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GOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

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XAUUSDK trade ideas

XAUUSD-Major Reversal Ahead?14-Years Cycle complete in April2025 Description: Gold (XAUUSD) has completed a significant 14-year cycle with the recent peak near $3,485 in April 2025, following a similar 12-year rally pattern that previously ended in August 2011. The price is now showing signs of exhaustion: RSI on the monthly chart is extremely overbought (85.91), matching historical reversal levels. Strong Fibonacci confluence at 1.0 extension ($3,485) suggests a possible cycle top. Historical symmetry: Prior major top in 2011 came 12 years after the breakout in 1999 — this move mirrors that with a 14-year cycle.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Aryanasif1
Gold falls back, is a bottom structure emerging?In terms of one-hour structure, this round of phased adjustment started from 3450 has not ended yet, but it will soon, especially the rapid rebound after the bottom of 3260 on Monday. This rebound has strong momentum. After bottoming out and rebounding, it is currently fluctuating around 3340, with a large overall span. This also shows that after the price has risen, the amplitude of the correction has increased, which means that the upward space is limited. This adjustment is likely to be over soon, but there is no definite bottom structure yet, so we need to wait for some time. Before going out of the definite bottom structure, based on the principle of following the trend, you can try to short with a light position. At present, in terms of the one-hour pattern, the key point is here at 3355, and it is currently falling back from this position to 3340. If it falls back to the 3320 area today and stabilizes above it, you can operate a long strategy. On the whole, Quaid suggests that the short-term operation strategy for gold today should be mainly long on pullbacks, supplemented by shorting on rebounds. Operation strategy: Short at 3345, stop loss at 3355, profit range 3330-3325. Long at 3320, stop loss at 3310, profit range 3340-3345.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Gold continues to rise slowly Gold weekly and monthly level: For the monthly level, many people think that the bull market is over when they see the continuous long upper shadow cross K, and they don’t think that it can’t even effectively lose the 5-day moving average, and it is still in a strong stage in the strong stage, and it is also running on the upper track of the upward channel, indicating that the bull market has yet to continue. If it directly pulls up and engulfs the high point of last month this month, a group of bearish people will be wiped out. It has always been emphasized that you should not underestimate the trend of the past two years, and don’t guess the top. This top will reach a height that everyone can’t imagine. Following the bull trend is the right choice. Holding on to the low-level bullish band bottom position in your hand is the happiest moment in the past two years and the most witnessing moment of strength; and the weekly level, as mentioned at the weekend, don’t look at the big negative last week and lose the lower track of the channel. It is also completely possible to directly come back with a big positive this week. Gold daily level, there has been a continuous positive breakthrough during the day. Once the closing confirms that the breakthrough is effective, it will continue to rise tomorrow and directly approach the lower track of the previous yellow channel. 340 0 line; then going forward, we have to fight for the last key pressure point, the 3500-3452 previous high trend connection line, which roughly corresponds to 3440. Once it breaks through here directly, 3500 will inevitably be unstoppable and move towards 3700; however, there is no need to be too anxious at the moment, be down-to-earth, and overcome the resistance level step by step, but you must try to look far ahead to see more clearly Gold hourly line level: From the opening to now, it has been rising slowly all the way, with a small negative in the middle, all positive, this kind of pull-up pattern must not be tested for shorts, and during the European session, it also broke through the upper rail resistance level of the 3335 downward channel, and there was a second pull-up in the US session; it just couldn't step back, and even the 10-day moving average didn't give a chance. If you want to step back and follow the long position, there is no chance for the time being, and going long directly seems more radical; you can wait patiently, be bullish, and don't go short; if you can confirm that it is above 3335 today, you can try to follow the bullish trend, and the upper resistance target is 3374
TVC:GOLDLong
by jiqeu1
