XAU/USD – Price Approaching Demand Zone (7 July 2025)📉 XAU/USD – Price Approaching Demand Zone (7 July 2025)
Gold has been consistently rejecting the upper gap zone and is now approaching the key 3292–3296 demand area.
📊 Key Zones:
🔻 Supply Zone (Gap): 3355–3357
🔻 Higher Supply: 3382–3404
🟩 Demand Zone to Watch: 3292–3296
🟩 Deeper Support: 3207–3231
📍 A reaction from 3292–3296 could trigger the next bullish leg. Watch for structure confirmation before entry.
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XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold’s Bullish Range Holds – Is This the Dip to Buy?With tensions easing in the Middle East and risk appetite moderating, gold has settled into a bullish daily range. The metal recently broke a key high, confirming its upward momentum, but now appears to be consolidating. The central question is whether gold will break lower for a deeper correction or whether this is merely a pause before the next leg higher.
Reduced geopolitical risk has tempered the “risk-on” rally in gold, but the metal remains firmly within a bullish daily range. This indicates that the underlying bid has not disappeared—only short-term speculative flows have adjusted.
Gold recently breached a protected high—likely a higher high or significant resistance level—reinforcing the prevailing bullish momentum. A pullback into imbalance or demand zones is anticipated; however, if a catalyst emerges, price could resume its advance from current levels, with the 0.328 Fibonacci retracement acting as a strong support.
Meanwhile, the DXY is exhibiting signs of a pullback but lacks the fundamental drivers necessary to sustain a broader rally.
GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
GOLD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry - 3335.9
Stop - 3338.8
Take - 3330.1
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Why is the 147k Beat in Payrolls Data Not as Strong as it Seems?Yesterday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report came in above expectations, but a closer look at the details reveals a less encouraging picture. Despite the headline beat, market reactions quickly faded. For instance, gold initially dropped from 3350 to 3311 in the first 15 minutes after the release but has since recovered more than 75% of that decline. So why is the June jobs report not as strong as it first appeared?
According to the BLS report, nonfarm payrolls increased by 147k in June, surpassing the consensus estimate of 106k. However, when breaking down the numbers, private payrolls rose by just 74k, well below expectations. Most of the gains came from government and healthcare hiring. Government jobs accounted for 73k new positions, and 63k of those came from the education sector alone.
Some analysts suggest the high net hiring in education may be due more to a lack of firings, a consequence of a tight labor market in that sector. Meanwhile, the 59k increase in healthcare jobs is part of a long-term trend. Over the past two years, the U.S. has added an average of 70k healthcare jobs per month. This growth is largely driven by the needs of an aging population and reduced payrolls during and after the pandemic that have yet to fully recover.
If you exclude government and healthcare hiring, U.S. payrolls increased by just 15k in June.
The unemployment rate also came in better than expected, falling to 4.1% from 4.2%, while markets had anticipated a rise to 4.3%. However, this decline was driven by a drop in the labor force participation rate, which fell to 62.3% from 62.6% in just two months , a worrying sign that fewer people are actively participating in the labor market.
In the first 15 minutes after the data came, gold fell to 3311 from 3350. In the following 18 hours, gold recaptures 85% of the loss. Gold is still over the broken bearish trendline in 1-H timeframe. With tariff deadline in 9th July and incoming 10-12 tariff letters coming in from Trump in the next few days, gold could have potential to go upwards with market understands this jobs data is not strong as it seems.
Who will be the winner in the battle between bulls and bears?From the analysis point of view, the short-term resistance above is around 3295-3301, and the pressure at 3315-3316. Focus on the pressure at 3324, the long-short watershed. In terms of operation, the rebound will continue to be the main short and look for a decline. The short-term support below is around 3250-3255. Relying on this range, the main tone of high-altitude participation remains unchanged.
Plan for London on NFP Day (03.07.2025)⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. It’s simply my personal trade plan and analysis.
I just want to share knowledge for free – that’s all.
My concept is: Keep it simple, stupid.
Life is already complicated enough thanks to the people around me, so I prefer to keep things simple… at least when it comes to my charts. 😆
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📈 London Session Trade Plan (only for London session)
Resistance Zones
Zone 1: 3422 – 3410
Zone 2: 3394 – 3380
Support Zone
Zone 1: 3334 – 3327
Entry Strategy – I’m watching for 4 main scenarios:
1. Blue Arrow:
If price reaches Resistance Zone 1 → wait for clear PA (Price Action) on M15 or M30 → then look to Sell
2. Black Arrow:
If price reaches Resistance Zone 2 → wait for PA on M15 or M30 → then Sell
3. Red Arrow:
If price drops to Support Zone 1 → wait for PA on M15 or M30 → then Buy
4. Pink Arrow:
If price breaks below Support Zone 1 → wait for price to pull back → then Sell
(In this case, I’ll use Fibonacci to assist with entries – key levels: 50.0 and 61.8)
But for today, I give this scenario a lower win rate compared to my other techniques. So I’ve decided not to use this strategy for the London session.
