XAU/USD..4h chart pattern ..I'm planning a short (sell) trade on gold with the current price at **3254** and resistance at **3282**. Here's a breakdown of your sell targets:
### **Trade Plan: GOLD SELL**
- **Current Position:** 3254
- **Resistance Level:** 3282 (Stop Loss could be placed above this level, e.g., 3300-3315)
- **Targets:**
- **1st Target:** 3210 **(440 pips)**
- **2nd Target:** 3152 **(1020 pips total)**
- **3rd Target:** 3082 **(1720 pips total)**
- **4th Target:** 2967 **(2870 pips total)**
### **Risk Management Suggestions:**
1. **Stop Loss (SL):**
- Ideally above resistance (e.g., 3285-3290).
- Risk-reward ratio improves if SL is tight (e.g., 30-40 pips for the first target).
2. **Partial Profit Booking:**
- Consider closing part of the position at 3210 (1st target) to lock in profits.
- Trail SL to breakeven or adjust as price moves in your favor.
3. **Market Conditions:**
- If gold breaks above 3282, the bearish setup may be invalidated.
- Watch for price action near resistance (rejection candles for confirmation).
Would you like help with entry timing or technical confirmation signals? 🚀
XAUUSDK trade ideas
TEH KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
We managed to get the move down with a slight stretch, waited for the red boxes to confirm and then level after level after level and TPs galore! We've hit the level we wanted in yesterday's idea and as you can see, price still has that vavavoom in it so lets see if they attack that 3235 region and if we get a RIP
Support here is 3210 and below that 3195
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to attempt the higher resistance level shown on the chart which was slightly higher than the red box. We wanted this level to reject price and give us the move down into the level which was shown on the chart. As you can see this move worked from the open, respecting the red box active level instead and completing all the bias level bearish targets in one swoop after the break.
We then updated the KOG Report with the move we wanted in order to then long into immediate resistance to again test the short trade, which again worked while we suggested traders look for the lower red box levels to attempt the long trades.
There was slight stretch again downside, but those red boxes played their part giving us the move on confirmation for the longs towards the end of the week, ending the week on a high.
It was a difficult week to trade with aggressive movement across the markets, however, the levels are reacting well and although there is a stretch on price, we’re getting the movement we want.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We have key level now on the daily also aligning with the EMA50 at 3162 on the daily chart, while that 4H shows us a possible reversal on the flip. For this reason we have given the immediate red box levels of 3225-30 resistance and 3190-85 support. We have also plotted the potential range of play for the early part of the week, where we feel price may stabilise until a further move.
We’re looking for two possible moves here, one in order to continue to short and then look for the longer trade lower down, or, a break of the red box and bias level into higher resistance upon which we’ll trade level to level and then look higher for a potential short again. The bias level for this week has a huge extension of the move so it will be tradeable both directions. We have applied filters to the algo which is under test so we’ll also want to see if that works in our favour.
So, for now, support below can give us the move into the 3225-30 region which is the level to watch for the break, if rejected there may be an opportunity to short but that short must break below the 3185 level to continue and complete the move downside into the 3150-55 and below that 3130 levels. That’s where we feel the opportunity to long for the swing may come from but please remember, it’s changed structure until we break and hold above the 3265 level. That will be this week’s key level.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bearish below 3235 with targets below 3196, 3185, 3177, 3165 and 3155
Bullish on break of 3230 with targets above 3242, 3250, 3255 and 3262
RED BOXES:
Break above 3210 for 3118, 3220, 3225, 3230, 3235 and 3247 in extension of the move
Break below 3195 for 3187, 3179, 3165, 3155, 3150 and 3137 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Lingrid | GOLD Range RESISTANCE Short SetupThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD bounced from the higher low and is now testing the key resistance around 3330, where the downward trendline intersects the prior weekly high (PWH). Price remains within the broader upward channel, but signs of rejection could lead to a retest of the 3215 support area. Bulls must reclaim and hold above the descending trendline to regain control. A failure here would confirm another lower high and open downside risk.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 3215 – 3230
Buy trigger: breakout above 3330 and trendline retest
Target: 3494
Sell trigger: rejection from 3330 resistance
💡 Risks
Macro catalysts (FOMC, CPI) could trigger volatility.
Repeated failure to reclaim trendline may deepen bearish pressure.
