XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold entered a corrective phase after reaching the top of its ascending channel. Price is now approaching the channel bottom, which coincides with a key support zone.
As long as the channel support holds, we expect a bullish reaction from this area, potentially driving price back toward the next target level.
The uptrend remains valid as long as price does not break and close below the lower boundary of the channel.
A rebound from channel support may signal the start of the next upward leg.
Invalidation occurs only if price breaks and holds below the channel.
💡 Will gold bounce from channel support and resume its rally? Share your view in the comments! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
XAUUSDG trade ideas
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – “Fed Week: Only the Real Zones”Hello, gold traders!
FOMC week is here, the dollar’s flexing, and gold is stuck under a fortress of supply. No fantasy, no overlaps, just your real, actionable H4 map—zones spaced, logic tight, and all fluff deleted.
⬜Bias:
Neutral to bearish while price is capped under 3,355 and the EMA cluster.
Only flip bullish if price closes and holds above 3,375 with strong confirmation after news.
Current Price: 3,336.81
Summary for your audience:
Neutral–bearish: All the EMAs (21/50/100/200) are overhead, and the primary supply and decision zones are blocking any upside.
No reason to flip bullish unless gold breaks out and holds above both the decision zone and the full supply ceiling after major news.
All bounces into supply are likely to get faded, unless the structure changes dramatically post-FOMC.
🟥 ULTRA SUPPLY ZONE: 3,390 – 3,405
127–161.8% Fib extension—liquidity grab and stop-hunt target for news-driven spikes
Only short if you see a monster upper wick and hard rejection
🟥 PRIMARY SUPPLY: 3,365 – 3,375
All EMAs (21/50/100/200) are stacked overhead; unfilled FVG at 3,370–3,375
Short on a clear rally rejection or bearish engulfing candle—this is where most breakouts get trapped
🔶 DECISION ZONE: 3,340 – 3,355
EMA100/200 straddle this level; small FVG at 3,350–3,352
Market “decides” here—fade unless price closes decisively above 3,355
🔵 EQUILIBRIUM SHELF: 3,320 – 3,335
50% Fib at 3,327; filled FVG at 3,325–3,330; SMA50 just below
Bounce/fake-break zone—wait for a clean H4 reversal, not a guess
🟢 FIRST DEMAND BASE: 3,290 – 3,310
H4 Order Block, hidden FVG (3,300–3,305), Fib 38.2% around 3,295
Longs only with strong pin-bar/engulf and quick EMA50 reclaim
🔵 DEEP PULLBACK BAY: 3,250 – 3,280
Weekly EMA21 and 61.8% Fib (~3,260), strong volume
Only consider a long on a panic flush and a powerful reversal wick
⚡️ MACRO CONTEXT
USD: On fire into ADP and FOMC; gold moves will be explosive, not logical
Events:
Tue: ADP
Wed: FOMC + Powell
Thu: Core PCE
Fri: NFP, ISM
Bias: Neutral-bearish under 3,355; only bullish if we close and hold above 3,375
EMAs: Clustered tightly overhead—bulls get no respect until this ceiling is crushed
🎯 TRADE LOGIC
Shorts:
3,390–3,405 (big wicks and clear rejection only)
3,365–3,375 (news spike or failed breakout with bearish candle)
Longs:
3,340–3,355 (only on a confirmed close above)
3,320–3,335 (strong reversal only—don’t front run)
3,290–3,310 (classic H4 pin-bar/engulf + EMA50 reclaim)
3,250–3,280 (deep panic flush and major reversal only)
NO TRADE: In the gaps—let the gamblers get chewed up, not you.
💬 Which zone will you snipe? Drop a comment and show you’re here for structure, not noise!
👍 Like & Follow for high-value, real-time sniper maps every day.
Disclosure: Chart via Trade Nation’s TradingView feed. Influencer Program participant.
GoldFxMinds 💛
Gold is Falling Sharply – Will It Keep Falling?Hello dear traders, what’s your view on XAUUSD?
Yesterday, XAUUSD continued its strong downtrend and is now trading around 3,296 USD.
The recent drop in gold is largely due to the strengthening U.S. dollar, following the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates steady as expected — despite sharp criticism from President Donald Trump.
