As long as the gold price is above 3400, continue to go long.As long as the gold price is above 3400, continue to go long.
As shown in Figure 4h.
I clearly show the trend of gold prices through the split chart.
1: The ABC span forms the golden ratio, indicating that if the gold price continues to rise out of control in the future, it will rise to the range of 3700-4000.
2: The blue triangle angle is a convergent triangle in the upward trend, which is a strong triangle. The probability of bullishness next week is high, and the possibility of breaking through and returning to the range of 3450-3500 is very high.
3: We need to consider the most unlikely possibility, that is, the worst expectations and results.
If the gold price breaks through 3450 and it is a false breakthrough, there may be an expectation of a sharp decline: 3365-3330-3270.
Operation strategy:
As shown in the figure:
1: Pay attention to the 1-2 path and defend the 3-4 path.
2: Wait for low prices to find long opportunities
3: As long as the gold price is above 3400 points, only participate in the long strategy.
4: Gold price fluctuation range: 3400-3450
5: Two test pressure areas for intraday short-term short selling: 3450 and 3500
6: Strong support area: 3400--3365--3330-3270, these points can be used as support points and stop loss ranges for future attempts to go long.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
XAUUSD: Analysis June 13This morning, the gold market witnessed a strong price increase after receiving two important news:
- US CPI was lower than expected, causing the USD to weaken.
- Israel continued to strike Gaza, raising concerns about escalating conflict in the Middle East.
🟨Trend: Strong increase - Break resistance
✅ Potential Buy Zone: 3410 – 3405: This is the breakout zone after the news, you can wait to buy if the price retests. SL 2399
❌ Potential Sell Zone (exit block or surfing):
✅ 3450 - 3455, SL 3461: Strong resistance, old accumulation zone (according to Bar chart, Resistance is determined at 3,455). If RSI/H1 shows overbought signal, consider taking profit or short Sell.
Gold Price Analysis June 13Yesterday's D1 candlestick increased, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. Following that uptrend, the Asian session saw a strong increase in price to the highest peak of 3443. If there is still confirmation from the h4 candlestick above 3395, today will still be a bullish candlestick with a large amplitude at the end of the day.
After reaching the highest peak of the month, Gold is having a downward correction at the end of the Asian session. This correction lasts until the support of 3397 to have a good BUY signal. In case you want to SELL, you must wait for a 50% test of the previous full-force downtrend H1 candle (around 3434) and the continuation of the Selling side.
If the 50% test does not appear, you must reverse to find a BUY Breakout point. Note that the False break at the peak of 3343 should wait for confirmation of the small-frame DOW wave to enter the order, which will be safer for this morning's break.
If you get a BUY order, the target will be 3364 and this area will have a profit-taking reaction from the Buyers, causing the price to decrease. Gold may touch the threshold before ATH 3394 and there will be a reaction.
In the opposite direction, there is a sweep to 3376, which is considered the daily support zone and you can buy in this area.
All SELL signals are considered obstacles, so set a short target and a new BUY signal sets a long expectation.
XAU/USD GOLD SELL SIGNAL Entry Point: 3431🔺 USDJPY BUY TRADE SETUP 🔺
📍 Entry: 143.700
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ 144.500
2️⃣ 145.500
🏁 Final Target: 146.000
📈 Bullish trend remains intact
🕵️♂️ Price bounced from support zone
🔍 Momentum confirming upward strength
🛠️ Clean entry with structured risk setup
🛑 Stop-loss placed below key support
⚖️ Risk/Reward ratio aligns with strategy
⏳ Patience required as price develops
📊 Suitable for short to mid-term outlook
💼 Always manage your risk wisely
📆 Valid as of June 13, 2025
🔔 Watch for economic news impacting USD/JPY
📌 Review setup regularly – adapt if needed
📢 Trade what you see, not what you feel
📈 Stay disciplined, trade smart!
Iran tensions rise: a setup brewing for gold and oil Geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran might fuel safe-haven demand for gold.
A break above $3,403 might open the door for a test of the May high at $3,437. However, price action over the last two sessions potentially indicates that buyers are reluctant to drive spot prices above $3,400.
At the same time, analysts are suggesting that oil could climb toward $120 if Israel takes military action against Iran. “I don’t want to say it’s imminent, but it looks like something that could very well happen,” President Trump said during a White House event.
