XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold Buy Setup📍 GOLD 4H BUY SETUP
Price bounced perfectly off a major demand zone, reclaiming structure and pushing above the Ichimoku cloud — classic bullish confirmation.
✅ Entered at 3372 with a tight SL at 3331
🎯 Targeting 3499 — key buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs
📊 Risk-to-Reward: 1:3.18 (High probability setup)
We’ve got:
Strong volume surge off demand
EMA support holding firm
Structure break + reaccumulation
📈 Eyes on wave continuation — clean long into liquidity.
XAU/USD(20250613) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending June 7 was 248,000, higher than the expected 240,000, the highest since the week of October 5, 2024. The monthly rate of the core PPI in the United States in May was 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.30%. Traders once again fully priced in the Fed's two interest rate cuts this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3374
Support and resistance levels:
3434
3412
3397
3351
3337
3314
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3397, consider buying in, and the first target price is 3412
If the price breaks through 3374, consider selling in, and the first target price is 3351
The Uncertainty of Gold Gold exhibited considerable uncertainty, as sellers pushed the price back to nearly its starting point this week. Is it profit taking? What do institutions know that we don't, as they increased their long positions this week? 81% of institutions are long. So, where the whales are is where I want to be.
Note: This is not advice. This is for educational purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAUUSD rising while Inflation dropping. Historically BULLISH!Gold (XAUUSD) has been practically on a non-stop aggressive rise since the late 2022 Low. What's more interesting is that during this 2.5-year Bull run, the U.S. Inflation Rate (red trend-line) has been on a sharp decline, which is something you wouldn't traditionally expect out of a save haven asset like Gold.
On the contrary, Gold has been historically used as a hedge against high inflation, so when Inflation drops, you would have technically expected for Gold to drop too (and vice versa).
Since 1970, there have only been another 4 (relatively long) time periods when Inflation declined while Gold increased. On all occasions, Gold extended the rise by at least 1 year even when Inflation reversed.
In our opinion, the current divergence looks more like 1970 - 1972 and 2008 - 2009. This suggests that Gold is still within a Bull Cycle and has some more room to rise before a new Bear Cycle starts. Long-term we remain bullish on Gold.
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Gut Feeling Vs. Technical Analysis- How I Take TradesTrading Is Both Art and Science
Every trader, no matter how data-driven, eventually encounters moments when they just know something about the market.
That quiet internal signal:
“Don’t touch this today.”
Or: “Get ready. Something’s coming.”
That’s not random emotion. That’s your gut feeling – and in trading, it's worth paying attention to. But here's the catch:
👉 Gut feeling alone isn’t enough.
👉 Technical analysis alone isn’t either.
The real edge comes when both align.
________________________________________
What Is Gut Feeling in Trading?
“Gut feeling” is a term used to describe intuitive decisions that seem to arise without conscious reasoning. In trading, it often presents as a subtle inner nudge – a warning, a hesitation, or a surge of clarity.
Contrary to popular belief, it’s not just emotion. It’s often the result of:
• Unconscious pattern recognition from years (or decades) of chart-watching
• Internalized market behavior that doesn’t show up on an indicator
• Emotional awareness, sensing when the environment isn’t right to trade
Experienced traders know this isn’t “woo.” It’s pattern memory speaking quietly.
________________________________________
On the Other Hand: What We Call Technical Analysis?
We all know the tools: support/resistance, price action, indicators like RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, maybe Smart Money Concepts or just clean trendlines, etc.
Technical analysis gives us structure — measurable, repeatable setups. But let’s not pretend it captures everything:
• News can spike irrationally
• Liquidity can vanish when you least expect it
• And sometimes, the chart says 'yes' but the market mood says 'don’t trust it'
That’s where gut feeling becomes the final filter.
________________________________________
✅ Why I Wait for Alignment
Let’s be honest: most bad trades happen when you force action despite internal hesitation.
