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GOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

GOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

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XAUUSDK trade ideas

Learn Best Change of Character CHoCH Model in Trading with SMC Most of the SMC traders get Change of Character CHoCH WRONG! In this article, I will share with you Change of Character models that have a low accuracy and better to be avoided. I will teach you the best CHoCH model for Forex Gold trading and show you how to identify it easily. Let's start with the basic theory first and discuss what Change of Character signifies. Change of Character in Bearish Trend In a downtrend, Change of Character CHoCH is an important event that signifies a violation of a bearish trend. CHoCH is confirmed when the price breaks and closes above the level of the last lower high. Above, is a text book Change of Character model in a bearish trend. For the newbie traders, such a price action provides a strong signal to buy while it fact it is NOT . One crucial thing is missing in this model to confirm a bullish reversal. According to basic trend analysis rules, we say that the market trend is bullish if the price forms a bullish impulse, retraces and sets a Higher Low HH , forms a new bullish impulse with a new Higher High HH. Only then, we can say that the market is trading in up trend. CHoCH model above confirms a bearish trend violation BUT it does not confirm a trend change. Such a model may easily signify a deeper correction. Look what happened with GBPNZD. Though the price formed a confirmed bearish CHoCH, it was a false signal and just an extended correction. That's a perfect bullish reversal model. It combines CHoCH and conditions for a bullish trend. Such a union is extremely accurate in predicting up movements. Examine a price action on USDJPY. Not only the price formed a confirmed CHoCH but also we see a start of a new bullish trend. Change of Character in Bullish Trend In an uptrend, Change of Character CHoCH is a significant event that signifies a violation of a bullish trend. CHoCH is confirmed when the price breaks and closes below the level of the last higher low. Above is a typical model of a bearish CHoCH. For many traders, that is the signal to open short. However, it is not that accurate and one important component is missing there. According to basic price action rules, the market trend is bearish if the price forms at least 2 bearish impulses with Lower Lows LL and a pullback between them with a Lower High LH. Only when these 3 conditions are met, a bearish trend is confirmed . Perfect bearish Change of Character model should include both CHoCH and a bearish trend price action. That will confirm a violation of a bullish trend and start of a new bearish trend. EURCAD has a very strong potential to continue falling: not only we see a valid bearish Change of Character but also a start of a new bearish trend based on a price action. Next time when you identify CHoCH on forex market, make sure that you check the preceding price action. It will help you to more accurate assess reversal probabilities and make a wiser trading decision. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
Another excellent sessionAs discussed throughout my yesterday’s session commentary: “My position: Gold is Trading on relief rally and it is now whether #3,352.80 benchmark will break to the upside and extend the relief rally or reversal there and another decline. I personally lean more to the Bullish side with DX chart as main pointer for Gold on current session.” I have made #7 successful Scalp orders throughout yesterday’s session (all Buying orders) firstly from #3,330.80, then #3,320.80 towards #3,327.80 and final batch of aggressive Scalps from #3,310.80 towards #3,318.80 - #3,325.80 / Highly satisfied with yesterday’s session Profit. Technical analysis: Gold is currently disconnected from Hourly 4 chart’s Neutral Rectangle and thus I am expecting a new Selling direction starting from today’s session if #3,300.80 benchmark isn’t recovered and market closes above it (Weekly closing as well). Personally I believe it will be a big one on big Volume (best what last session of the week can offer). Hourly 1 chart is delivering firm Selling signals and points to a Bearish breakout and Selling continuation. A red closing on today's Daily chart’s candle points to a Bearish continuation also. Personally I believe that only if local Support gets invalidated (seen Trading at #3,272.80) does the trend resumes its previous Bearish bias also without more disappointing numbers on DX. No surprises so far as rejection on #3,292.80 - #3,300.80 Resistance level is showcasing strong durability for the cycle. This is a Technical pullback as well to cool down Long-term Overbought levels and may precisely test the #3,252.80 benchmark / near pivot point, probability which I mentioned earlier this week. My position: I am Highly satisfied with my Profit and will take early weekend break, not catching a Falling knife
