Gold completed market cycleWe have now completed a full market cycle for gold. Here is my prediction for 2025. This is pure guessing, so not to be treated as advice of any kind.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
BUY OPPORTUNITYInstrument: XAU/USD
Entry Price: 2591.01 $
Stop Loss (SL): 2580.45 $
Take Profit (TP): 2632.80 $
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:4
Federal Funds Rate: The previous volatility caused by the Federal Reserve's rate decision may have resulted in a market reaction that could continue today. Price moves could be sensitive to news and market sentiment, especially given the current high volatility.
Unemployment Claims: The Unemployment Claims news today could also cause short-term fluctuations in XAU/USD. If the news is unexpected or deviates from predictions, it could trigger price movements. Monitoring the news release is crucial.
Supply Zone at 2633: The heavy supply zone near 2633 means the market is likely to face resistance around this price. You expect the price to reach just below the supply zone at 2632.80 before potentially reversing or facing resistance. This gives you a limited but realistic TP near this zone.
XAUUSD H4 BREAKOUT ANALYSIS (READ CAPTOIN)Hello traders, what do you think about gold.
Current price:2639
H4 candle has breakout lowest position 2643, now after doing temporary retracement market will drop again from 2645 and 2649. After the retracement market will continue it's bearish trend and it's next target will be 2630 then 2020.
Key points: 2645-2656
Demand zone: 2630-2620
Like comment thank you for support
XAUUSD 4HGold Analysis (XAU/USD)
Continuing from my previous analysis here , I projected a decline of over 48 dollars in gold prices, and I hope you benefited from this significant move.
The bearish trend remains in play, and as we approach the end of the year, let's see how far gold can drop. I’m looking for a break below 2538, with a target around the 2525 level.
Stay tuned as we monitor these key movements together.
XAUUSD: Channel Up bottom buy opportunity.XAUUSD is marginally bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.110, MACD = -4.500, ADX = 23.016) as it is trading under the 1D MA50 and is approaching the 1D MA100. That was the trendline that contained the correction on November 14th at the bottom of the 8 month Channel Up and delivered a strong rebound. So far it seems that Gold is replicating the April-June accumulation phase. As long as the 1D MA100 holds again, we will be bullish, aiming for a strong rebound to the 2.0 Fibonacci level (TP = 2,825).
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GOLD NEXT MOVE hello guys i hope you all good
as we can see gold is running in uptrend as soon as gold tuched suppot Aera then we can go for a Safe buy position till 2650 for now We just need wait for conformation
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Continuation Confirmed?!Following a recent downturn, gold has retraced to a significant structure that was recently breached.
I've identified two strong bearish signals after its test: the price broke below the neckline of a double top formation and also fell below a resistance line associated with a bearish flag pattern.
These breakouts suggest a strong likelihood of a continued bearish trend.
It is highly likely that the market will keep declining, reaching the 2646 level shortly, followed by the 2637 support level.
Scalping! XAU! Waiting for gold price to BREAK from trendSCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) stays under pressure during the early European session on Wednesday but manages to hold above the one-week low reached the previous day, showing limited follow-through selling. Expectations of a less dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) continue to support higher US Treasury bond yields, creating headwinds for the non-yielding yellow metal. However, USD bulls appear cautious, holding off on making strong moves ahead of the pivotal FOMC decision.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Moving sideways in 2 trendlines, M30. Leaning towards breaking the uptrend and waiting for today's interest rate cut results.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2645 - $2643 SL $2640 scalping
TP1: $2650
TP2: $2655
TP3: $2660
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area of 2717.733(Again).Dear colleagues, I believe that the 2717 level will be reached again, because the five-wave upward movement is not over yet.
I see here the development of wave “3” of higher order and the completion of the correction in wave “2” of medium order. I expect the price to start an upward movement this week.
