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GOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

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XAUUSDK trade ideas

Gold encounters resistance at 3310-3320 and is about to fallAt present, gold has reached the 3300-3320 area as expected. As I mentioned in my previous article, we can consider shorting gold in batches in the 3300-3320 area; Although gold once rebounded and stood above 3300, we can clearly see that when facing the short-term resistance area of ​​3310-3320, the bullish energy of gold has converged and began to show signs of stagflation, so the short-term resistance area of ​​3310-3320 is still valid. Before gold breaks through 3310-3320, gold bears still have the upper hand. So as long as gold stays below 3310-3320 in the short term, don't be afraid of gold rebounds. Rebounds are opportunities to short gold. So I still tend to short gold at present, and have opened short gold positions according to the trading plan, hoping that gold can retreat to the target area: 3285-3275-3265. Do you think gold will fall as expected?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
Next week's market trend analysisShort-term technical analysis of gold next week: After gold was horizontally consolidated below 3400, it had two relatively large retracements. The short-term downward channel, the upper edge of the channel is currently around 3340, which is also the turning point of the short-term long and short cycles that we need to pay attention to later. Has the current big rhythm entered a weak position? Daily level analysis: After reaching 3500, gold is still in a trend of high-level consolidation, and there is a periodic switch between long and short positions, and there is no extremely strong or weak rhythm. In this consolidation process, there are two relatively large retracements: the first from 3500 to 3200 space 300 points, the second from 3435 to 3120 space 315 points. In other words, in the current daily level cycle, the maximum decline is around 300 US dollars. Not exceeding this maximum retracement value, to a certain extent, it is still in the rhythm of high-level correction. According to the range of this space retracement, the limit of the daily retracement is around 3150, with an error of about 20 points. However, the daily range is large, so it is too early to talk about this threshold. At present, the short-term pressure points of 0.618 and the top and bottom structures are all around 3300. Another point for everyone to pay attention to: in the market with a small cycle of negative decline, once there is a sideways trend. Don't take it as support! The price is consolidating horizontally, which only means that the current bulls are weak in pulling back and the change of weakness must be a strong pullback to break through the big negative. Similarly, the slow rise market is the same. The first support below in the short term is around 3250. The strong support is at the integer level of 3200. Once this position is reached, it will become a repeated test position like 3400.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
Continue to maintain the rhythm of short tradingUnder the influence of NFP, gold fell sharply as expected. What I had suggested before was proven correct by the market again. "Gold rose in advance to reserve room for the NFP market to fall." After NFP, gold fell to around 3311 and the decline narrowed. Therefore, we accurately seized the opportunity to go long on gold near 3312 and set TP: 3330. Obviously, gold successfully hit TP during the rebound and made an easy profit of 180 pips. From the current gold structure, gold encountered resistance and retreated twice near 3365, and built a double top structure in the short-term structure. In order to eliminate the suppression of the double top structure, gold still needs to continue to fall after the rebound. After the cliff-like decline of gold, the short-term resistance is in the 3340-3345 area, and the short-term support below is in the 3320-3310 area. So I think that gold can still continue to short gold after the rebound, and I have already shorted gold around 3336 with the 3340-3345 area as resistance. Now we just need to wait patiently for gold to hit TP. Let us wait and see!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
