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GOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

GOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

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XAUUSDK trade ideas

U.S. stocks are closed, how to operate gold volatility📰 News information： 1. Geopolitical situation 2. Tariff implementation and interest rate cut bill 📈 Technical Analysis： Gold has maintained a volatile pattern recently, lacking a sustained unilateral trend. The unclear short-term direction of DXY has limited the volatility of gold. The market has repeatedly shown a mixture of high-rise decline and downward recovery. It is unable to effectively break through the previous high and lacks the momentum to break downward. The short-term pressure during the day is concentrated on the 3340-3345 line, and the upper middle track is at 3350. If it fails to effectively break above 3350, then gold may fall further. On the contrary, if it can stand above the middle track 33350, then gold may rise further. The short-term support below is near the 3323 line. If it fluctuates during the day, maintain a high-altitude low-multiple cycle. 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3340-3350 TP 3330-3320-3310 BUY 3320-3310 TP 3340-3350 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
Elliott Wave Analysis of XAUUSDOn the daily chart of XAUUSD, we are witnessing a clearly defined Elliott Wave structure, with the potential formation of an extended wave (5) targeting the $3,726 region — aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci extension. This is a key technical signal that could capture the attention of both long-term investors and strategic swing traders. 1. Elliott Wave Overview: Wave (3) concluded at the peak around $3,365, followed by a textbook a-b-c corrective pattern. Waves "a" and "b" are clearly identifiable, with wave "c" appearing to have completed. The current price action suggests a rebound from the bottom of wave c — a strong indication of a possible start to wave (5). 2. Wave (5) Target Zone: The Fibonacci 0.618 extension projects a target near $3,726 — a significant price level the market could approach if bullish momentum builds up. This level also serves as a psychological resistance zone, so expect possible volatility as the price nears this area. 3. Price Behavior & Confirmation Signals: Recent candlestick formations reveal renewed buying interest, with multiple bullish candles showing long bodies and lower wicks. Holding above the key support around $3,300 is crucial for confirming the formation of an uptrend. A breakout above the $3,365 high (wave (3) peak) would be a strong signal that wave (5) is in motion. 4. Suggested Trading Strategies: Buy limit: Consider entries around the $3,310 – $3,320 support zone on a retest. Buy breakout: Trigger entries if price breaks decisively above $3,365 with strong volume. Take profit: Gradually scale out positions around the $3,680 – $3,726 area. Stop loss: Place stops below the wave c bottom — under $3,245. 5. Conclusion: XAUUSD is currently in a sensitive phase with a high probability of a bullish breakout. The Elliott Wave structure shows that there is still considerable upside potential. However, traders should maintain strict risk management, as wave (5) formations often involve significant price swings.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
GOLD The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change for July 2,have a forecast of 99,000 jobs, compared to the previous month’s very weak result of 37,000—the lowest since March 2023. The ADP National Employment Report is a monthly indicator that tracks changes in non-farm private sector employment in the US, based on anonymized payroll data from ADP’s clients, covering about one-fifth of all US private employment. Who is responsible? The report is produced by the ADP Research Institute, part of Automatic Data Processing (ADP), in partnership with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab. Why it matters: The ADP report is viewed as a leading indicator for the official Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), released two days later. It provides early insight into US private sector job growth and labor market health, and significant deviations from forecasts can move financial markets. Note that the ADP report covers only private sector jobs, not government employment, so its numbers can differ from the official NFP. Summary Table: Report Date Forecast Previous Responsible Department July 2, 2025 99,000 37,000 ADP Research Institute (ADP) In summary: The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report, produced by the ADP Research Institute, forecasted a rebound to 99,000 jobs in June after a very weak 37,000 in May, providing an early signal on the health of US private sector employment. (2)US10Y drops to historical low to 4.193% and currently broken 1hr descending trendline at 4.281% ,4.3% resistance will be watched for breakout buy bond buyers. (3) DXY Key Points: The DXY measures the US dollar’s strength against a basket of six major currencies: the euro (57.6% weight), Japanese yen (13.6%), British pound (11.9%), Canadian dollar (9.1%), Swedish krona (4.2%), and Swiss franc (3.6%). After peaking near 110.075$ in January 2025, the index has softened , trading near 96.600-101.966.on weekly TF 101.966 was