D1 looking BullingGold on Daily TF looking buy till 3,780$ per ounce on 4h it’s on strong Support zone.!
Let see on monday what will do.!
Note: it’s not financial advice, Trade your own.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Go with the flow and seize the gold trading opportunityGold rose and fell yesterday due to the influence of CPI data, and fluctuated violently during the session. There were obvious signs of a wash. In the evening, it rose again driven by the news, closed positive on the daily line, continued its strong upward trend at the opening and set a new high, showing an obvious bullish pattern. The overall structure maintains the bullish idea of low-long and trend-following.
From the 4H cycle, gold rose continuously after stepping back and stabilizing the middle track. The moving average system showed a bullish arrangement, and the Bollinger band opened and expanded, further confirming the continuation of the strong pattern. However, the current price is still running within the triangle convergence range, and has not yet effectively broken. It is not advisable to blindly chase more in the short term.
In terms of operation, it is recommended to take the step back and do more. Pay attention to the short-term support below the 3360-3358 range, and focus on the 3350-3340 range. You can rely on the support to arrange long orders in batches. Pay attention to the 3389 and 3400 areas on the upper short-term pressure. If the high is weak, you can try short-selling in combination with the actual trend.
Operation suggestion: It is recommended to buy gold near 3340-3350, and the target is 3366 and 3382. If it is strong, it is recommended to buy gold at the support of 3358-3360!
All recent trading strategies and ideas have been realized, and the point predictions are accurate. If your current gold operation is not ideal, we hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a mild bullish move)(03-06-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (03-06-2025)
Current price- 3355
"if Price stays above 3332-35, then next target is 3365, 3375, 3400 and 3432 and below that 3320 and 3310 ".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
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Analysis of Today's Gold Market Trend and Trading IdeasYesterday, gold prices rose to $3,338 before pulling back, closing the daily chart with a doji star. Weekly and monthly charts suggest an adjustment is needed, but short-term momentum is lacking, keeping the market in consolidation. During today's Asian session, gold prices fell to $3,302 under pressure and stabilized.
In the 4-hour timeframe, the rebound to $3,338 confirmed the previous support-turned-resistance level, which also coincides with the resistance of the broken low and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. The current range-bound pattern remains unchanged. Today's strategy is to stay bearish but avoid chasing short positions—enter short trades when the price rebounds and meets resistance. Focus on the $3,340 resistance level, with support at the $3,300-$3,290 range.
XAUUSD
sell@3335-3340
tp:3310-3290
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Analysis of Current Gold Trends and Trading RecommendationsYesterday, the daily K-line closed as a shooting star Doji with a long upper shadow, confirming a wide consolidation range between 3,300 and 3,350 for gold prices. In the short term, gold stabilizing above 3,250 is expected to maintain a mildly bullish trend within the consolidation, with focus on the 3,345-3,350 resistance zone today.
From a 4-hour perspective, support lies at 3,315-3,320. On pullbacks to this level, long positions can be considered for rebound continuation, while resistance stands at 3,350. The trading strategy remains centered on "buy low, sell high" within the 3,350-3,315 range.
Critical Monitoring: Closely track the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations and today's CPI data release, as both events may exacerbate market volatility and influence short-term trend direction.
GOLD - at support ? Holds or not??#GOLD - well guys in today we have 3323-24 as a immediate n most important support of the day.
Keep close and if market thold it in that case we can expect a bounce from here.
Note: keep in mind that we will go for cut n reverse below that on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAUUSD Breakout Brewing -- Squeeze Setup in Play📆 June 12, 2025 | ⏱ 4H Chart Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) is pressing against a key trendline resistance while holding a clean, ascending trendline from early March — forming a classic triangle squeeze.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
The long-term bullish trendline has been respected three times, with each touch followed by strong buying interest (see orange circles).
Current price action is compressing between this trendline and descending resistance, tightening toward a potential breakout zone.
Two likely outcomes on the table:
🔺 Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above $3,385 could fuel a rally toward $3,500–$3,520, especially if momentum accelerates.
🔻 Bearish Scenario: Breakdown below $3,260 risks deeper correction toward the $3,000 psychological level, aligning with prior demand zones.
