XAUUSD H1 XAUUSD TOPDOWN ANALYSIS ALGO MIX ICT
follow the price, dont predict only react.
ALGICT TRADERS ACADÉMIE
XAUUSDK trade ideas
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
The 4-hour chart still shows a bearish configuration with MACD in a sustained death cross, displaying no signs of reversal. Gold’s decline may have further room.
During the US session, gold rebounded to near 3349 but fell again, remaining pressured by moving average resistance. The overall trend remains range-bound.
Awaiting the CPI data release, price is likely to maintain a sideways trend before the announcement.
Monitor overhead resistance at the 3350–3360 zone. Continue to short on rebounds as long as resistance holds.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@3350-3340
TP:3300-3280
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Gold heavily pressuredTechnical analysis: Gold remains heavily pressured on now a #2-session / day basis as #3,327.80 - #3,335.80 final Support zone was compromised ahead of #3,300.80 benchmark in extension. #3,300.80 benchmark rejected the Price-action and prevented further pain on Gold, retracing the Price-action all the way towards my Resistance belt. The trend is approaching #3,327.80 point as I am expecting the first signs of wall of Resistance lines here starting at #3,327.80 where Hourly 4 chart’s Short-term first Resistance line rests. With stalled recovery on DX and Bond Yields soaring (Gold follows the movement with diagonal correlation) - I doubt that Gold has potential to slide more, but if does, I’ll be forced to change my Bullish Short-term perspective (very slim chances). It is important to understand that despite the heavy Selling pressure towards U.S. session, Gold has light Fundamental calendar so nothing is standing between Gold’s intention to pierce #3,327.80 Resistance at the moment on very Bullish Hourly 1 chart Technicals (chart I make my calculations on). Price-action has successfully tested the estimated Support zone and nicely formed strong Bottom which won’t be invalidated without serious cause. #3,300.80 - #3,302.80 represents Lower High’s Upper zone and according to the cycle, Lower High’s are usually areas where Selling sequence is usually rejected or stalled under.
My position: I am Highly satisfied with Friday’s NFP aftermath as I guessed nicely that upside surprise is expected and caught #2 excellent Selling orders on the way down as I was well aware that Price-action will correct all gains fueled with NFP outcome where Short-term Sellers appeared.
GOLD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The market is trading on 3330.6 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3338.3
Recommended Stop Loss - 3326.5
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD, GoldGold is in a correction phase. If the price cannot break through the $3429 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling in the red zone.
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BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY SETUP FOR TODAYPrice is showing signs of bullish strength after reclaiming key demand zones near 3,310.926–3,315.098 🟦. The recent CHoCH (Change of Character) and strong bullish reaction from the demand block suggests a potential move toward the 3,360 resistance area 🔼. Buyers are likely stepping in with momentum, aiming for a break above previous highs 📉➡️📈. As long as price stays above the 3,315 support, the bullish scenario remains valid — watch for continuation toward higher highs. 🚀💹
Gold Trade Plan 11/06/2025Dear traders,
Gold (XAUUSD) is forming a rising wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart, with price approaching the key resistance zone between 3360–3362, which also aligns with the long-term descending trendline.
This confluence increases the probability of a bearish reaction from this area.
If the price fails to break above this resistance zone, a sharp drop toward the demand zone between 3275–3260 can be expected.
A confirmed breakdown of the wedge pattern would provide a valid short opportunity with targets set at the lower demand range.
🛑 Risk management is essential in case of any false breakouts.
regards,
Alireza!
Sell Gold Potentialas we can see, we have a good entry here with a small Stop Loss and a good target
Risky trade but worth it
Good Luck
Weekly IDEA on Gold/XAUUSD 9-13 June 2025Technical Confluences:
Bearish FVG:
Fresh Fair Value Gap formed due to aggressive sell-off.
FVG = supply zone, acting as magnet for liquidity + rejection
Broken Channel Retest:
Price fell below the ascending channel
Now retesting the channel, a classic structure behavior before continuation.
Liquidity Below:
Clear clean lows visible around $3,290 → $3,250 → $3,120.
These levels could serve as liquidity targets for institutional movement
Rejection Candlestick Anticipated:
If a strong rejection candle (e.g., bearish engulfing / wick trap) forms inside FVG, entry confidence increases.
📌 Trade Idea (Signal)
Sell Limit Idea
Entry Zone: $3,332 – $3,344
SL: $3,355 (above FVG and channel invalidation)
TP1: $3,290
TP2: $3,250
TP3: $3,120
RR: Approx. 3R+
❗ Alternate Bullish Scenario:
If price reclaims and closes back inside the channel (above $3,355):
The current bearish setup is invalidated.
