GoldXAUUSD
- Ascending Triangle as an corrective pattern in short time frame
- Consolidation Phase
- Change of Characteristics
- Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " A " Corrective Wave
- RSI - Divergence
XAUUSDK trade ideas
xauusd: Market analysis and strategy on May 20Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3284, support below 3167
Four-hour chart resistance 3252, support below 3192
One-hour chart resistance 3222, support below 3192
Gold news analysis: Spot gold continued to rise at the opening of this week on Monday (May 19), but failed to break through the key resistance of $3250. The market showed a cautious sentiment under the interweaving of multiple factors: Moody's downgrade of the US sovereign credit rating, the renewed tension in the Middle East, and Trump's tariff remarks on risk sentiment, which together constitute the core logic of gold price fluctuations. At present, gold is in a narrow range of fluctuations, reflecting that the market's pricing of credit risk and policy uncertainty is still insufficient. If Moody's rating downgrade triggers a continued sell-off of US bonds, and if the conflict in the Middle East escalates, gold prices are expected to rely on the support of $3,200 to accumulate strength to attack $3,250. On the contrary, if Trump releases a signal to ease the situation between Russia and Ukraine or the Federal Reserve downplays the impact of the rating, it is not ruled out that the technical support of $3,150 will be stepped back. In the short term, we need to pay close attention to two dynamics: one is whether the long-term US Treasury yield can be stabilized below 5%, and the other is whether the ground operations in the Middle East will be expanded. The technical side needs to confirm the effective breakthrough of $3252 before a new round of trend space can be opened.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the lower support focuses on the first-line support of the 3192 mark, and the upper pressure focuses on the one-hour level 3252 and the four-hour level 3284. The short-term long and short strength watershed 3192 first-line mark, and the overall support relies on this range to maintain high selling and low buying.
BUY:3200near SL:3195
BUY:3250near SL:3145
GOLD The relationship between gold prices and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) in May 2025 reflects typical market dynamics influenced by economic data, Federal Reserve policy expectations, and geopolitical factors:
The U.S. Dollar Index has shown some recent weakness, trading around 100.36 on May 20, 2025, down about 0.06% from the previous session and roughly 4% lower year-over-year. This decline partly stems from disappointing U.S. economic data and increased market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts later in 2025.
A weaker dollar generally supports higher gold prices because gold is priced in dollars; when the dollar falls, gold becomes cheaper for holders of other currencies, boosting demand. Conversely, a stronger dollar tends to pressure gold prices downward.
However, recent market behavior shows a nuanced picture: the dollar’s recent modest gains against the yen and euro have coincided with fluctuating gold prices, influenced by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions and inflation expectations.
The dollar’s performance is influenced by factors such as U.S. Treasury yields, inflation expectations, and trade policy developments. For example, falling Treasury yields and dovish Fed signals have softened the dollar, which can be supportive of gold.
Overall, the inverse correlation between gold and the dollar remains strong, but gold’s price movements also depend on inflation trends, real interest rates, and geopolitical risk premiums, which can sometimes decouple gold from dollar moves in the short term.
Summary:
Dollar Index (DXY): Around 100.36 on May 20, 2025, slightly down recently but expected to rise moderately by year-end.
Gold Price Impact: A weaker dollar supports gold by making it cheaper internationally; a stronger dollar tends to weigh on gold.
Market Drivers: Fed rate cut expectations, Treasury yields, inflation data, and geopolitical tensions influence both gold and the dollar.
This dynamic means monitoring U.S. economic data and Fed policy announcements is crucial for anticipating near-term moves in both gold and the dollar index.
short sellscalping on m15 tf sell to tp1 first. once hit tp we analysis again to determine where next price will go., either go up again or continue to tp2 sell
XAUUSD:Short mainly
Gold continued its pullback last week, bouncing back after meeting key support and closing below the negative shadow line. At the present stage, the trend is relying on the key support level shock, and the rebound has not made a breakthrough, the pressure after the retreat of risk aversion is more and more obvious, and there is still the possibility of deepening the decline.