Technically speaking, after breaking below the rising trendline, gold failed to retest successfully and plunged further, confirming that the bearish trend is now in control. Price is currently moving below key moving averages, and the structure has clearly formed a sequence of lower highs and lower lows — reinforcing the likelihood of continued downside.
If a pullback occurs before the next leg down, the Fibonacci 0.5 and 0.618 retracement zone — which aligns with the EMA 34 and 89 and a major resistance level — will be a key area to watch. This could present a prime opportunity for breakout and trend-following traders.
Looking ahead, the next key support sits near 3,220 USD. If this level breaks, gold may head toward the 3,162 USD zone.
What do you think? Will gold keep falling, or will buyers step in? Drop a comment and hit follow to catch the next big move!
Gold next prediction Aug 4 onwardsAs you can see in this chart gold was moving in a downtrend channel and after a big breakout in Non-Farm Gold moves to 3362 so now it will make a new Bullish channel in which first hurdle will be 3374-3380 and then can retrace till 3H and 4H chock point and then can continue to bullish side overall move can be done upto 3452-3460 which is last resistance of the market as my analysis this can be plan A.I will update about Plan B in my next analysis.
"XAU/USD Gold Heist Plan | Pullback Entry for Big Bullish Move"🔐💰“GOLD HEIST PLAN UNLOCKED: Thief Trader’s XAU/USD Breakout Blueprint”💰🔐
by The Market Robber a.k.a. Thief Trader – Stealing Pips, One Candle at a Time!
🌍 Hey Money Makers, Market Hustlers, Robbers, & Chart Crackers! 🌍
Bonjour! Hola! Marhaba! Hallo! Ola! What's poppin'?
Welcome to another exclusive robbery plan crafted in pure Thief Trading style—built off technicals, fundamentals, market psychology, and a bit of outlaw intuition. 💸⚔️
This one’s for the GOLD DIGGERS – literally. We’re targeting XAU/USD for a high-voltage bullish heist 🎯💥. Stick to the plan, follow the chart, and you might just make it out with a sack full of pips 💰🔥.
🔓 THE SETUP: GET READY TO ROB THE GOLD MARKET
We're eyeing a LONG ENTRY, with clear intent to break past the consolidation zone and avoid the trap laid by the "market police" at the ATR barricade zone 🚨. This level is where overbought drama and bear claws are strongest – we slip in, grab the profits, and bounce before they know what hit ‘em.
🧠 Use caution: This level is filled with liquidity traps, reversals, fakeouts and retail bait zones. Classic Thief style means we know where the guards are sleeping and where the cameras don't reach. 🎥🔕
💸 ENTRY PLAN:
🟢 Entry Zone: Watch for a pullback to 3320.00 or above. Don’t jump early.
💡 Tactics:
Use Buy Limit Orders (DCA / Layered Entry Style)
Drop them in on 15min/30min swing levels – catch price slipping into liquidity
Confirm with minor structure breaks / order block retests
🔔 Set those alerts – the real move happens when the breakout candle hits.
🛑 STOP LOSS STRATEGY:
🧠 Pro Rule: No stop-loss before breakout.
Once breakout confirms:
🔴 SL Zone: Recent swing low (approx. 3280.00) on the 4H chart
🎯 Adjust SL based on:
Lot size
Order count
Risk appetite
You know the game: manage your risk like a pro thief—quiet, calculated, and fast on the getaway. 💨
🎯 TARGET ZONE:
🏁 TP Zone: 3490.00
⚠️ Escape earlier if the pressure gets heavy – smart thieves never overstay the job.
🧲 SCALP MODE:
Only scalp LONG SIDE – don’t get caught chasing shorts unless you're rich enough to burn your drawdown 🔥
🔐 Use trailing SL to secure bags while climbing the ladder.
🧠 FUNDAMENTALS & MACRO EDGE:
The Gold market is currently in a BEAR structure with hints of bullish reversal potential. This heist isn’t just technical – it’s backed by:
🌍 Global Macro Flows
💼 COT Reports
📰 Sentiment & News Risk
💣 Geo-political Heat
📊 Intermarket Analysis (Dollar, Yields, Risk-On/Off correlations)
Dig deep for the full macro breakdown. Knowledge is leverage.