Meanwhile, cooler-than-expected US CPI and PPI prints have potentially strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could begin cutting interest rates by September, with a second cut possibly following before year-end.
xauusd gold sell now entry point 3388📉 GOLD (XAUUSD) SELL SETUP ALERT 📉
🔹 Entry Point: 3388
🔹 We're initiating a SELL position on Gold
🔹 Technicals suggest downside momentum building
🎯 Target 1: 3370
🎯 Target 2: 3360
🎯 Final Target: 3350
🛑 Always respect your SL and manage your risk!
🚫 Avoid over-leveraging
💰 Capital preservation is key
🔍 Watch for price action confirmation
📊 Trade aligns with short-term bearish trend
⏱ Patience is part of the plan
🔒 Secure profits step by step
⚠️ High volatility expected – stay alert!
📉 Lower highs and pressure at resistance levels
🕒 Short-term move – intraday to 1-2 days
📈 Use proper lot sizing based on your account
💬 Trade smart – don’t chase the market
📌 Setup based on technical signals, not emotions
✅ Stick to the plan. Risk wisely.
#XAUUSD #Gold #SellSignal #ForexTrading #RiskManagement
GOLD Federal Reserve Interpretation of May CPI Data
Key CPI Figures (May 2025)
Headline CPI:
MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior 0.2%).
YoY: 2.4% (vs. 2.5% forecast, prior 2.3%).
Core CPI (ex-food/energy):
MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior 0.2%).
YoY: 2.8% (vs. 2.9% forecast).
Fed’s Likely Interpretation
Cooling Inflation Momentum:
The softer-than-expected MoM and core CPI prints suggest inflation is moderating, particularly in goods categories like gasoline (-2.6% MoM) and autos. Shelter inflation (3.9% YoY) also cooled slightly, a critical factor for the Fed.
Annual CPI (2.4%) remains above the Fed’s 2% target but shows progress from pandemic-era peaks.
Tariff Impact Delayed:
The data reflects limited immediate pass-through from Trump’s April tariffs, which are expected to raise prices by ~1.5% over time. The Fed will remain cautious, as tariff effects could materialize in late 2025, complicating the inflation trajectory.
Labor Market Resilience:
Despite softer inflation, unemployment held at 4.2% in May, and wage growth stayed elevated (3.9% YoY). This gives the Fed flexibility to prioritize inflation containment over premature easing.
Policy Implications:
Near-Term Hold: The Fed is almost certain to keep rates at 4.25–4.50% in June, aligning with its "higher for longer" stance.
Dovish Tilt for 2025: Markets now price a ~75% chance of a September cut (up from ~55% pre-CPI). The Fed may signal openness to easing if inflation continues trending toward 2% and tariff impacts remain muted.
Market Reactions
Bonds: 10-year Treasury yields to 4.12%, reflecting bets on future rate cuts.
Dollar: The DXY dipped to 98.50 but stabilized as traders weighed Fed caution against global risks.
Equities: Nasdaq and S&P 500 rallied on reduced stagflation fears.
What’s Next?
June 12 PCE Data: The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge will confirm whether disinflation is broadening.
Federal Reserve Interpretation of June 12 Economic Data
Key Data Points
PPI (Producer Price Index) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior -0.5%).
Core PPI (ex-food/energy) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior -0.4%).
Unemployment Claims: 248K (vs. 242K forecast, prior 247K).
Fed’s Likely Interpretation
1. Subdued Producer Inflation
Cooling Input Costs: Both headline and core PPI rose 0.1% MoM, below expectations, signaling muted producer-side inflation. This follows prior declines (-0.5% headline, -0.4% core), suggesting persistent disinflationary pressures in supply chains.
Implication: Weak PPI supports the Fed’s view that inflation is moderating, reducing urgency for rate hikes. However, the Fed will remain cautious about potential tariff-driven price spikes later in 2025.
2. Labor Market Softening
Rising Jobless Claims: Claims increased for the second straight week (248K vs. 242K forecast), aligning with May’s softer ADP and NFP reports. The 4-week average now sits at 243K, the highest since September 2023.
Implication: A cooling labor market supports arguments for rate cuts to avoid over-tightening, but the Fed will seek confirmation in future reports (e.g., June NFP).
3. Policy Outlook
September Rate Cut Odds: Markets now price a ~70% chance of a September cut (up from ~65% pre-data). The Fed is likely to hold rates steady in July but may signal openness to easing if disinflation broadens.
Balancing Risks: While PPI and claims data lean dovish, the Fed remains wary of premature easing given:
Sticky Services Inflation: CPI services ex-energy rose 4.1% YoY in May.
Tariff Uncertainty: Trump’s tariffs could add 1.5% to inflation by late 2025.