Today's trend personal expected sideways shock, short-term pressure above 3245-3250, can be around this area short, below the first support to see 3200, after breaking the 3145-3150.
This week's overall operating range relies on the 3145-3250 range band.
↓↓↓ The detailed strategy club will have tips, updated daily, come and get them →→→
XAUUSD - Critical Reaction Zone to Determine Next Major MoveGold is currently trading at $3,202.25, showing recovery momentum after forming a recent bottom near $3,120. The price action suggests a continued upward movement toward the highlighted "important reaction area" around $3,240-3,260, which previously served as both support and resistance in mid-May. There is a high probability that price will reach this critical zone given the current bullish momentum and the established pattern of higher lows. Once gold reaches this reaction area, traders should exercise patience and closely observe how price behaves – a decisive break above could trigger an extended rally toward $3,360 as indicated by the upper green arrow, while rejection might initiate a significant correction toward $3,140 as marked by the red arrow. The market's response at this important reaction area will likely determine gold's directional bias for the next trading period, making it essential to watch for specific candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or momentum shifts before establishing new positions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD H1 CHART ANALYSIS miraninaveed337: G
Sijjad Zong: (XAUUSD, 1-hour timeframe)
Sell Setup (Bearish Continuation from Channel Breakout)
Entry (Sell): Around current price area: $3,190
Stop Loss: Just above the recent high or marked SL area: $3,263
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
1. TP1: $3,150 – conservative target based on recent support
2. TP2: $3,121 – matching the previous low
3. TP3: $3,111 – extended target (marked horizontal support)
Summary:
Sell Entry: $3,190 (approx)
Stop Loss: $3,263
TP1: $3,150
TP2: $3,121
TP3: $3,111
Make sure to adjust position sizing to manage risk properly
GOLD BUYS Anticipating a reversal on gold if we can hold this zone and turn around bullish in structure to keep going for the highs - I will update chart once we at entry - like this post to stay tuned!
Gold Technical Analysis, May 15-16📊The current gold price has returned to above 3200, and the technical side shows a clear strong pattern. The 3200 mark is a key support level, and its gains and losses will determine the future direction. If the gold price does not break this level after falling back and stabilizes again, gold will continue its strong structure. There is a high probability that the daily line will close positive on Friday, and the subsequent rebound target will point to the 3235-3260 area.
📊From the perspective of the daily cycle, the 3200 position has become a trend dividing point. As long as the price remains above this level, the overall bullish pattern will be maintained, and the structure will build an upward trend in the form of a continuous positive rebound. Once it falls back below 3200, it may mean that the daily level is still in a convergent adjustment structure, and the upper side will still be suppressed.
📊In the 4-hour cycle, after the intraday rebound, the Bollinger Bands showed signs of opening, and the short-term is expected to usher in the confirmation of the mid-term bottoming structure. If the gold price continues to rebound during the US session and effectively stabilizes at 3200, and breaks through the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, then the structural reversal will be initially established, and the market is expected to further test 3235, or even hit 3250.
📊The current 4-hour chart shows that the bottom is expected to form a continuous positive candlestick pattern, indicating that the bulls are gradually strengthening. Therefore, the end-of-day trading should not be affected by the inertia of the previous decline, and attention should be paid to the structural reversal signal and the strategy should be adjusted in time.
Gold (XAU/USD) – 4H Analysis
📉 Recent Move
Gold saw a sharp decline yesterday and into this morning, driven by a shift in market sentiment — possibly due to renewed appetite for risk assets.
However, the price has now posted a strong reaction off a key BULL OTE zone, drawn from the full move $2,960 → $3,500, which suggests this could be a healthy retracement in a broader bullish structure.
📌 Key Observations
📍 Bull OTE: Clean reaction from the optimal retracement zone, showing buyer interest at value.
⬜️ Supply Zone around $3,230 : This level has acted as a cap, and a re-entry into this range would be a strong sign of bullish continuation.
