The pullback before $3,400?Hello, traders
Gold has been in a clear downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe, and during one of its recent declines, it left behind a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). Price is now climbing back toward this imbalance zone, suggesting that a critical test of resistance may be approaching.
Bounce from strong support
Just a few days ago, Gold found solid footing at a strong support area, which triggered a bounce. Since then, it has been pushing higher and is now nearing the 4-hour FVG. This zone represents a significant area of imbalance left unfilled during the prior selloff, and it's highly likely that price will react once it reaches this region.
FVG and Golden Pocket
Interestingly, this FVG aligns closely with the golden pocket, which lies between 3315 and 3325. While the golden pocket sits slightly above the midpoint of the FVG, there's a good chance Gold could tap into that area before showing signs of a pullback or rejection from the FVG itself.
Target to the downside
If price fails to break above this zone and reverses, the logical target to the downside would be the 3250 level. This area has acted as a key resistance in recent sessions, and if retested from above, it could serve as a strong support base for another potential leg higher.
Target if we break above the FVG
On the other hand, if Gold manages to break cleanly through the FVG with strong volume and momentum, the path could open toward a move up to the recent highs around 3430. In that scenario, the bullish continuation would likely require sustained buying interest and increased market participation to carry through.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 16, 2025📊 XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 16, 2025
🔹Current Price: 3,225.12
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌 Key Supply Zone:
🔴 H4 F++++++ Zone – Strong selling area triggered a sharp drop from the highs; price now retesting lower supply at 3,228–3,231.
📌 Key Demand Zones:
🟢 3187–3192 – Target demand zone; potential bounce area marked by prior accumulation
🟢 3168–3172 – Deeper demand; high-probability reversal zone if price extends lower
⚡️Bearish Play in Progress:
Price rejected cleanly from H4 supply and is forming a lower high. If 3,228 fails to break, continuation toward 3190s is likely.
🔍 FXFOREVER Insight:
✅ Lower timeframe structure shifting bearish
✅ Watch for M15 confirmation below 3,222 for short entries
✅ Monitor price behavior at 3187–3192 zone for reaction/bounce setups
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoney #SupplyDemandZones #FXFOREVER #PriceAction #ScalpingSetups
Best GOLD XAUUSD Psychological Levels Indicator on TradingView
There is one free technical indicator that will show you every significant psychological level on Gold XAUUSD chart.
It is available on TradingView and it is very easy to set.
Discover the best psychological support and resistance indicator for Gold trading , its settings and useful tips.
First, let's discuss the significance of psychological levels in GOLD XAUUSD analysis and trading.
The classic way of the search of significant supports and resistance is based on the analysis of a historic price action.
However, while Gold constantly sets new historic highs such a method does not work, because there are no historic resistances to rely on.
In such a situation, the only reliable strategy to find potentially strong resistances is to analyze psychological levels.
Psychological levels are the round numbers based price levels. Because of the common human psychological biases, these levels attract the interest of the market participants and the prices tend to react to them.
A great example of a psychological level in Gold trading is 3000 level.
It served as a resistance first and after a breakout turned into an important support.
And I found a free technical indicator that plots all the significant psychological levels efficiently.
One more thing to note is that I strictly recommend searching for psychological levels on a daily time frame, because it provides the most relevant perspective.
To use this indicator, search "round" in indicators wind ow.
It is called "Round numbers above and below".
Click on that and it will start working immediately.
You can see that the indicator plotted 3 significant psychological resistances above current prices and 3 supports below on Gold chat.
In the settings of the indicator, you can change the number of levels to identify and change the style of the horizontal lines.
Examine the reaction of the price to psychological supports that the indicator shows. These levels may remain significant in futures and applied for pullback/breakout trading.
With a crazy bullish rally that we contemplate on Gold this year, psychological levels will be the most reliable technical analysis tools for the identification of future bearish reversals and corrections.
