Safe-haven sentiment leads to gold price rise again
💡Message Strategy
Gold prices continued to climb, breaking through the $3,300 mark in the Asian session, continuing the upward trend of the past three weeks. The recent deterioration of the US fiscal situation has caused market concerns, and Moody's downgrade of the US sovereign credit rating last week became the fuse.
At the same time, the market's bets on further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2025 have increased, causing the US dollar index to fall to a two-week low, providing continued buying momentum for gold.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart, the gold price has closed positive for three consecutive days and broke through the key resistance zone of $3250-3260, which was previously the 200-day moving average, and the technical side has formed an effective breakthrough.
The current price is stable above $3300, and the short-term bullish momentum is sufficient. If the current trend continues, it will be expected to challenge the $3365-3370 area, and further break through or point to the $3400 integer mark.
On the downside, the initial support level of gold price is at $3250. If it fails, it will test the previous breakthrough of $3250-3255. The second is the $3230-3235 area.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 3250-3255
Short Position:3315-3320
XAUUSDK trade ideas
The latest gold operation strategyFrom a technical perspective, gold has been strong recently. Spot gold closed at $3,289.54 per ounce on Tuesday, and further broke through $3,300 in early trading on Wednesday, reaching a high of $3,304.06, a new high in more than a week. In the short term, gold prices need to break through the key resistance level of $3,370 to open up further upside space; $3,150 has formed a solid support below. If there are new variables in the geopolitical situation or economic data, gold prices may even challenge the $3,400 mark. Based on the current trend, the trading idea on Wednesday is clear: wait for the price to fall back and continue to intervene in long orders around 3,300, and maintain a bullish strategy.
Gold is recommended to go long in the 3300-3305 area, stop loss at 3292, target at 3315-3330
Gold on miraculous recoveryTechnical analysis: Downtrend sequence on DX is what pushed Gold's value Lower as well aggressively while the Intra-day semi uptrend on Gold is what Buyers were expecting and planning ahead. #3,300.80 psychological mark is the next Technical Support on Daily chart and Naturally as long as it holds, the bias is upwards towards the #3,327.80 Resistance (and vice-versa if Support fractal is to be tested). If #3,300.80 is invalidated, Sellers will extend their momentum towards the #3,275.80 - #3,285.80 Symmetrical Support belt level (many similarities with April / June Low’s).
My position: If you took my #3,252.80 benchmark break-out to the upside call you are in excellent Profit by now. I have closed all my Buying orders and especially I am satisfied with Scalp Buying orders from #3,275.80 towards #3,282.80 - #85.80 multiple times. Keep in mind that as long as #3,300.80 benchmark holds, bias is to the upside with #3,327.80 Resistance in extension. Trade accordingly.
Gold Completes A Correction Within Bullish TrendGold made another sharp leg to the upside in first half of April, even showed some accelerating price action away from the 3,000 level. This suggests it might have been part of wave three when looking at the Daily and 4-hour time frame, so there can be more upside within a much more extended impulse structure. Possibly already now after blue wave four consolidation shows first signs of a bottom near 3120. Notice that pullback from recent high is in three legs, while price recovered out of wave (C) channel, so looks like new recovery is in the cards.
GOLD LONG LIVE TRADE AND BREAKDOWN 11K PROFITGold price awaits acceptance above $3,300 as buyers return
Gold price is extending its upswing into the third consecutive day in Asian trading on Wednesday. Buyers look to regain the $3,300 on a sustained basis amid persistent US Dollar weakness and heightened geopolitical tensions.
GOLD (XAUUSD) Setting Up for a Bullish Breakout | Demand ZoneGold has been consolidating within a clear range, but price action is now hinting at a possible explosive breakout. After a strong rejection from the 3,090–3,124 demand zone, bulls have regained control and are pushing toward the 3,287 resistance.
We’re seeing a classic accumulation pattern, with higher lows forming around a major volume node. This is also supported by the Supply and Demand Visible Range , highlighting intense historical interest in the current range.
Key Technical Levels:
Major Demand Zone: 3,090 – 3,124 (strong institutional interest)
Short-Term Support: 3,199
Breakout Resistance: 3,287 (multiple rejection wicks seen)
Target Zone / Supply Area: 3,410
Invalidation: Below 3,090 (if price closes beneath, bullish bias ends)
Trade Setup (1H Timeframe):
Entry Zone: 3,200–3,220
Target: 3,410
Stop Loss: Below 3,090
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.5R
Technical Confluences:
Strong demand zone marked by LuxAlgo’s Visible Range
Price bouncing off a key structure support
MACD and RSI on lower timeframes showing early bullish divergence (not visible here but recommended to confirm)
Low volatility squeeze = potential expansion move ahead
Macro Context:
Traders anticipating upcoming USD news (interest rate decisions or inflation data). If the dollar weakens, gold could surge.