📊 Indicators Insight:
EMA(15) & EMA(60) have flattened → signaling potential volatility expansion ahead.
Volume is building slightly, adding weight to a coming move.
=================================================================
⚖️ Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice)
🟢 Buy on breakout above 3,385, Target: 3,500+
🔴 Sell on breakdown below 3,260, Target: 3,000
📌 Wait for confirmation and avoid chasing within the squeeze range.
💬 What's your take — will gold break through or bounce back?
📌 Follow for consistent multi-timeframe setups across Gold, Silver, and FX majors — 2–3 times weekly.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutSetup #Forex #EMA #SqueezePlay #TrianglePattern #tradingview #MJTrading
GOLD SELLNo BS or fancy terminology. Just a simple Fib level trade executed at the 50% level with the SL above the 61.8% going with the bearish momentum from the previous day.
I will be targeting 3352 as my first TP level.
GL HF :)
Gold will inevitably fall after risingGold has risen sharply due to the violent geopolitical conflicts and the surge in risk aversion. It once reached around 3445, but in the process of falling back, it only touched 3408 and rebounded again, stabilizing above 3400. It is obvious that due to the changes in fundamentals, the sentiment of gold bulls is high; although the upward momentum of gold near 3440 has weakened, there is no clear signal of peaking yet!
For short-term trading, it is relatively difficult to participate at present. To be honest, I naturally don’t want to chase gold at a high level; but there are no more signals to support me to short gold for the time being. However, with the rebound of gold, the current short-term support below is in the 3425-3415 area, followed by the psychological support of the 3400 integer mark; and the short-term resistance above is in the 3455-3465 area, followed by the area near 3480.
Compared with the profit and loss ratio, I prefer shorting gold for short-term trading, because gold has performed relatively strongly in the London market. Logically, gold will have the inertia to rise in the New York market, so I think gold may rise and then fall in the New York market, so my current plan is to try shorting gold starting in the 3455-3465 area.
Because the changes in gold's fundamentals are more extreme and complex, you must set up SL when participating in transactions.
Bullish reversal?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,326.41
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,295.18
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 3,364.06
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Gold (XAUUSD) long on the H4 timeframeI am anticipating a Gold (XAUUSD) long on the H4 timeframe. I might be wrong though, I do however have a strong feeling that the analysis I have made might turn out to be correct based on the previous levels being respected and the Elliot wave pattern being respected too. Please correct me if I have overlooked anything.
Stick to shorting gold and aim for the target area.Gold has not broken through 3400 after accelerating its rise, and the upper suppression effect still exists; currently gold is fluctuating in a narrow range below 3390, showing signs of stagflation to a certain extent. Therefore, the accelerated rise of gold is not for the short-term impact of 3400, but for a deep retracement, eliminating more scattered funds in the market by sweeping up and down.
So in the short term, I think it is difficult for gold to continue to break upward under the suppression of the resistance area near the short-term high of 3402, but to test the lower support area of 3375-3365 before breaking upward. So I have shorted gold as scheduled according to the short trading plan mentioned above, and aimed at the lower target area of 3375-3365.
At present, our short position has made a certain profit, but I still look forward to profiting from gold hitting TP! Let us look forward to gold falling back to the target area as expected!
XAU/USD 1H – Clean Impulsive Setup UnfoldingGold has completed a clean Wave (2) correction, bottoming at $3,292.30, respecting both structural demand and fib confluence. Price is now showing early signs of Wave (3) development to the upside.
📌 Key Structure:
Wave (1) High: $3,403.30
Wave (2) Low: $3,292.30 (confirmed higher low structure)
Market is now consolidating slightly above the 0.5 fib level ($3,324.45), with bullish structure still intact.
📈 Technical Confluence:
Price is holding the internal bullish trendline
RSI is neutral but building potential upside momentum
Price action is forming higher lows, indicating strength post-correction
🎯 Next Bullish Targets:
$3,366.08 (0.236 fib level of Wave (2) correction)
$3,403.30 (Wave (1) high retest)
Final Wave (3) extension zone: $3,445 – $3,500
📉 Invalidation Level:
A break and close below $3,292.30 would invalidate this Wave (2) bottom and open the door for a deeper correction.