(Find full reports on reputable sources — you know where to look 👀)
🚨 RISK ALERT:
Before, During & After News Releases:
Avoid fresh entries 🔕
Use Trailing SLs to protect live trades
Watch spread spikes & low-liquidity traps
👉 Don't trade when the market's drunk.
💖 SHOW LOVE – BOOST THE PLAN:
💥Smash that Boost Button💥 if you want more precision heist strategies like this. Support the Thief Trading Style, and we’ll keep robbing the markets clean and teaching the crew how to get in & get out profit-heavy. 🏴☠️📈💰
🎭 I’ll be back with another chart crime scene soon. Until then, stay sneaky, stay profitable, and always move like the market’s watching (because it is). 😎
🔐 Thief Trader Out. Rob. Exit. Repeat. 🔁💸
XAU/USD GOLD NFP DIRECTIONThis chart analysis is for XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe. The focus is on a bearish market structure, highlighting potential Price of Interest (POI) zones for a short (sell) setup.
Key Elements:
Market Structure: Clear downtrend with lower highs and lower lows.
POIs Identified:
Optional POI: An initial supply zone where price might react.
Extreme POI: A more significant supply zone marked for a stronger potential reversal.
Labels & Notes:
The price levels are marked between 3,320 – 3,340, showing where the reversal is expected.
Interpretation:
The chart anticipates a retracement upward into the POIs before continuing the bearish move. Traders may look to enter short positions around these zones, especially the Extreme POI, which is seen as a high-probability reversal area.
XAUUSD: Bearish Continuation in Play Toward 3,250Gold closed last week with a strong bearish weekly candle, rejecting from the 3,440 supply zone and closing below the key Fair Value Gap at 3,360. This confirms downside pressure, especially in the context of a strengthening dollar.
For this week, we may see a bullish opening early in the week toward 3,370, followed by a deeper bearish move targeting the major low and liquidity pool at 3,250.
Bias: Bearish
Key Zones:
• Resistance / Retest: 3,370
• Target: 3,250
• Supply Rejection: 3,440
Momentum favors further downside unless bulls reclaim key levels.
NF news, can gold selling pressure drop to 3240?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading lower, around $3,285 in early Asian hours on Friday, as a firmer U.S. dollar weighs on the non-yielding metal following new tariff measures announced by President Donald Trump.
The White House said late Thursday that Trump will set a 10% baseline tariff, stepping back from earlier speculation about hikes to 15% or higher, according to Bloomberg. He also signed an executive order raising the tariff on Canada from 25% to 35%, effective August 1, 2025, while extending Mexico’s current tariff rates for another 90 days to allow more time for negotiations.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
large frame, gold price is still moving in the downtrend line. will wait for NF result to have strong selling force again 3240
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3374- 3376 SL 3381
TP1: $3365
TP2: $3350
TP3: $3333
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3242-$3240 SL $3235
TP1: $3255
TP2: $3268
TP3: $3280
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD recovers after many days of declineOANDA:XAUUSD has recovered after several days of declines. Investors will focus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Wednesday, which is expected to cause significant market volatility.
Gold hit a three-week low of $3,301 an ounce on Monday, before recovering somewhat on Tuesday after falling for a fourth straight day as the dollar erased some of its earlier gains, boosting demand for the precious metal.
Falling US Treasury yields and a weak US jobs report also prompted investors to buy gold.
Data released by the U.S. Labor Department on Tuesday showed the number of jobs added fell in June after two straight months of gains.
The number of jobs added in June fell to 7.44 million from a revised 7.71 million in May. The median forecast of economists in a survey was 7.5 million.
Focus on the Federal Reserve's decision
The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision at 01:00 IST on Thursday; Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a press conference on monetary policy at 01:30 IST on the same day.
The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged, with the focus on whether Fed Chairman Powell's speech will provide any clues about the timing or pace of future rate cuts.
The market sees a very low chance of a rate cut in July and a roughly 40% chance of another rate cut in September, up from about 10% last month, according to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's FedWatch tool. Investors will be closely watching the statement and Fed Chairman Powell's remarks at his post-meeting press conference for fresh clues on the timing of the next rate cut.
- If Powell opens the door to a rate cut in September, citing the recent trade deal as a reason to ease uncertainty, US Treasury yields could fall immediately, paving the way for gold prices to rise.
- On the other hand, if Powell avoids committing to a rate cut at this meeting, citing recent rising inflation data, gold prices could fall.
Gold typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments because it does not pay interest and its appeal increases when returns from other assets decline.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has recovered from the key $3,300 price point and is holding above $3,310, which is also the nearest support. However, the current recovery is not technically enough to create a short-term uptrend, or conditions for a sustained price increase. In terms of position, gold is under pressure with the 21-day EMA as the nearest resistance at around $3,340 – $3,350. If gold falls below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, it will be eligible to open a new downtrend with a target of around $3,246 in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.
On the other hand, RSI is below 50, and the current 50 level acts as momentum resistance in the short term. If RSI slopes down, it will signal bearish momentum with more downside ahead. For gold to qualify for bullish expectations, it needs to at least push price action above EMA21, then retrace back to the price channels and finally break above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level to confirm bullish conditions. The upside target could be towards $3,400 in the short term, more like $3,430 – $3,450.
For the day, the technical outlook for gold prices tends to lean more towards the downside, with the following notable points listed.
Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,340 – 3,350 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3376 - 3374⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3380
→Take Profit 1 3368
↨
→Take Profit 2 3362
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3280 - 3282⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3276
→Take Profit 1 3288
↨
→Take Profit 2 3294
GOLD: $4000 on the way! Bulls has the controlGold is on the way hitting a record high since the global tension rising we can see gold creating another record high. Please note that it is a swing trades and may take weeks and months to hit the target or it may not even reach the target itself. This is prediction only so do your own due diligence.
Gold 3H Bullish Reversal SetupGold (XAU/USD) 3H Chart Setup:
Price has bounced from a key support zone around 3315, triggering a potential bullish reversal. The target is set near 3360, with a stop loss below the support zone. The projected price path shows possible consolidation before an upward breakout.
XAUUSDXAUUSD trend If the price can still stand above 3249, it is expected that there is a chance that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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The rebound is weak, short orders intervene#XAUUSD
After two consecutive trading days of volatility, gold finally began to fall under pressure near 3335. After breaking through the 3300 mark, the price of gold accelerated its decline, reaching a low of around 3268, and yesterday's daily line closed with a large negative line. 📊
Today's rebound is more likely to be based on the buffering performance of the impact of news. The ATR data also shows that the bullish momentum is slowly weakening in the short term. 🐻After digesting the impact of yesterday's news through rebound during the day, it may fall again in the future.📉
📎The primary focus today is 3305 above, which was also the high point of yesterday's pullback correction. If the gold price rebounds to 3305-3320 and encounters resistance and pressure,📉 you can consider shorting and look towards 3290-3270.🎯
If the short-term gold rebound momentum is strong and breaks through the 3305-3320 resistance area, it will be necessary to stop loss in time. Gold may be expected to touch yesterday's high resistance of 3330-3335, which is the second point to consider shorting during the day.💡
🚀 SELL 3305-3320
🚀 TP 3290-3270
GOLD Cracks 3- Touch Trendline - is $3200 Next Stop?🔻 XAU/USD Trendline Breakdown – Bearish Shift Incoming? (1D Analysis)
📉 Chart Breakdown:
• Timeframe: 1D (Daily)
• Pair: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD)
• Exchange: OANDA
📌 Key Technical Elements:
• A clear ascending trendline has been tested three times (1st, 2nd, and 3rd Touch), forming a reliable support zone.
• Price action has recently broken below the trendline, indicating potential trend reversal or a deeper correction.
• A strong bearish engulfing candle and the blue arrow on your chart suggest a move lower is anticipated.
• Volume during the breakdown is notably increasing, further validating the bearish sentiment.
📊 What This Means:
• The trendline break signals weakening bullish momentum.
• If price sustains below the trendline, we may see deeper pullbacks toward the $3,200 or even $3,100 zone.
• A possible retest of the trendline from below could act as confirmation for bears.
📈 Bias: Bearish below trendline
🎯 Short-Term Targets:
• Target 1: $3,250
• Target 2: $3,200
• Target 3: $3,100
🔄 If price reclaims the trendline and sustains above, this setup may become invalid.
XAUUSD Expecting Selling Movement After retesting the zone, sellers stepped in again confirming Rejection Selling
Price is now breaking out of the pattern to the downside, signaling potential continuation
Targets
First Target: 3300
Second Target 3275
As long as price stays below the rejection zone, bearish momentum remains valid. Watch for volume confirmation and follow price structure closely
GOLD TRADING PLAN – Triangle Squeeze, All Eyes on NFP【XAU/USD】GOLD TRADING PLAN – Triangle Squeeze, All Eyes on NFP
Gold continues to trade within a large symmetrical triangle, tightening toward the end of its range. However, current candle structure shows clear bullish momentum, indicating the potential for a strong upside breakout.
🔍 Today’s Key Focus: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
Market expectations are pointing to weaker-than-expected US economic data, which could trigger strong FOMO-buying for gold if confirmed. A poor NFP report would likely weaken the USD, supporting bullish continuation.
🔑 Strategy and Key Technical Levels:
Watch for a confirmed breakout above the descending trendline to trigger Wave 3 of the bullish structure.
CP ZONE + OBS BUY ZONE triggered yesterday already yielded 160+ pips profit.
Strategy: Prefer buy-the-dip entries. SELL setups only valid on strong resistance rejection. Avoid counter-trend trades near breakout zones.
🟩 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3276 – 3274
Stop Loss: 3270
Take Profits:
3280, 3284, 3290, 3294, 3300, 3305, 3310, 3320, 3330, 3340, 3350
🟥 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3339 – 3341
Stop Loss: 3345
Take Profits:
3335, 3330, 3325, 3320, 3315, 3310, 3305
GOLD (XAUUSD): Very Bullish SetupGold experienced strong bullish momentum on Friday, breaking above a minor daily resistance with a confirmed Change of Character (CHoCH), suggesting a potential continuation of bullish trend.
Retesting the broken structure, the price formed a rising triangle on an hourly timeframe, with a breakout of its neckline serving as a strong intraday bullish signal.
I anticipate that the bullish trend will persist, targeting 3400.
GOLD Breakdown Setup | Clean Sell Targets Ahead!XAU/USD (Gold) Analysis – 2H Timeframe
After a clear rejection from higher levels, Gold has pulled back to retest the broken support zone around 3340–3350, which now acts as a resistance.
If the price sustains below this zone, we can expect a smooth move down toward clean liquidity areas below.
This is a textbook bearish continuation setup. 💥
🔻 Trade Idea – Short Setup:
• Sell Below: 3,340
• Target 1: 3,300
• Target 2: 3,280
• Stop Loss: 3,355 (above resistance zone)
🧠 Confluences:
• Bearish market structure
• Support zone retest
• Trend continuation
• High-impact USD news ahead (watch for volatility)
📅 Key Dates: July 30 – Aug 1
⚡ NY session could trigger the move!
XAUUSD – Bullish Reversal or Just a Deep Correction?Last week was a wild one for Gold.
After a quiet start and some choppy price action, the market dropped hard on Wednesday, breaking not only the 3300 key level but also the 3280 horizontal support — and what followed was anything but calm.
As expected after a strong move, the price pulled back to retest the broken support.
But Friday changed everything.
Instead of continuing down, Gold reversed sharply, fueled by weaker-than-expected NFP data. Price surged 800 pips from low to high, breaking above both the 3310 resistance zone and the weekly high around 3335.
________________________________________
🧭 Key Question:
Are we back in the bullish trend, or is this just a strong correction of the 3440 → 3270 drop?
Since May, Gold has lacked a clear trend — so a step-by-step trading approach is the most advisable to adopt.
________________________________________
🔍 Outlook:
Given the strength of the reversal and the break above two important resistance levels, my bias is bullish.
• 📌 Support: 3335 — a pullback into this zone could offer a buy opportunity in line with the recent momentum.
• 📌 Resistance: 3375 is the next key level to watch.
• ❌ Invalidation: A drop below 3310 would cancel the current bullish scenario.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Gold’s recent move challenges both bulls and bears.
Yes, the bounce was strong. Yes, key resistance levels broke.
But with no clear trend since May, chasing long term direction can be risky.
That’s why a step-by-step approach is the most advisable to adopt — let the market confirm each move before committing to the next.
For now, the breakout above 3310 and 3335 leans the bias to the upside.
However, staying reactive — not being stuck with an idea — is the smartest approach.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.