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GOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

GOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

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XAUUSDK trade ideas

"The Great Gold Heist" – XAU/USD Master Plan🏆 "The Great Gold Heist" – XAU/USD Master Plan (High-Risk, High-Reward Loot!) 🚨💰 🌟 Attention, Market Robbers & Money Makers! 🌟 Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🤑💸 🔥 Based on the legendary Thief Trading Strategy (technical + fundamental heist tactics), here’s our blueprint to STEAL massive profits from the XAU/USD (Gold vs. Dollar) market! 🔥 🎯 The Heist Plan (Long Entry Setup) Entry Point 📈: *"The vault is UNLOCKED! Swipe bullish loot at any price—but for a cleaner steal, set Buy Limits within 15-30M recent swing lows/highs. ALERT UP! ⏰"* Stop Loss 🛑: "Thief’s SL hides at the nearest swing low (3H TF: 3250.00) OR below the last daily candle wick. Adjust based on your risk appetite & lot size!" Target 🏴‍☠️: 3490.00 (or escape early if the cops—err, bears—show up!) ⚡ Scalper’s Quick Loot Guide: "Only scalp LONG! Rich? Go all-in. Broke? Join the swing traders & rob slow ‘n’ steady. Use Trailing SL to lock profits!" 📊 Market Status: XAU/USD (GOLD) – Neutral (But Bullish Sneak Attack Likely! 🐂💥) "The heist is ON, but watch for traps—overbought zones, consolidation, and bearish robbers lurking!" 🔍 Pro Thief Moves: ✅ Fundamentals Matter! (COT Reports, Geopolitics, Macro Data, Sentiment—check our BIO0 for the full loot list!) 🔗👉🏻☝🏻 ✅ News = Danger! Avoid new trades during releases. Trail your SLs to protect stolen cash! 📰🚨 💖 Support the Heist Crew! "Hit the BOOST BUTTON 💥 to strengthen our robbery squad! More boosts = easier money steals daily!" 🚀 Stay tuned—another heist drops soon! 🐱‍👤💎
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by Thief_Trader
Gold: Monitor Middle East Developments Over the WeekendAmid escalating tensions in the Middle East, risk-off sentiment surged, sending gold soaring past the 3414 resistance and peaking near 3450, before retracing and rebounding off the 3414 support zone. ⚠️ While this was a high-volume breakout, it was news-driven, so keep in mind: 📌 If tensions ease over the weekend, a pullback on Monday is highly likely 📌 If tensions escalate, another bullish run would be expected — 🔍 Technical Outlook: 🧭 4H chart: 9-count nearing completion — overbought signals building 🧭 2H chart: MACD showing early signs of a bearish crossover; potential divergence forming 🧭 1D chart: Breakout with volume confirms bullish trend, but risk of short-term correction remains — 📌 Key Price Zones: 🔺 Resistance: 3468 – 3487 – 3500 🔻 Support: 3414 (critical) – 3400 – 3392 ⚠️ If broken, next downside targets: 3378 – 3367 — 📈 Strategy Suggestions: As we head into Monday: ✅ Consider selling on rallies if geopolitical tensions ease ✅ If tensions worsen, follow the momentum — but watch for reversal signs
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Arthur3017
GOLD The Federal Reserve is likely to interpret the June 2025 University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data as mixed but cautiously encouraging, with implications for monetary policy: Key Data Points Consumer Sentiment: 60.5 (vs. 53.5 forecast, prior 52.2) – a sharp rebound to the highest level since mid-2023. 1-Year Inflation Expectations: 5.1% (vs. 6.6% prior) – a significant decline, nearing pre-tariff levels. Fed Interpretation Improved Consumer Sentiment: The jump to 60.5 signals renewed optimism about the economy, likely driven by reduced trade tensions (e.g., tariff pauses) and stable labor markets. This aligns with recent upward revisions to April and May sentiment data. The Fed will view this as a sign of economic resilience, reducing urgency for near-term rate cuts to stimulate growth. Sharply Lower Inflation Expectations: The drop to 5.1% (from 6.6%) aligns with the New York Fed’s May 2025 survey showing declining inflation expectations across all horizons. This suggests consumers are growing more confident that the Fed’s policies (and tariff adjustments) are curbing price pressures, easing fears of a wage-price spiral. Policy Implications: Dovish Tilt Supported: Lower inflation expectations reduce the risk of entrenched price pressures, giving the Fed flexibility to cut rates later in 2025 if growth slows. No Immediate Cuts Likely: Strong sentiment and a resilient labor market (unemployment at 4.2%) justify maintaining rates at 4.25–4.50% in July. Focus on Tariff Risks: The Fed will remain cautious about potential inflation rebounds from Trump’s tariffs, which could add 1.5% to prices by late 2025. Market Reactions DXY (Dollar Index): Likely to dip modestly as lower inflation expectations boost rate-cut bets, but sentiment-driven growth optimism may limit losses. Key support at 98.00–98.20. Bonds: 10-year yields may edge lower (toward 4.00%) on reduced inflation fears, though strong sentiment could cap declines. Equities: Stocks (especially consumer-discretionary sectors) may rally on improved economic outlook. Conclusion The Fed will likely view this data as validating its cautious stance: inflation expectations are cooling, but strong sentiment and labor markets argue against premature easing. A September rate cut remains the base case, contingent on continued disinflation and no tariff-driven price spikes. Traders should watch for June CPI (July 11) and Q2 GDP to confirm trends. #GOLD #DOLLAR
