XAUUSDG trade ideas
Gold Breaks Out to New Highs: Bullish Momentum Signals Further 1. Price Action
The current price is around $3,303.51, showing a strong uptrend.
There’s been a significant breakout above a previous resistance level, marked with the label “True Breakout”, which appears to have validated the bullish continuation.
2. Chart Patterns
A rounded bottom or cup-like formation is visible in early April, suggesting accumulation and a bullish reversal pattern.
Post breakout, price has moved sharply higher, confirming the strength of buyers.
3. Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance turned support around the $3,269 level—this was previously a consolidation zone and now may act as a floor.
Key resistance zones are shown in red (previous highs): around $3,050.10, $3,019.80, and $2,949.91.
Price has broken far above these levels, indicating strong momentum.
4. Projection
The arrow and zig-zag lines indicate a potential bullish continuation pattern after a brief pullback or consolidation, suggesting another leg up.
5. Indicators
A channel or support/resistance band (possibly a Keltner Channel or Donchian Channel) is visible, confirming breakouts and volatility.
Summary:
This chart signals a bullish trend continuation for gold, backed by a successful breakout, strong price action, and clear support levels. A pullback to the $3,269 area could offer a buying opportunity before further upside, as projected.
Gold signal, 200% profit in one weekGold hit the highest point of 3245 at the opening today and then began to fall back. This is what we have been saying that gold is going to start to fluctuate and adjust. Now it depends on whether gold starts to adjust by exchanging space for time or time for space. However, no matter which method is used, gold must patiently wait for the opportunity to fall back. The hourly moving average of gold is still in a bullish arrangement with a golden cross upward. Now the price is gradually approaching the moving average. If gold uses time to exchange space for adjustment, then gold will continue to resist falling at a high level. Then gold may start to exert strong strength in the European and American markets. At that time, just continue to follow the trend and buy more.
Judging from the current gold trend, today we still focus on the short-term suppression of 3245-3250, and the short-term support of 3200-3206, with a focus on the support of 3188-90. Don't chase the current high position. The daily level reversal and negative closing may occur at any time.
Gold operation strategy:
If gold falls back to 3200-06 and does not break, you can buy more. If it falls back to 3188-90, you can add more positions, stop loss at 3178, target 3248-3250, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Gold is strong and is adjusting today!For gold today, the gold surged and then fell, breaking the pattern of the morning cycle of rise, which means that this wave of unilateral rise from 3211 to 3357 can temporarily come to an end. This time the whole increase was as high as 146 US dollars, and there was no correction throughout the whole process. This kind of extreme market situation is rare in history. The bold ones will die of overeating and the timid ones will starve to death. It is very suitable for novices who have just entered the market. Blindly chasing more will have a miraculous effect, which is the so-called novice protection period.
As the market will be closed tomorrow for Easter, gold is destined not to rise like yesterday, but will enter a period of shock correction. The decline from 3357-3320 reached 37 US dollars, so focus on the pressure of 3342 and try to participate in the short position to see the decline. The strong pressure is at the high point of 3356-3357. If it does not break the high during the day, gold can still be shorted; the support below is 3320-3305. If it touches 3305, you can go long to see the rebound.
Today’s gold operation ideas are back to bullish【Gold Trend Analysis】
Fundamentally, the Trump administration's tariff policy is still uncertain, and market concerns about the trade war support the safe-haven demand for gold; the recent weakness of the US dollar index (close to the 99.0 mark), the decline in US Treasury yields (10-year yields fell to 4.368%), further benefiting gold; Goldman Sachs raised its year-end gold price forecast to $3,700, while UBS is bullish to $3,500, believing that central bank gold purchases and safe-haven demand will continue to support gold prices. Technically, gold opened higher today, rising to 3,233 as high as possible. From the technical indicators, gold is still in a bullish trend, with a 3-hour moving average golden cross. Today, gold fell back to rely on the moving average support. At the same time, the gold price is running above the Bollinger middle track. Pay attention to the middle track support. Today, we are still mainly low-long operations.
【Operational suggestions】
Buy at 3217-20, stop loss at 3207, target at 3230-45.
Gold Price at a Crossroads: Awaiting the Next MoveCurrently, I foresee two possible scenarios for XAUUSD. In the more optimistic scenario (black label), the recent correction is assumed to be wave ii of wave (v), which suggests that XAUUSD still has the potential to strengthen toward the 3,177–3,306.
However, attention should also be given to the bearish scenario (red label). If XAUUSD fails to break above the 3,167 resistance level, it is likely that wave 3 has already been completed, and the current movement is part of wave 4. In this case, XAUUSD may decline toward the 2,489–2,832.