This free technical indicator on TradingView will help you in search of the strongest ones.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD continues sideways above 3200 zone⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
U.S. President Donald Trump stated on Monday that he does not anticipate reinstating the 145% tariffs on Chinese imports following the current 90-day suspension. In a Fox News interview on Wednesday, he emphasized the "excellent" relationship with China, which fueled trade optimism and weighed on safe-haven demand for Gold during the Asian session.
Meanwhile, on the geopolitical front, Russia and Ukraine are preparing for their first high-level, in-person negotiations since 2022, scheduled to take place in Istanbul this week. The talks come amid mounting international pressure for Moscow to accept a proposed 30-day ceasefire. Representing the U.S., Secretary of State Marco Rubio, along with special envoys Steve Witkoff and Keith Kellogg, are expected to participate in the discussions.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Accumulation price zone, gold price sideways around 3200 - 3270, balance between buyers and sellers
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3282- 3284 SL 3289
TP1: $3270
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3250
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3167 - $3165 SL $3160
TP1: $3178
TP2: $3189
TP3: $3200
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD is supported short, trend is bearishThe bargain-hunting wave has supported OANDA:XAUUSD in the short term. In addition, weaker-than-expected US CPI in April, cooling expectations for a Fed rate cut, a fall in the US Dollar Index from a one-month high, and geopolitical concerns have all provided bullish momentum for gold. Spot gold was trading in a narrow range in early trading on Wednesday (May 14), currently trading around $3,245/ounce.
Inflation data
Data from the US Labor Department, a key indicator of Federal Reserve policy, released on Tuesday showed that the CPI rose just 0.2% month-on-month in April, below the expected 0.3%.
This mild inflation report is like a tonic, injecting new life into gold prices. This data will not hinder the Fed's interest rate cut, and the market generally expects the Fed to cut interest rates again in September.
It is worth noting that while inflationary pressures are not high now, inflation could pick up again in the coming months as the impact of tariffs becomes clear. Such expectations are prompting many investors to turn to gold as an inflation hedge.
On the same day on Tuesday, Do Nam Trung once again called on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates
On Tuesday, Trump reiterated his call for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, saying that the prices of gasoline, groceries and “almost everything else” are falling.
Geopolitics: “Safe Haven Fire”
In addition to economic factors, continued tensions in the global geopolitical situation also provide strong support for gold. The possible face-to-face talks between Ukrainian President Zelensky and Russian President Putin are fraught with uncertainty, and despite a temporary ceasefire in the India-Pakistan conflict, the underlying tensions between the two sides have not changed. These uncertainties mean that gold still has the potential to rise in price once market risks suddenly occur.
Looking Ahead: Gold’s Challenges
Looking ahead, gold faces three key variables:
• First, the further progress of the Sino-US trade talks. Although the two sides have reached a 90-day truce, the comprehensive tariff policy remains in effect.
• Second, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction. A soft performance in inflation data could pave the way for a rate cut.
• Finally, global geopolitical risks, especially the developments in the Russia-Ukraine peace talks and the India-Pakistan conflict.
There is relatively little economic data on the trading day. US Secretary of State Rubio will attend the informal meeting of NATO foreign ministers from May 14 to 16 to discuss NATO security priorities, including increased defense spending and ending the Russia-Ukraine war. In addition, several Federal Reserve officials will speak, which investors should pay attention to.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is still trading in a narrow range with short-term conditions leaning towards the downside with the main pressure from the EMA21.
However, the downside momentum is currently limited by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level, which is also the nearest support. If gold is sold below $3,228, it will have the prospect of continuing to decline with the next target around $3,163 in the short term.
For gold to resume its uptrend, the necessary condition is that the price action needs to be pushed above the EMA21 and break above the raw price level of 3,300 USD.
Although the main trend from the price channel has not been broken yet, the short-term outlook for gold is bearish, and the notable positions will also be listed as follows.
