5/16 Gold Trading Signals
🌇Good afternoon, everyone!
Gold made a strong one-way rally from 3120 to above 3200 yesterday, perfectly achieving our bullish target with substantial profits.
Today, after a slight uptick at the open, gold started to pull back and enter a consolidation phase. Technically, this is a normal correction after a $120 surge. However, the key question now is:
🔍 Is this just a healthy pullback, or a bearish continuation pattern?
There’s some uncertainty in the current structure:
On the larger scale, the market still appears to be forming a double top.
On the shorter-term, this week’s pattern resembles a head and shoulders bottom, and price is now testing the neckline zone.
🧭 So, while the direction remains unclear, we can still identify key trading zones to act on.
🗞 News Watch:
Several important U.S. data releases are scheduled during the New York session. They may provide crucial directional signals for gold.
📌 Today’s Gold Trading Strategy:
🟢 Buy Zone: 3176 – 3148
🔴 Sell Zone: 3265 – 3287
🔄 Flexible Trading Zones (watch for reversals or breakout plays):
▫️3187-3198-3209-3237-3258-3267
✅ Reminder: With the structure being complex and direction unclear, avoid aggressive positioning. Focus on scalp or short-term trades near key zones and react to market post-data.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
GOLD falls to support $3,200, recovery momentum weakensOANDA:XAUUSD rebounded sharply on Thursday's trading day and weakened rapidly in the first half of the Asian trading session today, Friday (May 16). Gold is currently trading at $3,210/oz, equivalent to a decrease of $30 on the day, down about 0.93% as of the time of writing.
OANDA:XAUUSD accelerated their recovery on Thursday as weak US economic data fueled expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and weighed on the US dollar. At the same time, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s absence from Russia-Ukraine peace talks in Turkey also prompted some safe-haven buying.
Information surrounding the Russia-Ukraine talks is brought to readers through brief comments during the day.
Data released on Thursday showed that the US producer price index (PPI) unexpectedly fell in April and retail sales growth slowed significantly, while the consumer price index (CPI) for April released earlier in the week rose less than expected. The data showed that the US PPI unexpectedly fell 0.5% month-over-month in April, while the market expected a growth of 0.2%; the core PPI fell 0.4%, also below the expected growth of 0.3%. Meanwhile, US retail sales increased slightly by 0.1% month-over-month in April, slowing significantly from March's 1.7%.
Thursday’s data provided more room for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates and market expectations to become more dovish. Gold itself does not generate interest rates, and when rates fall, it increases the appeal of gold.
However, the impact from the data was not sustainable enough to generate a stronger rally, while new developments around the Russia-Ukraine talks are showing a positive trend. Gold is not benefiting from a risk-off environment.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart in the short term, gold is still in a position to decline in the short term with pressure from the EMA21 and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement point as the nearest resistance. Meanwhile, in terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also showing signs of folding as it retests the 50 level, which is noted as the closest resistance in terms of momentum to the current position of the RSI.
For now, the downside is also limited by the $3,200 base level, which is currently the nearest support and once it is broken below, gold is likely to continue its decline with a target of around $3,163 in the short term, which is the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, rather than $3,120.
For the day, gold still has a bearish technical outlook with the current positions listed below.
Support: $3,200 – $3,163 – $3,120
Resistance: $3,250 – $3,292
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3286 - 3284⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3290
→Take Profit 1 3278
↨
→Take Profit 2 3272
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3159 - 3161⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3155
→Take Profit 1 3167
↨
→Take Profit 2 3173
Gold Daily: Broad Oscillation – Analysis & TipsThe real-time trading signals we provided have been profitable every day. If you don't know how to get started, you can refer to my strategies. 👉🏼👉🏼👉🏼
On Monday during the early Asian trading session, spot gold continued its strong performance. The price surged by more than $40 at one point, hitting a high of $3,251, before retreating to trade in a range of $3,215-$3,230.
From a technical perspective, the four-hour MACD continues to show a golden cross, with expanding red histograms strengthening upward momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, indicating that bullish sentiment in the market has not subsided. The middle band of the Bollinger Bands provides support, while the upper band near $3,275 forms short-term resistance.
