GOLD XAUUSD potential 1-2 setup to downsideLooking at an potential 1-2 setup to the downside wave 3 of 5. adding to my previous gameplay
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Embracing Uncertainty
In trading, the illusion of certainty is often our biggest enemy.
Even the cleanest setupsโlike a MTR (Major Trend Reversal)โcan fail.
Mark Douglas said it best:
โAnything can happen.โ
This simple truth is what keeps professional traders humble and disciplined.
Respect the market, manage your risk, and never assume you know what comes next.
Stay sharp.
#MJTrading
#GoldTrading #XAUUSD #TradingPsychology #AnythingCanHappen #MarkDouglas #ForexMindset #TradingQuotes #PriceAction #RiskManagement #MindOverMarkets #ChartOfTheDay #MJTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis โ XAUUSD Trading Plan for June 30, 2025
๐ Elliott Wave Structure
On the H1 chart, we observe a double zigzag correction WXY (in red). Currently, Wave Y appears to be developing as a green abc structure.
In this abc structure:
+ Wave a started with a leading diagonal (5-wave triangle).
+ Wave b followed as a typical abc correction (in black).
+ Wave c is currently unfolding as a clear 5-wave impulsive move, characterized by sharp and rapid price action.
The key issue now is to determine whether:
+ The price has completed wave 5 (black), or
+ It has only completed wave 3 (black) within the green wave c.
If the current movement is wave 3 (black), we should expect a wave 4 correction, followed by one more leg down to complete wave 5. In this scenario, wave 5 will be confirmed if the price breaks below 3255. There are two potential target zones for wave 5:
+ Zone 1: 3247
+ Zone 2: 3224
If wave 5 has already completed, the upward move to 3283 could be wave 1 of a new bullish trend. The next pullback would be wave 2, with an expected target between 3266 โ 3261.
โก๏ธ Momentum Analysis
D1 timeframe: Momentum is in the oversold region, suggesting a high probability of a bullish trend in the upcoming week. This supports the view that wave c (green) of wave Y (red) is nearing completion.
H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning bullish, indicating the current upward movement may continue. This adds to the uncertainty about whether wave 3 or wave 5 has ended.
๐งญ Trading Plan
๐ BUY ZONE 1
Entry: 3264 โ 3261
SL: 3254
TP1: 3283 | TP2: 3297 | TP3: 3315
๐ BUY ZONE 2
Entry: 3247 โ 3244
SL: 3237
TP1: 3283 | TP2: 3297 | TP3: 3315
โ ๏ธ Important Note
This trading plan assumes either wave 3 or wave 5 has completed. Therefore, if in the early Asian session, the price does not touch the 3264 โ 3261 zone but instead rises above 3283 without closing above 3297, and then drops back below 3283, we should avoid buying at 3264 โ 3261.
Instead, we should wait for a potential entry at the 3247 โ 3244 zone.
GOLD TOP DOWN ANALYSIS FOR MON. 30TH JUNE - FRI 4TH JULY, 2025Gold looks bearish heading into the new week. We had the formation of a weekly engulfing candle last week. I expect a pullback buy at market open from the current level to a take-profit level of 3316.
After that, I expect a sell-off from the 3318 level down to the 3000 level for the rest of the week.
I will be posting daily updates here, cheers!
BREAK THE HIGHI can see gold getting ready to move upside again. If it's in our favour, check the reaction above the price of 3425. it may give other continuation thee above price 3425 to move more upside
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
As always, market wins! trade with care. be a part of the market
Exclusive trading strategy, short gold!From the current gold structure, we can see that gold still needs to continue to retest the 3320-3310, or even the 3305-3295 area; so in the short term, we can still seize the opportunity to consider shorting gold in batches in the 3340-3360 area.
Trading signal:
@3340-3360 Sell, TP:3325-3315-3305
A reliable trader must have an explanation for everything and respond to everything. I have always been committed to the market and insist on writing the most useful core strategies for traders. The transaction details can be seen in the channel!
#GOLD Buy 3338.98#GOLD Buy 3338.98
SL 3332.98
TP 3340.98
TP 3348.98
TP 3362.98
Trade at your own risk
Protect your capital
The Wizard ๐งโโ๏ธ SWFX
X1: GOLD/XAUUSD Long Trades Risking 1% to make 1.8%X1:
#XAUUSD/#GOLD Long Trades
GOLD/XAUUSD Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 1.8%
Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
XAU/USD Start July 20251. i start after XAU/USD break previous High and correction (fibbo 32.0) respected. based on elliot wave strategy we can targeting end of wave 3 at 3353 area and than correction wave 4 (target at fibbo 32.0 - 50.0). after target correction, continue wave 5 at target 3403 area.