📉 Bear OTE rejection + supply cluster near $3,300 : Previous rejection from this area adds weight to the current downward pressure.
⚠️ Volume + RSI : Still neutral – watch for momentum confirmation on any breakout attempt.
🎯 Scenarios to Monitor
📈 Bullish Continuation
If the price reclaims the $3,230 range, we can consider the recent drop a clean correction. That would suggest the uptrend is ready to resume toward the $3,400–$3,500 zone.
📉 Risk-Off Shift
If gold fails to hold above the current OTE zone and breaks below $3,080, it could confirm a deeper profit-taking wave, possibly signaling a temporary shift back to risk-on assets like equities or crypto.
✅ Conclusion
We’re at a pivotal point:
Above $3,230 → bullish structure resumes
Below $3,080 → watch for more downside toward $3,000–$2,960
Gold remains technically bullish long-term, but the next 4H candles will be decisive for the short-to-mid-term momentum.
Gold fluctuates greatly. What will happen next week?Gold fluctuated greatly on Thursday and Friday. It is difficult to implement an operation strategy in this market. It is difficult to go short or long. The market does not continue the next day, and there are few suitable trading opportunities in the process of changing the market. So what should gold do next week? Has the rhythm of gold changed again?
The rhythm of gold has changed rapidly recently, and next Monday is actually the key; the 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to show signs of turning, so whether it can form an upward trend is the next key.
The strength of gold on Monday is very important. Gold closed with a big positive line on Thursday, but it fell directly on Tuesday and pierced the support level, which cannot be said to be completely bullish. Although it rebounded slightly in the late trading, it still closed with a real big negative line.
Next week, we need to pay attention to two key positions. Pay attention to $3175 below. If it falls and breaks quickly after the opening on Monday, then gold will still be weak overall; pay attention to $3215 above. If gold breaks through this point strongly and stabilizes above the point, then gold will be strong overall.
If gold opens flat in early trading on Monday and the upward momentum is not strong, then you can continue to short in the short term.
Gold Price Update: Strong Rally Surpasses $3,250 SupportGold is experiencing a sharp rally, breaking through the key support level of $3,250/oz and currently trading around $3,280/oz.
- The main drivers behind this uptrend include:
- Increased demand for safe-haven assets amid global economic uncertainty.
- Fears of a potential recession and prolonged inflationary pressures.
- If gold sustains above $3,258, it is highly likely to continue its upward move toward the psychological level of $3,300.
- Should prices break above $3,300, the next potential target could be around $3,350.
📌 However, investors are advised to closely monitor key support and resistance zones to adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
📊 Short-Term Trading Strategy
🟢 Buy
Entry Price: $3,265
Take Profit (TP): $3,300
Stop Loss (SL): $3,245
🔴 Sell
Entry Price: $3,298
Take Profit (TP): $3,270
Stop Loss (SL): $3,310
Rationale: The $3,300 area is a strong resistance level, and a short-term pullback may occur.
An Unharmonious Outlook for the New WeekGold Bullish? Sure, go ahead, but let me explain where we are and so on... 🤔
1. Newswise 📰
Tariffwar:
Trade tensions between the U.S. and China have intensified following President Trump's tariff hikes. The U.S. increased tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%, while China retaliated with tariffs up to 125% on U.S. goods. Despite these escalations, both countries have engaged in high-level negotiations in Geneva, aiming to de-escalate the situation. However, a recent abrupt withdrawal by the Chinese delegation has cast doubt on the progress of these talks. Analysts caution that even if an agreement is reached, it may offer only temporary relief, leaving markets exposed to prolonged trade tensions.
Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates:
President Donald Trump has been vocal in his criticism of the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, calling Fed Chair Jerome Powell a “fool” for not lowering them. 😡 Trump argues that with falling energy prices, stable employment, and low inflation, the Fed should cut rates to stimulate economic growth. 📉
The Federal Reserve, however, remains cautious. 🏦 Officials have expressed concerns that recent tariffs could increase inflation, making premature rate cuts risky. They emphasize the need for clearer economic data before making further policy adjustments. 🧐
In summary: While Trump pushes for immediate cuts to boost the economy, the Fed is taking a measured approach, prioritizing long-term stability over short-term political pressure. ⚖️
War in Ukraine remains tense:
Western leaders, alongside President Zelensky, are calling for a 30-day ceasefire starting May 12. Russia has shown a willingness to negotiate but demands an end to Western military aid — a condition firmly rejected. 🚨
Conclusion: The coming days will be critical. A ceasefire could open the door to new peace efforts. If rejected, expect tougher sanctions and further escalation. 💥
India–Pakistan Conflict:
Tensions between India and Pakistan have escalated sharply following a militant attack on Indian tourists in Kashmir on April 22, 2025. India responded with airstrikes, prompting mutual accusations of missile and drone attacks. 💣 Despite a U.S.-brokered ceasefire announced on May 10, violations followed within hours. Both countries, nuclear-armed, have mobilized troops along the Line of Control. ⚔️ Global powers — including the U.S., U.K., China, and G7 — have urged restraint and offered to mediate. 🌍
2. Technicalwise 📊
1h Timeframe – Bearish Anti-Gartley Pattern
15m Timeframe – Bearish Anti-Butterfly Pattern
That’s not a sign of gold being bullish in the short term. 🚫
Let’s take a look at RSI values across timeframes:
- 5m – 31 – Down ⬇️
- 15m – 37 – Down ⬇️
- 30m – 43 – Down ⬇️
- 1h – 45 – Down ⬇️
- 4h – 46 – Down ⬇️
- 1d – 55 – Up ⬆️
Interpretation of RSI Values 🧐
5m to 4h (31 to 46 – all “Down”)
→ These low RSI values (below 50) across short- to mid-term timeframes indicate ongoing selling pressure and downward momentum. Although not yet in oversold territory (<30), this still signals relative weakness. ⚠️
1d (55 – “Up”)
→ On the daily chart, the RSI is above 50 and rising, suggesting a possible trend reversal or early signs of recovery — a bullish signal over the longer term. 📈
Overall Meaning 🧠
This points to short-term weakness within a broader potential uptrend. The market is soft on lower timeframes — likely in correction or consolidation — while the daily chart begins to show strength. It's a classic pullback setup in an uptrend. 🔄
Possible Strategy Consideration 💡
If you're leaning bullish, look for reversal signals on the smaller timeframes to align entries with the daily trend — such as RSI divergences or breakouts above local resistance. 📊
My Bias 🤔
Bearish sentiment dominates in the short term. Over the next week, I aim to enter short positions targeting $3,200. 📉
If sentiment shifts or key news emerges, a target of $3,400 becomes more realistic. 🚀
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
XAU/USD - Fed warns of Economic UncertaintyThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3473
2nd Resistance – 3519
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XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for May 21Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3350-3400, support below 3284
Four-hour chart resistance 3350, support below 3284
One-hour chart resistance 3350, support below 3290
Gold news analysis: On Tuesday (May 20), international gold prices rose sharply during the U.S. market, supported by the weakening of the U.S. dollar. Although the market cautiously paid attention to the latest progress of the Russian-Ukrainian peace talks and the U.S. tariff policy, the risk aversion sentiment has cooled down, but the atmosphere of uncertainty is still strong. The decline in the U.S. dollar index makes gold denominated in U.S. dollars more attractive to holders of other currencies. The main focus of the gold market today is on the optimistic expectations of the trade relationship between the United States and China, and the development of the ceasefire negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. Investors seem to have mostly ignored Moody's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating. Although the increase in risk appetite has suppressed gold prices, the continued uncertainty still supports gold prices.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the 3284 level support, and the pressure above focuses on the suppression near the 3350 level at the four-hour level. The short-term long and short strength dividing line is at 3284. If the daily level stabilizes above this position, continue to buy at a low level. The next target is 3400.