Support: 3,228 – 3,200 – 3,163 USD
Resistance: 3,245 – 3,292 – 3,300 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3284 - 3282⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3288
→Take Profit 1 3276
↨
→Take Profit 2 3370
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3165 - 3167⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3161
→Take Profit 1 3173
↨
→Take Profit 2 3179
Bearish reversal for the Gold?The price is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 3,263.27
1st Support: 3,124.31
1st Resistance: 3,346.25
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[19May2025] Watch-Weekly Boundaries & Key-Level; Down or Up?Monday Move—Are we going further down? Or are we right in the cage? Bear/Bull fight is the final note before the True move. Stay tuned until the end—the important boundaries and key levels of price action are listed below. Watch out for the game "they" play.
The market has already revealed its intent—if you’re still in "wait and see" mode, the next sweep will happen before you even realize it. The anomalies over the past weeks aren’t random; they are signals. If you haven’t made sense of them yet, this is your wake-up call.
Now, as price remains below critical pivot levels, something is set to unfold. The conditioning is complete, the offloading is in play, and the next move—whether reversal or deeper liquidation—hangs in the balance.
Are you watching? Or are you falling into the illusion?
Something big is brewing. But what? And why now?
Over the past two weeks, gold has witnessed extreme fluctuations—sharp movements that aren’t mere market randomness but the footprint of something far more deliberate. This isn’t just price action; it’s a grand orchestration, a carefully staged performance designed to induce, accumulate, and distribute at an unprecedented scale.
Retail traders follow the numbers, but institutions craft the narrative. The illusionists play their hand, shifting liquidity under the guise of war, inflation, and recession—a tired record played on loop to justify the unseen. But savvy traders know better. They see the exhaustion. They recognize the conditioning.
Here’s the reality: It’s not about gold’s valuation—it never was. It’s about control, liquidity extraction, and advantage. The real game is well-hidden beneath surface-level movements.
What happens next isn’t random. It’s calculated. Will you recognize it, or will you be caught inside the illusion?
Gold Market Analysis – Post NYSE Close (May 16, 2025)
Market Structure & Pivot Levels
📌 Monthly:
Pivot: 3248.44
Sell Signal Below: 3402.35 → Clear 2915.88
Buy Signal Above: 3054.48 → Clear 3540.95
📌 Weekly:
Pivot: 3216.81
Sell Signal Below: 3289.10 → Clear 3105.42
Buy Signal Above: 3159.08 → Clear 3342.76
📌 Daily (Friday’s Candle):
Pivot: 3202.87
Sell Signal Below: 3234.03 → Clear 3146.89
Buy Signal Above: 3172.35 → Clear 3259.49
🎯 Closing Price: 3202.25 (Below Friday’s pivot level)
Bearish Momentum – What’s Happening?
🔻 Bear Pressure Increasing: Trading below Monthly, Weekly, and Daily pivot levels suggests growing downward momentum.
🔄 Market in Preparation Mode: Price action indicates institutional positioning and offloading, setting the stage for a potential shift.
💰 Institutional Manipulation at Play:
Inducement & Distribution visible in price behavior—buyer-side absorption remains evident.
Failed bull attempts to push above pivots suggest exhaustion in bullish momentum.
📌 For bulls to regain control: Price must convincingly breach pivots with strong momentum and liquidity, showing sustained buying strength.
Market Narrative – The Hidden Truth
💡 News Is Just Noise: War, tariffs, inflation, recession—these are conditioning tools used to justify price movement, but they do not define it.
🎭 Gold’s Price Is Not About Valuation: It’s about liquidity control, herd mentality, and institutional advantage—a strategic illusion shaping retail sentiment.
Conclusion & Anticipation
✅ Bear Territory Confirmed: Price remains below key pivots , suggesting continued downward movement.
🔄 Market Correction Anticipated: Price has extended too far , and a liquidity rebalancing could unfold.
