possibility of uptrendThe price is expected to consolidate above the support level and then we will see the start of the upward trend.If the support level is broken, the continuation of the downward trend is possible.
XAUUSDG trade ideas
GOLD Impact of Lower-than-Expected US CPI Data on Gold and the Dollar
Department Responsible: Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases CPI data.
Key CPI Results (March 12, 2025)
Metric Actual Forecast Previous
Core CPI (m/m)
0.2% 0.3% 0.4%
CPI (m/m)
0.2% 0.3% 0.5%
CPI (y/y)
2.8% 2.9% 3.0%
Immediate Market Reactions
US Dollar (DXY):
Bearish Pressure: Cooling inflation boosts bets for earlier Fed rate cuts, weakening the USD.
Technical Impact: DXY breaks below (critical support)
Fundamental Driver: Lower inflation = Reduced need for restrictive monetary policy.
Gold (XAU/USD):
Bullish Surge: Gold jumps as lower rates diminish USD appeal and enhance non-yielding gold’s attractiveness.
Technical Impact: Gold breaches $2,930 resistance (Feb high) toward $2,956–$3,000.
Fundamental Driver: Safe-haven demand + Fed dovish bets.
Trade Directional Bias
Bearish,Fed likely to prioritize rate cuts over inflation control amid cooling CPI.
Gold
Bullish,Lower rates + weaker USD + tariff/geopolitical risks = Strong gold momentum.
Market Sentiment & Analyst Views
Fed Rate Cut Bets:
Cooler CPI gives the Fed room to ease policy, supporting gold.
Summary
USD Outlook: Bearish short-term due to dovish Fed repricing.
Gold Outlook: Bullish, with $3,000/oz in sight if CPI-driven momentum holds.
GOLD GOLD ,the newyork gold merchants struggled with london sellers who were bend on dragging them like generator into 2900 zoon, they quickly rejected further downswing at 2906 a daily broken supply roof and at 2906 it become a current 4hours support to push price into 2916 and attempting 2933-2937 on break and close of 2920.the 2920 roof is a litmus 4hrs test on 2906 liquidity graps...i want to see the strength of the momentum to upswing into 2933-2937
gold activated the new bullish sequence up to 3kan update to the last idea , as said holding above 2930 could take us now to 3k .
Long Xau/UsdToday I will look for a long.
The middle of the global range acted as a support area
Scenario price will remain within the current local consolidation
UPD: In any case, to gain a position, I would like a rebalance
$XAU 12/03 SHORT$Taken out previously like a king. 👑
Positives - we got a return on $2921/3 as mentioned.
So…. still pushing the same bias here, really feel for $2852/5 target..
If not we breach back over $2938.5.
LETS SEE 📍
The long and short sweep of gold continues!Technical analysis of gold: Gold is still fluctuating in the range of 2890-2930, and bulls and bears continue to fight for control. From the chart, the gold daily level is still fluctuating within the range and has not broken through the previous highs. After the US dollar index oversold, there is a need for a rebound, so be careful of gold prices falling again. The daily level 2890-2930 high consolidation has been running for four trading days, and the competition between bulls and bears is still quite fierce. Then we can only wait patiently for the closing price of a certain day to effectively break this range, and then judge the short-term direction of the market outlook, whether it will further strengthen or fall back to correct; from the 4-hour chart, today's several tests on the middle track have not broken through, and the previous K-line closed with a long lower shadow pattern of bottoming out, so there is support at 2895 and resistance at 2914, pay attention to gains and losses; only by breaking through and standing on the middle track can we continue to test the pressure of the 2930-20 high range;
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The upper short-term focus is on the 2928-2930 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 2890-2894 first-line support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2928-2930, stop loss 8 points, target around 2915-2900, break to see 2895 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2895-2898, stop loss 8 points, target around 2915-2920, break to see 2930 line
Gold Analysis Trading StrategyIn the early Asian session, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $2,917.24/ounce. Overnight, the price of gold rose by nearly $30, reaching a high of $2,922.09/ounce and closing at $2,915.55/ounce. US President Trump announced the expansion of tariffs on steel and aluminum, and included metal derivatives worth nearly $150 billion in the tax list for the first time. This move not only threatens the cost increase for industries and consumers, but may also have a far-reaching impact on global supply chains and trade relations. The market's safe-haven demand for gold has rebounded again.