Higher low remains valid unless 3215 breaks decisively.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GOLD → Retest resistance before fallingFX:XAUUSD is forming a correction and retesting a strong resistance and liquidity zone within a downtrend. The global trend is one step away from a reversal...
Gold stabilized ahead of the release of US inflation data. After falling 3%, gold is holding steady at around $3,200, consolidating against a weaker dollar. Investors are awaiting US CPI data, which could set a new direction.
Optimism about the US-China trade agreement, geopolitical détente, and profit-taking on the dollar are holding back the price decline. The market is assessing how inflation data will affect Fed policy and demand for safe-haven assets.
Globally, the market doubts that the upward trend will continue, and there are reasons to look for points from which the price could start to fall sharply...
Resistance levels: 3269, 3284
Support levels: 3246, 3200, 3167
The news may cause a shake-up, but if there are no surprises, a false breakout of 3260-3270 and consolidation of prices in the selling zone could trigger a decline to 3200-3150.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD[GOLD]: Another Possible Swing Sell Happening! Swing MoveGold rejected twice as we had described in our last two analyses on Gold. We remain heavily bearish on Gold and expect a swift bearish move within the next week or following week. We are eyeing two targets. Please use this analysis accordingly and avoid overtrading. This is not a confirmation, and do not use the marked arrow as an entry or exit point. The marked red area drawn there represents a potential reversal zone from which price may reverse.
As always, this analysis does not guarantee that price will move as described in the chart. Please use your own knowledge and trading plan while trading Gold. Good luck and trade safely.
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XAU/USD) bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a bearish outlook. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
---
Key Levels:
1. Resistance Zone (Upper Yellow Block):
Around 3,450–3,500.
Price was previously rejected from this level, forming a double-top like structure.
2. Rejection Point (Mid-Level Zone):
Near 3,300–3,310.
Price repeatedly failed to break and hold above this zone, indicating strong selling pressure.
3. Support Zone / Demand Block (Lower Yellow Block):
Around 3,100–3,125.
This is the target area, labeled clearly as TARGET POINT: 3,116.501.
---
Indicators:
200 EMA:
Currently above the price, suggesting downward momentum.
Acting as a dynamic resistance.
RSI (14):
Around 39, slightly above oversold territory (30).
Indicates bearish pressure but not yet oversold — room for further downside.
The chart suggests that if price breaks below the mid-level support, we could expect a move towards the support block around 3,116.
The bearish wave projection drawn in the chart confirms the trader’s expectation of a drop.
The setup appears to be a break-and-retest of the mid-zone, followed by continuation downward.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Trading Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Trigger: Break below ~3,225–3,230 with confirmation
Target: ~3,116
Invalidation/Stop: Close above 3,300–3,310 (rejection zone)
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold’s Make-or-Break Level: $3167 Is the Key to the Next MoveGold Spot is sitting at a critical inflection point — and if you’ve been watching the charts, you know exactly where the pressure is building: the $3167 zone.
This level has acted as a mid-term support floor, cushioning gold’s recent corrections and providing bulls with a lifeline. But that cushion is now getting thinner, and if price action breaks below this area decisively, the implications could be sharply bearish.
👀Why $3167 Matters👀
Take a look at the recent structure. Every bounce, every bullish attempt in the past week, has leaned on $3167. It's not just some random line — it’s where buyers have consistently stepped in to defend.
But now? The bounces are getting weaker. Volume’s fading. And price is consolidating right above support — never a good sign.
If gold breaks $3167 and closes below it, expect an acceleration to the downside. Momentum traders will likely pile in, and we could see a quick slide into the $3075–3052 zone, where the next real demand sits.
✨What I’m Watching✨
A clean hourly candle close below $3167 — ideally with follow-through volume.
Any retest of $3167 after a breakdown could offer a textbook entry for shorts.
🎁The Bearish Scenario
If the break happens, I’ll be targeting $3052 for the first bounce. That’s where previous accumulation kicked in — and it lines up with a cluster of reaction lows from late April. It’s also a psychological round number and a potential spot for intraday reversal plays.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
A very choppy day on gold today making it difficult to hold trades into the extreme levels. The range is smaller than usual and accumulation is in progress, so we will say please play defence on the markets.