I do not recommend placing short orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
GOLD H4 ANALYSISGold Tuched Support Area 2635 From Here We Can Place Buy Positions and set target to 2660
its safe zone for long buy
Gold: Navigating a Range-Bound Phase After the DropGold (XAU/USD): Consolidation in a Bearish Territory Amid Uncertainty
The gold market has entered a consolidation phase, trading within a defined bearish range following a sharp sell-off on Wednesday. This pullback comes as the precious metal adjusts to a complex interplay of technical and fundamental factors, with current attention focused on the critical price levels of 2622 – 2581. A deeper look into the backdrop reveals that sentiment remains subdued due to broader market dynamics, and the technical setup underscores the vulnerability of gold prices as they test recent lows.
Fundamental Overview: Fed’s Conservative Stance and Market Implications
The Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting on Wednesday had ripple effects across global markets. Adopting a more cautious stance, the Fed announced plans for just two rate cuts in 2025. This decision disappointed investors hoping for a more dovish approach and weighed heavily on risk-sensitive assets, including gold. Meanwhile, the dollar emerged as the clear beneficiary, strengthening to new local highs as traders flocked to safe-haven assets tied to U.S. monetary policy.
The dollar’s rally placed additional pressure on gold, which often moves inversely to the greenback. However, the broader implications extend beyond just this week. Gold's recent struggles highlight the ongoing challenge of balancing inflation expectations, geopolitical risks, and macroeconomic trends.
Looking ahead, today’s release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index—widely regarded as the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation—could introduce another layer of volatility. A surprise deviation from expectations in the PCE data, whether upward or downward, could significantly impact gold prices. Furthermore, any unexpected escalation in political uncertainty, whether domestic or international, has the potential to act as a short-term catalyst for the metal, possibly leading to a recovery attempt toward resistance levels.
Technical Analysis: Testing the Lows in a High-Volatility Environment
From a technical perspective, gold remains entrenched within a consolidation zone after the steep decline earlier this week. Such a pattern is not uncommon at this time of year, characterized by thin liquidity and heightened volatility as institutional players wind down for the calendar year. Price action suggests that the market is trading in a relatively wide range, bounded by key resistance levels at 2616 – 2622 and notable support levels at 2589, 2581, and 2560.
Currently, prices hover near the lower end of this range, testing the support levels repeatedly. If the support at 2581 holds, it may trigger a short-term recovery toward the upper boundary of the range. However, any failure to defend these levels could lead to a retest of deeper support at 2560, further cementing the bearish outlook.
Conversely, on the upside, resistance around 2616 – 2622 remains critical. A breakout above this zone may entice bullish momentum, but such a move is likely to be capped or short-lived, given the overarching fundamental headwinds. In fact, a retest of this resistance could result in a false breakout scenario, where prices temporarily breach the level before reversing sharply back into the range, targeting local lows.
Trading Strategy and Broader Market Context
For traders navigating the current environment, the focus should remain on the boundaries of the consolidation range. Range-bound strategies, such as buying near support and selling near resistance, could be effective in the short term. However, caution is warranted given the heightened sensitivity to macroeconomic events, including today’s PCE data release and potential geopolitical developments.
In the longer term, the bearish undertone suggests that gold may continue its descent unless a significant shift in fundamentals alters the market narrative. Any sustained rally would require a combination of favorable catalysts, such as a dovish pivot from the Fed, a weakening dollar, or heightened geopolitical tensions.
Conclusion
Gold’s journey through this consolidation phase is emblematic of the broader uncertainty gripping financial markets. While the precious metal has shown resilience in the past, the current setup underscores the challenges it faces in a bearish environment. Resistance at 2616 – 2622 and support at 2581 – 2560 serve as pivotal levels to monitor, with price action within this range offering opportunities for tactical trades.
In the grander scheme, the coming weeks will likely determine whether gold can break free from its consolidation or succumb to further selling pressure. As we approach the end of the year, reduced liquidity and heightened volatility will remain defining features of the market, setting the stage for potentially significant price swings in early 2024.
(The market decides how much profit you make. You decide how much you lose.)
GOLD H4 CHART ANALYSISThe Gold Price IS still in Selling Control but We Have To wait For Conformation still it take support from2635/2630
from 2630 we can optin buy positions till 2670 for long
The Effect of Sun in Capricorn on GoldThe Effect of Sun in Capricorn on Gold (21st December - 30 Days Forward)
Historically, when the Sun transitions into Capricorn, gold exhibits a 90% probability of bullish movement within the following 30 days.