Bullish momentum could resume with possible push toward $3,400 → $3,445.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This is a classic SMC + market structure confluence.
Wait for rejection confirmation inside the FVG for higher probability.
Avoid chasing the move — precision entry at supply is key.
Rebound is a good opportunity to short goldGold gradually rebounded after touching 3295. The highest price has rebounded to 3338. Although the rebound has reached $43, the upward momentum is not strong during the rebound. Therefore, the current rebound cannot be confirmed as a reversal trend. Moreover, gold has not yet effectively broken through the 3330-3340 area. Gold is still weak in the short term. Gold still has the potential to fall after the rebound. It will at least retest the 3315-3305 area again.
Therefore, there is no need to fear the rebound of gold for the time being. The rebound of gold is a good opportunity to short gold. I think gold will at least retest the 3315-3305 area again, and even exceed expectations to the area around 3280. Shorting gold is the password for profit in the short term!
Geopolitics Trigger Gold Breakthrough Above $3,400Last night's released strategy accurately predicted Israel's military action against Iran – the strike was launched in the early morning. The driving effect of geopolitics on gold is significant. As a major global oil supply region, the Middle East situation has directly triggered a surge in oil prices.
The key focus is on Iran's subsequent counterattack: if retaliation is carried out, gold's safe-haven attribute will be further activated, and the possibility of gold prices breaking through the $3,500 threshold is significantly increased.
Currently, go long near the $3,400 support level. Pay attention to changes in the international situation, and I will notify you immediately of any new news.
XAU/USD
buy@3400-3410
tp:3430-3440
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
XAUUSD 200 pip FVG drop?XAUUSD Finally started to break below to the major direction of the trend. After crossing the daily high, price started to break below upon retest of the neck line of the 4H head and shoulder.
As the market has got rejected from daily resistance we see possible drop back to daily low or even test of the strong liquidity zone on the monthly support level.
Upon price action confirmation, a sell trade is high probable
Gold fluctuates widely, strategy remains unchanged
📌Gold news
The US and Chinese delegations will continue talks in London for the second consecutive day. President Trump expressed optimism, saying the talks "should go well". US officials said the talks could lead to Washington lifting certain technology export restrictions in exchange for Beijing relaxing controls on rare earth exports - a material that is critical to industries such as energy, defense and advanced technology. The results of these negotiations may provide a new direction for precious metals
📊Comment analysis
The European session continued to retrace and gave a low of 3293, then slowly strengthened. The current high reached 3349, so today's strategy does not need to be changed for the time being. If the current market is given to 3335-3345 again, short orders can still be entered. The current trend is still weak, and the US market is likely to follow the old path of a second decline, so the current idea of shorting on the pullback remains unchanged for the time being!
💰Strategy package
Gold: Short on rebound 3335-3345, stop loss 3350, target 3300-3280!
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the lot size that matches your funds
-
Gold ready for shootGold is on supply zone and strong support at 3302 can took further till 3326 in next 2-3 hours than will if able to sustain that level than further move possible or if break that than again will be near 3310 till next china usa talk
xauusd 30mHey traders
I can see sell setup xauusd Pair in 30m time frame
wait for market
Also use proper money management
Always wait for confirmation/strong setup for open a trade.
Thank you and Good Luck!
Happy trading.
Gold is under pressure and bearish outlook remains unchanged
Gold has been rebounding during the day, but the strength of the rebound has weakened significantly. Although the one-hour trend broke through the upper pressure of 3340, it did not stand on 3340. The one-hour trend closed with a negative line, which means that the short-term rebound has come to an end. For this, we will continue to maintain a bearish view.
The pressure level of the one-hour market is at 3340. Before the gold price stands firm at 3340, it means that the rebound is an opportunity for us to short. The idea of our analysis just now is correct. Our internal strategy is also short at 3335. At present, the market has begun to fall back. Our positions are profitable. The target below will gradually look to around 3270, and our defense only needs to bring a little break loss.
Specific strategy
Gold 3335 short, stop loss 3345, target 3310
XAUUSD_30M_SellHello Gold Analysis Short-Term Time Frame Elliott Wave Analysis Style The market is in five waves of decline and is expected to move down for wave 5 and move towards the target of 3282 as long as the main level of 3338 is maintained as resistance.
GOLD GOLD opens on liquidity demand floor on 15min chart and took 3295-3300 demand floor for uptick as early discussed on other gold chart.