Gold's Glory Fades: Bearish Setup in MotionHello,
🟥 XAUUSD – Pro Bearish Playbook
Resistance Breached, But the Rally Looks Exhausted
Gold (XAUUSD) has just smashed through the 1M strong resistance at 3272.314, but let’s not kid ourselves — this move is running on fumes. The rally is heavily overbought, and macro sentiment is shifting fast.
🗞 Macro Trigger: Tariff War Cooling
President Trump has thrown a curveball, suggesting the U.S. may hold off on further tariff hikes, citing concerns about the impact on American consumers.
“At a certain point, people aren’t gonna buy,” he said.
He’s not ruling out new tariffs entirely, but the tone has clearly softened. Even China is stepping back, opting not to match U.S. hikes — and now the TikTok deal is on pause until trade talks settle. This reduces geopolitical risk, and that’s a red flag for gold bulls.
📉 Why We're Bearish:
Overbought Conditions: Gold is bloated. RSI, momentum, and fundamentals all scream “top-heavy.”
Safe-Haven Demand Shrinking: With tariffs cooling and equities catching a bid, gold demand is set to fade.
False Breakout Potential: The push above 3272.314 may be a trap if we don’t get follow-through.
🧭 Bearish Strategy – The Breakdown Plan
We’re not just throwing darts — here’s how we map the fall:
🔻 Level 💰 Price 📌 Role
🟧 1D Pivot Point Use live data Key trigger – watch for bearish confirmation below here.
🟨 1M Resistance (Now Suspect Support) 3272.314 Already breached; likely won’t hold on retest.
🟥 1W Pivot Point 3146.658 Next major target if momentum continues.
🚨 Bear Max Target 2466.313 Full breakdown scenario if risk-off vanishes.
🔥 Execution Plan – What to Do
✅ Wait for confirmation below 1D Pivot.
🔻 Short the rejection at 3272.314 if it acts as resistance on retest.
🎯 Target 3146.658, then trail stops toward 2466.313 on continued weakness.
🚫 Avoid blind entries – confirmation only. This isn’t guesswork.
We’re not chasing gold higher at these levels. We’re waiting for the turn, and when it confirms — we strike.
The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes!
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TradeWithTheTrend3344
Gold fluctuates at a high level, how to choose the direction?This week, the gold market showed a high range oscillation pattern. After opening at 3210 on Monday, it quickly rose to the historical high of 3245, but the daily line closed with a negative cross needle, indicating that the long-short game intensified. The gold price fluctuated and fell in the Asian and NY periods. Although the NY period showed a short-term illusion of a high rise, it failed to break through 3227 and plunged to 3193 under pressure. The rebound in the late trading recovered some of the lost ground.
The current price of gold is running in the range of 3245-3193, and it continued to consolidate in a narrow range at 3215 today. It is worth noting that the market generally expects the unilateral 100-point market last week to reappear, but ignores the characteristics of this week's oscillation and energy storage. Blindly chasing ups and downs is easy to fall into passivity. From the technical form, the upper 3237-3245 constitutes a strong resistance zone, and the lower 3193-3188 forms a key support. It is recommended that everyone maintain the thinking of range operation, rely on support and resistance to choose the opportunity to buy low and sell high, and wait patiently for the market to clarify the direction before making trend layout.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go short at rebound 3225-3230, SL: 3237, TP: 3200-3190.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go long at callback 3190-3185, SL: 3177, TP: 3210-3220.
XAU/USD Enters Fourth Wave ConsolidationCurrently, XAU/USD appears to have completed the third wave, and the beginning of the fourth wave seems to be underway, indicating the start of a corrective phase. This correction can potentially extend down to the 3118.486 level. In terms of targets, the key levels to watch are 3166.464 and 3117.451 . Following this correction, there is a possibility that the fifth wave may commence.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important support & resistance levels/zone on Gold for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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HelenP. I Gold will start to decline, after long upward moveHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Recently, price has shown a powerful rally after breaking out from a prolonged consolidation phase that lasted several days. This sideways movement was confined inside the buyer zone near 2855 - 2835 points, which acted as a reliable base for bulls. After forming a solid structure in that area, the price started to move higher, eventually breaking through the resistance of the range and forming a clear uptrend supported by a well-defined trend line. After climbing steadily, the price reached the 3160 support level, which turned into a retest zone later on. A strong impulse followed, pushing Gold above the trend line and into a new higher range. The bullish momentum continued, bringing the price above the 3180 - 3160 zone, and establishing a new local high. Currently, XAUUSD is trading near 3327 points after forming a local peak. It’s showing early signs of a pullback from the top, and the structure suggests a potential correction. I expect the price to decline toward the trend line and reach the 3265 points, which coincides with the trend line. That's why it's my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD Bull Market Price Target is 7 500 USD accumulate on dips🏆 Gold Market Long-Term Update 12/24 months
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️2weeks/candle price chart
▪️Gold Bull market in progress
▪️1976/1979 650% gains - Bull Market 1
▪️1999/2012 650% gains - Bull Market 2
▪️2016/2027 650% gains- Bull Market 3
▪️Price Target BULLS 7500 USD
▪️650% gains off the lows
▪️will hit in 2026/2027
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️BUY/HOLD accumulate dips
▪️BUY/HOLD physical gold
▪️BUY/HOLD GLD/GDX
XAU/USD... SELL TREND 15M CHART PATTREN.im now selling GOLD at 3220, with a target of 3190.