2. fundamentally speaking, new months new quarter. there ins't new catalist and sentiment. Macro Economic this week focus on labour market at US and FED projection to cut rate.
3. War at Iran and Israel, Russia and Ukraine, India and Pakistan, Trade War case, etc,.
4. Will be update
GOLD - bottom out here? What's next??#GOLD.. perfect move as per our analysis and now market looking bottom out here.
Our immediate supporting area is now 3298-98
Keep close with and keep in mind that
We will go for cut n reverse below 3298 on confirmation .
Good luck
Trade wisely
Never hold a short position blindly!In the 4-hour timeframe, consecutive bullish surges have broken the previous weak consolidation pattern. Focus on the key resistance level around 3350 above; for short-term support below, pay attention to the 3315 level, with the critical support zone between 3295-3300 being the primary focus. Overall, maintain the main theme of participating in long positions at lower levels within this range. For prices in the middle of the range, it is advisable to adopt a "wait-and-see" approach, avoid chasing trades impulsively, and patiently wait for key levels to enter positions.
XAU/USD Trade Setup โ June 30, 2025๐ XAU/USD Trade Setup โ June 30, 2025
Bias: Short (Sell Position)
Entry Zone: Around $3,363โ$3,370
Stop-Loss: ๐บ $3,259 (Above recent highs)
Take-Profit 1: ๐ฏ $3,308
Take-Profit 2: ๐ฏ $3,302
Risk/Reward: Favorable (1.8โ2.2:1 depending on entry)
๐ Technical View
Trend: Bearish below $3,370
Structure: Price rejected key resistance at $3,370โ$3,380
Indicators:
RSI weakening near 50 (bearish bias)
MACD crossing down on H1
Key Zone: A break and close below $3,350 will likely drive price toward your TP zones at $3,308 and $3,302.
โ ๏ธ Notes
Volatility expected near NY session open or if macro data hits (e.g. Fed speakers, inflation prints)
Consider scaling out partial profits at TP1 ($3,308) to lock gains
BUY TRAP OR TREND ?xauusd is supposed to frame bearish zone by faking bullish trend. the current candle sticks momentum indicate seller control. the dollar performance and high intererst rate along with geopolitical peace full events are likely to encourage a seller control.
the resistance is 3370 if market did not break it then it will fall on the last target i set up for you.
target 1 ( 3330)
target 2 (3302)
GOLD Will Move Higher! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 3,347.97.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,408.78 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD DAILYThe ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report for today showed a surprising decline of 33,000 jobs, well below the forecast of a 99,000 forecast and down from the previous monthโs modest gain of 29,000 jobs.
Key Details:
This negative figure indicates that private businesses in the US shed 33,000 jobs in June, marking a contraction in private-sector employmentโthe weakest report since March 2023.
The report is produced by the ADP Research Institute, which uses anonymized payroll data from about 26 million workers to estimate private-sector employment changes ahead of the official government Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report.
The decline reflects ongoing uncertainty among employers amid policy and economic challenges, including tariff impacts and consumer caution.
Market Implications:
The unexpected job losses may raise concerns about the health of the US labor market and the broader economy.
This data could increase expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts or a more dovish stance, potentially weighing on the US dollar and boosting safe-haven assets like gold and silver.
However, the ADP report often diverges from the official NFP, so markets will closely watch the upcoming government jobs data for confirmation.
In summary:
Juneโs ADP report revealed a contraction of 33,000 private-sector jobs, far below expectations, signaling caution in US labor market hiring and adding uncertainty to the economic outlook ahead of the official payrolls release.
