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GOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

GOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

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XAUUSDK trade ideas

GOLD | Pressure Below Pivot – Eyes on 3255 and 3238GOLD | Market Outlook The overall momentum remains bearish as long as the price trades below the pivot line at 3297. Currently, the price is attempting to stabilize below 3281, suggesting a potential continuation of the downtrend toward 3270 and 3255. A confirmed 1H close below 3255 would further strengthen the bearish scenario, opening the way toward 3238. Sell Setup: Valid if 1H candle closes below 3281→ Targets: 3270 and 3255 Buy Setup: Valid if 1H candle closes above 3297→ Targets: 3314 Key Levels: • Pivot: 3281 • Support: 3255 / 3238 • Resistance: 3297 / 3314
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
Gold continues to fluctuate, where will it go next week?Fundamental analysis: With the Trump administration's massive tax cut and spending bill officially implemented, the U.S. Treasury may start a "supply flood" of short-term Treasury bonds to make up for the trillions of dollars in fiscal deficits in the future. The market has begun to respond to future supply pressures. Concerns about the oversupply of short-term Treasury bonds have been directly reflected in prices - the yield on 1-month short-term Treasury bonds has risen significantly since Monday this week. A closer look at non-agricultural new jobs exceeded expectations, but nearly half came from government departments, which is likely to reverse in July. Slowing wage growth, declining total working hours, stagnant wage income growth, and worrying consumer spending are all signs of support for gold. Gold bottomed out and rose from the low of 3245 this week, and then soared all the way to 3365. Finally, the weekly line closed with a positive line with an upper shadow. From the overall trend, after the data is digested, next week will still be treated with a volatile mindset. The large range will focus on the 3280-3393 area. If it does not break, it will still be mainly a sweeping operation. On the daily line, it also closed with a positive line with a long upper shadow, and closed firmly above 3323. It repeatedly tested the pressure of 3345 and did not break and fell back. The structure still maintained an oscillation rhythm within a small range. From the 4-hour cycle, the Bollinger Bands closed significantly. If it opens normally next week, pay attention to the 3325-3315 and 3311 areas when it falls back to support, and pay attention to the 3357 and 3365 positions when it hits the high pressure. It is recommended to maintain the strategy of selling high and buying low in operation and respond to the trend.For more specific operational details and strategy updates, please pay attention to the notifications at the bottom 🌐 and follow them in time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Excellent start of E.U. sessionAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I am Highly satisfied with my Profit and will take early weekend break, not catching a Falling knife." I have monitored the Price-action from sidelines throughout Friday's session as explained above however mid E.U. session I have engaged two #100 Lot Buying orders on #3,278.80 few moments ago and closed both of my Scalps on #3,285.80 with excellent Profit. Quick update: No Swing orders today, only aggressive Scalps similar to Scalp orders I mentioned above from my key re-Buy points. If #3,300.80 is recovered, newly formed Bullish structure will push for #3,313.80 and #3,327.80 test. If #3,300.80 benchmark is preserved, I will still keep Buying (Scalp only however). I will have Gold's major move revealed after today's session.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
Excellent opportunities on GoldAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I have engaged #4 Scalp orders throughout yesterday's session (all in Profit) and will continue to do so however on the other side (Buying) from my key entry points. Keep in mind that overall trend remains Bullish and Trade accordingly." As I expected upside extension as per above, I have waited for #3,352.80 - #3,357.80 my local Top's for the sequence and started aggressively Selling Gold from #3,348.80 first, then #3,352.80 #4 aggressive Selling Scalps and #3,357.80 final two Scalps which I held all the way towards #3,345.80 Support for the fractal (cca #130k Profits Intra-day). My position: Since #3,337.80 was neckline for upside Bull structure, I was aware if it gets invalidated to the downside, it will open doors for #3,327.80 extension (which held twice throughout late U.S. and Asian session). I don't expect much Selling action today however Bulls need another Fundamental push to invalidate wall of Resistances at #3,340's and #3,350's. I will continue Scalping as opportunity arise / no Swing orders.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
