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GOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

GOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

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XAUUSDK trade ideas

Gold will close upper gapThe upper gap is still wide open, the potential for gold to rise to 3330 to close the gap is very large, on small timeframes the base is formed, and if we pull back in this area a base is also formed, this is the characteristic of gold that I have observed for a long time, if there is a base drop at past prices then at this price the base rallies, most likely after this base is a rally as well, this illustrates the analogy as if the market traps traders who are against the direction with the formation of the base then he will take the opposite direction but the increase is still far away. But it's quite tricky too because usually it doesn't immediately break the base but there will be a fake breakout first upwards even though the direction is indeed upwards but the price is made as if he fake breakout upwards and invited the sellers to counter trend first. to overcome this I take a buy stop or buy on strenght to let the price make a fakeout to the top first or can take a buy in the middle of the base area. Buy stop 3290 SL: 3270 (200 pips) TP: 3330
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rich_From_Home
Smart Scalping: How I Read The GOLD Impulse Before The MoveSetup Breakdown: This GOLD scalping opportunity was executed using a confluence of: • Belkhayate Impulsion Signal: Bullish trigger from the impulsion wave inside the channel • Volume Confirmation: Spike in volume supported short-term bullish reversal • Microstructure Support: Price rejected a dynamic exhaustion zone, confirming a low-risk entry. Risk Management Applied: Once in profit, I immediately moved SL to Break-Even to eliminate downside risk. As price surged: • I adjusted SL to 50% gain to protect partial profits • Exited manually after price hesitation near a key level • Trade closed in under 6 minutes, securing profit (0.23% gain) using 1 lot Why This Setup Worked: • Timing aligned perfectly with the Belkhayate channel reversion • The impulsion move was supported by volume divergence • Clean structural bounce confirmed by exhaustion wick = low drawdown entry Key Takeaway: This wasn’t a lucky scalp — it was a calculated reaction to price action, backed by method and experience. Precision execution, tight risk, and fast decision-making. Discipline > Prediction Executed via MT5 – Recreated on TradingView for educational purposes 🔔 Follow @GoldenZoneFX for clean entries, Belkhayate-based setups, and real-time market reads. 💬 Drop a 🔥 below if you’d like the full breakdown of the next GOLD opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenZoneFX
GOLD Fundamentals Affecting Gold Prices and Correlation with U.S. Bond Yields Key Factors Driving Gold Prices Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade wars, Russia-Ukraine conflict) and economic uncertainty drive investors to gold as a refuge, pushing prices to record highs Declining confidence in traditional safe havens like the U.S. dollar and Treasuries amplifies gold’s appeal . Central Bank Policies: Aggressive gold purchases by central banks (e.g., China, Russia,india ) to diversify reserves and hedge against sanctions underpin demand, removing significant supply from markets . The Federal Reserve’s cautious rate policy (steady at 4.25–4.50% in 2025) and subdued real interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold Gold thrives when real rates (nominal rates minus inflation) are low or negative. Despite moderating inflation, real yields remain depressed, sustaining gold’s attractiveness . Expectations of stagflation (rising inflation + weak growth) historically favor gold over bonds . U.S. Dollar Weakness: A 9% decline in the USD Index (2025) makes gold cheaper for foreign buyers, boosting demand . Central banks’ shift away from dollar reserves further pressures the currency, indirectly supporting gold . Supply-Demand Dynamics: Stagnant mining output (annual growth: 2–3%) and rising extraction costs constrain supply, while ETF inflows and industrial/jewelry demand add upward pressure . Gold’s Correlation with U.S. Bond Yields Traditionally, gold and bond yields exhibit an inverse relationship: higher yields (from rising rates) increase the opportunity cost of holding gold. However, recent dynamics have disrupted this pattern: 2024–2025 Anomaly: Concurrent rises in gold prices and Treasury yields occurred due to: Geopolitical Risks: Tariffs, trade wars, and conflict-driven inflation fears spurred demand for both