XAUUSDK trade ideas
The latest gold trend analysis strategy on June 6:
Analysis of key factors
Risk aversion subsides: The call between the Chinese and US heads of state released a signal of trade easing, weakening the demand for gold as a safe haven, causing the gold price to rise and then fall (3403→3335).
Fed policy expectations: Inflationary pressure may prompt the Fed to maintain high interest rates, suppressing the upside of gold, but economic uncertainty still provides support.
Technical shock pattern: The daily line alternates between positive and negative, showing a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. 3405-3300 becomes the short-term key range.
Technical analysis
Daily level:
Form: On Thursday, it rose and fell back to close in the negative, falling below the 5-day moving average, but the slight increase during the day showed buying support.
Key position: 3405 above (previous high/resistance), 3330-3300 below (support area).
Trend: Maintain range shocks, need to break through 3405 or break below 3300 to choose the direction.
4-hour level:
Interval convergence: 3385-3335 is the main fluctuation range of the Asian and European sessions, and short-term trading can be high-short and low-long.
Long-short watershed: 3385 breaks through and tests 3405, and 3335 breaks down and looks at 3300.
Trading strategy
Asian and European sessions (short-term):
Long strategy: light long positions in the 3350-3342 area, stop loss below 3335, target 3370-3385.
Short strategy: short short near the rebound of 3385, stop loss above 3400, target 3350-3335.
US session/trend (breakthrough confirmation required):
Break above 3385: follow up long orders, target 3405, and hold cautiously after the breakthrough.
Break below 3335: follow the trend and go short, target 3310-3300, pay attention to take profit at low level.
Risk Warning
Impact of non-agricultural data: If the data deviates greatly from expectations, it may cause violent fluctuations, but the probability of a high rise and fall is expected to be high.
News tracking: Pay attention to the progress of Sino-US trade and the speeches of Federal Reserve officials. Any unexpected news may break the shock pattern.
Operational suggestions: Sell high and buy low in the current range, strictly stop loss, and avoid chasing ups and downs. Conservative investors should wait for the area around 3300 to arrange medium- to long-term long positions, or follow up after an effective breakthrough of 3405.
Gold is rising, will there be a new intraday high?Yesterday, gold closed with an engulfing positive line, and the closing line stood above the 5-day and 10-day moving averages.
From the analysis of gold in 1 hour, the current price is still in a fluctuating upward channel. Based on this technical pattern feature, if the subsequent economic data is positive and pushes the gold price to further strengthen, it may form a trading opportunity for shorting at a staged high. Although the gold price showed a rapid upward trend after the data was released, there has been obvious resistance in the historical trading concentration range of 3400-3410. The current bullish momentum has no technical conditions to break through this position, and the technical correction after the price surge is in line with the price behavior logic.
The current price has reached a high of around 3398. After today's rise, there is not much room for upward movement; since the market is rising in a volatile manner this week, it is not suitable to chase the rise directly. Although the 4-hour Bollinger Band opening continues to diverge upward and the moving average is arranged in a bullish pattern, the upward momentum is slightly insufficient and may be under pressure to move downward near 3410. I suggest that all traders short at high levels.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3410, stop loss at 3420, profit range 3360-3355. If it breaks through 3355, it may hit the intraday low below 3340.
XAU/USD 09 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold on Monday depends on this wave of operationsBefore the non-agricultural data on Friday, gold maintained an overall oscillating pattern, opening at 3354, briefly rising to around 3375 and then falling under pressure, entering an overall oscillating downward mode. We also caught the rhythm of long orders many times and successfully exited the market with profits. Although the non-agricultural data was bearish, gold did not dive quickly, but rebounded to around 3363 after short-term fluctuations, and then fell under pressure again, and finally closed in an inverted head shape, with obvious technical bearish signals.
From the perspective of form, gold is expected to continue to rebound high and high next week. Focus on the support of this week's low point of 3296. Once it falls below, it is possible to further explore the 3270-3260 area. However, if this position remains stable and unbroken, the market still has room for rebound and repair.
From a specific technical perspective, the obstructed decline of the 3375 line on Friday is more critical, with the lowest intraday drop to 3307, and the bearish momentum is still strong. It is recommended to be prudent in operation and do not blindly chase orders.
🔸Operation ideas for gold next week:
1️⃣ If it rebounds to 3320-3325, you can try to arrange short orders. If it rebounds further to 3338-3345, it is recommended to cover short positions.
