Get started
GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals

XAUUSDG trade ideas

GOLD falls on USD and trade talks, big data weekSpot OANDA:XAUUSD ended its rally this week on Friday (July 25) and closed down nearly 1%, mainly affected by the recovery of the US Dollar TVC:DXY and progress in trade negotiations that weakened safe-haven demand. DXY recovered 0.27% on Friday to close at 97.642, ending a two-week low, making gold less attractive than its direct correlation. Earlier, news of a US-Japan trade deal and a breakthrough in US-EU talks weakened the market's demand for safe-haven assets. For the content of the US-Japan trade deal, readers can review it in the daily publications during the past trading week. Data and Fed Expectations The latest US jobless claims fell to a three-month low, suggesting the job market remains solid. This gives the Federal Reserve reason to maintain interest rates at 4.25%-4.50%, despite President Trump once again pressuring Powell to cut rates. However, in the short term, the fundamental direction of gold may need to wait for the Federal Reserve to announce more policy signals at its meeting next week. Speculative Longs Hit High Near April Peak Data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed that as of the week of July 22, the speculative net long position in COMEX gold rose by 27,211 lots to 170,868 lots, the highest level since April. This shows that as gold prices fall again, buyers are still actively deploying, waiting for more guidance from policy and data. Last Week Review and This Week’s Fundamental Outlook Last week, gold prices initially rose and then fell. Due to risk aversion and volatility in the US dollar, gold prices surpassed the $3,400/ounce mark at the start of the week, but as trade optimism increased and profit-taking emerged, gold prices fell back, trying to stay above $3,300/ounce. Investors will face several major events this week: Federal Reserve policy meeting (Wednesday): Markets expect interest rates to remain unchanged, but Powell’s speech could influence market expectations for a rate cut this year. Macro data will be released in batches: including ADP employment data on Wednesday, PCE price index on Thursday and non-farm payrolls report on Friday. These data will determine the next move of gold. Global central bank trends: The Bank of Canada and the Bank of Japan also hold policy meetings next week. Investors will be watching to see if their policy signals cause volatility in the US dollar and gold prices. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold is in a rather important position after 3 consecutive corrective declines. However, the bearish momentum still keeps gold above the base price, which is an important psychological point for the bullish expectation of 3,300 USD. In terms of position and indicators, gold has not completely lost the ability for a bullish outlook. Specifically, gold is still in a short-term rising channel and supported by the EMA21. On the other hand, it is still supported by the horizontal support level of 3,310 USD, followed by the psychological level of 3,300 USD and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement. Gold will only qualify for a bearish cycle if it sells below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, then the target will be around 3,246 USD in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci level. RSI is sloping down, but has not yet crossed the 50 level, and in the current case, the 50 level acts as a momentum support for the RSI. It shows that there is still room for an increase in price, and if RSI sloping up from 50, it will provide a bullish signal with relatively wide room. If gold rises above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level (3,371 USD), it will be eligible for a new bullish cycle with a target of around 3,400 USD in the short term, more than 3,430 – 3,450 USD then the all-time high. In the coming time, in terms of position and indicators, gold still has a technical outlook leaning more towards the upside and the notable points will be listed as follows. Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,430 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3371 - 3369⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3375 →Take Profit 1 3363 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3357 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3303 - 3305⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3299 →Take Profit 1 3311 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3317
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
5
Gold’s Next Move: Bounce or Breakdown?Gold is pulling back after breaking the 3,360 USD resistance on the 6-hour chart. Price is currently testing the nearest fair value gap (3,370–3,380), but upside momentum is stalling, partly due to unfilled supply zones above. A retest of the lower FVG near 3,340 will be key. Holding above this level could trigger renewed buying, while a break below may invalidate the bullish structure. Traders should closely monitor whether downside gaps continue to fill and how price behaves near support zones. Lack of strong liquidity could lead to a false breakout.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmmaChartist
9