✅ Bias:
Bullish, as long as price holds above the 0.618 – 0.705 fib zone. A strong push from this area could confirm the next leg of Wave (3).
@WrightWayInvestments
@wrightwayinvestments
@wrightwayinvestments
XAU/USD – Bullish Breakout & Wave 3 Expansion Imminent?Gold appears to have completed a corrective Elliott Wave structure (A)-(B)-(C) within a contracting wedge pattern, followed by a bullish breakout signaling the beginning of a new impulsive wave cycle.
🔹 Wave Structure Overview
The corrective decline formed a clear ABC correction inside a falling wedge, marked in red.
Following the final touch on the wedge's lower boundary, we saw a 5-wave impulsive breakout—suggesting the end of correction and initiation of a larger degree impulse wave.
Subwaves (1)-(2) appear to have completed in the new uptrend, with Wave (3) currently in motion.
🔹 Fibonacci Extension Targets for Wave (3)
Using the Fibonacci extension from the base of Wave (1)-(2):
1.13 Extension = $3,517
1.272 Extension = $3,551
1.414 Extension = $3,585
1.618 Extension = $3,635 (Primary target for Wave (3))
These are key resistance levels to watch as price progresses higher.
🟢 Bullish Scenario
A sustained break above recent resistance (~$3,345) should trigger momentum toward Wave (3)’s target range.
Price action and structure support a move toward $3,550–$3,635 in the coming days.
Minor pullbacks (Wave 4) expected before the final move into Wave 5 completion.
🔴 Bearish Invalidations
If price breaks below the current Wave (2) low (~$3,240), the bullish impulsive count may be invalidated.
Invalidation of the impulsive structure would imply either a deeper correction or re-entry into range-bound consolidation.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is showing strong bullish momentum post-correction with a potential extended Wave (3) in progress. Breakout traders can look for continuation setups above $3,345 with targets at the Fibonacci extensions noted. Risk should be managed below Wave (2) low.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #ElliottWave #TradingView #Wave3Breakout #FibonacciTargets #GoldOutlook
Gold liquidity run short setup Update 2This video is an update on the Gold setup that was posted on the 4/06/25
I cover the price action and discuss what I think will be occurring from this point onwards as
part of the original trading plan .
Gold/XAUUSD Possible CPI Move 11 June 2025Technical Analysis
Key Confluences Supporting the Buy Setup:
Trendline Support
The gold shows a well-respected ascending trendline, which has been tested multiple times. This provides a dynamic level of support.
Horizontal Support Zone (3323–3326)
This area previously acted as resistance and has now flipped to support. The consolidation here suggests a demand zone.
Bullish Market Structure
The market is forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish structure. The current pullback may serve as a liquidity grab before continuation.
Liquidity Below 3320
There is likely a liquidity pocket just below 3320. Price could sweep below support to trap sellers before reversing upward.
CPI News Catalyst
CPI data release can cause volatility. The stop-loss below 3314 is well-placed to allow for a spike without invalidating the bullish structure.
Trade Setup Summary
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: 3323–3326
Confirmation: Reaction from the trendline and horizontal support after CPI release
Take Profit (TP): 3335/3349 (targeting the recent high and potential double top liquidity)
Stop Loss (SL): Below 3314
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Approximately 1:2
Entry Trigger: Look for a strong bullish rejection or engulfing pattern at the 3323–3326 zone to confirm entry.
Management: Consider partial profit booking near 3340 if volatility increases or if price shows signs of rejection before the target.
GOLD Gold, 10-Year Bond Yield, DXY, and Interest Rate Differential
1.Gold is trading around $3,310 after dipping into 3307 per ounce on NFP data report as of close of friday market in june 2025.
The price remains elevated compared to historical levels, supported by inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and strong central bank demand.
2. Relationship with 10-Year Bond Yield
The US 10-year Treasury yield is hovering near 4.5%, recently rising amid inflation worries and fiscal uncertainties.the boost from NFP took 10 year yield from 4.3% to 4.58% close of Friday .
Gold has an inverse relationship with real yields (nominal yields minus inflation expectations). Rising nominal yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, generally pressuring gold prices lower.