We wanted lower to go higher, the red box broke upside, and if switched to the 1H TF, like us you would have got a decent trade into red box resistance for the RIP and short scalp. As you can see, price is now playing between the red boxes with intra-day support being way down at 3210 and resistance above at 3255. These are now the levels of play in our opinion and the market has played it in such a way that both are open targets! We'll wait lower to long or higher to short, here in the range, not interested.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bearish below 3235 with targets below 3196, 3185, 3177, 3165 and 3155
Bullish on break of 3230 with targets above 3242✅, 3250, 3255 and 3262
RED BOXES:
Break above 3210 for 3118✅, 3220✅, 3225✅, 3230✅, 3235✅ and 3247✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3195 for 3187, 3179, 3165, 3155, 3150 and 3137 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAU/USD..15M CHART PATTERN..gold trade signal:
Buy at: 3172
Target (TP): 3240
Potential gain: 3240 - 3172 = 68 points
To analyze or act on this, here’s how you could interpret it:
⚙️ Trade Breakdown:
Entry Price: 3172
Target Price: 3240
Stop-Loss (not provided): You might want to define one (e.g., 3140 or 3120) to manage risk.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Needs a stop-loss to calculate properly.
📊 Strategy Considerations:
Is this based on technical analysis? (e.g., breakout, support/resistance?)
Is this for intraday, swing, or positional trading?
Check for upcoming economic events (like U.S. CPI, Fed meetings, etc.) that may cause gold volatility.
Would you like a chart analysis or current market outlook to support this trade? Or do you want help setting a stop-loss or risk management strategy?
Gold - $3160 before the next move up?Introduction
Gold is currently exhibiting interesting price behavior across multiple timeframes, reflecting a mix of short-term bullishness within a broader context of consolidation. On the one-hour chart, gold is trading within a well-defined rising channel, suggesting a controlled upward correction following a strong impulsive move downward. This upward movement appears to be a retracement rather than a full reversal, especially when analyzed in conjunction with the higher timeframes.
Daily tight range
Zooming out, gold remains range-bound between the key levels of $3,500 and $3,200. The market has been oscillating within this wide horizontal band, making relatively equal highs and lows. This type of price action typically signals indecision or accumulation, where neither buyers nor sellers are firmly in control. Such a range can often precede a more decisive move in either direction once a breakout occurs. Until then, the market remains reactive to both support and resistance zones within this range.
Latest Gold sell-off
Yesterday’s trading session introduced a notable shift in momentum, as gold posted a large bearish candle on the one-hour chart, marking a sudden and aggressive sell-off. This move established a short-term bearish impulse. Since that moment, however, the price has been gradually recovering, climbing back within the confines of the rising channel. This rebound appears corrective in nature and has yet to reclaim the previous levels before the sell-off. Above the current price action lies a one-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), which could be an area of interest for liquidity hunters. Should gold manage to break out to the upside of the channel, it is quite possible that price action will aim to fill this FVG, which sits around the $3,300 level. This could represent a short-term bullish target before any potential continuation lower.
Bearish scenario
On the flip side, the more compelling scenario from a technical standpoint lies on the downside. If gold fails to sustain its upward trajectory and breaks below the lower boundary of the rising channel, the probability of a move toward the strong support level at $3,160 increases significantly. This level is particularly noteworthy because it aligns with multiple technical confluences. It represents a historical support area where price has previously reacted strongly, and it coincides with the so-called “golden pocket” of the Fibonacci retracement, typically considered a high-probability reversal zone by many traders. The presence of this confluence suggests that a breakdown could trigger a swift move toward this level, possibly attracting buyers once again if the support holds.
Bullish scenario
While the potential to move higher toward the $3,300 region and fill the FVG remains valid, especially if the current bullish momentum within the channel continues, it is, in my view, the less probable scenario. The recent sharp downward candle suggests that sellers have established control in the short term, and the current upward movement may simply be a retracement before a continuation lower.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the most likely and technically supported path for gold appears to be a breakdown from the rising channel, followed by a decline toward the $3,160 support level. This zone, bolstered by historical significance and Fibonacci confluence, presents a strong target for price if bearish momentum resumes. While a temporary push toward $3,300 is possible, especially to fill the FVG, it should be seen as a lower-probability scenario compared to the downside risk currently unfolding.
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XAUUSD H4: Re-accumulation | Floor at 3K | TP Bulls 4K🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📉 Gold Eases: Prices dip to $3,213.35/oz amid ceasefire optimism and stronger USD.
🤝 Trade Tensions: U.S.-China tariff truce reduces safe-haven demand, pressuring gold.
📊 Technical Watch: Analysts eye $3,200 support level as key for market direction.