Buy: 3300near SL: 3295
Buy: 3284near SL: 3280
XAU / USD 1 hour ChartHello traders. What a great trade set up / idea I had from earlier. That being said, I went back to sleep, missed the trade and currently I am watching the area marked on the chart. I can see a push down for the wick to get filled, but that is speculation and not based on price action, what is happening at the time of the trade. NY open in 25 minutes. Let's see how things play out. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend.
Xauusd buyAsalamualaikum
I have given a buy call on XAUUSD based on technical analysis Breakouts
XAUUSD buy
GOLD Is Very Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,238.63.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,179.36.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Gold on Neutral valuesTechnical analysis: Hourly 4 chart has turned Neutral again as the Price-action pulled back from yesterday's session High’s, testing again the Hourly 4 chart’s #3,202.80 - #3,208.80 configuration which represents Short-term Support cluster. This move is due to the sudden spike on DX as the DX is moving in favor of Gold (falling) and is about to correct the former Bearish Gap fill which is appearing as a dangerous sign for Short-term Gold’s Sellers. This is a Fundamental market reaction to the High impact end of the week news and DX Trading near local Low’s. I don't expect this pullback to last for too long, this was Technically an Selling opportunity. If one seek for more confirmation, then Selling only after #3,200.80 benchmark gets invalidated which is looking as an optimal opportunity. This shows that big Institutional capital speculate on the same strategy I apply, taking Profits on Low’s of the Descending Channel, causing Bullish spikes, which they later Short.
My position : I have Bought #3,235.80 reversal #2 times throughout yesterday's session / taking Profit on #3,242.80 - #3,245.80 belt and awaited #3,227.80 break-out which delivered decent Selling opportunity. If you Traded my break-out zones throughout yesterday's session you should be in decent Profit by now.
XAUUSD Rejection from Key Supply – Intraday Sell SetupPair: XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar)
🔹 Timeframe: 15-Minute (Intraday Setup)
🔹 Bias: Bearish | Sell Setup Active
📌 Technical Breakdown:
Gold exhibited clear signs of bullish exhaustion in the short term as it tested and retreated considered selling pressure into the 3245–3251 supply zone. This area is in concordance with:
A prior swing high
Bearish order block
Repeated rejection wicks and price pause.
Following this resistance, price made a lower high and started to breakdown which shows a change in trend character, thereby confirming a reversal.
📈 Trade Execution:
Sell Entry: 3238 (with confirmation candle rejection from supply)
Stop-Loss: 3251 (upper zone protecting against wicks/fakeouts)
Take-Profit 1: 3223 (break below the minor structure support turning into resistance)
Take-Profit 2: 3210 (dropped to the major demand zone, targeted due to desired volatility)
This trade idea depicts simplistic Price action and market structure.
Entry after rejections
Targeting demand zones
Defining neat RR
📊 Zone Structure:
🟥 Supply Zone: 3245 – 3251
🟦 Demand Zone: 3210 – 3220
The aforementioned areas are based on institutional price action, revealed via clean candle.
⚠️ Risk Management Note:
Always trade with correct position size. Risk only your defined threshold. This does not serve as financial guidance, rather a suggestion rooted from my analysis.
🔍 Looking Ahead
If the price gets to 3210-3220 and shows strong bullish rejection or engulfing pattern, we might consider changing our bias to buy for a r
LONG NEXT WEEKFor me the Daily closed bullish.
We hit strong support. Now looking for the upside of the range to get filled
GOLD Price will Reject and push XAU/USD Technical Outlook:
Gold (XAU/USD) has shown signs of a technically bullish structure, though recent price action indicates a pullback. The pair experienced a strong resistance near the $3,200 level, where sellers stepped in, leading to a temporary rejection and price retracement.
Despite this, the bullish bias remains intact as long as key support levels hold. A decisive break above the $3,200 resistance could signal continuation to new highs, but if rejection intensifies, we could see further downside correction.
Resistance zone 3265 / 3305
Support Levels 3200 3170
You may find more details in the chart Do want to get more insights keep fallow with like and comments Thanks Best Luck Buddies.