Gold prices are gathering momentumThe key position of the four-hour gold chart dominates the short-term rhythm. At present, the 3300 resistance has completed the transformation to support, and the price remains stable above this position to maintain a short-term bullish pattern. The hourly chart shows that after a strong overnight close, the previous high has been broken in the morning session today. The gold price is expected to continue the offensive and test the core resistance area of ​​3360 at the daily level. The operation strategy is mainly to do more on the callback, focusing on the pressure performance after the price is above 3360. If a reversal K-line pattern appears, a short position can be arranged. Losing the 3300 support indicates the risk of a trend reversal. Focus on the two-way breakthrough signal of the 3300 support band and the 3360 resistance range during the day
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by JoyLouise53
7.2 Gold bulls continue to rise, bears come to an end temporarilFrom the 4-hour analysis, the upper focus is on the 3345 line of suppression, the lower short-term support focuses on the 3314-3316 line, and the key support of 3295-3301 line is focused on. The overall support is based on this range to maintain the main tone of low-multiple participation. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold 3316-24 line long, retrace to 3295-3303 line to add more positions, stop loss 3293, target 3340-45 line, continue to hold if broken;
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy – July 1✅Yesterday, gold staged a strong “V-shaped reversal,” surging violently from the intraday low of $3247 to a high of $3309. The daily chart closed with a large bullish candlestick featuring a long lower shadow, initially confirming the validity of short-term bottom support and signaling a strong bullish rebound. ✅Fundamental Overview: The U.S. Dollar Index recorded its sixth consecutive monthly decline, further falling today to 96.87—the longest losing streak since 2017. This reflects growing market expectations for future Fed rate cuts. A weakening dollar has strengthened non-U.S. currencies and reduced the holding cost of gold, providing upward momentum for gold prices. ✅Technical Analysis: Gold is currently in a technical rebound phase. After reclaiming the key $3300 level yesterday, the short-term trend has returned to a bullish stance. A bullish consolidation structure is now confirmed. However, on the daily chart, prices are still capped below the 10-day and 20-day moving averages (around $3330–3340), while the RSI remains in a weak adjustment phase below the midline, suggesting medium-term direction remains uncertain. In the short term, bulls dominate. The 4-hour chart shows consecutive bullish candles breaking above the middle Bollinger Band, with a golden cross forming near the $3285 area. The 1-hour chart shows Bollinger Bands expanding upward, with prices riding the upper band and moving averages in bullish alignment. 🔴Key Resistance Levels: 3328 – 3335 – 3348 🟢Key Support Levels: 3305 – 3282 – 3271 ✅Trading Strategy for Asia–Europe Session: 🔹 Long Positions: 🔰If gold remains firmly above $3300, consider entering long positions on pullbacks to the $3305–3308 zone. Set a stop-loss below $3300 and aim for a target range of $3328–3335. 🔰If the price breaks above the $3328 resistance with volume confirmation, consider adding to long positions near $3330, with upside targets at $3345–3350. 🔹 Short Positions: 🔰If gold rallies toward $3328 but fails to break through, and upward momentum weakens, consider light short positions. Set a stop-loss above $3335, with downside targets at $3310–3305. 🔰If the price unexpectedly breaks below the $3280 support, possibly triggering algorithmic selling, the correction may extend further toward the $3250–3260 range. ✅Currently, gold continues to show a moderately bullish trend, and the European session is expected to fluctuate within the core range of $3300–3335. Strategically, it's recommended to prioritize buying on dips, with shorts considered only on failed rallies. If upcoming U.S. data strengthens expectations for Fed rate cuts, gold could break above the $3350 threshold. Conversely, if the data is strong or geopolitical risks ease, be cautious of a potential pullback, with key defense support at $3280.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingMasterHub
The limit is 3320. Rebound and still short📰 News information： 1. Gold market liquidity at the end of the month 2. Impact of geopolitical situation 📈 Technical Analysis： Currently, gold has rebounded to around 3295, reaching our ideal trading area. I have given the short-selling trading idea in the previous post. At present, in the short term, we still maintain the short-selling trading idea before effectively breaking through the upper resistance. Focus on the 3325 line of resistance 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3295-3310-3320 TP 3285-3270 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
