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GOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

GOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

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XAUUSDK trade ideas

Gold (XAUUSD) Weekly TF 2025Overview This analysis outlines the structural Fibonacci confluences, scenario planning, and macro-aligned projections for Gold (XAUUSD) on the weekly timeframe. It integrates multi-layered Fibonacci extensions and retracements, mapping out key support and resistance levels, and proposes a nuanced primary scenario that includes both intermediate rallies and corrective movements. Primary Scenario – Multi-Stage Movement Hypothesis We anticipate that gold may initially extend higher from the current level (~$3,325) to test the 127.2% Fibonacci extension at $3,435, with the possibility of a further intermediate peak near $3,500. This level marks a psychological and technical resistance zone and could act as a temporary top. Following this local peak, a corrective phase may unfold. This pullback could evolve into one of the two outlined correction scenarios: 1 TP Correction Scenario Support Target: ~$2,950 Basis: 100% Fib extension confluence and prior resistance turned support Expected Outcome: Price stabilizes at this level and resumes upward momentum 2 TP Correction Scenario Support Target: ~$2,650 Basis: Strong historical structure + 100% Fib confluence from a broader cycle Expected Outcome: This zone acts as a long-term demand accumulation area Upon completion of the corrective structure, we expect gold to reinitiate its primary bullish trend. Bullish Continuation Targets TP1: ~$4,050 (161.8% Fibonacci extension) TP2: ~$4,319 (261.8% Fibonacci extension) These targets align with macroeconomic conditions, central bank accumulation trends, and long-term structural cycles. Supporting Technicals RSI: Holding above 50, indicating preserved bullish momentum MACD: Positive crossover with widening histogram on weekly timeframe Price Action: Strong support zone between $3,280–$3,300 aligning with 161.8% Fib retracement of the recent minor wave Macro Fundamentals & Correlations Central Bank Gold Demand: Sustained net buying by BRICS nations, particularly China and Russia, supports the structural bid on gold Fed Policy: Market anticipates a prolonged pause or gradual rate cuts, favoring non-yielding assets like gold DXY & US10Y Yields: Any further decline in DXY or softening yields would add tailwinds to gold Crypto Correlation: During inflationary hedging or systemic risk periods, gold and crypto may correlate positively, especially with weakening USD Intermarket Relationships: Gold, DXY, and TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap) Gold vs. DXY (US Dollar Index) Gold historically maintains an inverse correlation with DXY. A rising DXY tends to apply downward pressure on gold prices, while a falling DXY enhances gold's upside momentum. Scenario Interactions: If DXY breaks below 98, this could validate the bullish scenario for gold toward $3,435–$4,050. If DXY rallies back above 100, it could trigger the correction scenarios ($2,950 or $2,650) in gold. Gold vs. TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap) Gold and TOTAL may show positive correlation during periods of USD weakening and global liquidity expansion. Scenario Interactions: If gold rallies toward $3,500 and TOTAL also breaks key resistance (e.g., $1.8T–$2T), this signals synchronized bullish risk appetite. If gold corrects while TOTAL continues to rise, it could indicate rotation of liquidity from defensive to risk-on assets. A simultaneous correction in both may occur if DXY strengthens aggressively or if macro shocks reduce global liquidity. These intermarket relationships should be monitored continuously to assess the evolving macro context and validate the chosen scenario. In the case of a gold correction toward $2,950 or $2,650, the impact on altcoins will hinge on the prevailing macroeconomic backdrop. If the correction stems from a healthy, technical rebalancing within a risk-on environment—without a concurrent surge in the U.S. dollar—it could signal a shift in capital from defensive assets like gold into more speculative plays, including altcoins. This type of capital rotation often benefits the crypto market, particularly if TOTAL (crypto market cap) holds or advances structurally. However, if the correction is caused by rising dollar strength, tightening financial conditions, or broader risk-off sentiment, altcoins may instead suffer alongside gold, as liquidity is withdrawn across the board. Therefore, the context and drivers behind gold’s correction are crucial in assessing its downstream effects on altcoin performance. From a philosophical lens, gold's cyclical ascent and retreat mirrors the rhythm of nature and human experience—expansion, contraction, and renewal. Just as rivers carve valleys before surging toward the ocean, the market too must surrender gains to gather force. A correction in gold is not merely a financial event, but a moment of recalibration—an inhale before the next exhale of momentum. It invites reflection: whether wealth seeks refuge or ventures into risk, whether fear contracts or ambition expands. In this interplay, altcoins may inherit the restless spirit of capital in search of yield, as gold, the ancient anchor of value, briefly pauses in its timeless journey. Conclusion We present a multi-phased path for gold where: An initial bullish breakout toward $3,435–$3,500 forms a short- to mid-term peak A subsequent correction brings gold to either $2,950 or $2,650, depending on macro triggers A renewed bull rally drives gold toward $4,050 and potentially $4,319 and beyond This scenario reflects both the cyclical nature of market structure and the macro-fundamental backing that continues to support long-term gold strength.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BitonGroup
