Gold Analysis – June 11Safe-haven demand increased after a U.S. appeals court upheld Trump-era tariffs, overshadowing optimism from a U.S.–China trade framework. While the agreement hinted at progress, the lack of details and looming tariff deadlines kept risk sentiment in check.
The market is now focused on today’s U.S. CPI release, expected to show sticky inflation in May. Strong inflation data could support the Fed’s stance on keeping rates elevated, which has kept the dollar firm and capped gains in metals — but for now, gold remains bid on geopolitical and inflation uncertainty.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
XAUUSDXAUUSD Short Scalp Trade Setup
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently displaying strong bearish momentum, with price aggressively rejecting key resistance levels and forming lower highs on the lower timeframes. A sharp breakdown below intraday support suggests increased selling pressure, supported by bearish candlestick structure and volume. Momentum indicators confirm downside continuation, presenting a clean opportunity for a short scalp
Gold rises and then falls, short at 3330📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Impact of the US dollar trend on gold
📈 Market analysis:
Gold rebounded again after falling to 3301, but the upper 3330-3340 line still has strong suppression on gold. Judging from the current trend, because the gold price has risen in the short term and returned to the 3325-3327 line, the short-term resistance is still 3330-3335 and it is expected to fall under pressure. Look for the 3315-3310 position. If it falls below this support, look down to the 3300-3290 line.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3330-3340
TP 3315-3310-3300
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold trading strategy todayGold fell to test the support near 3300 and then rose again, still in an overall consolidation range. Today's trading range focuses on 3290-3340, and the upper resistance area is 3340-3350. The trading strategy remains to short first and then go long.
xauusd sell@3330-3340
tp:3310-3300
Trading Gold with Leverage: Smart or Dangerous?XAUUSD trading (Gold vs. US Dollar) is a popular choice among global traders due to its high liquidity, strong volatility, and profit potential. One of the tools that help traders amplify their returns is financial leverage. However, using leverage also carries significant risks if not managed properly. So, what exactly is leverage in XAUUSD trading? Should you use it? Let’s explore the advantages and disadvantages below.
1. What is Leverage in XAUUSD Trading?
Leverage is a financial tool that allows traders to control a larger position in the market than the capital they actually own. For example, with 1:100 leverage, you only need $1,000 to trade a position worth $100,000.
In the XAUUSD market, brokers often offer leverage ranging from 1:50 to 1:500, or even up to 1:2000—depending on their risk policies and regulations.
2. Pros of Using Leverage in XAUUSD Trading
🔹 Amplifies Potential Profits
Leverage allows traders to maximize profits with a relatively small amount of capital. When the market moves in the expected direction, the gains can be multiplied significantly.
🔹 Lower Capital Requirement
Instead of needing $10,000 to trade 1 lot of gold, a trader may only need $100–$500 depending on the leverage. This lowers the entry barrier and offers greater flexibility in capital management.
🔹 Enables Strategy Diversification
With the same amount of capital, traders can open multiple positions across different timeframes or strategies. Leverage allows for broader portfolio diversification while still maintaining control over total risk.
🔹 Takes Advantage of Short-Term Opportunities
Gold markets often react strongly to news and economic data. Leverage lets traders capitalize on short-term price swings, enabling faster profits without needing to hold positions long-term.
3. Cons and Risks of Using Leverage in XAUUSD Trading
Risk of Account Blowout
The higher the leverage, the lower the safety margin. A small market move against the position can trigger a margin call or stop-out, resulting in a full loss of the initial capital.
Emotional and Psychological Stress
High leverage often leads traders to gamble instead of follow a strategy, increasing the likelihood of emotional decisions and impulsive trading behaviors.
Difficult to Manage During Volatility
XAUUSD is a highly volatile asset, especially during U.S. sessions or major news releases (like CPI, Fed announcements, NFP). Over-leveraging can lead to rapid losses in seconds during sudden price spikes.
Increased Emotional Pressure
When using high leverage, every small fluctuation feels significant, causing stress and encouraging poor decisions—like exiting too early or revenge trading.
4. Conclusion: Should You Use Leverage in XAUUSD Trading?
Yes, but only with a disciplined and strategic approach.
