Gold: Short-Term Setup: Bullish Trend, But Risk RemainsGold: Short-Term Setup: Bullish Trend, But Risk Remains
Gold is showing a potential short-term trading setup, with the bullish trend still intact.
Two days ago, it confirmed an inverse head and shoulders pattern, suggesting further upside.
However, the recent price surge appears to be unsupported by strong fundamentals.
The Trump tariff news is outdated, and the bullish movement appears driven more by market manipulation than natural developments.
Gold may rise again, as indicated on the chart.
⚠️High risk—gold could decline unexpectedly, making this setup volatile.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
XAUUSDK trade ideas
GOLD: Short Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry - 3346.2
Sl - 3353.30
Tp - 3330.9
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Breaking the big frame, gold price returns to accumulation✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 06/09/2025 - 06/13/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices declined for a second straight session on Friday, yet remain on track to close the week with a gain of over 1.30%, as traders recalibrate expectations for Federal Reserve policy easing following a stronger-than-expected U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,322, marking a 0.84% daily decline.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the labor market continues to show resilience, with the unemployment rate holding steady from April. Meanwhile, Wall Street staged a modest rebound from Thursday’s losses, despite political tensions flaring between President Donald Trump and Tesla CEO Elon Musk, following the House's approval of a bill to raise the U.S. debt ceiling.
🔥 Identify:
Gold prices reacted lower after the release of good May employment data. Breaking the H4 uptrend line, gold prices continued to accumulate.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3348, $3400
Support: $3251, $3202
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Can gold price maintain the uptrend above 3400?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices advanced by approximately 0.97% on Wednesday, buoyed by signs of easing inflation in the United States (US), which reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could resume rate cuts as early as September. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,363.
The May Consumer Price Index (CPI) report shows a slowdown in price pressures compared to April, prompting a surge in demand for the yellow metal. In response, gold briefly rallied to an intraday high near $3,360 before paring back some of those gains, as investors recalibrated their outlook on the Fed’s policy path.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Middle East concerns, along with information about influential high tariffs on countries without trade agreements. Gold prices have recovered, but there is no long-term stability.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3428- 3430 SL 3435
TP1: $3410
TP2: $3395
TP3: $3382
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3345-$3343 SL $3338
TP1: $3355
TP2: $3367
TP3: $3380
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold heavily pressuredTechnical analysis: Gold remains heavily pressured on now a #2-session / day basis as #3,327.80 - #3,335.80 final Support zone was compromised ahead of #3,300.80 benchmark in extension. #3,300.80 benchmark rejected the Price-action and prevented further pain on Gold, retracing the Price-action all the way towards my Resistance belt. The trend is approaching #3,327.80 point as I am expecting the first signs of wall of Resistance lines here starting at #3,327.80 where Hourly 4 chart’s Short-term first Resistance line rests. With stalled recovery on DX and Bond Yields soaring (Gold follows the movement with diagonal correlation) - I doubt that Gold has potential to slide more, but if does, I’ll be forced to change my Bullish Short-term perspective (very slim chances). It is important to understand that despite the heavy Selling pressure towards U.S. session, Gold has light Fundamental calendar so nothing is standing between Gold’s intention to pierce #3,327.80 Resistance at the moment on very Bullish Hourly 1 chart Technicals (chart I make my calculations on). Price-action has successfully tested the estimated Support zone and nicely formed strong Bottom which won’t be invalidated without serious cause. #3,300.80 - #3,302.80 represents Lower High’s Upper zone and according to the cycle, Lower High’s are usually areas where Selling sequence is usually rejected or stalled under.
My position: I am Highly satisfied with Friday’s NFP aftermath as I guessed nicely that upside surprise is expected and caught #2 excellent Selling orders on the way down as I was well aware that Price-action will correct all gains fueled with NFP outcome where Short-term Sellers appeared.
XAUUSD: Neutral trade preparing a major breakout.Gold is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.070, MACD = 17.020, ADX = 34.480) a direct consequence of the sideways trading between the 4H MA50 and 4H MA200. The price action has rebounded on the former LH trendline, validating that it has resumed the long term bullish trend. The pattern that has prevailed so far is a Channel Up, and the current consolidation is similar to its first bottom sequence. We are bullish, aiming again for the 1.236 Fibonacci extension (TP = 3,420).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
GOLD Best 2 Places For Sell Very Clear , Ready For 500 Pips ?Here is my opinion on gold on 2H T.F , we have a very good bearish price action and we have a very good retest for broken support and new res , so i think 3326.00 will be a very good place to sell and targeting 250 pips at least , also if the price go up a little 3350.00 will be the last place we can sell from it and targeting 500 pips .