a retest to broken weekly demand floor . The dollar’s decline reflects market expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts later in 2025, easing inflation pressures, and some geopolitical easing. the DXY to rebound will henge and depend on Fed policy and global economic conditions. GOLD buyers are watching for the direction of trade , Chinese Demand and Policy: China is one of the largest gold consumers and holders. Domestic demand, central bank gold purchases, and monetary policy in China heavily influence XAU/RMB. If China’s economy slows or trade tensions with the US worsen, demand for gold as a safe haven may increase, supporting XAU/RMB even if the dollar is strong. China's recent opening of the Shanghai Gold Exchange's (SGE) first offshore gold vault in Hong Kong on June 26, 2025, represents a significant development with potential, albeit indirect, implications for XAU/USD (gold priced in US dollars) . Key Aspects of the Hong Kong Gold Vault: Location and Operation: The vault is located in Hong Kong and operated by Bank of China's Hong Kong unit . Yuan-Denominated Trading: All transactions and settlements in the vault are denominated exclusively in yuan, either via cash or physical bullion delivery . Two new yuan-denominated gold trading contracts were launched alongside the vault . Strategic Objectives: Increased Influence on Gold Pricing: China, as the world's leading gold producer and consumer, aims to gain greater control and influence over global gold pricing mechanisms . Yuan Internationalization: The initiative seeks to accelerate the international usage of the yuan, supporting China's broader de-dollarization efforts . This allows China to import gold in yuan, reducing reliance on the US dollar for commodity trading . Enhanced Global Reach: The vault expands the SGE's physical infrastructure beyond mainland China, creating a new gateway for international gold trading and solidifying Hong Kong's role as a key financial hub . Physical Settlement: It facilitates the physical settlement of gold contracts outside mainland China . Implications for XAU/USD: While the new vault directly promotes yuan-denominated gold trading, its implications for XAU/USD are primarily indirect and long-term: De-dollarization Efforts: By promoting yuan-denominated gold trading, China is actively working to reduce global reliance on the US dollar in commodity markets . If successful, a more diversified global gold trading landscape could gradually diminish the dollar's sole influence over gold prices, potentially leading to less direct inverse correlation between the dollar and gold . Increased Demand and Liquidity: The vault aims to attract more international participants to yuan-denominated gold markets, potentially increasing overall gold demand and liquidity in the Asia-Pacific region . While this demand is primarily yuan-driven, a generally stronger global gold market could indirectly support XAU/USD . Price Discovery: The establishment of offshore yuan-denominated gold trading creates an alternative price discovery mechanism . This could, over time, offer a benchmark that is less directly tied to dollar-centric factors, which might subtly influence XAU/USD by diversifying global pricing inputs . Market Fragmentation vs. Integration: This move could be seen as a step towards fragmenting the global gold market by creating a distinct yuan-based ecosystem, or conversely, as a way to integrate China more deeply into the international gold market by offering new access points . The ultimate effect on XAU/USD would depend on whether this leads to more cohesive or more disparate global gold price movements. In summary: China's new Hong Kong gold vault is a strategic move to boost the yuan's role in commodity trading and increase China's influence in global gold pricing. While it primarily impacts yuan-denominated gold, its long-term success in de-dollarization efforts could indirectly, over time, alter the dynamics and correlations currently observed in XAU/USD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Xauusd market This chart presents a bullish analysis for Gold (CFDs on Gold, 2h timeframe), with the price currently at 3,332.110, showing a slight decline of 0.20%. Key Observations: 1. Support Zone (~3,250): A strong demand zone is highlighted near 3,250, where price previously rebounded. This zone is marked with icons (lightning bolt and U.S. flag), possibly indicating high-impact news or events expected around that area. 2. Current Price Action: Price recently broke a downtrend line and rallied. Currently pulling back near the 3,330 level, indicating a potential short-term retracement. 3. Projected Scenarios (Dotted Lines): Primary Path (Bearish Short-Term → Bullish Mid-Term): Price may dip back into the 3,250 support zone. From there, a bullish reversal is anticipated, targeting: First resistance: ~3,400 Second resistance: ~3,450 4. Resistance Zones: Two clear supply zones are marked: ~3,400: First target zone after a bounce. ~3,450: Final target zone if bullish momentum continues. --- Summary: The chart suggests a potential bullish continuation after a pullback. A retracement to around 3,250 could provide a strong buying opportunity with upside targets near 3,400–3,450, depending on price action and upcoming news catalysts. Would you like a trading plan based on this setup (e.g., entry, stop-loss, targets)?
