Is the gold trend caught in a vicious circle of ups and downs?
In the short term, the trend of gold prices has been separated from the influence of fundamentals, and is more dominated by emotional games. In particular, the price of gold once rose by 30% in 2025, which seriously stimulated the speculative sentiment in the market and made it easy for gold prices to fall into a vicious circle of "big ups and downs".
Next, the price of gold will become more sensitive to a series of factors, especially trade wars and tariff policies, geopolitical turmoil, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and US macro data, as well as global central banks' gold purchases and physical demand, etc., will cause violent fluctuations in the short term. These are the points we need to pay close attention to!
Views on the trend of gold in the European session!
Looking back at the gold trend of the daily line in the past few days, the high resistance is generally maintained at around 3165-3150. This is also the fundamental reason why gold has been jumping up and down during this period, but it is still weak and under pressure overall. In addition, the current trading price is at the upper end of Friday's range, and the bullish momentum is not large, basically maintaining near a neutral point!
Since the market continued to be under pressure at 3250 yesterday, the market's bullish considerations need to be lowered first. At the same time, since it has been under pressure below 3265, the current short-term adjustment is obvious on the technical side, and short orders still need to be followed up! At present, we can only wait and see whether the market breaks upward or downward, and follow the trend.
Gold: Retreat to low longs near 3200 once, defense at 92, target at 3235! Retracement to near 3240-45 to gamble on short orders!
XAUUSDK trade ideas
XAUUSDHello traders!
I’m sharing what may be your first trade of the week. This setup comes from the XAUUSD pair. I currently see a Buy opportunity in Gold, and the trade is already active on my side.
🔍 Trade Details:
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3223.82
✔️ Take Profit: 3237.39
✔️ Stop Loss: 3214.78
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’m personally taking, based on my own methodology. It is intended purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're interested in a more systematic and data-driven approach to trading:
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated with future trade ideas and market breakdowns.
GOLD forms a DOUBLE TOP. Support 3200. Trend reversalGOLD is forming support for the double top reversal pattern
A break of 3200 will confirm the market's intention to reverse the trend and go downwards.
Scenario: There is a lot of important news from the US and Great Britain ahead. If the general fundamental background remains and the dollar continues its bullish trend, then we will be close to a breakdown of 3200.
Thus, a break of 3200 and consolidation below the level will be a signal that we are ready to go down.
7 Gold Trades That Banked Over $2,500 LAST WEEK – Steal My StratMy strategy is straightforward: I trade order blocks, target premium/discount zones, and capitalize on liquidity sweeps. When these three signals align on the chart, I enter without hesitation.
Gold triggered a strong reaction off a bullish order block at $3192-3120 after forming it on May 15th( also can be seen as STB), confirming a robust uptrend and a global reversal from a deep discount zone( can be seen on 4h time frame). For the bullish momentum to solidify, price must break and close above $3250
So i will keep an eye on GOLD chart and prefer long trader to shorts
XAUUSD Breakout from Bullish Flag – Eyes on $3,387Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1H timeframe is exhibiting a strong bullish continuation setup, supported by multiple confluences that suggest the uptrend is far from over. The chart clearly shows the market breaking out from a Bullish Flag Pattern, respecting curve support, and targeting the major resistance zone near $3,387.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
1. Bullish Flag Pattern Formation
After a sharp bullish impulse, price consolidated in a tight downward-sloping channel — the classic bullish flag. This pattern typically appears mid-trend and signals a healthy pause before the next leg higher. The breakout from the flag confirms bullish continuation, often offering a high-probability trade entry.
2. Break of Structure (BOS)
The breakout above minor resistance marked a Break of Structure (BOS), which is a key bullish signal. It indicates a shift in market sentiment and validates the end of the corrective phase (flag) and beginning of the next impulse wave.
3. Curve Support (Parabolic Trajectory)
A parabolic curve support is now guiding price upward, showing increasing bullish pressure and higher lows forming consistently. This type of dynamic support often appears in strong trending markets where buyers step in aggressively at every pullback.
4. Liquidity Sweep & Smart Money Behavior
Before the breakout, price dipped below recent lows within the flag, likely sweeping liquidity and triggering stop-losses. This move provided institutional players with the liquidity needed to push price higher — a classic smart money trap-and-break scenario.
5. Volume & Momentum Confirmation
The breakout occurred with strong bullish momentum and rising volume (if checked on the volume profile), reinforcing the credibility of this move. A momentum-based continuation is likely as long as price remains above previous resistance (now support).