Gold on relief rallyAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: Quick update: No Swing orders today, only aggressive Scalps similar to Scalp orders I mentioned above from my key re-Buy points. If #3,300.80 is recovered, newly formed Bullish structure will push for #3,313.80 and #3,327.80 test. If #3,300.80 benchmark is preserved, I will still keep Buying (Scalp only however). I will have Gold's major move revealed after today's session." Technical analysis: I have been aware that another failed attempt to invalidate #3,272.80 - #3,278.80 local Support zone will most likely result into firm rejection and yet another push towards #3,302.80 psychological benchmark and ultimately the #3,327.80 level which represents Short-term Resistance line which is now invalidated to the upside (as discussed above already). Keep in mind that the current Bullish Short-term set-up can offer a great opportunity for those who missed the last rally to enter at almost (# +1.00%) of the Price so many Sellers which were liquidated will now engage multiple Buying orders so Buying pressure will be significantly Higher. Gold is extending the Trade nicely inside the healthy Hourly 4 chart's Ascending Channel and after failed Support zone reversal. Price-action has even more probabilities now to test #3,352.80 psychological benchmark. Gold is Fundamentally Bullish as well due Tariffs announcement. My position: I have engaged #4 Scalp orders throughout yesterday's session (all in Profit) and will continue to do so however on the other side (Buying) from my key entry points. Keep in mind that overall trend remains Bullish and Trade accordingly.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
Down the road - Gold Outlook June 30 - July 24, 2025FX_IDC:XAUUSD 📰 The past weeks has been a wild ride for gold prices, caught between the fiery conflict in the Middle East and a deluge of crucial economic data from the U.S. 📈 Adding to this, a detailed technical analysis provides a deeper look into gold's immediate future. **Geopolitical Drama Unfolds & Peace Prevails!** 🕊️ ceasefire negotiations. Initially, gold was shrouded in uncertainty 🌫️ due to the Iran-Israel war, with markets bracing for potential U.S. involvement and a full-blown escalation. Daily tit-for-tat attacks between Iran and Israel kept everyone on edge, and the question of U.S. intervention remained a nail-biter 😬, though President Trump did announce a 14-day "timeout". Then came the dramatic twist on June 21st: "Operation Midnighthammer" saw the U.S. unleash bunker-buster bombs on Iranian uranium enrichment facilities. 💥 Short time later, the U.S. declared mission accomplished, stating their goal of destroying these sites was achieved, and no further attacks would follow. Iran's response, "Operation Annunciation of Victory," on the following Monday, involved missile strikes on U.S. military bases in Qatar and Iraq. 🚀 Interestingly, these attacks were pre-announced, allowing for safe evacuations and thankfully, no casualties. 🙏 The biggest surprise came from President Trump as he declared, "Congratulations world, it's time for peace!" 🎉 He then brokered a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, which, despite being fragile, largely held, leading to the war's end.🤝 Both nations, as expected, officially claimed victory – a common move to satisfy their citizens. 🏅 Personally, I was genuinely surprised that the U.S.President mediated ceasefire, actually brought the conflict to a close – but it's a welcome outcome! 🙏 **Economic Data & Fed's Steady Hand** 💹🏛️ The cessation of hostilities triggered a steady downward slide in gold prices from June 24th to 27th. ⬇️ This dip initially met some market resistance but it ultimately prevailed, especially with the release of mixed U.S. economic data, which, despite being varied, was generally interpreted positively by the market. The spotlight also shone on the Federal Reserve, with several representatives speaking and Fed Chair Jerome Powell undergoing a two-day Senate hearing. 🎤👨‍⚖️ Powell meticulously explained the Fed's rationale for holding interest rates steady, despite market pressures. 