Gold within known rangeTechnical analysis: Descending Channel on Hourly 4 chart was discontinued as there was an attempt on the same chart to develop Ascending Channel and extend the Intra-day’s relief rally above #3,402.80 benchmark. My action plan remains intact as I will continue operating with Scalp Sell and Buying orders as long as #3,362.80 - #3,402.80 zone holds (so far it hasn't been crossed again to the upside or downside) and reversal towards #3,417.80 Resistance in extension if #3,402.80 benchmark gets invalidated. Consider the Lower High’s Upper zone test on the Daily chart’s scale, while Hourly 4 chart turned Bearish on my key indicators sessions ago. As expected, yesterday's session Daily candle closed below the #3,395.80 Resistance, widely above both of the Daily chart’s MA’s, turning flat for the session (isolated within Neutral rectangle however). That is a strong indication that the market is attempting to Price the Bottom here (temporary or not), which just so happens to be a Lower High's Lower zone within Daily chart’s Ascending Channel. It is no surprise that today's Hourly 4 chart’s candle is attempting to engage Bearish sequence so far and since its on Bearish Technicals (invalidated Ascending Channel), I consider it the most optimal re-Buy entry for a Short-term recovery back towards #3,288.80 - #3,392.80 Resistance belt or above (representing last week’s High’s).
My position: Even though I mentioned remaining on sidelines, I used #3,388.80 - #3,392.80 as an excellent re-Buy zone and closed my set of Scalping orders within #3,393.80 - #3,398.80 and remained off for the session. It is indeed clash of Bearish Technicals and War news (Fundamentally Bullish) as I will keep my Trading activity to minimum, protecting my capital for now.
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Golden opportunity comes again!Gold fluctuated all day yesterday, and finally did not break the range we gave. Today we continue to focus on the strong support range of 3365-3360, because this position is also the important key support we gave yesterday. Today we continue to look for opportunities to go long when we step back. As long as the strong support position below is not broken, there will be hope for the bulls to make a comeback.
From the current analysis of gold trends, gold continues to focus on the short-term support near 3375-3370 below, and the important support is around 3365-3360. The short-term focus is on the short-term suppression near 3400-3415 above. The operation is temporarily based on the range. There is a high probability that the short-term fluctuations will continue. Wait patiently for the key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold steps back to 3375-3370, and cover long positions when it steps back to 3365-3360. The target is around 3380-3390-3400.
If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – CHoCH Confirmed & Discount Pullback in Motio👋 Hey traders!
Here’s your fresh H4 XAUUSD Outlook for June 9, 2025 — real-time structure, sniper zones, and bias clarity, right where price is sitting. Let’s dive in 👇
📍 Bias: Bearish short-term → clean CHoCH & liquidity sweep, targeting discount retracement
🔹 1. 🔍 H4 Structure Summary
CHoCH (Lower) confirmed after recent LH at 3384.
Price failed to reclaim supply → now trading back below the 3350 level.
Multiple internal CHoCHs + bearish OB at 3368 showing clear short-term rejection.
Market is shifting from a bullish continuation into a retracement leg.
🔹 2. 🧭 Key H4 Structure Zones
Zone Type Price Range Structure Notes
🔼 Supply Zone (Flip Trap) 3360 – 3384 Clean CHoCH, FVG, + OB rejection area — major sell trigger
🔽 Mid-Demand Range 3272 – 3252 Retest OB + FVG cluster, ideal reaction zone for possible bounce
🔽 Deep Discount Zone 3174 – 3145 Last major accumulation + bullish origin block
🔹 3. 📐 Price Action Flow
Previous HH → LH → CHoCH confirms internal structure break.
Liquidity swept above LH at 3384, trapping late bulls.
Now targeting equilibrium zone around 3260–3280 as next H4 liquidity base.
🔹 4. 📊 EMA Alignment (5/21/50/100/200)
EMA5 and EMA21 are starting to cross down.
Price has lost momentum above EMA50 → retracement expected into EMA100/200 territory (sub-3280).
Full bullish EMA stack remains — but this is a controlled correction inside trend.
🔹 5. 🧠 RSI + Momentum View
RSI has dropped below 50 → bearish control short-term.
Momentum flow fading after multiple rejection wicks from premium zones.
📌 Scenarios
🔽 Retracement Flow in Progress
Price likely heading to 3272–3252 demand block for reaction
If this zone fails → we open door to 3174–3145 clean swing zone
🔼 Invalidation
Bullish pressure only regains control on break + hold above 3384
Until then: favor selling the supply + letting price reach discount
✅ GoldFxMinds Final Note
We’ve officially shifted into retracement mode on H4. The game now is to either:
Sell retests into supply, or
Wait for clean confirmations at demand for new longs
Let price come to your zone. No emotion — just structure.