🎯 Target & Resistance Levels:
Short-Term Target: $3,387 — aligned with the previous major resistance area
Support Zone: $3,260–$3,275 (previous flag breakout + structure support)
Major Resistance Zone: Around $3,360–$3,387 (historical supply zone)
🧠 Trade Idea / Strategy:
As long as price holds above the curve support and retests the previous breakout zone (flag top or minor resistance), bullish entries on pullbacks are favored.
✅ Buy on dips into curve support or minor resistance retests.
❌ Avoid shorting into a strong parabolic structure unless signs of exhaustion appear.
🎯 Potential RR setups: 1:2 and beyond if entry is timed well.
💬 Conclusion:
The market structure, pattern confirmation, and strong bullish momentum all point toward a continuation move toward the $3,387 level. This setup provides a solid technical case for bullish trades with multiple entry options and well-defined risk levels. Keep an eye on curve support and potential higher timeframe resistance reactions for dynamic trade management.
GOLD spikes on geopolitics, not enough for new bull runIn the early trading session this morning (May 21), the spot OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly skyrocketed in the short term, surpassing the $3,300/ounce mark for the first time since May 9. In addition, the price of WTI crude oil also skyrocketed, at one point increasing by 3%. US media reported that US intelligence agencies had detected that Israel was preparing to attack Iran's nuclear facilities.
After the price increase on the previous trading day, the gold price continued to skyrocket to $3,304.18/ounce in the early trading session on Wednesday in Asia. Because gold is considered a safe asset in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty, new signs of geopolitical instability once again supported the increase in gold prices.
CNN reported Tuesday local time that several US officials told CNN that new information obtained by the US shows that Israel is preparing to attack Iran's nuclear facilities even as the Trump administration seeks a diplomatic deal with Tehran.
Such an attack would be a clear break with President Donald Trump, U.S. officials said. It could also spark a broader conflict in the Middle East, something the United States has tried to avoid since the 2023 Gaza war ratcheted up tensions.
The growing concern stems not only from messages from senior Israeli officials, both public and private, that Israel is considering such a move, but also from intercepted Israeli communications and observations of Israeli military activity that could indicate an Israeli strike is imminent, multiple sources familiar with the intelligence said.
Geopolitical factors also played a role in pushing gold higher, as the failure to reach a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine and rising tensions in the Middle East could prompt investors to hold onto gold.
The dollar weakened on Tuesday after Moody's downgraded the United States' top triple-A credit rating. Fed officials were also cautious about the economic outlook, hurt by the downgrade. A weaker US dollar means gold becomes more attractive.
Analysis of the technical outlook for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold surged to a technical confluence of key resistance formed by the location of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement and the 21-day EMA. At this point, gold has not completely broken out of the price action around the $3,300 base point. If gold breaks above and sustains above the $3,300 base point, it will be in a position to continue to rise with a target of around $3,371 in the short term.
On the other hand, a sell-off below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement would open the door for a retest of the $3,250 technical level followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement.
Currently, the active position is not yet in line for a new bullish cycle. Therefore, the technical outlook for gold for the day is a retest of $3,250 in the short term, followed by $3,228.
The notable positions for intraday downside correction expectations are listed below.
Support: $3,250 – $3,228
Resistance: $3,331 – $3,345
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3356 - 3354⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3360
→Take Profit 1 3348
↨
→Take Profit 2 3342
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3270 - 3272⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3266
→Take Profit 1 3278
↨
→Take Profit 2 3284
BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY SETUP FOR TODAYThis 30-minute chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) reflects a strong bullish momentum 📈, marked by a clear Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (ChoCH) signaling a market shift to the upside. Price recently broke above an equal high (EQH) and is now testing a resistance zone labeled as a “weak high”, suggesting potential for further upside toward the next key supply zone 🔴. The projection highlights two possible scenarios: either a continued bullish rally into the supply area around 3,340 🏹, or a pullback to the demand zone near 3,280 🟦 before resuming upward movement. Traders should monitor for price reaction at current levels and be prepared for either a breakout or a healthy retracement for optimal entry opportunities 🎯.
Gold intraday trading strategyFrom the 4-hour line analysis, today's lower support continues to focus on around 3170-75, strong support is at the 3150 mark, and upper pressure is around 3253-60. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
1. If gold falls back to 3170-75 and does not break, hold a light long position; if it falls back to 3150-55, add a long position; stop loss at 3144; target at 3226-3230; continue to hold if it breaks;
2. If gold rebounds to 3240-45 and does not break, hold a light short position; if it rebounds to 3253-60, add a short position; stop loss at 3266; target at 3275-80; continue to hold if it breaks;
XAUUSD(GOLD)Gold (XAUUSD) Trade Alert Buy Signal
We are currently issuing a Buy Signal on XAUUSD.
