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GOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

GOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

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XAUUSDK trade ideas

XAUUSD - Intraday Sell OpportunityGold shows a strong intraday rejection from a clearly defined supply zone (marked in green) between 3351.80 and 3354.89. Price is currently reacting and showing signs of exhaustion near resistance. 🧠 Smart Money Concept in Play: A liquidity sweep already occurred at the top. Aggressive wicks into the supply zone, followed by immediate rejection, signal potential institutional sell interest. Price is currently consolidating below minor resistance (blue line ~3348). 📌 Trade Setup: 🔻 Bias: Short/Sell 💼 Entry: Below 3348 (confirmed rejection) 🛑 Stop Loss: Above 3355 🎯 Target Zone: 3320 and lower 📉 RR: Strong potential for 1:3+ ⚠️ Note: This setup favors scalpers and intraday traders. Watch for confirmation (e.g., M5/M15 candle close below 3346). Avoid entering blindly — let the structure break and retest. 💬 What's your take? Will Gold drop toward the 3320s or break through the resistance? Let's see how price reacts in the next 15 minutes! #Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #Scalping #IntradayTrading #SupplyAndDemand #LiquidityGrab #SmartMoney #ForexAnalysis #LiveChart #TradingSetup #BearishBias
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ansarionline
Gold Hits New ATH Amid Escalating US–China Tensions📌 Gold Hits New ATH Amid Escalating US–China Tensions: How Far Can It Go? 🧨📈 Gold has reached another all-time high (ATH) as geopolitical tensions between the United States and China intensify. Markets have become incredibly sensitive, reacting sharply to political rhetoric and economic policy shifts from the world’s most powerful leaders. As investors grow increasingly uneasy, gold continues to serve its role as a safe haven — but the real question now isn't whether gold will rise, but rather: how high can it go? 🌍 Geopolitical Sensitivity at its Peak A single tariff threat or retaliation can trigger gold to surge by $30–$50. Conversely, a pause in policy or a diplomatic “cool down” can cause price to drop hundreds of points. In this environment, political narratives are driving markets more than technical setups. This is one of those rare moments where fundamentals and news flow completely overshadow traditional chart signals. Even textbook candle confirmations are losing reliability — clean bullish closures are often followed by equally strong bearish rejections. 📊 Key Levels to Watch Support Zones: 3,280 / 3,268 / 3,258 / 3,240 / 3,230 Resistance Zones: 3,292 / 3,302 / 3,310/ 3330 ⚙️ Trading Zones 🔽 Sell Zone: Entry: 3,330 – 3,332 SL: 3,336 TP: 3,325 → 3,320 → 3,315 → 3,310 → 3,300 📈 Buy Zone #1: Entry: 3,270 – 3,268 SL: 3,264 TP: 3,274 → 3,278 → 3,282 → 3,286 → 3,290 → 3,300 📈 Buy Zone #2: Entry: 3,240 – 3,238 SL: 3,234 TP: 3,245 → 3,250 → 3,255 → 3,260 → 3,264 → 3,268 → 3,274 → 3,280 → OPEN ⚠️ Final Thoughts & Risk Advisory With geopolitical tensions rising and volatility surging, trading gold requires extra caution. Avoid chasing momentum blindly — even strong confirmations can flip without warning. This is a market driven by emotions, news headlines, and global uncertainty, not just technicals. Always stick to your trading plan, and more importantly: respect your SL/TP at all times. 💬 How are you approaching gold in this macro environment? Share your views below – are you holding long or fading the rallies? 👇👇👇
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
XAU/USD Price Action Update – April 21, 2025📊XAU/USD Price Action Update – April 21, 2025 🔹Current Price: 3,382.470 🔹Timeframe: 1H 📌Key Demand Zones (Support): 🟢3349–3358 – Fresh Breaker Block Zone (price currently reacting) 🟢3384–3392 – Strong Demand Zone (previous rejection area) 🟢3237–3245 – Intermediate Demand Zone 🟢3193–3205 – Major Demand Zone (watch for bullish SMC pattern) 🟢3139–3169 – High-Value Institutional Demand Zone (last line of defense) 📌Key Supply Zone (Resistance): 🔴3430.491 – Immediate Resistance (highlighted on chart) 📈Bullish Scenario: Price has broken above previous highs and is now consolidating above 3384. If we hold above 3358–3349, we could see bullish continuation toward the 3430 area. A clean break and close above 3430.491 can open the door for further upside. 📉Bearish Scenario: If price fails to sustain above 3358, we might retest 3384 or even dip into 3237–3245 for a deeper mitigation. Look for bearish price action around the 3430 resistance zone for potential short setups. ⚡Trading Tip: ✅Look for rejections or confirmation candles in key supply/demand zones ✅Track price structure and BOS/CHoCH for entry confirmation ✅Maintain solid RR and risk management rules #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #ForexTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #LiquidityZones #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldBulls #GoldBears #BreakOfStructure #ForexSignals #FXFOREVER #ScalpingSetups