😱 Retail Sentiment – Extreme Greed: FOMO-driven rallies keep pulling traders into institutional traps.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Above Daily Pivot: 3418 / 3403 / 3378 / 3338 / 3312 / 3296 / 3270 / 3252
Below Daily Pivot: 3200 / 3191 / 3154 / 3135 / 3116 / 3107 / 3071 / 3056 / 3033 / 3009 / 2995 / 2983 / 2969 / 2952
📢 Final Thought: If trading remains below 3402 , liquidation may still be ongoing. Market footprint suggests a potential deep retest at 3019/2811 before signs of meaningful recovery.
🛠️ Institutional activity is likely to be significant—this moment presents an opportunity to anticipate liquidity shifts.
Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis Today using the "alademy-target-stoploss"There is a potential bullish breakout forming a triangle pattern on the 1-hour timeframe. The price of gold has opened above the thin yellow line.
If a bullish green candle opens above the blue line, there is a high probability that the price will continue rising toward the green line, which acts as a strong resistance level.
If this green resistance line is broken, the chances increase for gold to reach the final line of the "Alademy" indicator around the 3295 level — especially if a candle opens above 3250.
Stay tuned for the upcoming analysis on the daily timeframe.
XAUUSD now buy signal Gold kept up its bullish momentum on Thursday, climbing to fresh daily highs above the key $3,200 mark per troy ounce. The move is getting a boost from a softer Greenback and a generally cautious mood in global markets, while the initial excitement around the US–China trade deal continues to fade.
XAUUSD now buy 3224
Support 3250
Support 3270
Target 3300
Gold Reversal Potential from Falling Wedge + Demand Zone
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal on the 15-minute chart. After forming a falling wedge pattern and reaching a key demand zone around 3120, price action suggests a possible bounce.
Falling wedge breakout observed with increasing volume
Strong rejection from the 3120 support zone
Risk-to-reward setup aligned with bullish momentum
Watch for continuation if price holds above the minor trendline
This idea is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD)🔍 Chart Structure Overview
Downtrend Channel (Bearish Flag/Wedge):
The price has been moving within a well-defined descending channel.
Multiple touches on both the upper and lower trendlines confirm the structure.
Breakout Confirmation:
Price has now broken above the upper trendline of the descending channel, indicating a potential bullish breakout.
This is often a reversal signal when it comes after a strong downtrend.
Key Support Zone:
A horizontal support zone is marked where price reversed and pushed up strongly.
This suggests a potential accumulation zone and demand area.
Retest Expectation:
The red arrows suggest that price may retest the broken channel resistance (now turned support).
If it holds, it could confirm a bullish continuation.
📈 Projection & Target Levels
Immediate Target: Around $3,250–$3,275, just above the breakout zone.
Extended Target: Above $3,375, based on the arrow projection and previous swing highs.
🔄 Scenario Path (Based on Drawing):
Price has broken out of the channel (bullish signal).
A pullback/retest to the channel top or previous resistance is expected.
If the retest holds, we expect a strong bullish continuation.
✅ Bullish Confluences:
Break of descending structure
Reversal from strong demand zone
Momentum shown in bullish candles
Projection suggests a healthy risk-reward opportunity
⚠️ Risk Factors to Monitor:
False breakout: If the price returns into the channel, bullish bias weakens.
Major resistance at $3,250–$3,275 area.
Fundamental events (e.g. FOMC, CPI) that can cause volatility.
📌 Conclusion:
This chart suggests a bullish reversal setup on Gold, supported by a channel breakout and demand reaction. A successful retest of the breakout zone would confirm potential for upward momentum toward the $3,275–$3,375 levels.
GOLD - where is current resistance? Holds or not??#GOLD.. in yesterday market placed a low around 3167-68 and bounced back.
Now market just near to his current resistance area that is around 3184-85
Keep close that area and if market hold it in that case we can expect a further drop..
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse above 3184-85 on confirmation ..
Good luck
Trade wisely
Gold next move bullish or bearish ( Read description ) Hello mates, I hope you are doing well and you had a good time to trade and had positive trades.
I’m back with new idea in which i’m expecting that gold will fly soon because it had a dropped and now gold wants to fly.
Gold was flying due to tariff and a little drop because trump was visiting different countries.