Here’s how I frame decisions:
✅ Full alignment
• Gut: Yes
• Technicals: Yes
• 👉 Take the trade
⚠️ Gut says no, but technicals agree
• Gut: No
• Technicals: Yes
• 🚫 Wait – something’s off
⚠️ Gut says yes, but technicals are unclear
• Gut: Yes
• Technicals: No
• 👁 Watch only – do not act
❌ No alignment
• Gut: No
• Technicals: No
• ✅ Stay out – smart decision
You’re not supposed to be in every trade. You’re supposed to be in the right trades.
________________________________________
🔍 Real-Life Example: Gold (XAUUSD)
Yesterday, Gold surged due to geopolitical escalation and renewed tariff tension.
Is looking bullish now: descending trendline broken, above 3350 which acts as confluence support.
📈 The chart said: “Buy.”
🧠 But my gut said: “ No. This is an emotional move. It’s not done correcting .”
So I stayed out.
Why?
Because if I trade while my gut says “no”, I second-guess every tick.
Even if the chart is right, I start hoping it fails — just to prove my feeling was right.
That’s emotional sabotage.
But when gut and chart say the same thing, I don’t hesitate.
Even if the trade loses, I’m at peace. I executed from clarity, not conflict.
That’s not just technical skill. That’s mental edge.
🧠 How to Develop Trustworthy Intuition
If you’re new or inconsistent, your “gut feeling” might just be fear, greed, or FOMO. But over time, real intuition can be trained like a muscle.
1. Screen Time
The more markets you watch, the more silent patterns your brain absorbs. Eventually, you’ll “feel” momentum shifts before indicators print them.
2. Journaling
Write down what you felt before each trade. Did it align with your plan? Over time, you’ll spot which feelings were intuition and which were impulse.
3. Meditation & Clarity
The more you control your emotional noise, the easier it becomes to hear real signals.
________________________________________
⚠️ Common Pitfalls: When Gut Feeling Betrays You
Let’s be clear – not every gut feeling is wise. Here are some red flags:
• Revenge trading disguised as confidence
• FOMO masked as intuition
• Fear of missing out during high volatility sessions
• Fatigue or stress, which distort perception
🧠 Tip: A real gut feeling comes with calm clarity, not urgency or adrenaline.
________________________________________
🎯 Final Thought
Gut Feeling + Technical Analysis = Peace of Mind
The best trades aren’t just technically correct — they’re internally clean. No doubt. No hesitation. No self-conflict.
Wait for alignment. Then execute with full presence.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD Long From Rising Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in an
Uptrend and the price is
Making a local pullback
But as we are bullish
Biased we will be expecting
A rebound from the rising
Support line and a move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
It's been a decent week on the markets with our path and red boxes playing well from the low to the high for the pull back trade into the region we wanted and then the long completing all but one Red box target which was missed by 20pips.
With NFP tomorrow we would say caution on the markets as we can expect some pre-event ranging and MA play until the release tomorrow. For that reason, we have given the two levels of interest that we feel price will play until tomorrow's release. For now, we're not getting involved in gold until after the NFP move.
As always, trade safe.
KOG’s Bias of the day:
Bullish above 3335 with targets above 3366✅. 3373✅ and above that 3390✅
Bearish on break of 3335 with target below 3320 and below that 3210
RED BOXES:
Break above 3365 for 3372✅, 3375✅, 3388✅ and 3406 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3335, 3330, 3326 and 3307 in extension of the move
Hanzo / Gold 15 Min ( Tactical Bullish Break Out )🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 15-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 3345
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Hanzo / Gold 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )
Gold- Short-Term Bull, Medium-Term BearIn my previous analysis, I pointed out the possibility of Gold correcting back to retest the broken descending trendline.
That zone is now acting as a key confluence area, and as long as the price holds above it, bulls maintain the advantage.
However, beyond the technicals, I also shared my personal view: while we could see some upside in the short term (next few days), I believe that Gold is setting up for another leg down in the medium term.
From a strictly technical perspective, the current price action reinforces the likelihood of a short-term bounce. We're seeing a clean retest of previous resistance turned support, which often leads to continuation moves.
