Gold on Neutral valuesTechnical analysis: Hourly 4 chart has turned Neutral again as the Price-action pulled back from yesterday's session High’s, testing again the Hourly 4 chart’s #3,202.80 - #3,208.80 configuration which represents Short-term Support cluster. This move is due to the sudden spike on DX as the DX is moving in favor of Gold (falling) and is about to correct the former Bearish Gap fill which is appearing as a dangerous sign for Short-term Gold’s Sellers. This is a Fundamental market reaction to the High impact end of the week news and DX Trading near local Low’s. I don't expect this pullback to last for too long, this was Technically an Selling opportunity. If one seek for more confirmation, then Selling only after #3,200.80 benchmark gets invalidated which is looking as an optimal opportunity. This shows that big Institutional capital speculate on the same strategy I apply, taking Profits on Low’s of the Descending Channel, causing Bullish spikes, which they later Short.
My position : I have Bought #3,235.80 reversal #2 times throughout yesterday's session / taking Profit on #3,242.80 - #3,245.80 belt and awaited #3,227.80 break-out which delivered decent Selling opportunity. If you Traded my break-out zones throughout yesterday's session you should be in decent Profit by now.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
4 Profitable Bullish Patterns EVERY TRADER Must Know Forex, GOLD
In the today's post, we will discuss accurate bullish price action patterns that you can apply for trading any financial instrument.
1️⃣Bullish Flag Pattern
Such a pattern appears in a bullish trend after a completion of the bullish impulse. The flag represents a falling parallel channel. The market corrects itself within.
Bullish breakout of the resistance line of the channel is a strong bullish signal that can be applied for buying the market.
Best entries should be placed immediately after a breakout or on a retest.
Safest stop loss is below the lows of the flag.
Target - the next key resistance.
Here is the example of a bullish flag pattern that was formed on Gold on a 1H time frame. As you can see, after the breakout of the resistance of the flag, a strong bullish rally initiated.
2️⃣Ascending Triangle
Such a pattern forms in a bullish trend on the top of the bullish impulse. The market starts consolidation, respecting the same highs and setting higher lows simultaneously.
The equal highs compose a horizontal resistance that is called the neckline.
Its breakout is an important sign of strength of the buyers.
Buy the market aggressively after a violation, or set a buy limit order on a retest.
Stop loss should lie at least below the last higher low within a triangle.
Target - the next strong resistance.
Take a look at that ascending triangle formation on EURUSD.
Bullish breakout of its neckline was a perfect bullish signal.
3️⃣Falling Wedge
That formation is very similar to a bullish flag pattern.
The only difference is that the price action within the wedge is contracting so that the trend line of the wedge are getting closer to each other with time.
Your signal to buy is a bullish breakout of the resistance of the wedge.
Stop loss is strictly below its lows.
Target - the next key resistance.
GBPUSD formed a falling wedge on a 4H time frame, trading in a strong bullish trend.
You can behold how nicely the price bounced after a breakout of its upper boundary.
4️⃣Horizontal Range
Similarly to the ascending triangle, the horizontal range forms at the top of a bullish impulse in a bullish trend.
The price starts consolidation , then, setting equal highs and equal lows that compose a horizontal channel.
Breakout of the resistance of the range is a strong trend-following signal.
Buy the market aggressively after a breakout or conservatively on a retest.
Stop loss will lie below the lows of the range.
Target - the next strong resistance.
Dollar Index formed a horizontal range, trading in a strong bullish trend.
Breakout of the resistance of the range triggered a bullish rally.
The best part about these patterns is that they can be applied on any time frame. Whether you are a scalper, day trader or swing trader, you can rely on these formations and make consistent profits.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Updates - XAUUSD May 15 ahead of news🔥 XAUUSD MARKET OUTLOOK – MAY 15, 2025
🧠 MACRO CONTEXT – CHAOS COOKING AT GMT+3
Today is a high-impact fundamental day with U.S. Unemployment Claims and Powell’s speech at 15:30. After CPI surprised to the downside yesterday, the market is recalibrating fast. Gold dropped aggressively into discount zones, but no clean structural reversal is confirmed.
This is a textbook trap environment. Expect:
– Fakeouts before confirmation
– Aggressive sweeps around equilibrium
– Delayed real moves until after NY volatility settles
No guessing. No chasing. Structure only.