Use moderate leverage (e.g. 1:100 or lower if you're a beginner)
Always set clear stop-loss and take-profit levels
Risk no more than 2% of your account per trade
Avoid “all-in” trades and don’t let emotions dictate position size
In Summary
Leverage in XAUUSD trading is a double-edged sword. Used wisely, it accelerates your profit potential. Used recklessly, it can wipe out your account in moments. The key is to trade with discipline, knowledge, and a solid plan to harness the power of leverage without falling into its traps.
GOLD/USD expected to fall to a final target marked further down
The chart shows a harmonic pattern (possibly a Gartley or Bat pattern), labeled with the points X, A, B, C, D.
This suggests a potential reversal zone around point D.
Fibonacci ratios are visible between the segments (e.g., 0.569, 1.495, 0.656), which are typically used in harmonic trading to validate the structure.
3. Price Levels:
Current price levels are:
Sell: 3,316.766
Buy: 3,317.136
The price is located just below a resistance zone, with an apparent support zone below.
4. Support and Resistance:
Several horizontal support and resistance zones are marked on the chart.
A key support level is noted, below which the price is expected to fall to a “final target” marked further down.
5. Projection:
A projected path is drawn in black, showing potential short-term consolidation or retracement before a drop to the final target area (around 3,150.000 or lower).
6. Additional Interface Details:
The platform in use is TradingView.
The date range shown is from early April to mid-June 2025.
The final arrow indicates a bearish outlook.
Interpretation:
This chart suggests a bearish trading plan for XAU/USD based on the harmonic pattern and key price levels. The trader appears to expect a retracement followed by a significant drop, possibly targeting the area labeled as “final target.”
Elliott Wave Analysis – Trading Strategy Update | June 10, 2025
Currently, the market is presenting multiple wave scenarios with nearly equal probabilities. To avoid noise and gain clarity, we are shifting our analysis to the H4 timeframe.
🔹 Key Price Zone
As highlighted in yesterday’s update, the 3340 level remains a critical resistance. Price failed to break above this level and has since pulled back to 3307.
🔹 Momentum & Volume Profile
- H4 Momentum: Just one more H4 candle and the momentum indicator will likely enter the oversold zone, suggesting that the bearish momentum is weakening.
- Volume Profile: Price is clearly reacting at the green POC zone, with no signs of a breakdown yet.
🧩 Two Main Scenarios:
Scenario 1: Wave 5 Continues Lower
Price is potentially forming wave 5, with:
🎯 Target 1: 3290
🎯 Target 2: 3279
✅ Confirmation: Break below 3294
⚠️ Note: This is the most obvious scenario, and in trading, what’s most obvious often requires the most caution.
Scenario 2: Correction Completed – Wave 3 Uptrend Forming
- The black ABC correction has likely completed.
- The recent upward move could be wave 1; the current pullback is wave 2.
- Wave 3 is expected next.
✅ Necessary Condition: Price breaks above 3340
✅ Sufficient Condition: Price breaks the top of wave b (black)
➡️ For this scenario, limit orders may not be effective — real-time confirmation will be required.
📉 Momentum Overview:
- D1 Timeframe: Approaching oversold territory — likely to see a recovery over the next 5–7 daily candles.
- H4 Timeframe: Also nearing oversold — an intraday bounce is expected today.
🎯 Trading Plan:
🔵 Buy Zone 1:
Entry: 3292 – 3289
Stop Loss: 3282
TP1: 3306
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3375
🔵 Buy Zone 2:
Entry: 3281 – 3279
Stop Loss: 3271
TP1: 3307
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3375
GOLD LONG🔥 XAUUSD TRADING PLAN – 4H/15M Confluence-Based Setup (as of June 9, 2025)
🧠 Bias: STRONGLY BULLISH (while above $3,290)
🔍 TRADE OVERVIEW
Item
Detail
Pair
XAUUSD (Gold)
Timeframes
4H (macro bias), 15M (entry precision)
Entry Style
Scale-in with confirmation from lower TF
Risk Type
Aggressive with tight SL
Target
$3,500 (ATH)
Stop Loss
Initial SL: $3,288 (tight), invalidation SL: $3,280
RR Ratio
1:4+ minimum
✅ ENTRY ZONES (with reasons and confluences):
🔹 Zone 1: $3,294 – $3,308 (LIVE price area)
🔁 Type: Immediate entry on confirmation (15M bullish structure)
📌 Reasons:
✅ 4H Key Support from previous horizontal base.
