Gold 1h Analysis - What to expect from Gold today 21st May🌏 XAU/USD Outlook – Asian Session, May 21, 2025
Market Bias: 🔼 Strongly Bullish
Current Price: $3,299.34
Timeframe: 1H (with 5 & 21 EMA)
📊 Chart Breakdown:
Gold has surged cleanly through $3,243.28 and $3,268.13, now testing near-term resistance at $3,301.88.
Momentum is strong — candles are full-bodied with minimal wicks, showing solid buyer control.
EMAs are sharply angled and separated, indicating high momentum. No signs of reversal yet.
This is the strongest 1H push since the bounce from $3,157.35.
🔍 Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $3,301.88
Next Targets: $3,329.84 and $3,363.11 if breakout continues
Support Zones: $3,268.13 (structure low) → $3,243.28
Break below $3,268 would be first sign of a pullback starting
🗓️ News Ahead:
No major events during Asia session
Watch for U.S. Existing Home Sales later in NY
Big focus this week remains on FOMC Minutes (Wed) and PMIs (Thu)
📌 What to Expect:
Gold is entering the Asian session on strong bullish momentum
If buyers hold above $3,268, we could see another leg toward $3,329 during the London or early NY session
Likely to see sideways or slight pullback during Asia, but buyers are clearly in control — dips into structure may attract entries
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Level By LevelThe expectation is to see whether the price is targeting the previous breakout or not. Analyze level by level, starting from higher timeframes, H4 and H1 at minimum to confirm a valid breakout. Then, set pending orders in anticipation of a pullback for a potential long entry. Around the 1.3357 level, I will consider looking for a sell setup if the price fails to break through.
Gold trading plan May 19Gold is trading in a wide range and needs a few more factors to confirm whether the corrective downtrend of gold will continue or not.
3242 will be an important upper boundary in the current price channel. With the m30 candle force in the European session being able to break through the 3230 area, the prospect of reaching 3242 in the European session is very high. We can watch the price reaction and give a SELL signal in this area and the buy break point is 3230
On the further side, we have the daily resistance zone of 3282 when the 3242 border is broken and on the opposite side, the Asian session support zone around 3202-3200 acts as a barrier ahead before the gold price reaches the daily support level around 3192.
UPDATE XAUUSD 30mOANDA:XAUUSD Good Afternoon trader, Update XAUUSD 30m 19/05/2025
If the market is not strong enough, the pattern may find another support level in the demand zone (3195–3207). However, our analysis still supports a bullish trend based on the 4-hour timeframe.
Stay keep your money with your trade strategy and risk reward plan. Thankyou
Disclaimer ON!
High R Risk Long Strategy 3160 Old Bulls Awaiting AttackNew version:
After a significant drop in gold prices, we're starting to notice some encouraging signs of a bullish trend taking shape. The price has bounced off the 3145–3160 demand zone several times, hinting at possible accumulation. The recent candle patterns are showing higher lows, and it looks like buyers are stepping in to protect the liquidity just below 3160.
This setup is all about price action, liquidity sweeps, and structural changes. The 3160 zone is a crucial decision point where we expect buyers to take charge. It also coincides with a previous imbalance fill and a short-term order block.
Right now, this phase presents a great risk-to-reward opportunity for bulls, as long as the stop loss at 3145 holds firm.
Entry: 3160
Stop Loss: 3145 (just below the liquidity sweep and order block)
Targets:
TP1: 3180 (a minor resistance / reaction zone)
TP2: 3196 (liquidity above the last high)
TP3: 3208 (a key breakout target zone)
Gold outlook: inflation, tariffs, and the key level to watchI'm long-term bullish on gold. With Trump pushing for 10% tariffs across the board, inflation risks are rising. Add tax cuts and already low unemployment, and you have a recipe for more upside. But why is there a risk that the price drops first, before heading higher? Watch the video to learn.
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GOLD GOLD ,in line with my weekend perspective ,we have seen that that 3hr breakout of the dsecending trend line respected the strategy and to keep buying into supply roof .break of the current 3245-3250 supply roof might signal strong demand ,but at the moment the ema+sma strategy on 3hr is acting as resistance roof which coincides with the descending trendline
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bearish Setup Within Falling Parallel Channel📉 Technical Analysis: GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bearish Setup Within Falling Parallel Channel
Chart Observations:
GOLD is trading inside a well-defined falling parallel channel.
Price initially respected the lower boundary of the channel before rebounding.
It made a significant break above the median (middle) line and reached the upper channel resistance, then retraced and took support at the median line again.