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FXFOREVER_87
XAUUSD Gold Is Surging: Technical / Macro Analysis & Trade IdeaHey traders! Let’s break down the current price action on Gold (XAUUSD) using both Wyckoff and ICT concepts, and tie it all together with the latest macroeconomic context. 🚀✨ Wyckoff Methodology: Looking at the 4H chart, we see a classic accumulation phase that transitioned into a strong markup. The recent price action shows a clear spring (liquidity sweep) below previous lows, followed by a sharp bullish move—this is textbook Wyckoff manipulation, where smart money grabs liquidity before driving price higher. The current rally suggests we’re in the markup phase, with demand overwhelming supply. ICT Concepts: Liquidity Zones: The chart shows a sweep of liquidity below the recent consolidation, trapping late sellers before a powerful bullish displacement. This is a classic ICT move—liquidity engineered and then swept. Displacement: The large bullish candle breaking above the previous range signals a market structure shift (MSS) to the upside. This is a strong sign of bullish intent. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): The impulsive move up has likely left a fair value gap (imbalance) between 3335 and 3385.50. Price may retrace to fill this gap before continuing higher. Market Structure: The break above the previous swing high confirms a bullish market structure. As long as price holds above the 3335-3340 zone (50% retracement), the bullish bias remains intact. Technical Trade Setups: Bullish Scenario: Look for a retracement into the 50-61.8% Fibonacci zone (3335-3323) for potential long entries. If price forms a bullish rejection or bullish engulfing pattern here, it could be a high-probability setup targeting the recent high (3385.50) and the next extension at 3436. Bearish Scenario: If price fails to hold above 3335 and closes below 3320, we could see a deeper retracement toward 3284 (100% retracement) or even lower, but this is less likely given the current momentum. Market Sentiment: Bullish 🟢 – The strong displacement, liquidity sweep, and market structure shift all point to bullish sentiment. Buyers are in control, and any pullbacks into the FVG or key fib levels are likely to be bought up. Macroeconomic & Fundamental Drivers: Gold’s rally is being fueled by several key factors: CPI & Inflation: Recent CPI data shows persistent inflation, increasing demand for gold as an inflation hedge. Interest Rate Expectations: The market is pricing in potential rate cuts by the Fed later this year, weakening the USD and supporting gold. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing global tensions (e.g., Middle East, Ukraine) are driving safe-haven flows into gold. USD Strength: Any signs of USD weakness further boost gold’s appeal. Summary & Trade Plan: Gold is in a strong bullish phase after a classic liquidity sweep and market structure shift. Watch for retracements into the 3335-3320 zone for potential long setups, with targets at 3385 and 3436. Stay alert for any macro news that could impact sentiment, but for now, the bulls are in control! 🏆📈 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony
1
XAUUSD 1H, 12/04/2025.XAU/USD Directional Trade Setup - Entry Point: Ensure the trade is executed only at the designated entry level. Patience is key to maximizing the setup's potential. - Stop-Loss (SL): Strictly adhere to the stop-loss. Exiting on a close below the specified SL level is essential to protect capital and manage risk. - Take-Profit (TP): This setup offers a minimum risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3, so it's critical to trail the take-profit level as the trade progresses. Trailing TP ensures you lock in profits while giving the trade room to grow. Note: This analysis is shared purely for informational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk responsibly and make decisions aligned with your trading strategy.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by The_Analytics_Waves
