Market next move Bearish Disruption Analysis:
1. Range Weakness and Exhaustion Risk:
The price has been ranging within a tight zone, and repeated tests of the support line near 3,215–3,218 show weakening buyer pressure.
If bulls were strong, we might have already seen a breakout with momentum. Instead, there's sideways choppiness, suggesting indecision or exhaustion.
2. Lower Highs Forming:
Despite a flat support zone, price is forming lower highs, a bearish signal. Sellers are stepping in earlier on each bounce, tightening the range from the top.
3. Volume Depletion:
Volume is gradually dropping during this consolidation. If a breakout happens without a volume surge, it risks becoming a false breakout.
4. Liquidity Sweep Possibility:
Market makers might push price below the support zone (~3,215) to trigger stop-losses and accumulate orders before a potential real breakout. This would trap late buyers who enter early.
5. Bearish Scenario Path:
If price breaks below 3,215 and closes under that on decent volume, expect a move to the next demand zone near 3,200 or lower.
Downside target could be around 3,180–3,190, where the previous demand base formed on May 15.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
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GOLD support @ $3100There are a lot of things that show the price about $3100 for Gold is a really important & strong support for now.
We have 61% & 70.2% of Fibonacci retracement about this area.
The bear flag target on 4H TF is at $3100.
Even the target for double top is at that area.
In the past the price of $3100 was a support as well.
XAUUSD – Bullish Continuation Ahead?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading within an ascending channel, with price recently bouncing off the trendline support after a corrective move. This rebound indicates that buyers are stepping in, maintaining the bullish structure within the channel.
If the bullish momentum continues, we could see a move toward $3,450, aligning with a key resistance level within the channel. This level may act as a potential short-term target before any possible reaction from sellers. A clear breakout above the resistance zone could open the door for the next bullish leg.
However, if the price fails to hold this support level and breaks below it with momentum, the bullish outlook could be invalidated, potentially signaling the next downward trend. Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals such as higher lows, strong bullish candles, or increasing volume before considering long positions.
If you agree with this outlook or have any additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts!
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – Monday, May 12, 2025“Structure First. Noise Later. Gold Moves Clean When You Do.” ⚖️🧠
Intraday Bias: Bullish, short-term recovery inside broader pullback
Structure: CHoCH confirmed at 3284 → market forming higher low structure
🔍 H1 Market Flow Overview:
Price broke structure above 3284–3292, forming a clean CHoCH on H1.
Since then, price impulsively pushed toward 3340, pausing around 3314–3318.
EMAs (5/21/50) are starting to align bullish, with EMA5 now crossing above 21.
Volume compression + wicks suggest potential accumulation in the 3314–3318 zone.
📌 Key H1 Zones (Above & Below Price)
🔺 Resistance Zones
Zone Description
3340–3345 Friday’s high + intraday liquidity trap zone
3380–3395 Strong H1/Daily confluence resistance (OB + FVG)
🔻 Support Zones
Zone Description
3314–3318 🔵 Micro liquidity pocket + HL accumulation zone – potential inducement/reentry base
3284–3292 🔵 CHoCH base – must hold for bullish structure to continue
3260–3265 🔵 Deep intraday OB + liquidity sweep zone
3220–3235 🔵 Major HTF demand – structural last line of defense
🔁 Scenarios for Monday (May 12):
🟢 Bullish Setup:
If price holds above 3314–3318, we may see a reattempt toward 3340, then potentially push into 3380–3395.
Retest of 3314 zone could serve as HL confirmation before breakout.
🔴 Bearish Setup:
If 3314 fails and price closes below 3284, this invalidates current bullish micro-structure.
In that case, we target 3260 or even 3235 depending on momentum.
Rejection from 3340 or 3380 without BOS → short toward 3284 or 3250
Clean break below 3284 flips LTF bearish
🎯 Sniper Logic:
Gold is trapped in a battle between Friday’s high and the CHoCH base.
The true breakout will come once either 3345 is reclaimed clean, or 3284 fails hard.
Until then, play inside structure — sniper entries only.
💬 Final Words:
Gold doesn’t bluff — but it does bait and trap.
Mark your zones, wait for confirmation, and let the impulsive ones get hunted.
Gold doesn’t care about your bias — only about the zones that hold.
If 3284 stays protected, bulls might reload. If it cracks, fade the optimism and follow the flow down.
🟡 Stay smart. Stay patient. And remember: clean structure = clean profit.
✨ Drop your thoughts in the comments, smash that like, and follow GoldFxMinds for sniper-level clarity every session.
Gold at the Edge – Will Support Hold or Break?Hey everyone! Great to see you again for today’s gold market update.