Currently, price is once again testing the upper channel resistance.
🔍 Current Setup & Possibilities:
1. Bearish Scenario (More Likely)
GOLD is facing resistance near the upper trendline of the falling channel.
If this resistance holds, it is likely to retrace sharply, potentially forming an impulsive move downward.
Immediate downside target aligns with the lower channel support, around $2980.
2. Bullish Scenario (Less Likely)
A breakout above the upper trendline of the channel could trigger a trend reversal.
This breakout could lead to a move toward 3240+ levels in the short term, possibly higher if momentum sustains.
🔽 Conclusion:
GOLD is currently in a bearish structure unless it decisively breaks out of the falling channel.
As per current price action and repeated rejection from upper channel, probability favors a downside continuation toward $2980.
Traders should watch closely for price action confirmation around the upper boundary for potential short setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Gold 3200 Life and Death Battle!Gold stabilized after touching the support of the 3193-3202 rising trend line. Although the US market rebounded, it did not form an effective breakthrough. In the short term, it is still dominated by shorts.
Short-term strategy:
Before 3200 is broken, you can go long on dips. If it falls below, stop the loss decisively, and use a small stop loss to game the potential bull reversal. Whether the 3250 pressure is broken or not determines the short-term direction
X1: GOLD/XAUUSD Buy Risking1% to make 2%X1:
Risking 1% to make 2%
GOLD/XAUUSD Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade.
Price may bounce back down from TP-3.
If First Trade SL hit: I will enter again as 2nd trade given.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Gold bottomed out and rebounded, US market ideas!
📊Comment analysis
During the European and American markets, the market rebounded to 3249. Before the rebound, it was mentioned that the first resistance today was around 3251, followed by the defense point of 3265. As expected, gold plunged slightly near the resistance level of 3251, and fell to 3227 at its lowest.
💰Strategy package
Short at the current price of 3239-40, add shorts near 3242 and 3245, stop loss 3253 target 3200-3165
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold Strategy UpdateGold has entered a major downtrend, however the market needs a high increase to break out. Looking at the clouds, I see that in the coming days, the gold price fluctuation range is very large. So everyone should consider allocating volume to suit investment assets as well as adjusting leverage appropriately. Good luck!
Gold 100% Profit SignalGold has experienced another roller coaster fluctuation, rising by $45 from 3240 to 3285 in a short period of time. There is no clear news driving the market, and short-term sentiment dominates the market. The current technical indicators show that the effectiveness of 3285 as a key resistance level in the early stage is questionable. If it cannot hold this position, the gold price may fall back to the support range of 3240-3230; if it breaks through 3285, it may trigger short stop loss orders, further impacting the 3300 high pressure area.
Beware! Gold Falls
📌 World Situation
Gold prices fell more than 1.5% on Friday and are on track to close the week with a loss of more than 4% as improving risk sentiment drove investors away from safe-haven assets and into stocks and other riskier investments. At the time of writing, XAU/USD was trading around $3,187, retreating from a daily high of $3,252.
The precious metal started the week lower following a reported significant de-escalation in the US-China trade conflict, including an agreement by both sides to reduce tariffs by 115%. Despite trading between $3,120 and $3,265 throughout the week, gold prices struggled to maintain bullish momentum, with weakening buyer interest becoming increasingly apparent against the backdrop of stronger risk appetite and encouraging US economic data.
📊Comment Analysis
Will be greatly affected by tariff news and Russia-Ukraine peace talks
💰Strategy Package
Resistance: $3265, $3357
Support: $3160, $3112
In this range, you can enter the market in batches in real time to flexibly grasp the market changes.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Gold, let's fall like crazy
Gold is consistent with our previous analysis. It has reached a new low recently, breaking through the key position of $3,220, ushering in a new round of decline. Some people directly said: It can't hold on.
This time, after the gold price opened lower on Monday, it has been hovering above $3,200-3,220, fluctuating back and forth, and finally failed to rebound successfully.
There are various opinions on the market about the reasons for the decline, and the key point I emphasize is: whether the decline is over must depend on whether the high point before the last decline is lost, and if the key support position is lost, it can no longer be defended.
For example: Yesterday we first entered the market near $3,220 and rebounded to around $3,243, and we have always emphasized the gains and losses of the key position of $3,215. When it is lost here, we must adjust our thinking in time. The difference between us is who can change their thinking faster at the critical moment.
For physical gold or accumulated gold, it is very passive without hedging tools. For example, when the price breaks the key position, it can only be solved by cutting losses. Because of chasing in at a high position, there is no follow-up funds to lower the cost. At the same time, the funds account for too large a proportion of their own cash flow, which will lead to passive beating.