On April 21st, gold bottomed out and rebounded, making a deep diIn the short-term trend, the pullback on Thursday halted at 3,284 and did not reach the vicinity of the support level of 3,245, which was converted from the previous high as we had predicted. Thus, the support level can be shifted upwards to 3,285. Regarding the upper resistance, attention should be paid to the suppression situation of the historical high at 3,357. If the news over the weekend, especially the statements regarding the trade conflicts and those from Trump, continue to prompt the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, it will significantly increase the probability of a rise in the price of gold. From a comprehensive analysis perspective, it is still recommended to focus on going long on pullbacks for the trading operations next week. As for the entry points, the first one is at 3,310. This level serves as a stepped support level for the high-level pullback and also as a retracement point during the rebound. Therefore, it can be used as an entry point to bet on an upward movement. Mainly focus on the suppression at the high point of 3,357 above. If the price continues to break through this level, it is expected that the price can reach up to 3,509. If your current gold trading performance is not satisfactory and you hope to avoid detours in your investment, you are welcome to communicate and exchange ideas with us!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HilaryBloomer
Wait for the correction before going long on gold!This is what I've said last week in my outlook: next week we could see a correction and more upside for this pair. And I drew an arrow for the target. Now check the chart. This is the power of wave analysis in combination with liquidity sweeps and FVG's! For next week we could see a little more upside (finish grey wave 3) and after that a bigger correction for (grey) wave 4. Let's see what price does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish. After an impulse wave and a small correction down on a lower time frame you could trade (short term) longs.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ram-Karavadra
4.21 Latest Gold Trend Analysis Strategy: Analysis of Key Influencing Factors Risk-averse sentiment supports The escalation of Sino-US trade frictions and concerns about global economic recession continue to stimulate risk-averse demand, and gold remains attractive as a safe-haven asset. If the geopolitical or trade situation deteriorates further, gold prices may hit new highs. Fed policy expectations Despite strong US retail data and Powell's "no rate cut for the time being" signal, the market is still betting on a possible rate cut in June (CME FedWatch tool shows a probability of about 50%), and the dollar's upside is limited, which supports gold. Technical overbought and divergence The daily and H4 cycles show a top divergence signal, and there is a need for a correction in the short term. The historical high of 3357 may form a period of pressure. The Good Friday holiday on Friday may lead to some longs taking profits, and we need to be wary of fluctuations caused by insufficient liquidity. Technical points and operation strategies Key support and resistance Upper resistance: 3315-3325 (short-term pressure zone), 3357 (historical high) Lower support: 3280-3270 (first target of callback), 3230-3200 (strong support zone) Operation ideas Short-term callback long opportunities If it stabilizes in the 3280-3270 area (0.5 Fibonacci retracement level + previous low support), you can lightly position long orders, stop loss below 3250, and target 3310-3320. Steady strategy: wait for the price to break through 3325 and then confirm the callback before following up with long orders, with a target of 3350. High-level short-selling opportunities If it rebounds to the 3315-3325 area under pressure and there are stagflation signals (such as long upper shadows, hourly MACD dead cross), you can try short orders, stop loss above 3335, and target 3280-3270. Aggressive strategy: If it falls below 3270 directly, you can chase the short position to 3230, but you need to enter and exit quickly. Breakout follow-up strategy Break above 3357: Wait for a pullback to 3340 to go long, with a target of 3380-3400. Breaking below 3270: Pay attention to the support of 3230. If it stabilizes, you can backhand long orders; if it continues to fall below, the trend will turn bearish. Risk warning Liquidity risk: After the market closed on Friday, there may be a gap on Monday, so you need to be cautious in holding positions. Data and events: Next week, focus on US GDP, PCE inflation data and speeches by Fed officials. If the economic data is stronger than expected, it may strengthen the expectation of "delaying interest rate cuts", which is bearish for gold. Divergence correction: The technical top divergence may trigger a rapid correction, and strict stop loss is required to avoid carrying orders. Summary Next week, gold is likely to show a trend of high-level fluctuations-correction-and then choose the direction. The main idea is to go long at a low level after the correction, but be wary of technical correction risks. Short-term traders need to flexibly switch between long and short positions, while medium and long-term investors can wait for a pullback to the 3230-3200 area to place long orders. It is recommended to control the position within 5% and set a stop loss protection.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Isabella_Sophiab