📉 But if you're aiming for 1,000+ pip swings (like me), it's wiser to wait for clear bearish confirmation. The real opportunity may come after this short-term rise, at least in my opinion.
In conclusion:
- Short term is bullish as long as it stays above 3340-3350 in terms of daily close
- In the medium term, my opinion is unchanged, drop to 3200
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAU/USD Bullish Setup Confirmed After Wave C CompletionXAU/USD has completed a classic five-wave impulsive structure to the upside, followed by a clear ABC corrective phase. The price action shows that wave (5) has topped, and the market has since retraced through a three-wave ABC correction inside a well-defined descending channel.
Currently, wave C appears to have found support right at the lower trendline of the broader ascending structure, signaling a potential completion of the correction and the beginning of a new bullish impulse.
The reaction from this level is strong, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to drive the next leg higher
Wave Count: 5-wave impulse up, followed by ABC correction
Structure: Wave C completed at key channel support
Momentum: Bullish recovery expected if price holds above recent swing low
T1: 3332.268
T2: 3354.078
SL: 3289.400
XAU/USD) Technical analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas in the analysis:
---
Chart Elements:
Support Level (Yellow Zone at ~3,340–3,350):
This area has been highlighted as a key support zone where price has bounced previously.
Price is currently hovering just above this level.
Downtrend Line:
A descending trendline is drawn, indicating a short-term bearish trend.
A breakout above this line could trigger bullish momentum.
Two Scenarios Outlined:
Bullish Scenario:
If price breaks the downtrend and holds above support, it may rally towards the upper target point at 3,419.68.
Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below the support, the next target point is marked lower around 3,300.62, a previous consolidation area and close to the 200 EMA (blue line).
200 EMA (~3,324.72):
Acts as dynamic support. If price moves below it, bearish sentiment may increase.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is neutral (~50.54), not showing overbought or oversold signals, leaving room for movement in either direction.
---
Key Takeaways:
Neutral-Biased Setup: The price is consolidating between a clear support level and downtrend resistance.
Confirmation Needed: A breakout from either direction is necessary to confirm the next move.
Bullish Breakout: May lead to a retest of highs at 3,419.68.
Bearish Breakdown: Could push the price toward 3,300.62, aligned with past support and the 200 EMA.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Trading Ideas (based on this analysis):
Long Entry: On breakout above the downtrend line + confirmation above 3,360.
Short Entry: On breakdown below 3,340 with strong volume.
Stop-Loss: Just outside the consolidation zone depending on trade direction.
Risk Management: Be cautious around economic news (calendar icons shown suggest upcoming events).
Please support boost this analysis )
Hanzo / Gold 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 15-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 3326
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bullish After Break : 3326
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3294
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Hanzo / Gold 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – Premium Territory Battle BeginsHey team!
Hope you're all feeling sharp and focused — here’s what we’re watching this week on XAUUSD 👇Week of June 9–13, 2025
📍 Bias: Bullish, but cautiously reactive at premium supply
🔹 1. 🔍 Market Structure (W1)
Strong impulsive BOS continuation from 3245 → current price near 3312.
Weekly structure shows clean Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) since Q4 2023.
The premium zone around 3380–3500 is now in play — it’s a weak high zone with upside liquidity targets still intact.
🔹 2. 🧱 Key Weekly Zones
Zone Type Price Range Notes
🔼 Premium Supply Zone 3380 – 3500 Final weak high zone, imbalance + OB supply above
🔽 Demand Support 1 3115 – 3170 Recent impulsive candle origin & imbalance
🔽 Demand Support 2 2950 – 3020 Prior CHoCH base & last HL support
🔽 Long-Term Demand 2660 – 2720 Weekly OB, deep discount zone
🔹 3. 📊 EMAs Context
EMA 5 / 21 / 50 / 100 / 200: Full bullish alignment.
Price is aggressively extended above all EMAs, suggesting possible retracement into the 3115–3170 zone if price fails to break above premium supply cleanly.
