XAUUSD BUY 4 HOUR MINUTE TIME FRAMEStrong Demand Zone
Price has to fill the gaps to the left
2:25 Risk Reward
Let’s See:)
XAUUSDK trade ideas
TAGETS FOR XAUUSD (GOLD) IN FOMC The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is set to announce its interest rate decision
A horizontal line marks the supply zone, a price level where selling pressure is likely to increase, potentially leading to a downward price movement.
IF YOU WILL GET PRICE THEN ENTER
KEY POINTS FOR SET-UP
ENTRY ZONE 2660 TO 2656
TARGETS WILL NE MENTIONED IN IDEAS
SL BE MUST 2673
LIKE SHARE AND COMMENT KEEP FOLLOW FOR DAILY TA AND SETUP'S
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Continuation?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 2618.36, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 2577, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be at 2665.40, an overlap resistance close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
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BOTTOM FOR GOLD? - FED RATES TOMORROW; ONLY A PROJECTION! As illustrated, I am trying to visualize what COULD be an inverted head & shoulders pattern, THAT HAS NOT BEEN FORMED YET!
I REPEAT: IT HAS NOT BEEN FORMED YET
The only reason I share this idea, is because tomorrow, WED 18th, the FED has to decide for the last time this year if to lower rates or keep them at 4.75% basis points. Should the FED decide to LOWER them, this could cause gold to spike and potentially being the bullish impulse I am trying to project here.
Should the FED KEEP the rates where they are, the market MIGHT simply continue its "current normal" path which STILL HAS BEARISH STRUCTURE.
THAT BEING SAID ...
Be patient with this potential setup, and wait for the rates to come out + a few hours for the market to price in the decision of the FED, because there is still room for gold to drop to the psychological price range of 2610 - 2600.
Gold is at a spot where it could manipulate one more time before a pop to the upside, in order to induce sellers and generate liquidity.
Regardless the outcome of the FED rates, if price does indeed take off, make sure it closes above the pivot area illustrated and make sure such area HODLS as support In the near future for a potential buy opportunity towards a year-end bull expansion toward + 2730...
--
GOOD LUCK!
Trading Idea for XAU/USD (Gold)Based on the current market situation, there is a high probability of a short-term upward movement in XAU/USD. The long-term trend remains bullish; however, we are currently experiencing a correction, which so far has not been particularly deep. Given the evolving dynamics in the broader markets, various scenarios could unfold.
The continuous rise of technology stocks and cryptocurrencies has diverted capital away from gold into equities and crypto markets. While this trend may persist for a while, it is unlikely to last indefinitely.
In my view, a short-term opportunity exists. While there is still a possibility of a deeper drop today, I anticipate a rebound during the Asian session , which could strengthen further into the European and U.S. sessions.
Good luck and trade wisely!
XAUUSD - gold waiting for the Federal Reserve meeting!Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 1H time frame and is trading in its medium-term bearish channel. In the authentic failure of the support area, we can see the continuation of the gold decline and the demand zone. Within the zone of demand, we can buy with a suitable risk reward. If the resistance range is broken, you can sell in the supply zone.
The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting is scheduled for today. According to a recent report by Crédit Agricole, it is expected that during the December meeting, the interest rate will be reduced by 0.25%, bringing it to a range of 4.25-4.50%.
While this rate cut has largely been priced into the market, the Fed’s monetary statement may carry a hawkish tone. It is anticipated that the Federal Reserve will indicate slower rate cuts in 2025 due to resilient economic conditions and persistent inflation. Crédit Agricole predicts that Jerome Powell, the Fed Chair, will likely hint at pausing rate cuts early in 2025.
Additionally, recent employment and inflation data from November suggest that the Fed is in a position to implement this rate cut.
However, the risks associated with persistent inflation indicate that the rate-cutting cycle will progress more gradually. Crédit Agricole estimates that interest rate projections for 2025 could be revised to 3.625% and for 2026 to 3.125%. These figures represent reductions of 0.75% in 2025 and 0.5% in 2026, showing smaller decreases compared to earlier forecasts.
According to the Financial Times, Israeli negotiators have met with mediators in Doha to discuss a ceasefire with Hamas and the release of hostages from Gaza. These talks are taking place ahead of Donald Trump’s inauguration in January. Both Israeli and U.S. officials remain cautiously optimistic about reaching an agreement, though disagreements over key details persist.
The Israeli negotiating team arrived in Qatar on Monday, focusing on resolving major points of contention. It is expected that both sides will respond to a recent mediator proposal, which includes a six-to-eight-week ceasefire and the release of hostages in exchange for Palestinian prisoners.
These discussions have intensified following Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. elections. Steven Witkoff, Trump’s envoy to the Middle East, has met with Benjamin Netanyahu and Qatar’s Prime Minister to advance the agreement.
Despite progress, significant challenges remain, including disagreements over the number of hostages to be freed and the presence of Israeli forces in Gaza. While Hamas has softened its stance somewhat, substantial differences still exist.
UBS, in its recent report, has projected that gold prices will reach $2,900 per ounce by the end of 2025. A key factor highlighted by UBS is the continued demand for gold from central banks, driven by the declining value of the dollar and diversification of reserves. UBS expects central bank gold purchases to remain strong throughout 2025, supporting elevated gold prices.
Moreover, investor demand for gold as a hedge against geopolitical and policy uncertainties will play a significant role in maintaining high gold prices. UBS points to ongoing concerns about the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Middle Eastern tensions, and uncertain fiscal and trade policies under the incoming administration of Donald Trump. These factors could boost investment in gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Lower interest rates and a weaker U.S. dollar are additional factors that could drive gold prices higher. UBS predicts that interest rate cuts will continue and the dollar will weaken further, which will bolster demand for gold.
In addition to gold, UBS has identified opportunities in copper and other transition metals. Global investments in power generation, energy storage, and electric transportation are expected to serve as long-term drivers of demand for these metals.
gold longgold long
💎Please don't be greedy
ENTRY : yellow point
TP : blue lines
SL :
below red line for LONG position
above red line for SHORT position
⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 1:
Please respect the yellow entry point, otherwise you risk entering too early before my strategy or too far, thus reducing gains and aggravating losses in the event of a stop loss
⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 2:
For risk and money management:
5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20
And
3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
Gold --> Bear Market Intensifies, Key Resistance LoomsHello, dear friends! This is Ben.
Gold prices rose after a false breakout at 2,650. Fundamentally, the situation remains complex, and technically...
The metal's price is being influenced by geopolitical tensions, weaker U.S. bond yields, and a softer USD, which supports the safe-haven appeal of XAU/USD. However, bets on a less dovish Fed warrant caution for bullish markets ahead of this week's FOMC meeting.
Theoretically, additional gold price gains could be limited by concerns about China's economy after its industrial production posted a modest rise in November, while retail sales disappointed. Widening gold discounts in India amid subdued wedding season demand due to higher prices may also act as a drag on the metal. China and India remain the largest gold consumers globally.
Looking ahead, U.S. PMI data also warrants attention for fresh insights into the Fed's rate trajectory next year, which could heavily influence gold prices—given gold's sensitivity to the USD.
From a technical perspective, gold is attempting to break out of a major range, testing critical support. Since the opening of the session, the price has increased quite strongly, which increases the possibility of resistance to stop this increase. If there is a false breakout around the 2,655 level, a minor correction toward resistance could form. However, with prices testing strong support, we may witness a false breakout followed by a corrective move to the 2,660–2,675 region (0.618 Fib retracement) before resuming the downtrend.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with.
XAUUSD - ANALYSISHello friends, I want to share my perspective on GOLD with you.
As we can see, gold has formed a price range and has broken above it. Currently, it has pulled back to its previous range. Based on what I observe in the chart, if we see weakness in the downtrend on the 4h timeframe and a 4h candle closes above the midline of the range, we can expect an upward bullish movement for gold.
My first target, if this scenario plays out, is 2735 .
Trade safe
XAUUSD Long SetupThis is my long awaited Long Setup on #xauusd, Let u s keep focus and see what the outcome will be.
GOLD - Long - 2770Gold is expected to hit the levels of 2770 .
The price may hit 2634 before flying to the higher levels.
GoldXAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " AB " Corrective Waves
Break of Structure
Order Block
Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame
Fibonacci Level - 61.80%
GOLD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GOLD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly falling on the 2H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 2,662.621 because the pair is oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Potential LongLooking at the behaviour of silver, price may drop a little further to fully gravitate into support below 2605.25 area and head up from the inversion sellside fvg. or it may head up from the volume gap found in 4h 2637.51. I will be watching those areas for liquidity grab and watch the reaction from within that high resistance zone.
BEARISH MOVEMENTGOLD just break daily ascending channel and also did the retest at a strong resistance level. for me I'm waiting for small push the upside before i can take a sell. I have two entry to sell
robbing gold
Q2; APRIL - JUNE
Q3; JULY - SEPTEMBER
Q4; OCTOBER - DECEMBER
[for robbery to work it needs to break 2681 if not //this is bear county --
targeting 766.66
As I have shown you gold dropped heavy when president elect Trump, the 27th of oct ,,I was one week late but it's okay,,
was injected into the Oval Office. this launched the trump effect In which gold went on a super discount as gold price dropped At 2535s Great discount
let me tell you this my habibi .gold will always be in the Demand. Only Way gold prices drop is if we find a meteorite filled with trillions of Dollars worth precious metals /// or in some other Hollywood Way .
we are going to hold this bullish gold even though we know President Trump is very very pro dollar and for his trump Towers he would like gold to be cheaper but Mr President there will always be demand for gold
so these miners…… They aren't sweating balls for below 2500 price.
gold will reach 3000 and yes every drop is a discount
good luck
DOOmhot
Sl 2557
Gold Price Analysis| BullishHi there,
The gold price is anticipated to drop for a pullback and rise to three potential levels, targeting a bias of 2745.736, in accordance with the W-Z pattern of ABC-D.
The (DX) is where most bullish pressure was active, which was almost at the retest of the dotted trendline break. If the bears break the dotted trendline, the setup will be invalidated.
Overall, gold is unstable, lacking clear volatility. A possible indication of clarity may come next month.
Happy Trading!
K.
XAUUSD: Double Top PatternHello everyone!
Currently, after a false breakout at the key level of $2721, the price has quickly reverted to a bearish trend. This development bears significant resemblance to the double top pattern, a technical formation that often signals an impending downtrend.
Given the current situation, the outlook leans in favor of the bears. If this scenario materializes, we can expect the price to continue moving towards lower support zones. To project potential downside targets, we are utilizing the Fibonacci extension tool, a powerful method for analyzing price momentum.
Based on our calculations, two critical levels to watch are $2609 and $2557. These are areas where buying pressure may emerge, potentially testing the trend's continuation. Stay tuned for further updates to fine-tune your trading strategies!
Xauusd target 2642 today?? Here's a summary of your updated XKD/USD trade plan:
Trade Plan
- *Entry Point*: 2607 (current)
- *Target*: 2642
- *Stop-Loss*: 2594
Market Analysis
The XAU/USD is experiencing a bullish rebound, driven by a weakening US dollar and increasing inflation concerns.
Technical Analysis
- *RSI Indicator*: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 40, indicating a potential bullish reversal.
- *Moving Averages*: The 50-day moving average is trending upwards, supporting the bullish view.
- *Support Levels*: The support levels at 2594 and 2585 could provide a buying opportunity in case of a pullback.
Risk Management
- *Risk-Reward Ratio*: Your risk-Reward ratio is approximately 1:2.4, which is relatively aggressive.
- *Position Sizing*: Make sure to adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance and account size.
Stay disciplined and stick to your trade plan. Good luck!
XAUUSD Market Structure Analysis on 1 Hour Timeframe1H swing is bullish => Currently is pull back
M15 swing is bearish => Currently Price is Giving Bullish Reversal Signal
We can look for buying opportunities in this area
Potential LongPlan now is to wait for London session and watch the inversion fvg on the 15 minute to see if potential longs will form... that void is low resistance to trade up against
XAUUSD Revision Thursday 19 December 2024Hello Nation!
I had to wait for FOMC to conclude before doing this update. Let’s start with Gold opening at 2646 area. Price went straight bullish to the highest SBR level which was created by yesterday’s candles.
From there we can follow that price have a bearish reaction which ended up moving Sideways bouncing to top and bottom of the m15 for many hours.
While price doing so, i can also see my favourite setup developing which i marked with the m15 box. With price showing rejection from that box. That is a hint for me that sell entry was possible.
I mark the sell position with a risk of 30 Pips SL and TP of 100 Pips. Usually i will go down to lower timeframe like the m5 or m1 to precise my entry. But for these daily updates, i will stick with m15.
I have another SBR Zone at 2637 / 2638 area. But, as my m15 SBR was clear for entry. Time was too close to FOMC. Congratulations to those who manage to catch that sell entry. I chose to sit tight and just watch how Gold reacts to the news .
Conclusion for today, It was another sellers day. Hours of consolidation during London Session and we are ending the day with an estimate of 200 pips drop due to FOMC.
I am just sharing what i see. I am just taking notes for my own setups and maybe i can improve to be a better trader.
Thank you for reading and Goodbye!
XAUUSDXAUUSD is currently pulling back toward lower levels. The market has formed equal lows, and the price may drop below these equal lows before pushing into higher zones. I believe if the price rejects the support zone around 2625 and the upward trendline, there is a good chance the market will bounce back. This support level has been respected multiple times, as it acted as the top of the consolidation zone before. I expect the price to move lower, potentially testing the equal lows and the previous day's low, followed by a bullish reversal. My goal is resistance zone around 2720
