XAUUSD SELL AT SUPPLY ZONE SMART MONEY CONCEPTHere on XAUUSD price form a supply around level of resistance and is likely to move down so trader should go for short with expect profit target of 2738.578 and 2705.835 .Use money management
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold Surges on Tariff Concerns and Global Central Bank Easing Gold neared $2,800 per ounce on Friday, hitting a record high as Trump’s renewed tariff threats fueled demand for safe-haven assets amid trade war fears.
The rally was also supported by dovish central bank policies. The ECB cut rates, the BoC ended quantitative tightening, and the Riksbank eased policy. The PBoC and RBI signaled looser monetary stances. Meanwhile, the Fed held rates steady, reinforcing expectations for two cuts later this year. Gold is on track for its biggest monthly gain since March 2024.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 2800 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 2820 and 2858 consequently. On the downside, 2730 will be the first support level. 2660 and 2630 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
GOLD (NEW HIGH LEVEL & REVERSING)Gold prices are currently stabilizing as market participants remain cautious ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The price is undergoing a correction, approaching the $2,750 support level, which is expected to play a crucial role in determining the next move. If buyers step in at this zone, gold could see a strong rebound, pushing toward $2,789, with a potential breakout to $2,810 if bullish momentum persists.
However, broader market conditions introduce an element of uncertainty. The recent short-covering rally, fueled by concerns over tariffs, drove prices close to all-time highs, but profit-taking has since led to fluctuations. Last week, gold surged 2.6%, nearing its October peak, but has now entered a period of consolidation as traders assess the impact of potential Fed rate cuts and a possible equity market correction.
If gold fails to hold $2,750, the next critical test lies at $2,731. A break below this level would shift momentum, signaling a deeper pullback. Given the volatile macroeconomic landscape, the market remains at a crossroads, waiting for clarity on policy direction before making its next decisive move.
How to Identify Smart Money Moves & Execute High-Probability Tra📊 Mastering Institutional Liquidity & Volume Footprint Trading in Gold (XAU/USD) 🔥
How to Identify Smart Money Moves & Execute High-Probability Trades
📚 Introduction: Understanding Volume Footprint & Institutional Liquidity
Why is Volume Footprint Crucial for Trading?
Volume footprint charts reveal the actual buy and sell pressure at different price levels. Unlike standard candlestick charts, they show:
✔️ Where institutions are placing large orders
✔️ Absorption zones (where smart money accumulates positions)
✔️ Aggressive buying/selling areas (momentum zones)
✔️ Liquidity grabs (where stop-losses get hit to fuel bigger moves)
This analysis will teach you how to read footprint volume data, identify institutional trading zones, and execute high-probability trades in Gold (XAU/USD).
🔍 Step 1: Analyzing Yesterday’s Trading Sessions & Institutional Behavior
1️⃣ Asian Session (Pre-Positioning, Low Volume)
• Market ranged between 2,756 - 2,758 with minimal volatility.
• Institutions were not actively trading, only minor order placement.
• Key observation: Early bid absorption at 2,756, a possible sign of accumulation.
2️⃣ London Session (Volatility Increase, Institutional Pre-Staging)
• Price attempted to break above 2,761, but it was quickly rejected.
• This suggests institutions were building short positions at higher levels (distribution phase).
• Simultaneously, buy orders were still present around 2,756 → this is a liquidity battle zone.
3️⃣ New York Session (📌 Institutional Execution Phase, Highest Volume)
• This session had the most trading volume, meaning smart money was active.
• Major bid absorption at 2,756, showing institutions were accumulating long positions.
• Price spiked to 2,785.82, but heavy selling between 2,761-2,765 occurred.
• Institutions engineered a liquidity grab below before pushing higher → a classic smart money play.
📌 Key Takeaway:
Institutions accumulated liquidity at 2,756, then offloaded positions between 2,761-2,765. This provides insight into tomorrow’s key levels.
——
📊 Step 2: Volume Footprint Analysis (Where Institutions Are Placing Orders)
🔹 Bullish Institutional Liquidity Zones (Smart Money Buy Areas)
• 2,730 - 2,740 → This zone had a strong liquidity grab before a sharp bullish move.