🔹 4. 🎯 Fibonacci Swing Analysis
Main fib: 3245 (last HL) → 3395 (current swing high).
50% retracement = ~3320, current price is hovering around this equilibrium.
A move back to 3115–3170 = golden zone, could serve as a clean long re-entry if premium gets rejected.
🔹 5. 🧠 RSI Context
Weekly RSI remains overbought, hovering near 70+.
Momentum remains strong, but any failure to break the weak high may trigger a cooling phase (pullback to EMA50 or fib 61.8%).
🔹 6. 🌍 Macro + Geopolitical Notes
NFP released Friday (June 6): Mixed impact — job creation weak but hourly earnings slightly strong.
Fed still data-dependent → CPI (next week) will be key.
Gold remains sensitive to inflation + Fed rate expectations. A dovish shift or inflation spike could send price beyond 3400.
📌 Weekly Scenarios
🔼 Bullish Continuation
Break above 3380–3395 → 3450–3500 target zone
Needs impulsive close above premium with volume and no rejection wick.
🔽 Retracement Play
Failure to break 3380 → pullback into 3115–3170
Clean demand, imbalance, and fib confluence support re-entry.
✅ GoldFxMinds Final Note
Gold is now in premium pricing — either distribution begins, or we’ll witness a parabolic extension into 3450–3500.
🧠 Watch reactions, not just zones. Trade confirmation.
💬 Let us know how you're positioning for the week — are you buying dips or fading premium?
Stay sharp,
— GoldFxMinds 💡
Turbulent Week Ahead? Gold Outlook June 9-13, 2025Hey fellow traders,
Let's dive into the OANDA:XAUUSD outlook for the upcoming week, June 9-13, 2025. The recent price action has been a rollercoaster 🎢, and the next few days promise even more fireworks 🎇.
Looking back at the 30-minute chart from May 22 to June 6, gold saw an initial consolidation, then a strong rally to multi-week highs near 3,420. However, this was followed by a sharp, dramatic reversal, pushing prices back below 3,300. This "bull trap" 🐂 pattern suggests underlying weakness and potential preemptive market positioning.
Another view on this could be the possibility that a gap on the chart at 3300-3295 of around $5 could get closed. Since strong support is right below this, it could serve as a good launchpad 🚀 for an upward rally. Let's see if the upcoming Asia session on Monday triggers this because its only - $14 from $3309.
Key Drivers for the Week Ahead:
📅 June 9, 2025 (Monday)
US-China High-Level Trade Talks Commence in London
High-level delegations from the United States and China began trade discussions in London. This meeting followed an announcement by President Donald Trump on Friday, June 6, 2025, who described a preceding 90-minute phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping as "very positive".
The US delegation included Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard
Lutnick, and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, reflecting a coordinated approach to addressing complex trade issues. The talks were primarily aimed at resolving the ongoing bilateral trade war, with a particular focus on tariffs and the global supply of critical rare earth minerals.5 While no specific time for the commencement of talks was provided, it is understood they began during London's daytime, approximately (10:12 CEST / 04:12 EDT).
These discussions occurred in the context of a temporary 90-day agreement reached on May 12, 2025, which had seen the US reduce its tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, and China reciprocate by lowering its tariffs on US goods from 125% to 10%.9 However, this temporary truce is set to expire in early August, and President Trump had recently accused China of violating the agreement, specifically regarding critical mineral exports. The broader bilateral relationship remains strained by issues extending beyond tariffs, including restrictions on advanced chips, student visas, and concerns over China's state-dominated economic model.
The prompt scheduling of these high-level talks immediately after a leader-to-leader call suggests a tactical move towards de-escalation of immediate trade tensions, aiming to prevent a full-blown trade war. The objective appears to be managing current conflicts rather than achieving a fundamental resolution, especially with the May 12 agreement nearing its expiration. The core disputes, such as control over rare earths and technology, are deeply entrenched and reflect a broader geopolitical competition rather than mere economic disagreements. This pattern of temporary de-escalation followed by persistent underlying tensions indicates a long-term,structural competition. It suggests that trade policy is increasingly intertwined with national security and geopolitical strategy, implying that businesses should anticipate continued volatility and strategic decoupling in certain sectors, rather than a return to pre-trade war normalcy.
