XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold Long: Update on Elliott Wave CountsI suggest that we have seen wave 1 of 3 and wave 2 of 3 completion and is now going into a wave 3 of 3 that is expected to break out of the ascending triangle.
The stop loss is now adjusted to 3200 and the most conservative target gives us $3300 even though we are still aiming for >$3500.
Good luck!
xauusd 15mThis chart displays the Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 15-minute timeframe and highlights a trading setup using support/resistance zones and price action.
Key Observations:
1. Red Arrows (Top): Indicate repeated rejection levels, showing strong resistance around those price zones.
2. Green Arrow (Bottom): Indicates a bullish reaction from a support zone, showing that buyers stepped in.
3. Orange Circle: Likely highlights a key support level, which has been tested multiple times and acted as a demand zone.
4. Purple Rectangle: Represents a support area, where price previously reversed upward and is currently being tested again.
5. Green/Red Box (Right): A classic risk/reward box:
Entry: Around current price (~3,209)
Stop Loss: Around 3,200
Take Profit: Around 3,244
This shows a favorable risk/reward ratio, potentially over 3:1.
Interpretation:
This chart likely shows a long trade setup based on:
Price approaching a strong historical support.
Expectation of a bullish bounce.
Favorable risk/reward structure.
Let me know if you'd like an analysis of the trade strategy, possible improvements, or automation using a script.
Beware of a sharp surge at the beginning of the week!🗞News side:
1. The India-Pakistan conflict has been eased, but India has increased its troops in Kashmir
2. The situation between Russia and Ukraine has escalated again
3. Trump has asked Walmart to absorb the impact of tariffs on its own
📈Technical aspects:
Gold jumped higher in the Asian session in the morning and once tested the 3250 resistance line. In the short term, the upward space is limited and there is a certain suppression. At present, gold is testing the 3210-3200 support level again. Judging from the 4H chart, if the gold price breaks through this short-term support level, it is likely to go to the 3170 level next, or even test the strong support level of 3150. If it gets effective support at 3210-3200, gold may test the resistance area again. Therefore, in the short-term trading in the Asia and Europe sessions, maintain the high-level short-selling and low-level long-selling cycle to participate. On the upside, focus on the 3250-3260 resistance area. If it breaks through, it is expected to look towards the 3300 line. On the downside, focus on the 3210-3200 support line. If it breaks through this support, look to the 3170-3150 important support.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD – Testing Range High, Awaiting Breakout or Pullback | ProGold began the week with a ranging movement near Friday’s high, showing indecision around a key resistance area.
If price manages to break above the range with a strong bullish candle close, we could quickly see a move toward the first and second red resistance boxes.
However, if price fails to hold this level, a pullback toward the green support zones is likely. From there, traders should look for lower-timeframe confirmations (M3 or M5) to enter long positions.
📌 Key Levels
🟢 Supports:
3,185_3,191
3,152_3,161
3,100_3,135
🔴 Resistance:
3,273_3,285
3,332_3,350
⚠️ Do not enter without confirmation – protect your capital.
🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX
Agree or disagree? Share your view or drop your chart below. Let's grow together 📈
The current price of gold is 3230, so go short directly!
Gold began to fluctuate in a large range. Don't chase long positions easily at high levels. Gold opened under pressure and fell back at 2350. Then the double top of gold rebounded in 4 hours and continued to fall, and then fluctuated in a large range. The current price of gold is 3230 and it is directly short!
Gold did not form an upward breakthrough in 4 hours, so it is likely to be a volatile market. Since gold is fluctuating, if gold falls below 3200 again, it may weaken further. Then gold will start to fluctuate in a large range in 4 hours. Gold rebounded under pressure and went short first.
The market is changing rapidly, and gold is now experiencing great ups and downs. In the short term, we still need to pay attention to continued highs and falls. Gold should focus on the gains and losses of the 3200 line. If gold does not break 3200 for a long time, then gold may form support, and then gold bulls will have upward momentum.
European trading operation ideas:
Gold short at 3230, stop loss at 3240, target 3200-3180;
Analysis of the latest gold trend on May 19:
Core logic analysis
Negative factors
The strengthening of the US dollar: the cooling of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations (the market is currently pricing in a 58 basis point rate cut by the end of the year, a significant reduction from April) suppresses the attractiveness of gold.
Risk appetite rebounds: The easing of Sino-US trade tensions weakens the demand for safe-haven assets, leading to long-term profit-taking.