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by goldenBear88
Lingrid | GOLD Post-FOMC Price Creates Trading OpportunityOANDA:XAUUSD is pulling back into the confluence zone between the black trendline and the 3,353–3,355 support, aligning with the breakout zone of a previous triangle pattern. Despite the drop, the overall structure remains bullish, especially if this retest holds. A bounce here would confirm the upward channel continuation toward the 3,400 key level. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 3,350–3,355 Sell trigger: breakdown below 3,353 Target: 3,400 Buy trigger: clear bullish reversal from trendline support 💡 Risks Break below 3,353 may shift bias to neutral or bearish Sharp dollar strength could weigh on gold's recovery Failure to break above the triangle again may trap early buyers Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Lingrid
39
The Direction After Sideways Fluctuation at 3330Trump's announcement of an Israel-Iran ceasefire dented safe-haven sentiment, curbing safe-haven buying 🛑. Gold opened with a sharp plunge, then extended losses as Powell later stated that more time is needed before considering rate cuts—dovish expectations eased, sending gold further lower ⬇️. The price briefly fell below the 3,300 level, nearing 3,295 at its lowest, but failed to breach the 3,290-3,300 support zone 📊. As I indicated yesterday, traders could test rebound strength near support; once news impacts faded, gold rebounded to close at 3,323 🔄. Currently trading sideways around 3,330, gold faces resistance at 3,350 while downside support remains at 3,290-3,300 📈📉. We therefore maintain a bearish stance ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Sell@3345 - 3335 🚀 TP 3325 - 3315 - 3305 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Sovereign_11
1
GOLD DAILY OUTLOOK | BEAR MARKET STRUCTURE CONFIRMED 📉 Trend Reversal Underway – Prepare for Lower Levels The daily structure on Gold (XAUUSD) confirms a shift from accumulation to distribution. Here's what stands out: 🔻 Key Breakdown Factors: Failure at O_FIB Rejection Zone The price failed to sustain above the upper Fib extension and supply zone (marked in red). Multiple attempts at reclaiming this level have resulted in sharp rejections, signaling exhaustion of buyers. Break of Mid-Range Structure We've decisively closed below the range midpoint, with strong bearish daily candles. This confirms loss of control by bulls and opens the door for a move toward deeper retracement zones. Support Zones Exposed The 0.618 FIB & 100 MA area around ~3160 is now a primary target. This zone held previously, but repeated touches weaken structure. The 1.0 FIB & 200 MA zone around ~2960 is the macro support target. If sentiment continues to deteriorate, this will be the magnet. EMA Crosses Rolling Over Price has decisively lost the 9/21 EMA zone. Until a daily close reclaims this zone (~3335+), bearish momentum remains valid. 📉 Bearish RSI Momentum While not a primary signal, RSI confirms momentum divergence and bear control below the midline. No sign of reversal. 🎯 Bearish Bias Until Reclaim of 3335 Zone 📌 Next Target = 3160, then 2960 🛑 Invalidation = Daily close above 3340 with strong volume and reclaim structure This is not a short-term pullback — it's the beginning of a deeper correction. Gold is no longer in the “safe-haven” trade. Be patient, position with structure, and let the trend do the work. Focus will be on fading the traps on pullbacks into structure.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by CBMotivation
Next Week Aims for 3300 Break💎 Last week, gold opened gap-up on Monday 🔼 but then trended lower 🔽. However, the 3290-3300 support zone remained robust from Mon-Thu ⚡. It plunged to ~3255 on Fri before rebounding 🌱. Next week's open may surge to 3290-3300 🔥! 🚀 Sell@3260 - 3270 🚀 TP 3280 - 3290 -3300 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_11
6.27 Gold rebounds and adjusts, don't chase shorts at low levelsGold fell below this week's low of 3295 today. As of now, gold has hit 3285 and is fluctuating. Don't chase the short position and short it when it rebounds. Now you can only wait patiently for the rebound before entering the short position. Be a steady hunter and wait patiently for the appearance of prey! Gold is now focusing on the short-term suppression of the upper 3301-3306 line, focusing on the suppression of the upper 3314-16 line, and the support below is 3276-80. Short it when it rebounds. Strategy ideas: 1. Gold rebounds to 3301-3306 line and shorts lightly, rebounds to 3314-16 line to cover short position, stop loss 3324, target 3280-85 line;
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
XAUUSD Channel Down starting new Bearish Leg.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a 2-week Channel Down, recently rejected on its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). The last Lower High was priced on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, so currently we are on the ideal level for a new short. With a 4H Death Cross emerging, we are targeting the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (as the previous Bearish Leg did) at 3210 for the Channel's new Lower Low. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by TradingShot
Hanzo / Gold 15 min - ( most accurate Reversals Levels ) 🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis ⚡️ Objective: Precision Reversal Execution Time Frame: 15 -Minute Warfare Entry Mode: Only after verified Reversals 👌Bullish Reversal : 3333 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bearish Reversal : 3346 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bearish Reversal : 3396 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel ➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them. 🦸‍♂️ Tactical Note: The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position. 5 Hanzo / Gold 15 min - most accurate Reversals ( Zones )
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Path_Of_Hanzo
1
Down the road - Gold Outlook June 30 - July 24, 2025FX_IDC:XAUUSD 📰 The past weeks has been a wild ride for gold prices, caught between the fiery conflict in the Middle East and a deluge of crucial economic data from the U.S. 📈 Adding to this, a detailed technical analysis provides a deeper look into gold's immediate future. **Geopolitical Drama Unfolds & Peace Prevails!** 🕊️ ceasefire negotiations. Initially, gold was shrouded in uncertainty 🌫️ due to the Iran-Israel war, with markets bracing for potential U.S. involvement and a full-blown escalation. Daily tit-for-tat attacks between Iran and Israel kept everyone on edge, and the question of U.S. intervention remained a nail-biter 😬, though President Trump did announce a 14-day "timeout". Then came the dramatic twist on June 21st: "Operation Midnighthammer" saw the U.S. unleash bunker-buster bombs on Iranian uranium enrichment facilities. 💥 Short time later, the U.S. declared mission accomplished, stating their goal of destroying these sites was achieved, and no further attacks would follow. Iran's response, "Operation Annunciation of Victory," on the following Monday, involved missile strikes on U.S. military bases in Qatar and Iraq. 🚀 Interestingly, these attacks were pre-announced, allowing for safe evacuations and thankfully, no casualties. 🙏 The biggest surprise came from President Trump as he declared, "Congratulations world, it's time for peace!" 🎉 He then brokered a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, which, despite being fragile, largely held, leading to the war's end.🤝 Both nations, as expected, officially claimed victory – a common move to satisfy their citizens. 🏅 Personally, I was genuinely surprised that the U.S.President mediated ceasefire, actually brought the conflict to a close – but it's a welcome outcome! 🙏 **Economic Data & Fed's Steady Hand** 💹🏛️ The cessation of hostilities triggered a steady downward slide in gold prices from June 24th to 27th. ⬇️ This dip initially met some market resistance but it ultimately prevailed, especially with the release of mixed U.S. economic data, which, despite being varied, was generally interpreted positively by the market. The spotlight also shone on the Federal Reserve, with several representatives speaking and Fed Chair Jerome Powell undergoing a two-day Senate hearing. 🎤👨‍⚖️ Powell meticulously explained the Fed's rationale for holding interest rates steady, despite market pressures. 🤷 However, recent whispers suggest the Federal Reserve might actually cut rates in September! 😮 ## Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍📰 India / Pakistan Pakistan rejected claims that it supported militant groups active in Indian Kashmir. India issued a formal protest but reported no fresh border clashes during the week. Outlook 🔮: De-escalation is possible in the short term. However, unresolved disputes over water rights (Indus Treaty) could reignite tensions. Gaza Conflict Heavy Israeli airstrikes killed dozens in Gaza, including civilians near aid centers. The UN warned that U.S.-backed aid systems are failing. Humanitarian corridors remain blocked. Outlook 🔮: Ceasefire talks may resume in July, but success depends on international pressure and safe humanitarian access. Russia / Ukraine Russia advanced 36 sq mi in eastern Ukraine, deploying outdated T-62 tanks. Ukraine reinforced defensive lines, aided by Western military packages. Outlook 🔮: The front remains volatile. Sustained Western support will be key to halting further Russian gains. U.S. – China Trade War A breakthrough deal was signed for China to fast-track rare-earth exports to the U.S. Talks on tech transfer and tariffs continue behind closed doors. Outlook 🔮: A phased de-escalation is possible, but deep trust issues linger, especially over semiconductors and AI. 🌐 Global Trade War Several countries, including Brazil and Thailand, imposed fresh restrictions on Chinese imports, echoing the U.S. stance. Global supply chains remain fragmented. Outlook 🔮: Trade blocs like the EU and Mercosur may take on greater importance as countries hedge against rising protectionism. Trump vs. Powell Fed Chair Powell resisted political pressure, stating rate cuts are unlikely before September. Trump called him “stubborn” and demanded immediate easing. Outlook 🔮: The Fed’s independence is under strain. If Trump wins re-election, major policy shifts could follow. 📈 U.S. Inflation Despite tariffs, core inflation remains elevated. Powell warned of persistent price pressures. Trump insists the Fed should cut rates to boost growth. Outlook 🔮: A rate cut later in 2025 is possible—if labor market data weakens. Until then, inflation will remain politically explosive. ## Technical View 📐📈 **Current Market Context:** Gold plummeted to $3,273.67 USD/t.oz on June 27, 2025, marking a 1.65% drop from the previous day, which confirms the strong bearish momentum. The price action shows a significant retreat from recent highs around $3,400. **ICT (Inner Circle Trader) Methodology Analysis:** * **Market Structure:** The trend is clearly bearish, with a definitive break of structure (BOS) to the downside. * **Order Blocks:** Several bearish order blocks have been identified at prior resistance levels, specifically in the $3,380-$3,400 range. * **Fair Value Gaps (FVG):** The aggressive sell-off has created multiple imbalances, particularly in the $3,350-$3,320 range. * **Liquidity Pools:** Buy-side liquidity above $3,400 has been swept. Sell-side liquidity is now accumulating below the $3,270 lows, which is the current target zone. * **Session Analysis:** The London session showed aggressive selling, followed by a continuation of bearish momentum in the New York session. The Asia session could see consolidation or further declines. * **Smart Money Concepts:** Heavy selling pressure suggests "smart money" distribution. There's been strong bearish displacement from $3,380 down to $3,270, indicating the market is currently in a "sell program" phase. **Gann Analysis:** * **Gann Angles & Time Cycles:** The primary 1x1 Gann angle has been broken, pointing to continued weakness. Key price squares indicate resistance at $3,375 (25²) and support at $3,249 (57²). Daily cycles suggest a potential turning point around June 30-July 1, while weekly cycles indicate continued pressure through early July. * **Gann Levels:** * Resistance: $3,375, $3,400, $3,481 (59²) * Support: $3,249, $3,136, $3,025 **Fibonacci Analysis:** * **Key Retracement Levels (from recent swing high to low):** * 78.6%: $3,378 (Strong resistance) * 61.8%: $3,348 (Key resistance zone) * 50.0%: $3,325 (Psychological level) * 38.2%: $3,302 (Minor resistance) * 23.6%: $3,285 (Current area of interest) * **Fibonacci Extensions (Downside Targets):** * 127.2%: $3,245 * 161.8%: $3,195 * 261.8%: $3,095 * **Time-Based Fibonacci:** The next significant time cluster is July 2-3, 2025, with a major cycle completion expected around July 15-17, 2025. **Institutional Levels & Volume Analysis:** * **Key Institutional Levels:** * Major Resistance: $3,400 (psychological + institutional) * Secondary Resistance: $3,350-$3,375 (order block cluster) * Primary Support: $3,250-$3,270 (institutional accumulation zone) * Major Support: $3,200 (monthly pivot area) * **Volume Profile Analysis:** * High Volume Node (HVN): $3,320-$3,340 (fair value area) * Low Volume Node (LVN): $3,280-$3,300 (potential acceleration zone) * Point of Control (POC): Currently around $3,330 **Central Bank & Hedge Fund Levels:** Based on recent COT data and institutional positioning, heavy resistance is seen at $3,400-$3,430, where institutions likely distributed. An accumulation zone for "smart money" re-entry is anticipated at $3,200-$3,250. **Cycle Timing Analysis:** * **Short-Term Cycles (Intraday):** Bearish momentum is expected to continue for another 12-18 hours. A daily cycle low is likely between June 29-30, with a potential reversal zone on July 1-2 for the 3-day cycle. * **Medium-Term Cycles:** The current weekly cycle is in week 3 of a 4-week decline. The monthly cycle indicates a mid-cycle correction within a larger uptrend. For the quarterly cycle, Q3 2025 could see a major low formation. * **Seasonal Patterns:** July-August is typically a weaker period for gold ("Summer Doldrums"). September has historically been strong for precious metals ("September Effect"), setting up for a potential major move higher in Q4 2025 ("Year-End Rally"). **Trading Strategy & Levels:** * **Bearish Scenario (Primary):** * Entry: Sell rallies into the $3,320-$3,350 resistance zone. * Targets: $3,250, $3,200, $3,150. * Stop Loss: Above $3,380. * **Bullish Scenario (Secondary):** * Entry: Buy support at $3,250-$3,270 with confirmation. * Targets: $3,320, $3,375, $3,400. * Stop Loss: Below $3,230. **Key Events to Watch:** * **US PCE Data:** Fresh downside risks could emerge ahead of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data release. * **Fed Communications:** Any hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve could further pressure gold. * **Geopolitical Developments:** Ongoing global events could trigger safe-haven demand. **Conclusion:** The technical picture for gold suggests continued short-term weakness, with the metal testing its 2025 trend line at $3,290 following last week's rejection at the $3,430 resistance. However, the longer-term outlook remains constructive, given gold's robust performance year-to-date. Key support at $3,250-$3,270 will be crucial in determining the next significant price movement. **Upcoming Week's Economic Calendar (June 29 - July 4, 2025):** 🗓️🌍 🗓️ Get ready for these important economic events (EDT) * ** Sunday , June 29, 2025** * 21:30 CNY: Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 49.6, Previous: 49.5 * ** Monday , June 30, 2025** * 09:45 USD: Chicago PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 42.7, Previous: 40.5 * ** Tuesday , July 1, 2025** * 05:00 EUR: CPI (YoY) (Jun) - Forecast: 2.0%, Previous: 1.9% * 09:30 USD: Fed Chair Powell Speaks * 09:45 USD: S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 52.0, Previous: 52.0 * 10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 48.8, Previous: 48.5 * 10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing Prices (Jun) - Forecast: 70.2, Previous: 69.4 * 10:00 USD: JOLTS Job Openings (May) - Forecast: 7.450M, Previous: 7.391M * ** Wednesday , July 2, 2025** * 08:15 USD: ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jun) - Forecast: 80K, Previous: 37K * 10:30 USD: Crude Oil Inventories - Forecast: -5.836M * ** Thursday , July 3, 2025** * Holiday: United States - Independence Day (Early close at 13:00) 🇺🇸⏰ * 08:30 USD: Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Jun) - Forecast: 0.3%, Previous: 0.4% * 08:30 USD: Initial Jobless Claims - Forecast: 239K, Previous: 236K * 08:30 USD: Nonfarm Payrolls (Jun) - Forecast: 129K, Previous: 139K * 08:30 USD: Unemployment Rate (Jun) - Forecast: 4.2%, Previous: 4.2% * 09:45 USD: S&P Global Services PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 53.1, Previous: 53.1 * 10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 50.3, Previous: 49.9 * 10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Jun) - Forecast: 68.7 * ** Friday , July 4, 2025** * All Day: Holiday - United States - Independence Day 🎆 **Gold Price Forecast for the Coming Week** 🔮💰 Given last week's market movements, there's a strong likelihood that the downward trend in gold prices will continue.🔽 However, fresh news can always flip the script! 🔄 As of now, I expect gold to dip further to $3255 by mid-next week. Yet, a brief rebound towards $3300 isn't out of the question before a potential drop to $3200 by week's end or early the following week. 🤞 Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by Wick-Sniper
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jun 30 - Jul 04]Last week, OANDA:XAUUSD fell sharply from an opening price of $3,392/oz to a low of $3,255/oz and closed at $3,274/oz. The reason was that Israel and Iran had officially ceased fire, although negotiations with the US remained difficult. In addition, FED Chairman Jerome Powell reaffirmed that there was no rush to cut interest rates due to high inflation risks. In addition, summer is a period of weak demand for physical gold, continuing to put pressure on gold prices. In addition, summer is typically the low season for physical gold demand, which could continue to weigh on gold prices. In addition to the seasonal lull in trading that has affected the gold market, improving economic sentiment as the Trump administration has said there is progress in trade agreements, especially the framework agreement on trade with China, will also continue to negatively impact gold prices next week. Thus, gold prices next week may continue to be under downward pressure, but the decline may not be too large as gold prices next week are still supported by some fundamental factors. This week, the US will release the non-farm payrolls (NFP) report and the unemployment rate for June. According to forecasts, NFP may reach 120,000 jobs. If NFP increases higher than expected, the FED will continue to delay cutting interest rates, negatively affecting gold prices next week. On the contrary, if NFP drops sharply below 100,000 jobs, it will increase the possibility of the FED cutting interest rates, helping gold prices rise again next week, but not too strongly. 📌Technically, the gold price closed below $3,300/oz this week, which could pave the way for a drop to $3,200/oz next week, or below that to $3,120/oz. If the gold price rebounds above $3,300/oz next week, it could trigger a recovery to $3,330-$3,360/oz. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,246 – 3,228USD Resistance: 3,292 – 3,300USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3371 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3178 - 3180⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3174
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
Gold is about to break through 3400! On June 21, 2025 local time, U.S. President Trump announced that the U.S. had launched strikes against three Iranian nuclear facilities—Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan—using six B-2 stealth bombers 😲. This move marked the formal intervention of the U.S. in the Middle East conflict, prompting the UN Security Council to convene an emergency meeting immediately. This underlies the core logic of our sustained "long gold" strategy last week: the geopolitical situation in the Middle East harbors the risk of escalating at any moment 🤯. If the Security Council fails to roll out direct solutions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, may continue its upward trajectory driven by market panic 📈. The UN Security Council meeting on June 23, 2025 failed to break the deadlock, and the Middle East situation remains highly fluid. Given that the U.S. is highly unlikely to implement any solutions proposed by the Security Council, the regional crisis may deteriorate further 🚨 Gold is about to break through 3,400! 🌟 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_11
2
GOLD 1. Final GDP q/q Actual: -0.5% Forecast: -0.2% Previous: -0.2% The US economy contracted by 0.5% in the first quarter, worse than the expected 0.2% decline, indicating a sharper slowdown than anticipated. 2. Unemployment Claims (Week ending June 21) Initial Claims: 236,000 Forecast: 244,000 Previous: 245,000 Initial jobless claims fell by 10,000 to 236,000, lower than forecast and near historically low levels, suggesting that layoffs remain relatively subdued despite economic challenges. Context: Despite the drop in new claims, continuing claims (people receiving ongoing benefits) rose to about 1.97 million, the highest since November 2021, indicating some softening in the labor market. Economists expect the unemployment rate to edge up slightly to around 4.3% in June from 4.2% in May. 3. Core Durable Goods Orders m/m (May 2025) Actual: +0.5% Forecast: +0.1% Previous: +0.2% Core durable goods orders, which exclude transportation, rose 0.5% month-over-month, beating expectations and signaling some resilience in business investment. 4. Durable Goods Orders m/m (May 2025) Actual: +16.4% Forecast: +8.6% Previous: -6.3% Total durable goods orders surged 16.4%, a strong rebound following a prior decline, indicating a pickup in demand for long-lasting manufactured goods. 5. Final GDP Price Index q/q (Q1 2025) Actual: 3.7% This measure of inflation in the GDP deflator remains elevated, reflecting persistent price pressures in the economy. Summary of Market Implications: The larger-than-expected GDP contraction signals economic weakness, which could increase expectations for accommodative Fed policy. The drop in initial jobless claims supports the view that layoffs are limited, but rising continuing claims suggest some labor market softness ahead. Strong durable goods orders point to underlying business investment strength, providing a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook. Elevated inflation as shown by the GDP price index keeps inflation concerns alive. Overall, the data presents a complex picture of a slowing economy with pockets of resilience and ongoing inflationary pressure. #GOLD
EASYMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Excellent session yesterdayAs discussed throughout my yesterday’s session commentary:” My position: Besides all Fundamental factors / escalation, Gold isn't soaring as one could expect. Therefore I will continue Scalping #3,352.80 - #3,377.80 Neutral belt and will Trade the break-out. #3,352 towards #3,327.80 or #3,377.80 to the upside however with DX rising, I give more probabilities to the downside.