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XAUUSDK trade ideas

6.9 Gold Market6.9 Gold Market Spot gold continued to fall after the release of non-agricultural data, breaking through the two barriers of 3345 and 3330. It finally closed near 3310. Although it once pierced the 3300 barrier today, the decline of gold is far from over. From the trend point of view, gold will have to at least test the position near 3280 before there is a chance of a pullback. Although there have been bulls working in the 3300-3310 range, if 3310 cannot stand firm, then gold will definitely fall, and may reach around 3280 or lower. On the contrary, if it stands firm at 3310, it may hit the early high of 3320 again. As long as it cannot stand firm above 3320, gold will still fall. The upper pressure is 3320, and the intraday support is 3300 SELL: around 3317 SL: 3323 TP: 3300/3283 Thank you for your attention, I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmilyShared256111
XAUUSD 15MThis second chart is for Gold (XAU/USD) on the 15-minute timeframe, and it aligns well with the sell signal you mentioned earlier (SELL @ 3315–3318). Here's a quick technical breakdown based on this chart: --- 📉 Bearish Outlook Confirmation ✅ Key Observations: Price Rejected from the supply zone (yellow zone near 3335). Lower High Formed around 3327–3328. Price has retested the broken structure and is now starting to move lower. Target TP zone is marked below 3,296 — matches your TP3 of 3303 (and possibly extended toward 3296 visually). --- 🔧 Trade Setup Summary (Matches Your Signal) Entry: 3315–3318 ✅ (Current price: ~3318.28 — within range) Stop Loss: 3327 ❌ (Above the lower high structure — safe placement) Take Profits: TP1: 3311 TP2: 3307 TP3: 3303 (with room toward 3296 if extended) --- 🎯 Probability & Confirmation Structure looks ready for a continuation sell. Strong impulsive move up has already started reversing — lower timeframes show momentum weakening. Great R:R setup, especially if targeting TP2 and TP3. --- Would you like a risk management table (e.g. position sizing based on account balance), or a copy of this analysis as a trade plan?
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by Alpha_Gold_Trader
Bearish outlookGold faced massive selling pressure after reaching the 3400 benchmark. Rather than continuing with the bullish movement, price action failed to sustain its upward direction and finished with some bearish pressure on Friday. For this week, price action may pullback upward and try to touch some resistance at 3338, and the established highs at 3377 and 3400 zones. If the pullback fails to materialise, simultaneously price action being under the above zones, a downward continuation is expected.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Two4One4
Gold brokeout my structure and target 3300 (Mon 9 Jun 25)Gold brokeout my structure on Friday 06 Jun 25 it drop down target 3300, so it looks like my analysed on Friday. This is my analyse for on Monday next week, it looks want to pull back to 3320, we can buy with below shortly. Entry Price: $3300 - $3305 Stop-Loss: $3295 - $3290 Take Profit: $3320 Risk Ratio: 1:2 Key zone price is $3300 I saw the smal pull back, , if 1H timeframe close and the price still below $3300, it mean will drop more to $3270 target, but if 1H timeframe close and the price above $3300, it mean will pullback to $3380 first. let monitor on Monday.