Gold is locked and loaded! A 4H breakout this week could unleashGold Analysis & Trading Plan – First Week of August Overall Outlook: Gold is currently consolidating between key levels. A breakout above resistance or a breakdown below support will determine the next move. ⸻ Bullish Scenario (LONG Setup) • Condition: 4H candle closes above 3364 • Targets: • First target: 3373 • Second target: 3382 • If 4H closes above 3382, extended targets will be: • 3392 • 3400 • 3422 ⸻ Bearish Scenario (SHORT Setup) • Condition: 4H candle closes below 3353 • Targets: • 3333 • 3329 • If 4H closes below 3329, extended targets will be: • 3319 • 3313 • 3308 ⸻ Key Notes • Focus on intraday trading between these weekly levels as long as price remains within the range. • Always apply strict risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTXmrMLK
3
Gold may paint a false breakdown of supportGold is testing local resistance at 3325 with a touch. It is also touching the lower boundary of the channel. Thus, the price is stuck in the range between 3325 and 3320. A return of the price to the upward channel may attract buying activity. In this case, we can expect growth to 3375 or to the channel resistance. The trend is upward. If gold does not fall but returns to the channel, we will see a false breakdown of support. According to statistics, all the strongest movements begin after false breakdown
FX:XAUUSDLong
by AndeWave
3
XAUUSDUpdate: Gold Price Trend: As per our previous analysis on July 28, 2025, the price has now tested the support at 3,269. We expect that if the gold price can hold above 3,249, the gold price trend will remain bullish. We recommend considering buying in the red zone. 🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you. >>GooD Luck 😊 ❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Serana2324
4
DeGRAM | GOLD reached the resistance level📊 Technical Analysis ● XAUUSD rebounded from the lower channel boundary near 3,294 and reclaimed resistance at 3,357.8, confirming bullish continuation inside the rising structure. ● Breakout above the triangle’s descending resistance line opens upside toward 3,435 and possibly 3,487 on strong momentum continuation. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Gold found renewed support as US NFP and ISM data showed softness, weakening the dollar and lowering real yields. ● Rising geopolitical risk and increased central bank gold buying in July continue to support bullish sentiment. ✨ Summary Long above 3,357. Target 3,435 ➜ 3,487. Setup holds while price stays above 3,294 channel base. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
6
Gold Alert: Key Levels for Potential Sell Setup!Good morning, my friends 🌞 Here’s today’s gold analysis. I'm expecting a decline in gold prices, specifically from the 3,383–3,420 level. Once a correction starts around that zone, my target will be 3,310. Gold has been riding a strong uptrend, and if we reach those levels, I’ll be expecting a pullback and opening a sell position accordingly. Please set your stop loss based on your personal margin preferences. Your likes and support are my biggest motivation for continuing to share these analyses. Thank you to everyone showing appreciation 🙏
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TraderTilki
7
Gold price continues sharp declineHello everyone! Do you think gold will rise or fall? Let’s dive into the latest movements of this precious metal. Just as we anticipated in yesterday’s strategy , gold has extended its downward move, with the bears firmly in control. The precious metal is currently trading around 3,290 USD, clearly signaling a short-term downtrend after breaking the ascending trendline that started in early July. Although there was a slight bounce, price remains capped below the key resistance zone of 3,333 – 3,350 USD, which coincides with the confluence of the 0.618 – 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and the EMA 34/89 — adding even more downside pressure. The main reason behind this recent drop lies in the easing of trade tensions following the US-EU tariff agreement, which has significantly weakened gold’s safe-haven appeal. At the same time, the FOMC meeting yesterday failed to provide any bullish catalyst for gold. Even though the Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged, a single hawkish remark from Chair Powell was enough to intensify short-term selling pressure. From a technical perspective, gold attempted to retest the broken trendline but failed, confirming the bearish structure. A new wave of correction could emerge soon, but the overall outlook remains tilted toward further downside. My personal view: Target 1 is at the 1.272 Fibonacci extension. Target 2 lies at the 1.618 Fibonacci level — which could be the next destination. And you — what do you think about this trendline break? Let’s discuss in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
13
XAUUSD-3336.40 — a key level bulls want to defend.Why Gold Pulled Back - Gold pulled back today after hitting $3439.04, just below resistance at $3451.53. Traders took profits ahead of key Fed and trade headlines. Right now, it’s trading around $3414.48, down 0.50%. - The dip came after the U.S.-Japan trade deal eased geopolitical tension, cutting safe-haven demand. Plus, U.S. bond yields are climbing (10-year at 4.384%), which adds pressure on gold. Support is building at $3374.42, with stronger buying interest expected around $3347.97 and the 50-day moving average at $3336.40 — a key level bulls want to defend. Short-term looks a bit weak, but as long as gold holds above the 50-day MA, the bullish trend remains intact. Longer-term, weakness in the dollar, central bank gold buying, and concerns about Fed independence could push prices higher. Watching the Fed’s July 29–30 meeting next
FX:XAUUSDShort
by IngemarBurns
3
Gold's Breakout Was a Trap. Here's the Real Plan Now.Gold has made its next move, and it was quite sharp. I was expecting a smoother correction with a return to the manipulation zone, but Gold followed a different scenario, which I described at the end of my last gold analysis: Gold has practically confirmed its breakout from the global range it has been in since the beginning of June. The only thing that could prevent this is a complete engulfing of the bullish daily candle that broke the upper boundary of the range by a bearish candle, but I consider this an unlikely scenario. The closed red daily candle, which completely engulfed the preceding bullish one, showed that the move was, in fact, an internal liquidity sweep . The price has not yet managed to break out of the range. Therefore, when I wrote "Gold has practically confirmed its breakout from the global range" , the daily candle had not yet closed, and the price had not secured its position above the range's upper boundary. Essentially, it's not important how the price arrives at a Point of Interest (POI) . What matters is what we have now: the price has mitigated a manipulation in the form of a new daily order block that was formed inside the range. Although the middle of a range is a highly unpredictable area for price movement, and I almost never consider it for entries, in this case, there is a strong exception that allows us to consider longs from this order block. The reason for this exception is the bullish order flow on the daily structure, which I have mentioned several times, and the ascending daily structure within the range. This structure allows us to identify the start of the last impulse and draw Fibonacci retracement levels, which will serve as an additional condition for our potential long setup. We can now see that the price has reached the 61.8% Fib level and has shown a reversal reaction to it. To see more precisely if there is a potential entry point, let's switch to the 4H timeframe. On the 4H chart, we see that the 61.8% level has held, and we can look for entry confirmation on a lower timeframe. The 4H timeframe also shows that the liquidity sweep created a supply zone , which will act as resistance on the path of the next attempt to break out of the range. Due to this zone, considering a long from the current position is not optimal because the risk-to-reward ratio is too small. Furthermore, the price could reject from this supply zone and continue its correction to the next level, the 78.6% Fib level . To find an entry with a more acceptable R:R, let's move to the lower timeframes. Two Potential Long Scenarios SCENARIO 1: Entry from the 15M Demand Zone or 15M OB The 15M timeframe shows a break of the 15M structure and the formation of manipulations in the form of a demand zone and a 15M order block within it. ► Setup Condition: I will consider a long position upon the mitigation of one of these manipulation zones and a clear reversal reaction from it. If the price continues to move up from the current levels, I will not enter due to the large stop loss required and the suboptimal R:R to the nearest resistance. ► Invalidation: A break below these support zones on the lower timeframe will invalidate this scenario. SCENARIO 2: Entry from the 78.6% Fib Level This scenario becomes active if the first one fails. ► Setup Condition: If the price breaks the 15M supports, I will watch for its interaction with the 78.6% Fib level . For a potential entry, this level must hold, show a reversal reaction, and be followed by confirmation on a lower timeframe. ► Invalidation: A decisive close below the 78.6% Fib level. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this wonderful, advanced TV community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇 P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always use a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you found this analysis helpful, support it with a Boost! 🚀 Have a question or your own view on this idea? Share it in the comments. 💬 ► Follow me on TradingView to get real-time updates on THIS idea (entry, targets & live trade management) and not to miss my next detailed breakdown. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by TheWhaleSM
31
Gold Could Show there Potentially BearishGold is currently consolidating, but a downtrend range is forming based on the prevailing market setup. After erasing early gains, XAUUSD stabilized near 3340 on Monday, with downside pressure largely influenced by a stronger U.S. Dollar following the announcement of the US-EU trade agreement. Price rejected sharply from the 3340 resistance zone, suggesting continued bearish momentum. A minor pullback was seen after testing the upper boundary, with sellers regaining control near resistance. Traders are closely watching the 3350–3362 resistance zone, where another rejection could fuel a fresh downside move A confirmed breakdown below 3312 could open the path toward 3282 in the short term. Ps: Support with like and comments for more better analysis.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by MrMartin_11
10
XAUUSD (GOLD): Bullish Impulsive Move Up Friday! Wait For Buys!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Aug 4 - 8th. Gold is bullish on the Monthly, Neutral on the Weekly, Bullish on the Daily. The aggressive move higher after bad job numbers caused a shift in the market from bearish to bullish on the D1 time frame. Be wary of the pullback, as that move is likely to be corrected, but that would set up a great long opportunity! Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RT_Money
4
XAUUSD H2 | Downside Target 3270Gold (XAUUSD) recently rejected from a key resistance zone around 3300, showing strong bearish momentum on the 2H timeframe. 💡 Setup Idea: • Price broke support → Retest as new resistance ✅ • Clean imbalance left behind → Fills expected 📉 • Target: 3270 zone (300 pips move) 🎯 • Risk-Reward potential is solid for intraday/swing entries. Trade Plan: If price holds below 3300, we expect continuation toward the 3270 zone. This area also aligns with previous structure and liquidity grab. 🕐 Timeframe: 2H 📌 Resistance: 3300 🎯 Target: 3270 📍 RR: 1:2+ #XAUUSD #GoldSetup #PriceAction #SmartMoney #FXTrading #TradingView #ForYou
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Liquidity_Gold_FX
6
Is the market panicking over FOMC today?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) fluctuates within a narrow range during the Asian session on Wednesday, showing only modest gains and losses as traders tread carefully ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy announcement. The metal’s recent rebound from the $3,300 area faces hesitation, with investors awaiting clearer signals on the Fed’s rate-cut trajectory before committing to new positions. As such, attention remains firmly on the outcome of the two-day FOMC meeting, set to be released later today. In the meantime, pre-Fed uncertainty is lending some support to the safe-haven appeal of gold. Additionally, a slight pullback in the U.S. Dollar—after hitting its highest level since June 23 on Tuesday—is providing a mild lift to the metal. However, expectations that the Fed will maintain elevated interest rates for an extended period are limiting the dollar’s decline and capping upside potential for the non-yielding yellow metal. Adding to the cautious mood, recent optimism on global trade also tempers bullish momentum in XAU/USD. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: slight recovery, not big before FOMC news. Gold price will still be under selling pressure when interest rate stays at 3300 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3373- 3375 SL 3380 TP1: $3360 TP2: $3344 TP3: $3330 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3283-$3281 SL $3276 TP1: $3295 TP2: $3307 TP3: $3320 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3
Bearish Gold Outlook — Potential Flash Crash Imminent🔻 Technical Structure – Bearish Breakdown Brewing Lower highs and lower lows forming on the daily and 4H timeframes — classic downtrend mechanics. Price has rejected multiple times near $3,400–3,430, forming a strong resistance ceiling. Support at $3,280–3,300 has been tested too many times— and each bounce is weaker. When support holds with less conviction, it's often about to break. Volume spikes on red candles show smart money is exiting on down moves — signs of institutional distribution. The **tightening consolidation range** looks like a **descending triangle** — usually resolves downward. If $3,280 breaks, expect a **liquidity event**. Stops get swept, leading to a **sudden acceleration — possibly a flash crash** to $3,200 or lower. 🌍 **Fundamental Drivers – Macro Picture Is Turning Hostile for Gold** 1. Real Yields Are Climbing U.S. real yields are up as inflation fades and the Fed stays hawkish. Gold, being yieldless, suffers when investors can get positive returns from bonds. 2.The Dollar Is Gaining Strength DXY is pushing higher, fueled by strong U.S. data and weak peers (euro, yen). Gold priced in USD becomes more expensive globally — this suppresses demand. 3. **Rate Cuts Are Off the Table — or Delayed** Market is pricing fewer and later rate cuts from the Fed. This removes one of gold’s biggest bullish catalysts from earlier in the year. 4. Geopolitical Fear Is Cooling No major escalation in Ukraine, Middle East, or Taiwan. Without fear, gold loses its safe-haven premium. 5. Central Bank Buying May Have Peaked Recent data from WGC shows some slowing in central bank accumulation. If this institutional bid softens, gold could drop hard — few natural buyers remain above $3,300. ⚠️Conclusion: Gold Is Walking a Tightrope The chart is a staircase down. Macro fundamentals are no longer supportive. A clean breakdown below $3,280 could trigger a **chain reaction** of automated selling and margin calls — **a flash crash is on the table**. This isn’t just a correction — this feels like the calm before the storm.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by MrYounity
4