“ I have firstly engaged many Scalping orders from #3,377.80 - #3,382.80 Scalp re-Buy zone towards #3,392.80 and closed all with Profit. Then late U.S. session delivered #3,352.80 benchmark test which I re-Bought in repetition and closed my Scalp orders on #3,358.80 - #62 belt. Also my Selling Swing projection was delivered (#3,327.80 test). Technical analysis: Gold is taking strong Intra-day hits in form of Three Black Crows candlestick formation and most likely Selling sequence is not stopping here. The Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance cluster has rejected the Price-action twice already which gives a updated Targets with a potential extension towards #3,200.90 psychological benchmark if #3,322.80 - #3,327.80 Support zone gives away. Only if #3,352.80?mark breaks to the upside and market closes (especially Weekly (#1W) closing) above, I will contemplate Buying the market as at the moment / Hourly 1 chart’s reveals no clues nor configuration is not worth entering / only Sell orders both Scalp / Swing are suitable. I don't expect today’s session Fundamental reports to be relevant, as I await Support extension test (Selling on every local High’s) due ceasefire talks / deal. My position: I will Sell every High’s on Gold especially if #3,352.80 benchmark is not recovered waiting for #3,300.80 benchmark test.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by goldenBear88
Gold is showing potential signs of a bullish reversalGold is showing potential signs of a bullish reversal after a prolonged bearish trend. The price recently rejected strongly from a key resistance level, triggering a sharp internal liquidity sweep followed by a fast downside move. This indicates that smart money may have cleared out weak hands. Resistance zone 3335 / 3360 Support zone 3300 / 3285 Currently, the market appears to be compressing, forming a potential bullish structure. If this consolidation holds and breaks to the upside, it may confirm the beginning of a bullish leg. You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis/
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
1
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3375 and a gap below at 3306. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3375 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3375 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3439 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3499 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3561 BEARISH TARGETS 3306 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3236 3171 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3089 2995 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
Gold: eased on tariffs dealAs geopolitical and economic tensions are slowly settling down, the price of gold eased its road toward the higher grounds. During the previous week, gold was traded with a bearish sentiment, dropping from the level of $3.395 down to $3.262. The main causes behind the drop in the price of gold are related to decreased tensions in the Middle East, as well as, settlement of the trade tariffs deal between the U.S. and China. Although the details of this deal was not disclosed publicly, still, the market reacted positively to the news. Investors moved funds from safe-haven assets toward the equity and the crypto market, as riskier ones in a quest for higher returns. The RSI took the down path, ending the week at the level of 41. The indicator is currently clearly on the road toward the oversold market side. The price of gold breached the MA50 line during the previous week, which was acting like a support line for the price of gold during the previous period. The MA200 continued with an uptrend, following the MA 50 line. There is a high distance between two lines, so the potential cross is still not in the store for the price of gold. Charts are pointing that the gold is on the easing road currently, with a potential for further correction in the coming period. The RSI is indicating that the oversold market side might be reached in the coming period, which means that the price could further ease. The bottom of the current correction might be $3.180, which was the highest level in mid April this year. Still, some short reversals are quite expected on this road, in which sense, Monday might start with a short attempt for higher grounds. In this sense, the $3,3K level might be tested.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
Gold Hits PRZ with RD-! Time for Bears to Take Over?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) attacked the Resistance zone ($3,445-$3,406) once again, forming an Ending Diagonal at the top of the structure. Although price reached the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) , the presence of Regular Divergence (RD-) between the last two peaks could indicate the weakening of bullish momentum . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , we can clearly count a completed 5-wave structure , with an Ending Diagonal pattern . This supports the idea of a major correction starting soon . I expect Gold to attack the lower lines of Ending Diagonal , and if it breaks, it could drop to at least $3,333 . The Second Target could be the Support zone ($3,451-$3,120) . Do you think Gold will make a new All-Time High(ATH) again in this rally?! Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,463 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
13