Right now, gold is trading around $3,230, consolidating inside a tight wedge pattern. Momentum is slowing, and the EMAs are compressing — clear signs that a breakout could be right around the corner. This kind of setup often leads to explosive moves, offering short-term profit opportunities.
The chart suggests price may continue to coil for a few more swings before potentially breaking down below the trendline. If that happens, the next support target lies near $3,161 — a level that previously sparked a strong bullish bounce.
Still, we can’t rule out the opposite — a sharp breakout to the upside if buyers step in. That’s why risk management is key here. Make sure your TP and SL are in place.
📉 Your turn – do you think gold is about to break higher or drop lower?
Let me know in the comments!
XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 20, 2025📊 XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 20, 2025
🔹Current Price: 3,212.51
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌 Key Demand Zones:
🟢 3210–3215 – Immediate bounce zone; price currently reacting after multiple rejections
🟢 3195–3197 – Fresh untouched demand; possible deep pullback area if current support breaks
📌 Key Supply Zone:
🔴 3254–3265 – High probability sell zone formed after clear rejection; watch for reversal patterns on retest
⚠️ Scenarios:
1️⃣ Reclaim 3220+ with bullish candles may drive price back to test the 3254+ supply zone
2️⃣ Failure below 3210 opens downside sweep toward 3195–3197 zone
🔍 FXFOREVER Insight:
✅ Structure is still valid for scalping both ways
✅ Wait for 5M CHoCH / BOS confirmations
✅ Trade from zone-to-zone with tight stops
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #PriceActionTrading #SmartMoneyConcept #SupplyAndDemand #FXFOREVER #ScalpingZones #ForexIntraday
DOLD: Projection for Next Week (May 20–24, 2025)Hello Traders
Are you ready for the next week?!
here is my understanding and analysis for the next week:
📊 Technical Summary
Current Price: ~$3,201.78
Recent Trend: Short-term downtrend after reaching a peak (~$3,500).
Candle Pattern: A small-bodied candle near the bottom suggests indecision or potential short-term support.
Support Zone: Around $3,160–$3,120, already tested last week.
Resistance Zone: Around $3,280–$3,320, which aligns with recent highs before the pullback.
✅ Bullish Case (Short-Term Rebound Likely If):
Price holds above $3,165.
Daily/4Hr closes above $3,240, leading to a retest of $3,280–$3,320.
Candles form a bullish engulfing — keep an eye on Monday/Tuesday sessions.
❌ Bearish Case (Further Drop If):
Daily/4Hr closes below $3,165, targeting $3,120–$3,080 next. Break below $3,080 would open the path toward $3,035.
🧠 Careful:
Use lower timeframes (H1/H4) early next week to:
Confirm direction (e.g. bullish reversal patterns)
Spot liquidity grabs or false breaks around $3,165
The price and notes are written on the chart. TP= Target Point
Good Luck! TVC:GOLD
Gold fluctuates at high levels, are bulls regaining confidence?The hourly moving average of gold crosses upward, and eventually diverges upward. The volume of gold bulls is opening up. The resistance of gold at 3253-60 has now turned into support. Gold continues to buy on dips when it falls back in the US market. Since gold has broken through, the decline is an opportunity to buy. We never do long or short positions. The current decline of gold is to buy with the trend. To be a steady hunter, you must have amazing patience and lonely torment, so that you can kill the prey with one blow. To do gold, you also need to be steady and patient to wait for the entry point to enter the market. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term focus is on the short-term suppression of 3290, and the important suppression of 3300. Gold still broke through the US market and rose strongly, and the gold bulls started. After the gold US market broke through the box and oscillated strongly, gold fell back and continued to be long. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
Go long on gold at 3260-65, stop loss at 3250, target at 3290-3300;
Snakito turning into a dragonNow that the crying man left the building... What to expect from Queen G.
Will it come back down and make a bunch of bears happy at 3 104?
I’d personally love that, but the odds are against me on that one. At least for now.
Fib channel hit 0.236 along the 3.618 ring fib and the 0.5 fib of the extension fib.
Price then ran through multiple levels trying to reclaim some territory and hit resistance when it touched the channel fib 1 while finding support just above the 0.382 fib of the same channel.
While the week ended just under the 0.5 fan resistance fib, we could expect the price to run close to 3215-3220 followed by a liquidity sweep between 3171 - 3192… need to grab as much fuel available to try to run up there again. Or-OR… double bottom? That would certainly give even more confidence to retail traders to go long... It never hurts to take some psychology into account .Would be nice wouldn’t it.