Here’s the updated trade setup:
Trade Type: Sell
Entry: 3220
Target: 3190
Total Target Range: 30 points
If you're scalping or swing trading, here are a few suggestions:
Stop Loss (SL): Consider placing it around 3230–3235 to limit potential losses.
Risk-Reward Ratio: With a 10–15 point SL and a 30-point TP, your risk-reward is about 1:2 to 1:3 — solid setup.
Trailing Stop: Once the trade moves 10–15 points in your favor, trail your stop to breakeven.
Want help calculating exact profit or setting this up for a specific trading platform (like MetaTrader or TradingView)?
Hanzo | Gold 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Gold – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
———————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 3343
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 3314
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
🩸 15M Time Frame Analysis
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab
—
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3240
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3185
Strong Rejection from 3100 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3240 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3200 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥Key Level / Equal Area
—
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 3195
Key Level / Equal High Formation - 3245
X6 Retest Valid Key level - 3239
X6 Retest Valid Key level - 3212
🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe.
Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
DeGRAM | GOLD Growth in the Channel📊 Technical Analysis
- Uptrending channel
XAU/USD steadily climbs within a clear ascending channel, rebounding from support towards resistance.
- Key resistance
Main barrier at $3225; a breakout here confirms bullish momentum.
- Predictive scenario
Breaking $3225 opens doors for further upward movement.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Trump's imposition of trade duties, has caused geopolitical instability, which has contributed to further demand for GOLD.
✨ Summary
Positive technical setup combined with supportive fundamentals. Break above $3225 signals continued bullish momentum!
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GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2772.38 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2772.38 is broken.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 3167.60 on 04/03/2025, so more losses to support(s) 3000.00, 2955.00, 2879.11 and minimum to Major Support (2772.38) is expected.
Take Profits:
2833.00
2879.11
2955.00
3000.00
3057.40
3100.00
3167.60
3200.00
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Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
GOLD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,327.25 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,299.56.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold Intraday Buy Setup from Key Support Zone| Targeting 3333 48This 15-minute chart for XAUUSD shows price reacting from a support zone after a bearish structure break. The market formed a bullish candle at support, hinting at a potential reversal.
Key levels:
- Key Point: 3333 – a crucial resistance to break for bullish continuation.
- 1st Target: 3333 – aligning with the key point, a breakout here would confirm buyer strength.
- 2nd Target: 3348 – next major resistance level.
- All Time High zone is above this level, signaling a potential longer-term bullish push if broken.
The current price action suggests buyers may step in from this support, aiming first for 3333 and then possibly extending to 3348.
Based on the chart setup and price structure:
🟢 Buy Setup (From Support Zone):
- Entry: Around 3318–3315 (current price area)
- Stop Loss (SL): 3305 (just below the support zone to allow some buffer)
- Take Profits (TPs):
- TP1: 3333 (near key point resistance — secure partials here)
- TP2: 3348 (major resistance zone — potential full target)
---
🔐 Risk Management Suggestion:
- Risk-to-reward ratio: ~1:1 for TP1, ~2:1 for TP2
- Once TP1 is hit, consider moving SL to entry to secure the trade.
Markets revolve around US-China, GOLD seeks new peaksAs Powell's warnings about the impact of the trade war increased market volatility, US stocks and the US dollar fell sharply and gold prices hit new highs.
Powell warned that the central bank may have less flexibility to quickly mitigate the economic impact of President Donald Trump's trade war, comments that sent stocks lower on Wednesday. Powell reiterated that the Fed is in no rush to cut interest rates and that it would be "better to wait until the situation becomes clearer before considering any adjustments to the policy stance." He also acknowledged that the Fed could face a difficult situation where its two policy goals of price stability and maximum employment conflict, as Trump's tariffs could push up U.S. inflation and slow economic growth.