#gold #xauusd
Mozafari Nejad ### Multi-Timeframe Analysis: 15min + 30min + 2# XAU/USD | Gold Market Outlook by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
### Multi-Timeframe Analysis: 15min + 30min + 2h | July 2โ3, 2025
---
## ๐ Technical Overview:
| Timeframe | Structure | Efficiency | Context |
|-----------|-----------|------------|---------|
| 15min | Bullish โ
| Efficient โ
| Reverse H&S complete โ price entering neckline zone |
| 30min | Bullish โ
| Inefficient โ | Clean BOS โ ready for potential continuation |
| 2H | Bullish โ
| Inefficient โ | HL confirmed โ clear bullish delivery range ahead |
---
## ๐ง Key Insights:
- **Left Shoulder - Head - Right Shoulder** clearly visible and now validated with neckline break
- Price is reacting from **last TLQ + ILQ zones** with MSU
- Strong **liquidity gap** above 3,380โ3,405 likely to be targeted
- **Highs around 3,420โ3,440** may act as liquidity magnet if clean break happens
- **BOS and CHoCH** confirmed across all LTFs โ strong bullish intent
- Structure remains **bullish** as long as 3,312โ3,320 HL holds
---
## ๐ฏ Price Zones to Watch:
| Zone | Action |
|--------------|----------------|
| 3,335โ3,340 | OB Flip Support / Demand (Retest Possible) |
| 3,368โ3,375 | Reaction Zone / Short-Term Take Profit |
| 3,404โ3,420 | Major Liquidity Above / SH Grab |
| 3,428โ3,440+ | Stop-Hunt Potential for Final Exit |
---
## ๐ Trade Scenarios:
### ๐ข Long Setup
- **Entry:** 3,340โ3,348 (OB retest or continuation)
- **SL:** below 3,328
- **TP1:** 3,375
- **TP2:** 3,400
- **TP3:** 3,420+
### ๐ด Caution for Short
Only valid if price shows **CHoCH + strong rejection** from above 3,420โ3,440.
Otherwise, trend continuation is dominant.
---
## ๐งญ Summary:
> Gold continues its bullish structure in all LTFs.
> Reverse H&S has broken neckline cleanly.
> Momentum + inefficiency zones above = clear drive to liquidity.
> Patience is key โ reentry on OB retest = high R/R setup.
---
๐๏ธ Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
*Smart Money | Liquidity Zones | Order Blocks | MSU/MSD Framework*
Gold is moving in a range-bound consolidation.The ADP employment data in the U.S. unexpectedly cooled down, with private sector employment dropping by 33,000 in June, far below the market expectation of an increase of 95,000. The previous value was revised down from 37,000 to 29,000, marking the largest single-month decline since March 2023. Meanwhile, the Challenger Enterprise Layoff Report showed that the number of layoffs in June was 48,000, with a monthly rate decrease of 48.84% and an annual rate decrease of 1.6%. Compared with the previous value of 93,800, it has significantly declined, indicating that the layoff pressure has eased. After the release of the ADP data, the U.S. Dollar Index fell sharply in the short term, and gold, as a safe-haven asset, rose rapidly. Gold showed a high-level consolidation trend. After repeatedly stabilizing in the 3,327 area, it rebounded and hit the resistance at around 3,351 U.S. dollars, lingering there. It is expected that the range consolidation of gold may face pressure.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@3330-3335
TP:3360-3365
Will Gold Continue Its Strong Rally or Face a Pullback?XAUUSD 02/07: Will Gold Continue Its Strong Rally or Face a Pullback?
๐ Technical Analysis โ Gold Faces Short-Term Pullback After Strong Rally
Gold has been experiencing a clear rally in recent days, but itโs currently undergoing a brief correction. The price has recently dropped slightly, prompting traders to keep a close eye on key levels for potential reversal or continuation of the bullish move.
๐ Macroeconomic Context โ Factors Impacting Gold's Price
USD Fluctuation: The weakness in the US Dollar continues to affect gold prices, creating opportunities for the precious metal to maintain its upward movement.
Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing global tensions, including the US-Iran conflict, act as a safe-haven factor, supporting gold demand.
Interest Rate Expectations: The market is closely watching for any changes in interest rate policies. Any future rate cuts by the Fed could further bolster gold's price.
๐ Technical Outlook (H1 โ H4 โ D1)
Short-Term Trend: On the H1 timeframe, the price of gold touched a key level near 3340. From there, the price began to experience a pullback. However, the upward momentum remains strong on higher timeframes.
Key Support Levels: The 3300 level remains a crucial support. If the price stays above this, thereโs a chance for gold to continue rising towards higher levels.
Key Resistance Levels: 3360 and 3380 are critical resistance levels. If breached, gold could move towards new highs.
