XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 15, 2025📊 XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 15, 2025
🔹Current Price: 3,149.23
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌 Key Supply Zones:
🔴 3168–3172 – Minor intraday supply zone
🔴 3187–3192 – Strong rejection zone; previous aggressive sell-off started here
📌 Key Demand Zone:
🟢 3128.8–3168 – Fresh demand zone formed after price mitigation and bullish reaction; acts as the current support base
⚡️Bullish Scenario:
If price breaks and sustains above 3172, we may see momentum pushing toward 3190s with possible continuation to 3200 psychological level.
⚠️Bearish Scenario:
Failure to hold above 3168 could trap late buyers; price might revisit 3140s or retest the demand zone below.
🔍 FXFOREVER Insight:
✅ Supply is getting tested; watch for M5/M15 confirmations
✅ Wait for strong bullish candle or break of structure before buying
✅ Set alerts at 3172 and 3192 zones for possible entries or exits
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #FXFOREVER #PriceAction #SupplyDemand #ForexSetup #IntradayTrade
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold setting up for another buyHello,
A buy setup is setting up on Gold on the four-hour timeframe and now is a great time to begin looking for the buys. Gold has declined by around 10% due to profit taking by early investors and also the macro-economic events. The US and China have called for a truce in their trade war and conversations about ending the Russia Ukraine are ongoing in Turkey this week.
The bullish flag is forming on this asset and at great buy points from the current levels. There is also a bullish crossover on the MACD indicator confirming that we might be closer to the bottom. While there may be a little pressure on Gold as clueless investors rush to liquidate their positions, we see this as the perfect opportunity to enter.
Target: $3600
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Gold is rising strongly, can it retreat and go long today?🗞News side:
1. US officials said Trump's statement was related to the Golden Dome Project, which may affect the flow of funds
2. The tension in the Middle East has intensified, and the risk aversion sentiment has increased, which is good for gold
3. Although the withdrawal of Indian and Pakistani troops has eased the regional situation, geopolitical risks still exist
4. Trump mentioned the tax bill, which affected economic expectations and affected gold investment sentiment to a certain extent.
📈Technical aspects:
Yesterday we gave the view that there would be suppression at the 3290 level above, but affected by geopolitics, risk aversion sentiment rose again. Today, the moving average spread upward, and the Bollinger Bands opened and expanded, and the situation is still bullish. At present, we need to pay attention to the key short-term support level, focusing on the 3280-3285 support line. If the price retreats to this level and does not weaken, it can be considered as an opportunity for us to go long. If the resistance of 3320 is broken through strongly, the upper target will move up, and the lower support will also move up accordingly. 3300 will be converted into an entry opportunity for bulls to pull back. Therefore, we need to observe the price continuity in the European session. If the European session continues to break highs, the US session's correction will still be mainly based on long positions. During the day, it is recommended to wait for gold to retreat to 3290-3280 and try to arrange long positions, looking upward to 3320-3330.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAU/USD Bearish Outlook – Major Breakdown Looming?Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of exhaustion after multiple rejections near the $3,368 resistance zone, a key supply area highlighted by the LuxAlgo Supply & Demand tool. We're currently trading at $3,310, and bearish momentum may be setting in.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zone: $3,320 – $3,368 (Strong institutional supply – price struggled to break this zone)
Immediate Support: $2,915 – A key level where price previously consolidated
Major Demand Zone: $2,456 – A historical level with visible accumulation and strong bullish reactions
Bearish Confluence:
Multiple lower highs forming on the 4H chart
Momentum divergence building
Arrows indicate possible bearish legs if the $3,310 level gives way
Price Action Bias:
A break below $3,310 could open the door to $2,915, with a longer-term target near $2,456 if bearish pressure intensifies.
My Take: If this structure holds, we may be looking at a strong retracement phase before bulls regroup. Keep an eye on macroeconomic news (especially USD strength and Fed tone), which could accelerate this move.
What are your thoughts? Will Gold correct deep or hold strong above $3,300? Drop your analysis below!
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #Forex #LuxAlgo #PriceAction #BearishSetup #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis
May 19. Trading opportunities in the London market.A new week of trading opportunities is about to begin.
There is a lot of news over the weekend. There is an increase in geopolitical uncertainty. This is undoubtedly a heavy news. At the same time, the instability of tariffs makes the trend of XAUUSD even stronger.