📉 STRUCTURAL BIAS – MULTI-TF OUTLOOK
Daily Bias: Bearish – No BOS reclaim. Market remains under macro OBs.
4H Bias: Bearish – BOS confirmed below 3220. Price now reacting at lower OBs.
1H Bias: Neutral – Price is consolidating after tapping demand. No clean shift yet.
Conclusion: No bullish confirmation across major timeframes. Every bounce is suspect unless proven otherwise.
📍 GOLDMINDSFX REACTIVE ZONE MAP
🟢 DISCOUNT ZONES (For Confirmed Longs Only):
– 3120-3130 → Current active OB – reacting but unconfirmed
– 3100-3110 → Sweep + OB + EMA100 area
– 3050-3065 → Deep macro demand. Only valid on structural breakdown
🔴 PREMIUM ZONES (Watch for Trap Rejections):
– 3140–3155 → Internal breaker block – possible trap
– 3175–3190 → 1H supply zone + FVG – key reversal zone
– 3235–3255 → Premium OB – only valid post-news spike
🎯 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK
If price reclaims and holds 3176 → short-term structure may shift bullish
If 3110 is swept with CHoCH → buyers may attempt recovery
During news – we do nothing. Wait for confirmation, not confusion.
🔒 FINAL NOTE
Today is about reactive precision, not predictive bias.
Let Gold show its hand — then act. The second move is the real one.
“Structure is the setup. News is the trap.” 🎯
Patience is your profit today.
Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — if this helps your trading; let’s build a sharp Gold team
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Smells Like a Trend ReversalWeekly Recap – Gold Market
Monday, May 12, 2025
The week began with a sharp GAP during the Asian session (starting around 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York on Sunday) :
Gold dropped abruptly by $60, from $3,325 to $3,266.
The catalyst was a temporary easing of trade tensions between the U.S. and China, following weekend negotiations that led to a 90-day tariff pause.
During the European session (starting at 8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , the downtrend continued, pushing the price further down to $3,207.
Tuesday–Wednesday, May 13–14
Between these two sessions, the price consolidated within a narrow range of $3,265 to $3,202 (63 $ range).
Despite better-than-expected U.S. inflation data, there was no significant breakout—the market remained indecisive.
Wednesday, May 14 – European Session
The price continued its descent, falling from $3,243 to $3,168—a $75 drop—indicating persistent downward pressure despite macroeconomic stability.
Thursday, May 15
The Asian session (1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York) began quietly, with a range between $3,168 and $3,192.
Then a sharp drop to $3,123 followed (down $71), triggered by new statements from President Trump, who announced potential trade deals with India, Japan, and South Korea.
In the European session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , a strong reversal occurred.
After failed peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul, and due to growing geopolitical uncertainty plus a weakening dollar, gold surged by $132, from $3,120 to $3,252.
Friday, May 16
The Asian session opened slightly bearish, with gold dipping from $3,252 to $3,218.
However, bullish momentum returned during the European and U.S. sessions, continuing Thursday’s upward trend and adding $51 by day’s end.
📰 Geopolitical News Landscape
India / Pakistan
Since the Kashmir terror attack on May 9, 2025, tensions have escalated again.
Cross-border airstrikes and border closures have resumed. A fragile ceasefire, brokered by the U.S., is under pressure.
Disputes over water rights further strain relations.
➡️ Short-term outlook: high tension remains.
Gaza Conflict
On May 9, Israel launched Operation Gideon’s Chariot against Hamas, aiming to dismantle the group and rescue hostages.
Over 300 deaths have been reported. A leaked plan suggests Gaza will be divided into three heavily controlled zones.
The humanitarian situation is catastrophic (over 53,000 deaths since 2023).
Peace talks are underway in Doha, but the situation remains dire.
➡️ No relief in sight.
Russia / Ukraine
Direct talks were held in Istanbul for the first time in three years.
While a prisoner exchange (1,000 each side) took place, no substantial progress was achieved.
Russia demands Ukrainian troop withdrawals from contested areas—Kyiv refuses.
Simultaneously, Russian attacks intensified, including drone strikes on Sumy.
➡️ A ceasefire remains unlikely in the near term.
U.S.–China Trade War
A 90-day tariff pause was announced the weekend before May 12:
U.S. tariffs cut from 145% to 30%
Chinese tariffs reduced from 125% to 10%
Markets reacted positively at first—especially in retail and shipping sectors.
➡️ However, unresolved structural issues (e.g., tech transfers, export controls) keep tensions fragile.