Bullish TiqGPT setup todayMARKET NARRATIVE: Analyzing the Gold Spot (XAUUSD) across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent pattern of recovery from a recent downtrend. The 1D chart shows a series of declining peaks, but recent candles indicate a potential reversal or pullback. The 4H and 1H charts confirm this with a clear recovery from the lows, suggesting a shift in market sentiment. The 15m, 5m, and 1m charts show a more granular view of this recovery, with price action forming higher lows and higher highs, indicative of a short-term bullish momentum. INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: Institutions appear to be in a phase of accumulation after a significant sell-off, targeting liquidity above previous highs to trap late bearish entries. The recent bullish candles across lower timeframes suggest an engineered push to create a bullish sentiment, likely to induce retail traders into the market before a potential larger move. LEARNING POINT: "1H and 4H show recovery with potential liquidity sweeps above recent highs indicating a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment." SIGNAL: WAIT SYMBOL: XAUUSD ENTRY PRICE: $3,290.25 STOP LOSS: $3,280.00 (just below the recent swing low on the 15m chart) TARGET PRICE: $3,310.00 (near the previous high on the 1H chart) CONDITION: Buy limit order at $3,290.25 after confirming a bullish continuation pattern on the 15m chart. **RATIONALE: Calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.9 (Risk=**0.25, Reward=**9.75) does not meet minimum 2:1 requirement. Waiting for better institutional setup with improved risk parameters. Market Structure: Recovery from lows on higher timeframes with higher lows and higher highs on lower timeframes. Momentum: Bullish candles forming consistently across multiple timeframes. Liquidity: Targeting stops above $3,300, a psychological resistance and previous high. Strategies Used: Multi-timeframe recovery analysis, liquidity targeting above recent highs. URGENCY: MEDIUM TIMEFRAME: Short-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% (based on current bullish momentum and institutional activity) **RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$10.25, Reward=$19.75, Ratio=1:1.9 (Below 2:1 minimum) RISK/REWARD CALCULATION: Risk = Entry Price - Stop Loss = $3,290.25 - $3,280.00 = $10.25 Reward = Target Price - Entry Price = $3,310.00 - $3,290.25 = $19.75 Ratio = Reward ÷ Risk = $19.75 ÷ $10.25 ≈ 1.93 FINAL DECISION: WAIT The calculated risk/reward ratio is slightly below the minimum threshold of 2:1. Therefore, while the setup shows bullish potential, the current positioning does not offer sufficient reward relative to the risk. Awaiting a better entry point or adjustment in stop loss/target prices could enhance the trade's viability.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Mistermoriarty
Non-agricultural data is coming. Will it affect the market trendBecause there will be non-agricultural data next week, Quaid thinks that the market will not be in a hurry to perform at the beginning of the week. And Friday is the US Independence Day, and the market will be closed in advance; maybe only Wednesday and Thursday are really needed. This week, gold closed below 3300, and the daily line was also broken, and gold officially entered a bearish trend. First look at the monthly line chart Because next Monday is the last day of June, the monthly line will start to close, so you can still pay attention to the support of the monthly line. The MA5 moving average below the monthly line is currently around 3170. Moreover, with the support of non-agricultural data next week, the possibility of touching around 3170 is not ruled out. Secondly, from the weekly line chart The weekly line is basically the same as the monthly line. The MA20 moving average below is also around 3170. So next week, I think we should focus on around 3170. The monthly line and the weekly line resonate, so the probability of touching this position is very high. Finally, let's look at the daily chart. The daily chart shows a downward trend and the short-term support has been broken. The current support is around 3250. I think there is a high probability of a small sideways consolidation at the beginning of the week. If the market conditions are eager to change, it may rebound slightly and then continue to decline. If it falls below 3250, it will continue to fall towards 3200. If this level is broken, it may hit the low point of 3170-3175.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_1