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Perfect prediction of Monday's opening trendGold opened near 3310 today, and fell under pressure after reaching a high of 3321, which was in line with our previous prediction of the short-selling layout in the 3320-25 area. We successfully entered the short order and successfully stopped profit at 3305. Then the market was supported and stabilized near 3296. We decisively went long and also realized profit. From the current trend, the short-term suppression during the day is still focused on the 3320-3325 line, and the key suppression area is around 3338-3345. Gold closed in an inverted hammer shape last week. From a technical point of view, the rebound is still mainly short-selling. If you are not in a good rhythm in gold trading recently, welcome to communicate and reduce unnecessary trial and error. 【Short-term technical analysis】 The upper short-term pressure focuses on the 3320-3325 area. If it rebounds to this point, it will be short first and look for a decline. If it rises strongly to the 3338-3345 range, it will still be the focus of short positions. The lower support focuses on the 3295-3285 area. The overall strategy of "high-short-low-long" is maintained. It is not recommended to frequently chase orders in the middle position. Be patient and wait for key point signals. I will remind you of the specific entry and exit plan during the session. It is recommended to pay attention in time. 【Gold operation strategy】 1. Go short first at the rebound 3320-3325 line. If it touches the 3338-3345 area, you can cover your position and go short. The target is 3306-3295. If it breaks, continue to hold and look down.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Gold V-shaped reversal still has room to rise In the morning, the market was under pressure at 3328, and two consecutive big negative lines fell to the low of 3302, breaking through the lower track of the descending flag consolidation channel, forming an effective break. 3317 was originally the confirmation point of the channel counter-pressure, and it was also the 618 split resistance at the time. Then the middle track was lost, and the trend was bearish, so it tried to rebound but continued to fall under pressure. But the market immediately made a V-shaped reversal, breaking through the morning high of 3328, and had attacked to 3342 before the US market. The European session was volatile and strong, and with the help of a pullback before and after the U.S. session to lure short sellers, there is still hope for a second rise The focus of the support for the retracement is on two positions: one is the 3322 line, corresponding to the middle track and 50% split support; the other is 3318, corresponding to the 618 split support. If it stabilizes after touching it, it will most likely point to the 3348 counter-pressure position. If the pressure of 3348 cannot be broken, there is still a possibility of repeated fluctuations in the short term. It is necessary to pay attention to whether the secondary low point appears when it pulls back to further consolidate the support structure. If the market directly breaks through and stands above 3348, 3293 may have been confirmed as a short-term low. The recent trading strategy ideas are all realized, and all the points are predicted accurately. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Gold Hits All Targets with 500+ Pips – Eyes Now on $3420By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our previous analysis, the price moved exactly as expected and successfully hit all four targets — $3367, $3380, $3391, and $3400 — reaching as high as $3403 and delivering over 500 pips of return. After sweeping the liquidity above $3400, the price corrected back to around $3370. Currently, gold is trading around $3380. If the price can hold above the $3370 level, we can expect a continuation of the bullish move toward the $3420 area. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
11
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: That was a nice move early session from the red box all the way down breaking through support to target our bias level and then giving a TAP AND BOUNCE for the long. These long trades however are now protected and managed due to the pre-event price action around the corner. So now we have support below again at the bias level and the red box with resistance above 3355-60 red box. We're in from below so our area of interest will be that level for the remainder of the session. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
28