✅ 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement of major bullish leg.
✅ Demand Zone tapped twice on 4H and 15M.
✅ Bullish Rejection Candles forming in both TFs.
✅ Break and Retest of descending wedge/channel on 15M.
✅ Touch of ascending trendline on 4H — trend still active.
🎯 Entry: Execute small size position now around $3,298–$3,306
📍 SL: $3,288 (below trendline wick trap + structure)
📍 TP1: $3,336
📍 TP2: $3,375
📍 TP3: $3,420
📍 TP4: $3,500
🔹 Zone 2: $3,266 – $3,280 (Deeper pullback entry)
🔁 Type: Scale-in/add-on (limit order)
📌 Reasons:
✅ 50%–61.8% Fibonacci Zone (mean reversion level).
✅ 4H Trendline Deviation Trap Zone (fake-out potential).
✅ Liquidity Sweep Zone below current support = classic entry trap.
✅ Reversal candlesticks expected on 15M here if tested.
🎯 Entry: Set limit orders at $3,274 ±3
📍 SL: $3,258
📍 TP: Same levels — ride toward ATH with scaling logic
🧱 TRADE MANAGEMENT – SCALING STRATEGY
Position
Entry Zone
SL
Risk %
TP1
TP2
TP3
TP4
Entry #1
$3,298–$3,306
$3,288
0.5%
$3,336
$3,375
$3,420
$3,500
Entry #2
$3,266–$3,274
$3,258
0.75%
$3,336
$3,375
$3,420
$3,500
Entry #3 (Optional Pullback Buy)
$3,230
$3,218
0.5%
$3,294
$3,336
$3,420
$3,500
💡 Total Risk: ~1.75% with staggered entries
📈 Scaling Out: Partial profit on each target, trailing SL above structure post TP2
🔁 LIVE MONITORING SIGNALS
If you see this...
Then do this...
Bullish engulfing on 15M in Zone 1
Enter with tight SL
Breakout above $3,320
Move SL to BE
Retest of $3,294 with strong rejection
Re-enter/add-on
Clean break down below $3,280
Close position; wait for $3,230
📉 INVALIDATION CONDITIONS
Clean 4H close below $3,280 AND break of trendline support
Break of 61.8% zone ($3,266) without reversal pattern
Sudden fundamental shock (e.g. CPI/NFP ruining trend)
🏁 FINAL TARGET PATH
✅ $3,336 – intraday resistance
✅ $3,375 – minor swing high
🔜 $3,420 – clean breakout zone
🏁 $3,500 ATH – Final TP target, psychological + technical milestone
H4 swing order analysis for traders, Trade Swing H4 GoldH4 swing order analysis for traders, pay attention to wave 5 to confirm Long-term Sell
James Stanley, senior strategist at Forex.com, said: "I remain bullish on gold and will look for new support for the broader trend to continue.
Gold has made a new short-term high, with the price rising above $3,350/oz. Therefore, I do not rule out the possibility of this uptrend continuing and will look for new support, especially at $3,300/oz and $3,280/oz," he said.
Rich Checkan, Chairman and CEO of Asset Strategies International, said: "The current momentum favors gold and silver. While there may be some profit-taking, I expect gold to continue to rise next week thanks to the weakness of the US dollar, political tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine, the impact of tariffs and the passage of a major bill in the US that will increase public debt, leading to consumer inflation. These factors will continue to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset."
Adrian Day, Chairman of Adrian Day Asset Management, shared: "There are signs that North American investors are increasing their purchases of gold, although not a strong wave, but I believe this trend is gradually changing. This is a positive signal for the gold market in the future."
Best Regards StarrOne !!!
Pay close attention to this ☠️
The markets are supposed to open on an upward gap, but according to my analysis, it should be a small downward gap and then the price covers the previous price gap at 3295 and then the bullish party begins with all the power of the global economy.