The current price around 3230 needs to be tested to see if it stabilizes. If not, choose a lower position to buy. If the current price can stabilize, buy directly.
Target 3245-3250
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Gold (XAU) Technical Analysis – Bullish SetupGold is currently trading around 3290, exhibiting strong bullish price action, suggesting a favorable environment for buyers. The current momentum indicates a potential move towards the final resistance at 3340, making this a strong buy opportunity in the short term.
Trade Setup:
Buy Entry Zones:
Current price zone: 3290
Potential dip-buy zone: 3275 (possible fakeout/retest area)
Targets:
3300 – Minor psychological resistance
3310 – Near-term resistance
3320 – Intermediate target
3340 – Final resistance & major target
Stop-Loss:
Conservative: 3265
Aggressive: 3260 (below support/fakeout zone)
Analysis Summary:
The chart suggests continued bullish momentum. A minor retracement to 3275 may occur, which would provide a second entry opportunity for buyers. As long as price holds above 3260, the bullish structure remains intact, targeting incremental levels up to 3340.
Risk Management Tip: Adjust position sizing according to risk tolerance and maintain discipline around stop-loss levels.
Let me know if you'd like this in a visual chart format or if you'd like to include moving averages, RSI, or other indicators for deeper analysis.
Textbook Trendline Flip: Is Gold Ready for the Next Leg Up?Gold continues its strong uptrend after a textbook breakout and retest of a multi-year trendline. The price previously faced multiple rejections from this rising trendline, but has now flipped it into strong support — a key bullish signal.
What’s more, a horizontal resistance zone has also been reclaimed and is now acting as support, further validating bullish strength. This confluence of former resistance levels turning into support suggests that buyers are firmly in control.
As long as the price holds above this structure, the path of least resistance remains to the upside — with the potential for new all-time highs in the coming weeks.
Gold Price at Key Decision Zone: Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?Technical & Fundamental Analysis for XAUUSD (Gold/USD) – H4 Chart as of May 20, 2025
🧠 Technical Analysis:
Pattern Observed:
A symmetrical triangle pattern has formed, indicating a phase of consolidation.
Price is now squeezing at the apex of the triangle, suggesting an imminent breakout.
Two possible breakout paths are illustrated:
Bullish breakout targeting the $3,382 level.
Bearish breakdown targeting the $3,058 level.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $3,382.45 (marked as a potential bullish target)
Support: $3,058.08 (marked as a potential bearish target)
Current Price: ~$3,220
Price is testing the upper trendline of the triangle and is currently inside a small decision zone (highlighted in the purple rectangle).
Bias:
Wait for a confirmed breakout with strong volume and candlestick confirmation before entry.
Breakout above $3,240 could trigger a long position.
Breakdown below $3,200 could trigger a short position.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis:
Key Drivers to Watch:
US Economic Data (This Week):
FOMC minutes (upcoming)
US PMI data
Jobless claims
These could move USD and hence XAUUSD significantly.
Geopolitical Risks:
Any escalation in global tensions (e.g., Middle East, Russia-Ukraine) could increase safe haven demand for gold.
Interest Rate Outlook:
Fed is likely near or at the end of its hiking cycle.
Dovish signals = bullish for gold.
Hawkish Fed = bearish for gold.
Inflation Trends:
Sticky inflation supports gold.
Falling inflation weakens the bullish case for gold.
✅ Summary:
Direction Trigger Area Target Reason
Bullish Break above $3,240 $3,382 Triangle breakout + potential Fed pause
Bearish Break below $3,200 $3,058 Triangle breakdown + strong USD data
XAUUSD Bounce from Trendline Support Targets 3420 ResistanceGold (XAUUSD) remains in a strong long-term uptrend, consistently respecting ascending trendline support since early stages of the rally. The chart shows multiple successful retests of the trendline, with the most recent bounce occurring near the $3,120 level, aligning with prior horizontal support and trendline confluence.
This rejection from support suggests bullish continuation is likely, provided that price remains above $3,120. A bullish move from current levels targets the recent high and resistance zone around $3,420. This area has previously acted as a supply zone, so it is reasonable to expect sellers to step in again around that level.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Current market price near $3,215–$3,220 (after confirmation of bounce)
Take Profit (TP): $3,420
Stop Loss (SL): Below $3,120 (ideally around $3,095 to allow buffer below trendline)
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio while trading in the direction of the prevailing uptrend. Break below $3,120 would invalidate the setup and open potential downside toward the next major support around $2,960.