Current Gold Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsOn Friday, the strategy of going long on gold at relatively low levels was once again precisely fulfilled. The morning strategy clearly suggested opening long positions within the range of 3400 - 3410. As expected, the price of gold once again surged to around the 3445 level, and profits were successfully secured once more. The hourly chart of gold shows a volatile upward trend. Driven by risk aversion in the early morning, it surged rapidly but fell back for correction after hitting resistance at 3444 during the European session. Before the U.S. session, it stabilized at 3412 and rallied again. The previous large bearish candlestick was more of a minor shakeout—after washing out floating chips, it has now regained its upward momentum. Maintain a strongly bullish approach for now. The 3415-3410 range forms a key support zone, and long positions can be continued above this level. Upper resistance remains at 3445-3450; a valid breakout could lead to further gains toward 3475 and beyond. However, be aware that a sustained rally may trigger a pullback due to overbought indicators or divergences. For operations, consider going long near support and exercise caution when chasing highs near resistance XAUUSD buy@3405-3315 tp:3430-3450 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvanField
XAUUSD Analysis – From Bullish Momentum to Target🔍 Overview: Gold has officially broken its ascending trendline, signaling a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish. This trendline acted as dynamic support for days, but its breakdown has opened the doors to potential downside movement. We're now in a phase where lower highs and lower lows are forming — a classic bearish signal. 📌 Key Levels & Price Zones: 🔻 Trendline Breakdown A strong upward trendline was broken, confirming that bullish momentum has weakened. The trendline break was followed by aggressive bearish candles, signaling that sellers are gaining strength. 🔄 SR Interchange Zone (~3,322 – 3,330) This area once acted as strong support and has now flipped to resistance. It’s a key level to watch for rejections or false breakouts. As long as the price stays below it, the bias remains bearish. 🔽 Mini Support Zone (~3,345 – 3,350) A weak support area that could be retested. If price fails to hold above it, sellers will likely take over again. ⚠️ Minor CHoCH (~3,290) This level marks the short-term structure shift. A breakdown here will confirm continuation to the downside. A short opportunity might present itself below this zone. 🌀 Next Reversal Zone (~3,275 – 3,280) A potential demand area. Watch how the price reacts — this is where bulls might step in temporarily for a bounce or consolidation. 🚨 Major CHoCH (~3,265) This is a critical support level. If it breaks, the entire bullish structure from early June is invalidated, opening the door to deeper retracement. 📈 Forecast Path: Based on the price projection: Expect lower highs to form. If bearish momentum continues, we could see a breakdown below Minor CHoCH, targeting the Next Reversal Zone. A clean break below 3,265 would signal a major trend change, confirming bearish control. 📊 Trade Ideas: 🔻 Short-Term Bearish Scenario: Look for price to reject the SR Interchange or Mini Support zones. Entry: After confirmation below 3,330 Targets: 3,290 → 3,275 → 3,265 SL: Above 3,350 🔼 Bullish Bounce Scenario: If price reaches 3,275 and forms bullish confirmation (engulfing candle, divergence), we might see a short-term reversal. Entry: On bullish candle close from support zone Target: Back to 3,322 or higher 📅 Upcoming Events to Watch: There are several U.S. economic data releases coming this week (marked on the chart). These can create sharp moves in XAUUSD, so manage your risk wisely. ✅ Final Thoughts: Gold is at a key turning point. The breakdown from the trendline is significant, and structure now favors sellers — unless bulls reclaim critical levels. Wait for confirmation before entering, and always trade with proper risk management. 📌 Follow for more clean chart breakdowns, updates, and trade setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Another try on the gold short tradeTo be honest, it was beyond my expectation that gold could continue to rebound above 3340. According to my original expectation, the upper limit of gold's rebound in the short term was around 3336-3338. However, gold has already touched around 3342 during the rebound, but because gold failed to close above 3345, I still advocate shorting gold in batches in the 3335-3345 area. Recently, both the long and short sides of gold have not continued, and the overall market tends to be volatile. In the short term, as long as gold does not break through 3345, gold still has a chance to retrace, which also means that the rebound is an opportunity for us to short gold, but with the rebound of gold, we need to moderately reduce the expectation of gold retracement, so for short-term short gold, our primary retracement target is in the 3325-3320 area. So for short-term trading, I think we can still try to short gold again!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