XAU/USD 4H – Retracement or Rejection? Key Levels to WatchGold bulls made a strong push out of the descending channel, but now the real test begins. The market is currently in retracement mode after a sharp impulse, and the next move will be decisive. 🔹 Channel Breakout & Retest in Play: Price broke out of the descending channel with momentum and hit the $3,357 region before pulling back. We're now hovering around the 0.236 Fib at $3,331 — with the 0.382 and 0.618 Fib zones below offering potential long entry confluence. 🔹 Fibonacci Cluster Support Zone: Between $3,314 – $3,287 lies a high-probability demand zone, where multiple Fibonacci levels converge with the broken channel top. This area also aligns with the 50 EMA, creating a pocket for bullish continuation — if held. 🔹 RSI Divergence to Watch: RSI shows signs of slowing bullish momentum after peaking, which suggests this retracement could deepen toward the 0.5–0.618 levels before any meaningful bounce. A bullish RSI reversal in this zone would confirm re-entry. 📌 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation: Price finds support between $3,314–$3,287 Momentum kicks in for a leg up toward $3,388 Final TP at $3,427 (Fib -0.618 extension) 📌 Scenario 2 – Rejection and Deeper Drop: Failure to hold the 0.5 zone flips the bias bearish Watch for re-entry back into the previous channel Next downside target: $3,251 and potentially $3,233–$3,221 (Fib + extension) 💡 Elite Insight: The pullback is not the risk — entering without a plan is. This is the zone where patience meets precision. Let the levels do the work.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WrightWayInvestments
Expecting Gold Selling movement In this 15 minute chart of Gold Spot XAU/USD price action indicates a potential bearish setup following a strong upward move that has started to lose momentum After reaching a peak near 3344 price formed a double top pattern followed by a series of lower highs and lower lows signaling a shift in market sentiment The blue horizontal zone around 3331 3332 acted as a significant support level which has now been broken and is being retested as resistance The yellow projection shows a bearish continuation scenario with price expected to reject the retest of the broken support and continue downward The projected target for the bearish move is near 3302 indicating a significant downside potential The risk zone highlighted in red lies above the resistance, likely placing the stop loss around the 3335 3340 range This analysis suggests that if the price fails to reclaim the support turned-resistance zone bears could take control and drive price lower throughout the day
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GOLD_FORCAST_PROVIDER
XAUUSD | Major Trendline Retest Incoming | Sell Setup WatchGold (XAUUSD) is approaching a key higher timeframe descending trendline that’s been respected since mid-June. Price is also tapping into a clean supply zone combined with horizontal structure around 3345–3350. Watching for a potential bearish rejection from this level. If price respects the trendline and supply zone, expecting a continuation to the downside targeting previous lows around 3302 and potentially 3280. Bias: Bearish unless price breaks and holds above 3350+. Confluence: • HTF descending trendline • Supply zone + horizontal resistance • EMA dynamic resistance aligning (if retest happens) • Clean bearish structure on the 1H Will update if the breakout happens — for now, waiting on bearish confirmations at the retest.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by SQFX
Gold price analysis July 1On the D1 chart, the price has recovered positively when the candle closed above 50% of the decrease range of last Friday's session. This shows that buying power is returning and a new uptrend is forming, with the target heading towards the GAP zone around 3363. Today's trading strategy: Prioritize buying (BUY) if the price has a correction to the support zone of 3300. Sell strategy should only be implemented at important resistance zones, with short-term profit expectations because the main trend is leaning towards the uptrend. Important technical levels: Support: 3300 - 3337 - 3360 Resistance: 3334 - 3348 - 3363
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