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‼️Scenario 5 – Sideways Market
If price just keeps ranging inside the green circle and there's no clear PA → I will not react at all.
This is common before big events like NFP. No signal = No action.
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✅ Reminders to Myself:
I'm an intraday trader who separates sessions by market behavior.
Today is NFP day, and price often moves wildly and irrationally.
It's okay to stay out of the market.
When in doubt
Focus on tomorrow’s non-farm payrolls!Gold hourly chart;
Gold short-term analysis; Gold 4-hour analysis shows that the stochastic indicator is golden cross, which is a bullish signal; MACD indicator double lines stick together upward, which is a bullish signal; 4-hour bias continues to rise; 4-hour downward trend channel is temporarily suppressed, and the pressure position is near 3355, which is the only empty point today; the short-term support position is temporarily near 3320;
Gold breaks trend – bullish wave returnsIn the most recent trading session, gold (XAUUSD) has made a strong rebound from the key support zone around $3,263 and is now approaching a short-term resistance near $3,347 – signaling a potential continuation of the bullish momentum in the short term.
1. Price Structure & Market Behavior After reaching a local top around $3,347–$3,350, gold entered a clear downtrend.
However, the breakout of the descending trendline (yellow line) with solid bullish candles is a strong reversal signal.
The market has formed higher highs and higher lows with strong bullish candles, confirming a V-shape reversal pattern from the bottom zone.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels Immediate resistance: $3,347–$3,350 – previous rejection zone.
Short-term support: $3,308 – newly broken resistance now acting as support.
Major support: $3,263 – previous low with strong bullish bounce, highlighting significant buyer interest.
3. Suggested Trading Strategy Given the strong breakout and bullish trend structure, traders may consider a buy-the-dip strategy around $3,308–$3,315 on potential pullbacks.
Stop-loss should be placed below $3,263 to protect against false breakouts.
Short-term take-profit targets can be set at $3,350–$3,360. If this level breaks, extended targets could reach $3,375.
Volume & Momentum Volume is increasing along with price, confirming strong buyer participation.
Bullish candles are closing near highs, showing weak selling pressure and suggesting the uptrend may continue.
Conclusion: Gold has resumed a short-term uptrend after breaking its previous downtrend. Traders should favor bullish setups and look for pullbacks to enter at better prices. Watch the $3,347 zone closely – if gold breaks and holds above it, further upside is likely.
Gold technical analysis and operation suggestionsGold technical analysis and operation suggestions
Market review:
Yesterday, gold showed a bottoming-out and rebounding trend. It quickly dropped to 3250 in the Asian session and then stabilized and rebounded. It rose in the European and US sessions, reaching a high of 3296 before falling under pressure. After the US session stepped back to 3270 for the second time to confirm support, it accelerated to rise, breaking through the 3300 integer mark. The daily line closed with a bottoming-out and rebounding, indicating that the 3250 support is effective, and the short-term adjustment may come to an end.
Current trend:
Gold prices continued to rebound after opening today, and now hit the 3320 line. It is necessary to pay attention to the 3324 long-short watershed pressure. If it breaks through effectively, it will confirm the reversal, and you can step back and follow up with long orders; on the contrary, if it falls under pressure, consider arranging short orders at high levels.
Technical points:
4-hour chart: 3324 is the key long-short watershed, and the support below is 3295-3301 (yesterday's resistance conversion position).
Operation idea: high short and low long within the range, follow up after breaking through 3324.
Operation strategy:
Short order: 3321-24 light position short, stop loss 3332, target 3295-3301, hold after breaking down.
Long order: 3295-3301 stabilizes and goes long, stop loss 3287, target 3320-24, hold after breaking through.
Gold bulls rise, continue to go long after falling backBecause it broke through the key suppression of 3324, we can go long on the contrary. The upper long position target is 3348. Although many people insist on being bearish, we must grasp the trend of the market and analyze it with technical aspects as the main and news as the auxiliary. At present, long orders are already profitable. Be a person who makes comprehensive judgments and don’t be at a loss about market analysis because of stop loss. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with me!
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper focus is on the 3345 line of pressure, the lower short-term support is around 3314-3316, and the key support is 3295-3301. The overall support is based on this range to maintain the main tone of low-multiple participation. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold is long at 3316-24, and it will be long at 3295-3303 when it falls back, with a stop loss at 3293 and a target at 3348. If it breaks, continue to hold;
Gold Breaks Key Resistance — Bullish Spike in FormationGold dropped to the 61% Fibonacci retracement level, aligning with the long-term ascending trendline, where it showed a strong bullish rejection.
Currently, price is breaking out of the descending channel and the 200 SMA, and is beginning to form a potential bullish spike formation.
If this pattern completes and breaks to the upside, we would have three confluencing technical signals pointing to a possible target area around $3,425.881.
📌 I’ll wait for a confirmed breakout of the bullish spike to look for long entries.
XAUUSD H1 I Bearish Drop Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is trading near our sell entry at 33192, which is a pullback support.
Our take profit will be at 3297.07, a pullback support.
The stop loss will be placed at 3350.85, which is a swing high resistance.