Watch for US market session on May 21–23 for possible breakout volatility.
Strategy:
I’m personally waiting for a clean break and close above 3,287 with volume to confirm entry. If that happens, the path toward 3,410 opens up fast.
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What’s your take? Are you positioning long, or do you see a fakeout brewing? Drop your analysis below!
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#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #TradingView #SwingTrade #LuxAlgo #SupplyDemand #Breakout #PriceAction #SmartMoney #VolumeProfile #RiskReward #MarketStructure #USD #TechnicalAnalysis
Gold price may fall to 3150 points todayGold price may fall to 3150 points today
Key technical points
Support level:
Short term: 3206-3210 US dollars (intraday low and psychological barrier).
Medium term: 3198-3200 US dollars (weekly trend line support).
Resistance level:
Above: 3245-3250 US dollars (high pressure area 4 hours ago).
Key breakthrough target: 3266 US dollars (upper track of daily Bollinger band).
Intraday short strategy: short at highs near 3245-3250
Target: 3220-3200 US dollars, stop loss set above 3260.
Intraday long strategy: stabilize in the 3200-3210 range, long at low prices
Target: 3245-3266 US dollars, stop loss set below 3190.
Macro strategy:
My view is based on a 4-hour cycle. Macro bearish gold prices to 3150. Try to short at high prices.
Fundamentals: The situation in the Middle East has escalated: Israel launched a large-scale ground offensive against Gaza, exacerbating the risk of regional conflict, while Trump's Middle East schedule has not clearly released a signal of easing, and the market is worried that the conflict may spread.
Russia-Ukraine negotiations are deadlocked: Russia-Ukraine negotiations failed to reach an agreement, Putin only sent a low-level delegation to attend the meeting, and Ukrainian President Zelensky expressed dissatisfaction with the progress of the negotiations. Geopolitical uncertainty supports the safe-haven properties of gold.
Moody's downgraded the US credit rating: The US sovereign credit rating was downgraded from "AAA" to "Aa1", triggering a surge in US bond yields (30-year yields exceeded 5%), and the US dollar credit premium was weakened, which indirectly benefited gold as an alternative asset.
Fed policy and economic data game
Interest rate cut expectations diverge: Although the weak US PPI data (down 0.5% month-on-month) and the slowdown in retail sales growth (0.1%) have strengthened expectations for interest rate cuts, Fed official Bostic stressed that more data is needed to support policy adjustments, and the probability of interest rate cuts this year is still low (the probability in June is 8.3%). The US dollar index rebounded to around 100.63, suppressing gold prices.
Stagflation risks loom: US GDP shrank by 0.3% month-on-month in the first quarter, but consumer spending remained resilient, and the contradiction between rising inflation expectations and slowing economic growth intensified, highlighting the anti-inflation properties of gold.
Trade policy and market sentiment
China-US tariff easing: Both sides partially canceled additional tariffs, and short-term risk appetite rebounded, but Trump plans to impose new tariffs on many countries in the next two weeks, and the market's concerns about repeated trade frictions remain.
Central bank demand for gold purchases weakened: Gold ETF holdings fell to the lowest level since March (SPDR holdings 918 tons), reflecting a cooling of short-term risk aversion, but long-term central bank gold purchases (more than 1,000 tons in 2024) and weaker US dollar credit still provide support.
Upward pullbackGold has been facing selling pressure all week, but may have found some bullish growth heading into the coming week. The commodity managed to find bullish pressure (potentially) from the 3154 zone, which was previously resistance, turning into support. This may lead to an upward move to the nearby resistance at 3250. If the upward pressure stabilises above 3250, price action may continue to grow. Conversely, if price action stabilises under the 3250 barrier, a bearish outlook may be favourable.