gold (as a hedge) and bonds (as yields rose on inflation expectations) . Bear Steepening: Long-term yields outpaced short-term ones, reflecting expectations of prolonged inflation or growth, which gold historically offsets . Example: In March 2025, gold hit $3,500/oz as 10-year yields rose to 4.37% amid tariff escalations . Mechanisms Behind the Shift: Inflation Hedge: Gold’s role as an inflation hedge outweighs yield-driven opportunity costs when investors anticipate sustained price pressures . Loss of Confidence in Traditional Assets: Eroding trust in the U.S. dollar and Treasuries (due to fiscal policies and trade tensions) drives simultaneous demand for gold and higher bond risk premiums . Summary Table Factor Impact on Gold Prices Impact on Bond Yields Correlation Shift (2025) Geopolitical Risks ↑ (Safe-haven demand) ↑ (Inflation expectations) Positive (Both rise) Central Bank Gold Buying ↑ (Demand surge) – – Subdued Real Rates ↑ (Lower opportunity cost) ↓ (If nominal rates lag) Inverse (Gold ↑, Yields ↓) USD Weakness ↑ (Cheaper for non-USD) Mixed (Trade deficit risks) – Inflation Expectations ↑ (Hedge demand) ↑ (Compensation for inflation) Positive (Both rise) Conclusion Gold prices in 2025 are propelled by geopolitical uncertainty, central bank accumulation, and inflation hedging, while their correlation with U.S. bond yields reflects a complex interplay of stagflation fears and shifting investor confidence. The traditional inverse relationship has been disrupted by tariffs and macroeconomic instability, creating periods where both assets rise simultaneously. For investors, gold remains a critical hedge in portfolios exposed to equity volatility or dollar depreciation, even amid elevated bond yields. Key Levels to Watch: Gold: Resistance at $3,700/oz (Goldman Sachs 2025 target) . 10-Year Treasury Yield: Support at 4.25%, resistance at 4.50% . This dynamic underscores gold’s evolving role in a multipolar economic landscape where traditional asset correlations are increasingly volatile. #GOLD#XAUUSD#DOLLAR
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD-30 MINSCurrent Scenario Gold has been falling continuously, forming lower highs and lower lows. The recent up-move is a retracement to the Moving Average Resistance Zone (dynamic resistance cluster). This zone coincides with a prior supply area, increasing the probability of rejection. Volume analysis shows weakening bullish momentum, indicating a likely resumption of the downtrend. Technical View Price is facing rejection from the Moving Average ribbon (likely EMA cluster). The broader trend remains bearish, confirmed by structure and volume dynamics. Current retracement lacks strong buying volume, suggesting a weak bullish attempt. This is typically a setup for an impulsive fall continuation. Target Projection Breakdown from current levels can trigger a sharp fall towards 3075. Intermediate support exists at 3120 and 3100, but a decisive break will accelerate the down-move. The price could fall aggressively as it did in previous impulse legs. Key Levels to Watch Level Type Price Zone Resistance Zone 3180 - 3200 Intermediate Support 1 3120 Intermediate Support 2 3100 Expected Target 3075 Reverse Target Zone (Failure) Below 3070 Conclusion As per chart structure, Gold is more likely to continue its bearish move after this minor retracement. A breakdown below 3120 could trigger an impulsive fall towards the projected 3075 level. Close monitoring of volume and price action at the current resistance is advised. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading in financial markets involves significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Please conduct your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The author will not be held responsible for any losses incurred from trading based on this analysis.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by shiva560060
XAUUSD 15 MINUTE This chart shows the price movement of Gold Spot vs. the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on a 15-minute timeframe, with technical analysis suggesting a bearish outlook: Descending Triangle Breakdown: A descending triangle pattern has been marked, with horizontal support and descending resistance. The price broke down below the support, indicating a bearish signal. Bearish Chart Pattern: There are multiple lower highs circled, which reflect weakening bullish momentum. Breakout Confirmation: The recent candlesticks have broken below the support and are retesting the trendline from below—often a confirmation of a breakdown. Target Projection: The downward arrow suggests a potential price target, possibly based on the height of the triangle formation, pointing toward the 3,110–3,120 region. This setup implies a bearish continuation unless the price quickly reclaims the breakdown level. Do you want help calculating the exact measured move target or a suggested stop-loss level?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Alpha_Gold_Trader