Other big movers for gold will be the US inflation reports. 💥
📅 Wednesday, June 11 (14:30 CEST / 08:30 EDT):
We get the crucial US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.
Watch for Core CPI (YoY) with a forecast of 2.9% and headline CPI (YoY) at 2.5%.
📅 Thursday, June 12 (14:30 CEST / 08:30 EDT):
The US Producer Price Index (PPI) follows.
Forecasts are for Core PPI (YoY) at 3.0% and headline PPI (YoY) at 2.6%.
📊 These numbers are critical. If inflation comes in hotter 🔥 than expected, it will likely strengthen the US Dollar 💵 and push real interest rates higher 📈, making gold less attractive. This could trigger further declines 📉, especially given the current market structure. Conversely, cooler 🧊 inflation could spark a significant rebound 🔄.
Beyond US data, keep an eye 👁️ on speeches from various European Central Bank (ECB) officials throughout the week, including President Lagarde on Tuesday (23:15 CEST / 17:15 EDT). Their collective tone 🎤 could influence EUR/USD dynamics and indirectly impact the US Dollar Index, offering a counterbalance ⚖️ or amplification to gold's movements.
Key Numbers and Technical Levels to Watch:
Gold is currently sitting on a substantial speculative net long position of 187.9K contracts. This is a massive amount of bullish bets 📊🐂, making gold highly vulnerable to rapid liquidation 💣 if the fundamental picture turns sour. A "long squeeze" could amplify any downside move.
Immediate Support: The 3,300 level is paramount. A decisive break below it would signal further weakness. Below that, 3,250 is strong technical support where we saw a bounce previously.
Overhead Resistance: Look for resistance at 3,350-3,360, and then the recent peak of 3,420. Reclaiming these levels would require a significant shift in sentiment.
Expect high volatility ⚡, especially around the US inflation releases. Trade smart 🧠, manage your risk ⚖️, and stay nimble! 🏃
Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍
India / Pakistan
The ceasefire from May 10 is holding, but diplomatic relations remain frosty. India has launched a global image campaign to gain support, while Pakistan insists on dialogue and accountability.
Outlook: Without substantial agreements on border terrorism and water issues, tensions will stay latently high, with potential for new escalation risks. ⚠️
Gaza Conflict
Violence escalated again in early June. Israel intensified attacks, killing civilians seeking aid in Gaza City, and at least six people were killed at a distribution point.
Outlook: The humanitarian situation continues to worsen 🚨, and international mediation efforts are urgently needed. However, an immediate ceasefire seems unrealistic. ❌
Russia / Ukraine
In the first week of June, Russia launched one of its largest series of attacks: hundreds of drones and missiles hit Kharkiv and Kyiv, resulting in civilian casualties. Simultaneously, a planned prisoner exchange has stalled.
Outlook: Strategic air attacks will likely continue 💥, and the prisoner exchange remains deadlocked. Without a diplomatic initiative, the conflict will stay entrenched. 🕳️
U.S.–China Trade War
Following talks between Trump and Xi, new negotiation rounds are expected in London. China has opened up rare earth exports, a sign of cautious de-escalation.
Outlook: If dialogue channels open 🗣️, systemic trust could grow, but genuine reforms remain uncertain. 🤔
🌐 Global Trade War
The OECD has lowered its growth outlook to 2.9%, warning of protectionism 🧱 and delayed investments. The ECB is also maintaining synchronization with the FED.
Outlook: Without de-escalation, the world faces a global economic slowdown 🐌 and permanent fragmentation of supply chains. 🔗
🏛 Trump vs. Powell
Trump has again complained about the FOMC's hesitancy, nicknaming Powell “Too Late,” and demanding a full 1% interest rate cut.