Market Reactions
Bonds: 10-year Treasury yields fell 3 bps to 4.09%, reflecting rate-cut bets.
DXY: Dollar index dipped to 98.30, pressured by dovish Fed expectations.
Conclusion
The Fed will view today’s data as reinforcing the case for rate cuts in 2025, but policymakers will likely wait Q2 GDP before committing. While PPI and jobless claims suggest easing inflation and labor momentum, the Fed’s cautious stance on tariffs and services inflation means a September cut remains the baseline scenario, contingent on sustained disinflation.
July Meeting: Likely a hold, but the Fed’s updated dot plot could hint at 2025 cuts.
Tariff Watch: Delayed price pressures from tariffs remain a wildcard, keeping the Fed data-dependent.
Summary
The Fed will view May’s CPI as encouraging but insufficient to justify imminent rate cuts. While inflation moderation supports a dovish pivot later in 2025, policymakers will demand more evidence of sustained disinflation and clarity on tariff impacts before easing.
#gold
Analysis of the latest market trends of gold surge and plungeFrom the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3338-45. If the intraday retracement relies on this position, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3320-25. Before the daily level falls below this position, any retracement is a long opportunity. Maintain the main tone of participating in the trend.
Gold operation strategy:
If gold falls back to 3338-45 and does not break, go long, stop loss 3329, target 3375-3380, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (June 12, 2025)🌀 Wave Structure
According to yesterday's plan, the green abc corrective wave likely completed around the 3293 level. The subsequent bullish move is considered Wave 1 in a triangle form, and last night’s news helped Wave 5 hit the target, yielding over 200 pips in profit.
After that, price corrected in a black abc structure. Although the CPI release printed a sharp H1 wick (alongside overlapping waves supporting sellers), the price reversed sharply to the upside — further reinforcing the idea that the correction phase has ended.
Currently, price is testing the previous green Wave b high at 3375.954. A break and close above this level could strengthen the bullish wave scenario. If Wave 1 is indeed a triangle, Wave 3 may extend strongly, with a potential upside target near 3428.
In the short term, price may be forming Wave 1 within Wave 3, and we are watching two key zones:
3358 – 3355
3390 – 3393
⚠️ If price breaks and closes below 3350, the current wave count will be invalidated, and we will shift to a deeper corrective scenario. I will update accordingly to avoid confusion.
🔍 Momentum Outlook
D1: Momentum is rising, supporting the continuation of Wave 3 into next week.
H4: Still bullish; needs 1–2 more candles to reach the overbought zone.
H1: Currently overbought → possible pullback if price hits the 3390–3393 resistance.
⏱️ Bearish momentum reversal at 3390–3393 → confluence zone for a SELL setup
⏱️ Bullish momentum reversal at 3358–3355 → confluence zone for a BUY setup
🎯 Trading Plan
BUY ZONE: 3358 – 3355
SL: 3348
TP1: 3375 | TP2: 3389
SELL ZONE: 3390 – 3393
SL: 3404
TP1: 3375 | TP2: 3358
Analysis of gold prices on June 11
📌Gold news
🎈Economic data and policy expectations
U.S. employment data; initial jobless claims increased for two consecutive weeks, and the market focus shifted to the non-farm payroll report released this week. The data performance will affect the Fed's policy path.
Trump pressures interest rate cuts: Trump recently called on the Fed to cut interest rates by "one percentage point" again, and hinted that he would consider replacing the Fed chairman, exacerbating market expectations for loose monetary policy.
🎈Long-term support factors
Despite short-term fluctuations, global economic and geopolitical uncertainties (such as repeated trade frictions and debt risks) still provide long-term safe-haven demand for gold, especially in the context of the divergence of monetary policies between European and American central banks, the allocation value of gold is highlighted.
📊Technical analysis
Before the European session, the gold price showed a continuous positive trend. I gave a hint in my analysis that I was not in a hurry to guess the top, and followed the trend to rise to around 3340 and wait for the turning point to appear. The opening trend of the European session tended to fluctuate until it rose to around 3348 in the evening and then turned from rising to falling, but the decline was not strong. It rose again at the position of the European session. Now the gold price is trading around 3350. From the market point of view, this wave of rise was supported by the trend line at 3300. Whether it was geopolitical conflicts or various news about Sino-US trade negotiations that stimulated buying to drive gold prices up, the second rise in the US session has exceeded 3340.
The next key suppression level is around 3360, which is 618 from 3403 to 3300, which can be treated as a turning point. The initial support below focuses on the high point of yesterday's Asian session at 3338.