Technical selling pressure: The weekly big negative line (a drop of nearly 4%) forms a short-term bearish trend, and we need to be vigilant about the risk of further correction.
Potential support
Long-term downward trend in real interest rates: If the Fed starts a rate cut cycle this year, gold will still have allocation value in the medium and long term.
Key technical support: There is long defense in the 3150-3140 area (daily line division and channel lower track), and if it stabilizes, it may trigger a rebound.
Key technical points
Upper resistance:
3210-3212 (anti-pressure point on Friday, May 16, which may confirm the short-term bottom after breaking through)
3230-3250 (strong resistance area, short orders can be considered when rebounding to this point).
Support below:
3170-3150 (core support area, if it falls below, it will look down to the previous low of 3120)
3140 (lower channel track, breaking may trigger an accelerated decline).
Operation strategy for next week
1. Trading in the shock range (high probability scenario)
Bull opportunity:
If it falls back to the 3150-3170 area and stabilizes (such as the K-line closes with a long lower shadow or the hourly chart diverges), go long with a light position, stop loss below 3140, and target 3210-3230.
Confirmation signal on the right: If the price stabilizes above 3212, you can follow up with a long order, with a target of 3250.
Short opportunity:
Rebound to 3230-3250 under pressure (if a stagflation pattern appears), go short, stop loss 3260, and target 3180-3150.
2. Breakthrough and follow-up strategy
Break above 3250: may start a new round of uptrend, follow up long orders when it falls back to 3230, target 3300.
Break below 3140: beware of deep correction, short at rebound 3160, target 3120-3100.
Risk warning
News disturbance:
If the speeches of Fed officials and US economic data (such as CPI and retail sales) strengthen the expectation of interest rate cuts, it may reverse the decline of gold.
The sudden escalation of the geopolitical situation (Russia-Ukraine conflict, etc.) will boost safe-haven buying.
Position management:
The current market is volatile, it is recommended to enter the market in batches with light positions and strictly stop losses (3-5 US dollars is appropriate).
Summary
Next week, gold is likely to fluctuate and bottom out in the range of 3150-3250, focusing on the gains and losses of 3150 support and 3212 breakthrough. Investors need to respond flexibly, avoid chasing ups and downs, and wait for key positions to be confirmed before trading in line with the trend. In the medium and long term, if the Fed's policy changes, gold still has upside potential, but it needs to digest technical selling pressure in the short term.
Moody's downgrades US credit rating, will gold be affected?Information summary:
At about 4:43 pm on Friday (the last minute before the market closed), Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating from AAA to Aa1 on the grounds of "surge in debt and fiscal out of control", ending the US's last "top credit" title among the three major rating agencies.
Perhaps considering reducing the impact, Moody's announced this news after the US stock market closed. But at this time, gold, foreign exchange and other markets still have more than ten minutes of trading time. The 10-year US Treasury yield once rushed from 4.44% to 4.49%, the US dollar index fell, and gold rushed up.
The downgrade is a super-class data, which may cause gold to rebound in stages, but not continuously. If nothing unexpected happens, after the adjustment, gold may continue to retreat in a trend.
Technical analysis:
Next week, gold may rebound in stages to 3330-3340. Then there may be a trend decline again, and I estimate that it may test around 2950 below. As for why it went to 3330-40, here is an analysis:
I think the current gold trend is very similar to the holiday trend in Asia from May 1st to 5th. It also fell sharply, then bottomed out and rebounded, and then stretched up again. I also drew it in the picture, which is basically consistent with the current trend. If the next market trend is copied from the previous paragraph, then I think it should test the 3330-40 point.
XAU / USD 30 minute chartHello traders. We had a nice push down with the overnight sessions. I am looking to see if we break out of the 30 minute range marked on the chart. We can push up a bit for the shorts in profit to be taken out only to rope people into longs to come back down. So I tried to mark the chart with arrows. This is just speculation and what I see. We have news todya at 10am here in the US, and it is Friday. I may just sit this one out. Let's see how the next hour plays out. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend.