But I say this from my pulpit. A bullish price gap and very high liquidity at the opening and then the markets calm down for hours and by ten o'clock in the morning on Monday, gold will have covered the previous gap at 3295 and rebounded upwards above the gap or opening price this week.
This and God knows best ❤️
Do a little search for charitable academy
Gold closed strong bull weekly candleGold closed strong bull weekly candle.
gold manage to close a solid weekly candle that manage to cover most of previous wick highs that showing a strong indication that it wants to reach its ATH as first destination which is accordance to fibo from the latest bearish movement of 3403 to 3295.
Bias is Bullish.
However, in the current daily line chart. we are at 3-point touch of resistance. which also indicate a very strong point of resistance.
1st scenario is I foresight gold will continue its climb towards 3500 or even closer to it to cfm its direction. if breaks above 3500 means gold will head towards 2.618 of fibo.
2nd scenario, if gold did not manage to break the 3500 ceiling, possibility for a trendline support retest as previous the weekly trendline was able to be broken however due to fundamental of trade war tariff its bounce back making it as a fake out.
my plan for next week.
1. I will still focus to look for buys, however I will only scalp position. means if I identify a support area to buy with a clear confirmation of fresh breakout target with a 50pips 1st tp 50% and 100pips 25% and balance B.E. for every setup.
2. I will wait for a confirmation of sells setups nearer to its resistance. if a strong and clear rejections appear in smaller tf shall i take that trade with the same principals and target as it makes sense to sell high.
at the current no trader is wrong to buy or sell as we are in at the most volatile area that a minute candle goes as much as 100pips. only money management that will keeps us alive. A self reminder to me as well. All the best traders. may it'll be a fruitful week ahead for all of us.
IS GOLD AT REVERSAL OR NEW HIGHS COMING ?Geopolitical tension raised between Iran & Israel which gives pump to gold so what do we expect now ? new highs of $3700 , $4000 or reversal ? in my opinion if gold doesn't breaks it's previous high with the body it might be a signal of LH & LL series.
Area to watch for reversal : $3468 - $3482
GOLD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,431.19 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,422.53.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Buy 3424, close during Asia open on Monday.This is a fundamentally based idea. I´m expecting GOLD will gap during weekend, diue to possible Iran "retaliation" atack during weekend(this night). The most likely target is 3500-3520. You can open your position now at 3424. Very important, you HAVE TO, control your position during Asia open on Monday and do not be greedy. Expecting very sharp pullback (do not trade it). Control your size, take it as educational idea with very small size. Wishing you good luck.
I´m not a signal service. If you want to trade signals, please contact one of the signalist commenting this idea, help them finance their life from signal services. I do not do this service. My suggestion is rely on your own trading decisions, not somebody else. You will save a lot of money.
XAUUSD:Go long, go long
"Israel announced a strike on Iran" broke out the news, gold and crude oil in the Asian session soared. Again help us recently do long ideas, too late to explain so much, the follow-up trading ideas are still long after the pullback.
After 3403 broke through has been converted into strong support, short - term to 3415-20 to do more.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3415-20
TP:3440-50
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
6/13 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning, everyone!
Gold rallied to around $3399 during yesterday’s session, accurately reaching our preset sell zone at 3385–3403. Since then, the market has started pulling back, and today’s opening shows signs of accelerated downside movement. However, there are several strong support zones below, with immediate focus on 3378–3368, and further support around 3352–3343.
📉 Technical Outlook:
The current price action suggests the potential formation of a Head and Shoulders pattern. If confirmed, this could trigger a deeper correction towards 3340–3330. A break of these levels would significantly weaken the current bullish structure and open further downside risk.
🌍 Fundamental Drivers:
Today’s inflation-related data releases may add significant volatility;
Additionally, stay alert to any developments in the Middle East geopolitical situation, which could quickly shift market sentiment toward risk-off if escalations occur.
📌 Today’s Trading Recommendations:
✅ Sell Zone: 3410–3420
✅ Buy Zone: 3338–3326
🔄 Intraday Key Reaction Levels:
3403 / 3378 / 3362 / 3355 / 3343
🔒 Recommendation: Market is at a technically sensitive zone. Consider entering positions in batches and maintain strict risk control.