GOLD 45MINTHE month of july 1 Key Economic Outlook ; Central Bank Speeches (1)The bank of England head (BOE) Gov Bailey might speak in context on BOE 4.25% rate cut ,uk inflation about 3.45% is still above limit and the goal is 2%.my focus will be on his rhetoric's ,if he sounds dovish or Hawkish tones, then GBP will react to the sentiment. (2)Bank of japan (BOJ) Gov Ueda will center on rate held steady at 0.5% and core inflation remains above 2%,market will watch the sentiment because its likely he will address yield -curve control adjustments or hawkish signals , which will potentially boost JPY AND JP10Y the head of united states Fed reserve Chair, sir! Powell will speak and it comes with red folder ,the last monetary policy meeting kept Fed funds rate at 4.25–4.50% ,Powell recently emphasized patience on rate cuts based on cautious wait and see approach Key Messages Expected: Tariff-driven inflation risks require vigilance. Rate cuts unlikely until September unless inflation cools markedly. "No urgency" to ease policy amid solid labor market. US Economic Data Releases Final Manufacturing PMI 52.0 52.0 Neutral if unchanged; USD positive if >52.0. ISM Manufacturing PMI 48.8 48.5 Contractionary (<50); USD negative if <48.5. JOLTS Job Openings 7.32M 7.39M USD negative if <7.32M (labor cooling). ISM Manufacturing Prices 69.6 69.4 USD positive if >69.6 (inflationary pressure). Construction Spending -0.2% -0.4% Limited impact unless significantly below forecast. Market Implications USD: Powell’s tone is critical. Hawkish remarks (delayed cuts) could lift DXY; dovish hints may weaken it. Data surprises (especially ISM/JOLTS) could amplify volatility. GBP/JPY: Bailey/Ueda speeches may drive cross-pairs. BOJ hawkishness could weaken EUR/JPY carry trades. Risk Assets: Weak ISM/JOLTS data may pressure equities (US30) and boost bonds (↓US10Y). Summary of Key Risks Powell Speech: Reiteration of "no imminent cuts" likely. Watch for tariff-inflation warnings. ISM/JOLTS: Sustained manufacturing contraction or softer labor demand could fuel recession fears. Carry Trades: JPY strength (Ueda) may pressure EUR/JPY/AUD if BOJ signals policy shift. #gold #fx
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
1
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy on June 30Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 3350, support 3225 4-hour chart resistance 3310, support 3245 1-hour chart resistance 3295, support 3260 From the 4-hour level, after gold fell to 3255 last Friday, the real candlestick chart was difficult to continue to fall, suggesting that the downward momentum has slowed down. It is necessary to pay attention to the possibility of double bottom support at 3245. At the same time, this is also the 0.618 support level of the golden section of the 3120-3452 band. With the MACD showing signs of bottom divergence, short-term operations are bearish, but the probability of rebound is also very high. The short-term support position below the market is near 3281, and the break will look at 3260-3247; the important pressure position is near 3295; the break will look at 3309-3313! BUY: 3281near BUY: 3260near BUY: 3245near
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
Gold is under pressure at 3296 and may weaken and fall today I am analyst Yulia, and I always believe that profit is the only criterion for measuring strength. My analysis is never perfunctory, and my trading style is unique. Follow my rhythm, and you will never fail in the annual cycle. Others have already rushed on the road to wealth, but you are still hesitating whether to cross the traffic light at the intersection? Remember, hesitation will lead to failure! Follow my pace, and wealth will be very close to you. Gold rebounded as I expected during the weekend, but the rebound to 3296 was under pressure. The short-term 60-day moving average and the suppression near the five-day moving average failed to break, so the rebound within the day was limited. It may weaken and fall today, but it belongs to a shock and bearish trend, so consider shorting near 3282-85, stop loss 3291, pay attention to risks. June 30 gold short-term trading: short near 3283, stop loss 3291, take profit 3263
TVC:GOLDShort
by jiqeu1
Bait. Trigger. Collapse!🎯 XAUUSD 1H – Anticipating the Upside Fakeout Before the Real Drop 📉 Trade Breakdown: Gold is consolidating just beneath a 1H supply zone (3344–3356), forming the classic structure for a liquidity trap. The expectation: price fakes out to the upside, taps the supply zone, and then reverses with a clean bearish move toward 3207. This isn’t just a technical setup — it’s fundamentally fueled by a blowout NFP report. ⸻ 📍 Key Technical Confluences: • 🔸 1H supply zone: 3344–3356 (clean bearish reaction) • 🔸 Consolidation beneath supply = energy buildup • 🔸 Likely upside fakeout into supply → then rejection • 🔸 Equal lows + inefficiency below = target-rich zone • 🔸 3207 = next major demand / clean