As of now, the gold price is hovering near $3,230. If it breaks above $3,250 to the upside, it may test $3,300; if it is suppressed by $3,250 and pulls back to break below $3,200 to the downside, it will continue to test $3,150. For short-term trading, it is recommended to focus on counter-trend short positions on rebounds and bullish positions on pullbacks. In the short term, key resistance levels to watch are $3,265-$3,275, while key support levels to monitor are $3,210-$3,200.
XAUUSD
buy@3210-3220
tp:3240-3250
Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Here’s the latest update on our weekly chart setup, which has continued to play out in line with our previous projections.
Recently, price broke above the upper boundary of our Goldturn Ascending Channel a proprietary channelling method designed for greater precision and reduced noise. However, the EMA5 remains within the channel, suggesting the breakout lacks confirmation. For a true continuation to the upside, we’ll need to see the EMA5 close and hold above the channel boundary, which would validate a structural shift in trend strength.
At the moment, price is hovering above the channel, showing signs of support and minor bullish bounces. However, until the EMA5 exits and stabilizes outside the channel, we treat this move with caution.
Price is currently testing the upper channel resistance, a critical decision point on the weekly timeframe. The 3482 level remains key resistance, having previously been rejected via upper wick with no candle body close above. On the downside, 3281 and 3189 are the primary support levels to monitor, both of which align with the channel's midline, a potential zone for consolidation or swing support if price moves sideways and gradually ascends.
In summary, while early bullish momentum is visible, full confirmation of trend continuation requires alignment between price action and the EMA5 behaviour relative to the channel structure.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake-outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders.
Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalize on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings.
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows, we really appreciate the support!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Monumental Imbalance- Engineered ValuationThe Engineered Valuation of Gold: A Thesis on Historical Price Spread and Market Balance
Gold, a cornerstone of financial stability and wealth preservation, has historically maintained a structured price movement within predictable volatility thresholds. However, from July 2024 to April 2025, a series of strategic liquidity manipulations orchestrated by institutional market movers (Smart Money) engineered an unprecedented climb to the $3,500 benchmark, leading to a critical imbalance that now requires systemic correction. This thesis examines the logic behind such monumental valuation, the necessity of market equilibrium, and the forces driving the current corrective phase.
I. The Foundations of Market Engineering
The modern gold market is an interplay between supply, demand, macroeconomic policy, and institutional liquidity control. A move exceeding 200 points per day was once considered abnormal, yet from mid-2024 onward, price action defied conventional expectations. The escalation was not organic; it was systematically constructed through large-scale liquidity injections designed to manufacture a psychological illusion of sustained value.
Institutional Liquidity Control – The mass accumulation phase required deep capital reserves, ensuring price elevation without resistance.
Retail Sentiment Manipulation – Inducements convinced traders that gold was headed for a new paradigm, further reinforcing liquidity absorption.
Macro-Economic Conditioning – Interest rate fluctuations, geopolitical instability, and fiat currency dilution provided a contextual justification for gold’s ascent.
II. The Necessity of Market Balance
Historical Spread Comparison
The largest daily spread of $543.73 (April 2025) confirmed peak liquidity absorption.
Sequential spread formations ($486.92, $472.15, etc.) validated strategic engineering rather than organic growth.
Over 9 months, gold transitioned from a standard price range to an anomalous liquidity cycle.
The Corrective Phase Requirement
Balancing Duration – If 9 months were required for price engineering, at least 18 months will be needed to restore stability.
Strategic Unloading – Institutional players will avoid abrupt withdrawals, preventing market shock and preserving controlled exit strategies.
Retail Positioning Implications – Traders will be forced to adapt as distribution phases begin to surface.
III. The Logic Behind Monumental Valuation
Geopolitical and Economic Catalysts
Fiat currency dilution created an urgency for gold repositioning.
Central bank reserve shifts demanded higher valuation as justification.
Supply chain disruptions amplified investment reallocations into hard assets.