🤷 However, recent whispers suggest the Federal Reserve might actually cut rates in September! 😮 ## Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍📰 India / Pakistan Pakistan rejected claims that it supported militant groups active in Indian Kashmir. India issued a formal protest but reported no fresh border clashes during the week. Outlook 🔮: De-escalation is possible in the short term. However, unresolved disputes over water rights (Indus Treaty) could reignite tensions. Gaza Conflict Heavy Israeli airstrikes killed dozens in Gaza, including civilians near aid centers. The UN warned that U.S.-backed aid systems are failing. Humanitarian corridors remain blocked. Outlook 🔮: Ceasefire talks may resume in July, but success depends on international pressure and safe humanitarian access. Russia / Ukraine Russia advanced 36 sq mi in eastern Ukraine, deploying outdated T-62 tanks. Ukraine reinforced defensive lines, aided by Western military packages. Outlook 🔮: The front remains volatile. Sustained Western support will be key to halting further Russian gains. U.S. – China Trade War A breakthrough deal was signed for China to fast-track rare-earth exports to the U.S. Talks on tech transfer and tariffs continue behind closed doors. Outlook 🔮: A phased de-escalation is possible, but deep trust issues linger, especially over semiconductors and AI. 🌐 Global Trade War Several countries, including Brazil and Thailand, imposed fresh restrictions on Chinese imports, echoing the U.S. stance. Global supply chains remain fragmented. Outlook 🔮: Trade blocs like the EU and Mercosur may take on greater importance as countries hedge against rising protectionism. Trump vs. Powell Fed Chair Powell resisted political pressure, stating rate cuts are unlikely before September. Trump called him “stubborn” and demanded immediate easing. Outlook 🔮: The Fed’s independence is under strain. If Trump wins re-election, major policy shifts could follow. 📈 U.S. Inflation Despite tariffs, core inflation remains elevated. Powell warned of persistent price pressures. Trump insists the Fed should cut rates to boost growth. Outlook 🔮: A rate cut later in 2025 is possible—if labor market data weakens. Until then, inflation will remain politically explosive. ## Technical View 📐📈 **Current Market Context:** Gold plummeted to $3,273.67 USD/t.oz on June 27, 2025, marking a 1.65% drop from the previous day, which confirms the strong bearish momentum. The price action shows a significant retreat from recent highs around $3,400. **ICT (Inner Circle Trader) Methodology Analysis:** * **Market Structure:** The trend is clearly bearish, with a definitive break of structure (BOS) to the downside. * **Order Blocks:** Several bearish order blocks have been identified at prior resistance levels, specifically in the $3,380-$3,400 range. * **Fair Value Gaps (FVG):** The aggressive sell-off has created multiple imbalances, particularly in the $3,350-$3,320 range. * **Liquidity Pools:** Buy-side liquidity above $3,400 has been swept. Sell-side liquidity is now accumulating below the $3,270 lows, which is the current target zone. * **Session Analysis:** The London session showed aggressive selling, followed by a continuation of bearish momentum in the New York session. The Asia session could see consolidation or further declines. * **Smart Money Concepts:** Heavy selling pressure suggests "smart money" distribution. There's been strong bearish displacement from $3,380 down to $3,270, indicating the market is currently in a "sell program" phase. **Gann Analysis:** * **Gann Angles & Time Cycles:** The primary 1x1 Gann angle has been broken, pointing to continued weakness. Key price squares indicate resistance at $3,375 (25²) and support at $3,249 (57²). Daily cycles suggest a potential turning point around June 30-July 1, while weekly cycles indicate continued pressure through early July. * **Gann Levels:** * Resistance: $3,375, $3,400, $3,481 (59²) * Support: $3,249, $3,136, $3,025 **Fibonacci Analysis:** * **Key Retracement Levels (from recent swing high to low):** * 78.6%: $3,378 (Strong resistance) * 61.8%: $3,348 (Key resistance zone) * 50.0%: $3,325 (Psychological level) * 38.2%: $3,302 (Minor resistance) * 23.6%: $3,285 (Current area of interest) * **Fibonacci Extensions (Downside Targets):** * 127.2%: $3,245 * 161.8%: $3,195 * 261.8%: $3,095 * **Time-Based Fibonacci:** The next significant time cluster is July 2-3, 2025, with a major cycle completion expected around July 15-17, 2025. **Institutional Levels & Volume