Outlook: Pressure is mounting 📣. Whether the Fed yields depends on if inflation and labor data allow for a loose policy. 🎯
💵 U.S. Inflation – May 2025
Forward-looking data shows a weakening services sector and consumer prices rising again as tariffs pass through. Official CPI data for May 2025 will be released on June 11.
Outlook: Higher inflation could halt the Fed's "dereflexion" course — a dilemma ⚖️ between growth 📈 and price stability. 🛑
Technical View 📐
Regarding the major Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern on the 4H chart I shared previously, I'd like to explain some new developments that are altering its potential outcome.
Since the price has re-entered and fallen below the neckline, I activated my "second brain cell" 🧠 to guess what could be next. This led me to revise the larger 4-hour chart structure with the adjustments shown in the accompanying image.
As you can also see in the updated version below, a reversed H&S pattern remains a possibility, as the proportions still appear valid. 🔄
Potential Scenarios for Gold 🧩
Under this revised idea, Gold could potentially reach the neckline entry at 3397 (+88) from the current price. This is one plausible scenario. ✅
Alternatively, the price could drop further to the "Head" at 3120 (-191 from the current 3309), which would, of course, invalidate this H&S pattern. ❗
While this is speculative 🔮, given that trading often involves psychological movements and their resulting impacts, I believe this is a favorable approach to forecasting.
Another reason to see it as bullish is the formed standard bull flag 🚩🐂.
Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
XAUUSD Daily Outlook – Premium Pressure & Weak High Trap in Play Hey team!
Hope you’re staying sharp as we close out this NFP week. Here’s your Daily Outlook for XAUUSD — built from clean structure, supply/demand logic, and current price action.
📍 Bias: Neutral → leaning bearish while inside premium rejection zone
🔹 1. 🔍 Daily Structure Overview
Recent CHoCH down after failing to break above the weak high at ~3395.
Price is reacting from premium supply and has now tapped a daily FVG near 3315.
We're in a mid-premium rejection area, with multiple rejections from the 3350–3395 zone.
🔹 2. 📐 Key Daily Zones
Zone Type Price Range Notes
🔼 Premium Supply Trap 3350 – 3395 Weak high, CHoCH zone, FVG, supply OB
🔽 Retracement Demand 3278 – 3262 Clean OB + imbalance zone (FVG)
🔽 Mid-Demand Range 3172 – 3140 Breaker block + daily wick base
🔽 Deep Demand (Discount) 2950 – 3020 Full retracement zone from last BOS
🔹 3. 📊 EMA Context (Daily)
EMA 5/21 cross locked bullish — but starting to curl as momentum slows.
Price is testing EMA21 from above; breakdown below it could invite further retracement.
All EMAs still stacked bullish, but showing early signs of cool-off.
🔹 4. 🔢 Fibonacci Swing
Swing used: 3245 (swing low) → 3395 (current top)
Price is now below 38.2% retracement (~3335)
50% = 3320, 61.8% = 3300 → high confluence in this cluster for potential bounce or breakdown decision.
🔹 5. 📉 RSI Check
RSI diverging slightly from highs → bearish divergence forming
Currently near 58 → leaves room for downside without being oversold
🔹 6. 🌍 Macro Context
NFP Report just released
→ Mixed numbers: NFP weak, unemployment up = mildly bullish gold
CPI incoming – key for inflation outlook and Fed tone
Market uncertain → risk-off flows could favor gold, but rejection from premium likely before CPI clarity
⚔️ Scenarios for June 9 Start
🔽 Bearish Plan (likely early-week setup)
Rejection from 3335–3350 → short trigger zone
TP1 = 3278
TP2 = 3172–3140 (if momentum extends)
🔼 Bullish Continuation
Clean reclaim of 3350 and 3395 breakout → flip into aggressive bullish continuation
Target = 3450–3500 FVG above current ATH
✅ GoldFxMinds Final Note
We’re in the heart of the premium trap — don’t buy blindly into strength. Let price show intent.