No comprehensive deal is in sight.
⚖️ Trump vs. Powell
Tensions escalate between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell:
- Trump demands aggressive rate cuts
- Powell warns of inflation risks
- The Fed holds the interest rate steady at 4.25–4.5%
- A 10% staff reduction is planned at the Fed for “efficiency”
➡️ The growing political interference is increasing market instability.
📉 U.S. Inflation – April 2025
The official inflation rate dropped to 2.3%, the lowest since February 2021.
However, consumer inflation expectations soared to 7.3%, the highest since 1981.
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 50.8—a historic low.
➡️ A clear gap between perception and data is emerging.
📊 Technical Analysis – Short-Term
Since May 12, an open GAP exists between $3,289 and $3,325 (36 $ range)
A V-shaped reversal formed from the low on May 15 ($3,120) to the Friday close ($3,204)
Symmetrical triangle formation suggests a convergence around $3,284 (possible by Tuesday)
➡️ Current trading range: $3,172 to $3,285 (113 $ range)
💡 Outlook for Monday, May 19
Time-Zone-Based Expectations:
Asia session (starting 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York Sunday):
👉 Potential retest of $3,154
Europe session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York):
👉 Bullish outlook toward $3,234
U.S. session (2:30 PM London / 9:30 AM New York):
👉 Possible continuation of bullish move — open-ended potential
📌 Trade Setup – Monday 8:00 AM (London) / 3:00 AM (New York)
If price is below $3,154 → I stay flat and wait for clear signals
If price is above $3,172 → I consider a long position, unless conflicting news emerges
🎯 Weekly Target
My goal for the week is $3,348, provided the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) holds near the 100-point level.
🧠 Conclusion
I am increasingly convinced that news-driven trading delivers the best results—if one can properly interpret the signals.
🔢 Fibonacci Levels
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,500 (April 22)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,435 (May 6)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,252 (May 16)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Bullish Reversal Forming at Key Support Zone – Targeting 3,450Instrument: Unspecified (likely XAU/USD or an index, judging by the price range)
Current Price: ~3,250.100
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red): 3,284.255
EMA 200 (Blue): 3,287.152
🟣 Key Zones:
Support Zone: Around 3,200 – a strong demand zone where price previously bounced.
Target Zone: Around 3,450 – the last major resistance and recent high.
📉 Current Price Action:
Price recently tested the support zone and is forming a potential double bottom pattern.
EMAs are above the price, indicating a short-term bearish trend, but the price holding support may suggest a possible reversal.
A bullish trajectory is drawn, projecting a potential rise toward the target zone at 3,450.
📈 Potential Trade Idea (Hypothetical):
Entry: Near current price or on pullback to the small support box (~3,240)
Stop-loss: Below the major support (~3,190)
Take-profit: Around 3,450
⚠️ Key Considerations:
Price needs to break above the EMAs to confirm momentum shift.
Watch for confirmation with bullish candlesticks or volume spike.
Failure to hold the 3,200 support could invalidate this setup.
Snakito turning into a dragon oh my my Now that the crying man left the building... What to expect from Queen G.
Will it come back down and make a bunch of bears happy at 3 104?
I’d personally love that, but the odds are against me on that one. At least for now.
Fib channel hit 0.236 along the 3.618 ring fib and the 0.5 fib of the extension fib.
Price then ran through multiple levels trying to reclaim some territory and hit resistance when it touched the channel fib 1 while finding support just above the 0.382 fib of the same channel.
While the week ended just under the 0.5 fan resistance fib, we could expect the price to run close to 3215-3220 followed by a liquidity sweep between 3171 - 3192… need to grab as much fuel available to try to run up there again. Or-OR… double bottom? That would certainly give even more confidence to retail traders to go long... It never hurts to take some psychology into account .Would be nice wouldn’t it.