Analysis:** * **Key Institutional Levels:** * Major Resistance: $3,400 (psychological + institutional) * Secondary Resistance: $3,350-$3,375 (order block cluster) * Primary Support: $3,250-$3,270 (institutional accumulation zone) * Major Support: $3,200 (monthly pivot area) * **Volume Profile Analysis:** * High Volume Node (HVN): $3,320-$3,340 (fair value area) * Low Volume Node (LVN): $3,280-$3,300 (potential acceleration zone) * Point of Control (POC): Currently around $3,330 **Central Bank & Hedge Fund Levels:** Based on recent COT data and institutional positioning, heavy resistance is seen at $3,400-$3,430, where institutions likely distributed. An accumulation zone for "smart money" re-entry is anticipated at $3,200-$3,250. **Cycle Timing Analysis:** * **Short-Term Cycles (Intraday):** Bearish momentum is expected to continue for another 12-18 hours. A daily cycle low is likely between June 29-30, with a potential reversal zone on July 1-2 for the 3-day cycle. * **Medium-Term Cycles:** The current weekly cycle is in week 3 of a 4-week decline. The monthly cycle indicates a mid-cycle correction within a larger uptrend. For the quarterly cycle, Q3 2025 could see a major low formation. * **Seasonal Patterns:** July-August is typically a weaker period for gold ("Summer Doldrums"). September has historically been strong for precious metals ("September Effect"), setting up for a potential major move higher in Q4 2025 ("Year-End Rally"). **Trading Strategy & Levels:** * **Bearish Scenario (Primary):** * Entry: Sell rallies into the $3,320-$3,350 resistance zone. * Targets: $3,250, $3,200, $3,150. * Stop Loss: Above $3,380. * **Bullish Scenario (Secondary):** * Entry: Buy support at $3,250-$3,270 with confirmation. * Targets: $3,320, $3,375, $3,400. * Stop Loss: Below $3,230. **Key Events to Watch:** * **US PCE Data:** Fresh downside risks could emerge ahead of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data release. * **Fed Communications:** Any hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve could further pressure gold. * **Geopolitical Developments:** Ongoing global events could trigger safe-haven demand. **Conclusion:** The technical picture for gold suggests continued short-term weakness, with the metal testing its 2025 trend line at $3,290 following last week's rejection at the $3,430 resistance. However, the longer-term outlook remains constructive, given gold's robust performance year-to-date. Key support at $3,250-$3,270 will be crucial in determining the next significant price movement. **Upcoming Week's Economic Calendar (June 29 - July 4, 2025):** 🗓️🌍 🗓️ Get ready for these important economic events (EDT) * ** Sunday , June 29, 2025** * 21:30 CNY: Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 49.6, Previous: 49.5 * ** Monday , June 30, 2025** * 09:45 USD: Chicago PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 42.7, Previous: 40.5 * ** Tuesday , July 1, 2025** * 05:00 EUR: CPI (YoY) (Jun) - Forecast: 2.0%, Previous: 1.9% * 09:30 USD: Fed Chair Powell Speaks * 09:45 USD: S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 52.0, Previous: 52.0 * 10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 48.8, Previous: 48.5 * 10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing Prices (Jun) - Forecast: 70.2, Previous: 69.4 * 10:00 USD: JOLTS Job Openings (May) - Forecast: 7.450M, Previous: 7.391M * ** Wednesday , July 2, 2025** * 08:15 USD: ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jun) - Forecast: 80K, Previous: 37K * 10:30 USD: Crude Oil Inventories - Forecast: -5.836M * ** Thursday , July 3, 2025** * Holiday: United States - Independence Day (Early close at 13:00) 🇺🇸⏰ * 08:30 USD: Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Jun) - Forecast: 0.3%, Previous: 0.4% * 08:30 USD: Initial Jobless Claims - Forecast: 239K, Previous: 236K * 08:30 USD: Nonfarm Payrolls (Jun) - Forecast: 129K, Previous: 139K * 08:30 USD: Unemployment Rate (Jun) - Forecast: 4.2%, Previous: 4.2% * 09:45 USD: S&P Global Services PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 53.1, Previous: 53.1 * 10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 50.3, Previous: 49.9 * 10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Jun) - Forecast: 68.7 * ** Friday , July 4, 2025** * All Day: Holiday - United States - Independence Day 🎆 **Gold Price Forecast for the Coming Week** 🔮💰 Given last week's market movements, there's a strong likelihood that the downward trend in gold prices will continue.🔽 However, fresh news can always flip the script! 🔄 As of now, I expect gold to dip further to $3255 by mid-next week. Yet, a brief rebound towards $3300 isn't out of the question before a potential drop to $3200 by week's end or early the following week. 🤞 Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by Wick-Sniper
GOLD, back at higher base. BUY at 3250 enroute to ath 3500 / 4k.GOLD had a wonderful run this past few seasons grinding up a series of ATH taps every higher baselines since 1500. After goin to a new parabolic highs of 3500 ATH, GOLD did hibernate a bit and got trimmed back to 3240 levels -- a precise 61.8 FIB tap. This is where most buyers converge, and position themselves on the next run up. The next ascend series will be far more generous eyeing new higher numbers never before seen. Ideal seeding zone is at the current price range of 3250. Current higher lows on momentum metrics has been spotted conveying intense upside pressure as it moves forward. Spotted at 3250 Interim target at 3500 ATH Long term: 4000 TAYOR. Trade safely. Market will be market. Not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JSAL
Revealed: Beware of a strong counterattack from gold bears!Perhaps due to the impact of the NFP market later, gold fluctuated relatively cautiously today, and neither the long nor the short side showed signs of breakthrough, and the overall trend remained volatile. However, as gold rebounded, the market bullish sentiment gradually tended to be optimistic. In the short term, the lower support area was relatively obvious, that is, the second pull-up point 3335-3325 area, followed by 3315-3305 area; However, as gold rebounded twice and fell after touching 3365, the suppression above was also obvious. In the short term, it faced the suppression of 3375-3385 resistance. If gold cannot effectively break through this area, gold bears may make a stronger counterattack, so I don’t think gold bears have no chance at all. Therefore, I think there is still a good profit opportunity to try to touch the top and short gold. You can consider trying to short gold in the 3365-3375-3385 ​​area and look at the target: 3340-3330-3320.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
Gold Bulls Back in Control as Trump Pressures Fed for Rate CutsHey Realistic Traders! President Trump is ramping up pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates , saying the U.S. is falling behind countries with looser policies. As several Fed officials begin to shift their stance, expectations for rate cuts are growing. That’s putting pressure on the dollar and giving gold a fresh boost. We’ll take a closer look at what this means for OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) through technical analysis and explore its upside potential. Technical Analysis On the 4-hour chart, Gold has moved above the EMA-200, signaling a shift in momentum to the upside. Price has also broken out of a Descending Broadening Wedge (DBW) pattern, which often indicates the start of a bullish trend. The breakout was confirmed by a Bullish Marubozu candle, reflecting strong buying pressure. To add further confirmation, the MACD has formed a bullish crossover, reinforcing the upward momentum. Looking ahead, the first target is seen at 3417. If reached, a minor pullback toward the historical resistance zone (green area) may occur, with a potential continuation toward the second target at 3500. This bullish outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above the stop-loss level at 3271 . A break below this level would invalidate the setup and shift the outlook back to neutral. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on XAUUSD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by financialfreedomgoals101
Gold Holds Above 3342 Ahead of Key U.S Data –Bullish Bias IntactGold Rises as Market Awaits Key U.S. Economic Data Gold prices are pushing higher as investors position ahead of today’s major U.S. economic releases, including NFP and unemployment figures. Expectations of weaker data are supporting bullish sentiment. Technical Outlook (XAU/USD): Gold maintains a bullish structure as long as it trades above 3,342. → A push toward 3,365 is likely → A 1H close above 3,365 would open the path toward 3,375 However, if price closes below 3,342 on the 1H chart, bearish momentum may build, targeting 3,331 and 3,320 Key Levels: • Resistance: 3,365 / 3,375 / 3,390 • Support: 3,341 / 3,331 / 3,320
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
7.2 Gold price continues to fluctuate! Non-agricultural positionGold is still temporarily maintaining a wide range of fluctuations in the daily trend, and the price is temporarily under pressure around 3360. In the 4-hour level trend, after continuous high-level narrow fluctuations, the technical pattern has begun to weaken. The short-term moving average has gradually flattened from the previous upward divergence. After the continuous small-scale high-rise and fall back, the upward momentum in the short-term trend is insufficient. In the hourly level trend, the current running space is very compressed, but in the small-level cycle trend, after continuous fluctuations, the technical pattern has begun to weaken. The price has begun to slowly move out of the narrow range of fluctuations. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment and repair.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
XAU/USD Struggles Below 3352, Bearish Pressure Remains ActiveXAU/USD Below Pivot, Watching 3352 for Bullish Confirmation Gold prices edged up today as investors shifted their focus to the U.S. fiscal situation and lingering uncertainty ahead of the July 9 deadline when U.S. tariffs are set to take effect. But at the same time, we have strong resistance on the way. The price continues to move below the pivot level and the 3352 resistance, which together form a strong supply zone. A confirmed breakout above 3352 on the 4H candle is needed to validate a bullish move toward 3365. However, the possibility of a renewed decline remains unless the price also breaks above 3365, which would confirm a continuation of the upward trend. The bearish trend remains active as long as the price trades below the pivot at 3348 and the 3352 level. Sustained trading below this zone would likely lead to a decline toward 3320 and 3313. Key Technical Levels Resistance: 3352 - 3365 - 3400. Support Levels: 3320 - 3313 - 3218. Pivot Line: 3348
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
XAU/USD M5 – Bearish Fib Retracement & Downtrend Continuation SeXAU/USD M5 – Bearish Fib Retracement & Downtrend Continuation Setup Gold is currently testing the Fibonacci 0.236–0.382 retracement zone after a clean bearish leg, aligning with the descending channel structure. Price is now forming a possible lower high, hinting at a potential continuation of the intraday downtrend. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: Bearish Market Structure: Price remains inside a well-respected descending channel, respecting both lower highs and lower lows. Fibonacci Confluence: Retracement into the 0.236–0.382 zone (around $3,345 – $3,347) may act as a resistance. Rejection Expected: Small distribution forming near $3,347 inside the channel resistance. Downside Targets: 1.0 extension: ~$3,338 1.618 extension: ~$3,330 Extended target: Lower channel boundary 📊 Trade Setup: Bias: Short (scalp/intraday) Sell Area: $3,345 – $3,347 (Fibonacci + structure confluence) Stop Loss: Above $3,350 Target: $3,330 Risk:Reward: ~1:3 (depending on entry) 🧠 Tactical Note: Watch for a break and retest below $3,343–3,342 demand zone (purple box) to confirm continuation. A breakout from the descending channel would invalidate this scenario.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by raksazatrader
Gold Trade Plan 02/07/2025ِDear Traders, On the 1-hour chart of XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD), we observe a breakout of the descending trendline, followed by a successful pullback and continuation to the upside. The blue demand zone around 3295–3310 acted as a strong support and triggered a bullish move. As long as the price holds above this support, we expect the uptrend to continue, targeting the resistance areas between 3360–3375 and potentially up to 3390–3400. The RSI has pulled back from the overbought zone but is still holding above the 50 level, supporting the bullish sentiment. 📌 Conclusion: If the price holds above the support zone, further upside towards the resistance zones is likely. If the support fails, the bullish scenario may be invalidated for now. Regards, Alireza!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by alirezak
Below of last update of reverse head and shoulder post XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad 🔸 **Instrument:** Gold / USD (XAU/USD) 🔸 **Timeframe:** 30min 🔸 **Methodology:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Liquidity + OB + Market Structure 🔸 **Focus:** New Monthly Open Setup 🔍 Market Context: --- ## 🧠 Technical Breakdown: 1. **Strong recovery** after clearing deep liquidity sweep (Head zone) 2. **Bullish BOS** structure confirmed on LTF → Multiple HH and HL formed 3. Price now testing **Key Supply/OB zone at 3300–3315** 4. Above this zone lies a **Strong High (SH) around 3,350**, a potential liquidity magnet 5. Overall bias is bullish unless strong rejection appears from upper OB --- ## 📌 Trade Plan: | Position | Entry Confirmation Zone | Stop Loss (SL) | Take Profit (TP) | |----------|--------------------------|----------------|------------------| | | Short (scalp only) | Bearish reaction from 3,345–3,350 | Above 3,353 | TP1: 3,310 / TP2: 3,290 | --- ## ⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch: - 🔺 High-impact USD news (July 1st releases: Manufacturing PMI / employment preview) - 🔺 Overextension above supply zone without support → trap risk - 🔺 Bull trap risk if price spikes above 3,340 then sharply reverses --- ## ✅ Summary: > **Start of July** could fuel volatility and directional momentum. > The structure is clearly bullish short-term, but upper liquidity zones remain **highly reactive**. > Smart traders will wait for reaction at the 3,340–3,350 SH zone before overcommitting. **Structure:** 🔴 bearish momentum **Efficiency:** ✅ Clean **Liquidity:** 🔺 Above SH & Below recent HL 📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mmozafari1357
XAUUSD Daily Outlook – July 7, 2025👋 Hey traders, welcome to the fresh week! After the Friday selloff, gold is approaching a key inflection point. Let’s break down what’s happening on the Daily chart and how to approach it with clarity — no guessing, just precision. Stay focused. The real opportunity is always in how you prepare. 🌍 Macro + Sentiment Market remains sensitive to yield shifts and broader risk sentiment (BRICS summit also continues) Price remains elevated in premium territory after months of vertical flow — but structure is finally showing re-accumulation or re-distribution? 📈 Daily Bias Neutral to bearish until the 3330–3344 zone fully flips cleanly as support Structure shows lower highs, strong wick rejections in premium zones, and a need for confirmation 🧠 What the chart tells us: Price is compressing between a D1 FVG (below) and unfilled premium OB (above) Friday’s low wicked into a small imbalance — but was not a clean tap into the main OB RSI is midrange, EMAs are flat, and momentum is indecisive We're either gearing up for a bullish FVG reclaim or prepping for a deeper drop into discount ⚠️ Key Zones to Watch 🔵 Support Zones (Buy Zones) 3230–3208 → D1 Fair Value Gap + unmitigated bullish OB + discount pricing → Valid only with clean bullish rejection. High interest for sniper entries if price returns. 3170–3154 → Untapped daily OB + historical support wick + aligns with deeper discount zone → Stronger bounce zone if 3230 fails. Confluence with fib retracement & RSI likely oversold here. 🔴 Supply Zones (Sell Zones) 3420–3450 → Premium FVG + D1 OB combo + previous bearish rejection wick → High probability inducement area. Valid only if price fails to hold 3344 flip. 3388–3402 → Minor supply + internal structure break level → Short-term reaction area. Lower conviction but watch for rejection if price overextends. 🟡 Decision / Flip Zone 3327–3344 → Former support now turned resistance → If this zone flips bullish and holds, bias shifts to continuation. If rejection occurs, confirms retracement deeper into discount. ✅ Conclusion The market is entering a decision week — no rush. Let the chart guide you. Clarity comes not from prediction, but preparation. This chart isn’t hindsight — it’s a live framework. ✨ Final Thought If this chart feels clear, that’s because it was built with intention — not after the move, but before it happens. The difference between noise and precision is structure. And we don’t guess — we prepare. 🚀 If you appreciate detailed, real-time structure like this, hit follow and join the traders who value clean execution over hype. 💬 Drop your bias below — bullish or bearish this week? 📢 Disclosure: I use Trade Nation's broker feed on TradingView and I'm part of their influencer program. 📉 This is educational content and not financial advice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Gold has shown signs of recovery DowntrendXAUUSD Gold Technical Outlook – June 30 Gold has shown signs of recovery at the start of the session, largely supported by a weaker U.S. dollar. However, the upside remains uncertain as long as the price stays below key resistance zones. Gold is still in a downtrend Price action suggests a potential correction phase Key resistance area lies between 3294 – 3312 Failure to break this zone keeps the bearish pressure intact. If the price fails to hold above 3272, further downside targets are Key Levels: Resistance: 3294 / 3305 / 3312 Support: 3272 / 3255 / 3245 You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for better analysis share with you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrMartin_11
1
Gold's Next Week Trend & Trading TipsGold Trend Analysis for Next Week Fundamental Analysis Friday (July 4th) marks the U.S. Independence Day holiday, with gold oscillating narrowly near 3333 in early European trading 📊. The metal fell nearly 1% on Thursday (July 3rd) to close at 3325.87, weighed by unexpectedly strong June nonfarm payrolls 💪. This boosted the dollar and Treasury yields, dimming Fed rate-cut hopes and curbing gold’s appeal. Additionally, the U.S. Congress passed the Trump administration’s major tax cuts and spending bill, adding economic complexity 🔄. No key data is due today; markets will close early for the holiday, limiting volatility. Profit-taking on yesterday’s short positions may halt declines, leaving today’s trend likely range-bound or slightly rebounding 📈. Technical Analysis Gold rebounded from lows this week, with three straight bullish daily candles breaking above the middle Bollinger Band, signaling short-term strength 🐂. However, dual bearish triggers (nonfarm data and jobless claims) sparked a pullback Thursday, likely forming a bearish candle with a long lower shadow—a correction after three gains 🔄. The daily chart shows high-range consolidation, lacking sustained momentum. Dollar volatility has capped gold’s moves, with repeated tests of highs failing to break through and pullbacks lacking downside conviction. The daily Bollinger Band is contracting, with gold swinging between middle and lower bands; 3360 acts as resistance 🛑. Last night’s nonfarm data caused a nearly ＄40 drop, but markets stabilized, and gold has recovered half those losses, with bearish momentum ebbing 🐻. A secondary support base formed at 3322, and after overnight consolidation, gold is showing rally signs with higher lows 🔄 Strategy： 🚀 Sell@3355 - 3345 🚀 TP 3335 - 3325 - 3315 🚀 Buy@3290 - 3300 🚀 TP 3310 - 3320 - 3330 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Sovereign_11
XAUUSD:Today's Trading Strategy Gold retreated in the sub-session, I have personally increased my long position near 3331, the overall trend is bullish unchanged, the median strategy is patient to rise. If you are trading short, you can go long at 3325-3330 and leave at 3340-45. The same can be said if you want to solve the problem; Trade according to your trading preferences and risk tolerance. More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_
GOLD GOLD ,newyork gold dealers reacted early enough avoiding my aim sell zone of 3378-3385. while we accept that price action will do what ever it wants ,so we accept the new cross at 3357 and took over 100pips from that bearish drop . we are on a strong 2hr cross and a demand floor ,if we sustains above this level we could be buying above 3357 to test 3385-3378 which will expose 3400 .,but if buyers fail from this level we are going to sell in line with the sentiment of the market. trading forex, commodities is based on probability
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
1
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Just a quick update on my trade. I thought on the last 30 min. candle I was going to get taken out. Normally I would close half the trade to minimize loss but I am using a microlot size and I am going to let it ride. Let's see if we start pushing down or if my Stop Loss get hit. I am optimistic and looking for that push down to correct the move from the overnight sessions. Let's see how it plays out. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by musclemilk0075
Gold Trade Plan 01/07/2025Dear Traders, On the 1-hour timeframe for XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs. USD): ✅ The price has made a strong bullish move and is now testing a key resistance zone between 3345 and 3360. This zone has acted as both support and resistance in the past, making it a strong area of interest. 📉 We can observe upper wicks forming on the candles, suggesting buying pressure is weakening. The red dashed line on the chart indicates a potential bearish reversal scenario. 🔻 If the price fails to break and close above this resistance with strength, we could see a correction toward the 3290 to 3260 zone. 💡 Unless the price breaks above 3360 and closes strongly, long positions carry higher risk at the moment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by alirezak