3202 Buy and see reboundGold, the price fell to 3120 on Thursday and then rebounded, and boosted by the market's risk aversion sentiment, it rose to 3252 overnight, and the trend continuity is poor; the daily chart recorded a real big sun, and it will maintain a wide range of fluctuations in the short term, waiting for the results of the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations;
First fell back, now reported 3207; short-term decline and rebound showed a signal of stopping the decline, and a rebound and consolidation are expected in the evening; short-term support 3202, strong support 3192-3186; short-term resistance 3214-3218, strong resistance 3224-3230, break to see 3252;
In terms of operation, it is recommended to try to buy in the short term;
Strategy 1: Buy near 3202, protect 3192, target 3242;
Gold Trading Strategy For Next Monday📊Gold fluctuated violently on Thursday and Friday this week, with the market showing a fluctuating pattern of sharp rises and falls for two consecutive days, and the difficulty of trading increased significantly. In particular, the strong rise on Thursday and the rapid give-up of gains on Friday caused both bulls and bears to suffer repeated torture in the short term. The rhythm of the current market has changed, showing the characteristics of "no continuation every other day and lack of entry opportunities during the trading session", and more cautious operations are required.
1. Market Review and Technical Structure Analysis
📊On Friday, gold continued to fall sharply after hitting Thursday's high of 3252, with the daily line closing with a large real negative line, a drop of nearly $100, and fell to 3152 to stabilize. This position is exactly the 0.786 retracement of the previous 3120-3250 increase, and the technical support effect is evident.
📊On the hourly chart, the continuous rise of positive lines on Thursday showed obvious bullish trend momentum, while on Friday, a continuous oscillation and decline pattern was formed, showing a typical V-shaped reversal-top-building and decline trend. At present, the price of gold has fallen to the vicinity of the lower track of the previous channel and has gained initial support in the area of 3152. There is a high probability that there will be a second bottoming process in the future, and it may even set a new low to form a "secondary low point" to test the strength of buying.
2. Analysis of key technical prices
🔴The upper resistance level: 3230-3250, which is the previous high pressure zone. If the short-term bulls cannot stand above this range, it will be difficult to reopen the upward space. The 3210-3212 line below it is an important short-term counter-pressure position. If the rebound is blocked here, it will continue to confirm that the shock pattern has not been broken.
🟢Support below: 3150-3120, of which: 3152 is the 0.786 retracement level, which is also the key support point in the previous period; 3140-3120 is the support range of the lower track of the channel. If it effectively falls below this area, it will open up further room for decline to 3080-3050.
3. Market trends and trading strategies next week
🟠Main idea: Treat it as range oscillation, mainly long on pullbacks, supplemented by short on rebounds.
🔶Short-term long order strategy:
🔰If the gold price falls back to the 3150-3140 area and stabilizes, you can consider entering long orders at a low level;
🔰Conservatives can wait for the gold price to confirm that it is above 3153 before entering the market;
🔰Stop loss is recommended to be set below 3142. This position is a key defensive position. If it is lost three times, it will no longer be a bottom-fishing.
🔷Short-term short order strategy:
🔰If the gold price rebounds to 3210-3212 or 3230-3250 and encounters resistance, you can try to short with a light position;
Note that short positions are only used as a means of game play at the top of the shock, and be careful of "forced short pull-up" during the rebound.
🔰The mid-term thinking remains unchanged: the mid-term long positions deployed in the 3120-3140 line in the early stage continue to be held, and the target is still the 3250-3280 line.
✅The current trend of gold shows a typical wide range of fluctuations, with the main rhythm being high selling and low buying between 3120-3250. The risk of chasing ups and downs in the day or in the short term is relatively high, and it is recommended to wait for the confirmation signal of returning to the key position. In terms of technical structure, pay attention to whether there is a "secondary low point confirmation". If the 3150-3140 area is effectively supported, it is still expected to rebound and test the high point; otherwise, it is necessary to guard against the risk of breaking down.
Gold (XAU/USD) – 1H Analysis
📈 Recap & Context
Yesterday, gold posted a strong bullish reaction from the Daily Bull OTE zone (~$3,080–$3,130), aligning with a long-term potential continuation setup.
However, in the early hours of today, we’ve seen a retracement right into the Bull OTE of yesterday’s impulsive move, giving us a potential higher low formation.
🔍 Current Key Zones
🟦 Bull OTE (1H) : Acted as support this morning after the rebound.
⬜️ Supply Zone @ $3,240–$3,260: Remains the main resistance area to break.
⬜️ FVG 4H + 1H: Acted as mid-retracement support and demand zone.
🧠 What to Monitor
✅ Bullish Scenario :
A clean re-entry above $3,225, ideally backed by volume, would strongly suggest the bullish continuation is in play, with targets back toward $3,300+.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario:
A strong rejection from the $3,225 supply could signal that yesterday’s bounce was just a reactionary move in a broader downtrend.
In that case, we might revisit deeper retracement zones from the yearly leg up — possibly around $3,080 or even $3,000–$2,960 again.