⚠️ This week may be a pre-CPI fakeout zone — stay patient, let the structure guide you.
📣 If you’re watching this with us — drop your thoughts in the comments. Are we heading to 3170 first or flipping 3395 clean?
Let’s crush the week,
— GoldFxMinds 💡
Gold trading strategy june 13Yesterday's D1 candle was bullish, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. Following that uptrend, the Asian session saw a strong price increase to a high of 3443. If there is still confirmation from the h4 candle above 3397, today will still be a bullish candle with a large amplitude at the end of the day.
After reaching a monthly high, Gold is in a bearish correction at the end of the Asian session. This correction will last until it touches the support level of 3397, which is a good BUY signal.
The target for BUY signals will be 3364 and this area will have a profit-taking reaction from Buyers, causing the price to fall. Gold may touch the pre-ATH level of 3394 and there will be a reaction.
On the other hand, there is a sweep to 3376, which is considered a daily support zone and you can buy in this area.
Support: 3398- 3376
Resistance 3464-3495
Gold: down on jobs dataThe price of gold had a mixed week, with around 1% drop on Friday's trading session, after better than expected US jobs data. The non-farm payrolls added 139K new jobs in May, which was a bit higher from anticipated. The strong US jobs market suggests the possibility that the Fed will hold interest rates steady in the coming period.
The highest weekly level of gold was at $3,4K, however, it is ending the week at the level of $3.310. The RSI continues to hold levels modestly above the 50 level, which suggests that the market is still not clearly ready to start the path toward the oversold market side. Gold daily lows found a supporting line at MA50. Both MA50 and MA200 continue to move as two parallel lines with an uptrend.
The uptrend of the price of gold is still holding on charts. Despite the recent correction, there are two consecutive higher highs on charts, as occurred at the end of May and the one from the previous week. This formation in the technical analysis suggests the probability that the price of gold is heading toward the next peak, probably around $3.430, which was the highest level reached at the beginning of May this year. However, this scenario is for a longer time period. For the week ahead, there is a probability that the price of gold will test the $3,3K level but there is no clear indication that this level might be breached toward the downside. On the opposite side, charts are pointing toward the $3.350, with some lower probability that these levels might be pushed further to the upside.
Gold Pulls Back Near 3345: Trend Analysis & Trading TipsWe have once again perfectly predicted the gold trend. Throughout Tuesday, we kept calling for short positions at the rebound level of 3335-45, which offered multiple entry opportunities. With bulls continuously facing overhead pressure, bears should continue to focus on the short-term support at 3295-3306, where the price has been oscillating since the beginning of this week.
From the 4-hour chart, the overhead resistance stands near 3338-45. It is recommended to continue taking short positions based on this level and expect the bearish trend to continue. The support below focuses on the key level of 3288-3290. Overall, the price is expected to continue wide-range oscillation within this interval. The uptrend cannot be confirmed before the daily closing price breaks above and holds 3345.
XAUUSD
sell@3340-3350
tp:3330-3320
Lingrid | GOLD ABC Correction Complete, Next Resistance in FocusOANDA:XAUUSD continues to ride an upward channel, recently rebounding from trendline support after a flag breakout. The price tested resistance near 3430 before pulling back slightly, forming a potential bullish retest setup. If the 3337 support holds, a continuation toward the 3430 zone remains in play.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 3330–3340
Buy trigger: bounce from channel support
Target: 3430
Sell trigger: close below 3330
💡 Risks
Break below channel invalidates bullish structure
Resistance at 3430 may cap upside
Weaker momentum could trigger another flag-style retracement
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
XAUUSD - Emotional Scalping on Gold Leads to Blown Accounts📔 “I’ll just scalp Gold on the 1-minute” — said the future blown account
Gold doesn’t care about your emotions.
It doesn’t care that you think you can catch a move before it happens.
And it definitely doesn’t care about your $50 dream from a 20-pip scalp.
Real Gold traders don’t come for 20 pips.
They come for precision, for structure, and for 80–100 pip setups backed by real confluence.