X1: GOLD/XAUUSD Long Risking1% to make 2%X1:
Risking 1% to make 2%
GOLD/XAUUSD Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
The Countdown Has Begun… Discover This Week’s Market OpportunitiWeekly Analysis Report: May 19 – 23, 2025
Prepared by: Economic Expert Mohammed Qais Abdulghani
Introduction
Amid escalating global economic challenges and growing geopolitical risks, the need for a comprehensive and scientific understanding of market dynamics becomes increasingly critical.
In this weekly report, we present a holistic analytical outlook covering the major currency pairs, global commodities, indices, and cryptocurrencies — with gold taking center stage. We also highlight several educational technical setups based on precise data.
1. Key Economic Events This Week
The markets await a series of crucial economic indicators that may directly influence price action, including:
• Monday: Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI)
• Tuesday: Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision, Canada CPI
• Wednesday: UK CPI and US Crude Oil Inventories
• Thursday: US Jobless Claims, PMI figures, Existing Home Sales
• Friday: Germany’s GDP and US New Home Sales
2. Technical Analysis – Major Currency Pairs
• US Dollar Index (DXY): Remains under pressure below 102, with further declines toward 99, 96, and 94 possible.
• EUR/USD: Maintains bullish momentum above 1.1100, aiming for 1.1400 and potentially 1.2000.
• GBP/USD: Needs to break 1.3400 to resume an uptrend; otherwise, a drop toward 1.3100 is possible.
• USD/JPY: Faces strong resistance at 148.00; selling pressure remains dominant below this level.
• USD/CHF: Trading below 0.8400 supports potential declines to 0.8500 and 0.8700.
• AUD/USD: Under pressure below 0.6500, with targets at 0.6300 and 0.6000.
• NZD/USD: Approaching key support at 0.5800; a break below may lead to 0.5600 and 0.5400.
• USD/CAD: May regain positive momentum if it breaks above 1.4000, with further potential toward 1.4200 and 1.4400.
• GBP/JPY: Lacks momentum below 194.00, suggesting further declines to 190.00 and 186.00.
• EUR/JPY: Trading below 163.00; continued pressure may drive it toward 160.00 and 157.00.
• EUR/GBP: Facing downward pressure below 0.8500; a break of 0.8350 could push it to 0.8200.
• USD/TRY: Holding firm above 39.00, maintaining bullish potential toward 39.5 and 40.0.
3. Cryptocurrencies
• Bitcoin (BTC): Still below the key resistance of $106,000. A breakout may trigger a rally to $112,500, while failure to break higher risks corrections to $97,500 and $84,000.
• Ethereum (ETH): Facing bearish pressure after failing to break $2,700, with potential downside targets at $2,200, $1,800, and $1,400.
• Ripple (XRP): Weak below $2.40, with a bearish path toward $2.00, $1.60, and possibly $1.20.
4. Gold & Metals
• Gold (XAUUSD): Trading within a key technical range. A breakout above $3,260 may resume the bullish trend toward $3,400, $3,500, and $3,600. Conversely, staying below $3,100 could trigger a deeper correction.
• Silver (XAGUSD): Holding firm above $32.00, which is a launchpad for $34.00 and $36.00. A drop below could send prices back to $30.50 and $29.00.
5. Energy Markets
• Crude Oil (USOIL): Testing major resistance around $62.00. A breakout could lead to $66.00 and $70.00. Failure to do so might cause a retreat to $58.00.
• Natural Gas: Key support at $3.20. A breakdown may accelerate losses toward $2.50 and $2.00.
6. Global Indices
• Dow Jones (US30): Holding bullish momentum above 41,500, targeting 44,000 and 46,000.
• S&P 500: Stable above 5,900; continued momentum may lift it toward 6,300.
• Nasdaq: Stable above 21,200, enhancing the probability of a move to 22,800.
• Russell 2000: Approaching resistance at 2,120; a break may lead to 2,250 and 2,300.
• FTSE 100 (UK): Trading positively above 8,450, with targets at 8,750 and 9,100.
• DAX (Germany): Stable above 23,000, with upside targets at 24,100 and 25,600.
• CAC 40 (France): Maintaining upward momentum above 7,800.
• Nikkei (Japan): Consolidating above 37,000, targeting 39,000 and 41,000.
