XAUUSDK trade ideas
Iran 🇮🇷 vs Israel 🇮🇱 GOLD Rally #GOLD Buy 3395.64Iran 🇮🇷 vs Israel 🇮🇱 GOLD Rally
#GOLD Buy 3395.64
SL 3385.64
TP 3397.64
TP 3405.64
TP 3419.64
TP 3495.64
TP 3595.64
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The Wizard 🧙♂️ SWFX
Gold breaks through strongly and is bullish
Gold market analysis and outlook
Fundamental driving factors
Inflation data and Fed policy
The US CPI data in May was lower than expected, reinforcing the market's expectations for the Fed's September rate cut. The US dollar index was under pressure (falling to 98.42, close to a six-week low), boosting the attractiveness of gold.
The expectation of a downward trend in real interest rates and the decline in US Treasury yields further supported gold prices.
Geopolitical risks
Tensions in the Middle East have intensified, and safe-haven demand has surged. Gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, has received buying support.
Influence of related markets
The weak US dollar (-0.4%) reduces the cost of holding gold, and the volatility of US stocks and uncertainty in trade policies have prompted funds to flow to safe-haven assets.
Key technical signals
Daily level
The price broke through the previous shock range, the short-term moving average was in a bullish arrangement, and the MACD momentum turned strong. Pay attention to the 3390-3400 pressure zone.
Yesterday's big positive line closed to confirm short-term strength, and 3385-3400 is the next key resistance zone.
Short-term (1H)
After hitting 3356 in the early trading, it broke through the high again, showing that the bulls are dominant, and 3355-3360 constitutes the first support of the day.
If the price does not break 3355 after the retracement, the bullish structure will be maintained, and the upper target is 3377-3385; after the breakthrough, it can look to the 3400 mark.
Trading strategy suggestions
Bull opportunities
Entry area: 3345-3350 support range.
Target: 3377 (Asian high) → 3385 → 3400.
Stop loss: below 3340 (to prevent false breakthroughs).
Short risk warning
If the gold price rises to the 3385-3400 area and is under pressure, you can try shorting with a light position, stop loss 3405, and target 3360.
Key risk control position
Support: 3345 (strength and weakness dividing line) → 3338 (daily bull defense line).
Resistance: 3377 (European session high) → 3387 (previous high concentration area).
Conclusion: Gold maintains a relatively strong pattern under the resonance of fundamentals and technical aspects. The operation is mainly to go long on pullbacks, and it is necessary to be vigilant against the risk of profit-taking at high levels.
XAUUSD H4 I Bullish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 3403.57, which is a pullback support.
Our take profit will be at 3472, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, adding a significant level for a potential bearish reversal.
The stop loss will be placed at 3347.94, an overlap support.
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MY VIEW ON XAUUSDPrice should come back to the previous broken support on the 4hr time frame , but my entry would be on 15min that’s where I will be looking out for bullish momentum to take it up ….
BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY SETUP FOR TODAYGold (XAU/USD) is showcasing strong bullish momentum after breaking above the key resistance zone near $3,404, now acting as fresh support. 🔄 The price formed a bullish structure with clean higher highs and higher lows on the 30-minute chart, confirming buying strength. 🟣 The marked demand zone around $3,392–$3,404 is critical—if price retests and holds this level, we can expect a continuation toward $3,420 and beyond. 🚀📌 Traders should watch for bullish confirmations on pullbacks to this zone for potential long setups. 🧠⚡
XAUUSD Where are we in the Wyckoff cycle?We are between Phase B and Phase C of a potential Distribution on the higher range (around $3400.
Here's the breakdown:
Buying Climax (BC) and Automatic Reaction (AR) are well-formed.
We are now waiting for the confirmation of the Secondary Tests and also a potential Upthrust Actions near the top around $3400 area.
Next logical sweep target will be Buy-side liquidity above PDH area.
Possibly creating Secondary test for confirmation.
Then it should trigger a markdown phase.
If distribution fails, Smart Money would invalidate the entire range with a full Breakout + Retest + Continuation above 3,400 but low probability without more volume or wars.
Two scenarios here:
Bearish (Higher Probability)
Idea: Wait for a Secondary Test or Lower High around the resistance/POI near 3,390–3,396
Entry: Short on rejection or bearish M5 structure break after tagging that area
SL: Above 3,400 (or 30-40 pips above ST candle wick)
TP1 = 3377 (gap close)
TP2 = 3360 (Daily Gap)
TP3 = 3338 (PDL retest)
🟩 Bullish (Only if invalidation happens)
Idea: If we break above 3400 clean and hold on retest, it means Phase D of Accumulation started instead.
Entry: Long on retest of 3400 as support
SL: Below 3400
TP: Trail it...
Stay reactive around 3,390–3,396 for short opportunity only if price shows signs of failure there.
By the time it took me to post this idea the price has already move up 100 pips.
Trade safely!!
Will gold definitely rise if the news is good?
📊Technical aspects
1. The daily line pattern continues to close. The previous three days relied on the lifeline to lift the space. Now the lifeline position is in the 3317 area, which is close to the early morning low point 3319 and becomes the support range
The upper rail resistance position 3405 coincides with the previous high point 3403.5 area
Comprehensive support 3317-3319, resistance 3403-3405
2. The four-hour surge of more than 50 US dollars has pulled the pattern upward, but the European session just fell sharply by 37 US dollars, and the market has been pulled back to the exit again. Pay attention to the lifeline position and the double line superposition at 3335-3330, which also coincides with the lower track of the small channel 3330-3325 area, and together become the nearest support area
The upper track overlaps with the upper track of the small channel 3370 area
Comprehensive support 3320-3330, resistance 3370-3380
Currently, under multiple favorable factors, gold has repeatedly failed to break the previous high (3403).
From the technical pattern, it can be seen that the upper resistance line is still strong. On the contrary, the sharp drop just echoes the weakness of the bulls. Gold is still dominated by shorts.
Finally, let me talk about the current international situation that is favorable to gold. If you simply trade based on news, I don’t think everyone will become a millionaire by reading the news.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position：3370-3385
XAUUSD: Volatile Uptrend Breaks Through Narrow RangeTechnical indicators are just references for the trend of gold, and the real market movement is driven by market sentiment.
The CPI data released today was lower than expected, which is a bullish signal for gold. The information on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond auction released in the evening is bearish based on the data. In addition, news about various geopolitical conflicts are all influencing and driving market sentiment.
In the long term, gold is definitely trending upward. For short-term operations, technical analysis needs to be combined with the current market sentiment.
Today's various data have caused gold to show a volatile upward trend. After breaking through the resistance of the narrow range at $3,350 and reaching $3,360, it retracted to around $3,320. The current trading range is $3,300-$3,380.
XAU/USD
buy@3310-3320-3330
tp:3350-3360-3370
sell@3380-3370-3360
tp:3345-3335-3325
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Analysis of the latest gold price trends!Market news:
In the early Asian session on Wednesday (June 11), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading at $3,330 per ounce. London gold prices rose and fell on Tuesday as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine continued and the World Bank also lowered its global economic growth forecast. Traders are closely watching the Sino-US trade negotiations, the results of which may ease trade tensions and boost the global economy, thereby reducing the demand for safe-haven assets, while the continued rise in US stocks has also suppressed the safe-haven buying demand for international gold.In the past few days, gold has fallen from its recent highs, mainly because the market has optimistic expectations for negotiations between China and the United States and Britain and Russia. If the United States and China reach a trade agreement, it will weaken the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset. Gold is a hedge investment tool and usually rises during periods of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. The market is currently focusing on the upcoming US CPI data for May. Expected data show that inflation may rise slightly to 2.5%, with core CPI around 2.9%. If the data exceeds expectations, it may be bearish for gold in the short term; if inflation slows down, it will strengthen the market's expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates this year, which is bullish for gold prices.
Technical review:
Technical daily chart continues to close with alternating yin and yang cycles, the moving average is glued together, and the RSI indicator runs on the middle axis. The moving average of the four-hour chart is glued together, the price is adjusted near the middle track of the Bollinger Band, and the RSI indicator is flat. Gold rose above 3349 yesterday and fell back to 3320 in the early morning. After a sharp drop to 3315 in the Asian session, it needs to break the low point of 20 in the early morning and then quickly rise to 3331. Pay attention to the 3320 position in the Asian session. If 3320 stabilizes and moves upward, continue to look at the test of 3340/50 during the day. Otherwise, if it loses again or adjusts around 20 during the day, it will be regarded as a weak sell. Pay attention to 3306/3293 below. Gold technical aspects continue to be arranged with a shock idea. Under the premise that there is no news to stimulate the selling, gold continues to maintain low-price buying as the main technical aspect, and high-price selling as the auxiliary.
Today's analysis:
From the daily level, gold is in a high-level shock consolidation since the peak of 3500. The current highs of 3500, 3435, and 3403 are gradually moving down, and the lows of 3120, 3245, and 3293 are gradually rising. The shock range is gradually narrowing. The short-term market may continue to maintain shocks. If it breaks, it needs to wait for the direction of the breakthrough to be stimulated by major news!
So today's lock range is 3293-3360. It is recommended to sell at high prices and buy at low prices to treat shocks, mainly short-term or ultra-short-term, and do not chase ups and downs before the range is effectively broken.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3310-3330, stop loss at 3292, target at 3340-3360;
Sell short-term gold at 3350-3363, stop loss at 3362, target at 3300-3310;
Key points:
First support level: 3320, second support level: 3306, third support level: 3292
First resistance level: 3346, second resistance level: 3358, third resistance level: 3376
Trading Game of the day 11-MAY-2025On this day 11-MAY-2025 ,CPI core,m and y was released and all of them were negative for the dollar
My performance depend on patience .
So after release of the NEWS ,be patient and patient and patinet until the price gives you the direction and give you the opportunity to enter the market
1-PDA :- which is the OB
2-Re- (H4-H2-H1-30m) and ST (SHARP TURN)in lower than 15m-TF
3-CISD
4-FVG retraced from it and make another FVG which represent our entry (sell order)
5-sell order from 3340 and the profit is 3330
Thanks
Gold structure analyse for tonight 11-Jun-25gold drops to 3325 - 3320 first, then pulls back to 3350 and breaks out to 3356, with a target of 3370 - 3400
Today's main USD news at 7:30 PM tonight
Buy entry zone: 3325 - 3320
SL: 3310
TP1: 3350
TP2: 3370
TP3: 3400
Buy Setup My Buy Setup
I’M BUYING XAUUSD (3335- 3332
💵TP1: 3338
💵TP2: 3341
💵TP3: 3346
💵TP4: Open
❌ STOP LOSS: 3327
Check the trend It is expected that a trend change will occur at the current resistance level and we will see a continuation of the downtrend. If the price breaks through the resistance level and consolidates above the resistance level, a continuation of the uptrend is likely.
GOLD PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS – June 11, 2025 GOLD PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS – June 11, 2025 🟡
Technical Breakdown & Bearish Scenario Ahead ⚠️📉
🔍 Overview:
The chart presents a clear range-bound structure with strong horizontal resistance around the $3,400–$3,420 zone and support around the $3,120–$3,160 level. Price is currently trading near the upper range of the consolidation.
📊 Key Technical Levels:
🔴 Resistance Zone: $3,400 – $3,420
➤ Price has been rejected here multiple times (highlighted by red arrows and orange circles), showing strong supply pressure.
🟣 Intermediate Support: $3,260.618
➤ This level acted as a minor support and could be tested again if the current pullback deepens.
🟤 Major Support Zone: $3,120 – $3,160
➤ A key demand area where price previously bounced significantly.
📉 Bearish Setup:
A potential lower high is forming just below the resistance zone.
The projected path suggests a minor pullback to form a bearish retest, followed by a potential breakdown below $3,260.
If the $3,260 support is broken decisively, further downside toward the $3,120–$3,160 support is likely (blue arrow projection).
🔄 Bullish Scenario (Invalidation):
A breakout and strong close above $3,420 could invalidate the bearish structure.
In that case, price might attempt to target higher resistance levels beyond $3,440.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold remains in a range with a bearish bias unless the $3,420 resistance is breached.
🔽 Watch for confirmation below $3,260 for bearish continuation.
✅ For bulls, wait for a strong breakout above resistance with volume.
Gold 1H Current levels 6/10/25Just providing an update on the key levels I have observed on the 1H Gold chart.
XAUUSD - Next Course of ActionXAUUSD is near the Liquidity Area 3337-3344, if 1H time frame candle closes above this area then on the confirmation of RSI, you can go for Buy Trade setup with the following Targets:-
TP1 at 3354
TP2 at 3359
TP3 at 3365
TP4 at 3375 (By Trailing Stop Loss)
But if it pullback from the are then you can place a Sell Trade below 3333 with the following Targets:-
TP1@3319
TP2@3293
TP3@3275 (by trailing stop loss)
Always wait for proper confirmation before you plan your trades...
This setup is for educational purposes...
Do your own research before trading in Gold, we are not responsible for your loss...
XAUUSD:Focus on trade negotiations and CPI dataGold prices stabilized and rebounded after continuing last Friday's decline. Yesterday, they fell back to the 3,300 level before rising slowly to 3,338, where they encountered resistance and pulled back, in line with the technical consolidation rhythm.
Key Fundamental Events:
- China-US trade negotiations: The US has signaled a willingness to relax export restrictions, and the market is awaiting the outcome, which could impact risk sentiment.
- US May CPI data: Inflation changes will provide key guidance for the Federal Reserve's policy.
Technical Levels:
- Support: 3,295 and 3,285
- Resistance: 3,330 and 3,350
Trading Strategies:
- The current trend is weak but with limited downside space. Focus on buying on dips and avoid shorting aggressively.
- Consider staying on the sidelines today and waiting for clear negotiation results before entering positions to reduce volatility risks.
Risk Warning:
Escalating internal conflicts in the US (such as the Los Angeles riots) may intensify market volatility. Traders should adapt flexibly and avoid greedy chasing of orders.
XAUUSD
sell@3335-3330
tp:3310-3300
buy@3295-3300
tp:3320-3330
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Gold analysis – 1H FVG and OB setupPrice failed to hold at the first 1H FVG (red circle) and broke through quickly.
At the second 1H FVG (green circle), we entered a Buy position, and it’s currently running in profit ✅
Now, price is testing another 1H FVG around 3,327. If we get bullish confirmation here, upside targets are:
🔹 1H OB at 3,370
🔹 1H OB near 3,390–3,410
If price gets rejected again, watch for retracement into lower FVG zones: 3,290 and 3,250
Smart Money Concepts in play – watching PA for next move.
📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD
📚 Daily setups & educational trades
📱 IG: @profitamin.fx
Gold Buy- Go for short term buy then manage your trade
- could be just small trade then potentially go one more down
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow
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XAUUSD CHARTINGThis chart was made for the team to be able to follow what the market is going to do...
We're looking for a deep sell to the LH side breaking from the HL and the watch the market reverse to retest again the 3311-3319 area if we see a break of the area the market will continue to 3360 with some ranging and fluctuations.
- 3241-3278 Becareful of this holy Grail Liq Sweep... If market comes down near this area wait for 4 candle confirmation after ranging period.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to attempt the high, fail and make the move downside. This worked well in the early part of the week giving traders a fantastic capture for the short trade into the red box target levels which were all complete. During the week we update trades with the plan to long, and although there was a break from the red box, our lower red box bounced price giving the long trade completing the move.
It was only towards the end of the week where we started ranging that we only managed to capture short scalps on the upside move before the suggesting we call it a day, thankfully before the small decline from the level.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We have a key level here of 3310-6 which has been a previous pivot in this range and is holding price down at the moment. This now make a crucial support region forming at the 3280-5 level with extension of the move into 3275. If this level holds and the red box reacts, we can see price push up from here and attempt to target the 3400 level again, which is towards the top of the range.
It’s this lower red box that needs to be watched for the break, as a break here will target the 3250-55 region initially and then go for the potential swing low around the 3210-2- region which in this scenario maybe the ideal long trade.
As always, we’ll update traders through the week with our analysis and red box target levels but for now, let’s see if we gap on open. Please remember, the market gaps with intention, the intention is usually to get traders in chasing the gap as soon as they see immediate exhaustion, this hardly ever works on gold and BTC especially. We’ve back tested the stretch, so please play caution on chasing gaps.
More choppy and ranging price action expected!
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 3285 with targets above 3306, 3310, 3321 and 3335
Bearish below 3285 with targets below 3267, 3255 and 3240
RED BOXES:
Break above 3290 for 3297, 3306, 3310, 3320 and 3330 in extension of the move
Break below 3280 for 3277, 3270, 3267 and 3255 in extension of the move
Many of our followers and traders have seen the power of the red boxes, Imagine this on your own TV screen, 4H for swing trading, 1H for day trading and 15min for scalping. Any pair on any chart 23hrs a day. Add to that the Knights indicator giving you swing points, key levels and retracement levels and our custom volume indicator telling you when to long, when to short and when to stand back from your trades.
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KEY LEVEL 3237!
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As always, trade safe.
KOG