My XAUUSD Scalping Strategy: Entry, Stop Loss & Management🔹 How I Think About Trading My core trading principle is simple: capital preservation first, then profit-seeking. While catching an entire move from start to finish can be exciting, it usually comes with greater risk. Rather than entering once and holding the full position, I prefer to scale into the move in phases. I take an initial entry with a tight stop, and once the trade moves in my favor, I take partial profits — typically reducing 70% of the position (as I’ll explain in the next section). If the market then breaks through the next key level, I re-enter using the same approach: tight stop, defined risk, and partial profits as the move extends. I repeat this process as the trend develops. Instead of trying to hold from bottom to top in a single position, I reduce risk at each stage and use fresh entries to stay aligned with market momentum. The final portion of each trade — what I call the “runner” — is left to ride further price movement. This method keeps me engaged in the trend while tightly managing risk on every position. To me, trading is a game of probabilities. We use structure and tools to filter out noise and increase our win rate. That’s why I believe in maintaining a consistent risk-reward ratio — it should never be changed emotionally or impulsively 🔹 How I Enter a Trade As a scalper trading XAUUSD: 1. I identify the trend using the 30-minute and 15-minute charts 2. I confirm setups on the 5-minute chart 3. I enter a trade with precision on the 1-minute chart 4. I align all entries with the key levels I share daily My stop losses are always tight — typically within a $1 to $3 range. 🔹 How I Manage a Trade For example, if 3350 is a key level, I’ll wait for price to approach it closely so I can enter with a tight stop — say, at 3349. Once in the trade, my conservative management approach is: 1. Take 70% profit after price moves $1 in my favor(e.g., if I buy around 3350 with a 3349 stop loss, and price reaches 3351, I’ll close 70% of the position) 2. Let the remaining 30% run to capture additional upside 3. Optional: Move the stop loss to breakeven, depending on your risk tolerance 3. Trim at intraday pivot levels or structure zones This method is especially effective for new traders — it locks in early gains while keeping part of the position open for larger moves, all without increasing risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Ombabibi
XAUUSD on recovery Market is in sideways creating rangbound 3280-3335,although market is on bullish consolidation. What possible scenario we have? As we have seen market covered the previous week volume gap at 3290 which was pending and gold has still potential towards 3335 . i'm expecting 3330-3335 will be the good selling opportunity if we got confirmation of rejection. We have previous Neutral zone 3280-3330 ,if market remains below 3330-3335 then we'll again have 3280-3330 zone. Additionally: if gold breaks through 3330- 3335 we will continue to buy and look at 3380 then above (3415-3420). #XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Forexmaestro121
GOLD (XAUUSD) BUY SETUP Entry Point: 3306GOLD (XAUUSD) BUY SETUP Entry Point: 3306 🎯 Target 1: 3320 🎯 Target 2: 3330 🎯 Target 3: 3340 🎯 Final Target: 3350 🔐 Stop Loss: Place according to your risk appetite 🛡️ Risk Management is Key Never risk more than 1-2% of your capital 💡 Setup based on current momentum and price structure 🕰️ Short-term intraday targets 🧠 Trade with discipline, not emotions ⚖️ Use proper lot sizing ✅ Set SL and TP before entering 📈 Let the trend guide your trades 🚫 Avoid overtrading 📊 Analyze before you execute 🔔 Stay updated on economic news 💬 Share your thoughts below 👇 #XAUUSD #Gold #ForexSignals #TradeSmart #RiskManagement
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldTradersEdge
Strong Dollar, Shaky Gold: Is It Time to Buy?Gold has returned to a weaker stance, trading around $3,309 during the U.S. session. The U.S. dollar gained some positive momentum as markets leaned toward the possibility that the Federal Reserve will keep its policy unchanged in July following the May report, causing XAU/USD to drop lower into the weekend. Additionally, U.S. economic data released on the same day continued to show signs of cooling. Specifically, weekly jobless claims came in higher than both the forecast and the previous week's figures, while the U.S. trade deficit narrowed significantly in May. The index measuring the dollar's strength against a basket of six major currencies remained nearly unchanged. Meanwhile, the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds rose, and real yields climbed by 2 basis points, putting downward pressure on gold prices. Nevertheless, gold still maintains its long-term uptrend. This correction is seen as a better buying opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Edward_TradingFX