7. Weekly Trade Opportunities (Educational Analysis)
EUR/USD – 4H Chart
• Trade Type: Buy
• Entry Price: 1.11600
• Target 1: 1.12500
• Target 2: 1.14000
• Stop Loss: 1.10900
• Technical Insight: Price is trending above the ascending support with a clear rebound at 1.11000, supporting further upside.
Gold (XAUUSD) – 4H Chart
• Trade Type: Buy
• Entry Price: 3200
• Target 1: 3260
• Target 2: 3400
• Stop Loss: 3100
• Technical Insight: Gold rebounded from strong support at 3100 within an ascending channel, supporting bullish momentum.
Crude Oil (USOIL) – 4H Chart
• Trade Type: Pending Buy
• Entry Price: 62.30
• Target 1: 66.00
• Target 2: 70.00
• Stop Loss: 60.00
• Technical Insight: Oil is testing horizontal resistance; a breakout may trigger a swift bullish wave.
Dow Jones (US30) – 4H Chart
• Trade Type: Buy
• Entry Price: 42435
• Target 1: 43500
• Target 2: 44000
• Stop Loss: 41500
• Technical Insight: The index remains in a bullish trend, trading above moving averages and reinforcing upward bias.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – 4H Chart
• Trade Type: Buy
• Entry Price: 104000
• Target 1: 106600
• Target 2: 112500
• Stop Loss: 100000
• Technical Insight: Bitcoin is holding above strong support at 103000, increasing the likelihood of upward continuation.
Conclusion
We invite all readers to engage with this report by sharing your thoughts, technical insights, and development suggestions in the comments section.
To enrich this professional dialogue, we pose this week’s interactive question:
Do you believe gold will break the $3,260 level this week? Or will the corrective scenario prevail?
Your participation adds value to the discussion and helps enhance the quality of content for all market enthusiasts.
Prepared by: Economic Expert Mohammed Qais Abdulghani
Gold Slides Toward $3,220Gold fell to approximately $3,220 per ounce, on track for a weekly loss of more than 3% as appetite for the precious metal diminished with easing global trade tensions. The 90-day tariff truce between the U.S. and China reduced fears of a drawn-out trade war, while geopolitical concerns also eased with a stable India-Pakistan ceasefire.
Talks between Russia and Ukraine are losing momentum. Although soft U.S. inflation data has reinforced expectations for at least two Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, Fed Chair Powell cautioned that future inflation may be volatile due to persistent supply shocks.
Key support is located at $3,120, followed by $3,030 and $2,956. Resistance levels are seen at $3,250, then $3,300 and $3,350.
Falling wedge channel target 3100XAUUSD H1& H4 Timeframe .
Market was moving on Falling wedge channel however we have seen the impulsive move towards 3130 which was my target mentioned in previous commantary.
- 3170-3180 is the structural support if the H4 candle closes below then ready for the bearish trend towards 3120again then 3100 milestone. Again im expecting the bearish trades towards 3100.
- Secondly above 3180-3185 we could assume the this channel is broken and Market is on buying towards 3220.
XAUUSD XAU/USD (Gold) Bias: Bullish (Buy)** – Gold is gaining support from ongoing economic uncertainty, dovish signals from the Federal Reserve, and a weakening US dollar, making it an attractive safe-haven asset. Geopolitical tensions further boost its appeal, while price action shows signs of strength near a key support zone, suggesting buyers are stepping in. There is potential for an upward move toward higher levels as confidence in gold's stability grows. Traders should remain cautious of any sudden shifts in US dollar strength or changes in Federal Reserve policy that might limit gains, but the overall outlook favours further upside.
Gold (XAU/USD) Short Setup – Triangle Breakout AnalysisGold recently formed a symmetrical triangle pattern, signaling potential volatility. A confirmed downside breakout from the triangle suggests bearish continuation. The price broke below the ascending support line, signaling a short opportunity. Based on the height of the triangle and technical projection, the target zone is around $2,961, aligning with previous demand levels.
Short Setup:
Entry: ~$3,237
Stop Loss: ~$3,320
Target: ~$2,980
Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable
Fundamentals Support Bearish Bias:
Hawkish Fed stance and potential rate hikes
Strong USD amid global uncertainty
Weak physical demand in recent weeks
setup is ideal for traders looking to capitalize on a bearish breakout following a period of consolidation. Monitor for volume confirmation and macroeconomic data that may influence gold prices.
Call to Action:
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