Gold for week 20-25 April trade plan With fundamental of trade war and Jerome Powell news. There are many uncertainties in the market. High volatility is going to be expected however trade precaution is highly advised for my personal trade. Base on technical with assistance of fibo from previous structure breakout what I saw was gold manage to reach area of 2.618. however, a strong rejection was present that pushes it close to 1.618 as a current support. Undeniably gold is way over bought and price is considerably expensive. But that does not mean that gold could not goes even higher as the last break of structure and strong push gold has the potential still to climb up to 4.236 base on fibo and the area of 3420-3439 but first it needs to settle the current resistance of 3357. So, what can happen on Monday and what does I want to look for if to buy for gold. 1. For continuation at the current market price of 3325 would gold give a push higher and break the last H1 supply. If happens I know I would be able to have a good 200-300pips to retest the ATH. So, I would take a precautioned buy trade of pullback and close TP range with 1:2 RR. Plus 20% position open TP. 2. If gold make a pullback to the cmp weak support and then only to break above similar trade as above I would take. So, what does I want to look for if to sell for gold. 1. If gold able to utilise the current fbo sell and break below 3309. Then only I will take a continuation sell trade with similar strategy trade plan range and RR at the nearest SBR of m5/m15. So, means it needs to provide a new support pullback and then enter. Max target of this sell I target up to 3285-90 extension 3270 and 3230. The moment close to this area I should start monitoring if any change of character to have the bullish bias again or not. As bullish is still in bias. Another possibility that I need to prepared and I hope it would not happen as its really not easy to identify if it’s going to make a temporary sideways between 3280-3360. However if this happens then I would look for buys and sells after buys and sells signals appear only in m30 and above candle. To sell slightly lower then 3360 after a rejection confirmed or to buy slightly higher then 3280 after a rejection confirm. So that the game plan for next week
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HAN_Simply_Trade
Gold - Chasing Parabolas is Hard to DoThere's a quote from legendary investor John Templeton that goes like this: "The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy, and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell." This is contrarian, of course, but there's also a lot to it if we try to unwrap it. But first I want to start off even broader than that. I try to often remind myself of just how uncertain the future is and just how pointless it is to try to predict. It can be hard, to be sure, especially if you're around the business of speculation. But, spend a long enough time and see enough 'sure things' turn out to be disappointments or backfires, and I think it becomes a bit simpler. I don't look at analysis as predictive. I look at it as probabilistic. But even then those probabilities will have a degree of uncertainty because that future will always be vulnerable for some type of surprise. My aim instead is to seek out the prospect of asymmetry; ways to risk a dollar in order to make two, or possibly three. In analysis, I largely lean technical because I tend to think that most of the 'known knowns' get priced-in fairly quickly and pretty well. Perhaps there is some edge in there somewhere, but my information flow isn't great enough to allow me to have an inside angle against investment banks. While I do think that fundamentals get priced-in fairly well I do not think that markets are perfectly efficient as there is a clear process of price discovery. The chart, however, is a pretty clear depiction of where price has moved and I don't need to concern myself as much for the reasons as to 'why,' if I can focus enough on the 'what.' I think there are two tenets of technical analysis that are of importance: A) Trends exist, and there's often a reason for them. and B) Support and