target ⸻ 📰 Fundamental Fuel: • 🔹 NFP came in strong (206K vs. expected ~190K) • 🔹 Dollar surged, yields rebounded → gold dropped • 🔹 Rate cut hopes fading = bullish for USD, bearish for XAU/USD • 🔹 Market is now adjusting expectations → selling gold aggressively • 🔹 Gold already fell post-NFP, but this pullback into supply gives sellers a second entry ⸻ 📈 Execution Plan: • Entry: After upside sweep into 3344–3356 with M15–H1 rejection • Stop Loss: Above 3356 (supply invalidation) • Take Profit: 3207 (clean structure + news-driven momentum) • Optional sniper trigger: Wick rejection during NY session or USD news spike ⸻ 🧠 Mindset: This setup is time-sensitive. It’s not just about structure — it’s about who’s trapped and what the market believes post-NFP. Don’t chase candles. Wait for the manipulation to finish — then strike with precision. “Trade Simple. Live Lavish.” -Quil Lavish
FX:XAUUSDShort
by QuilLavish
gold Indicator Actual Forecast Previous Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.3% 0.4% — Non-Farm Employment Change 147K 111K 139K Unemployment Rate 4.1% 4.3% 4.2% Unemployment Claims 233K 240K 236K Interpretation and Implications Average Hourly Earnings m/m: Rose by 0.3%, slightly below the forecast of 0.4%. This suggests wage growth is steady but not accelerating, which may ease some inflation concerns. Non-Farm Employment Change: The US economy added 147,000 jobs, beating both the forecast (111K) and the previous month (139K). This indicates continued, though moderate, labor market expansion. Unemployment Rate: Fell to 4.1%, better than the expected 4.3% and down from 4.2% previously. This points to a modest improvement in labor market conditions. Unemployment Claims: Dropped to 233,000, lower than both the forecast (240K) and last month (236K). This signals fewer new layoffs and continued resilience in the job market. Market Impact Dollar (USD): The combination of stronger-than-expected job growth and a lower unemployment rate is generally supportive for the US dollar, as it suggests the labor market remains robust. However, slightly softer wage growth may temper expectations for aggressive Fed tightening going forward. Federal Reserve Outlook: These figures reinforce the Fed’s “data-dependent” stance. Solid job creation and falling unemployment reduce urgency for immediate rate cuts, but the lack of wage acceleration may allow the Fed to maintain a cautious approach. In summary: The US labor market in July 2025 shows moderate strength, with job gains and a falling unemployment rate, while wage growth remains steady but not excessive. This mix supports a stable outlook for the dollar and gives the Fed flexibility in its upcoming policy decisions.
EASYMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Today's bearish target for gold prices: 3300Today's bearish target for gold prices: 3300 Technical analysis: Short-term support: $3330-3320 (5-day and 10-day moving averages), Short-term resistance: $3360-3374 (61.8% retracement). If it falls below $3330, it may fall to the $3306-3320 range; If it breaks through $3374, it may challenge the previous high of $3450. The daily chart shows that gold prices are fluctuating at high levels, and the MACD red column has expanded, but the RSI (60-65) shows a good bullish momentum. 2. Main influencing factors Federal Reserve policy and non-agricultural data: The market focuses on the US non-agricultural employment data for June released tonight (July 3) (expected to increase by 106,000, and the previous value was an increase of 139,000). If the data is weak (for example, the unemployment rate rises to 4.3%), it may strengthen the expectation of a rate cut in September, which is good for gold; On the contrary, if the data is strong, the price of gold may fall back. The unexpected contraction of the ADP employment data in June (a decrease of 33,000 jobs) has pushed up the expectation of a rate cut in advance. Geopolitics and safe-haven demand: If the situation in the Middle East (such as the Iranian nuclear issue) escalates, it may push up the price of gold, but the recent ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran has weakened the short-term safe-haven support. The continued purchase of gold by central banks around the world (net purchase of 289 tons in the second quarter of 2025) constitutes long-term support. The US dollar and interest rates: The US dollar index has weakened recently, but if the Fed postpones the rate cut (the probability of a rate cut in September is currently 75%), it may