I’d like to see the following area to be tapped into as we navigate through the new week:
3264-3274
3288-3307
3347-3360
Only time will tell and on that I wish you all a great trading week ahead, let's see if this doodle is as magical as the crying man. It was a good run
I know this idea is under bullish trend but it's more of a short term thing until we hit that lower high and dip down like the girl on the chart hahahahahahahaha
XAUUSD MONTHLY OUTLOOK — MAY 2025🕰️ Timeframe: Monthly
📍 Current Price: 3204
📈 Bias: Cautious Bullish-to-Neutral
📏 Trend: Long-term bullish | Near-term exhaustion
🔎 STRUCTURAL OVERVIEW
✅ HTF Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed above 2075 (2020/2022 resistance)
✅ Sustained higher highs + strong impulse candles since Oct 2023
⛔️ Price just wicked into Monthly FIB Extension Zone (1.618–2.0) = 3440–3500
⚠️ Bearish wick formed near 3500, suggesting premium rejection
🧠 KEY TECHNICAL ZONES (Monthly)
Zone Type Price Range Notes
🔼 Premium Supply 3440–3500 Monthly FIB Extension zone + rejection wick + final extension of long-term bull leg
🔼 Resistance 3222–3242 Previous OB and last BOS area before wick spike — possible retest point
⚠️ Mid-Zone 3160–3185 Equilibrium / liquidity trap area seen on H4/D1
🟩 Monthly Demand 2960–3050 Large unmitigated zone + FVG + consolidation base before impulse
🟦 Discount Range 2800–2950 Key reaccumulation blocks from 2023 rallies
🔮 MACRO + MARKET CONTEXT
💬 Geopolitical Tension: Ongoing inflation concerns and Fed credibility under fire after CPI/UoM combo
📉 UoM Sentiment: Dropped below expectations = recessionary anxiety
📊 Inflation Expectations: Came in hotter = market confused, no clean direction
🗣️ Powell speech + May FOMC aftermath = market lacks conviction, stuck in uncertainty
🧭 STRATEGIC SCENARIOS
✅ Bullish Continuation (if retracement holds above 3160–3180)
Potential reentry toward 3240–3250 and re-test upper wick zone >3440
Must see H4 CHoCH + volume confluence
❌ Bearish Retracement (if lower timeframes lose 3160)
Deeper move likely toward 3050–3080 = Monthly demand base
Below that = consolidation back to 2960
⚙️ FIBONACCI EXTENSION
Applied from breakout leg Oct 2023 (Low ~1810 to High ~2222 → projected from pullback at ~1984)
Extension targets:
1.272 = ✅ Reached
1.618 = 3440 = tapped
2.0 = 3500 = wick rejection
We are now reacting inside a fully extended bullish range, which supports a monthly cool-off.
🧠 FINAL WORD
Gold hit the monthly moonshot. Now it’s all about real structure and rotation:
💡 Watch how price respects the 3160–3180 range. Lose that — and we dive back toward 3050–3080.
Hold it — and we reload for the final frontier above 3440.
Gold’s Monthly Jetpack Ran Out of Fuel at 3500 🚀🔥 — Now It’s All About Gravity and Structure."
From FIB extensions to wick rejections, this is not the time to chase... it’s the time to react.
Comment, follow, and stay sharp — sniper mode never sleeps.
— GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
Key Levels to Watch on "Al-Ademy" Indicator – Breakout Expected!On the daily timeframe, the "Al-Ademy" indicator is showing crucial price levels that must be broken once the market opens. Each of these levels acts automatically as dynamic support and resistance on the indicator.
A breakout above or below any of these lines will likely confirm the next move – whether a continuation to the upside or downside.
Stay tuned for our detailed analysis once the market opens on Monday!
Gold Trade plan 19/05/2025Dear Traders,
The visible pattern is a 3-Drive Pattern — the potential reversal zone (PRZ) is around the 0.618–0.78 Fibonacci levels, which corresponds approximately to the 3300–3320 price range, where a reversal may occur. Additionally, a fanline pattern can also be observed.
My Final Target : 2980-3000
if you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
GOLD surges 1.5% then falls, US credit rating downgradedOANDA:XAUUSD have recovered from their biggest weekly decline in six months, as growing concerns about the US economic outlook and budget deficit boosted demand for safe-haven assets.
Spot gold rose 1.5% to $3,249.80 an ounce in early Asian trading before paring losses, up about 0.55% on the day at press time.
Moody's Ratings announced late Friday that it had removed the U.S. government's top credit rating, downgrading the country from Aaa to Aa1.
Moody's blamed successive U.S. presidents and lawmakers for the growing budget deficit, although Moody's said the situation showed little sign of improving.
"While we recognize that the United States has significant economic and fiscal strength, we believe that these strengths are no longer sufficient to fully offset the deterioration in fiscal metrics," Moody's said in a statement.