I’d like to see the following area to be tapped into as we navigate through the new week:
3264-3274
3288-3307
3347-3360
Only time will tell and on that I wish you all a great trading week ahead, let's see if this doodle is as magical as the crying man. It was a good run
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Market Update & Daily Plan – May 13, 2025🔹 Bias: Intraday bullish (HL forming)
🔹 Context: Price is reacting from the 3215–3228 zone (OB + discount) after confirming CHoCH at 3284.
We’re in a retracement phase — next move could target 3240–3280 if structure holds.
🔵 BUY ZONES (reaction areas, not sniper):
3215–3228
✅ Confirmed H4 OB
✅ Discount zone + EMA200 confluence on H1
✅ HL structure still valid
📌 If price retests with bullish confirmation → long toward 3240+ remains valid
3175–3195
🔵 Strong H4 demand zone
📌 Only if 3215 fails — last area to defend the bullish bias
Wait for structure to hold — don’t panic buy into weakness
🔴 SELL ZONES (broad reaction areas):
3285–3300
🔺 Previous high + unfilled FVG
🔺 Potential inducement zone before rejection
📌 If price rallies fast, watch for rejection — solid area for short pullbacks
3340–3355
🔺 Strong H4/D1 supply
🔺 Untested premium OB
📌 Only valid if price breaks above 3300 — aggressive short if NY overextends
🧠 Summary:
We’re in a bullish retracement.
If 3215 holds → price may push toward 3280+.
If that fails → 3175–3195 is the final defense zone before larger structure shifts.
Sell zones are reactive — wait for signals, don’t jump in early.
💬 Stay calm, stay patient. Don’t trade the zones — trade the reaction.
🔔 Final Thoughts for Tuesday
The levels are marked. The structure is clear.
Now it’s up to you to stay calm and let price do the talking.
We don’t chase moves — we let the market knock on our zones.
📍 Whether you're buying from discount or selling from premium — let logic lead, not FOMO.
And remember: structure doesn’t lie... but your emotions might.
💬 Got questions? Drop them — this is a team effort.
Let’s stay sharp, focused, and prepared.
See you on the charts,
— GoldFxMinds 🧠⚔️
Gold Range Resistance: Short OpportunityXAU/USD Outlook: Testing Resistance at 3330 — Bulls Face Critical Inflection Point
Gold (XAU/USD) is once again drawing attention as it tests a major resistance level near $3330, where the descending trendline intersects with the previous weekly high (PWH). This area marks a key decision zone for market participants, as it could either validate the recent bullish recovery or serve as the launchpad for another leg lower.
After rebounding off a higher low earlier this month—demonstrating the continued respect of buyers for the broader bullish structure—gold has climbed back toward the upper boundary of its short-term consolidation range. However, the battle at $3330 will determine whether this rally was a corrective move within a downtrend or a prelude to a renewed push higher.
Currently, price remains confined within a widening upward channel that has defined the medium-term bullish trend. The ascending channel continues to act as a supportive structure, yet the presence of a descending trendline acting as dynamic resistance adds tension to the setup. A decisive break above this resistance would signal that bulls are reclaiming control and open the path toward the next significant target at $3494, an area of historical importance that aligns with the upper boundary of the channel.
🔍 Technical Setup and Scenarios
Resistance Zone – $3330:
This level is particularly critical due to the confluence of multiple technical factors: the downward-sloping trendline from recent highs and the prior weekly high both converge here. A clean breakout above this resistance zone—ideally followed by a retest confirming it as new support—would be a powerful signal of bullish continuation.
Higher Low Confirmation:
Gold’s recent bounce off the higher low reaffirms ongoing buying interest, and unless the price breaks below $3215, the bullish structure remains intact. The market is thus navigating a delicate balance between continuation and correction.
Support Zone – $3215 to $3230:
This is the key area to watch if price gets rejected from the current resistance. A decline back to this zone would not necessarily invalidate the broader uptrend, as long as buyers step in to defend it again. However, a decisive break below $3215 would mark a major structural shift and could usher in a deeper correction.
📈 Key Trade Levels
Buy Zone: $3215 – $3230
This is the optimal range for dip buyers if price revisits it, especially if bullish reversal patterns emerge at these levels.
Buy Trigger:
A confirmed breakout above $3330, followed by a successful retest of the trendline and/or prior resistance, would validate a bullish setup. Ideally, this should be accompanied by strong momentum and volume.
Sell Trigger:
A clear rejection from $3330, particularly if followed by bearish candlestick formations (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing), may prompt a decline back toward $3215 and beyond.
Upside Target: $3494
This represents a logical profit-taking zone on a bullish breakout, marking a measured move and upper channel resistance.