• 2,756 → Heavy buy absorption, meaning institutions are likely defending this level.
🔸 Bearish Institutional Liquidity Zones (Smart Money Sell Areas)
• 2,761 - 2,765 → Strong aggressive selling & rejection, indicating institutions offloaded long positions and started shorting.
📌 Institutional Footprint Clues:
✔️ Buyers Absorbed Supply at 2,756 → This confirms that institutions are accumulating longs.
✔️ Sellers Stepped in Aggressively at 2,761-2,765 → This is the key resistance zone.
✔️ If price returns to 2,756, institutions will likely defend it again.
📅 Step 3: Tomorrow’s Trading Outlook & Price Action Forecast
🔮 Market Bias: Bullish With Resistance at 2,761-2,765
• Institutional behavior suggests buyers are in control, but sellers are active at 2,761-2,765.
• If 2,756 holds, we can expect another push to 2,770-2,780.
• If 2,756 breaks, price may hunt liquidity down to 2,730 before reversing higher.
📍 Key Support & Resistance Levels
• Major Support: 2,756 (Institutional Buy Zone) & 2,730 (Liquidity Grab Area).
• Major Resistance: 2,761-2,765 (Institutional Sell Zone).
• Breakout Target: If 2,765 breaks, price could push toward 2,780+.
——
📈 Step 4: High-Probability Trade Setups for Tomorrow
Scenario 1: Bullish Trade Setup (If 2,756 Holds as Support)
✅ Order Type: Buy Limit @ 2,756
🎯 Take Profit: 2,770 - 2,780
⛔ Stop Loss: 2,748
📊 Confidence Level: 75%
📌 Why? Institutional buying at 2,756 confirms smart money accumulation.
Scenario 2: Bearish Trade Setup (If 2,761 Rejects Again)
✅ Order Type: Sell Limit @ 2,761
🎯 Take Profit: 2,745
⛔ Stop Loss: 2,767
📊 Confidence Level: 70%
📌 Why? Institutions sold heavily at 2,761-2,765, meaning they might do it again.
Scenario 3: Liquidity Grab & Reversal (If 2,756 Breaks Down)
✅ Order Type: Buy Limit @ 2,730
🎯 Take Profit: 2,756 - 2,765
⛔ Stop Loss: 2,720
📊 Confidence Level: 80%
📌 Why? Smart money often triggers stop-hunts before reversing.
———
🚀 Step 5: Execution Strategy & Smart Trading Tips
1️⃣ If price stays above 2,756 → Look for bullish continuation toward 2,770-2,780.
2️⃣ If price breaks below 2,756 → Watch for a liquidity grab at 2,730 before a reversal.
3️⃣ If price tests 2,761 and rejects → Consider a short-term sell opportunity down to 2,745.
🧠 Pro Tip: How to Confirm Institutional Activity Before Entering a Trade
📌 Look for footprint volume confirmation:
✔️ If you see strong bid absorption at 2,756, it’s a strong buy signal.
✔️ If you see stacked sell orders at 2,761, it’s a short confirmation.
✔️ If volume suddenly dries up after a sharp move, it’s often a sign of trend exhaustion.
———
💡 Final Takeaway: How to Use This Information in Your Trading
✅ Understand where institutions are placing big orders.
✅ Trade in alignment with smart money, not against them.
✅ Look for liquidity grab zones before major moves.
✅ Use footprint volume to confirm whether a move is genuine or a trap.
💰 Trade smart. Follow the liquidity. Bank the profits.
📌 If this educational breakdown helped, consider supporting the analysis!
XAUUSD - signalAs it was highly requested we are publishing a signal for XAUUSD. We took adaptive buys due to negative CB Consumer Confidence data was lower than forecast and lower than previous, and due to it’s negative affect on TVC:DXY we are in buys.
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2755
- SL: 2746.531
- TP: 2772.300
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD should see more upside due to negative news for the US dollar.
- XAUUSD is still overall bullish
Happy trading!
FxPocket
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our update form yesterday playing out, as stated.