3358-3365 hold a strong supply roof and a double top structure broken neckline will hold buyers @ 3358-3365 .if that layer is respected ,your buy profit will be taken. but if is broken you go long on retest of 3358-3365.
Gold, 10-Year Bond Yield, DXY, and Interest Rate Differential
1.Gold is trading around $3,324 after dipping into 3300-3295 per ounce on Asian session
The price remains elevated compared to historical levels, supported by inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and strong central bank demand.
2. Relationship with 10-Year Bond Yield
The US 10-year Treasury yield is hovering near 4.5%, recently rising amid inflation worries and fiscal uncertainties.the boost from NFP took 10 year yield from 4.3% to 4.58% close of Friday .
Gold has an inverse relationship with real yields (nominal yields minus inflation expectations). Rising nominal yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, generally pressuring gold prices lower.
However, if inflation expectations remain elevated, gold can still hold value as an inflation hedge despite rising nominal yields.
3. Relationship with DXY (US Dollar Index)
Gold and the DXY share a strong negative correlation because gold is priced in USD.
When the dollar strengthens, gold becomes more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and pushing prices down.
Recent dollar strength on demand floor has weighed on gold, but persistent inflation, geopolitical tension ,political instability and safe-haven demand have limited gold’s downside.
4. Interest Rate Differential Impact
The interest rate differential between the US and other major economies affects capital flows and currency valuations, indirectly influencing gold.
Higher US rates relative to other countries tend to strengthen the dollar, pressuring gold. Conversely, narrowing differentials or expectations of Fed rate cuts can weaken the dollar and support gold prices.
Gold prices remain in a higher trading range ($3,000–$3,500) supported by inflation fears, geopolitical risks, and central bank buying.
Near-term pressure may come from rising bond yields and a strong dollar. Critical looks on over bought market would need a correction to set up a new buy rally.
The upcoming U.S. inflation data release on June 11, 2025 and Fed policy signals will be crucial in determining gold’s direction.
Core CPI m/m forecast: 0.3% (previous 0.2%)
CPI m/m forecast: 0.2% (previous 0.2%)
CPI y/y forecast: 2.5% (previous 2.3%)
How the Federal Reserve is likely to react if actual figures exceed forecasts:
(1)Monetary Policy Stance
The Fed’s May 2025 minutes emphasize a data-dependent approach, maintaining the federal funds rate at 4.25%–4.50% while carefully assessing incoming data and risks to inflation and employment.
If inflation prints come in higher than expected, especially core CPI and y/y CPI, it would signal persistent inflation pressures, potentially delaying or reducing the likelihood of imminent rate cuts.
(2)Possible Fed Response
The Fed may adopt a more cautious or hawkish tone in its June 17–18 meeting, signaling readiness to keep rates elevated longer or even consider further tightening if inflation remains sticky.
Policymakers could emphasize the need for “greater confidence” that inflation is on a sustainable downward path before easing monetary policy.
Market expectations for rate cuts later in 2025 could be pushed back or diminished, supporting higher bond yields and a stronger dollar.
(3)Market Implications
A stronger-than-forecast CPI print would likely boost the US dollar (DXY) as markets price in a prolonged high-rate environment.
Treasury yields, especially the 10-year yield, may rise reflecting increased inflation risk and delayed easing.
Conversely, gold and other inflation-sensitive assets may face selling pressure due to higher real yields and dollar strength.
Conclusion
Gold’s price dynamics in June 2025 are shaped by a tug-of-war between rising US 10 year Treasury yields and a strengthening dollar, which weigh on gold, and inflation concerns plus safe-haven demand, which support it. The interest rate differential reinforces dollar strength, typically bearish for gold, but ongoing macro uncertainties keep gold elevated as a strategic asset and store of value.
#gold #dollar
GOLD We have been having nice and sweet bounce from our 200EMA, 3267??? that zone surely would be a no cross area FOR PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD .Happy new week, all the best.
Gold Analysis with Signals
For the beginning of the market, we expect the price correction to continue to the specified support levels (buy signals), which will be completed until the downward channel is broken, and after collecting liquidity, we will continue to see the price rise. The 4-hour minor ceiling still has buyers' liquidity that has not been settled.
GOLD market is still bullish news can pump it morewe may have fall or short-term fall like previous times but fundamental news and Banks around the world adding gold to their assets is non stop bullish for gold and i think soon we can expect Gold above 3600$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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XAUUSD GOLD OUTLOOK BULLISH PERFORMANCEbuy 3300 3295
take profit 3310
take profit 3320
take profit 3330
target 3374
sl 3290