💬 Drop your chart view below or ask if you’re unsure where to position next.
Locked in for next move,
— GoldFxMinds 💡
Expect gold to break 3400 for 3430 post-FedIn recent years, after the U.S. economy was hit by a round of high inflation, inflation data has gradually shown signs of easing 📉. Logically, the weakening inflation pressure should have paved the way for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates, but surprisingly, the Fed has chosen to remain on the sidelines and maintain its high-interest-rate policy ⚖️. The Fed's decision to keep rates high has had a significant impact on gold prices and the U.S. dollar 💱. First, high interest rates typically push up the U.S. dollar exchange rate, thereby dampening gold demand 💰↓.
Gold's price movement this week deviated from market news or expectations 📉≠📢. Driven by geopolitical conflicts, gold rallied on Friday 📈, and the momentum continued to simmer over the weekend, leading to a gap-up opening on Monday followed by a steady decline 📉. On the hourly timeframe, the low points are gradually shifting downward, with 3,400 becoming a short-term resistance level 📊. Although gold fell from 3,452, it is clearly oscillating around 3,380 🔄
I think the Fed's interest rate decision this time may cause gold to directly break through 3400 and reach around 3430 🌟📈
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3380 - 3385
🚀 TP 3400 - 3430
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
GOLD/USD Bullish Breakout PotentialGOLD/USD Bullish Breakout Potential 🚀📈
🔍 Chart Analysis (June 15, 2025):
The GOLD/USD price action shows strong bullish momentum after a successful breakout above the previous resistance zone (now turned support) around $3,400. This level had previously acted as a key resistance multiple times (evidenced by the price rejection in early June), but has now been flipped into a support zone. The chart highlights two major elements:
📌 Key Highlights:
✅ Support Zone:
The $3,390–$3,410 range is now a confirmed support area after price broke above and retested it. This zone was previously tested multiple times (marked by arrows) and is expected to act as a launchpad for further upside.
🎯 Target Point:
The projected bullish target lies in the $3,610–$3,640 range. This level has been highlighted as a potential area where price might face resistance again.
📈 Bullish Projection:
A bullish continuation is expected if the price remains above the $3,400 level. The chart suggests a possible pullback to support before continuation towards the target zone.
⚠️ Technical Outlook:
As long as price holds above support, the bias remains bullish.
A drop below $3,390 would invalidate this bullish scenario and call for reassessment.
Conservative entry may wait for a confirmed bounce from support.
🔮 Summary:
Bullish bias is active for GOLD/USD with a short-term target around $3,620. Watch the $3,400 support closely for confirmation of the upward momentum.
Gold Supported by Central Bank Demand Despite Global UncertaintyGold Prices Likely Supported by Central Bank Demand
Gold prices are expected to find continued support from strong central bank buying. Since the start of the Ukraine war, average annual central bank gold purchases have doubled from 500 to 1,000 tons.
The primary drivers remain gold’s role as a crisis hedge, portfolio diversifier, and store of value.
While de-dollarization is not an explicit motivation, many central banks anticipate a gradual decline in the U.S. dollar’s share of global reserves.
Technical Outlook:
Gold remains in bullish territory as long as it trades above 3365. This supports a move toward 3403, and if the price stabilizes above that level, the uptrend may extend toward 3430 and 3448.
A break below 3364 would invalidate the bullish structure and shift momentum downward, with potential targets at 3347 and 3322.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 3403 / 3430 / 3448
• Support: 3365 / 3347 / 3322
XAUUSD:[GOLD]: First Drop And Then Reverse! Comment Your Views! Gold touched $3350 but was rejected at that level, dropping around 3288. The price shows some minor support at this region, which we’re currently monitoring. If it breaks through, it could touch our buying zone, reversing the trend. You can set three targets based on your own analysis and bias. Please use accurate risk management while trading.
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can assist us:
- Like our ideas
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- Share our ideas
Team Setupsfx_🚀❤️
Gold price falls back and continues to go longFrom the 4-hour market analysis, the support below is around 3408-10, and the short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3388-93 level. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. Short positions against the trend need to be cautious. There is a high probability that the short-term will continue to rush up to test the previous high.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold falls back to 3408-10 and goes long. Fall back to 3388-95 and add more positions. Stop loss 3384, target 3445-3450, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Current Gold Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsOn Tuesday, gold dipped to around $3,374 in the early trading session, then rebounded to the intraday high. In the U.S. trading session, it is currently quoted at about $3,388, approaching the psychological level of $3,400. From the 4-hour chart of gold, the current upward momentum remains intact. The support below is focused on around $3,350, and the strong support is highlighted in the $3,350-$3,330 area, which is also the position of the 5-week moving average. Only by breaking the $3,350 area is there hope to reverse the trend and fall completely. If it does not break here, the bulls may still repeat.
Regarding the current trend, gold tends to continue to test the bottom and then rebound, maintaining a large range of sweeping. In terms of operation, it is recommended to go long when gold rebounds to the vicinity of 3370-3360, with the target looking at the 3490-3400 range. The short strategy is to go short near 3400, with the target looking at the 3370-3350 line.
XAUUSD
buy@3370-3360
tp:3390-3400
sell@3395-3400
tp:3370-3350
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Gold falls back to bullish trendAfter gold opened at 3450 this week, it gradually fell to 3365, with a range of 100 US dollars. Although the main force of the two trading days is a decline, the bullish trend remains unchanged. In an uncertain environment, there is still a chance of a big rise in the future. From the 4-hour chart of gold, gold has continuously appeared in the form of a negative line, and the price continues to run below the short-term moving average, and the short-term moving average forms a downward resistance. The adhesion of the 5-day moving average and the 20-day moving average forms a strong pressure, and the MACD indicator also shows a dead cross pattern, suggesting that the bears may continue the downward trend. However, the lower track of the Bollinger Band provides some support, so at the 4-hour level, the bears are dominant and gold may continue to extend downward. The range performance in the 4-hour chart is obvious. On Tuesday, it fell sharply to 3365, which is just the support point of the lower Bollinger track. The performance of weak fluctuations is temporarily below the H4 Bollinger middle track. The range in the short term is 3405-3365. If it breaks 3405 upward, then the 4-hour chart becomes stronger and 3450 can be seen above. This possibility is very high because the market may have performance news at any time. However, if it falls below 3365, there is still a possibility of going to 3350 in the daily cycle. Therefore, there is actually no absolute certainty for gold in this cycle. For the intraday market, it is recommended to accumulate in the short term. In the case of no new lows, the 3370 support is an opportunity to go long. If it does not break 3405 above, it is necessary to break 3405 in the short term to get out of the trend strength.
Gold operation strategy: short gold when it rebounds to around 3395-3393, stop loss at 3403, target at 3370-3364; it is recommended to go long gold when it falls back to around 3370, stop loss at 3360, target at 3390-3400;
GOLD - At CUT n REVERSE Region? Holds or not??#GOLD .. perfect move as per our analysis and now market just at his CUT N REVERSE region, that is around 3367-68 to 3370-71
Keep close that region because that is our ultimate region of the week and month.
Only holdings of that region means you can see again bounce for now otherwise not.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below that region on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Potential Gold LongWith Volatile Markets and constant War Developments
XAU/USD has experienced higher than NORMAL volatility.
Given price can RESPECT this short term trendline, we may have a Target of 3,500 in sight.
2 weeks of Bullish Momentum now followed by a beautiful retracement & Strong Wicks below.
SL - 3,355
TP 1 - 3,440
TP 2 - 3,470
TP 3 - 3,496
XAU/USD: Next Week's Trend Analysis and Trading SuggestionsI. Global Central Banks' Gold Purchases Continue to Support Long-Term Gold Uptrend
For instance, China's central bank has increased gold reserves for 7 consecutive months, India's gold reserve ratio has doubled compared to 2021, and countries like Thailand and Brazil followed suit in May. Central banks' gold buying, driven by reserve structure optimization and geopolitical risk hedging, provides long-term support for gold prices via sustained demand growth.
II. Technicals Show Intense Range Battle at $3,400 Key Level
Gold prices, after breaking through $3,400, are oscillating near $3,430. Short-term bulls dominate, but $3,450 acts as a significant resistance. The $3,400 level has turned into strong support— a breakdown could trigger pullbacks. While moving averages show a bullish alignment, overbought technical signals warrant correction vigilance.
III. Geopolitical Conflicts Escalate Sharply
Israel's precision strikes destroyed Iranian nuclear facilities and decapitated high-ranking officials, prompting Iran's immediate retaliation. With multiple Middle Eastern nations now involved, escalating geopolitical risks strongly underpin the rally in gold and crude oil.
Conclusion
Geopolitical tensions will sustain short-term upward momentum for gold, but investors must monitor Middle East developments and Fed policy shifts. Prudent position management based on risk tolerance is advised, with caution against excessive leverage in volatile markets.
Next Week's XAU/USD Trading Strategy
buy@3410-3420
tp:3440-3450
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Smart Money Zones Revealed (XAUUSD) Is Gold Just Breathing or Breaking? Smart Money Zones Revealed (XAUUSD)
🔍 Macro & Sentiment Overview
Gold faced a sharp correction after a strong Asian session rally, which caught many traders off guard...
While the US Dollar gained 0.7% due to safe-haven flows and Fed anticipation, gold's dip seems more like a liquidity sweep than a structural reversal...
🌍 Rising geopolitical tensions — especially Iran–Israel and Trump’s comments about Tehran — keep the fear premium alive…
🛢️ Meanwhile, oil prices are surging, and institutional funds might be rotating capital between commodities and equities...
📝 All eyes are now on the Fed’s rate decision and the US retail sales report — a potential "horror print" that could shock rate expectations and trigger high volatility across markets.
📉 Technical Breakdown (M30 Perspective)
Price pulled back sharply after an overextended bullish move from Asian FOMO…
EMAs (13, 34, 89, 200) show early signs of potential crossover — signaling caution for buyers…
Liquidity gaps (FVG zones) below current price indicate a magnet for institutional fills…
🎯 Trade Setup
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3345 – 3343
Stop-Loss: 3339
Take Profits:
3350 → 3354 → 3358 → 3362 → 3366 → 3370 → 3380 → 3400 → ???
🧠 Look for confirmation through price action and rejection candles during London/NY sessions before entering.
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3442 – 3444
Stop-Loss: 3448
Take Profits:
3438 → 3434 → 3430 → 3425 → 3420 → 3410 → 3400
⚠️ Only short upon clean rejection and strong bearish confirmation patterns — avoid blind entries in this volatile phase.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Gold is moving within a smart money playbook — triggering stop hunts and liquidity grabs. With macro uncertainty ahead, patience and precision matter more than ever.
Let price come to your zones. Don’t chase. Let volatility serve you — not shake you.
📌 Follow this idea for live updates during the Fed press conference and NY session.
Gold Breaks the Range: Trend Reversal or Just a Fakeout?XAUUSD – Gold Breaks the Range: Trend Reversal or Just a Fakeout?
After several days of sideways action, gold has finally broken out of its consolidation channel — but not upward. The price action signals uncertainty, while underlying global risks suggest a larger move may be brewing. With US markets closed for a bank holiday, low liquidity could lead to sharp, unexpected spikes — traders, stay alert.
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Outlook
📌 As widely expected, the Federal Reserve held rates steady, but Fed Chair Powell maintained a hawkish tone, warning that inflation risks remain due to ongoing geopolitical instability and rising commodity costs.
🔥 The gold market now hinges on two major geopolitical scenarios in the Middle East:
If the US intervenes diplomatically to ease tensions between Iran and Israel, gold may continue to correct further — possibly into the 3,325 – 3,300 range or lower.
However, if reports are accurate that Trump is coordinating with Israel for potential strikes on Iran, gold could spike aggressively as safe-haven demand surges toward 3,417 – 3,440.
📊 Technical Breakdown (M30 – H1)
Price has broken below the range-bound structure, suggesting a potential momentum shift to the downside.
The EMA cluster (13–34–89–200) is sloping downward, confirming bearish short-term pressure.
The 3,345 level has acted as support, but if it gives way, 3,325 becomes a critical liquidity zone where buyers may step in.
✅ Trading Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE 1: 3,325 – 3,328
Entry: Only after a clear bullish reversal (pin bar / bullish engulfing candle)
SL: Below 3,320
TP: 3,345 → 3,360 → 3,373 → 3,384
🟢 BUY ZONE 2: 3,345 – 3,348
Entry: On price retest and bullish confirmation
SL: Below 3,340
TP: 3,360 → 3,373 → 3,384 → 3,403
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,417 – 3,440
Entry: If price rallies into resistance with no supporting fundamentals
SL: Above 3,445
TP: 3,403 → 3,384 → 3,360 → 3,345
💬 Final Thoughts
Gold is at a pivotal point. While today’s break could indicate a new leg down, we’ve seen countless false breakouts during low liquidity sessions. Only trade on confirmation — not emotion. Watch for geopolitical headlines and let price action guide your risk-adjusted decisions.
Stay patient. Stay sharp. Let the market prove itself before you do.
Gold may rise due to CPI and falling dollarMay CPI in the US rose by 2.4% - just below the forecast of 2.5%. This reinforced expectations of a Fed rate cut despite continued pressure from tariffs. The dollar is weakening, gold may gain in this situation
Gold is forming an upward structure. The fundamental background is changing and moving to the side of gold. Before the rise there may be a liquidity grab from below
Price is in consolidation. If trading shifts to the upper half of the current range, then a breakout and continued growth can be considered in this case
XAU/USD Technical Analysis 📊 XAU/USD Technical Analysis (June 18, 2025)
🟢 Current Market Overview
Price: $3,381.19
The market is currently trading within a defined range, showing consolidation above a strong support zone.
🔍 Key Technical Levels
Support Zone: $3,360 – $3,375
This level has been tested multiple times and held firmly, indicating strong buying interest 📈.
Resistance Zone: $3,435 – $3,455
Price has previously rejected this zone, suggesting active sellers in this area ⚠️.
🧠 Price Action Insight
The recent price structure shows a pullback into support after a strong bullish move.
The current consolidation suggests accumulation before a potential breakout.
A bullish reversal pattern seems to be forming near support, pointing toward a possible rally toward resistance.
📈 Projected Move
📍 Scenario: Bounce from support zone → Break toward resistance.
The marked projection curve suggests price may retest support, then rally to the $3,440–$3,455 resistance area.
🧾 Trading Outlook
Bias: Bullish (above $3,360)
Entry Zone: $3,365 – $3,375
Target: $3,440 – $3,455
Invalidation: Break and close below $3,355 (would indicate weakness) 🚫
📅 Fundamental Context
Multiple high-impact USD events are approaching 🇺🇸 (noted at the bottom of the chart). These could cause volatility and may act as catalysts for the breakout.
✅ Conclusion
The market is currently in a bullish accumulation phase above strong support. As long as this level holds, a move toward the resistance zone remains the high-probability scenario. Monitor closely for confirmation via bullish candlesticks or volume increase.
GOLDGold I expect something like this
usual set up more or less with fake out and re-entry
in the meantime placing an order at 3,388.663 very conservative is right,
if you fill it well
operation at 3,398.890
Note well these are indicative patterns of operation and not strrategic
trendfollow strategy
GOLD Gold (XAU/USD), DXY (U.S. Dollar Index), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Interest Rate Correlations
As of June 2025, the relationships between these assets reflect a mix of traditional dynamics and evolving market forces. Below is a breakdown of their correlations and current data:
1. Gold (XAU/USD) and DXY (U.S. Dollar Index)
Traditional Inverse Relationship: Gold is priced in USD, so a stronger dollar (higher DXY) typically makes gold more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand and lowering prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar supports gold prices.
Recent Anomaly (2023–2025): Geopolitical tensions (e.g., Iran-Israel conflict, U.S.-China trade disputes) and central bank gold purchases (notably by China and Russia) have driven simultaneous strength in gold and the dollar. For example:
Gold hit a record high of $3,500/oz in April 2025 despite DXY hovering near 98.43.
Central banks bought 1,037 tonnes of gold in 2024, offsetting typical dollar-driven headwinds.
The inverse correlation is reasserting as Fed rate-cut expectations grow, but geopolitical risks still support gold.
2. Gold and 10-Year Treasury Yield
Inverse Correlation Typically: Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.
Inflation Hedge Exception: When real interest rates (nominal yield - inflation) are negative or low, gold rises despite higher yields. For example:
10-year yield: 4.450% (June 2025)
U.S. inflation: 3.1% (May 2025) → real rate ~1.26%, reducing gold’s appeal but not eliminating it.
Current Driver: Market focus on Fed policy (potential cuts) and inflation persistence keeps gold supported even with elevated yields.
3. DXY and 10-Year Treasury Yield
Positive Correlation: Higher yields attract foreign capital into U.S. bonds, boosting dollar demand (DXY↑).
Divergence Risks: Geopolitical tensions can decouple this relationship (e.g., safe-haven dollar demand outweighs yield changes).
4. Interest Rates and Gold
Fed Policy Impact: Higher rates strengthen the dollar and dampen gold demand, while rate cuts weaken the dollar and boost gold.
2025 Outlook:
Fed funds rate: 4.25–4.50% (held steady in June 2025).
Geopolitical Risks: Safe-haven demand for gold and the dollar persists.
Real Interest Rates: Gold’s performance hinges on whether real rates stay subdued.
Central Bank Demand: Record gold purchases (1,200+ tonnes in 2024) provide structural support.
Conclusion
While traditional correlations between gold, DXY, and yields persist, structural shifts (central bank buying, geopolitical fragmentation) and evolving Fed policy are redefining these relationships. Gold remains bullish in the medium term.
WATCH MY GREEN BAR ZONE FOR BUY.