We completed 2717, 2737 and 2753 with cross and lock confirmation giving us plenty of time to get in for the action all week. 2768 was open yesterday but we stated that we will not chase this now, as a correction is due and we will use our lower Goldturn for support instead inline with our plans to buy dips.
- This played out perfectly, as the gap remained open and we got the correction into the lower Goldturn 2737 for the perfect bounce and reaction with price now heading back up like we analysed.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2717 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2717 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2737 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2737 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2753 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2753 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2768
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2768 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2786
BEARISH TARGETS
2696 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2675
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2675 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2661 - 2647
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2647 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2632 - 2618
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD 4HIn continuation of the previous analysis
Gold Analysis – Bullish Continuation
✅ Main Scenario: The overall trend remains bullish, with potential targets at:
2782
2795.5
2810
2865
📌 Key Note: Sudden reversals and short-term corrections may occur, so risk and trade management are crucial.
🔹 Depending on market volume, the rally could start from current levels or lower support around 2760.
📢 Conclusion: Given the current setup, buy trades remain the preferred option.
📍 "High-precision analysis, amazing results!"
Learn What is Higher High, Higher Low, Lower Low, Lower High
In this educational article, we will discuss the foundation of price action analysis: the concepts of highs and lows.
In order to grasp that concept, you should learn to perceive the price chart as the sequence of zigzags .
Depending on the direction of the market and the shape of these zigzags, its peaks will be called differently. There are 6 types of them that you should learn to recognize.
1️⃣ Equal Highs (EH).
The peaks of bullish moves will be called equal highs, if they perfectly respect the same level (resistance), retracing from that and not managing to break above.
Above is the example of equal highs on Gold chart on a daily.
2️⃣ Equal Lows (EL).
The peaks of bearish moves will be called equal lows, if they perfectly respect the same level (support), bouncing from that and not managing to break below.
Find perfect equal lows on USDCAD on the chart above.
3️⃣ Higher High (HH).
The peak of a bullish move will be called Higher High, if the price manages to violate the previous high after a retracement.
Look at a perfect sequence of higher highs on NZDUSD.
4️⃣ Lower Low (LL).
The peak of a bearish move will be called Lower Low, if the price manages to violate the previous low after a pullback.
Trading in a strong bearish trend, NZDCAD keeps updating lower lows on a daily.
5️⃣ Higher Low (HL).
The peak of a bearish move will be called Higher Low if, after a retracement from the high, the price manages to set a low that is higher than the previous low.
Back to the example on NZDUSD. Not only the price updates the higher highs but also the higher lows.
6️⃣ Lower High (LH).
The peak of a bullish movement will be called Lower High if, after a pullback from the low, the price sets a high that is lower than the previous high.
That's how EURJPY acted on a daily, setting 2 nice lower highs.
Why these terms are so important?
Because, firstly, you can apply them to objectively identify the market trend.
Secondly, all the price action patterns are based on a combination of these highs and lows.
You should learn these terms by heart, and you should learn to perceive the price chart as the sequence of zigzags, with a strict designation of each peak.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart, the price has just fallen from our sell entry level at 2,745.71, which aligns with a pullback resistance level. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup.
Our take profit is set at 2,718.84, near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, a key pullback support level where price may find buying interest.
The stop loss is placed at 2,772.25, above the recent swing high, providing room for price fluctuations while ensuring the bearish setup remains valid.
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Gold 2812 easily reaches 2836, and continues to be bullishGold 2812 easily reaches 2836, and continues to be bullish
Gold, the general trend is as described in the morning analysis. Since the beginning of the year, the price has been rising slowly due to risk aversion, and it has been able to rise after stabilizing at 2726; it broke through the previous high of 2790 to 2817 at the end of last week, and fell back to 2772 on Monday and then broke through the high to 2830. The daily chart structure is strong, and it continues to be bullish before the release of non-agricultural data, and pay attention to whether there will be a turning point after non-agricultural data.
The actual price retreated slightly to 2807 during the day and then rebounded, now reporting 2838, which is in line with expectations. It is strong in all cycles and continues to be bullish tomorrow; short-term support is 2834, strong support is 2830, and there is no obvious resistance above.
In terms of operation, we will take advantage of the trend at 2812 to easily take 2836, and reduce our positions at 2828 for the second time. Today's retracement is mainly long.