🔮 EUROTLX:4K Forecast?: JP Morgan projects gold to surpass $4,000/oz by Q2 2026.
⚠️ Credit Downgrade: Moody's cuts U.S. rating to "Aa1", citing rising debt, impacting gold sentiment.
🏠 Investment Shift: Gold's YTD return at 22.42%, outperforming many assets.
🌍 Central Bank Buying: Sustained demand from emerging markets supports gold prices.
🛡️ $3,200 Holds: Gold maintains key support despite volatility and profit-taking.
📈 Goldman Bullish: Forecasts gold at $3,700/oz by year-end, with potential to reach $4,500.
💰 Live Price: Gold at $3,228.80 (+0.01%) today.
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️pullback in progress currently
▪️3500 USD heavy resistance
▪️Re-accumulation in progress now
▪️Same as Q4 2024 - on the right
▪️Expect re-accumulation into June
▪️Downside capped by 3 000 USD
▪️short-term expecting range action
▪️Bulls still maintain strategic control
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️Accumulate in range
▪️Closer to 3K S/R zone
▪️Bulls 4K still valid target
Gold at major targets; stall and retrace likelyThis is relatively simple post idea. We have two formation. One is a multi-decade pattern in blue and one is a muti year pattern in orange. Simple fib draws show both have reached full performance.
We can also see that the RSI is in the process of setting a lower high. This reenforces my bias that Gold will be having a very serious pause right now. Just how intense remains to be seen. But a retrace to retest the previous cup and handle support as resistance would be a very normal movement for support and resistance traders. that would be a ~40% pull back from here. Very painful for people looking for momentum.
Provisionally I am keeping this draw on the GoldSilver ratio. Whether this means Gold will fall faster than silver or gold and silver diverge remains to be seen.
It also doesn't help that the news cycle has picked up on the gold move way too late. Of course.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bearish Outlook ExplainedGOLD has breached and closed below a significant daily horizontal support level.
Prior to this violation the support level, the price was consolidating in a tight horizontal range.
The bearish breakout from this trading range is a strong indicator of further declines.
The pair could continue to drop after retesting the broken structure to 3122 level.
Gold - Small rejection before $3400?Gold has been in a clear downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe, and during one of its recent declines, it left behind a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). Price is now climbing back toward this imbalance zone, suggesting that a critical test of resistance may be approaching.
Bounce from strong support
Just a few days ago, Gold found solid footing at a strong support area, which triggered a bounce. Since then, it has been pushing higher and is now nearing the 4-hour FVG. This zone represents a significant area of imbalance left unfilled during the prior selloff, and it's highly likely that price will react once it reaches this region.
FVG and Golden Pocket
Interestingly, this FVG aligns closely with the golden pocket, which lies between 3315 and 3325. While the golden pocket sits slightly above the midpoint of the FVG, there's a good chance Gold could tap into that area before showing signs of a pullback or rejection from the FVG itself.
Target to the downside
If price fails to break above this zone and reverses, the logical target to the downside would be the 3250 level. This area has acted as a key resistance in recent sessions, and if retested from above, it could serve as a strong support base for another potential leg higher.
Target if we break above the FVG
On the other hand, if Gold manages to break cleanly through the FVG with strong volume and momentum, the path could open toward a move up to the recent highs around 3430. In that scenario, the bullish continuation would likely require sustained buying interest and increased market participation to carry through.
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GOLD → Breaking of the downward trend structure...FX:XAUUSD is breaking out of the downward price channel and heading towards the zone of interest at 3346. A false breakout of resistance could trigger a correction before growth continues.
Gold is rising for the third day in a row and trading above $3,300 amid a weakening dollar and heightened geopolitical tensions. Investors are seeking refuge due to concerns about US fiscal policy, trade disputes with China, and a possible Israeli strike on Iran. Gold is also supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut and weak prospects for the dollar.
Technically, the price is heading towards the order block and resistance at 3345-3360. Since the opening of the session, the price has exhausted all its potential, and a retest of the key level may end in a false breakout and correction. However, based on the fundamental background, gold's growth may continue after the correction...
Resistance levels: 3346, 3360, 3409
Support levels: 3288, 3265, 3245
Gold has returned to the buy zone, but the fundamental background is unstable, and any weakening of economic risks could send gold back south. At the moment, the focus is on 3346-3360, with a false breakout likely to trigger a correction.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Stuck Between 3250 and 3200 – Watch the Breakout!After another week filled with violent price swings, Gold started this week on a much calmer note. Yesterday, after filling the Asia open gap, price pushed up to test the 3250 resistance, only to reverse and fall back toward the 3210 support zone.