From the daily level, gold showed a negative decline on Monday, successfully breaking through the oscillation range formed at the end of last week. However, on Tuesday, the trend did not continue the decline, but after falling to Monday's low of 2880, it started a strong upward trend and finally closed positive, and this positive line directly engulfed Monday's negative line. In the 4-hour chart, the stochastic indicator is temporarily in a passivation state; the MACD indicator double line fits the 0 axis, which is also passivation; this passivation oscillation signal is to make time and space for the subsequent long and short unilateral; in terms of form, the 4-hour is temporarily obvious in the BOLL range; the BOLL pressure position is near 2930, and the upper side pays attention to the resistance near 2943-2956. The support position below pays attention to 2890, followed by the support near 2880; in the short term, before breaking through the range, it is better to look at the suppression near the upper rail first, and then adjust the thinking after breaking through. In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to short at the rebound of 2930 and go long at 2890.
Gold short-term strategy: It is recommended to short at 2920-2918; stop loss at 2925, target at 2910-2907
Going Short On GoldPrice has already taken all the liquidity from yesterday into today, leaving no significant liquidity available. Given this, I anticipate that price will continue to drop after retesting the current level around $2888.94. I’ll be watching for confirmation before taking any further action.
GOLD UNDER THREAT?On Wednesday, President Trump brought confusion to the outlook for tariffs on Canada and Mexico, suggesting they would take effect on April 2 instead of the earlier March 4 deadline, and also proposed 25% "retaliatory" tariffs on cars and goods from the EU.
GOLD has since been trading in sideways for past week and it has finally broken the channel. this confirms more sells are coming.... wait for it to retest the trendline then sell .
target for this sell 2785 and 2707
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another super day on the charts today with our analysis playing out in true level to level fashion.
After completing all bullish targets last two days, 2872, 2901 and 2921, we stated that will now look for a further cross and lock above 2921 to confirm a continuation or a failure to lock above will follow with a rejection to test lower Goldlturns for support and bounce.
- We got the rejection and then the support test at lower Goldturn 2901 for the perfect bounce back up into 2921, inline with our plans to buy dips. Once again we will now wait for ema5 to lock for a continuation or a rejection back into lower Goldturns.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2872 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2872 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2901 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2901 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2921 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2921 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2950
BEARISH TARGETS
2846
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2846 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2820
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2820 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2796
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2796 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2778 - 2753
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD.. TRADE PLAN ANALYSIS & RECOMMENDATIONS..*Gold Trade Plan Analysis & Recommendations*
*Entry Point:* 2912
*Stop Loss (SL):* 2894 (180 points risk)
*Targets (TP):*
1. TP1: 2920 (+80 points)
2. TP2: 2930 (+180 points)
3. TP3: 2952 (+400 points)
---
### *Key Considerations & Adjustments*
1. *Risk-Reward Ratios:*
- *TP1:* 8:18 = *1:2.25* (Low reward for risk).
- *Overall Potential (Scaled):* If splitting the position into thirds, average reward = ~22 points vs. 18 risk = *~1.22:1*.
- *Suggestion:* Allocate more to later targets (e.g., 50% at TP1, 30% at TP2, 20% at TP3) to improve risk-reward.
2. *Stop Loss Management:*
- Move SL to breakeven or trail it upward after TP1 is hit to protect capital.
- Example: Raise SL to 2910 (just below entry) once TP2 is reached.
3. *Technical Alignment:*
- Confirm TP levels align with resistance (e.g., Fibonacci extensions, pivot points). If TP3 (2952) is a major resistance, consider taking full profit there.
- Ensure SL (2894) is below a strong support zone (e.g., swing low) to avoid premature exits.
4. *Market Context:*
- Verify gold’s trend (e.g., bullish momentum supports upward targets).
- Avoid trading during high-impact news (e.g., Fed announcements, CPI data).
5. *Execution & Slippage:*
- Use limit orders for entry/targets to control fills.
- Monitor liquidity (e.g., avoid trading during thin market hours).
6. *Position Sizing:*
- Calculate lot size based on 1-2% account risk.
- Example: If risking 1% ($100) on an 18-point SL:
Position size = $100 / (18 points * $1 per point) = ~5.55 lots (adjust per contract specs).