XAUUSD Expecting Selling movementCurrent Price Action Current price $3,357 The chart shows a recent bullish move that has broken above a previous consolidation zone around $3,333 $3,340 Resistance Zone Red Box Upper resistance area projected around $3,380 This is the anticipated reversal zone where the price may face selling pressure and potentially begin a downward movement Projected Price Path Yellow Arrows The analysis forecasts a continued short-term bullish move toward the red resistance zone After hitting this resistance the price is expected to reverse and begin a bearish correction Support Zone & Target Area First Support Level: Around $3,333 identified as a key structure or supply-demand level Final Target: Around $3,315. marked in purple as the main bearish target post-reversal This zone is highlighted in blue and represents a key demand area where a potential bounce may occur Conclusion The setup appears to anticipate a sell opportunity near the $3,380 resistance targeting a decline to the $3,315 zone This type of analysis is often used for short-term trading setups, possibly scalping or trades
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GOLD_FORCAST_PROVIDER
Accurately grasp the gold trend analysis next week📰 Impact of news: 1. The geopolitical situation is gradually deteriorating 2. Trump again calls on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates 📈 Market analysis: The current weekly moving average support for gold prices is roughly 3250-3260. If 3250-60 can be maintained, then gold may continue to maintain consolidation and wait for an opportunity to choose a trend. If it falls below 3250, then it can directly see the 3200 mark. If 3200 falls below again, then it will see 3100. In the short term, the first focus of the gold price below is 3315. As long as it stays above 3315, gold is still in a bullish trend. Secondly, pay attention to the 3280 line below. If it falls below 3280, the gold price will further test the support of 3260-3250. It is possible that gold will form a head and shoulders top structure on the daily chart next week. It may fall to 3250-60 at the beginning of the week to lure shorts into the market, and then stretch and rebound to around 3350 to form a shoulder position, and finally directly dive down to around 3150. If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
As shown in the figure: 30-minute cycle chartAs shown in the figure: 30-minute cycle chart This week, the gold price broke through the head and shoulders bottom pattern and stopped at around $3,400 Following the sharp drop last Friday, the gold price trend showed a wide range of fluctuations, superimposed on the M chart resonance downward. It is expected that the gold price will continue to fall on Monday. 1: On Monday this week, the gold price effectively broke through the blue macro triangle oscillation and went out of a new wave of pull-ups, but it was not until the highest point on Thursday that it effectively stood above the $3,400 mark. The downward trend after the release of non-agricultural data on Friday shows that the recent gold price is purely driven by policy and news. 2: The gold price has currently fallen below the central oscillation range of 3,340, and continues to fall and stop loss above 3,300. From this we draw the following conclusions: A: As long as the gold price is below $3,340, the gold trading strategy should try to adopt a high-level short-selling strategy, with a stop loss set at 3,345-3,350. B: 3,300-3,310 is the current effective support area. After fully testing the stability of the support level, you can consider trying to chase the short after the rebound high. C: Key support level: 3200-3220-3250-3270-3300 D: Key pressure level: 3400-3340 Expected target for gold price decline on Monday: 3275-3250
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Louisa21210
Gold MarketThe Trump administration's "steel tariffs" caused gold to surge to around 3390. Yesterday's bottom of the correction touched around 3330. The current trend analysis shows that there are bullish protection actions at 3340 points. Today, you can go long based on 3344 as the support point. The ADP data will be released tonight. The 4-hour US dollar fell and went out of the five-wave decline. The typical five-wave decline may have to rebound. If the US dollar surges, the gold 3340 support level may not be able to protect. Today's strategy is still mainly long. However, if it fails to break through 3370 and falls below 3340, then you must pay attention to stop loss. BUY: around 3350 SL: 3340 TP: 3370-3400
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SimonaLawson
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