OANDA:XAUUSD have risen nearly $700/ounce, or nearly 28%, this year, driven by tariff disputes, expectations of interest rate cuts and strong central bank buying, outpacing the 27% gain in 2024.
Gold prices have continued to rise as the escalating trade war raises concerns of a global recession. At the same time, the Trump administration is preparing to pressure other countries to limit trade with China in response to US tariffs in US-China trade talks.
U.S. President Donald Trump on Tuesday ordered an investigation into possible tariffs on all critical minerals imported into the United States, marking a new escalation in his dispute with global trading partners and an effort to pressure China. The latest escalation in tensions between the world’s two largest economies has hurt sentiment in financial markets overall, sending investors fleeing to safe-haven assets like gold.
However, a profit-taking or positive developments in US-China trade relations could trigger a sell-off. Therefore, readers/traders need to closely monitor developments surrounding the trade war to make timely changes in their trading plans to suit the market context.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold continues to find and renew all-time highs with an absolutely supported uptrend in both the short, medium and long term. In the long term, the price channel will be set as the main trend with the main support from EMA21, while in the short term, gold is still in an uptrend with support from the 0.382% Fibonacci extension levels and the raw price point of 3,300USD right after.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is entering the overbought zone, a downward RSI below 80 would be considered a signal for a possible correction. Going forward, the trend and outlook for gold prices remain bullish, and declines should only be considered short-term corrections.
But this note will be important, in a market where assets (Gold) are overbought, making them a bubble, any correction will cause serious selling sentiment. As in the current context, we cannot know when the US-China war will cool down, and any positive move around this war will cause selling sentiment in the gold market, which is considered a traditional safe haven asset.
During the day, the bullish outlook for gold prices will be listed again by the following positions.
Support: 3,303 – 3,300 USD
Resistance: 3,337 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3396 - 3394⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3400
→Take Profit 1 3388
↨
→Take Profit 2 3382
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3309 - 3311⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3305
→Take Profit 1 3317
↨
→Take Profit 2 3323
GOLD (XAU/USD) at ATH – Two Key Scenarios to WatchGold has reached ATH, and we're currently testing a critical resistance zone. Look at my previous published post, perfectly played out and we're just getting started.
📈 Scenario 1: If the 1H candle body breaks above resistance with a confirmed close, we’re likely to see a push toward the $3,300 level before a potential pullback toward $3100
📉 Scenario 2: If we fail to break resistance, a pullback toward the $3,100 zone is expected before a bounce back to $3,350.
Wait for a retest confirmation on the 1H candle body closure before taking any position.
Updates will be published!
XAUUSD: Gold is making new highs!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. A downward correction of gold towards the demand ranges will provide us with the next buying opportunity with a good risk-reward ratio. We expect a fluctuation of $10-15 in each range.
• Revised Year-End Outlook: The bank attributes the bullish outlook to increased central bank purchases, inflows into gold ETFs, and continued geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty.
• Risk Scenario: Should the Fed shift course due to concerns over U.S. debt or weakening confidence in the dollar as a reserve currency, gold could climb to $4,500 per ounce.
One of the major forces behind this rally has been the weakening U.S. dollar under the Trump administration. Market participants are voicing three primary concerns fueling this sentiment: subpar U.S. economic growth, elevated inflation, and declining productivity. These fears stem from several core issues:
1. Tariffs: While intended to support domestic industry, tariffs are increasingly viewed as disruptive, raising fears of inflationary shocks and fragile supply chains—lessons painfully learned during the COVID era.
2. Economic Growth: Trump’s original growth agenda, centered on tax cuts and deregulation, has been overshadowed by other political developments. Many economists are uneasy about a government that seems willing to defy conventional economic principles—raising fears of repeating the failures of protectionist policies.
3. Budget Deficits: The U.S. is running a staggering 7% budget deficit relative to GDP despite low unemployment (~4%). This raises questions about how Trump’s proposed policies would be funded.
4. Erosion of International Norms: The U.S. dollar’s dominance relies on institutions like NATO, the WTO, and the United Nations, as well as global faith in the rule of law. These foundations are reportedly weakening. There are also emerging concerns from places like Beijing, pointing to American vulnerabilities—especially around intellectual property. In a world where IP rights are no longer respected, what value do American corporations really have?
5. Immigration: It remains unclear how much of Trump’s crackdown on illegal immigration is substantive versus symbolic. What is clear, however, is that undocumented migrants have played a crucial role in suppressing inflation in key sectors like agriculture and hospitality. Without a clear plan to replace this workforce, cost pressures could intensify.