TVC:GOLD
by phaneth2014
Gold Breaks Out- Bulls Eye Record High Gold prices are poised to mark a third consecutive daily advance with XAU/USD clearing the June opening-range on news of war breaking out in the Middle East. The breakout takes price into uptrend resistance and while the broader outlook remains constructive, the immediate advance may be vulnerable while below this slope. A rally of more than 1.7% extended into uptrend resistance at the median-line before pulling back and the immediate focus is on today’s close with respect to the record high-close at 3431. Risk for near-term inflection off this zone with a close above needed to mark uptrend resumption. Subsequent resistance objectives are eyed at the record high at 3500 and the 100% extension of the May rally at 3578- look for a larger reaction there IF reached. Initial support now rests back at the 61.8% retracement of the April decline / the record high-day close (HDC) at 3355/80- losses should be limited to the median-line IF price is heading higher on this stretch. Subsequent support seen at the May / June open at 3288/89 with bullish invalidation now raised to the May LDC / late-May swing low at 3240/45- a close below this threshold would be needed to suggest a more significant high is in place / a larger reversal is underway. Bottom line: The gold rally has extended into uptrend resistance at the median-line- risk for possible inflection / topside exhaustion into this slope. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to 3355 IF price is heading for a breakout with a close above the median-line needed to fuel the next major leg of the advance. Keep in mind we get the release of key interest rate decisions from the Bank of Japan, the Federal Reserve, and the Bank of England next week. The ongoing conflict in Iran adds an additional layer of event risk as gold presses record highs- stay nimble next week and watch the weekly closes for guidance here.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
The situation escalates, and gold rises again.Information summary: Israel issued a statement: The attack on Iran has been completed. All Israeli Air Force pilots and crew members who participated in the attack on Iran returned to the base unscathed. Iran issued a statement: The attack could not have happened without the coordination and permission of the United States. The United States is responsible for the consequences of the Israeli air strikes. The unpredictable international situation has caused the price of gold to continue to rise after retreating. New forecast: After a strong rebound in the 3338 shock area and forming a high point, it is currently in a clear upward channel. The recent breakthrough of the 3398.4 area indicates that the trend will continue and point to the resistance line near 3465. At present, the price is testing the trend line that broke above, which may become a springboard for the next round of rise. Buy trigger point: rebound from near 3405, with strong trading volume. Risk attention: The possibility of triggering a false breakout trap near 3440. If gold loses the 3380-point trend line, its momentum may stagnate. Broader macro data could overtake technical support near resistance levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
June 13, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary: War has broken out between Israel and Iran, triggering a sharp surge in gold prices. Today's strategy is to buy on pullbacks to support — this plan only changes if price breaks below 3378. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3450 – Bullish target • 3435 – Minor long target • 3421 – Support • 3412 – Support • 3405 – Support • 3400 – Major Support • 3392 – Support • 3378 – Critical support (trend shift if broken) • 3368 – Resistance 📉 Macro Strategy: Due to the strong fundamental driver, technical indicators may lose effectiveness today. Volatility is expected to be extremely high. ⚠️ Avoid aggressive shorting. Conservative traders may either stay out or take light long positions on support retests. 👉 If you find this helpful, a like lets me know you're interested. Thanks for the support!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ombabibi