suppress the price of gold. 3. My views and market forecasts: In the short term, the price of gold will fluctuate, and the trend depends on the non-agricultural data. If the data is weak, the price of gold may rise to $3370-3400; If the data is strong, the price of gold may fall back below $3300. I think the possibility of a fall is high. In the short term, I prefer the strategy and trading ideas of shorting at high prices below 3360-3370. Suggestions: Short-term trading: Pay attention to the breakthrough opportunities after the release of non-agricultural data. You can go long at the support level (3330-3320 US dollars) and try to go short at the resistance level (3360-3374 US dollars). Flexibly adjust the strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by louisa111222
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD, March 7, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the H1 chart, wave 3 appears to have completed, and price is now entering a phase with an unusual structural behavior. Wave 3 previously showed strong momentum, moving steeply and continuously, with no clear internal pullbacks – a classic impulse wave. Following this, we observed a corrective abc pattern in black, suggesting the end of wave 3. Interestingly, although yesterday's ADP report was extremely bullish, gold only managed a mild breakout above the wave 3 high before pulling back this morning. Notably, the upward move followed a 3-wave abc structure in green, and price action is now showing overlapping waves with no clear directional momentum. 🧩 These signs suggest a high probability that: 🔹 Wave 5 is forming as an Ending Diagonal – a 5-wave structure with a 3-3-3-3-3 pattern. 🔹 This is typically seen at the end of a bullish cycle and often precedes a sharp reversal. Although it's too early to confirm, we should patiently observe the upcoming price action. If the ending diagonal completes, it may present a strong sell opportunity. 🎯 Target for wave 5: around 3395, provided all 5 sub-waves within the diagonal complete. ⚠️ If price breaks below 3324, we must consider that the full 5-wave structure is already done, and a new abc corrective phase may have begun. 🔍 Momentum Analysis Daily (D1): Momentum is about to turn bearish from overbought territory → suggests a weakening uptrend. H4: Momentum is turning upward → likely a mild rally or sideways movement today before H4 reaches overbought again. 📌 Trading Plan Given the current wave behavior and overlapping structure, it is best to remain patient and wait for confirmation before taking a strong position. If the Ending Diagonal structure is confirmed, it could signal a major reversal. SELL Zone: 3392 – 3395 Stop Loss: 3403 Take Profits: • TP1: 3368 • TP2: 3340 • TP3: 3324
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold is Ready For The Next Bullish Run- Taking a Long Trade HereAfter a series of bearish structures on 4Hour time frame, which is actually a bullish retracement on higher time frame, Gold has now broke the bearish structure with series of bullish candles which turned the trend from bearish to bullish trend. After the bullish break of structure, Gold retrace into a fair value price level, formed a swing low plus a bullish price action which further confirmed the bullishness of Gold, which is were I took an entry for a buy long trade. My target for this trade is for Gold to reach the price level of $3,436 which is a 5.36RR return. I will be monitoring price and manage my trade accordingly as price move in my direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Elijahenoch7
Gold bulls and bears compete for non-agricultural dataTechnical aspects: Currently, gold is in a typical ascending triangle structure, reflecting that the market bullish trend has not been broken but faces strong resistance. On the daily chart, gold as a whole maintains a range of $3250 to $3400, with obvious horizontal support and resistance bands formed at both ends of the range. The Bollinger Bands are converging as a whole, indicating that volatility is shrinking, indicating that the large-scale direction selection is approaching. The green column of the MACD indicator has narrowed slightly, and the short-term momentum is still bearish but there are signs of weakening. The RSI indicator runs around 49, maintaining a neutral and bearish state, and there is no obvious deviation in the short term, suggesting that there is still the possibility of subsequent shocks and consolidation.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1