If you’re pressing buttons on the 1-minute because you “feel it,”
you’re not trading Gold — you’re feeding it.
And it will eat you alive.
⭐1. Gold is Not a Currency Pair — It’s a Metal with a Temper
You’re not trading EURUSD.
You’re trading a metal — one of the most reactive and manipulated instruments in the market.
Gold doesn’t respond like a normal pair.
It reacts like a sensor. A trigger.
🔸 Geopolitical tension? It spikes.
🔸 USD news? CPI, NFP, FOMC — massive moves.
🔸 Imbalances and inducement zones? It respects them with surgical precision.
🔸 Thin liquidity or Asian session? Expect the unexpected.
Last night, due to a political situation Gold didn’t hesitate.
It exploded — hundreds of pips — while other pairs just twitched.
And here’s the truth:
🔱 Gold is the most loved asset on the planet.
• It’s wealth.
• It’s power.
• It’s culture.
• It’s fear and greed — in physical form.
That’s why it dominates the market.
That’s why it’s unpredictable.
And that’s why you need to approach it with respect — not emotion.
⏱️ 2. The 1-Minute Trap: Why You’re Always Late
On M1, there is no structure — only speed.
By the time you “see a pattern,” you’re already the exit liquidity.
Order blocks? FVGs? Choch?BOS?
They’re there… but barely readable in real time unless you’re hyper-trained.
You’re not early.
You’re late — many, many times.
And Gold punishes late entries without mercy.
So what should you do instead?
🧭 Zoom out. Reset. Re-anchor.
Start with D1-H12-H4-H1. Mark the structure.
Drop to M30/15/5 to refine your zones.
Then — and only then — use M1 as a trigger, not a chart to trade blindly on.
M1 is for confirmation — not discovery.
It shows behavior, not bias.
And if you treat it like a full chart, it will bury your account one candle at a time.
🤓3. If You're New — Respect the Timeframes
If you’ve been trading Gold for less than 6 months,
you don’t need more entries. You need more patience.
Work with:
✅ 1H
✅ 30m
✅ 15m
That’s where the story unfolds — clean, structured, readable.
Yes, study the lower timeframes.
Flip through M1, M3, M5, M7, M10…
Zoom in, zoom out. Train your eye.
And slowly, you’ll start to recognize the way Gold breathes — how it baits, spikes, pauses, and traps.
But execution?
Execution stays clean, until your structure reads faster than your fear.
🚨4. Gold Doesn’t Just Move Fast — It Gets You Hooked
Gold isn’t just volatile — it’s addictive.
You win once… you feel unstoppable.
Twice… now you think you’re the chosen winner.
And just like that, you’re hooked.
You start ignoring your loss, because those two wins gave you more dopamine than a full week of consistency.
You don’t even notice you’re in a loop:
→ Two wins
→ Five losses
→ One clean trade
→ Three more losses
→ Still confident… because of one high
You’re not trading structure.
You’re chasing a chemical high — and Gold is your dealer.
That’s why M1 destroys accounts.
Because the more you “almost catch it,” the more obsessed you get.
You don’t need a new setup.
You need to break the loop.
Walk away, breathe, come back and trade less.
😶🌫️ 5. If Your Mind is Not Calm — Stay Off the Chart
Gold will test your technicals — but it’ll destroy your psychology if you’re not stable.
Had a bad day at work? Argued with someone? Feeling off?
Do. Not. Trade. Gold!!
This metal feeds on instability.
It senses when you’re not focused.
And it will punish you faster than you can say “SL hit.”
💬 “You trade what you feel. So if you’re a mess inside, your chart becomes chaos too.”
🔚 Bottom Line: You Don’t Need More Trades. You Need Better Vision.
Scalping Gold on M1 sounds smart.
Feels efficient. Looks exciting.
Until you’re left with a blown account and a broken mindset.
🫶 Want to stop gambling and start dominating?
Start with patience. Stick to timeframes. Learn the rhythm.
Gold is not for the impulsive — it’s for the precise.
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