TVC:GOLDLong
by Mr_Zakrii
GOLD Massive Short! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the GOLD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 3350.4 Bias - Bearish Safe Stop Loss - 3363.2 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 3328.2 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
XAUUSD MONTHLY/WEEKLY ANALYSISWhat we’re seeing here on **XAUUSD (Gold Spot)** is a **classic higher-timeframe accumulation pattern** followed by **a potential explosive bullish leg**. After a strong move up in April, we witnessed a **textbook V-reversal**, consolidation, and now — **a higher low** forming around the \$3,290 zone. That’s our key demand level. 💥 ✅ If this higher low holds and price starts pushing with volume, we may be gearing up for a **multi-phase breakout** with the following potential targets: 🔹 **Target 1:** \$3,500 🔹 **Target 2:** \$3,694 🔹 **Target 3:** \$3,902 🎯 **Final Target:** \$4,101+ This isn’t just a short-term scalp setup. This is a **position trade opportunity** for those with patience and precision. The structure is clean, momentum is returning, and the levels are marked.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Nadia_farhat
XAUUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB SetupsBack after a few days with our gold update. We’re on the 1-hour timeframe, and price has been respecting our levels perfectly, especially in the two blue boxes (1H FVGs) where we got precise reactions. These reactions are marked with green circles, showing areas where we entered on lower timeframes like 3m or 5m. Currently, gold is sitting at a key area marked with a yellow circle (1H supply zone / resistance). If this area breaks strongly without a fakeout, we could potentially target higher resistance zones above. Stay sharp and ready to catch clean reactions. Key levels for confirmation: 3345-3358 (current important zone) 3300 (major 1H OB / support) 3420 (major 1H OB / resistance) — 📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD 📚 Daily setups & educational trades 📱 IG: @profitamin.fx
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ProfitaminFX
XAUUSD 4H – Full Technical & Fundamental Deep Dive🔷 Chart Structure & Trendlines Since early June, gold has formed a clean descending channel on the 4‑hour chart. Each bounce and rejection has respected these channel edges, which reflect consistent lower highs and lower lows. A long-term ascending trendline (from late March lows) was recently broken. This broken support has now flipped into resistance, and price is currently retesting it. The intersection of the descending channel’s top, the trendline resistance, and the 200 EMA creates a major triple-confluence zone—a classic area of institutional interest. 🔷200 EMA The 200 EMA on the 4H chart is acting as dynamic overhead resistance, which price is currently testing. Historically, during bearish regime, retests of the 200 EMA from below often trigger strong rejections. If price breaks above and holds, it would mark a significant shift in market sentiment. If rejected, it adds weight to the bearish trend. 🔷Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Supply Order Blocks A Fair Value Gap (vicinity of $3,340–3,350) remains structurally unfilled from the previous breakdown. Price is now re-entering that FVG region—an area often used by smart money to target liquidity and trap retail traders. This is a logical zone for sell orders, as price frequently reacts where gaps exist. 🔷Volume Profile: High/Low Volume Nodes A High-Volume Node (HVN) sits around $3,360, where most sustained trading has occurred. This acts as a strong resistance/distribution area. The current zone ($3,330–3,340) is a low-volume pocket, meaning moves through here can be fast, but rejections are still frequently seen. Below, there's another HVN around $3,280–3,290—a logical demand area and intermediate target for retracement. 🔷Fundamental Perspective – This Week to Friday 🔸 U.S. Fed Outlook & Dollar Dynamics U.S. dollar is weak, with growing speculation on imminent Fed rate cuts, partly due to pressure from political sources Fed remains cautious—no July cut likely, more probable in September Persistent volatility in Fed messaging means gold remains in play as a hedge. 