Gold (XAU/USD): Playbook in ActionHello guys!
We’ve seen a textbook QML (Quasimodo Level) setup play out beautifully on gold. Price pushed into a key supply zone and formed a QML structure, followed by a clean engulfing of the previous demand. confirming smart money involvement. As expected, the target of that QML has now been hit, tapping into the major demand zone below.
After the deep sweep and reaction from demand, price retraced upward into a potential lower high area. Based on structure and liquidity dynamics, two potential scenarios are in play:
We’re executing a two-step plan here:
Step 1: Short position from the QML + supply area, aiming for the next blue demand zone. Liquidity has been taken above the high, confirming the setup.
If we get a clean reaction near the blue area, that’s our signal to flip long. We expect a pullback toward $3310 area.
XAUUSDG trade ideas
XAU/USD : Get Ready for Another Fall ! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected from our previous analysis, when the price was trading around $3327, it climbed to the supply zone at $3345. After reaching this key level, strong selling pressure emerged, leading to a sharp drop in gold today down to $3296.
This move played out exactly as anticipated, and now, if the price stabilizes below $3330, we could expect further downside pressure on gold.
The Main Analysis :
Excellent yesterday's sessionAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: In my opinion I need to stay on Hourly 4 time-frame for us and the potential break-out to the downside since Hourly 4 chart remains Bearish (never Swing Buy while #H4 is Bearish) on logarithmic scale, hence on limited upside. My expectation is that we still have one (minor) rebound left which will be the final Selling attempt / entry towards #3,300.80 benchmark, if Buyers manage to reverse this, #3,352.80 and #3,400.80 marks are Targets to monitor / which I will pursue with set of Scalp and Swing orders. Trade accordingly as I Bought #3,302.80 with set of aggressive Scalp orders."
I have Bought Gold with aggressive Scalps from #3,297.80 - #3,302.80 zone, firstly closing my orders as near as #3,310.80. Later on, did #4 more Scalps from #3,308.80 - #3,313.80 / closing all as near as #3,322.80 as I announced that Gold will certainly recover as per above (cca #171.000 EUR Profit using #100 Lots).
Technical analysis: Ranged Price-action came as no Technical surprise as Price-action remains in Rectangle on a combination of Fundamental pressure and Technical necessity for a Lower Low’s extension. It is closely related to currency Volatility on DX (and the economy related Fed’s talks and Tariffs agreements of utmost importance) as the Price-action in near equilibrium with DX (# -0.27%) also on Weekly scale and even if the pair completes full scale reversal, Gold should stay under Selling pressure. On the Short-term side, there is an clear Resistance and Support zone, limiting Sellers advances to it’s maximum thru Fundamental side (every early to late U.S. session revives Buyers on the aftermath). Gold should already Trade widely below #3,300.80 psychological barrier, but now Resistance tests seems more likely to develop and showcase Short-term Buyers presence. Hourly 4 chart points that Lower High’s Lower zone is near and Resisting the Price-action at #3,334.80 - #3,342.80 which makes it an possible Hourly 1 chart’s Ascending Channel variance - typical Target of similar sequence if break-out is delivered includes #3,348.80 - #3,352.80 on Short-term. In extension - I will advance with extreme care ahead of the most significant macroeconomic events of the week and since my model leans more to the Bullish side and Fundamentally Gold may soar, I will remain Scalping Gold as using Swing orders practically is worthless on such market.
My position: I will keep Buying and Selling Gold only with my aggressive Scalp orders from my key entry and reversal points.
Gold bullish breakout support at 3308The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3308 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3308 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3387 – initial resistance
3400 – psychological and structural level
3435 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3308 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3290 – minor support
3268 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3308. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAUUSD REVERSAL OR CONTINUATION?The analysis on GOLD in D1 shows us a bullish structure for several months. But could this be the end of this trend with the current configuration? NO!!!! today in July 2025 we can see that the price is facing strong resistance which has already been tested 3 times? certainly this resistance is solid but it is not what will reverse the trend. Indeed, looking more closely at this configuration we can see that the price forms a well-known chart pattern "THE ASCENDING TRIANGLE" which indicates a continuation of the trend. Furthermore, the price, still in its bullish run, rebounded on our D1 support LINE, thus marking the end of our retracement of the first wave and the start of the third which will go so far as to break the resistance in D1 and offer us new historic highs. DONNEZ VOS AVIS EN COMMENTAIRE.
XAUUSD Approaches Key Resistance – Will 3,345 Hold or Break?As of July 11, 2025, gold (XAUUSD) is showing a mild recovery around 3,331 USD, following a rebound from the 3,318–3,322 USD support zone. This move comes amid a wave of macroeconomic data and global monetary policy expectations that continue to weigh heavily on gold’s intraday direction.
1. Key Fundamentals Impacting XAUUSD Today
Dollar Index (DXY) remains strong near 106.0 – sustaining pressure on gold due to a firm greenback.