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jun 09 - Jun 13]OANDA:XAUUSD fell more than 1% on Friday (June 6) due to the unexpected US non-farm payrolls data for May. Spot gold closed at $3,309.84/oz, up 0.8% on the week.
Although gold failed to break above the $3,400/oz resistance and may fluctuate in the $3,300-$3,400/oz range in the short term, the market's resilience and long-term uptrend remain solid.
Meanwhile, silver and platinum outperformed, hitting 13-year and 3-year highs, respectively, on investment demand and expectations of supply shortages.
Gold prices rose significantly on Monday last week and hovered at highs ahead of the release of non-farm payrolls data from Tuesday to Friday, reaching $3,403.48 an ounce on Thursday.
The latest data showed that the US added 139,000 non-farm payrolls in May, beating market expectations of 130,000, the unemployment rate held steady at 4.2% and wage growth beat expectations.
This reduced the likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in the near future, pushing the US dollar and US bond yields higher and putting pressure on gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSD received initial support above 3,300 USD/ounce, indicating that the market still has buying support, but the resistance level of 3,400 USD/ounce is difficult to overcome in the short term and 3,200 USD/ounce is the main support level, more detailed technical analysis will be sent to readers in the following part of the article. However, since the raw price points are still related to fundamental analysis, I personally think that the price declines can be seen as an opportunity for gold to hold at lower prices, the long-term uptrend is fundamentally unchanged and central bank gold buying and a weaker dollar will continue to support gold prices.
Despite the rise in risk assets such as stocks, gold has shown resilience. Central bank demand for diversified reserves and market risk appetite will continue to support gold prices, underscoring its appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Market Background and Outlook
The labor market is slowing steadily and the Federal Reserve is likely to continue to wait and see, with the likelihood of a near-term rate cut low. The May CPI data next Wednesday (June 11) will be in focus. If CPI rises, it will push the US Dollar higher and further depress gold prices. If CPI is weak, it could help push gold prices higher.
Geopolitical and trade factors: Trump's call with Xi Jinping on Thursday did not bring any clear progress on trade. If the tariff news worsens, this could boost demand for gold as a safe haven.
On the other hand, the outlook for the Middle East-US, Ukraine-Russia talks is also not getting any better, any negative signs on the geopolitical front next week will also boost gold prices to recover.
Economic data and events next week
Wednesday: US Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Thursday: US Producer Price Index (PPI), Weekly Jobless Claims
Friday: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
📌Gold prices fell sharply on Friday as it retested the $3,371 target level, which is the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, but failed to break it. The bearish momentum took gold towards an area where there are several important supports such as the $3,300 price point and the confluence of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level with the 21-day EMA.
Although gold has fallen, its current position still has enough conditions for bullish expectations in the near term. And in terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still above 50, and in this case, 50 is considered the nearest momentum support.
As long as gold remains in/above the price channel, its main long-term trend is still bullish, in the short term if gold remains above the base price of 3,300 USD, it still has an upside target at 3,371 USD followed by the base price of 3,400 USD.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,300 – 3,292USD
Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 – 3,400USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3345 - 3343⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3449
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3227 - 3229⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3223
Fomo is bullish, gold could hit 3480⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices extended their rally for a second consecutive session on the back of weaker-than-expected inflation and labor market data in the United States (US), with XAU/USD climbing to $3,386—just below the key $3,400 threshold—amid mounting geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
The overall market sentiment remains buoyant, fueled by consecutive soft US inflation prints that have amplified pressure on the Federal Reserve (Fed) to begin easing monetary policy. Meanwhile, signs of fragility in the labor market persist, as jobless claims exceeded 240,000 for the second week in a row, underscoring concerns about the broader economic outlook and lending further support to the safe-haven appeal of gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
War, a factor that helps gold prices grow, towards 3480
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3478- 3480 SL 3485
TP1: $3462
TP2: $3450
TP3: $3435
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3375-$3377 SL $3370
TP1: $3389
TP2: $3400
TP3: $3412
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
As predicted, gold continued to fall to the support zoneWorld gold price today
World gold price today increased slightly, with the spot gold price listed on Kitco around 3,317.85 USD/ounce, up 6.18 USD/ounce compared to early this morning. The last traded gold futures price was 3,338.2 USD/ounce, down 8.4 USD/ounce compared to early this morning.