Resistance can mark inflection points in a market, because trends do not price in linearly. It's the higher-lows that show you bulls' response to pullbacks and that's what really allows for that next higher-high to show up. It's a clear illustration of shifting sentiment, shown perfectly on the chart. And this is what takes us back to that quote from Mr. John Templeton... It's when price is forming those highs that we tend to get most excited. Because we can see it - visually - with our own eyes, that trend or bias showing up in real-time. This is when we might get FOMO coursing through us, compelling us to buy even if it doesn't seem smart, even if we haven't thought about 'what if,' even if we haven't entertained the very rational idea that 'this may not last forever.' It's just part of the human condition, really, and it's why a lot of retail traders end up buying tops as they let their excitement get the better of them. Now, Mr. Templeton said the best time to buy is the time of maximum pessimism and that leans very contrarian. And taken to an extreme, this can be an excuse to fade every move that shows up or every breakout that takes place, and that can be a painful way to go about matters. But, there may be a way to hedge that statement in a trend-riding basis as saying the optimal time to establish longs is when the prospect of a reversal has started to rise. Or, to put otherwise, it's when that excitement isn't coursing on a fresh breakout; and instead, after a pullback that has shown that the trend is not infallible. It's when the uber bulls couldn't imagine anything other than continued rip in the trend grow silent, instead fearing that they may get caught holding longs from a top. In gold the market has been ripping higher for more than a year. But when it seemed most quiet was when it was most opportunistic, such as the bull pennant that brewed in Q4, or the pullbacks that have shown up along the way. We had one of those a couple of weeks ago and it started to seem as though a larger reversal could take hold. But - a clean support hold at 2956 was followed by a doji on the daily chart - and then bulls crowded back in to rush up to another fresh all-time-high. Again, on Monday of this week another pullback showed up, this time a slighter move with price tilting down to 3200. But bulls responded in a big way and then ran another fresh all-time-high just a day later. Now, eventually one of these pullbacks could extend and turn into a multi-week or perhaps even multi-month type of event, similar to the Q4 triangle that made up the pennant. But, at this stage that bullish trend that has taken on a parabolic nature continues to press and there's no indication yet that it's over. There remains support potential and this can be followed for pullback setups. The closest zone is the 3245-3250 area, and if this price comes into play and bulls come in to hold lows around that prior resistance, this could be an illustration of a building higher-low. Below that, 3150-3167 is of interest, as this was resistance earlier in April and, to date, hasn't shown much for support. And below that, there's 3050-3057 which was a point of resistance that also hasn't yet shown as support. Even the 3k handle can be considered as the April lows rest around the spot of prior resistance, from the March highs, at 2956. With a trend that's been this one-sided there's a lot of room for possible profit taking; but it's not until there's been a clearer shift of sentiment that we can say that the trend is dead. Does this mean that we'll be able to predict anything? Because the trick of Mr. Templeton's quote is that predicting 'maximum pessimism' or 'maximum optimism' is just as pointless as trying to predict price. Because it is price itself that will denominate that sentiment! If price continues to tank then, yeah, people are going to get more and more pessimistic and that does not mean that it's automatically a great time to buy (nor sell)! No, but waiting for pullbacks in clear trends is a way to take a risk-efficient approach towards speculation, while trying to keep our own emotions in check and allowing for us to stick to a plan. Which, for a trader, is one of the more pragmatic ways that one can go about the endeavor of speculation. James Stanley
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