⚠️ Risk Factors and Market Catalysts
Macro Volatility Ahead:
Scheduled economic data and macro events—such as FOMC decisions, U.S. CPI releases, or geopolitical headlines—can introduce sharp volatility in gold. These events may invalidate technical setups temporarily or create false breakouts.
Trendline Pressure:
Repeated failures to break above the descending trendline increase the likelihood of bearish exhaustion and may embolden sellers to target lower levels.
Structural Breakdown Risks:
As long as $3215 holds, the higher-low structure remains valid. However, a decisive breakdown below this level would suggest that the bears are gaining strength and could accelerate downside momentum, potentially shifting sentiment toward a more bearish medium-term outlook.
📌 Conclusion: Gold at a Pivotal Juncture
XAU/USD stands at a crossroads, with a key resistance test underway at $3330. The broader trend remains bullish within the confines of an upward channel, but the descending trendline poses a meaningful obstacle. A breakout above this barrier would likely confirm bullish continuation toward $3494, while a rejection could drag price back toward $3215, testing the resolve of buyers.
With macroeconomic catalysts looming and technical tension building, traders should prepare for increased volatility and consider both bullish breakout and bearish rejection scenarios in their risk management and positioning. Flexibility and responsiveness to key levels will be crucial in navigating the next major move in gold.
Continue to short gold after the reboundFundamentals:
1. Focus on Powell's speech at the Thomas Laubach Research Conference;
2. Pay attention to the situation of the Russia-Ukraine negotiations;
Technical aspects:
Gold has successively broken through the important support area of 3200 and 3160, and continued to around 3120; the short-term bearish trend is very obvious; although gold has rebounded to around 3170 again in the short term, I think the reason is one of the technical rebound repair after the decline; the second is the result of profit-taking of some short positions. So I fully believe that gold has the need to fall again after the rebound;
At present, we need to focus on the resistance of the 3175-3180 area, followed by the resistance of the 3195-3200 area; if gold cannot break through this resistance area during the rebound, gold is expected to fall again and continue to the area around 3100.
Trading strategy:
Consider the opportunity to short gold after gold rebounds to the 3275-3285 area; TP: 3150
TVC:DXY FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Gold bullish bias picking up.Price has now made a higher high and higher low post Wave C. Potensial early stage of new impulse wave (wave 1 og the 5th wave).
Price above all 3 EMAs (21/50/89).
89EMA>50EMA>21EMA (bearish alignment still intact (may shift bullish soon)) . indicates a potensial pullback for wave 2 of the bigger 5th wave. Bullish price action forming despite slow EMA alignment shift.
Watch for price to retest and hold the support zone, aligned with 21/50 EMA cluster.
Entry 1: Break and close above 3335 with strong momentum/volume
Entry 2: (Aggressive) Retest and bounce from support area.
S/L: Below 3210 (invalidates support structure)
Invalidation: 4H close below 3210 (breakdown from structure)
Targets:
TP1: 3345
TP2: 3395
TP3: 3495
Optional: trail stop under each higher low as structure builds or along 50EMA.
XAU/USD (Gold) Short (Sell)📘 Trading Journal Entry – XAU/USD (Gold)
Date: May 16, 2025
Timeframe: 2H
Pair: XAU/USD
Direction: Short (Sell)
Entry Price: ~3,267
Stop Loss: Above 3,275
Take Profit: ~3,041
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:4+
🧠 Trade Idea & Reasoning:
I’ve entered a short on Gold as the price has tapped into a clear supply zone (highlighted by the rectangular box around 3,253–3,267), which aligns with prior price rejection levels.
Below current price, there’s a visible accumulation of demand — unfilled orders — around the 3,125–3,050 zone. The market tends to seek liquidity, and this move upward into supply may just be a retracement before continuing downward to mitigate those lower demand imbalances.
🔍 Technical Notes:
Supply Zone: Clear rejection at 3,267 and 3,253 areas.
Bearish Rejection Candles: Seen within the supply box, suggesting sellers stepping in.
Imbalance Below: Price hasn't fully filled the bullish imbalance created earlier — price likely to revisit that 3,050 zone.
Market Structure: Bearish lower highs and lower lows developing after recent peak.
🎯 Trade Management Plan:
Monitor for follow-through bearish momentum after rejection candle.
Break of 3,220 area would confirm continuation.
Move stop to breakeven if price breaks 3,200 support cleanly.
Trail SL to lock in profit if price nears 3,100.
🧾 Reflection:
I’m trading into a high-probability short zone where price has previously rejected. The market often seeks out resting orders below — and with clear imbalance beneath, this setup offers solid confluence for a short.