World gold price experienced a volatile week when it continuously fluctuated within the range of 3,300 to 3,400 USD/ounce. But after all the fierce fluctuations, this precious metal returned to near the starting point at the end of the week, reflecting the indecision and waiting mentality of investors before the economic and geopolitical signals that have not yet been resolved.
Pay attention to the points I noted on the analysis.
Best regards, StarrOne !!!
Gold contained within the rangeTechnical analysis: Recovery continuation on Gold throughout one of the most Volatile weeks of #Q2 (at least for now), in configuration (which should be Technically Bearish for Gold) on the E.U. opening aftermath, where Bond Yields (# -1.10%) possibly reached the Bottom and are currently on aggressive takedown path at the moment, which is adding constant Buying pressure on Gold. Uptrend on Gold is stalled as news hit all market classes and trend Intra-day shift on both DX and Bond Yields on spiral downtrend may constantly accelerate Gold upwards and touch #3,332.80 - #3,342.80 Resistance zone. I will continue Trading Gold within well known range as long as DX is Trading on Neutral numbers. Fundamental events should appear as relief news (at least for Gold’s Buyers) and make DX break well defined Support fractal and Gold to gain (much more attractive for Investors which are and will be looking for safe-haven assets in High demand), but configuration went other way around, and not to calculate more, there is the rule which I mention constantly (what was the Support, becomes the Resistance and vice-versa), I am a bit surprised that Gold recovered this much without a catalyst and #3,342.80 Medium-term Resistance almost got tested and invalidated on multiple occasions will shift Gold from Neutral to Bullish on Short-term. I will monitor the situation and will await for confirmation of a breakout (either below the Hourly 4 chart’s Support or Daily chart Resistance).
My position: I have re-Sold Gold firstly on #3,327.80 and #3,338.80 throughout yesterday’s session and closed both of my orders on #3,324.80 which was tested on late U.S. session. Nothing new personally as I am Trading / continue operating within #3,302.80 - #3,342.80 Neutral Rectangle with my aggressive stronger Lot Scalping orders as I believe we might be contained within mentioned belt a while.
GOLD | Bullish Momentum Holds Above 3376, Eyes on 3404 and 3431GOLD | OVERVIEW
Gold remains in bullish momentum following the CPI result of 2.4%, which came in below expectations. This increases the likelihood of a rate cut by the Fed, providing strong support for gold.
As long as the price trades above 3376 and 3351, the bullish trend is expected to continue toward 3404. A confirmed stabilization above 3404 could open the path toward 3431.
Bearish Correction till 3376 available.
Pivot: 3376
Resistance Lines: 3404, 3431
Support Lines: 3366, 3347
GOLD TODAYHello friends🙌
🔊Due to the weakness of buyers and the strength of sellers, the price continues to fall...
We have identified two supports for you that will not be seen if the price continues to fall, and if the selling pressure increases, we will update you.
🔥Join us for more signals🔥
*Trade safely with us*
GOLD | CPI Data in Focus – Key Levels at 3347 and 3318GOLD | OVERVIEW
Gold remains under pressure due to ongoing U.S.–China trade tensions, with additional focus on the upcoming U.S. CPI data, which is expected to have a strong market impact.
Forecast CPI: 2.5%
Previous CPI: 2.3%
Current Scenario:
If the CPI comes in above 2.5%, it would signal stronger inflation, reducing the likelihood of rate cuts. This would pressure gold lower, continuing the downtrend toward 3318, then 3303, and possibly 3292.
Alternative Scenario:
If CPI is below expectations, it would suggest easing inflation and open the door for rate cuts—supportive for gold. In that case, a break above 3347 could lead to 3366, and then 3375.
Support Levels: 3318, 3303, 3292
Resistance Levels: 3347, 3366, 3375
Wave 3 up is coming for goldHi traders,
Last week gold started an impulse wave but after it broke the previous high it made another correction down. So this could be wave 1 and 2 (purple) of wave 3 (blue).