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Gold Breakout Done New Short Entry Valid To Get 200 Pips !Here is my opinion on gold at he moment , in 15 mins T.F wr have a fake breakout but 3343.00 forced the price to go down which is a great res for this pair and we have avery good bearish price action and good closure below my res level 3341.00 so it`s my num 1 place to enter a sell trade if the price go back to retest it , and if not , 3383.00 will be my best place to sell it .
Bulls recover in new week, gold price returns to 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) regained some lost ground during Monday’s Asian session, buoyed by growing expectations that the US Federal Reserve may implement more interest rate cuts this year—and potentially sooner than previously anticipated. Such prospects weigh on the US Dollar, making the dollar-denominated metal more attractive to overseas buyers.
However, the recent improvement in global risk sentiment—driven by the US-China trade accord and a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran—could reduce demand for Gold’s safe-haven appeal. Investors now turn their attention to upcoming comments from Federal Reserve officials, with speeches from Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee expected later in the day.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovered, accumulating at the beginning of the new week around the price range of 3300. Still in the main downtrend.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3316- 3318 SL 3323
TP1: $3305
TP2: $3290
TP3: $3277
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3248-$3246 SL $3241
TP1: $3258
TP2: $3270
TP3: $3286
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionIn this video, I break down last week’s gold price action and give you a detailed outlook for the week ahead. With gold closing around $3,260 and major macroeconomic shifts unfolding—including the Israel-Iran ceasefire talks, rising US dollar strength, and concerns over the US Q1 GDP contraction, we are at a turning point.
📉 Will weakening economic data force the Fed to pivot?
📈 Could this create a fresh bullish wave for gold?
Or will stronger job numbers and inflation data drag gold lower?
✅ What you’ll learn in this video:
✅Key fundamental drivers affecting gold (XAU/USD)
✅Important economic events to watch (Fed Chair speech, NFP, ISM)
✅My technical analysis of gold price levels to watch
✅How to read the current market sentiment like a pro
✅Strategic trading zones for bulls and bears
🔔 Don’t forget to like the video in support of this work.
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
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GOLD 45MINTHE month of july 1 Key Economic Outlook ;
Central Bank Speeches
(1)The bank of England head (BOE) Gov Bailey might speak in context on BOE 4.25% rate cut ,uk inflation about 3.45% is still above limit and the goal is 2%.my focus will be on his rhetoric's ,if he sounds dovish or Hawkish tones, then GBP will react to the sentiment.
(2)Bank of japan (BOJ) Gov Ueda will center on rate held steady at 0.5% and core inflation remains above 2%,market will watch the sentiment because its likely he will address yield -curve control adjustments or hawkish signals , which will potentially boost JPY AND JP10Y
the head of united states Fed reserve Chair, sir! Powell will speak and it comes with red folder ,the last monetary policy meeting kept Fed funds rate at 4.25–4.50% ,Powell recently emphasized patience on rate cuts based on cautious wait and see approach
Key Messages Expected:
Tariff-driven inflation risks require vigilance.
Rate cuts unlikely until September unless inflation cools markedly.
"No urgency" to ease policy amid solid labor market.
US Economic Data Releases
Final Manufacturing PMI 52.0 52.0 Neutral if unchanged; USD positive if >52.0.
ISM Manufacturing PMI 48.8 48.5 Contractionary (<50); USD negative if <48.5.
JOLTS Job Openings 7.32M 7.39M USD negative if <7.32M (labor cooling).
ISM Manufacturing Prices 69.6 69.4 USD positive if >69.6 (inflationary pressure).
Construction Spending -0.2% -0.4% Limited impact unless significantly below forecast.
Market Implications
USD: Powell’s tone is critical. Hawkish remarks (delayed cuts) could lift DXY; dovish hints may weaken it. Data surprises (especially ISM/JOLTS) could amplify volatility.
GBP/JPY: Bailey/Ueda speeches may drive cross-pairs. BOJ hawkishness could weaken EUR/JPY carry trades.
Risk Assets: Weak ISM/JOLTS data may pressure equities (US30) and boost bonds (↓US10Y).
Summary of Key Risks
Powell Speech: Reiteration of "no imminent cuts" likely. Watch for tariff-inflation warnings.
ISM/JOLTS: Sustained manufacturing contraction or softer labor demand could fuel recession fears.
Carry Trades: JPY strength (Ueda) may pressure EUR/JPY/AUD if BOJ signals policy shift.
#gold #fx
Gold has shown signs of recovery DowntrendXAUUSD Gold Technical Outlook – June 30
Gold has shown signs of recovery at the start of the session, largely supported by a weaker U.S. dollar. However, the upside remains uncertain as long as the price stays below key resistance zones.
Gold is still in a downtrend Price action suggests a potential correction phase Key resistance area lies between 3294 – 3312 Failure to break this zone keeps the bearish pressure intact.
If the price fails to hold above 3272, further downside targets are
Key Levels:
Resistance: 3294 / 3305 / 3312
Support: 3272 / 3255 / 3245
You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for better analysis share with you.