bullish target.
2. Failure to Hold the Bullish Zone
Price is hovering above the support for bullish zone (~2,980–3,000 USD).
Disruption: A break below this level, especially with volume, could signal trend reversal or deeper correction.
Implication: Price might head towards the next unmarked support area below 2,960 USD.
3. Weak Rebound from Current Level
The chart projects a “V-shaped” or “W-shaped” recovery.
Disruption: If market sentiment is weak, the price may consolidate sideways or drift lower instead of rebounding.
Implication: Delayed bullish momentum, potential accumulation phase or even distribution.
4. Fundamental Catalyst Risk
Several U.S. economic event icons are marked (likely NFP, CPI, FOMC).
Disruption: Any unexpectedly hawkish data or Fed speech can strengthen the USD and suppress gold prices.
Implication: Technical patterns may get overridden by macro volatility.
5. Over-Reliance on Horizontal Levels
The analysis is heavily based on horizontal S/R zones.
Disruption: If market dynamics shift (liquidity hunts, news-driven spikes), price could fake out these zones.
Implication: Stop hunts and liquidity grabs could trap traders expecting clean technical moves.
XAUUSD💡XAUUSD Gold Chart Analysis (Daily Timeframe) The price is moving within an ascending price channel. Possible Scenarios: Bull Scenario (Currently Likely): 1. The price rebounds from the lower boundary of the channel. 2. This rebound is consistent with the price behavior within the ascending channel. 3. The price may rise to test the resistance zone (R.1) again. 4. If it breaks through, we may see a new high.
Bearish Scenario: 1. If the price breaks the lower boundary of the channel with a strong candle and a clear close below it. 2. It may head towards the S.1 support zone (green). 3. A break of this zone may change the overall trend from bullish to sideways or bearish. The MACD indicator shows weak upward momentum, but it has not yet turned bearish. We monitor whether it returns to the upside (supporting buying) or enters the red (supporting a decline). We monitor the lower timeframe to look for the right opportunity. ✅
⛔️Not investment advice for educational purposes only.
### Gold Important Analysis XAU/USD 04/07-04/11OANDA:XAUUSD
Currently, there is a prevailing sentiment among traders leaning towards a bearish outlook. Many who missed their selling opportunity on Friday may experience regret, and upon witnessing any initial selling pressure on Monday, they are likely to jump in. This sets up a potential trap that I intend to exploit. I anticipate the market will either move sideways or experience a slight bullish uptick before we see any significant movement.
It’s important to note that larger market players have already sold off positions from the all-time high of 3137. Meanwhile, retail traders have begun selling following the breach of key psychological levels. Those holding short positions overnight often place their stop losses near these critical levels, providing an opportunity for the market to manipulate their positions—this is precisely the strategy I plan to implement.
While the broader market structure remains bearish and we could see a potential breakdown below the 3000 level in the coming days, I believe we might witness a brief bounce in the meantime.
#### Current Market Conditions:
The market is currently oscillating between key weighted levels, indicating a period of indecision. The primary levels to watch for potential breakouts and reversals are:
- Resistance Level (Upper Gap): 3055
- Support Level (Lower Gap): 3031
#### Bullish Outlook: First Target 3055
- Initial Bullish Target: If the price manages to cross and lock above 3055, this will trigger a subsequent bullish target of 3075.
- Additional bullish targets with respective EMA5 locks:
- 3075 → 3092
- 3092 → 3117
- 3117 → 3142
#### Bearish Outlook:
- Initial Bearish Target: Conversely, a cross and lock below 3031 will set up bearish momentum, targeting 3015.
- Additional bearish targets with respective EMA5 locks:
- 3015 → 2999
- 2999 → 2975
- 2975 → 2950
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LONG ON GOLD (XAU/USD) GOLD Has given a nice pullback to a supply area and has also given us bullish divergence.
I will be buying gold looking to make over 1000 pips.
Gold likely to drop further despite tariff concerns!Hey Traders!
Taking a step back and analyzing Gold on the higher timeframes, we can clearly see that price has been respecting a rising channel—though not without the occasional breakout (as always, the market rarely follows levels to perfection).