I hope now market will running perfect.
In my view trend will change after a little moment.
Last bearish move was at 3121 or something.
Follow me for new ideas and kindly share your ideas in comment section.
DeGRAM | GOLD fixed under the supply area📊 Technical Analysis
● Break back below the blue median line turned the $3 ,260 ‑ 3,320 supply into resistance; the rebound stalled there, forming a bearish flag.
● With price sliding underneath the flag’s base, momentum points to the channel floor/ horizontal supports at 3 200 and 3 100; short view void on a close above 3 315.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● May US retail‑sales beat (+0.5 % m/m) and hawkish Fed remarks (“rates may stay high for some time”) lifted 10‑yr yields toward 4.50 %, firming the USD.
● World Gold Council reports the largest weekly ETF outflow since February, signalling softer investment demand.
✨ Summary
Supply‑zone rejection plus firmer USD/yields favour shorts: targets 3 200 → 3 100; exit if price reclaims 3 315.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold Price Recovery Setup: Targeting 3240 Amid Short-Term RebounThis 1-hour Gold (XAU/USD) chart highlights a potential short-term recovery setup, with a target around 3240. After a recent dip to support, the price shows early signs of a bullish reversal, aiming to reclaim key levels. Traders should watch for confirmation of momentum before committing to long positions.
The chart shows a potential short-term rebound for gold, targeting 3240 after bouncing off a key support level. If momentum holds, this could be the start of a recovery, but a break below the recent low could invalidate this setup.
5/15 Gold Trading Signals🌇Good afternoon, everyone!
Yesterday, gold broke the support after some sideways movement and touched the buy zone near 3170, but profit was limited.
Today, after opening, gold rebounded to above 3190 but faced resistance and started dropping again. Notably, the 1-hour chart shows bullish divergence, and although not yet corrected, such divergence usually leads to a rebound of at least $60 — a potential opportunity worth watching.
🗞 News Highlights:
U.S. Initial Jobless Claims
Research conference on monetary policy and economy
These events may significantly impact gold, so stay alert.
📌 Today’s Trading Strategy:
🟢 Buy Zone: 3113 – 3076
🔴 Sell Zone: 3208 – 3223
🔄 Flexible Trading Ranges:
▫️3123-3152-3168-3187-3198
✅ Maintain cautious, flexible positioning. Watch for divergence correction opportunities for a potential sharp rebound.
GOLD BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,174.39
Target Level: 3,383.26
Stop Loss: 3,035.14
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Gold: Clear 3200-3260 Range – Buy the DipsThe volatility in the gold market has gradually returned to normal levels 🌟, with trading activity stabilizing into a steady rhythm. Under the core logic that the long-term bullish trend remains firmly intact 📈, the strategy of going long on pullbacks remains the most reliable profit-making approach at present 💰. From a technical perspective, the current gold price has formed a clear consolidation range between the key support level of 3,200 and resistance level of 3,260 📊. Notably, the 3,200–3,210 zone converges multiple technical supports, making it an ideal entry point for long positions 📈.
Trading Recommendations:
Traders are advised to decisively initiate long positions near 3,200–3,210, with stop-loss orders set below 3,180 to manage risk 🚦. In the absence of sudden geopolitical events or major economic data releases 📰, intraday strategies should prioritize the bullish bias, targeting the 3,240–3,260 resistance zone 🎯. It is important to note that while the long-term trend remains upward, short-term market fluctuations may still be influenced by factors such as Federal Reserve policy expectations. Maintain strict position management, avoid excessive leverage, and adopt a prudent mindset to capture trend-driven profits effectively ✨
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@3200 -3210
🚀 TP 3220 - 3240
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAU / USD 1 Hour ChartHello traders. Wow, what an opening push up for gold. I just wanted to post a lower time frame chart to show what area(s) I am watching. The market just opened so it's ridiculous to really speculate on what may happen, and I am currently not looking to take any trades on opening night. Saying that, I find that gold carves out its paths in the first few days of the week. Let's see how the overnight sessions play out. Big G gets all my thanks. Be well and trade the trend.