🔸 Geopolitical & Macro Drivers Geopolitical tensions (Middle East, trade) continue to add safe-haven support Central banks, especially Australia, are upping gold purchases—may add structural support 🔸 Market Sentiment & Investment Flows ETF inflows remain robust—global central bank demand offsetting retail weakness Some macro research houses expect sideways action into early July, with range likely between $3,200–3,350 🔸 Risks Ahead of Friday Watch for U.S. jobs data, Fed speakers, and geopolitical headlines—any surprise could spark sharp moves. If Fed hints at delays in rate cuts or geopolitical risk cools, gold could see a rapid reactive drop. 🔷🤔 Possible Scenarios into Friday ✅ Bearish Rejection Price fails to clear $3,340–$3,360 zone. A strong rejection candle retests $3,280–$3,290. Could accelerate down to $3,240 if momentum picks up. ⚠️ Bullish Breakout Clean, high-volume break above 200 EMA and $3,360 HVN. Likely continuation to $3,380–3,400, especially if supported by fundamentals (e.g., inflation, Fed dovish pivot). 🔷My Personal Bias into Friday Slight bearish lean due to triple resistance confluence. Fundamentals are mixed: Fed caution supports gold structurally but no immediate catalyst. I will monitor price action closely: a sharp rejection off the 200 EMA area would confirm suspicion; but a clean breakout would require reassessment.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by cryptobrat000
Gold Bounces Off Trendline as Bulls Defend Structure Ahead of $3Gold (XAU/USD) has rebounded sharply from its rising trendline support and 50-day SMA (around $3,221), suggesting that the broader bullish trend remains intact despite recent consolidation below the $3,430 resistance. The uptrend from the December 2024 lows continues to hold, anchored by a sequence of higher lows and a clear ascending trendline. The recent dip toward the trendline was met with firm buying, resulting in a strong bullish candle on the daily chart. Price action now sets up a potential retest of the $3,430 horizontal resistance — a key level that has capped multiple rallies over the past few months. Momentum indicators paint a mixed but improving picture. The RSI has bounced from just below 40 to 46.64, avoiding oversold territory and hinting at a potential momentum recovery. Meanwhile, the MACD remains in negative territory but is beginning to flatten, signaling a possible shift in short-term momentum. A confirmed breakout above $3,430 would mark a resumption of the broader bullish leg and expose gold to new highs. However, a breakdown below trendline support would invalidate the current structure and shift focus toward the 200-day SMA near $2,924. For now, the trendline bounce gives bulls the upper hand, keeping the upside scenario in play. -MW
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
Gold Gains Strength as the Dollar Wobbles – What’s Next?Hello, my dear friends – let’s take a fresh look at gold after yesterday’s moves! At the moment, gold is trading steadily around 3,345 USD as the market awaits tonight’s highly anticipated U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report. Yesterday’s ADP data caused a mild shake in sentiment, showing the first drop in private sector employment in over two years. This immediately fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve could move to cut interest rates sooner than expected — putting pressure on the U.S. dollar and offering support to gold as a non-yielding safe haven. Meanwhile, the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) has slipped to its lowest level in nearly three years, making dollar-denominated assets like gold more attractive to international investors. On top of that, lingering geopolitical tensions and ongoing strong central bank buying continue to reinforce gold’s role as a long-term store of value. From a technical perspective on the H4 timeframe, gold is showing a very tight structure