2️⃣ The first target is the 3295-3306 area. If it effectively falls below, continue to hold and look for a lower position.
3️⃣ The support below is focused on the 3295-3285 area, and the pressure above is still mainly 3335-3345. The market is mainly oscillating in the middle of the range. It is recommended to watch more and act less, and wait for key point signals before intervening.
If you are currently having trouble with gold operations, welcome to communicate with me. I will update the strategy as soon as possible according to the intraday market and try my best to make your investment less detours.
Gold (XAU/USD) - 8H Time Frame Analysis - High Probability setup🔍 Bias: Strong Bullish Reversal from Demand (Wave 5 expected)
📌 Key Confluences:
Wave (4) retracement tapped into major demand zone and sell-side liquidity pocket.
Held support above the 200 EMA and dynamic cloud zone.
Volume spike near support shows accumulation by strong hands.
Wave (3) had strong momentum – wave (5) could extend to 4,000+ levels.
🎯 Trade Idea:
Buy Gold (XAU/USD) at 3,180 – 3,220
Stop Loss: Below 3,100 (invalidation of structure + trendline)
Take Profit: 3,950 – 4,050 (based on wave (5) projection)
⚠️ Risk Note: Wait for a bullish engulfing candle or volume confirmation above 3,250 if conservative.
This setup is a textbook bullish continuation off a major correction, supported by clean structure, liquidity sweep, and wave alignment — making it a prime high-probability buy for the next leg up.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out as analysed.
We started the day with our Bullish target hit at 3305 followed with ema5 cross and lock confirmation for 3334, which was hit perfectly with a further lock opening 3359 also completed.
We now have a cross and lock above 3359 opening 3389. We will continue to track the movement using cross and lock and any rejections on the levels will see price test the lower Goldturns for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3305 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3305 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3334 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3334 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3359 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3359 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3271
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3271 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3227
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3227 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3185
3146
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
The summit is just around the corner, just one final push away!Gold closed sideways at a high level yesterday, and closed positive again overnight. It opened back to 3379 and pulled up strongly, breaking through the 3400 mark and then increasing in volume. The recent low-multiple bullish ideas have been realized. Today, there is no doubt that it will continue to be bullish and long. The market has turned from the previous sweeping upward to a strong unilateral trend. The upper side will first look at the previous high pressure of 3435. Continued breakthrough will further open up the upper space, or it will hit 3500 or even a new high again. The lower support focuses on the top and bottom conversion position of 3395-3405, and then pay attention to the 1H cycle support near 3410. Intraday operations are still mainly based on falling back and long.
Operation suggestion: Go long when gold falls back to 3395-3345, and look at 3434 and 3450. If it is strong, continue to go long with the support of 3415-3410.
Gold rebound is still a short-selling opportunityFirst of all, let's take a look at why the market is still not reversing after a big rise, and there is a rapid rise and fall?
The data is bullish, and gold is rising rapidly, but we should pay attention to the sustainability of the rise, and secondly, the current trend direction. The overall trend of gold is still fluctuating downward recently, so even if the data is bullish, it is likely to just give an opportunity to "go high and short".
Although gold performed strongly after the data was released, it began to fall under pressure at the 3360 line, the trading concentration area of the last box shock, indicating that the bulls' volume is still not enough to break through the upper resistance. It is reasonable to rise and fall.
Since gold is currently in a market that is tempting to buy more, it means that the main trend is still bearish. The rebound is still dominated by short selling. The gold 1-hour cycle closed with a long upper shadow, indicating that the upward attack is weak, indicating that the area above 3350 is still a strong pressure area. This upward rush is just a short-term effort with the help of data benefits, which is a typical false breakthrough. Therefore, gold rebounded to the 3350-3360 area in the US market, and it is still dominated by high shorts.
This is the charm of the market - some people are always hesitant in the ups and downs, while others can always grasp the key turning points. The premise is to be able to see the trend clearly and follow the trend.
Don't be led by the market, but understand: Is the current fluctuation a trap or an opportunity?
If the direction is wrong, the effort will be in vain; if the direction is right, you will get twice the result with half the effort.
Don't make excuses for failure, just find ways to succeed. Have you found it?