Therefore, the market will not always rise and never fall, nor will it only fall and never rise. The key is how to balance the allocation of funds and risks, whether the key position can be accepted in time after it is lost, rather than holding on to it. Trading is not a simple one-trick win, but a flexible response. For example, gold ETF: I have always been investing weekly, from last year to now, and the proportion will not be too large. The rise and fall in the middle has almost no effect on me, and the leverage method must be to make a day-to-day settlement. If you encounter a unilateral long-term, you will take a bite, and if you don’t encounter it, you will seize the moment.
Okay, let’s talk about today’s gold market:
On Wednesday, the formula for gold application is: Asian market falls, European market continues, and the rebound before the US market is to lure more, and go short when you see a high. The Asian session fell from the high point to $3220 and has been fluctuating repeatedly. After rebounding to $3243 in the European session, it did not continue, but started a wave of decline. The key position of $3215 was broken during the US session, and the short position was confirmed at this time.
Also, today is: the previous day's weak bottom closing, the next day's early trading can still be shorted, today's pressure position is around $3195, the rebound pressure is the position of the early morning high, and then it breaks down to $3150, and the key pressure at this time is the top and bottom conversion.
As shown in the figure, after the bottom oscillation, a new high point moves down and the low point breaks, which is a typical decline. The early morning high of $3195 is the key long-short dividing point, and the top and bottom conversion becomes today's new entry position for shorting. Remember one sentence: Never look for support to go long in a falling market, but look for pressure to go short. When will the decline end: the high point before the last 1-hour or 4-hour decline is broken and closed above this position. The retracement confirms that there is no new low. The market outlook will rebound or reverse. There is no need to guess when the bottom will be reached. The bottom is found, not guessed! ! ! !
Today, gold rebounded and went short in the range of 3165-70. This is the pressure point for the top and bottom conversion. There are three short periods today: the opening rebound high, the top and bottom conversion of the European session rebound, and the rebound before the US session after the European session weakened. The defensive position is above 3195 US dollars, and the focus below is 3145-40-32 US dollars.
Momentum Shift: Gold Holds Strong Amid Mounting Dollar PressureHello,
🪙 Gold Market Outlook – May 8, 2025
📈 Current Price Snapshot
Spot Gold (XAU/USD): $3,302/oz
Gold is holding firm above key support levels, signaling sustained bullish momentum. The $3,300 level has now been clearly breached and is acting as short-term support. If this level continues to hold, further upside continuation is expected, with a possible target of $3,500.
🧭 Technical Outlook
4H Major Support: $3,274.637
1D Floor Support: $3,265.328
1W Pivot Point (PP): $3,265.203
1M Pivot Point (PP): $3,248.445
"A test of the weekly/monthly pivot points is possible but uncertain, as current sentiment favors risk-on for gold, while the USD faces risk-off pressure."
A pullback to support is possible, but it’s unlikely under the current macro and technical context.
💬 Macro Fundamentals
Gold prices fell earlier today due to optimism surrounding a potential Trump–UK trade deal and easing geopolitical tensions. However, the market remains cautious as US-China officials are scheduled to meet in Switzerland. Meanwhile, China's central bank approved foreign exchange purchases by commercial banks, further boosting gold imports and supporting physical demand.
"Such measures are likely to keep supporting bullion demand."
— Han Tan, Exinity Group
🌍 Geopolitical Risk Factor
India-Pakistan tensions have escalated, with Pakistan downing 12 Indian drones, which is contributing to increased safe-haven demand in the region.
"Potentially leading to an unquantifiable level of safe-haven demand."
— Ole Hansen, Saxo Bank
Target: $3,500.
The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes!
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Trend Continues with XAU/USD (Gold) is trading around $3,308.60 and is showing a clear bullish trend on the 1-hour timeframe. Both the 20 EMA and 50 EMA are trending below the current price, confirming short-term bullish momentum. The nearest support zone is between $3,270 and $3,286, a level that has previously attracted buyers. On the upside, the resistance zone lies between $3,330 and $3,347, where price may face selling pressure.
Traders could look for long opportunities on pullbacks to the support area, with targets set near the resistance range, and a recommended stop-loss around $3,250 to manage downside risk. Overall, the 1H chart reflects sustained bullish momentum, favoring buy setups on retracements.
Most Watchable areas:
$3,270 and $3,286 for downward movement
$3,330 and $3,347 for upward movement
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!