This “black swan” event has raised concerns about the US financial situation. Safe-haven buying has fueled a sharp rise in gold prices. In addition, the weakening of the US dollar has also benefited the gold price trend.
This downgrade is likely to add to Wall Street’s growing concerns about the US government bond market. While rising yields typically boost their respective currencies, debt concerns could increase skepticism about the USD.
Gold prices have been volatile in recent months. Last week, gold posted its biggest weekly decline since November as geopolitical tensions eased. The move followed a sharp rally in gold, which topped $3,500 an ounce for the first time last month.
Gold is still up more than 20% this year, driven by global conflicts, tariffs from US President Donald Trump and flows into exchange-traded funds.
Technical outlook OANDA:XAUUSD
After gold reached the target resistance of 3,250 USD, it weakened slightly again, this resistance level is noted by readers in the weekly publication.
In the short term, gold still has a bearish outlook with the nearest resistance at 3,250 USD followed by the confluence of EMA21 and Fibonacci retracement 0.382%.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still below 50, 50 is now acting as resistance while the RSI is still quite far from the oversold zone, indicating that there is still room for a decline in momentum ahead.
As long as gold remains below the 21 EMA, it remains bearish in the short term and a break below $3,200 would continue to push gold lower with a target of around $3,163 in the short term.
For gold to qualify for the upside, it needs to move above the 21 EMA, break the $3,300 base point and then target around $3,371 in the short term.
Intraday, the bearish outlook for gold in the short term will be highlighted again by the following levels.
Support: $3,200 – $3,163
Resistance: $3,250 – $3,292
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3261 - 3259⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3265
→Take Profit 1 3253
↨
→Take Profit 2 3247
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3199 - 3201⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3195
→Take Profit 1 3207
↨
→Take Profit 2 3213
DeGRAM | GOLD coming to the border of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is back at the channel’s mid-band after two “false-break” spikes off the floor; every triangle that resolved upward inside 3 300-3 350 has been faded, preserving the series of lower-highs.
● Today’s run tags the slanted supply (3 330-3 350) while 1-h candles print bearish wicks and RSI stalls below its May peak – a momentum squeeze that usually precedes rotation to 3 284 support, then 3 210/3 120 at the base.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US durable-goods orders beat and Fed minutes repeated “higher for longer”, pushing 2-yr yields above 4.95 % and reviving ETF outflows (WGC), both headwinds for non-yielding gold.
✨ Summary
Sell 3 300-3 340; first targets 3 284 ➜ 3 210, stretch 3 120. Invalidate on hourly close above 3 350.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold’s Short-Term Setup!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to fall today after the news " The United States has dropped its tariffs on Chinese goods to 30%, down from a brutal 145%, while China is slashing its own duties on US imports to just 10%, temporarily, for the next 90 days. "
Gold is moving near a Heavy Support zone($3,198-$3,136) .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it appears that Gold has completed five downwaves , and we should expect Gold to rise at least to the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) .
It is possible that selling pressure on Gold will increase again with the opening of the US marke t. But this analysis is in the short term , and it is likely to hit Target before the US market opens.
The Bullish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern can also be a sign of Gold rising , at least in the short term .
I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,241.890.
Note: Stop Loss(SL): $3204.820
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold price hidden 3200, waiting for opportunity to increase✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 05/19/2025 - 05/23/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices dropped over 1.5% on Friday, poised to close the week with a steep loss of more than 4%, as improved risk sentiment drove investors away from safe-haven assets and toward equities and other riskier investments. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,187, retreating from a daily peak of $3,252.
The precious metal started the week on the back foot following reports of a significant de-escalation in the US-China trade conflict, including a mutual agreement to reduce tariffs by 115%, which triggered a sharp selloff in bullion. Despite fluctuating between $3,120 and $3,265 throughout the week, gold struggled to sustain bullish momentum, with fading buyer interest becoming increasingly evident amid stronger risk appetite and encouraging US economic data.
🔥 Identify:
Gold price is still in the accumulation phase waiting for a price decrease around 3200. Will be greatly affected by tariff news and Russia - Ukraine peace negotiations
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3265, $3357
Support: $3160, $3112
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold Price Analysis May 16Yesterday's D1 candle pulled back within the uptrend with a liquidity sweep to 3121. Today there is unlikely to be a sell-off and the price will continue to return in the uptrend.
Today, it is better to mainly look for retest points for BUY signals.