Analysis of the latest gold trend on May 15: I. Analysis of news Short-term pressure factors Fed policy expectations: The market's expectations for the Fed to maintain high interest rates have strengthened (especially after the release of April CPI data), and the strengthening of the US dollar has suppressed gold prices. US-China trade easing: The rebound in risk appetite has weakened the safe-haven demand for gold, but the impact is limited, and we need to pay attention to subsequent progress. Global inflation signal: If US inflation data (such as PCE) falls in the future, it may ease hawkish expectations and provide support for gold. Long-term support factors Geopolitical risks: Potential risks such as the situation in the Middle East and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine still exist, and safe-haven buying may return at any time. Central bank gold purchase demand: Central banks of various countries (especially emerging markets) continue to increase their holdings of gold, which has long-term support for gold prices. II. Technical analysis Daily level Short-selling dominance: The big negative line fell below the lower Bollinger track, MACD dead cross and large volume, RSI is close to oversold (42.99), and there may be a rebound correction in the short term, but the trend is bearish. Key positions: Resistance: 3200-3210 (top and bottom conversion position), 3230 (5-day moving average). Support: 3170-3160 (short-term psychological barrier), 3140 (March low). 4-hour level Downward channel continuation: moving averages are arranged in short positions, MACD crosses below the zero axis, but be alert to the possibility of bottom divergence. Operation signal: If it rebounds to around 3200 and is under pressure, you can arrange short orders. If it falls sharply to below 3160 without breaking, you can lightly position and bet on a rebound. 3. Operation strategy Short-term: Short orders: Enter the market in the 3200-3210 area, stop loss above 3220, target 3170-3160. Long orders: Try to stabilize around 3160, stop loss below 3150, target 3180-3190 (quick in and out). Mid-term: If it falls below 3160, look down to 3140-3120; if it stands at 3230, short orders need to be cautious. IV. Risk Warning Focus on data: US April PPI (May 14), retail sales (May 15), speeches by Fed officials. Sudden news of geopolitical situation may trigger short-term sharp fluctuations. Position management: The current volatility is amplified, and it is recommended to hold a light position + strict stop loss. V. Summary Gold is subject to the hawkish expectations of the Fed in the short term, and the technical side is short-term dominant, but it is necessary to be vigilant against rebound corrections after oversold. Investors need to respond flexibly based on data and events, give priority to high-altitude and cautiously buy at the bottom. In the medium and long term, global economic uncertainty and central bank gold purchase demand will continue to provide support for gold.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Golden_Line_FX
Gold’s 3200 mark is the key!Due to the ceasefire between India and Pakistan and the easing of the Sino-US trade war, gold opened directly and fell below 3280 and 3260 successively, so the decline of gold will continue. From the gold hourly chart, the focus below is on the 3200 integer mark. If it falls below 3200 and cannot effectively stabilize, then gold will have a big double top here, and the next decline will extend to around the 3000 integer mark. On the contrary, if the 3200 mark is not broken, then the bulls will fight back, at least they will fill the gap again So in terms of operation, it is not recommended to chase the short now. If you want to go long on gold, you can wait for it to fall back to the 3200-3210 area and stabilize before buying
TVC:GOLDShort
by Fortune-signal