Long orders are trapped,what should we do with the US gold marke🗞News side:
1. India considers using new Indus River project to cut water supply to Pakistan.
2. Pay attention to the news of Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations today
📈Technical aspects:
Gold once fell to around 3170, which is in line with our judgment of bullish weakness. This is why we are not in a hurry to participate in long orders today. I know that many bros also listened to the outside world and went long around 3200, which led to being trapped. At present, the gold price is constantly testing the 3170 support line. If it falls below, it will look to the 3150 support line. If it does not break, it will be treated as a shock. On the top, temporarily pay attention to the 3205-3215 line of resistance. If it encounters resistance and pressure, go short. On the bottom, first pay attention to the 3170 support line, and then pay attention to the 3150-3140 support line. Hold if it breaks.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
The calm before the golden stormThe gold market showed a V-shaped reversal pattern of bottoming out and rebounding yesterday. The daily line closed with a hammer-shaped positive line with an extremely long lower shadow, indicating that the support below is strong, but the overall high-level shock pattern is still maintained. Technical indicators show that short-term correction pressure still exists: the stochastic indicator is blunted at a high level, the MACD double-line dead cross is downward, and the Bollinger band opens downward. The gold price is likely to fluctuate around the middle and lower tracks.
The 4-hour level fluctuates to the bearish side, and the 3200 line becomes the watershed between long and short positions. If it effectively falls below this level, the bears will regain the initiative; on the contrary, the bulls need to break through the strong resistance zone of 3265-3270 to reverse the downward trend. At the end of the weekly line, the market has a demand for a restorative decline. If it falls below the 3200 integer mark, the target below will be the 3180-3170 area. Focus on the effectiveness of the 3265-3270 resistance and the strength of the 3200 support, and be alert to the violent fluctuations in the closing market on Friday.
Gold suggestion: Arrange long orders in the 3207-3210 range, stop loss 7 points, target 3250
Gold Wave Analysis – 15 May 2025
- Gold reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 3300.00
Gold recently reversed up from the support zone located between the pivotal support level 3155.00 (former top of the impulse wave 3 from the start of April), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from January.
The upward reversal from the support zone stopped the C-wave of the previous medium-term ABC correction (4) from the middle of April.
Given the clear daily uptrend and the oversold daily Stochastic, Gold can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 3300.00.
Focus on the long-short game at the 3,100 support level.The gold price broke below the 3,200 mark as expected during intraday trading and continued its retracement trend this morning.
With the easing of trade tensions, market anxiety has subsided, and the weakening of risk aversion has led to selling pressure on gold. This phenomenon highlights the significant impact of fundamental factors on the market, though their time-sensitive nature must be noted. In the long term, the overall upward trend of gold is not solely determined by single factors such as tariffs or geopolitical tensions—these elements primarily influence short-term movements. It is worth noting that when the market forms a highly unanimous bearish sentiment, it may instead accumulate momentum for a rebound in gold prices. Although the current market is in a weak correction phase, blind short-chasing remains inadvisable.
A number of key data releases are expected today, and their guiding impact on gold prices requires close attention.
Focus on the validity of the $3,100 support level. If the price stabilizes above this level, a light long position can be considered, with a target of around $3,180.
Currently, as the price has broken below $3,140, be wary of further correction risks, and short positions should flexibly adjust stop-profit and stop-loss levels based on real-time data.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
XAUUSD Analysis today: Unemployment spike? Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold is at low.Gold is touching the low bound of the trendline! You will question about why this will work? Simple answer-bond interest rate is too high. If this has to control down, dollar has to move down, the gold need to move up. There are two cases that dollar will move down. One case is US want export, so cause dollar to go down. Second case is US market is weak and not pretending to be weak, it will lose attraction and move down. Both cases are true on dollar this time. So, gold will go up in my view!
Gold Sell Setup: Bearish Price Action Points to 3092!Hello traders,
I'm currently keeping a close eye on Gold (XAU/USD) for potential short setups. Recent price action shows clear bearish pressure, with Lower Highs (LHs) and Lower Lows (LLs) forming consistently — a strong indication that bulls are losing control and sellers are still in charge.
I'm particularly watching the internal highs around the 3265 zone. I’m anticipating a possible liquidity sweep above that level — a fake breakout that could tap into the daily imbalance zone (highlighted on the chart below). If price reacts bearishly from that area, I’ll be looking for confirmation to go short.
GOLD Daily
My short-term target for this sell idea is around 3092, just below last week's low.
That’s my current perspective on Gold — what are your thoughts?
Feel free to drop your analysis or any alternative views in the comment section below. Let’s learn and grow together!
Can we continue to bet against gold?My article today emphasized that gold may fall below 3200. Sure enough, it did so without hesitation today and fell to around 3175 in the short term. At present, gold has rebounded, and the short-term pressure is around 3200, so you can short at this position.
In the short term, focus on the support near 3160 below. If it falls below, there is still room for gold to fall.