All recent trading strategies and ideas have been realized, and the point predictions are accurate. If your current gold operation is not ideal, we hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
Gold remains volatile at high levelsGold hit a low of 3302 on Tuesday and then rebounded. Then it hit a high of 3348 in the US market and then retreated to 3315 before rising again. It is still fluctuating around 3340. It closed at a cross star pattern with a negative line yesterday. The trend of the day is more critical. Although the bulls tried to break through in the short term, they did not break through after all. The current key pressure above is maintained at 3345-50. We continue to pay attention to the gains and losses of 3345-50.
From the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3315-20. If we step back and rely on this position, we will continue to look at the continuation of the rebound. The resistance above is around 3345-50. The overall gold price remains unchanged in the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, so please pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Buy when gold falls back to 3315-20, and add more when it falls back to 3295-3003, stop loss at 3285, target at 3345-3350, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Gold delivering excellent returnsTechnical analysis: As expected yesterday’s session local Higher High’s rejection pushed Gold aggressively towards my take Profit of #3,381.80 to form #1-session Low’s. Traders witnessed Technically driven slide after Fundamentally driven uptrend which I always look to utilize as Shorting is excellent way to make Profits on Gold (mostly Technically on the way down lately from Fundamental upside spikes) since there is lot’s more Technical pointers and traffic in Selling than Buying, as said Bull leaps are usually Fundamentally driven on Gold. Hourly 4 chart is approaching #7-session old Neutral Rectangle however Hourly 4 chart may shake off the last of it’s Neutral values and align with semi-Bullish Fundamental perspective which is approaching #3,400.80 benchmark and local Low's rejection may deliver Buying signal. DX rebounded strongly off it’s local Low’s and is now in the process of seeking the Resistance. (#1W) Weekly chart’s candle is near a (# +1.91%) close, effectively limiting the losses / however on the other side, Buying pressure is not so strong as it was past few Months and that’s why you witness such Low Volume movements and aggressive Bearish reversals. Monthly candle is now at (# -0.59%) and the goal is to rise further by closing, extending the Bullish continuity. That is why Traders should observe their gains / losses on a Monthly basis, as despite the Volatility on smaller timeframes as this one, the Medium / Long-term patterns always prevail.
My position: I have Sold Gold throughout yesterday's session from #3,395.80 towards #3,382.80 Support after #3,400.80 benchmark rejected the Price-action and that order delivered biggest Profit on single position in my entire Trading career if I may say (#124.000 Eur). I have re-Bought Gold twice on #3,342.80 and #3,346.80 and closed both orders on #3,354.80 which was excellent way to finish a session. Keep in mind that NFP is ahead on the calendar and keep in mind that I do expect upside surprise which may fuel more Selling action on Gold. However if NFP delivers downside surprise, I am confident that #3,400.80 benchmark will be tested on news aftermath.
GOLD - Third Wave Next!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈After breaking above the $3,330 structure, GOLD's momentum shifted to bullish again from a short-term perspective.
Moreover, the $3,310 is a strong demand as Gold made an explosive movement from it.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support, demand and red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #XAUUSD retests the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
[20250607] This Week - Gold-ie-fornia Glitters: Simply No EscapeGold’s Update
Gold-ie-fornia Glitters: Simply No Escape
🔥 The golden battlefield is set. Some will navigate with precision. Others will chase shadows. Institutions have laid their traps, and the prey never sees it coming. Will you?
The stage is set. The market is unfolding in precise, calculated sequences , leaving no room for hopium and assumptions —only for those who can read the reality beneath the illusions .
📌 Market Structure Breakdown – Chronology of Events (Anticipation-Based Perspective)
1️⃣ Bulls' Entrapment – Bulls trust golden illusions, believing their ground is secure—but it isn’t. Institutions lure them in, setting the perfect conditions for deep positioning and offloading .
2️⃣ Bears' First Break – Testing 3325-3316 – This level was previously a support but has only recently broken down . Before a full transition into bearish control , a retest is anticipated — response at this zone will determine the next move .
➤ Key Confluence Zone – 3305-3302:
3305 Dynamic True Value → Institutional equilibrium price level.
3302 Immediate VWAP of ATH Swing → Large player VWAP anchoring from All-Time High movement .
3️⃣ Berlin’s Wall Challenge – 3275-3285 – If bears successfully break below 3325-3316 , the next major challenge awaits at Berlin’s Wall . Bulls may attempt a last stand here, while institutions assess liquidity flow.
4️⃣ Wilderness Entry – Below 3242-3228 – Breaking below this zone suggests entry into the wilderness , but freedom here is deceptive . Institutional liquidity traps are expected to emerge , targeting bears' response.