Gold Quarterly Shift Analysis - April 2025This post is based on my learnings from #ICT Quarterly Shift Analysis teachings. ---------------------------------------------- Previous Analysis: In September 2024, I published my quarterly shift analysis for #Gold. Back then, I estimated a shift in the market structure for Gold on or around the US Presidential Election date. It happened exactly as outlined. I estimated Gold would make a bearish move or create a large range; it indeed created a large range and has been moving within the range since then. The top of the range is 2790.10, and the bottom of the range is 2536.60. Then I posted a new Quarterly Shift Analysis on 13 Jan 2025. I specified the time window for a shift in the market structure to happen, and price indeed delivered as outlined. I said that between the 20th and 31st of January, Gold would determine its new direction. On 30 Jan 2025, Gold created a new all-time high and closed a strong daily candle above the range described before. Gold hit and exceeded all the targets outlined in my analysis. ------------------------------------------------------- New Quarterly Shift Analysis: As we get closer to the end of April, Gold seems to be in a rush to make new highs and hit new targets. I believe that from the end of April to the 2nd of May 2025, Gold can hit $3411 and possibly $3498 or $3500. If it's too aggressive, $3582 can also be reached. Between 30 April and 02 May (NFP Announcement Date), Gold should make a new quarterly shift. The possible scenarios are as follows: 1. Continuation: Gold could make a retracement and then continue the current uptrend for the next 3–4 months. The retracement could go as deep as 3180, 3068 and 2982. The uptrend targets will be the targets mentioned above plus 3618 and 3738. 2. Enter a long-term range (My guess is this is the most likely scenario): Gold could enter a new long-term range for the next 3–4 months. The bottom of the range will be 2958, and the top of the range will be the highest high created by Gold by or before 30 April to 2nd of May. If this scenario happens, it is a good chance to look for sell opportunities near or within the top 25% level of the range and look for buy opportunities near or within the bottom 25% level of the range. 3. Bearish Move: If Gold closes a strong daily candle below 2958, then for the next 3–4 months, it could go lower towards 2832, 2790, 2728, and 2662. This scenario might not be highly likely, but in the event if it happens, it's a wonderful opportunity for long-term Gold investors to buy and hold Gold. ----------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer: This is not a signal, just an analysis for your consideration and benefit. Please combine it with your own analysis.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by DastanKarim
Gold Hits Fibonacci 3.618! What’s Next?GOLD (XAU/USD) Quick Analysis – April 2025 Gold just surged to $3,329/oz, reaching the Fibonacci 3.618 extension around $3,338 🚀 The trend remains strongly bullish, but the price is now extended far above key moving averages – signaling potential exhaustion. Key Levels: Support: $2,856 (Fibo 2.618) Next Resistance: $3,635 (Fibo 4.236) 🧭 Outlook: As long as price holds above $2,856 → the bullish structure remains intact 🎯 Strategy: Wait for a healthy pullback → buy the dip near support Or enter on a breakout-retest above $3,338 for potential continuation
TVC:GOLD
by yrizkiakbar
Markets next move will depend on its interaction with Key LevelsGold Analysis MSS & FVG+Breaker Zone Gold has given an MSS (Market Structure Shift) and touched the FVG+Breaker Zone, followed by a downward move. Given the current market structure, potential areas to watch for a stop and potential upside pump could be: Possible Downside Targets: 1. $3321 liquidity level 2. Higher Time Frame (HTF) PD Arrays Potential Upside Pump If the market reaches these areas, we might see a pump upwards, driven by liquidity and market structure. Key Levels to Watch: - $3321 liquidity level - HTF PD Arrays Market Direction The market's next move will depend on its interaction with these key levels. A potential bounce from these areas could signal an upside pump. Let's monitor the market's movement and adjust our analysis accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Peter_Wade
XAU/USD – Bullish Price Action Setup (April 16, 2025)📊 XAU/USD – Bullish Price Action Setup (April 16, 2025) 🔹 Current Price: 3290 🔹 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) 🔹 Bias: Buy on Dips (No Shorts) 🎯 Key Demand Zones for Long Entries 🟢 3269 – 3272 → Minor Demand (Quick Scalp Zone) 🟢 3256 – 3259 → Intermediate Demand (Higher-Probability Bounce) 🟢 3243 – 3246 → Major Demand (Best Risk-Reward for Swing Longs) ⚠️ Caution Avoid chasing price above 3300 without a pullback. If demand zones break without recovery, wait for deeper support (e.g., 3230-3240). #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #BuyTheDip #PriceAction #DemandZones #RiskManagement #April16
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FXFOREVER_87