The latest gold trend analysis strategy on June 12: Analysis of key factors Influence of CPI data The core CPI in the United States in May only increased by 0.1%, which was lower than expected, indicating that inflation slowed down, and strengthened the market's expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut (it is now expected to cut interest rates by 77 basis points in the next year). After the data was released, gold rose to $3,360/ounce in the short term, and the US dollar index plunged, reflecting the rise in risk aversion. However, we need to be vigilant about the subsequent market's revision of inflation expectations, especially if the Fed releases hawkish signals at the June interest rate meeting. Key technical points Resistance: 3360-3363 (intraday high), 3380-3382 (previous high pressure). Support: 3300-3310 (short-term psychological barrier), 3293 (recent low). Daily signal: The 5-day moving average crosses the 10-day moving average, but the gold price temporarily stands on the 5-day moving average, forming a price divergence, and we need to be vigilant about the risk of a high and fall. Market sentiment Geopolitics (trade friction, central bank gold purchases) still supports the long-term bullish logic of gold, but the short-term technical side shows that the bullish momentum is insufficient, and there is strong resistance above 3350. Operation strategy suggestions Short-term trading Sell short order strategy: If the gold price rebounds to the 3365-3370 range and is blocked (especially if there is a long upper shadow or the 1-hour chart closes negative), you can short with a light position, with a target of 3330-3310 and a stop loss of 3385. Buy long order strategy: If it pulls back to 3300-3310 and stabilizes (such as closing a cross star or a positive line rebound), you can short-term long, with a target of 3330-3350 and a stop loss of 3290. Trend tracking Breakthrough direction confirmation: If it effectively breaks through 3382, it may open up space to rise to 3400; if it falls below 3293, it will go down to the support of 3270-3250. Be cautious in following orders: Currently in the range of shocks (3293-3360), avoid blindly following before breaking through the previous high/low. Risk Warning Event Risk: Pay attention to the results of the US Treasury auction. Weak demand may further boost gold safe-haven buying. Technical Correction: If the daily MACD forms a bottom divergence, it may trigger a larger rebound, which needs to be judged in conjunction with the K-line pattern. Summary: The main focus during the day is high-altitude, and short orders are entered after the key resistance level of 3365-3370 is under pressure. If it quickly breaks below 3330, positions can be increased; long orders are limited to light positions at the support level. Strictly stop loss and wait for trend-following opportunities after the range breaks.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Golden_Line_FX
GOLD TRADERS PAY ATTENTION! | XAUUSD 15M SUPPLY ZONE IN PLAY!Price just tapped into a key supply zone (highlighted in blue) around 3390–3395, showing early signs of potential rejection. This level has historically acted as a strong resistance, and we’re now seeing clear exhaustion on the recent bullish momentum. 🧠 What I'm Watching: 📌 Supply Zone: 3390–3395 — Price just entered this key resistance 📉 Targets Below: 3348: Mid-level liquidity grab zone 3310: Major demand zone + volume imbalance (orange zone) ⏳ Volume tapering as price approaches resistance — possible trap for late buyers? 📉 SELL IDEA (If rejection confirms): Entry: Below 3388 SL: Above 3396 TP1: 3348 TP2: 3310 Bonus: Watch for a liquidity sweep and fakeout candle around 3395 before the real drop! 🧨 Important Clue: The visible range POC is sitting just below 3390, aligning perfectly with the supply zone. This is a high-probability reversal confluence for intraday traders. 👀 🔥 TIP: Watch for a break of structure below 3380 for extra confirmation before jumping in. Patience = precision! --- 📊 Agree or Disagree? Drop your thoughts ⬇️ 💬 Let’s discuss — is this another fakeout or real reversal? 💡 Follow for more setups like this! #XAUUSD #Gold #PriceAction #SmartMoney #SupplyDemand #Scalping #DayTrading #ReversalZone #LiquidityGrab #FrankFx
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FrankFx14
How Gold Could Be Affected by Possible Iran Conflict? Gold begins the new day on a bullish note following escalating developments in the Middle East. Yesterday, markets were focused on the US–China deal. Although an agreement was reached, tariffs but overall trade tensions remain elevated. Combined with the lower-than-expected core CPI, gold mostly moved sideways, apart from intraday noise. However, this could change in the days ahead. US–Iran nuclear negotiations appear to be stalling. A new round of talks is scheduled for Sunday, June 15. The negative newsflow escalated with Iran’s defense minister warned that US bases in the region could be targeted if conflict breaks out. US ordered all non-essential personnel to evacuate and approved the voluntary departure of military family members from the region. Simultaneously, reports surfaced that "Israel is