Analysis of the latest gold trend on May 16:
1. Core driving factors of fundamentals
Weak US economic data strengthens expectations of interest rate cuts
PPI and retail sales data fell beyond expectations: US PPI fell 0.5% month-on-month in April (expected +0.2%), retail sales growth dropped sharply from 1.7% in March to 0.1%, and manufacturing output fell 0.4%, indicating that the pressure of economic slowdown has intensified. This data directly led to a sharp drop in US Treasury yields (10-year yields fell 11 basis points to 4.435%), and market expectations for the Fed's interest rate cuts increased (the probability of a rate cut in September is expected to rise to 75.4%).
Weak US dollar: The US dollar index fell 0.2% to 100.82, and the real interest rate (TIPS yield) fell below 1.8%, providing pricing support for gold.
Geopolitical risks escalate
Russia-Ukraine peace talks are deadlocked: Putin refused to attend the Turkey talks and only sent a low-level delegation. Ukrainian President Zelensky called this move "disrespectful". Market expectations for the progress of the peace agreement have cooled significantly, and safe-haven demand has surged.
Uncertainty in the Middle East: There are still differences in the Iran nuclear agreement negotiations. Although Trump said it was "close to being reached", internal news in Iran showed that key issues have not been resolved and the risk of geopolitical conflict continues.
Trade situation and long-term support factors
The pressure of easing tariffs between China and the United States has been exhausted: Although the China-US tariff agreement has eased trade frictions in the short term, the market's focus has shifted to economic data and subsequent policy impacts. In the long run, global central banks continue to buy gold (more than 1,000 tons of gold in 2024), stagflation risks (high inflation and low growth coexist) and weakening US dollar credit still support gold.
2. Key technical points
Support level:
Short-term: US$3205-3210 (psychological barrier and 4-hour Bollinger band middle track).
Medium term: $3160 (trend line support and 60-day moving average).
Resistance level:
Above: $3260-3270 (high pressure zone 4 hours ago).
Long-term target: $3330-3350 (gap filling and historical high range).
Technical signal:
Daily MACD bottom divergence, RSI rebounded from the oversold area, indicating strong short-term rebound momentum.
If it breaks through the $3260 resistance, it may start a new round of rise; if it falls below $3200, it may fall back to the $3160 support.
3. Optimal trading strategy
Short-term operation (intraday to intraweek)
Long opportunity:
Entry conditions: Gold price pulls back to the $3205-3210 range to stabilize, or the US dollar index does not break through the 100.50 resistance.
Target: $3260-3280, stop loss set below 3180.
Short opportunities:
Entry conditions: Gold price rebounds to 3260-3280 range and encounters resistance, or the US dollar index stabilizes at 101.
Target: 3220-3200 US dollars, stop loss set above 3290.
Medium-term strategy (monthly level)
Bullish logic: Central bank gold demand, stagflation risk and normalization of geopolitical conflicts support long-term upward trend.
Entry time: If gold price falls back to 3160-3180 area without breaking, long positions can be opened in batches, stop loss 3130, target 3330-3350 US dollars.
Risk control points
Strict stop loss: short-term stop loss does not exceed 2% of the total position, medium-term stop loss does not exceed 5%.
Event avoidance: Pay attention to today's Michigan Consumer Confidence Index and import price data in the United States, and reduce positions before the data is released.
IV. Summary and risk warning
Core contradiction: Short-term economic data and geopolitical risks dominate fluctuations, and medium- and long-term structural benefits remain unchanged.
Potential risks:
Policy changes: If the Fed releases hawkish signals or Russia-Ukraine negotiations make unexpected progress, it may trigger a sharp correction.
Technical overbought repair: Gold has risen too much in the short term, so we need to be wary of profit-taking pressure.
Operation principles: light positions, strict stop losses, and give priority to the breakthrough direction of the 3200-3260 US dollar range, and follow the trend.