Market Perception Management
A sharp surge to $3,500 reinforced investor belief in gold’s structural value.
The illusion of sustained liquidity triggered fear of missing out (FOMO) responses.
Large liquidity providers capitalized on mass retail participation, reinforcing engineered growth.
IV. The Path Forward
Institutional Unloading in Phases – Preventing sharp declines while maintaining controlled liquidation. Retail Trader Adaptation – Adjusting strategy to avoid liquidity traps set by smart money distribution. Macro-Economic Adjustments – Central banks, hedge funds, and global monetary policies must factor in this unwinding.
Conclusion
The historical price spread of gold from July 2024 to April 2025 was not a mere market anomaly—it was a deliberate liquidity engineering event. The surge to $3,500 per ounce required unprecedented capital reserves, psychological manipulation, and institutional strategy. However, what was artificially constructed must now be methodically deconstructed, ensuring that balance is restored without destabilizing global financial structures.
🚀 Gold's next phase isn’t just about price correction—it’s about revealing the mechanisms behind liquidity control and market engineering.
Gold on miraculous recoveryTechnical analysis: Downtrend sequence on DX is what pushed Gold's value Lower as well aggressively while the Intra-day semi uptrend on Gold is what Buyers were expecting and planning ahead. #3,300.80 psychological mark is the next Technical Support on Daily chart and Naturally as long as it holds, the bias is upwards towards the #3,327.80 Resistance (and vice-versa if Support fractal is to be tested). If #3,300.80 is invalidated, Sellers will extend their momentum towards the #3,275.80 - #3,285.80 Symmetrical Support belt level (many similarities with April / June Low’s).
My position: If you took my #3,252.80 benchmark break-out to the upside call you are in excellent Profit by now. I have closed all my Buying orders and especially I am satisfied with Scalp Buying orders from #3,275.80 towards #3,282.80 - #85.80 multiple times. Keep in mind that as long as #3,300.80 benchmark holds, bias is to the upside with #3,327.80 Resistance in extension. Trade accordingly.
GOLD - Trio Retest!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈After rejecting the $3,500 round number and upper bound of the wedge, XAUUSD has been in a correction phase trading within the falling red channel.
📚 As Gold approaches the $3,100 - $3,150 support zone, I will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes as it is the intersection of three rejections:
1- The lower bound of the falling red channel
2- The lower bound of the rising orange wedge
3- $3,100 - $3,150 support zone
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Just Tapped the Trap – Ready to Bleed?🧱 Key Smart Money Zones:
Fair Value Gap (FVG) marked in the red zone between 61.8% – 70.5% fib retracement → textbook premium pricing 🧠
Price taps this FVG + OB zone, reacts bearishly → rejection candle confirms Smart Money filled up
📉 Fib Confluence Levels:
100% ➝ Swing High: ~3,234
0% ➝ Swing Low: ~3,204
Entry rejection zone was 3,217 – 3,224 → perfectly aligns with premium range
Price now returning back to equilibrium (50%) and heading toward discount levels (below 0%)
🔻 Bias: Strongly Bearish
Break of structure confirmed (from previous lows)
Rejection from FVG → confirms supply zone held
Large bearish imbalance below → price likely to seek that liquidity
⚔️ Entry Idea:
Entry: After price tapped FVG and printed bearish confirmation
SL: Just above 3,224.37 (FVG top)
TP1: 0% level @ 3,204
TP2: -27% @ ~3,192
TP3 (extended): -50% @ 3,191.25
RRR: 🔥 Easily 1:3+ if managed right
📢 Pro Tip for Ninja Traders:
Don’t chase the first candle — wait for the retrace into imbalance, look for rejection, and ride the wave back into discount zones. It’s all about flowing with Smart Money.
🧘♂️ Psychology Reminder:
"Liquidity creates opportunity. Rejection confirms intent."
Let them buy into premium → we sell with precision 🧠📉
Gold (XAU/USD) – 1H Analysis1. Market Structure & Bear Trap
Gold recently trapped sellers by briefly breaking below a key support (previous supply zone turned support).