In the immediate future, 3198 is the first BUY zone that the Asia-Europe session can consider. When breaking this zone, buy entries may not carry long TP expectations. The Breakout zone of 3153 and the bottom zone of 3125 are two important supports to prevent the gold price from a downward slide.
In the opposite direction, the Asian session resistance zone around 3254 also acts as an immediate barrier for the gold price increase. Break 3254 should not BUY until the 3288 zone before SELL Scalping can be done. The upper barrier of the Daily Frame is at 3320.
Gold Trade Plan 20/05/2025Dear Traders.
The market is still ranging between 3200–3240, and the Dollar Index is at the bottom of its channel. If the double line is broken, I expect the price to rise toward the 3360 area, provided the descending trendline is also broken. However, if there’s no pullback observed after the breakout, the price could drop to the 3120 zone.
if you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
GOLD Rising Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is making a nice bearish
Correction and will soon hit
A rising support line at which point
Gold will be trading at a 10% discount
Giving us a great entry point
To ride the coming bullish wave
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD – Weekly Outlook | May 19–23, 2025“Sniper Zones Reloaded – Gold Pullback Season or Just a Tease?”
🔍 Macro View:
Gold just closed a massive -3.6% weekly candle off the top at 3435 — a clear sign of rejection from a premium exhaustion zone. After weeks of uninterrupted bullish madness, we finally have signs of cooling. But is it the start of a deeper correction or just Friday’s fade?
➤ Dollar Strength picked up again after UoM Sentiment miss + sticky inflation expectations.
➤ FOMC minutes (Wed) + Unemployment Claims (Thu) = the potential catalysts for the next impulsive leg.
🔄 Weekly Market Structure:
✅ BOS to the upside still valid – no CHoCH printed yet on W1
📍Current candle printed a clear top wick rejection after liquidity sweep
🕳️ Internal structure on LTFs is bearish – signaling potential deeper pullback
🧭 Key Weekly Zones (Sniper-Ready):
Zone Type Price Range Description
🔻 Supply #1 3435–3465 Premium FVG top + rejection wick
🔻 Supply #2 3285–3320 Imbalance left behind on the last push up
🔻 Sell Zone 3210–3240 Mitigated OB, possible retest
🟩 Buy Zone #1 3095–3120 Weekly FVG + Fibo 38.2 retrace
🟩 Buy Zone #2 2980–3030 Unmitigated demand block, old resistance turned demand
🟩 Buy Zone #3 2850–2890 Weekly CHoCH zone & deep Fibo retrace
📈 Fibonacci Extensions (from last major HL–HH):
FE 100% = 3435 ✅ hit
FE 127% = 3580 (remains next upside target IF retracement holds at key support)
FE 161.8% = 3720 (only if we reclaim 3435 cleanly)
🔺 Weekly Bias:
Short-Term: Bearish pullback (especially early week if no bullish LTF CHoCH)
Mid-Term: Bullish continuation still valid if 3090–3120 holds
🧠 Key Notes:
Expect trap zones and tricky NY opens if no clean confirmation
3210 = likely re-entry point for bears if price retraces
3090–3120 = key defensive line for bulls; invalidation of this = possible slide to 2980
If 3435 gets swept again with strength and closes above → bullish continuation unlocked
🧨 High-Impact Risk Events – This Week
📅 Thu, May 22
📉 Unemployment Claims – 2:30pm
📊 Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI – 3:45pm
🏠 Existing Home Sales – 4:00pm
📅 Fri, May 23
📊 New Home Sales – 4:00pm
📑 FOMC Financial Stability Report (tentative)
📌 Gold Weekly Outlook – “Sniper Zones Reloaded 🔫”
After weeks of pure bullish momentum, gold finally showed signs of exhaustion with a clean weekly rejection from the premium zone.
Is this the start of a real pullback? Or just another fakeout to shake out retail before continuation?
We’ve mapped the structure:
🟥 3435 is the stronghold
🟩 3090 is the battlefield
With Unemployment Claims, PMIs, and housing data lined up this week, expect volatility — but don’t force entries.