---
### *Trade Plan Summary*
| Action | Level | Points | Notes |
|--------------|----------|--------|--------------------------------|
| *Entry* | 2912 | – | Use limit order. |
| *SL* | 2894 | -18 | Place below key support. |
| *TP1* | 2920 | +8 | Close 50% position. |
| *TP2* | 2930 | +18 | Close 30%, trail SL to 2910. |
| *TP3* | 2952 | +40 | Close 20% (final profit). |
*Final Risk-Reward:* Up to 1:2.22 (if all TPs hit).
*Adjusted Expectancy:* Improves with partial closes and SL adjustments.
---
*Recommendation:* Use this plan only if technical analysis confirms bullish momentum (e.g., RSI >50, breaking a downtrend line). Always monitor price action for early reversal signals.
XAUUSD One more push to 3100 to price the Top.Gold (XAUUSD) continues to trade within its 2025 Channel Up, in fact the uptrend started a little bit sooner on the November 14 2024 bottom. As we've mentioned before and you can see again today, this is a recurring pattern which has been in effect since October 2022, the bottom of the Inflation Crisis.
This involves the market forming Channel Up patterns of around +20% price increase, which are supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and when that breaks, they bottom around the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level and then turn into a buy opportunity for the next Channel Up.
The 1D RSI Double Tops and signals the price (Channel Up) High. It's first Top is where Gold is right now, typically within the 0.5 - 0.382 Fib Zone. The only time it was above the 0.382 Fib, was when it rose by +22%. As a result, we expect a similar course and a price peak around $3100 but the most effective sell signal remains when the 1D RSI Double Tops.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
PPI, gold price opportunity to create new ATH above 2956⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, eased from 3.3% in January to 3.1% year-over-year, signaling ongoing disinflation in the U.S. economy.
Meanwhile, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model projects a -2.4% contraction for Q1 2025, marking the first negative reading since the COVID-19 pandemic.
Money market traders have adjusted their expectations for Federal Reserve easing in 2025, pricing in 71 basis points of rate cuts—down from 77 bps the previous day, according to Prime Market Terminal data.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold has accumulated, continues to grow and heads towards a new ATH: 2976
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2954 - $2956 SL $2959 scalping
TP1: $2950
TP2: $2945
TP3: $2940
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2975 - $2977 SL $2982
TP1: $2968
TP2: $2960
TP3: $2950
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2920 - $2918 SL $2913
TP1: $2930
TP2: $2940
TP3: $2950
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Yesterday we wanted price to attempt that lower region and give us a reaction as shown on the chart which it did just shy off early session, giving traders the opportunity long from the circled region. We published the daily bias pre-NY and the target levels for the wider community and what a move we got. A pin point tap and bounce from the bias level giving gold the momentum it needed to complete the bias target levels and the Excalibur target levels.
For now, due to NFP around the corner, we would expect price to start the pre-event price action in the coming sessions, resulting in choppy and whipsawing price action that will lead to spikes in either direction. We have support below 2903 which if broken early session can lead to a further decline into the 2885 region before a reaction, while resistance above 2920 needs to hold us down.
We will insist traders please take it a little lighter on the markets now due to NFP, we've had a lot of action already, no need to get ourselves into situations leading up to the release.
From Camelot this morning:
KOG’s Bias of the day:
Bullish above 2895 with targets above 2925✅, 2930✅ and 2933 above that
Bearish on break of 2895 with targets below 2878
RED BOXES:
Break above 2925 for 2930✅, 2937 and 2941 in extension of the move
Break below 2916 for 2910✅ and 2907✅ in extension of the move
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2847 with targets above 2865✅, 2871✅, 2876✅, 2880✅ and above that 2904✅
Bearish below 2847 with targets below 2840, 2835, 2830 and below that 2810
RED BOXES:
Break above 2860 for 2865✅, 2872✅, 2874✅, 2885✅ and 2900✅ in extension of the move
Break below 2847 for 2840, 2836, 2831, 2823 and 2810 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
gold for next weekeverything is explained at chart .
long story short . price must not close above 2930 if we looking for a good melt .
Bears dominate gold continues today⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) find support near the $2,880 level during Tuesday’s Asian session, drawing dip-buyers and partially recovering from the previous day’s drop to a one-week low.