This move acted as a fakeout, luring in short positions before price dropped into its true bullish reaccumulation zone (BULL OTE).
Such manipulation is typical at the end of retracements, the market seeks liquidity before resuming the main trend.
📈 2. Bullish Momentum Resumes
Since tapping into the BULL OTE, price has shown a structured bullish recovery :
Re-entry into the previous range
Creation and internal mitigation of multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)
Clean, controlled pullbacks during the climb
This suggests a healthy and organized bullish structure, rather than a random bounce.
🎯 3. Short-Term Targets
Revisit the $3,280-$3,300 area (previous liquidity left untapped)
If broken with volume, Gold could push toward $3,350+ and potentially retest highs
✅ Conclusion
Gold appears to have executed a classic stop-hunt below support, only to reclaim structure and resume its uptrend.
As long as price holds above $3,180 and continues forming internal bullish structure, the bias remains bullish with high probability of continuation toward previous highs.
🟦 This is a textbook example of engineered liquidity grab followed by expansion.
The focus of gold today is 3200!News:
The US economic data in April was weak across the board, with the producer price index (PPI) unexpectedly falling by 0.5%, retail sales growth plummeting to 0.1%, and manufacturing output falling by 0.4%, which severely hit the market's confidence in the US economy. Affected by this, the US bond market fluctuated violently, with the 10-year US bond yield plummeting by 11 basis points and the 2-year yield plummeting by 9.2 basis points; the US dollar index fell by 0.2%, and the real interest rate fell. At the same time, geopolitical risks continue to heat up. The Russia-Ukraine peace talks have reached a deadlock, Putin refused to meet with Zelensky, and the Iran nuclear agreement negotiations have not progressed smoothly. Against this background, the safe-haven attribute of gold has been highlighted, and market attention has increased significantly. Looking ahead to this trading day, a number of important US economic data will be released soon, and the progress of the Russia-Ukraine talks and Trump's dynamics are also attracting much attention. These factors will continue to affect market trends.
Technical aspect: From the perspective of the daily line, gold can no longer be regarded as a unilateral decline after yesterday's bottoming out and rebounding. It should be directly followed by the idea of oscillation! The primary focus today is still the position of the dividing line of 3200.
Trading idea: Go long if it doesn’t break around 3200, sl3190, target 3230
Gold Price Outlook as Short PatternGold Price Outlook:
Gold prices recently experienced strong upward momentum, but have since seen a downside correction without a clear catalyst. The initial decline at the start of the new trading session suggests some hesitation in the market.
Currently, price growth appears constrained by two key factors:
Resistance zone 3322 / 3370
Support Levels 3270 / 3260
Investors are displaying a cautious "risk-on" behaviour, limiting safe-haven demand for gold A stronger dollar is weighing on gold, making it more expensive for holders of other currencies.
I Ned to support from you Guys Lets like and comments for more analysis share with you.
GOLD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3209.1
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3224.3
My Stop Loss - 3201.4
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Positive market, GOLD drops to 3,220 USD in short termOANDA:XAUUSD fell to $3,220/oz, down 0.61% on the day at press time, resuming a bearish trend and cooling demand for safe-haven assets. US President Trump spoke by phone with Russian President Vladimir Putin, with Trump saying Russia wants to reach a major trade deal with the United States and will immediately begin ceasefire negotiations with Ukraine. Ahead of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech, central bank officials remained on the sidelines, with the likelihood of a rate cut in the summer very low.
Trump said Russia wants to make a “big” trade deal with the United States. Trump posted on his Truth Social account that he spoke with Putin on Monday to discuss the deal. “I just had a two hour phone call with Putin and I think it went very well.”
Trump said he discussed a number of issues with Putin, primarily the ceasefire agreement between Putin and Ukraine. “Russia and Ukraine will immediately begin negotiations to achieve a ceasefire and, more importantly, an end to the war,” Trump wrote. “Both sides will negotiate the terms of this agreement, which is only possible because they have details of the negotiations that others do not. The tone and atmosphere of the talks were very good.”