GOLD Gold, 10-Year Bond Yield, DXY, and Interest Rate Differential 1.Gold is trading around $3,310 after dipping into 3307 per ounce on NFP data report as of close of friday market in june 2025. The price remains elevated compared to historical levels, supported by inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and strong central bank demand. 2. Relationship with 10-Year Bond Yield The US 10-year Treasury yield is hovering near 4.5%, recently rising amid inflation worries and fiscal uncertainties.the boost from NFP took 10 year yield from 4.3% to 4.58% close of Friday . Gold has an inverse relationship with real yields (nominal yields minus inflation expectations). Rising nominal yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, generally pressuring gold prices lower. However, if inflation expectations remain elevated, gold can still hold value as an inflation hedge despite rising nominal yields. 3. Relationship with DXY (US Dollar Index) Gold and the DXY share a strong negative correlation because gold is priced in USD. When the dollar strengthens, gold becomes more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and pushing prices down. Recent dollar strength on demand floor has weighed on gold, but persistent inflation, geopolitical tension ,political instability and safe-haven demand have limited gold’s downside. 4. Interest Rate Differential Impact The interest rate differential between the US and other major economies affects capital flows and currency valuations, indirectly influencing gold. Higher US rates relative to other countries tend to strengthen the dollar, pressuring gold. Conversely, narrowing differentials or expectations of Fed rate cuts can weaken the dollar and support gold prices. Gold prices remain in a higher trading range ($3,000–$3,500) supported by inflation fears, geopolitical risks, and central bank buying. Near-term pressure may come from rising bond yields and a strong dollar. Critical looks on over bought market would need a correction to set up a new buy rally. The upcoming U.S. inflation data release on June 11, 2025 and Fed policy signals will be crucial in determining gold’s direction. Core CPI m/m forecast: 0.3% (previous 0.2%) CPI m/m forecast: 0.2% (previous 0.2%) CPI y/y forecast: 2.5% (previous 2.3%) How the Federal Reserve is likely to react if actual figures exceed forecasts: (1)Monetary Policy Stance The Fed’s May 2025 minutes emphasize a data-dependent approach, maintaining the federal funds rate at 4.25%–4.50% while carefully assessing incoming data and risks to inflation and employment. If inflation prints come in higher than expected, especially core CPI and y/y CPI, it would signal persistent inflation pressures, potentially delaying or reducing the likelihood of imminent rate cuts. (2)Possible Fed Response The Fed may adopt a more cautious or hawkish tone in its June 17–18 meeting, signaling readiness to keep rates elevated longer or even consider further tightening if inflation remains sticky. Policymakers could emphasize the need for “greater confidence” that inflation is on a sustainable downward path before easing monetary policy. Market expectations for rate cuts later in 2025 could be pushed back or diminished, supporting higher bond yields and a stronger dollar. (3)Market Implications A stronger-than-forecast CPI print would likely boost the US dollar (DXY) as markets price in a prolonged high-rate environment. Treasury yields, especially the 10-year yield, may rise reflecting increased inflation risk and delayed easing. Conversely, gold and other inflation-sensitive assets may face selling pressure due to higher real yields and dollar strength. Conclusion Gold’s price dynamics in June 2025 are shaped by a tug-of-war between rising US 10 year Treasury yields and a strengthening dollar, which weigh on gold, and inflation concerns plus safe-haven demand, which support it. The interest rate differential reinforces dollar strength, typically bearish for gold, but ongoing macro uncertainties keep gold elevated as a strategic asset and store of value. #gold #dollar
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
1
GOLD Relationship Between Gold, Dollar (DXY), Bond Prices, and 10-Year Bond Yields 1. Gold and the Dollar (DXY) Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so there is a strong inverse relationship between gold prices and the dollar index (DXY). When the DXY strengthens, gold becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing demand and pushing gold prices down. Recently, gold prices dipped about 0.4% to around $3,294/oz as the DXY shed 0.3%, reflecting a cautious market awaiting U.S.-China trade talks and reacting to stronger U.S. jobs data that tempered expectations of Fed rate cuts. 2. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yields The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and gold generally have an inverse relationship. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, making bonds more attractive. However, both gold and bond yields can rise simultaneously during inflationary periods or economic uncertainty, reflecting inflation expectations and safe-haven demand. Recent data shows yields near 4.5%, with gold holding elevated levels above $3,300 and attempted 3328 before dropping due to inflation concerns and geopolitical risks, despite some downward pressure from rising yields. 3. Gold and Bond Prices Bond prices move inversely to yields; when yields rise, bond prices fall. Falling bond prices (rising yields) often signal inflation or risk concerns, which can boost gold as an inflation hedge. Yet, rising yields also raise the opportunity cost of holding gold, which can cap gold’s upside. This dynamic explains why the correlation between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, sometimes showing near-zero correlation . 