Gold 100% Trading SignalsFrom the daily chart, the daily K-line has gone through three consecutive positive patterns and broke through the middle track pressure. The current price stands firmly above 3,300 US dollars. The short-term bullish momentum is sufficient. If Wednesday and Thursday are positive, the upper side is 3,347 and 3,400. Therefore, there is a good upward space above the daily line. The 4-hour level breaks through the upper track, the Bollinger opening is upward, and the moving average system diverges upward. Therefore, the cyclicality is absolutely strong and unilateral. Then, the intraday support point is the conversion position of the key points of strength and weakness this week, 3,280. Although the Asian and European sessions have gone out of the direct upward momentum, the principle of not chasing highs is still to wait for a fall back to 3,285 to do more. The small cycle can also be looked at with confidence, without paying too much attention to the back and forth range, and waiting for the Asian and European sessions to adjust and trade. This wave of rise is expected to be seen after Thursday, and then see if there is room for adjustment on Friday.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ElvaHaywood
XAUUSD – Is the “Death Triangle” About to Break Down?Hey everyone, looking at the 8H chart, we can see that gold is tightening inside a narrow triangle – a sign of both consolidation and a potential major breakout coming soon. However, what's worth noting is that the price structure leans toward a bearish breakout, as gold continues to form lower highs and gets repeatedly rejected around the $3,250 resistance zone – which also aligns with the upper edge of the triangle. Below, the long-term ascending support line is under significant pressure. If sellers maintain control and push the price below this trendline, the next potential target could be the $3,080 zone – aligning with the most recent swing low and acting as a possible support area. Summary: The $3,250 zone is the “checkpoint” to watch for selling pressure. If the price fails to break above this level, the downtrend is likely to continue. The lower edge of the triangle is the “lifeline” for buyers. If it breaks, the likelihood of a deeper drop increases significantly. What’s your take on this setup? Let’s share our views and spot the best trading opportunities together!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
Gold - Looking for Next EntryThe previous long idea has been closed — we hit resistance and couldn’t break through easily, so the price started pulling back. Since the overall market sentiment remains positive and the trend is still bullish, I continue to trade from the long side and am now looking for a new entry point. 📝Trading plan: 1. Gold continues to rise – Buy on a confident breakout above the 3250 resistance level, with a stop at 3230. 2. Gold pulls back to the 3200–3210 area – Buy in this zone with a stop at 3180.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kventinka
PATIENCE PAYS 〉BEARS TRAPPED - HODL TO $4,000As illustrated, Im trying to visualize the beginning of the next impulse toward $4,000 This is an intraday - swing trade opportunity to 1H highs; however, it would be just the first move toward a longer term path to ATH above $3,500 Ride this wave as you can, but know that the yellow metal still has a lot of strength and power to continue growing. June might still behave strangely as it is a consolidation month on average 5-10-15 years; however, It wouldn't surprise me if market structure holds important support prices instead of ranging back below $3,200 - $3,150 ; in other words, that range might be strong longterm support. -- GOOD LUCK! SECURE PROFITS. persaxu
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PersaGold
GOLD SHORT SETUP🟡 Harmonic Pattern + Support Break = Bearish Confirmation 🐻 📉 #XAU/USD Analysis | 4H Timeframe #Gold has temporarily shifted into a bearish trend, and here's why I'm eyeing a short setup at current levels: ✅ Harmonic Pattern Completion spotted on the 4H chart ✅ Clear break below key support zone, now acting as resistance ✅ Lower highs and lower lows forming – confirming short-term bearish structure 📌 Entry: Current Market Price (CMP) 📌 SL: 3353.751 📌 TP Zones: 2974.632 ⚠️ Important Note: If bullish divergence forms on the 1H or 4H timeframe, I will consider closing the trade early at CMP. 💬 What’s your view on this #GOLD setup? Would you short here or wait for a pullback? 🔁 Like, share, and follow for more clean setups! 📲 Comment below with your thoughts or questions – let's discuss! #GOLD #XAUUSD #BearishTrend #HarmonicPattern #PriceAction #SupportResistance #Forex #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #ShortTrade #RiskManagement #Divergence
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mudusir