After announcing the ceasefire, Trump also wrote that Putin was looking for a trade deal with the United States. “Russia wants to engage in massive trade with the United States after this disastrous ‘bloodbath’ is over, and I agree. Russia has a tremendous opportunity to create many jobs and wealth. The potential is limitless.” Trump also said that Ukraine could also benefit from a potential trade deal with the United States. He even added that the Vatican, represented by the new pope, would be willing to hold trade/ceasefire talks.
Recent cooperative initiatives between Putin and Trump, including the US President receiving a painting from Putin, have raised questions about how the US-Russia axis will affect trade dynamics between the two countries. The two countries have maintained active communication since Trump took office in January. Given the current global tensions, a new US-Russia trade deal would be a significant step forward.
Trump discussed peace in Ukraine with Putin on Monday after the US said it may have to pull out of a stalemate over ending Europe’s bloodiest conflict since World War II.
Looking ahead, markets are focused on a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, with traders now betting that the chances of a rate cut in the summer are extremely low.
The more positive news the market gets, the more pressure gold will face as cooling safe-haven demand will send investors looking for riskier assets.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
As noted to readers in previous publications since gold was sold below EMA21, up to now, it still has a short-term technical trend leaning towards the downside. Specifically, gold has repeatedly failed to overcome the resistance level of 3,250 USD and has decreased in price every time it approaches this level. And in terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below 50, far from the oversold zone, indicating that there is still room for momentum to decline ahead.
For gold to be in a position to enter a new bullish cycle, the most important condition is that it needs to break above the $3,300 base level then target around $3,371 in the short term.
On the other hand, once gold breaks below the $3,200 support point it could continue to decline with the target then around the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement in the short term.
For the rest of the day, the technical outlook for gold is bearish with notable positions listed as follows.
Support: $3,200 – $3,163 – $3,120
Resistance: $3,250 – $3,292
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3226 - 3224⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3230
→Take Profit 1 3218
↨
→Take Profit 2 3212
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3150 - 3152⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3146
→Take Profit 1 3158
↨
→Take Profit 2 3164
Is Gold Gearing Up for a Bullish Run? Wait for This Confirmation Market Observation – XAUUSD on the 15-Minute Chart
Macro Bullish Context – XAUUSD
Gold has maintained a bullish trajectory on both the weekly and monthly timeframes, consistently forming higher lows and holding above key structural levels.
This long-term strength adds a supportive backdrop for intraday bullish setups when price aligns favorably.
On the 15-minute chart, price has broken a clean descending trendline, with increasing momentum and reclaimed value zones. However, I remain patient and selective — waiting for confirmation via a sustained close above short-term resistance and consistent buying volume.
My Approach:
I combine multi-timeframe analysis with price structure and volume behavior. I don’t chase entries — I wait for confirmation before acting. A trade is only valid when multiple pieces align.
Gold (XAUUSD) just broke above a descending trendline after a prolonged bearish structure, showing signs of a potential bullish reversal. After a sustained bearish phase, Gold is showing early signs of a potential short-term reversal:
• Price action has decisively broken a descending trendline
• Trading volume has increased during the break – suggesting possible buyer interest
• Price is now hovering near a key intraday equilibrium zone – watching for control shift
• Momentum indicators have started turning from oversold conditions
I’m currently monitoring for a clean break and close above intraday structure and the volume-weighted average level to confirm buyer control before considering any directional bias.
If the movement confirmed we can consider that target will be : 3,230.103 (TP1) — with potential extension to 3,237.865
Key Takeaway: I believe reading market structure and context is more powerful than blindly following indicators. This idea reflects a high-probability scenario only if the market confirms the shift.
Staying objective. No trade yet — just watching how price develops around key levels.
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – Monday, May 12, 2025Short-Term Bias: Bullish retracement toward premium zones
Structure: CHoCH confirmed at 3284 → forming potential bullish leg inside retracement
🔍 Recent Price Action (H4 Insight):
Clear CHoCH on H4 above 3292 → short-term structure flipped bullish.
Last impulsive leg pushed price into the 3330–3345 zone before rejecting slightly — signs of near-term resistance.