ready to strike Iran." The negative newsflow continued today. The International Atomic Energy Agency passed a resolution declaring Iran non-compliant with its international obligations. In retaliation, Iran announced it would build a new uranium enrichment facility at a hidden and secure location and unveiled plans for new military drills. The timing of this escalation raises the risk of direct conflict. Netanyahu’s government is facing collapse, with the possibility of new elections looming. At the same time, Iran is nearing nuclear weapons capability. While Trump is more openly supportive of Israel than Biden, he is reluctant to involve the US in any direct or indirect conflict. This dynamic raises the chances of an Israeli strike on Iran. Adding to the tension is the upcoming July 9 deadline for tariffs. Trump intends to send unilateral tariff agreements to trade partners with a “take it or leave it” approach. This could sharply increase trade tensions and further support gold prices. Today's news flow is heavily bullish for gold, and the technical outlook aligns with it. The triangle formation has broken, and gold has retested the upper boundary, gaining momentum from that level. If current risk levels remain elevated, especially if multiple strikes on Iran occur, a medium-term move above 3600 could begin. Despite the strong bullish setup, we are in a market where sentiment can shift in minutes, with major news emerging almost daily. In this environment, it's crucial to define key levels and indicators for risk management. At the moment, the 50-day EMA appears to be holding well as a support level. This moving average could be the final line that determines the medium-term direction for gold. If it breaks, the bullish outlook may no longer be valid.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ftdsystem
XAUUSD:Go long Gold bottled out and rebounded, hitting the lowest 3319 line, which just gave us the opportunity to leave the 3320 stop profit. Then, under the stimulation of the news surface, it did not break through the 3375 line. Then, combined with the previous ideas, the next need to do long strategy. Keep an eye on the breakout at 3375 during the day. Trading Strategy: BUY@3353-58 TP:3375-84 ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_
Report – June 12, 2025As of today, markets are navigating a cautious and complex macro landscape driven by sticky inflation, mixed economic momentum, and upcoming supply events in the U.S. Treasury market. At the center of market focus is the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI), which surprised to the upside. The headline PPI YoY came in at 2.6%, above the prior month’s 2.4%, while the month-over-month figure rebounded to +0.2%, recovering from -0.5% in April. Although Core PPI YoY held flat at 3.1%, the level remains elevated. These numbers reinforce the perception that inflationary pressures remain embedded at the producer level, limiting the Federal Reserve’s flexibility to ease policy in the near term. Simultaneously, the U.S. labor market continues to show resilience. Initial Jobless Claims printed at 242,000, slightly better than the consensus estimate of 247,000. The four-week average stabilized at 235,000, and Continuing Claims remained firm at 1.904 million. This combination of firm labor and sticky inflation supports a “higher-for-longer” rates environment, with no immediate pressure on the Fed to pivot dovish. These data points, taken together, imply that the fixed income and equity markets are still subject to repricing risk, especially if the Fed maintains its hawkish rhetoric or if real yields begin to trend higher again. In the bond market, U.S. Treasury yields moved slightly lower across the curve, with the 2Y yield at 3.958% (-0.6bp), the 10Y at 4.416% (-1.0bp), and the 30Y at 4.905% (-1.4bp). The curve remains inverted, although the steepness has moderated somewhat, indicating a cautious recalibration of forward rate expectations. Markets are closely watching today’s 30-year Treasury bond auction, scheduled for later in the session. A weak result — defined as a tail greater than 1.5bps — could lead to a renewed sell-off in long-duration Treasuries and reinforce the bear trend in TLT. Looking internationally, Japan’s 10Y yield remains stable at 1.454%, suggesting no immediate pressure from the BoJ to shift policy. In the UK, the 10Y Gilt yield stands at 4.526%, continuing to reflect persistent inflation risk. German 10Y Bunds yield between 2.41–2.45%, slightly firmer, maintaining a neutral to moderately hawkish stance ahead of upcoming ECB communications. Collectively, these yield levels reflect a global market pricing in differentiated inflation risks and