U.S. 10-year Treasury yields are holding above 4.36%, reflecting persistent market expectations that the Fed may keep interest rates elevated in the near term.
June CPI data (YoY) came in at 2.4%, slightly below forecast (2.5%), increasing hopes for a potential rate cut in Q4 – a short-term bullish catalyst for gold
Geopolitical tensions remain subdued, limiting safe-haven inflows into gold in the medium term.
Upcoming U.S. PPI data this week could trigger volatility, depending on whether it surprises to the dovish or hawkish side.
2. Technical Analysis – XAUUSD on H4 Timeframe
Support zone: 3,316 – 3,322 USD, aligning with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish leg.
Resistance zone: 3,345 USD – a confluence of previous highs and 0.618 Fibonacci level of the prior correction wave.
EMA outlook: Short-term EMA is turning upward, indicating potential bullish momentum building.
RSI: Recovering toward 60 but not yet overbought – a sign of healthy upside potential, though confirmation is still needed.
3. Trade Scenarios to Consider
Bullish Breakout Scenario (if price breaks 3,345 USD):
Entry: Buy on H4 candle close above 3,345 USD
Target: 3,357 – 3,370 USD
Stop-loss: Below 3,322 USD
Bearish Rejection Scenario (if price fails at 3,345 USD):
Entry: Sell on bearish reversal candlestick (e.g., pin bar, engulfing) at 3,345 USD
Target: Revisit support at 3,318 – 3,309 USD
Stop-loss: Above 3,350 USD
Gold is trading in a decision zone between short-term support and a major resistance barrier. While macro fundamentals are slightly leaning bullish after soft CPI data, strong dollar strength and high bond yields still cap upside momentum. Traders are advised to wait for price confirmation at 3,345 USD before committing to directional setups.
Follow for more daily gold trading strategies, and save this analysis if you found it useful!
XAUUSD- Bearish AB=CD pattern at resistance zone!Timeframe:2H|Pattern: AB=CD| Bias: Bearish Reversal!
Gold (XAUUSD) has completed a precise AB=CD pattern aligning perfectly with a strong resistance zone near 3340-3350 the symmetry of the harmonic pattern combined with historical rejection levels gives a strong signal for a potential downside move
Trade setup idea:
Sell entry: 3340-3350
target:1: 3300
target:2: 3260
risk reward: Favorable setup with harmonic confirmation.
Could Gold slide below 3000?Could Gold slide below 3000?
On the monthly charts, price action shows an imbalance when Gold surged to 3500. Equilibrium must be restored and price action suggests, Gold has to correct by mitigating demand at 2700 price levels. On the weekly and daily charts, there are signs of price weakening suggesting a reversal is not so far. On the daily chart, Gold has mitigated a short term FVG and formed an intermediate low. Once this low is broken, it will confirm our reversal of Gold targeting the monthly FVG at 2760
Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 7/7/2025As expected yesterday, gold attempted to break 3330 for a few times but failed to do so. After retreat to 3310, it went up again. Right now it is testing the channel top. I will monitor the price closely at this level and the 4hrly close. If it close above 3330, I will buy towards 3365. If it close below 3317, I will sell towards 3270.
XAUUSD h4 down pattranDouble Top Yes Break above neckline = Bullish invalidation
Resistance Selling Zone Yes May flip to support
Target Zone (3,260) Yes Over-tested support may trigger reversal instead
FVG (~3,200) Yes May not fill if bullish momentum sustains
Strong Support (~3,100) Yes Price might not drop that far before buyers
WITH ZARA..FVG
XAUUSD $3500 Recovery? Reverse Heads and Shoulders? 🔎 STRUCTURE & TECHNICAL ELEMENTS
1. Pattern:
A falling wedge was formed and broken cleanly to the upside → bullish reversal structure.
Breakout was followed by a successful retest at prior structure lows (marked “Clear Breakout and Retest”).
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG 1D) Zone:
Currently being tested. This zone coincides with:
Minor support from prior consolidation
Fib retracement (0.5 level)
Potential demand area (watch for bullish reaction/candle structure here)
3. Volume Profile:
3,350 = POC (Point of Control) → heavy resistance.
3,300 = Secondary HVN → strong support below current price.
Low-volume nodes just under current price → if broken, price likely accelerates into the GP zone.
4. Fibonacci & Liquidity Confluence:
Golden Pocket (3287) just below 3,300 = ideal liquidity draw if FVG fails.
Target 1 / 2 / 3 above are Fibonacci-based projections + historical swing zones.
✅ SCENARIO 1: Bullish Case – FVG Holds
If price respects the FVG 1D zone, expect:
Continuation up toward Target One (~3,430)
Extension to Target Two (~3,470) and even Target Three (~3,540+) possible
Confirmation: Bullish engulfing / high-volume bounce / sweep of intraday lows without close below FVG
Bias: Bullish continuation as long as price holds above FVG/0.5 Fib
🚨 SCENARIO 2: Bearish Case – FVG Breaks Down
If price closes below FVG zone, particularly below 3,312:
High probability drop toward 3,300 (psych level)
Liquidity sweep and deeper correction into Golden Pocket (~3,287) likely
This area can act as a high-probability long re-entry zone
Bias: Short-term bearish if close below FVG + swing structure invalidation
⚖️ REFINED SUMMARY
Price rejects off FVG - we can expect target 1 and 2 tagged.
Price breaks & closes below FVG zone - we can expect it to drop/wick to 3,300
Uptrend at the end of the week 3367, maintain the upward force⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) are on track to notch a third straight day of gains on Friday, climbing toward the upper boundary of this week’s trading range as escalating trade tensions fuel safe-haven demand. In a significant intensification of global trade disputes, US President Donald Trump issued formal notices this week to multiple trading partners, detailing individual tariff rates set to take effect on August 1 should no agreements be reached. This has rattled investor sentiment and weighed on risk assets, offering solid support to Gold.
Meanwhile, expectations for an imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) have cooled following last week’s strong US jobs data. As a result, the US Dollar (USD) remains firm, holding near a more than two-week high reached on Thursday. This USD strength could limit the upside for the non-yielding yellow metal in the near term. Therefore, traders may look for a sustained breakout before committing to further bullish positions in the XAU/USD pair.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price breaks 3330, maintaining good buying pressure, recovering at the end of the week
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3367- 3369 SL 3374
TP1: $3355
TP2: $3342
TP3: $3325
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3306-$3308 SL $3301
TP1: $3315
TP2: $3325
TP3: $3338
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold rebounds as expected, NY focuses on the Fed meeting📰 News information:
1. Federal Reserve meeting minutes
📈 Technical Analysis:
Gold fell into a narrow range of fluctuations during the European trading session. As I said this morning, gold is expected to rebound in the short term and the bullish momentum needs to be released. From a technical perspective, the overall market is still in a volatile pattern. The support at the 3280 level below is still a key point that needs attention in the short term. The European session has repeatedly tested this area. If it falls below this support, it is expected to touch the 3250 level as I said. While guarding against gold diving during the NY session, the upper resistance of 3315-3321 cannot be ignored to prevent bullish retaliation.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3315-3321-3333
TP 3300-3290-3280-3250
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish to the week!!
We will now finish off with the Daily chart update, after following the 1h and 4h chart throughout the week. This will now remind everyone, how we broke down the overall structure into play.
The bounce scenario off 3272 has now officially played out, just as outlined.
After the clean rejection at the channel top near 3433, price moved precisely into the 3272 Goldturn support, where we were watching closely for structure to hold. That level held beautifully, providing a solid base for this week’s strong push upward.
This reaction once again highlights the precision and reliability of the Goldturn levels - 3272 acted as a critical pivot, and the market respected it perfectly. We didn’t get an EMA5 cross and lock breakdown, confirming that buyers were still in control at this support, and that was our green light for bounce structure to unfold.
As price grinds its way back up the channel, we’ll continue to monitor reactions at key resistance zones. The measured structural move from 3272 reinforces our approach of trading level to level with patience and confirmation, not emotion.
We’ll be back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA alignments, and structure expectations going forward.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3433 (channel top)
Support: 3272 (confirmed bounce zone)
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD H4 | Premium Supply RejectionPrice has tapped into a premium selling zone around 3,340 - 3,350 and is showing signs of rejection.
📍 Key Levels:
• Premium Supply Zone: 3,340 – 3,350
• Current Price: 3,332
• Target Zone: 3,275 – 3,265
• Intermediate Support Zones: Around 3,320 & 3,300
🔴 Liquidity was swept above the previous high, and price has reacted strongly from this level.
🔻 Bearish Bias:
• Expecting a move down towards target support.
• Clean break of structure confirms bearish intent.
• Multiple FVGs and imbalance zones below price support the downside continuation.
📌 Trade Idea:
Sell from premium zone with confirmation
🎯 Target: 3,275 zone
📉 SL suggestion: Above 3,355 (structure invalidation)
GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,346.66
Target Level: 3,283.88
Stop Loss: 3,388.42
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Gold Price Outlook: Dip to $3000 Before a Bullish Rally Toward $Based on my current technical analysis, I expect a bearish move in gold toward the $3000 level in the short term. This zone could act as a strong support and the potential bottom before a major bullish reversal.
The reversal window is likely to open between July 28 and mid-August. During this time frame, I anticipate gold will start forming a solid base and initiate a new upward trend.
The medium-term target for this bullish leg is projected around $3700.
This outlook is based on price structure, key support/resistance zones, and historical price behavior.
📉 Short-term bias: Bearish to $3000
📈 Mid-term bias: Bullish toward $3700
🔔 I’d love to hear your thoughts – drop a comment and let’s discuss.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It’s a personal technical analysis shared for educational purposes only.
GOLD Is Very Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 3,320.51.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 3,298.54 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!