Buy Now at: 3200
Sell Limit Order: Also set at 33240
Stop Loss: 3180
Take Profit Targets:
Target 1: 3215
Target 2: 3230
Target 3: 3250
This signal indicates a potential upward movement in the price of gold. Traders are advised to enter a short position at 3200 with a protective stop-loss set at 3180 to manage risk. Gradual profit-taking is recommended at the specified levels to maximize returns while minimizing exposure.
Trading Tips:
1. Continuously educate yourself to enhance your trading strategies and stay responsive to changing market dynamics.
2. Only invest capital that you can afford to lose to prevent undue financial stress.
3. Always use stop-loss orders to safeguard against unexpected market moves.
4. Diversify your trades to spread risk and stabilize potential returns.
5. Monitor global news and economic indicators that could impact gold prices.
6. Stick to your trading plan and avoid emotional decision-making.
7. Review and analyze your trades regularly to learn from both wins and losses.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 5/19/2025As explained in my weekly post, I am bullish on Gold this week. Therefore, I will look for buying opportunities today.
Currently, gold has opened higher at the. start of this week. I will look for buying signals from breaking of 3252 resistance or retest of 3165 support. Target for today is 3320.
XAUUSD Hits FVG in Premium Zone — Bearish Setup in Play!📉 XAUUSD (Gold) has just tapped into a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) after a clean, impulsive rally — now we’re watching for Smart Money distribution and a potential reversal from this high-risk premium area.
📊 Chart Insights:
✅ Price retraced into the FVG zone between $3,225 – $3,240
✅ This zone aligns with the 79% Fibonacci retracement, making it a premium zone for shorts
✅ Market structure shows previous bearish impulse → this could be a retracement before continuation
✅ Current PA is reacting to the imbalance left on the drop
✅ Massive downside potential to rebalance price near $3,120
🧠 Smart Money Confluence:
FVGs are often rebalanced after price trades away impulsively
The retrace into this inefficient pricing zone is classic Smart Money mitigation
Price now sits in an area where institutions may look to offload long positions
📍 Potential Play:
Short Entry Zone: $3,225 – $3,240
Targets:
TP1: $3,200
TP2: $3,170 (mid-level liquidity)
TP3: $3,120 (full FVG fill and higher TF draw)
Invalidation: Clean break and hold above $3,240
💡 Pro Tip:
Watch for a lower timeframe structure shift (15m/5m) or confirmation candle to stack entries. The market loves to sweep highs before the real move begins — patience pays. 🧠💰
📈 This setup offers 3:1+ RR and aligns with Smart Money’s tendency to sell into imbalance and hunt liquidity below.
💬 Comment “Gold Setup” if you’re trading this one!
🔁 Share or save if you're watching for the drop.
XAUUSD 1HYour chart appears to show the XAU/USD (Gold to US Dollar) pair with a clear downtrend. Here are a few observations:
1. Trendlines & Resistance:
The chart has red downward sloping trendlines, indicating a descending channel or downtrend.
Multiple rejection points (marked by arrows) confirm strong resistance.
2. Breakout & Forecast:
The price seems to have touched the upper trendline and then dropped, respecting the trend.
A blue projection line suggests a bearish continuation, targeting around 3,100.361.
3. Price Action & Volume:
The price is currently around 3,182, having made a sharp drop.
If it breaks below the recent low, the downtrend may accelerate.
4. Support Zone:
There's a possible support near the 3,100 mark.
Watch for price behavior there; a bounce or breakdown will signal the next move.
Would you like a technical analysis of this setup (e.g., entry/exit strategy, stop loss, or risk-reward ratio)?
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed.
After completing our Bullish targets 3282, 3343 and 3404 yesterday; we stated that no further cross and lock above 3404 confirmed the rejection and that price will find support at lower Goldturns for the bounces.
- This played out perfectly inline with our plans to buy dips. Price found support at 3282 Goldturn and gave the weighted bounce just like we analysed.
BULLISH TARGET
3282 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3343 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD trading plan for the London market.After buying at a low level yesterday, the market rebounded and continued to fall. Today, the Asian market hit a low of 3208.
At present, geopolitical uncertainties are increasing. I think buying is still a reasonable choice. Buy near 3210-3200. The target is 3235-3248. It is necessary to observe whether the target is stabilized.
Remember to control trading risks when trading independently.
XAUUSD Intraday Analysis – May 19, 2025Key Supply Zone: 3246–3252
This area is a major resistance. If price fails to break and hold above, expect a rejection back to 3230 or even 3212.
However, a clear breakout and hold above 3252 will likely trigger bullish continuation toward 3275.