Then next week we could see the next impulse wave 3 (purple) up from the bullish 4H FVG on the left.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish and an impulse wave up and correction down on a lower timeframe to finish and trade longs again.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Gold fluctuates repeatedly and opportunities emerge.Gold bottomed out in the Asian session and rebounded to break through the opening of the decline. The European session continued to break through yesterday's high. The US session continued to break through the key pressure position of 3335-3345, and walked out of the standard strong cycle. After the break, it is necessary to change the thinking and follow the trend to be bullish. Pay attention to the support below 3315-3325. In terms of operation, it is mainly long when it falls back. The upper side gradually looks to 3352 and 3365. If the pressure is not broken, look at the falling space!
Operation suggestion: Go long when gold falls back to 3325-3315, and look at 3338 and 3352! If the pressure above 3352 and 3365 is not broken, you can short!
The recent trading strategy ideas are all realized, and all the points are predicted accurately. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
XAUUSD: +1500 TO +2200 PIPS Major Swing Move in Making, Two AreaThe first day of the trading week has seen Gold skyrocket, clearly indicating a bullish price direction. Our recent analyses had clearly shown this, and the volume confirms further bullish momentum. Additionally, the NFP news this Friday will be a trend changer, regardless of its positive or negative impact on the USD.
There are two potential take-profit targets. Before taking entry, please conduct your own analysis.
Good luck and trade safely,
Team Setupsfx_
Quick update: I announced #3,400.80 testAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I have waited for Gold to Bottom out near #3,318.80 - #3,322.80 and aggressively Bought the Bottom which delivered spectacular returns (monitoring DX on Selling sequence which added significant Buying pressure). Keep in mind that Gold has #3,400.80 benchmark on the cards now as an decent possibility."
I have announced #3,400.80 benchmark test since #3,350's and even though I expected the upside extension, my Profit margin (over #200k EUR in #3 weeks) was more than enough and I observed Price-action from sidelines.
My position: Gold is Trading on Bullish extension due Middle East crisis escalation. I am looking at my calculated my re-Buy zones to Buy every dip on Gold and continue Scalping (Buy orders only) towards #3,452.80 benchmark potential extension. However if Gold closes the week below #3,400.80 benchmark, Gold will continue ranging and I will alter my perspective (less likely).
The strategy remains unchanged: buy on dipsThe key to the short-term trend of gold lies in the rising channel of the technical aspect. The hourly chart shows that the price is running along the trajectory of gradually rising lows. In this form, the upward momentum is stronger. When the trend is upward, any pullback is a signal of bullish accumulation, which is a good time to enter the market and do more. In a strong market, the pullback range is often limited, and it is more of a short-term bullish pullback to accumulate power. The current key pressure above is in the 3355-3360 first-line range. If the price can break through and stabilize this level, the rising rhythm will most likely accelerate. At this time, the operation does not need to be complicated, just follow the trend: try to go long with a light position when stepping back, and you can cover your position according to the situation after breaking through, so that profits can grow naturally in the continuation of the trend. Remember, the power of the trend is far greater than short-term fluctuations. Instead of worrying about whether it has risen too much, it is better to follow the trend and treat every pullback as an opportunity to confirm the trend.
The recommended strategy for gold remains unchanged: go long in the current price range of 3330-3325, stop loss 3320, target 3360
XAUUSD - $3,260 Support Level to Determine Next Directional MoveLooking at this Gold 4-hour chart, the precious metal is approaching a critical inflection point as it tests the key support zone around $3,260, which represents a confluence of previous swing lows and represents the lower boundary of the recent consolidation range. Two distinct scenarios emerge from this technical setup: first, gold could find buyers at this support level and stage a bounce back toward the $3,400 resistance area, particularly if broader market conditions favor safe-haven assets or if dollar weakness provides additional tailwinds for the metal. Alternatively, a decisive break below the $3,260 support could trigger further selling pressure and open the door for a deeper correction toward the $3,180-$3,160 zone, especially if risk appetite improves or if stronger economic data reduces demand for defensive assets. The outcome will largely depend on how price action unfolds at this crucial support level, with volume and momentum providing key clues about which scenario is more likely to play out in the near term.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.