Gold rebounded to the expected position, 3205 short! 📌 Driving Event The announcement of a 90-day trade truce between the world's two largest economies also helped ease recession concerns in the United States, prompting investors to reduce expectations for aggressive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve (FED). This shift supports the continued rise in U.S. Treasury yields, further suppressing demand for interest-free gold. 📊 Commentary Analysis Today, the price of gold fell to its lowest point in more than a month. It once hit the lowest level since April 10 at 3120, and then rebounded to the 3200 line, and the volatility increased again! 💰 Strategy Package Short position: Actively participate in 3200-3203 points, with a profit target around 3120 points ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose a lot size that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Once again another smashing day on the charts today. After sharing updates and completing targets on our 1h chart idea; please now see update on our 4H chart idea, which is also playing out as analysed. We started with our Bullish target hit at 3282, followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 3343, which was hit perfectly. We then got ema5 cross and lock above 3342 opening 3404, also got completed. The cross and lock confirmation gave plenty of time to get in for the action. No further cross and lock with ema5 above 3404 confirmed the perfect rejection, which we are seeing now, with price testing the lower Goldturns for support. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3282 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3343 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3404 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3439 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3503 BEARISH TARGETS 3224 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3224 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING RETRACEMENT RANGE 3190 3138 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3138 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 3088 - 3046 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3046 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3015 - 2988 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
6
Potential Selling Opportunity on Gold from 3374 level!Hello traders, 👋 I’m closely watching Gold (XAU/USD) for a possible short setup around the 3374 zone, and here’s my breakdown: 📉 Trend Structure: Gold continues to respect its bearish market structure, consistently forming Lower Highs (LHs) and Lower Lows (LLs) — a clear sign of sellers maintaining control. 📐 Key Confluence at 3374: Price is currently retracing toward a descending trendline that perfectly aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, drawn from the previous swing highs. This confluence zone strengthens the case for a potential reversal. 📍 Sell Zone: I’m watching the 3360–3380 region, with 3374 being my preferred level to look for entries. Entry Confirmation: Before executing a trade, I’ll be waiting for: A bearish engulfing candle A bearish breaker block Or a strong rejection pin bar on the lower timeframes 🎯 Targets: TP1: 3321 TP2: 3253 TP3: 3210 🔒 Risk management is key – always wait for confirmation before entering! Let me know what you think in the comments — agree or disagree? 👇 Trade safe and stay sharp!
TVC:GOLDShort
by AmaWina
GOLD → Need to break Triangle Pattern !!!Gold Analysis Following a rejection at the 3,120.00 level last Thursday — a key H4 demand zone — gold is currently forming a triangle pattern. 🟢 Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the 3,250.00 level, it may present a buying opportunity with the nearest target at 3,320.00 . 🔴 Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the lower trendline of the triangle pattern, the nearest selling target is seen around 3,055.00. Best Regard
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by prafipytm
XAU/USD (Gold) – Long Opportunity from Ascending Triangle 🟡 XAU/USD (Gold) – Long Opportunity from Ascending Triangle Breakout Gold is showing a strong bullish structure with a well-formed ascending triangle on the chart, often a signal of continuation in an uptrend. 🔸 Key Technicals: Rising trendline of higher lows indicates strong buyer interest. Horizontal resistance at $3,255 has been tested multiple times. Volume and structure suggest a potential breakout above resistance. 🔸 Trade Idea: Entry: Upon breakout and retest of the $3,255 zone. Stop-Loss: Below recent support and trendline (~$3,223). Take Profit 1: $3,322 – Move SL to breakeven once hit. Take Profit 2: $3,388 – Based on the height of the triangle projected upward. This setup offers a clean 4% move with solid risk-to-reward. Ideal for swing traders watching Gold’s reaction to macroeconomic events. 📌 Always wait for breakout confirmation and manage risk wisely. Let’s see if the bulls have what it takes to push through! 🚀
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ghostysellsdonkeys