5️⃣ Bear's Survival Phase – 3179-3202 – Institutional poachers are likely to engage here , harvesting liquidity with steel traps and spike-laden snares . Bears must respond strategically , anticipating resistance before advancing further.
📌 This synopsis sets the stage for the unfolding battle —where illusion meets reality, where survival depends not just on movement, but on strategy, patience, and foresight .
Now, let’s dive deeper into the story , breaking down each phase, uncovering where liquidity hides , and analyzing the critical decisions traders must make before the market forces their hand .
Bull’s Self-Inflicted Entrapment
Blind to the ripe conditions for institutional deep positioning and offloading , bulls trusted an illusion , charging forward without recognizing the trap. The recent high at 3403 was never a gateway to further gains —instead, it reversed sharply, plunging nearly 100 points to 3305 .
Had they kept an open mind , they might have read my previous analysis— mapped and marked with precision —instead of walking into this conundrum unprepared. Click--> Full read here
What’s Next? Bear’s Stage is Set.
The coming week belongs to the bears , but survival depends on more than instinct. Heightened senses will dictate their fate.
Breaking the Bull’s Stronghold & Berlin’s Wall
Before bears can roam free, they must first break through the perimeter of the Bull’s stronghold —the 3325-3316 zone .
This is the fortified defense line , the place where bulls still hold ground. A decisive push below this level would force them to retreat, exposing Berlin’s Wall (3275-3285) —the last major barrier before true liberation.
✔ If bears break through Berlin’s Wall , they step into the wilderness , but this isn’t a free passage—it’s a hidden battleground of institutional traps , set by the large-scale poachers hunting for bear liquidity.
📌 Actionable Strategies & How to Navigate the Coming Week
Having mapped out the sequence of market events , let's shift focus to execution — how traders can position effectively, anticipate moves, and avoid institutional liquidity traps .
Key Strategy Guidelines for Bears
✔ Identify Major Battle Zones
3325-3316 → A recent breakdown that requires a retest for confirmation.
3275-3285 (Berlin’s Wall) → The critical hurdle before true liberation .
3242-3228 → Bears may see an open path, but institutions lie in wait, setting traps .
✔ Watch Institutional Defense Mechanisms
VWAP 3277 → Key liquidity defense zone.
Sentiment Fib 3272-3264 → Large players may attempt reversal positioning.
Dynamic True Value 3267 → Hidden liquidity pool where bears must tread carefully.
✔ Strategic Positioning for Risk Management
Partial exits at key zones → Secure gains before potential reversals.
Re-entry confirmations → Wait for strong level acceptance before scaling further .
Keep flexibility → The market moves in phases—respond, but never force trades.
Final Words for the Coming Week:
Be the apex predator , not the reckless prey. Fight smart. Stay vigilant. Conserve energy for the strikes that matter . Gather your berries, honey, and fishes along the way— survival depends on it.
Not all who enter this cycle will escape . The reckless will chase mirages , while those who master the art of precision will find their way to the hibernation chamber.
Chart Snapshots for guide:
Fibonacci Levels:
Dynamic True Value – refer to the indicates level on chart:
M15
M45
2H
4H TF
Daily
Weekly
Liquidity Zone – map these levels:
3371-3378
3316-3325
3299-3307
3275-3285
3200-3120
VWAP – Price magnet or Institutional Favor zone – refer the yellow line:
Value of May’s recent low
Most recent April’s Low
ATH
Snapshot ALL
Gold fluctuates repeatedly, and opportunities emerge!Gold was under pressure for the second time during the day, and the pressure at the 3349 line fell back. It continued to be treated with a fluctuating mindset. The 4H cycle observation showed that the Bollinger Bands were closing, and the K-line repeatedly interspersed around the middle track. The short-term structure tended to fluctuate upward. Pay attention to the 3348-3350 and 3362 pressure zones above, and the support below is located in the 3315 and 3302 areas. In terms of operation, the main long and auxiliary short ideas are maintained, and the guidance of CPI data is paid special attention.
Operational suggestions: Gold retreats to the 3315-3305 area and tries to arrange long orders, with the target looking at 3338 and 3349. A strong breakthrough can look up to 3360. If the 3350-3360 pressure zone above is not broken, short orders can be tried in the short term.
All recent trading strategies and ideas have been realized, and the point predictions are accurate. If your current gold operation is not ideal, we hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!