4. Macro and Market Drivers Inflation and Safe-Haven Demand: Persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade talks) support gold demand despite dollar strength and rising yields. Central Bank Buying: Central banks remain significant gold buyers, underpinning long-term price support. Economic Data and Fed Policy: Strong U.S. jobs reports reduce expectations of Fed rate cuts, pushing yields up and dollar strength, which can pressure gold short term. Conclusion Gold prices in June 2025 are influenced by a complex interplay of factors: a slightly weaker dollar recently has supported gold, but rising 10-year Treasury yields and falling bond prices exert downward pressure. Inflation concerns and geopolitical risks continue to underpin gold’s appeal as a safe haven and inflation hedge. The usual inverse relationship between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, reflecting evolving market dynamics and the balance between inflation expectations and real yields. #gold #dollar
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAU/USD THOUGHTSXAU/USD 1H - I am in prep of buying into this market after price trading us down to clear the gap in the market and the OB that was just below that. We have means to trade this market bullish now, its just a case of waiting for an entry. Price traded down, rejected well and broke structure to the upside, telling us that enough Demand has been introduced to flip the balance in the market. I now want price to pullback fractally to give us a refined entry. Price pulling back into our fractal area of Demand gives us another piece of confluence, it tells us that price is putting in clear bullish structure protecting the lows and breaking the highs. By price pulling back down, its giving us a more refined entry with a better RR, setting our SL just below the zone we get involved in and our TP just below the last higher timeframe high.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lukegforex
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another powerful day in the markets with our chart idea unfolding exactly as anticipated. In yesterday’s update, we highlighted that all our targets, 3305, 3334, and 3359 were hit following the EMA5 cross and lock confirmation. We also pointed out the EMA5 lock above 3359, now left 3389 open. ✅ Today, that 3389 level was hit to perfection. The absence of a further EMA5 lock above confirmed a precise rejection, sending price back down into the lower Goldturns for support and bounce inline with our plans to buy dips. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips and track the movement with ema5 lock or rejection. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3305 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3305 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3334 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3334 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3359 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3359 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3389 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3428 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3478 BEARISH TARGETS 3271 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3271 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3227 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3227 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3185 3146 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
13
XAUUSD: Strategy and Analysis for June 12Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance: 3400-3420, support: 3310 Four-hour chart resistance: 3400, support: 3325 One-hour chart resistance: 3385, support: 3340. Spot gold soared after the release of CPI as investors responded to optimistic inflation data. Trump's interest rate cut speech restored the confidence of gold bulls, but with the strong pressure of 3380 above, the market fell again, and the frequency of gold long and short switching accelerated, verifying the daily level of shock. From a technical point of view, although the daily line has not risen continuously, there is a very obvious feature of the daily cycle, that is, the middle track of Bollinger has not broken, and multiple attempts have not changed this technical point. This is the support point for the short-term retracement and the defense point for the long-term rise. If the NY market stands firm at 3380, it is expected to rise to the 3410 US dollar line. The short-term key support position below is around 3345, and it will be short-term bearish only after it falls below. Personally, I suggest that you give priority to buying in the NY market. Buy: 3380near SL:3375 Buy: 3345near SL:3340
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 6/11/2025Gold has been stuck within 3300 and 3340 for a while. Yesterday after it reached 3347, it quickly dropped and closed the day below 3340. I could see the deceleration of bullish momentum. Currently 12hrly TF also prints a bearish candle. Therefore, I am switching my midterm view to bearish right now. I am expecting the price to test 3340 again today and watch the price action at this resistance. If it holds, I will sell towards 3290. My ultimate target for today is 3250.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by SteadyFund