However, if inflation expectations remain elevated, gold can still hold value as an inflation hedge despite rising nominal yields.
3. Relationship with DXY (US Dollar Index)
Gold and the DXY share a strong negative correlation because gold is priced in USD.
When the dollar strengthens, gold becomes more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and pushing prices down.
Recent dollar strength on demand floor has weighed on gold, but persistent inflation, geopolitical tension ,political instability and safe-haven demand have limited gold’s downside.
4. Interest Rate Differential Impact
The interest rate differential between the US and other major economies affects capital flows and currency valuations, indirectly influencing gold.
Higher US rates relative to other countries tend to strengthen the dollar, pressuring gold. Conversely, narrowing differentials or expectations of Fed rate cuts can weaken the dollar and support gold prices.
Gold prices remain in a higher trading range ($3,000–$3,500) supported by inflation fears, geopolitical risks, and central bank buying.
Near-term pressure may come from rising bond yields and a strong dollar. Critical looks on over bought market would need a correction to set up a new buy rally.
The upcoming U.S. inflation data release on June 11, 2025 and Fed policy signals will be crucial in determining gold’s direction.
Core CPI m/m forecast: 0.3% (previous 0.2%)
CPI m/m forecast: 0.2% (previous 0.2%)
CPI y/y forecast: 2.5% (previous 2.3%)
How the Federal Reserve is likely to react if actual figures exceed forecasts:
(1)Monetary Policy Stance
The Fed’s May 2025 minutes emphasize a data-dependent approach, maintaining the federal funds rate at 4.25%–4.50% while carefully assessing incoming data and risks to inflation and employment.
If inflation prints come in higher than expected, especially core CPI and y/y CPI, it would signal persistent inflation pressures, potentially delaying or reducing the likelihood of imminent rate cuts.
(2)Possible Fed Response
The Fed may adopt a more cautious or hawkish tone in its June 17–18 meeting, signaling readiness to keep rates elevated longer or even consider further tightening if inflation remains sticky.
Policymakers could emphasize the need for “greater confidence” that inflation is on a sustainable downward path before easing monetary policy.
Market expectations for rate cuts later in 2025 could be pushed back or diminished, supporting higher bond yields and a stronger dollar.
(3)Market Implications
A stronger-than-forecast CPI print would likely boost the US dollar (DXY) as markets price in a prolonged high-rate environment.
Treasury yields, especially the 10-year yield, may rise reflecting increased inflation risk and delayed easing.
Conversely, gold and other inflation-sensitive assets may face selling pressure due to higher real yields and dollar strength.
Conclusion
Gold’s price dynamics in June 2025 are shaped by a tug-of-war between rising US 10 year Treasury yields and a strengthening dollar, which weigh on gold, and inflation concerns plus safe-haven demand, which support it. The interest rate differential reinforces dollar strength, typically bearish for gold, but ongoing macro uncertainties keep gold elevated as a strategic asset and store of value.
#gold #dollar
Trading Game of the day 10-MAY-2025The trading plan of the day :-
1-the price disrespected the bearish FVG,s
2- formation of Bullish FVGs
3-TS_BB
4-cisd
5-Rejection
6- Reclaimed OB
7-Targeting the swing high
The price was struggling in this area at first but at the end continue to its target swing high
Gold price rebounds and then falls
The current trend is similar to that of Monday. Now that the market has continued to rise, we should not rush to guess the top. The idea is to follow the trend and wait for the stagflation signal to appear before looking at the callback. At present, the turning point of this wave is roughly expected to be around 3338. After the turning point appears, I will prompt you to participate in short orders to watch the callback. The callback position is expected to be around 3312. That is, the idea of European trading is to participate in short orders near 3338, with the target near 3315; after there is a stop-loss signal near 3312 below, participate in long orders.
WILL GOLD CONTINUE ITS RALLY OR FACE A MAJOR CORRECTION? XAUUSD – WILL GOLD CONTINUE ITS RALLY OR FACE A MAJOR CORRECTION?
Gold is at a pivotal point after experiencing a significant correction following its recent rally. With the market showing mixed signals, the question now is whether gold will continue its upward trajectory or experience further corrections before breaking new highs. The current global economic climate, combined with macroeconomic factors, will be the driving forces behind gold's next move.