Key Observations:
1. Seasonal Bullish Pattern
The Sun in Capricorn often marks a period of increased demand or positive sentiment for gold, driving prices higher during this phase.
2. Current Market Dynamics
- While many analysts predict further declines, with a potential target at $2,540 after breaking below the base level, I hold a contrarian view.
- The current price action resembles a retest of the broken base, which many expect to confirm a downtrend. However, I believe this retest will serve as a setup for the price to re-enter the base and establish a bullish trend.
3. Swing Low Opportunity
This could represent the final swing low of the year, offering a significant buying opportunity for traders who anticipate a return to higher levels.
4. Bullish Momentum Potential
Once the price reclaims the base, the structure will likely support a rally towards key resistance levels outlined in the previous analysis, leading to a bullish breakout scenario.
Conclusion:
Despite the bearish narrative and the possibility of further drops, my perspective suggests a bullish reversal is on the horizon. Traders should watch for signs of strength as the price moves back into its base, signaling the beginning of a new bullish trend to close the year on a high note.
biggest level break = longbreak above gold long
barring bad usd print
failed wick out = continue sell
GoldToday price headed up wonderfully, and it may do so next opening but I'm expecting a retracement before new highs are formed watch the Sibi shown and the inversion. GOOODTRADING YALL. $£
XAU/USD - Gold Long trades"After yesterday's sharp decline in XAUUSD, the market is showing signs of stabilization, creating potential opportunities for long trades. Key support levels have held firm, suggesting bullish momentum could resume as buyers step in. We must closely monitor price action for confirmation, targeting a potential recovery towards key resistance zones. As always, proper risk management is essential. Let's see how this plays out!"
The bullish side breakout of 200 EMA in the 15-minute and 5-minute charts can be a good sign of a market uptrend.
Entry 1st zone - 2630-2640
Entry 2nd zone - 2673-2683
Entry 3rd zone - 2726-2736
Gold 23 - 27 December weeklyGold 23 - 27 December weekly
---------------------------------------
Weekly
Resistance Area 2694.33 - 2671.99
Support Area 2540.67 - 2536.61
Have a profitable week.
God bless you.
Assetartisan1. Change of Character (ChoCH):
A bearish ChoCH is visible, signaling a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish, suggesting a potential downward continuation.
2. Key Levels:
The price has retraced into a supply zone (highlighted in red), which aligns with the bearish sentiment. This area acts as a strong resistance.
3. Liquidity Grab:
Before moving down, the price seems to have cleared liquidity by spiking into the supply zone. This would remove stop losses and trap buyers, allowing sellers to dominate.
4. Risk-Reward Setup:
The entry appears to be near the supply zone with stop-loss protection above it.
The target likely aligns with the next demand zone or weak low (indicated by the horizontal line around 2,586).
5. Momentum Confirmation:
The bearish candles following the ChoCH confirm selling pressure. This reinforces the idea of a continuation to the downside.
Summary:
This trade aligns with a sell setup due to:
A bearish ChoCH.
Entry in a supply zone.
Potential liquidity grab.
Clear risk-reward with targets to the downside.
Let me know if you'd like further clarification!
GOLD SHORT AFTER RecalibrationAs the price action continues to move sideways, it approaches that trendline. If the price rejects the resistance, we can expect it to move lower than 2600. On the other hand, if it closes above the resistance, we can anticipate the price reaching around the 2720 levels. My goal is support zone around 2585
The gold market is still oscillating around the 2650 level as it awaits the upcoming NFP data. Yesterday, the market showed poor reaction to news, with the price breaking below the previous day’s low but then swiftly pulling back toward the 2650 resistance level. If the price falls from this resistance zone, we could see a move toward the previous week’s low. Given the significance of the NFP release today, the price could potentially move in either direction. However, if there is a rejection at the 2650 resistance level and the upward trendline, we might witness a substantial sell-off. It will be crucial to watch how the market reacts to the NFP data, as volatility is expected to increase. My goal is support zone around 2620