📌 Conclusion
Gold is at a mid-range inflection point.
Either it confirms strength by reclaiming the $3,240 zone with conviction,
or we risk seeing a deeper corrective wave before any trend resumption.
The rebound in gold prices is for better short selling
After gold fell below 3200 this week, the current trend is as shown in the figure. The end of this wave is tentatively set at around 2900. There may be a rebound during the period, but it is only a rebound. After the news faded, I emphasized that the gold price of 3500 was a top to look at the retracement in my analysis after the 9th of this month. I also gave a short-selling strategy and the staged support position below. Now the support level has been broken one after another, so we can continue to look at the target according to the trend.
The last wave of decline at the short-term level has gone through several shock adjustments along the way. Now the gold price has rebounded again near 3120, and the highest rebound reached 3153. I also gave some people a reminder to continue shorting along the way. Now I will mainly make a brief analysis of the hourly line. After the sharp drop, the gold price must be repaired. One is shock adjustment repair, and the other is rebound repair. Under this extreme decline trend, gold does not have the conditions for a rebound, so I think the rebound here at 3120 is just caused by some short orders choosing to sell for profit, so the market will continue to fall in the future.
Now there are two main positions to focus on above. The first is the previous low point near 3168 during the decline, and the other is the starting point of the last wave near 3156. If the rebound does not cross these two positions, we can continue to see gold testing or even breaking through the recent low of 3120. Pay attention to the step support below near 3088.
Gold Market Extends Decline Before Bullish SetupGold market further declines, sweeping through the 3120s after the earlier mitigation at 3177. This move completes a broader demand zone sweep, setting the stage for a bullish emancipation with an anticipated rebound toward 3195–3207. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
XAUUSD Correction Phase May Present Upside PotentialOn the 1-hour timeframe, I estimate that XAUUSD is currently at the end of wave v of wave (c). This suggests that the recent correction is relatively limited, having already tested the 3096–3122 area. Going forward, XAUUSD has the potential to strengthen toward the 3192–3250 zone.
Grasp the core strategy of trend tradingGold continues to be bullish and will go to the area near the gap of 3325. At that time, the short-term may be blocked and fall back. If it breaks, look at the area near 3340-3345. In the 4H cycle, relying on the moving average to support the rising stage, and the Bollinger is in an open state, there is still room to see above. The support for the fall back is to pay attention to the top and bottom of the small cycle of 3285, followed by the low point of 3274, but there will not be too much retracement in the strong position. In terms of operation, the main fall back is long, and gradually look at 3325 and 3345. Shorting can only be entered at key points, and fast in and out without fighting.
Operation suggestion: Go long on gold near 3285-74, look at 3315 and 3325! If it is extremely strong, go long on the support of 3298-3295!
XAUUSD | Gold Bullish Breakout and Ready to Get Back to 3300🚀 Trade Setup Details:
🕯 #XAUUSD 🔼 Buy | Long 🔼
⌛️ TimeFrame: 1H
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🛡 Risk Management:
🛡 If Your Balance: 1Lot(100K-Units)
🛡 If Your Loss-Limit: 10pips
🛡 Then Your Signal Margin: 0.02Lot
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☄️ En1: 3185.55 (Amount: 0.01Lot)
☄️ En2: 3170.06 (Amount: 0.02Lot)
☄️ En3: 3159.08 (Amount: 0.02Lot)
☄️ En4: 3148.13 (Amount: 0.01Lot)
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☄️ If All Entries Are Activated, Then:
☄️ Average.En: 3164.48 (0.06Lot)
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☑️ TP1: 3223.4 (+589.2pips) (RR:1.3)
☑️ TP2: 3252.02 (+875.4pips) (RR:1.93)
☑️ TP3: 3288.76 (+1242.8pips) (RR:2.74)
☑️ TP4: 3336.1 (+1716.2pips) (RR:3.79)
☑️ TP5: 3389.16 (+2246.8pips) (RR:4.96)
☑️ TP6: Open 🔝
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❌ SL: 3119.14 (-453.4pips)
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⌛️ Trading Type: Swing Trading
‼️ Signal Risk: 🙂 Low-Risk! 🙂
🔎 Technical Analysis Breakdown:
This technical analysis is based on Price Action, Elliott waves, SMC (Smart Money Concepts), and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) concepts. All entry points, Target Points, and Stop Losses are calculated using professional mathematics formulas. As a result, you can have an optimal trade setup based on great risk management.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your research and trade responsibly.
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