Most recently, price faced a strong rejection from the upper boundary of the channel, leaving behind a notable wick on weekly timeframe that suggests weakening bullish momentum. Based on this, I’m anticipating a deeper retracement in the coming sessions.
My next area of interest lies around the 2900 zone, which also aligns perfectly with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level—a key confluence that could attract buyers again.
📉 Will Gold continue sliding lower before finding support? Or are the bulls planning another surprise?
I’d love to hear your thoughts—drop your take in the comments below! 🔍👇
If this analysis provided value, a boost would mean a lot. Thanks for the support and happy trading! 🚀💛
Gold's HUGE drop - Where we going next?📉 Gold Market Update: Key Levels & Strategy Ahead
Gold has experienced a significant decline, dropping over 1,000 pips in just the past three trading days. Currently, we’re seeing consolidation just above the $3,000 mark, with the price struggling to hold this psychological level.
While the broader trend appears bullish, we are now in a range-bound phase, which often leads to false breakouts and stop hunts. Given the current conditions:
🔸 Short Bias: The overall setup favors short positions, but patience is key. Look for higher price levels to enter shorts with better risk-to-reward ratios.
🔸 Scalp Opportunities: If you’re considering a long position, it should be strictly short-term (scalping) and only from well-defined support levels.
🔸 Capital Protection: This is not the time to over-leverage or chase moves. Gold is known for volatility in tight ranges—stay protected and use tight risk management.
⚠️ Bottom line: Gold is in a bearish consolidation zone. The safest play is to wait for clearer setups, preferably at resistance for shorts or strong support for scalps. Avoid getting chopped up in the range.
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#GOLD #IDEA#GOLD #IDEA On Today i we looking at Higher TF H1 i will aiming for Buyside above at CRH Level that i mark and i will using small TF like M15 and M5 looking for high potential BUY
Excellent Price-action for Profit opportunitiesTechnical analysis: Choppy Trading sessions so far as the Price-action (Xau-Usd Spot) managed to close above the Daily chart’s Support zone, still giving decent chance to Buyers and so far (throughout today’s session) Gold is Trading above the Support fractal (#2,952.80 - #2,957.80). Hourly 4 chart delivered Double Bottom structure and Technical setting became strongly Oversold as the sequence (#3 out of #3 cycles replicated) recovered the Hourly 4 chart’s #3,012.80 - #3,018.80 belt each time throughout Asian session and as soon as possible in order to revive Buyer’s intent to get back into Bullish phase (Bullish Short-term). However, there is an possibility for aggressive takedown if #3,000.80 benchmark gives away, however that outlook remains less possible as current Bottom is formed and the Price-action is getting rejected twice in a row Hourly 4 chart (both times delivering relief rally). Hourly 4 chart almost delivered strong Bearish formation however current sequence got rejected and now I am ready to pursue values above the current Price-action. Gold is delivering strong Bearish and Bullish formations which brings Lower High's and Higher High's zones in motion for both Sellers and Buyers to pursue both ways. I am consulting my Donchian Channel and Trading it for couple of sessions now and I am interested in both Buying and Selling opportunities.
My position: I have Sold Gold throughout yesterday' session twice from #3,035.80 - #3,042.80 (closed both on #3,015.80) and Bought Gold on #2,065.80 and kept order over-night / closing #3,011.80 few moments ago which is excellent Price-action to Profit on and I am looking forward for today's opportunities. I do expect Gold to remain in #2,952.80 - #3,052.80 range for a while where I will Buy and Sell respectively from my calculated re-Sell and re-Buy zones.
4.7 Gold Trend4.7 Gold Trend
The K-line continues to fall back and breaks through the short-term moving average, and the moving average begins to diverge downward, indicating that the daily level has turned from strong to weak.
Key support: 2950. If it falls below 2950, it may accelerate the decline; otherwise, it may usher in a technical rebound.
Short:
Entry area: 30015-3025
Stop loss: above 3035
Target: 2990-2950
Long:
Entry area: 2960-2970
Stop loss: below 2950
Target: 2990-3010
I hope that today's article can bring you gains and smooth sailing in the next investment. The team has focused on the spot gold market for more than ten years, with rich market experience and stable operations, allowing you to reasonably control funds and achieve profits. All gold investors are welcome to come and communicate.