EMA5 and EMA21 are crossing upward, with price trying to retest EMA21 for a bounce.
Next H4 candle closure is critical — either holds 3290 for continuation or re-tests deeper zone.
📌 Key H4 Zones
Zone / Level Description
3380–3395 🔺 H4 FVG + OB zone – major near-term premium resistance (also Daily level)
3340–3345 🔁 H4 internal resistance – Friday top, low-volume gap area
3314–3318 🔁 Micro H4 imbalance – intraday fill zone
3284–3292 ✅ H4 CHoCH + OB – current bullish base, critical to hold
3250–3265 🔵 Deep demand – final intraday bounce zone before HTF demand
These levels will be your H4 battle zones — where price is likely to bounce, reverse, or accelerate depending on confirmation.
🔁 Potential Flow on Monday:
Bullish scenario:
If price holds 3284–3292 → intraday targets = 3318 → 3340 → 3380.
Clean structure = higher low + EMA support confluence.
Bearish scenario:
If price loses 3284 → could test 3250–3265. Only below this would invalidate current H4 bullish flow.
⚠️ Confluence Check:
EMAs: EMA5 crossing up through EMA21 → short-term bullish momentum building
Liquidity: Buy-side above 3345 → price may attempt sweep if supported
FVGs: Still unfilled gaps between 3314 and 3380 → magnet zones for bullish flow
CHoCH: Valid on 3284 → first HL attempt happening now
🧠 H4 Summary (for May 12):
Type Zone Reaction Potential
Resistance 3380–3395 Strong rejection possible
3340–3345 May slow price if volume weak
Support 3284–3292 Critical bullish structure zone
3250–3265 Breaker block zone (last bounce before HTF demand)
💬 Final Word to the Community:
Gold may have paused its moon mission at 3500, but the engines are refueling. Monday’s battle will be all about 3284 — hold it, and bulls might just take flight toward 3380. Lose it, and we buckle in for a deeper dip.
🟡 Whether you’re team buy-the-dip or wait-for-the-fade… stay sharp, stay patient, and always follow structure.
Like what you see? Drop a comment, tag a gold friend, and follow GoldFxMinds to never miss the real flow. 🧠⚡
Gold Eases as Risk Sentiment Improves, but Long-Term Demand IntaMacro theme:
- Gold prices retreated from recent highs as improved risk sentiment following the US-China trade deal and a stronger US dollar weighed on safe-haven demand.
- Gold ETFs recorded modest outflows in Apr, but the withdrawal slowdown suggests easing profit-taking pressure.
- In the near term, trade optimism may keep gold under pressure, though central bank demand and portfolio diversification continue to support the long-term outlook.
Technical theme:
- XAUUSD pulled back from the swing high near 3430, forming a lower high and moving into a sideways structure between EMAs.
- A close below 3230 could trigger further downside toward 3135,
- On the contrary, holding above 3230 may prompt a retest of the 3430 level.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Gold's Bearish Momentum Builds from PRZ-Short SetupGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to decline exactly from PRZ (previous idea) as I expected in my previous idea . And with the loss of the Support zone($3,387-$3,357) we can expect further decline.
Gold is currently moving near the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357 ) and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
From the Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to have completed a five-wave impuls e and we should expect corrective waves . Since the momentum of the second decline that broke the Support zone($3,387-$3,357) is high , the correction is expected to continue and Gold appears to be completing a pullback .
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The US Unemployment Claims Index was also released a few minutes ago, and let's take a look and examine the possible impact on Gold .
This better-than-expected data confirms a stronger U.S. labor market , reducing the urgency for the Fed to cut rates anytime soon .
Impact on Gold :
A resilient job market supports the hawkish stance of the Fed , which could keep downward pressure on Gold in the short term as yields and the dollar remain firm.
However, traders should remain cautious and watch for upcoming data and Fed commentary, which could shift the tone.
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I expect Gold to start falling from Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) to the targets I have indicated on the chart. The first target could be around $3,319 .
Note: If Gold touches $3,401(the worst Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect the resistance lines to break and gold to rise further.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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