after breaking out of a prolonged downtrend channel. Price is currently consolidating between 3,330 and 3,360 USD, with a clearly defined bullish formation: higher highs and higher lows — a strong signal that the uptrend is starting to take shape again. The key level to watch now is 3,358 USD. If price breaks above this level with convincing buying momentum, I expect gold to enter a new bullish leg toward 3,390 – 3,407 USD, aligning with the Fibonacci 1.618 extension — often a magnet for price during strong trends. On the other hand, if there’s a short-term pullback, the support zone around 3,327 – 3,318 USD will be critical, offering a potential re-entry point for buyers looking to ride the next wave up. This is not a phase for impulsive decisions — but it’s definitely not a moment to be passive either. The breakout could come fast, and only prepared traders will be ready to act.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Smith_TradingFX
9
Gold price trend forecast on July 8Gold price trend forecast on July 8 As of July 6, 2025, the international gold price fluctuates in the range of 3250-3350. Affected by multiple factors, market sentiment is obviously divided. The following are the key points and forecasts for next week's trend: (1): Divergence in interest rate cut expectations: The probability of a rate cut in September has dropped to 47%. (2): Weaker US dollar index: If the Fed postpones the rate cut, the US dollar may rebound in the short term, suppressing gold prices. (3): Geopolitical risks: The situation in the Middle East has eased, and gold prices may fall due to safe-haven demand. Russia-Ukraine conflict: If the ceasefire negotiations make progress, the safe-haven premium of gold may further subside. (4): Central bank gold purchases and market supply and demand Global central banks continue to increase their holdings: In the first quarter of 2025, global central banks net purchased 289 tons of gold, but the People's Bank of China has suspended its purchases for two consecutive months. The market is paying attention to subsequent trends. Gold ETF fund outflow: SPDR Gold Trust holdings fell to 942 tons (the lowest since November 2024), indicating the withdrawal of short-term speculative funds. (5) Technical analysis Key support level: US$3,310. If it falls below, it may fall to US$3,280. Resistance level: US$3,360. A new round of gains can only be confirmed if it breaks through US$3,400. 4. Investment advice Short-term trading: Pay attention to the breakthrough of the US$3,300-3,350 range and adopt a high-sell-low-buy strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Isla_suri001
Gold Price Setup: Bullish Continuation or Rejection? 🧠 Chart Analysis (XAU/USD – 1H): Key Structure Highlights: CHoCH (Change of Character) zones marked both up and down indicate a battle between bulls and bears. Recent bullish CHoCH followed by a fair value gap (FVG) retest suggests potential continuation to the upside. Price recently bounced strongly from demand zone, shown by the green arrows and strong candle reaction. Ichimoku Cloud: Price is trying to break back above the Kumo (cloud), a sign of bullish momentum building. However, resistance is still present with the Kijun and Tenkan lines converging. FVG (Fair Value Gap): The current price is attempting to fill and break above the FVG zone. A successful breakout above this area confirms bullish intention. Fibonacci Levels: Price is hovering around the 0.5 - 0.618 retracement zone, often a strong reversal or continuation point. Upside targets lie near the 0.786 retracement (3352) and ultimate target at 3391, a major resistance level. Risk Management: Trade setup shows an excellent Risk:Reward ratio. Stop-loss placed just below the last structure low. Potential downside to 3290–3258 if breakout fails. 🟢 Possible Next Move: Bullish Scenario: If price clears the FVG and breaks above 3353, expect continuation to 3391. Bearish Rejection: If rejected at FVG/0.618 level, watch for a drop back to 3290 or even 3259.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KingProTrader