✅ Signal Setup
Scenario 1 – Rejection Short (preferred until breakout)
Sell Zone: 3246–3252
SL: Above 3260
TP: 3230 / 3212
Scenario 2 – Breakout Long
Buy Above: 3252 (on 5–15min structure shift or BOS)
SL: Below 3244
TP: 3265 / 3275
📌 Wait for confirmation — either rejection wick or clean breakout with retest.
Is Gold Forming a Double Top?Over the past four trading sessions, gold has shown oscillations of around 1% in the short term. For now, indecision is beginning to emerge in the price of the precious metal as market confidence gradually recovers. The CNN Fear and Greed Index is already holding near the "extreme greed" zone, and as confidence continues to rise steadily, this could become a problem for gold demand, as it remains the classic safe-haven asset.
Potential Double Top
Price movements in recent weeks have formed a consistent resistance area at $3,400 per ounce, with pullbacks reaching the $3,200 zone. Currently, a potential double top pattern appears to be forming on the chart, with key support holding near $3,200. If bearish pressure becomes strong enough to consistently break below this level, the pattern could gain significant technical relevance and signal a potential trend reversal in the coming sessions.
RSI
The RSI line remains oscillating around the 50 level, indicating a balanced momentum between buyers and sellers. This can be explained by the ongoing support zone that is holding the price in the short term.
ADX
The ADX line is showing a similar picture, with readings increasingly close to the 20 level, which indicates that the strength of recent price movements is fading. This further supports the idea of continued indecision around the current support area.
Key Levels to Watch:
$3,200 per ounce – Critical Support: Possibly the most important level to watch, as it represents the lower boundary of the double top pattern and corresponds to a neutral price zone. Sustained selling pressure below this level could trigger a strong bearish bias and open the door to a new downward trend.
$3,400 per ounce – Main Resistance: This is the historical high zone for gold. A breakout above this level could be interpreted as a continuation of the long-term bullish trend.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Bet on a short position near 3265!
On Monday, the international gold price rose again by more than 1%. Benefiting from the weaker US dollar and the boost of safe-haven demand, gold first fell to 3206 and then rebounded to 3250, reversing the decline in the early trading. Gold has been under pressure in recent weeks because the market has gradually digested the expectation of stagflation and repriced the expectation of interest rate cuts. The market currently expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by about 58 basis points by the end of the year, while the expectation at the peak of panic in April was as high as 120 basis points.
Views on the trend of gold in the evening!
The market trend in the past few days is a little speechless for friends who like unilateralism. The market is nothing more than falling or rising first, but basically it rises as much as it falls, and it always fluctuates back and forth in a range. This is actually quite similar to the trend last week. It is nothing more than not as drastic as last week. Tonight, I still prefer to see shocks rather than breakthroughs! The upper resistance is at the previous high of 3265±3, and the lower support is to continue to look at the 3200 integer mark!
From the hourly chart, the step-by-step rise is quite obvious, but the first resistance is at 3251. Only after the rise can we continue to see the suppression of 3265. So for today, the position near 3251 is the first attempt at short positions, and the second is 3265. If the rebound is in place, we will continue to play a short position. It is not a big problem to see a profit of 20 to 30 points. If it falls directly below 3200, there will be more room for surprises!
Gold: Short when it rebounds near 3251, defend above 8 US dollars, and if you are prudent, just wait for 3265, and target the 3230-20 line!
GOLD Will Grow! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,202.52.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,258.41 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for May 15Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3200, support below 3100
Four-hour chart resistance 3175-92, support below 3100
One-hour chart resistance 3167, support below 3100
Analysis of gold news: The spot gold market showed a volatile downward trend on Wednesday. Despite the weak performance of the US dollar index and the market's expectations for the Fed's rate cut, gold prices remained under pressure and failed to continue the rebound momentum on Tuesday. The market focus is on the fading risk aversion caused by Trump's recent tariff remarks and the latest developments in the geopolitical situation, such as potential progress in negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. Looking ahead, the spot gold market may continue to be affected by multiple factors. The US Producer Price Index (PPI) data to be released on Thursday will provide new clues to the market. If the PPI data further confirms the slowdown in inflationary pressures, expectations for rate cuts may continue to heat up, providing potential support for gold prices. However, any unexpected developments in tariff remarks and the situation between Russia and Ukraine could quickly change market sentiment and reignite safe-haven demand.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the lower support focuses on the integer support of 3100, the upper pressure focuses on the suppression near 3167 in the one-hour chart and 3175 in the four-hour chart, and the short-term long-short strength and weakness dividing line focuses on 3167. Before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position, continue to rebound and sell.
Sell: 3175near SL: 3180
Sell: 3167near SL: 3171
More free sharing will be updated daily