Gold’s deleveraging pullback spurs fresh demandSpot gold's initial response to the steepest US trade barriers in more than 100 years was a move to a fresh record high of USD 3,167 per troy ounce on heightened inflation risks, before surging volatility in response to collapsing stock markets saw traders turn their attention to capital preservation and deleveraging—the dash-for-cash focus hurt all leveraged positions across the commodities sector, including those in silver, which experienced a brutal 16.5% top-to-bottom slump, but also bullion, which despite its safe haven label during times of turmoil fell by around 4% before finding solid support around USD 2,950.
As the dust begins to settle following one of the worst risk reduction periods in recent years, demand for silver and especially gold has re-emerged, with gold has reaching a fresh all-time-high above USD 3,200, while silver has managed to retrace half of what was lost during the first week of April, both strongly suggesting that underlying concerns remain.
A combination of heightened global economic tensions, the risk of stagflation – a combination of lower employment, growth and rising inflation - a weaker dollar, will, in our opinion, continue to support bullion, and to a certain extent also silver. Adding to this is a market that is now aggressively positioning for the Fed to deliver more cuts this year—at current count more than 75 basis points of easing by year-end, and not least continued demand from central banks and high net worth individuals looking to reduce or hedge their exposure to US government bonds and the dollar.
With all the mentioned developments in mind, we maintain our forecast for gold reaching a minimum of USD 3,300 this year, while silver, given its industrious exposure and recession worries, may struggle to materially outperform gold as we had previously forecast. Instead, based on the XAU/XAG ratio returning below 90 from above 100 currently, we see silver eventually making it higher towards USD 37.
WHY XAUUSD IS BULLISH ?? TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALSXAUUSD is currently trading around the key psychological level of 3000, and as expected, price action has just completed a textbook retest of the previous breakout zone. The support level near 2960–2980 has held strongly, giving gold the momentum it needs for the next leg up. Price has reacted with a clear bullish bounce from this demand zone, confirming the structure and setting up for a potential continuation toward the 3100 target.
From a technical perspective, we’re seeing a classic bullish continuation move. The previous impulse to the upside was followed by a correction phase, which respected the support area now acting as a launchpad. This bounce, combined with strong candle formations on the 12H and daily charts, suggests bulls are regaining control. Volume is gradually increasing, aligning with the anticipated breakout from the recent consolidation.
On the fundamentals side, the gold market remains well-supported. Recent macroeconomic data shows inflationary pressures are still lingering, while expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts later in the year continue to weigh on the US dollar. Geopolitical tensions and increased central bank gold accumulation are adding further demand for safe-haven assets like gold. These drivers remain bullish catalysts as long as uncertainty stays elevated and real yields remain low.
With price holding above 3000 and a strong structure in place, I expect continuation toward 3100 in the near term. This is a high-probability setup supported by both technicals and fundamentals. I’ll be closely watching for higher lows and continuation signals above 3020 for additional confirmation. Risk management remains key, but the market structure strongly favors further upside.
XAUUSD 4H | Premium Zone Rejection + FVG PlayGold tapped into a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the $3,141–$3,157 zone—right at a premium level.
I’ve entered a short position at $3,141, anticipating a move down toward internal liquidity and sell-side targets.
Entry: $3,141
TP1: $3,094
TP2: $3,041
Final TP: $2,951
SL: $3,160
This setup is based on Smart Money Concepts:
• FVG reaction
• Premium pricing
• Liquidity engineering
• Bearish displacement
Let’s see if the algorithm delivers!
What’s your bias on gold this week?
Drop your thoughts and follow for more clean setups!
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Blue MA Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout then make your move at (3000) - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise to Place sell stop orders above the Moving average (or) after the Support level Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most NEAREST (or) SWING low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a sell stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (3050) Day/Scalping trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2960
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a chance to move bearishness),., driven by several key factors.👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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XAUUSDWe can attempt to buy XAUUSD from specified level as it make HL , also there is bullish divergence occur indicate that it moves upward.
SL , TP mention in chart.