Trade light. Stay patient. Let the sniper setup come to you. 🎯
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💬 Drop your bias below — correction or continuation? 👇
Will gold continue to rise after breaking down?Technical analysis of gold: the daily cycle is constructed based on the M-head pattern. 3202 is the bullish defense position. If it cannot go up at the close, there will be further declines. A major technical breakdown has occurred. Pay attention to the change in thinking. If the adjustment is large, it may even reach 2900/3000. It rises quickly and falls just as quickly, but the long-term logic of gold's rise remains unchanged. It is also an opportunity to deploy more when it goes down, but the position needs to be observed by the market. It is difficult to predict at present. In the short term, rely on 3198 to do short selling. After breaking 3200, pay attention to shorting even if it rebounds. If it rebounds upward, go short at the golden section resistance of 3265.
After gold fell below 3202 in the US market, it rebounded to 3198 at its highest. This rebound was just an oversold rebound, and then continued to fall back. Although it has not refreshed the low point for the time being, the pattern has weakened and it is difficult to rise again. Weak shorts can hardly get past 3198. The short-term support below is 3140/3150. Gold 1 hour still continues to cross downward short positions, and the short-term strength is still there. The rebound still continues to give shorts opportunities. There is no obvious sustained upward momentum in the short term, so such a market is just a rebound. Gold rebounds in the US market and continues to be short.
Overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and to go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3202-3205 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3150-3155 support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the position in batches near 3198-3202 in the early trading of gold, stop loss 10 points, target near 3180-3170, and look at 3150 if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Buy 20% of the position in batches near 3150-3155 when gold falls back, stop loss 10 points, target near 3170-3190, and look at 3200 if it breaks;
Bullish AB=CD Pattern on XAUUSD – PRZ at 3142–3172This chart shows a clear Bullish AB=CD pattern forming on the daily timeframe of XAUUSD (Gold Spot).
In this setup:
The CD leg equals AB in both length and time symmetry, forming a classic AB=CD structure.
The pattern completes in the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) between 3142 and 3172, where:
The CD leg extends to 113% of AB at 3172.58
A confluence of Fibonacci projections (including 200% extension of BC) enhances the significance of 3142.23
The price reacted from the PRZ, hinting at a potential bullish reversal.
🔹 Key Technical Levels:
PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone): 3142 – 3172
AB = CD Completion: Near 3172
200% BC Extension: 3142
🎯 Trade Idea:
Entry Zone: Between 3142 – 3172
Stop Loss: Below 3140 (breakdown invalidates the structure)
Target 1: 3311 (61.8% retracement of CD)
Target 2: 3365 (78.6% retracement of CD)
📌 Conclusion:
The AB=CD pattern is a powerful harmonic structure, especially when accompanied by Fibonacci confluence. As long as price holds above the PRZ, a bullish move toward 3311 and 3365 remains likely. A break below 3140 would negate this idea.
Gold Analysis – Can Buyers Push the Price Up to $3,350?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting a potential continuation to the upside.
Price has recently broken through a key resistance zone and has now returned to retest it. If this level holds as support, it will reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,350 target, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel.
As long as price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. However, failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a deeper pullback.
Remember, always confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
Gold Price Analysis May 20Yesterday's D candle is still in the sideways range of Gold, showing only a little bit of bullish force and the next developments are unclear.
Gold has broken out of 3218 and is heading towards resistance 3236 in the late European session. This is also an important breakout zone, if it breaks this zone, Gold will find 3282 in the US session, which is completely possible. The resistance zones around 3250 are really no longer valuable for the return of Gold's price increase. The resistance zone is considered for Scalping to pay attention to the price reaction to SELL around 3265.
After Gold decreases, the Break out zone 3218 acts as immediate support, the Break out zone 3192 is the Target for SELL entries and if the US session's strong selling force breaks this zone, then don't buy anymore and have to wait for support 3159.
Wish you a successful transaction
ALADEMY-TARGET-STOPLOSS Indicator - Daily & Hourly AnalysisDaily Outlook (Heikin Ashi):
Today's daily candle is a green Heikin Ashi bullish candle, currently trading above the thin yellow line (indicating bullish potential) and also above the thick yellow line, which often acts as a bearish threshold. A close above both levels suggests strong upside momentum.
If this bullish behavior continues, the next potential target is around 3311.
Hourly Confirmation:
For users of the Alademy Indicator, monitor the 1-hour chart closely:
If an hourly Heikin Ashi candle opens above the thin yellow line and it's a bullish candle, this serves as a positive confirmation of upward momentum.
If another Heikin Ashi candle opens above the thin blue line, this is a stronger bullish signal, increasing the probability of reaching the green resistance line (the next major level).
📌 Key Tip: Keep watching the hourly chart for these confirmations to time entries effectively.