rate divergence. In fixed income ETFs, we see short-duration U.S. Treasury instruments leading, with SHY (1–3Y) up +0.13%, while TLT (20Y+) gained +0.30%, showing tentative stabilization ahead of the auction. Investment-grade credit, as tracked by LQD, rose +0.34%, benefiting from risk-off hedging and carry trades. However, high-yield (HYG) was flat at -0.02%, and convertibles (CWB) edged lower at -0.06%, both signaling a decline in speculative appetite. Internationally, emerging market debt (EMB +0.3%) and global Treasuries (IGOV +0.29%) are firming as the USD softens modestly. In the equity space, today’s session is showing a mild risk-off tilt. The S&P 500 trades at 6,022 (-0.3%), holding just above key support at 5,975. The Dow Jones is flat at 42,865, with underlying breadth weakening. The Nasdaq 100 fell -0.4% to 21,860, and Russell 2000 declined -0.4% to 2,148, continuing its underperformance. The VIX has risen to 17.27 (+1.9%), closing in on the psychological stress level of 18.5. Sector rotation aligns with a defensive narrative. Energy is leading, up +1.4% (with oil rallying sharply), followed by Utilities (+0.1%) and Health Care (+0.1%), both classic low-volatility, defensive groups. Conversely, Technology (-0.2%) and Real Estate (-0.5%) are underperforming, as the market de-risks rate-sensitive sectors. Financials (-0.1%) remain cautious due to yield curve pressure and auction-related uncertainty. From a style and factor perspective, momentum continues to lead with +0.72% relative outperformance versus SPY, followed by high dividend (+0.39%) and value (+0.16%). Meanwhile, growth stocks are soft (-0.04%), and small caps are lagging further (-0.32%), signaling a clear rotation away from riskier, high-beta equity exposure. In currencies, the U.S. dollar is slightly weaker today. USD/JPY trades at 143.99 (-0.4%), showing softness despite higher PPI, likely due to short-term positioning. EUR/USD has strengthened to 1.1516 (+0.2%), and GBP/USD is stable at 1.3547. Crypto remains soft with BTC/USD down 1.2% to $107,669, confirming that risk appetite remains limited. The commodity complex is stronger. Gold is up $18.20 to $3,371.13, reflecting safe-haven buying as real yields pause. Crude oil (WTI) has rallied $2.90 to $67.88, and Brent is at $69.51, with supply dynamics and macro demand recovery pushing prices higher. Natural gas remains flat at $3.51. These moves have boosted commodity-sensitive equities in the emerging market space. For example, Brazil (EWZ) is up 1.8%, South Korea (EWY) up 1.3%, and India (EPI) +0.3%, while developed markets (EFA) are flat to down (-0.2%). Tactically, the SPX remains neutral to bearish. Holding above 5,975 preserves structure, but a breakdown below this level — especially if triggered by a hot auction or inflation shock — could drive further downside. The Dow remains in a bearish posture below 43,000, with a downside trigger at 42,300. Gold remains in a bullish technical setup with breakout potential above $2,350 and support at $2,325–2,330. USD/JPY is a tactical long above 143.80, aiming for 144.60, conditional on yields rising. TLT remains weak, and a close below 86.50 following the auction would confirm downside continuation. WTI oil is long-biased above 67, targeting $69.80 and higher if USD continues to weaken. Key macro risk triggers include: a PPI print above 2.8% or Core PPI above 3.2%, which would reinforce Fed hawkishness; a long bond auction tail greater than 1.5bps, which would signal poor demand and push long yields higher; a VIX breakout above 18.5, which would signal a broader risk-off episode; and a gold breakout above $2,350, which would confirm macro hedge acceleration. Asset Action Gold Long bias Oil Long setup SPX Hedged Dow Bearish lean USD/JPY Buy dips > 143.80 TLT Bear or avoid
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Buranku
Iran hardens steel, gold rises! 📣Gold news On Thursday (June 12, 00:00 in the Asian morning, spot gold continued to rise, reaching a high of $3,377 so far, a new high this week. The lower-than-expected US CPI data in May increased the possibility of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in September, and the trend of the US dollar and the decline in US bond yields provided a favorable environment for gold prices. At the same time, tensions in the Middle East escalated on Wednesday, and Iran said it would attack US military bases in the Middle East if negotiations broke down. The sharp rise in geopolitical tensions in the Middle East has significantly increased the safe-haven demand for gold. Although the conclusion of the US-China trade agreement has eased some market pressure, the potential impact of tariff policies on inflation still needs to be vigilant. Looking ahead, investors need to pay close attention to Thursday's PPI data and the Fed's policy trends, while keeping an eye on the situation in the Middle East. Driven by risk aversion and expectations of loose monetary policy, the gold market still has room for upside in the short term. 