🔺 A triangle is forming… but which way will it break?
Since last Thursday, price action has been forming an ascending triangle — a pattern that typically favors upside breakouts.
But for this to play out, we need a clean break above 3250. If that happens, we could see a fresh 1,000 pips move up in the short term.
📉 What if 3200 fails again?
A break back below 3200 would cancel the bullish structure and likely send price toward the 3160 support, or even further down to the 3100 zone.
📊 Trading Plan:
For now, I remain on the sidelines, waiting for a clear breakout in either direction. No need to rush — the breakout should bring strong momentum either way.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD TRADE Entry from Support with Targets at 3,347 and 3,503Entry Point: 3,219.45
Stop Loss: 3,171.35
Target Point One: 3,347.49
EA Target Point (Final Target): 3,503.87
Trade Plan:
Risk Zone: Between entry (3,219.45) and stop loss (3,171.35). The trader risks roughly 48.1 points.
Reward Zone: From entry to:
Target Point One: ~128 points.
Final Target (EA Target): ~284.4 points.
Risk-Reward Ratios:
To Target Point One: ~2.66:1
To EA Target Point: ~5.9:1
Indicators and Signals:
Price appears to be bouncing off a support zone near 3,212–3,219, indicating a potential reversal.
200 EMA (blue) and 50 EMA (red) are shown; price is slightly above the 200 EMA, suggesting long-term support.
There is a downtrend before the bounce, so this might be a counter-trend trade or the start of a new trend.
Summary:
This setup is a classic bounce from a demand/support zone with a clear upside potential. The risk is tightly managed, and the reward is significantly higher, aligning with favorable risk-reward principles. However, the position is speculative and relies on bullish follow-through from the support level. Watch price behavior near the 3,288 and 3,347 resistance zones to assess momentum.
GOLD (XAUUSD): 2 Strong Bullish Patterns
As I warned you earlier, Gold is resuming a growth.
After completing a bullish accumulation, the price
is currently breaking both a neckline of an ascending triangle
and an inverted head and shoulders formation on a 4H.
I think that the price will rise more and reach 3320 resistance soon.
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Gold Testing PRZ & Resistance Zone-Short Opportunity? Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved according to yesterday's analysis and the position that was Risk-To-Reward:1.61 and hit the target of this position. Do you think Gold will continue its correction, or should we wait for the next gold rally to start?
Gold is trading in the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and the Resistance lines .
From a Classical Technical Analysis perspective , it seems possible that an Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern could form.
Educational note : An Ascending Broadening Wedge is a bearish technical pattern characterized by higher highs and higher lows that expand over time. It signals increasing volatility and weakening bullish momentum, often leading to a breakdown below support.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be in corrective waves in the 15-minute time frame .
I expect Gold to decline at least to the Support lines again , at least I think you can find a good Risk-To-Reward in PRZ for short positions .
Note: If Gold touches $3,292 [ Worst Stop Loss(SL) ], we can expect further gains.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
So we followed the path on yesterdays Report and ideally, on a good day we would have wanted an undercut low and then the bounce. Instead, we got the high, got the move down and then decided, due to CPI we would take what the market gave and wait. Fortunately, it was a no show CPI and the range continued.
So now, we'll stick with the plan and follow the bias levels, above 3240 we'll look for higher pricing and maybe tomorrow Excalibur will give us that BOOM that we want.
For now, support 3230, resistance 3265 on the attack.
KOG’s Bias of the day:
Bullish above 3240 with targets above 3258✅ and above that 3265✅
Bearish on break of 3240 with target below 3230✅ and below that 3210
RED BOXES:
Break above 3265 for 3272, 3275, 3288 and 3006 in extension of the move
Break below 3250 for 3235✅, 3230✅, 3226✅ and 3207 in extension of the move
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 3310 with targets above 3335, 3345, 3350, 3350, 3362 and 3370
Bearish below 3310 with targets below 3306✅, 3301✅, 3297✅, 3285✅ and 3274✅
RED BOXES (TAKE NOTE)
Break above 3335 for 3342, 3350, 3354, 3365, 3370. 3373 and 3385 in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310✅, 3306✅, 3298✅, 3293✅, 3285✅ and 3279✅ in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG