Get started
GOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

GOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals

XAUUSDK trade ideas

FOMC and Powell support GOLD, bearish outlook still prevailsOANDA:XAUUSD Spot trading rose nearly 2% yesterday when the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as market predicted, causing the US Dollar to plunge and giving gold a boost. The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points on Thursday, while policymakers noted a "broad deterioration" in the job market. Officials voted unanimously to lower the federal funds rate to a range of 4.5%-4.75%. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said Trump's presidential election victory will not directly affect monetary policy. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts have put pressure on the US dollar and bond yields, while boosting the investment appeal of non-yielding gold. FOMC content In their monetary policy statement, officials acknowledged the economy is growing steadily despite slowing labor market conditions. They admitted inflation was close to the Fed's 2% target but still remained slightly high. Fed policymakers also noted that the risks to achieving their dual mandates were “roughly balanced” but acknowledged uncertainty about the economic outlook. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement said: "The Committee believes that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are balanced and that there is uncertainty about the economic outlook. The Committee concerned about the risk of achieving his dual mandate." While policymakers noted “progress” in achieving the inflation target, they neglected to mention “becoming more confident that inflation can move steadily toward 2 percent.” sustainable”. “Labour market conditions have generally eased since the beginning of this year, with the unemployment rate rising but remaining low,” the Fed statement said. Powell said the election results would not affect decision-making in the short term and that there was flexibility in future policy direction. At his post-FOMC press conference, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell avoided giving specific guidance on the future direction of interest rates, leaving room for flexibility at the December meeting and beyond. He emphasized that because the economy is strong, the Fed can take its time lowering interest rates. He acknowledged that even after Thursday's rate cut, policy remains restrained as officials aim to return interest rates to neutral levels. Regarding the pace of interest rate cuts, Powell said if the labor market weakens or slows as it approaches neutrality, the Fed could accelerate the pace of interest rate cuts. However, he clarified that no final decision has been made yet. Powell also said that in the short term, the presidential election results will not directly affect monetary policy. General assessment The Fed's 25 basis point cut boosted gold prices, on the other hand, Powell made very clear statements about the possibility and prospect of cutting interest rates and this is not beneficial for the US Dollar. A very basic knowledge is that the US Dollar is controlled by the Fed and not under the power of the US President. Therefore, even in the event that Trump is elected and boosts the US Dollar, it will still be restrained by the policy of cutting interest rates. Only if Trump can completely eliminate the Fed will the US Dollar have nothing to show for it. prevent. Of course, this is without precedent, nor has any President been able to do this. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Although gold has recovered strongly from the 0.618% Fibonacci level confluence with the lower edge of the channel, it is still in a downtrend with the price channel as the short-term trend. On the other hand, gold's upward momentum has also been limited by the EMA21 level, and it still has enough bearish conditions when the Relative Strength Index is also showing signs of folding down from the 50 level area. If gold falls below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, it will have the potential to fall a bit further with a short-term target of around 2,684 USD rather than 2,668 USD. However, in case gold moves above the EMA21 level it will tend to increase further to test the 0.236% Fibonacci level. Therefore, for open selling positions should be protected above EMA21 quite "strictly." During the day, gold still has a bearish technical outlook with notable points listed as follows. Support: 2,684 – 2,668USD Resistance: 2,700 – 2,710USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2736 - 2734⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2740 →Take Profit 1 2729 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2724 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2676 - 2678⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2672 →Take Profit 1 2683 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2688
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD: 2600 support level is in focus, will it hold?Hello all dear XAUUSD traders! Gold price today is trading at $2,620/ounce, down sharply by $64 from the previous day's opening price of $2,684/ounce. Gold fell mainly due to the US dollar holding its position at a 4-month high around 105.5 points. In the same view, Daniel Ghali (analyst at TD Securities) agrees that the possibility of high tariffs applied during Donald Trump's presidency and the demand to hold USD are putting pressure on gold prices, as it is also related to the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (FED) may delay cutting interest rates. Technically, the price is reversing and intends to test the liquidity zones at the bottom... Emphasis on dynamic support at 2600. A consolidation before a breakdown is forming. If the price breaks this support level, selling pressure may increase. I do not rule out another attempt to retest resistance, say 2680-2685 before continuing lower following the classic structure as mentioned on the chart. Overall, both fundamentally and technically, the market feels in favor of the bears...
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
1
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionGold prices dropped to a three-week low, as investors dumped the Gold commodity for the U.S. dollar following Donald Trump's presidential victory. With expectations of a stronger dollar and potential inflation-driving tariffs under Trump, the Federal Reserve may rethink its easing cycle. This video breaks down key market moves and sentiment shifts post-election, as traders reassess their ‘Trump trade’ strategies amid tariff uncertainty. Looking ahead, next week's U.S. economic data releases—including inflation and retail sales—along with comments from Federal Reserve officials, are set to shape Gold’s direction. Join us to analyze the behavioural trends impacting XAU/USD and prepare for new trading opportunities in the week ahead. #GoldMarket #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #TrumpEffect #USDollar #GoldAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
SAXO:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
9
XAUUSD: The Downtrend Is Not Over YetDear Traders! Today, gold prices fell sharply, ending the week at $2,684, recording a decrease of 0.83%. The rising US dollar, fueled by political uncertainty, put a lot of downward pressure on gold. The shift of investors to riskier assets added to the selling pressure on gold in the market, reinforcing the bearish trend. Analysis of the 4-hour chart shows that gold prices are currently facing resistance at the important resistance zone of $2,700 - $2,715. The 34 EMA has crossed below the 89 EMA, a sign that sellers are in control. If the price fails to break through this resistance zone and continues to be under pressure, gold is likely to find support at $2,640 - $2,656. In the event that the price drops below $2,640, the short-term bearish outlook will become stronger, with a deeper target in the near term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
CPI DATA RELEASE(Gold against the U.S. Dollar) points to potential further declines in the short term. Based on recent data, are strongly bearish, with a general recommendation of "strong sell" across various time frames. Key indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic RSI, and MACD, show oversold conditions, indicating strong downward momentum. This is further supported by moving averages, where most periods favor selling signals. Gold recently faced resistance around $2,626 and experienced a drop to the $2,590 level, impacted by broader USD strength and market volatility. However, if the price closes below the current support, we may see further declines towards recent lows, with potential support levels near $2,550 or below. It’s important to keep in mind that external factors, like inflation expectations and Federal Reserve policies, could also impact gold’s trajectory. Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor, and this information is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
CITYINDEX:XAUUSDShort
by BELLATRIXFX
XAUUSD 8H1. Wyckoff Phases and Structural Analysis The chart is divided into classic Wyckoff Phases—Phase A, Phase B, Phase C, and Phase D—suggesting a potential accumulation or reaccumulation pattern. Phase A - Reaccumulation: Early stage where preliminary support (PSY) and automatic reaction (AR) are identified, hinting at the beginning of a potential reaccumulation zone. Phase B - Distribution: This phase includes various swing highs and lows, establishing a broader range, and showing signs of a Secondary Test (ST) in distribution. There's also a Sign of Weakness (SOW) in Phase B, indicating initial distribution signs, but later phases suggest this could be a false distribution. Phase C - Spring or Test: Typical in Wyckoff theory, this is the phase where the price tests liquidity by pushing lower before reaccumulating. The pattern indicates a possible shakeout to trap sellers. Phase D - Reaccumulation: In this phase, the Last Point of Support (LPS) has been marked, suggesting that price is preparing to move upwards out of the range, but careful monitoring is needed for confirmation. 2. Elliott Wave Structure The wave labeling indicates a series of impulsive and corrective waves, with the current high marked as Wave (5) in a diagonal formation. Diagonal Wave 5: The peak around $2,823.37 and $2,851.21 (1.236 extension) marks the end of a potential diagonal fifth wave, hinting at a possible completion of the trend. Corrective Waves (1), (2): After reaching Wave (5), the chart indicates corrective waves in orange lines, suggesting that the price could be entering a multi-wave correction phase to retest previous support zones. 3. Key Price Levels and Fibonacci Extensions Volume Divergence by Wave 5 (1.236 Extension): The chart highlights volume divergence at $2,803.59 and the diagonal completion around $2,823.37, signaling potential exhaustion and a likely reversal or deeper pullback. Invalidation Levels: Notably, $2,733.24 is labeled as the Invalidation Level for further bullish progression. If price falls below this, the wave structure and bullish continuation are at risk. Support and Resistance Zones: POC (Point of Control): Around $2,594.99 is a significant level where trading volume concentrated, acting as support in Phase D of reaccumulation. PWL (Previous Week Low) and PMH (Previous Month High): These levels serve as short-term reference points for retracement and potential support or resistance. 4. Trading Traps and Manipulation Zones Creek: The chart marks an area as "Creek," which Wyckoff practitioners recognize as a resistance zone within the reaccumulation phase that needs to be broken decisively for further upside. SOW (Sign of Weakness) in Phase B: This area is marked to indicate possible price manipulation; it’s designed to induce selling pressure and trap retail traders, only for the price to potentially rebound. Buy Side Liquidity (BSL): Buy-side liquidity zones are marked at the peaks, suggesting these areas may serve as potential reversal zones due to liquidity grabbing, especially in Phase B. 5. Strategic Points of Interest and Future Outlook Phase C – Final Test or “Spring”: This phase acts as a last point of support before a more confirmed move higher, assuming the reaccumulation thesis holds. The test in Phase C indicates a potential turning point for another bullish run. Resistance and Support Lines for Distribution Phases: Resistance Line at the BC Distribution level might act as an overhead ceiling if prices try to push higher. Support Line at AR Distribution: If prices fall below this line, it could invalidate the reaccumulation structure and trigger a larger downtrend. Projection Path: Orange lines map out a potential future wave structure, indicating anticipated moves within the corrective phases, with likely touchpoints at POC (1D) and other key levels. This shows a bearish bias in the short-term as price tests lower levels in a corrective structure. 6. Volume and Market Sentiment Indicators The presence of volume divergence, especially at key highs in Wave 5, suggests that buying momentum may be waning. High-Volume Nodes: These levels may serve as potential support or resistance zones where institutional interest is present, and they often act as magnets for price action. Summary This chart indicates a complex structure where XAU/USD may be transitioning from a bullish trend into a possible distribution and correction phase, as seen in the Wyckoff reaccumulation/distribution phases. Key levels around $2,594.99 (POC) and $2,733.24 (invalidation) are essential for determining the validity of the reaccumulation thesis. If the price breaks significantly below these zones, it may signal the end of the bullish trend. The setup shows a mixed outlook, with potential for both upward continuation (if reaccumulation confirms) or deeper correction if distribution pressure holds.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by spacedevil