📣Technical side: Yesterday's CPI data was bullish. After a brief surge, it fell back to below 3330, and then fluctuated. The rise was not strong. Late at night, Trump again called on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 100 basis points. Confidence in the Iran nuclear negotiations decreased. In the next one to two weeks, he will send a letter to trading partners to set unilateral tariffs. Uncertain risks increased. Gold rose in contact with the CPI data. In the short term, the price broke through the 3348-3353 suppression. Consider going low around this position during the day, looking at the 3383-89 suppression, stop loss 3337, pay attention to risks. 💰Strategy Package Today's trading strategy: long around 3349. Stop loss 3337, take profit 3383 Short around 3370, stop loss 3374, take profit 3350 Trend value trading is the only way for all investors to make profits. There is no shortcut, and don't be lucky. Any investor needs to go through the process of loss, capital preservation, and profit from the beginning of entering the market. The market is definitely not a long-term paradise for speculators. A successful speculation does not mean that it can be successful from beginning to end. Only stable and continuous profits can make a person successful. There must be rules here. If you don't break the rules, you won't be eliminated.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
Gold fluctuates at high levels, where will the price go? Market review The volatile trend continued on Tuesday, with the Asian session falling under pressure, rebounding in the European session, and sweeping the $30 range in the US session. It rose after confirming support in the morning session today, but fell back in the European session without breaking the previous low. Pay attention to whether it can continue to rise. Key structural analysis Weekly level Watershed: 3295 (last week's low and this week's support), breaking it will open up downward space. Daily level The Bollinger band narrowed, support moved up to 3311 (MA30), and the upper rail resistance was 3403. Relying on the lifeline to rebound for three consecutive days, the range will remain volatile in the short term. 4-hour level The Bollinger band closed, breaking through the lifeline 3328 and turning into support. If it holds, it will look up to 3360-3365 (upper rail). If 3328 is lost, the support of 3295-3290 will be seen. Intraday trading strategy Bull idea (need to hold 3328) Target 1: 3347-3349 (near yesterday's high) Target 2: 3360-3365 (4-hour upper rail resistance) Stop loss: below 3328 (if it falls below, turn short) Bear idea (if it falls below 3328) Target 1: 3315-3318 (early low) Target 2: 3295-3300 (weekly key support) Key observation points The trend of the European session determines the direction of the US session If the European session stands above 3330 and breaks through 3340, the US session is expected to test 3360. If the European session falls below 3328, the US session may fall to 3315 or even 3300. Whether the 4-hour Bollinger Band is open If it breaks through 3360 or falls below 3295, it will guide the trend direction. (The current gold price is around 3340. Pay attention to whether the European session can continue the upward trend and adjust the strategy before the US session.) Risk warning: The recent market is highly repetitive. Strictly stop loss to avoid large retracements caused by abnormal data or institutional changes.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Trend_Trading_xau
CPI NEWS TRADE (XAUUSD)📉📈 Market Update – Consolidation Before CPI Storm ⚠️ Today, the market is consolidating within a key support and resistance zone. No major moves are expected until the CPI release, which is anticipated to act as a major catalyst. 🚀 CPI data could ignite a breakout in either direction – a strong rally to the upside or a sharp decline. 📊 Our Plan: 🔹 Break above resistance → We look for buying opportunities. 🔹 Break below support → We prepare to sell or short the market. 🎯 Until then, we remain patient and disciplined, waiting for a confirmed breakout. No need to jump the gun – let the market come to you. 💡 Trading Tip of the Day: “Trade the breakout, not the forecast.” Avoid predicting the direction. Instead, react to price action with a solid risk management plan. 🧠💼
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by Jessica_Gold_Vault