2834 Buy
SL 2824
TP 2850
Gold must reach a new all-time highThe current trend of gold resistance is more obvious, there is no news or data catalyst, bulls will not temporarily profit out of the second entry situation, European trading our second starting point in 2840 line, slow Yang rose to 2877 line there is a brief consolidation of momentum, one is temporarily bulls are not ready to impact 2900 intention, The second is the small non-agricultural data is also about to be announced! Hour line and daily line long arrangement is relatively concentrated, the United States if the fall is to adjust the low entry opportunity, if the direct rise then you need to do the implementation of the point layout, the United States or has 2850 for the defense point to continue to be bullish, in February is destined to appear a historical high, the evening continuation of white low ideas! In summary, today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest a callback to do more, rebound short is supplemented, above the short-term focus on 2890-2900 line resistance, below the short-term focus on 2850-2840 line support
GOLD 1H CHART TRADING PLAN FOR THE DAY / READ CAPTIONAnalysis of the 1H Timeframe Chart for Gold (XAU/USD)
Previous Chart Review
The bearish move from the ENTRY LEVEL at 2,796 reached Take Profit 1 (TP1) at 2,778, validating the support at GOLDTURN levels AT 2,778.
GOLDTURN acted as a critical support level, rejecting lower prices and triggering a bullish rebound.
The upward move successfully achieved:
TP1: 2,798 ✅
TP2: 2,807 ✅
TP3: 2,817 ✅
Current Market Structure
Key Resistance Levels:
Supply Zone: 2,830.57 (Highs above TP3)
Bullish targets identified at:
2,837 (TP2)
2,856 (TP3) for extended upward momentum.
Support Levels:
Immediate support: GOLDTURN levels at 2,813
Additional supports:
2,803
2,793
2,783
2,774
Retracement range: 2,732–2,740
EMA Analysis:
The EMA5 (2,815.20) is a key pivot zone, indicating short-term trends:
A break and hold above 2,817 it suggests continuation of bullish momentum.
A break below it signals a possible test of support levels.
Trend Analysis:
Current candles reflect a potential pullback to the 2,813 level.
A bullish continuation above 2,817 could confirm upward momentum toward 2,837 and beyond.
A failure to hold above 2,813 may test lower GOLDTURN levels.
Trading Plan:
Bullish Strategy:
Monitor EMA5 crossing and holding above 2,817 for:
Immediate targets: 2,837, followed by 2,856.
Buy dips at support levels (2,813, 2,803, 2,793) targeting 30–40 pip gains.
Bearish Risks:
Downside triggers include:
EMA5 crossing below 2,817 leading to a test of 2,798.
Sustained moves below 2,798 may target 2,744 and 2,732–2,740.
Range Confirmation:
Await confirmation through a break and lock above/below key levels:
Bullish continuation: Above 2,837.
Bearish momentum: Below 2,813.
Long-Term Outlook
The bullish bias remains intact, with pullbacks offering opportunities to accumulate positions.
Focus remains on risk management by entering at support levels and exiting at predefined targets (20–40 pips per level).
Final Thoughts
Confidence and discipline are essential to navigate market fluctuations effectively.
This structured approach ensures traders are prepared for both bullish and bearish scenarios.
Check out further updates and multi-timeframe for more insights!
Please support us by liking, comments and boosting if you think our analysis is worth it.
The Quantum Trading Mastery
XAUUSD → Will Retrace till 2802-2794 but after hitting 2835Hello Traders!
As gold has made its ATH 2830 which was also a trendline where gold respect that trend line and down now every thinking for retracement but gold will do a breakout till 2835 as gold done on previous trendline
gold can hit 2835 easily before drop to retracement level of 2794, so for now i am bullish till 2835 in that zone i will see a good entry for sell.
Support: 2802
Resistance:2830
Fib Golden Zone: 2794-2796
Liquidity Zone: 2794
Gold will continue its trend after retracement but we need a good entry for sell almost from 2835
AGAIN ATH (2817) Will Gold continue bullish trend?
Hello everybody I hope you are doing well and you had good and profitable week, Today is Friday and the market is about to close.