💰Strategy Package
Waiting for gold: short at 3355-3360, stop loss at 3365, target at 3340-3328!
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
BUYING XAUUSD TILL ZONES OF 3,400/3500I am have very simple form of putting this buy, based on fundamentals and technical analysis I predict a buy for Xauusd, Price didn't respect the channel instead broke out of it, with a Daily buy candle indicating that buyers are in the market, so i expected price to come and retest and close a small gap it left at 3,300 and react on my demand zone in that area, and it did. It activated my entries and I am in BE already.
June 11, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Gold is expected to range between 3300–3350 today. A breakout on either side could offer solid profit potential — stay alert and ready to adapt.
⸻
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3375 – Resistance
• 3365 – Key Resistance
• 3350 – Midpoint (Bull-Bear Line)
• 3340 – Intraday Key Resistance
• 3332 – Resistance
• 3325 – Pivot Zone
• 3322 – Support
• 3310 – Intraday Key Support
• 3300 – Psychological Level
• 3289–3293 – Support Zone
⸻
📉 Macro Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3300 → watch 3295, then 3290, 3283, 3276
• BUY if price holds above 3350 → target 3358, then 3365, 3375, 3384
⸻
👉 If you’re curious how I time entries and place stops, a like lets me know there’s demand — I might drop a full post soon!
Disclaimer: Personal view only — not financial advice. Always manage risk carefully.
XAUUSD/BTC / USDJPY forecast 11/06/2025XAUUSD Forecast | VSA & Trend Line Analysis | Gold Price Prediction
In this video, I share my detailed forecast for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) using Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and trend line strategies. Watch as I break down the market structure, identify key levels, and explain the logic behind potential moves in gold.
Gold ShortAmidst dxy consolidation, gold seems to be forming a correction. A new trading range is formed between 3300 and 3340. Earlier in the session, false breakout of 3340 resistance formed, but price got rejected strongly. Our focus is on gold correcting itself, where it has the potential to tap the important support zone at 3275.
Levels to lookout for
Support: 3300, 3275
Resistance: 3340
Happy trading!
Gold Hits Resistance on UptickThe gold market continues to exhibit a range-bound oscillation rhythm. During the Asian session, prices quickly dipped from the 3,302 level before rebounding to around 3,335 in the short term. This "volatile seesaw" movement is a typical feature of a ranging market—characterized by discontinuous fluctuations, repeated ups and downs, and a tug-of-war between bulls and bears within a limited range.
The current oscillation is not a signal of trend weakening, but rather a consolidation period for bulls following the sharp rally in March and April: the previous rapid gains required time for the market to digest profit-taking and adjust its pace, building momentum for the next upward push. From a macro perspective, the 3,500 level is by no means the endpoint of this rally. After completing this consolidation phase, gold is highly likely to witness a more definitive upward move.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3310-3315
TP:3335-3345
XAUUSD📉Gold Market Outlook – Bearish Setup in Play
Current Price: 3324.00
Recent price structure and momentum suggest a potential bearish continuation below key resistance levels.
🔍 Technical View:
Price is consistently trading below the 50-period moving average, signaling short-term weakness.
A series of lower highs and lower lows indicate a bearish market structure.
RSI is trending below 50, reflecting fading bullish momentum.
Failure to reclaim the 3355–3345 resistance zone reinforces downside risk.
🔻 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zone: 3355.00 – 3345.00
Sustained trading below this range may open the door to:
3300.00
3284.00
📉 Major Breakdown Scenario:
A 3-day consecutive close below 3384.00 could confirm a structural shift, exposing gold to a deeper sell-off toward 3200.00.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
XAUUSD – Bullish TradeXAUUSD – Bullish trade on 2H 📈
Gold is currently showing signs of slowing bearish momentum. Watching for a potential correction and push back toward the 3331–3333 key levels.
🟢 Price could sweep liquidity below current lows and reverse upward.
Plan: Monitoring for bullish confirmation. If momentum builds, I’ll look to target the 3333 zone for short-term gains.
⚠️ Not financial advice — just sharing my view. Trade safe.
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #MarketAnalysis
Sell@3335Technically, the first key support range is at 3,240-3,260. If this area holds as effective support, it may trigger a short-term rebound. Close attention should be paid to updates on U.S. tariff policies and the evolution of the situation in war-torn countries, as geopolitical risks may exacerbate market volatility ⚠️
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 3360 - 3240
🚀 TP 3310 - 3290
🚀 Buy@ 3250 - 3260
🚀 TP 3290 - 3310
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