Investor sentiment remains cautious amid uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s trade policies and their potential impact on the global economy. The prevailing risk-off mood, compounded by geopolitical tensions, continues to fuel demand for the safe-haven metal
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
US economy plummets, fears of recession due to rising trade tensions
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2915 - $2917 SL $2922
TP1: $2910
TP2: $2900
TP3: $2890
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2860 - $2862 SL $2855
TP1: $2870
TP2: $2880
TP3: $2890
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Continue to motivate the price, world trade tensions✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 03/10/2025 - 03/14/2025
🔥 World situation:
Kugler emphasized that uncertainty poses challenges across the economy. Earlier, she noted that monetary policy is likely to remain steady for some time and dismissed wages as a driver of inflation.
Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed that the central bank is in no rush to cut interest rates. He acknowledged that achieving the 2% inflation target will be a gradual process and cautioned against overreacting to short-term data fluctuations, stating that the Fed is well-positioned on monetary policy.
When asked about tariffs, Powell noted that their potential inflationary impact remains uncertain.
🔥 Identify:
The accumulation of over 2900 is a good signal, trade tensions will be comprehensive in the world that is when gold price grows over 3000
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2928, $2955
Support : $2880, $2837
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold is bearish with 0.78 % retracement from supportGold is bearish with 0.78 % retracement from support. It is consolidating in narrow zone currently.
Short on XAUUSD (GOLD)Price Action:
Price has failed to break range (2925 - 2891) above for 4 days new ending the week in consolidation even after NFP on Friday with the dollar being weak.
Correlation to DXY:
Last week the dollar was under attack due to fears of trump tariff wars. On DXY chart, the price is approaching the 200 EMA on weekly chart, indicating a potential bull run hence affecting gold’s price inversely.
Short Bias (High Probability):
On higher time frame price action clearly forming a bearish head and shoulder pattern after creating an all time high indicating a bearish move back down to 2840 region. Break of this level price could be potentially continue to drop to the previous all time high at a psychological level of 2780.
Long Bias (Low Probability):
If price breaks above 2950 with a full body candle close above and retesting forming a resistance to support price action then price could be rallying to create new all time highs! If this scenario plays out, we will be approaching uncharted territories forming new resistance aches support so trading with a trailing stop is recommended for capital protection.
GOLD -Consolidation at Pivot Zone, Breakout Needed for Next MoveGOLD Analysis – March 11, 2025
Technical Outlook:
Gold remains within a consolidation phase, stabilizing around the pivot zone (2918 - 2905). The price is currently testing the resistance area near 2922, which will determine the next direction.
Bearish Scenario:
Stability below 2922 keeps the bearish outlook intact.
If the price fails to break above the pivot zone, it is expected to drop toward 2895 and further to 2859.
Bullish Scenario:
If a 1H or 4H candle closes above 2922, a bullish breakout may occur, targeting 2934 and 2954.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 2922 | 2934 | 2954
Pivot Zone: 2918 - 2905
Support: 2895 | 2880 | 2859
All units pay attention to gold 2975 directly short 2800 seePrepare for a sharp drop
Gold is ready to plummet, and the notification has been in place. The current price in the 2970-2975 area is short, and it is ready for a sharp drop. This sharp drop will be below 2800. I have told you in advance
The crazier gold is, the more it will plummet. The whole network is bullish. What are the dealers doing? It must be an unconventional trend. Enter the market at a short speed
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies, so you no longer blindly follow the trend.
Short positions are in trouble, how to get out of trouble?Bros, gold accelerated to above 2980 today under the stimulation of news. If you hold a short position in gold, you must be in a trading dilemma, so how to get rid of the trading dilemma has become the current primary goal.
First remember the key node, Thursday. Under normal circumstances, Thursday and Friday are the nodes most likely to cause market changes! And from the candle chart, it is just pulled back to the high area with the stimulation of news. From the regional conversion, we can clearly see that according to the current momentum of gold, it will only reach the area around 2980-2982 (there may be a technical false breakthrough). It is difficult to rise to the vicinity of the 3000 mark in one fell swoop.
If you still have sufficient margin levels to help you get out of trouble, you might as well consider adding more positions near 2980 to continue shorting gold, effectively raising your average cost price. After gold falls back, you can choose to close all short positions and turn losses into profits. However, because gold has risen sharply, we must lower our expectations for the extent of gold's retracement. If gold retraces to the 2940-2930 area, we can consider closing our positions, so that we can turn losses into profits! And I predict that gold will enter a correction market tomorrow at the latest!
Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