As you can see gold has created new All Time High (ATH).
Gold low - 2744 and high is 2817
In my view gold will continue the bullish trend and it can make another ATH next week.
There are two zones which gold can touch and continue the bullish trend.
1ST BUY ZONE -2782 to 2772 and 2ND ZONE - 2753 - 2743
Timeframe+Reason
D1 break resistance, Supply, Structure,RBS
H4 break resistance, Structure, RBS, Failed Eng
H1 break supply, RBS, Failed Eng
M30 Break supply, RBS, Failed and Bullish Eng
M15 Break Supply, RBS, bullish Eng
XAU/USD TRADING ANALYSIS RESISTANCE Breakout Watch!🔹 Gold is following the trend line perfectly and approaching a crucial resistance level at $2,785. A breakout could push prices higher!
📍 Trade Setup:
✅ Entry Level : $2,790
✅ Stop Loss : $2,760
✅ Take Profit Targets:
🎯 First Target : $2,800
🎯 Second Target : $2,820
🎯 Third Target : $2,860
⚠️ Risk Management is Key! Stick to your strategy and manage risk wisely.
📊 Follow for live updates and expert insights! 📢
GOLD BUYING SETUP !Gold (XAUUSD) is forming a strong buying setup as bullish momentum builds up. The price is retracing to a key support zone, offering a potential entry for buyers. If the market shows confirmation signs like bullish candlesticks or a breakout, we can expect an upward move.
This setup presents a good risk-to-reward opportunity, but patience is key. Wait for the right entry signal and manage your risk accordingly.
Stay focused and be ready for the next big move! 🔥 #itsalikhaan
Practical Scenarios for GoldSummary and possible scenarios for Friday, January 31:
1. The price is currently in an upward trend within the long-term time frame, aiming for 3000. It has encountered the first resistance range (2795 - 2800). The 2783 level is a good support level for Friday. If a further correction occurs, the strong support levels are at 2771 and 2765.There are expectation is for a reversal from these support levels towards the target of 2830.
2. If the 2795 - 2800 range is broken, there is a possibility of an upward move to 2830.
Gold price analysis February 3⭐️Fundamental Analysis
US President Donald Trump imposed 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, and 10% on China, starting from 05:01 GMT on Tuesday. The reason is to combat illegal immigration and drug trafficking. Canada and Mexico responded with retaliatory tariffs, while China announced it would file a lawsuit at the World Trade Organization (WTO).
Markets reacted negatively, with the S&P 500 down 1.40% in particular, and money flows into the US dollar instead of gold. However, if China retaliates, gold, which is considered an inflation hedge, could rise. Traders will also pay attention to US and Chinese manufacturing PMI data, along with speeches from the Federal Reserve, which could impact gold prices.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold prices were pushed down by sellers around 2777 after hitting an all-time high. The important support of 2765 plays a role in pushing the gold price back to its upward trajectory. When the 2765 zone is broken, pay attention to the next 2 zones around 2746 and 2727. When the uptrend resumes, it will meet the reaction of the sellers around 2791 and the all-time high zone around 2814.
GOLD ROUTE MAP FOR TODAYCurrently, we're analyzing the 1-hour chart of gold with a Bullish BIAS for the day. Our strategy is to wait for the price to pull back into the demand zone, and once we spot a clear bullish reversal confirmation, we'll look to enter a buy trade from there. Patience is key, but the setup looks promising.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analyze or prediction.
#XAUUSD 1H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
GOLD 12H CHART ROUTE MAP ANALYSISHello Traders,
Here’s our 12H chart analysis and target updates:
📌 Previous Chart Review
Key Resistance: Identified 2,790 as a critical resistance level, anticipating a potential reversal.
Buy Signal: Recommended waiting for EMA5 to cross and hold above TP1 (2,745) as confirmation for a bullish move toward TP2 (2,786) & TP3 (2,826).
Dynamic Support: Highlighted the FVG zone (2,745) as a key support area.
📊 Outcome
✅ All targets and entry levels (marked with Golden Circles) were achieved as predicted.
✅ EMA5 crossed above TP1 (2,744), leading to TP2 (2,786) being achieved.