๐ Important Support and Resistance Levels:
๐บ Resistance: 3345 โ 3360 โ 3380 โ 3400
๐ป Support: 3300 โ 3290 โ 3270 โ 3250
๐ก Trading Plan for Today, 02/07:
๐ต BUY ZONE:
๐ Entry: 3305 โ 3303
๐ SL: 3297
๐ฐ TP: 3315 โ 3325 โ 3340 โ 3360
๐ด SELL ZONE:
๐ Entry: 3360 โ 3362
๐ SL: 3368
๐ฐ TP: 3350 โ 3340 โ 3320
๐ฃ Conclusion:
Gold is showing signs of short-term correction but remains a strong asset due to geopolitical factors and monetary policies. Buying opportunities continue to be attractive at support levels, while key resistances will play a crucial role for any breakout. Keep an eye on the mentioned levels to capitalize on market movements.
Happy trading and best of luck to all traders!
Goldโs Got Legs โ as Long as 3,327 Holds Price respected the zone perfectly, bouncing clean off support around 3,327.
Structure still intact โ bulls defending well.
I'm personally expecting weaker US data, which could be the catalyst to drive us toward 3,380.
Simple setup. Clear target. Now itโs up to the market to deliver.
XAUUSD SHORT IDEAH4 BEAR ENGULF
TARGET 61.8 FIB LEVEL AND EMA CONFLUENCE
Rejecting EMA
Await 30 min confirmation to enter possibly during asian session
Potential Buy opportunity Gold had formed a W formation and moved upward quite a bit, it has created a pull back with the current bearish candle that has a nice wick.
It is also on a support, which evidence of the continuous bearish pattern on the left.
Entry at this point would be good in order to have a smaller stop loss.
#XAUUSD 30MIN ๐ #XAUUSD 30m Sell Setup โ Bearish Continuation Ahead
Gold is currently retracing after a strong drop, consolidating within a short-term Supply Zone. We anticipate a temporary bullish push toward the 3345โ3350 premium area, where the broader bearish trend is expected to resume.
๐ป Sell Zone: 3345 โ 3350 (Supply / OB Zone)
๐ฏ Targets: 3300 โ 3260
โ Stop Loss: Above 3358
โ Note: This is a short-term retracement, not a trend reversal.
We expect selling pressure to return once price taps into the 3350 Order Block, in line with the higher timeframe bearish structure.
#gold #XAUUSD #forexsignals #SmartMoney
XAUUSD 01 July - Price pushing into premium zone ๐น Macro Structure:
Gold has successfully broken structure (BOS) after forming a bullish shift in market structure (MSS) around the 326x โ 327x zone.
Current price action is respecting internal bullish order flow, with higher highs and higher lows being maintained.
Breakout above 3300 psychological level + recent BOS confirms bullish intent.
๐น Liquidity Map:
Buy-side liquidity is still resting above 3350 and into the strong OB at 3388, where a potential sell-side reaction could occur.
Sell-side liquidity below 3267 has not been swept recently, meaning deeper retracements may still occur after internal liquidity is cleared.
๐น Expectation:
Current wave is likely in impulse phase (Wave 3 โ Wave 5) aiming for 3388 OB.
A retracement into the discount zone (3301 โ 3303 OB) is ideal for a continuation trade.
Watch for bearish signs near 3388 โ this zone aligns with high liquidity, strong OB, and trendline confluence.
๐ต BUY SETUP (Retracement entry โ continuation)
Buy Zone: 3301 โ 3303 OB
Entry Trigger: Bullish engulfing / FVG fill
Stop Loss: Below 3297 (below recent swing low)
Targets: 3306 โ 3310 โ 3315 โ 3320 โ 3330 โ 3346 โ 3388
๐ด SELL SETUP (Reversal entry โ premium zone)
Sell Zone: 3348 โ 3350 (mitigation area)
Entry Trigger: CHoCH + bearish rejection wick
Stop Loss: Above 3354
Targets: 3344 โ 3340 โ 3335 โ 3325 โ 3310 โ 3300
โ
Alternative Entry (Low sweep)
Buy Limit: 3270 โ 3267 (deep OB + SSL zone)
SL: 3262
TP: 3280 โ 3290 โ 3300 โ 3315+
โณ Wait for price to confirm intention via structure + liquidity reaction before entering trades.
๐ง SMC traders: focus on manipulation zones, OBs, and internal BOS for precision entries.