🌍 MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK & MARKET SENTIMENT
US Dollar Strength: The USD has been strengthening, which has put some pressure on gold prices. However, this comes amid uncertainty in global trade relations, particularly between the US and China, which is creating mixed market sentiment. Gold remains a key asset for hedging against currency risks and geopolitical tensions.
Federal Reserve's Stance on Interest Rates: The Fed has signaled that while inflation remains a concern, it’s unlikely to cut interest rates in the near future. This could limit gold's upside potential in the short term, but the metal remains attractive due to its safe-haven status.
Geopolitical Tensions: With ongoing concerns over US-China trade talks and tensions surrounding Ukraine, investors continue to flock to gold as a hedge against political and economic instability. These external pressures continue to fuel demand for gold.
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 – EMA 13/34/89/200)
Current Correction: Gold has been correcting after a strong surge, testing key support levels like 3300. On the H1 timeframe, the EMA indicators suggest consolidation and weakness, signaling that further pullbacks are possible before any potential breakout.
Technical Pattern – "Flag" Formation: Gold is forming a bearish flag pattern, indicating a temporary pause after a strong upward trend. This pattern suggests that gold might continue to trade sideways, with a breakout above key resistance levels leading to a continuation of the uptrend.
Key Resistance and Support Levels: Gold is facing significant resistance levels at 3320 and 3330, while key support levels at 3300 and 3270 will be crucial to watch in the coming sessions.
📍 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
Resistance Levels: 3320 – 3330 – 3338 – 3350 – 3360
Support Levels: 3300 – 3270 – 3250
🧭 RECOMMENDED TRADE SETUPS
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3270 – 3272
SL: 3265
TP: 3280 → 3300 → 3320 → 3330 → 3350
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3320 – 3325
SL: 3330
TP: 3310 → 3295 → 3280 → 3265
✅ SUMMARY
Gold is currently experiencing a correction after a solid rally, but the long-term outlook remains bullish. Macro-economic factors, including the Fed’s policies and geopolitical risks, are likely to drive gold prices higher in the future. However, short-term fluctuations should be expected as the market tests key resistance and support levels.
Traders should focus on well-defined entry and exit points within these key levels and maintain a disciplined risk management strategy.
Gold Trade Plan 09/06/2025Dear Traders.
📊 XAUUSD Technical Analysis | 1H Timeframe | June 9, 2025
Price has recently broken below the ascending trendline and filled a nearby gap, now retracing back toward the broken structure zone. Two key scenarios are in play:
🔹 Alternative 1: A rejection from the broken resistance area could trigger a bearish continuation toward the demand zone around $3,260–$3,240.
🔹 Alternative 2: If sellers fail to defend this level, price may push higher to test the $3,420–$3,440 supply zone.
✅ Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $3,360 and $3,420–$3,440
Support: $3,260 and $3,190
📉 The RSI is hovering in the neutral-to-oversold range, signaling indecision in momentum.
📌 Summary:
Traders should monitor how price reacts to the current resistance zone. A clear rejection could validate the downside scenario, while a breakout may open the door for a bullish continuation.
GOLD → Correction to liquidity before growthFX:XAUUSD is in the realization phase after exiting the “symmetrical triangle” consolidation. The price is supported by the trend and a complex fundamental background.
Gold is retreating from its peak, remaining below risk support. The price of gold is falling moderately from $3,392, awaiting data on JOLTS job openings in the US.
Gold is supported by trade and geopolitical risks: Trump doubled tariffs on metals, increasing pressure on the dollar. The conflict with China has escalated due to allegations of violations of agreements.
Focus on US employment: Strong data could support the dollar and limit gold's gains, but the technical picture remains bullish.
Resistance levels: 3365, 3391, 3409
Support levels: 3345, 3323
Against the backdrop of a rising dollar, gold may test deeper liquidity zones, such as 3345 and 3330. However, if trading forms between 3365 and 3345, followed by a retest of resistance and consolidation above 3365, this could trigger an early rise to 3391-3409.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLDShort
- hit daily high
- consolidating around the area
- lower time frame candle sticks are curving/falling
- has the wicks become exhausted