✅ Resistance at 2,790 was broken.
❌ TP3 was nearly reached but reversed after EMA5 failed to cross and hold above TP2 (2,786).
🔍 What’s Next for GOLD?
The daily candle closed above TP2 (2,786), but EMA5 failed to sustain above it.
This suggests a potential short-term reversal.
📉 Key Levels
📌 Support: Strong support expected from the FVG zone and Gold Turn Levels (2,770, 2,745 & 2705).
⚠️ Downside Risks
If EMA5 crosses and holds below 2,770, the next target shifts to 2,745.
If EMA5 crosses and holds below 2,745, the downside extends toward 2,705 (Retracement Range).
📈 Bullish Path
A bounce from support could retest TP2 (2,786) and potentially extend toward TP3 (2,826).
📌 Trading Recommendations
🔹 Short-Term Trades:
Utilize 1H and 4H timeframes to capitalize on dips at Gold Turn Levels, targeting 30–40 pips per trade.
Focus on shorter positions in this range-bound market to navigate volatility.
🔹 Long-Term Bias:
We remain bullish and view pullbacks as buying opportunities.
Buying dips from our marked levels provides better risk management rather than chasing tops.
📢 Final Note
Trade with confidence and discipline—our precise analysis ensures you’re well-equipped to navigate the market. Stay tuned for daily updates and multi-timeframe insights.
Best regards,
📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery
GOLD CURRENT H4 MAPPING ALERT!CURRENT H4 MAPPING ✅
There's two zones valid for us to follow buy, for the qm failed zone is my first confident zone to buy and follow the momentum.
Second buy zone, is the buy for scalping retracement because trust me when price reach second zone trend has been break.
So now let's wait and i will keep update for every market movement
XAUUSD (1H) - Bullish Trend with All-Time HighOANDA:XAUUSD
📶 Technical Analysis:
🟢 Bullish Trend: Since the beginning of the year, Gold has been in a clear bullish trend on the 1-hour chart. The price has been consistently moving between the trendline support and trendline resistance, with multiple breaks and retests of resistance levels.
🟢 Last week, Gold reached a new all-time high of $2,817, marking the peak of the current rally.
🟡 Currently, Gold could face a potential correction towards the trendline support and the 200 MA, which is near the $2,770 level. This zone could act as a key support area where the price might bounce and resume its bullish trend.
🟠 If the trendline support is broken, we may see a limited bearish move, but the overall outlook remains bullish for now, as fundamental factors and economic uncertainty continue to support Gold.
🟢 As long as the trendline support holds, the bullish trend remains intact. The key support to watch is around $2,770, with resistance at the previous all-time high near $2,817.
🆕 Fundamental Analysis:
🟢 President Trump has threatened to impose 100% tariffs on BRICS nations and a 25% tax on goods from Canada and Mexico starting February 1, boosting demand for safe-haven assets like Gold, the Japanese Yen, and US bonds.
🟢 US GDP grew 2.3% in Q4 2024, lower than the expected 2.6%, which has sparked expectations that the Fed might not raise rates anytime soon.
🟢 There are growing concerns about a potential global recession, driven by factors like slowing economic growth, rising inflation, and geopolitical tensions. A recession could lead to weaker consumer demand, business cutbacks, and tighter financial conditions. This could result in a downturn for certain markets and an increased demand for safe-haven assets like Gold.
🔤 Conclusion:
🟢 Bullish Outlook for Gold: I remain bullish on Gold and am watching for a correction on the 1H chart, potentially around key support levels.
🟢 Support Levels: Look for bullish signals near these support levels, especially around the $2,770 zone, where the trendline and 200 MA could act as strong support.
🟠 Trend Breakout: A breakout of the trendline could signal a limited bearish movement, but as of now, the overall outlook remains bullish.
🟡 Economic Monitoring: Pay close attention to economic factors like GDP growth, inflation, and unemployment data, as these are crucial for defining future expectations and potential market shifts.
GOLD Gold
Gold prices dipped slightly after the Fed kept its policy unchanged, as expected.
Bulls maintain the technical advantage, with key resistance at $2,800 and support at $2,750.