Technical Overview (Daily Time Frame) - GOLDTVC:GOLD HELLO TRADERS Let's start... ✅ Trend Structure: The overall structure is bullish, with higher highs and higher lows from March onward. Price has recently broken out of the consolidation zone and is now trading at $3,443, approaching a key resistance zone. 📏 Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: $3,480 – $3,500 (previous highs from April) Major Resistance: $3,560 – $3,600 Immediate Support: $3,360 – $3,320 (former range highs) Major Support: $3,240 📊 Candlestick Signal: The last few candles show strong bullish momentum and increasing range, indicating breakout strength. 📈 Scenario 1: Buy Setup (Breakout Continuation) Entry: Buy at $3,450 – $3,460 (After being sure for no more rejection at 3,440-3,450) Stop Loss (SL): $3,410 Target Price (TP): TP1: $3,480 TP2: $3,500 (near-term resistance) TP3: $3,550 (April swing high) TP4: $3,600 (Geopolitical ,psychological and Fibonacci extension level) 📌 Reason: Momentum breakout of previous consolidation. Entering on strength with a pullback toward breakout retest is safer. 📉 Scenario 2: Sell Setup (Fake Breakout / Rejection) Trigger: Only if there's a daily close below $3,400 or a strong rejection candle Entry: Sell below $3,400 Stop Loss (SL): $3,455 Target Price (TP): TP1: $3,360 TP2: $3,320 (previous support area) TP3: $3,280 📌 Reason: Rejection at resistance may lead to short-term correction or liquidity sweep before higher move. 📌 CAREFULL: Classic “breakout and retest” setup. Safer than chasing highs. i.e. BUY setup safer than SELL setup. GOOD LUCK
TVC:GOLDLong
by Mr_Analyzer_kH
Gold – Can It Recover From 3 Week LowsGold is back in focus this morning after it fell to a 3 week low at 3287 in early European trading. Part of the reason for the fall may have been the on-going ceasefire agreement holding between Israel and Iran, which can reduce the need for Gold as a safe haven, or prices may have been influenced by comments from US Commerce Secretary Lutnick made to Bloomberg TV overnight which suggested that the Trump administration have plans to reach agreements with a set of 10 major trading partners ahead of the July 9th pause deadline to reinstate higher tariffs. Of course, these potential Gold negatives need to be balanced against the potential positives of increased optimism in recent days that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by more than expected into the end of 2025 as the US economy stalls, and the US dollar printing a fresh 3 year low yesterday. Looking forward, the release of the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE Index at 1330 BST later today could hold the key to whether Gold falls below support to even lower levels (see technical section below) or moves back higher again into Friday’s close. Whatever the outcome, its setting up for an interesting end of the week for Gold. Technical Update: With selling pressure developing in Gold again so far this morning, traders might well be searching for next support levels that may be successful in limiting current price declines, or if broken, could in turn lead to a more extended phase of weakness. Much will depend on future price trends and market sentiment, but as the chart above shows, latest price activity is this morning posting new 3-week lows for Gold. This suggests traders might now be focused on 3245, equal to the last correction low in price posted on May 29th as the next possible support level. While not a guarantee of further declines if broken, 3245 closing breaks could lead to further price weakness towards 3120, the May 15th downside extreme. Of course, it is possible this 3245 low does continue to act as support to price weakness and may turn activity higher again. However, if this is to lead to a more sustained period of price strength, resistance might now stand at 3356. Equal to the Bollinger mid-average, closing breaks might be required to suggest possibilities to resume price strength back towards the 3435/3452 May 6th and June 16th price failure highs. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Pepperstone
Waiting for data release to rebound and short📰 Impact of news: 1. PCE and Consumer Index 📈 Market analysis: The current price of 3280 has a higher profit and loss ratio advantage. Technical indicators show that the hourly chart is severely oversold. Combined with the top and bottom conversion of 3300 above, there is a 20-point rebound space in the short term. If the PCE data is in line with the trend, gold prices are expected to quickly regain the 3,300 mark. Note that negative data beyond expectations may cause a brief decline. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3295-3280-3275 TP 3298-3300-3310 SELL 3300-3310 TP 3290-3280-3260-3250 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - 4 Hour Chart (OANDA)4-hour chart from OANDA shows the price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar, with the current price at 3,282.135, reflecting a decrease of 45.685 (-1.37%). The chart includes a descending trendline, support and resistance zones (highlighted in pink and teal), and key price levels ranging from 3,244.835 to 3,400.000. The analysis suggests a potential downward movement as the price approaches a support zone near 3,244.975, with indicators like the U.S. flag and lightning bolt possibly signaling significant market events or volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Alee_Gold_Trader
XAUUSD: Bearish Trend, Key Support at $3,295Market Overview In today’s trading session (26/06/2025), XAUUSD shows continued downward momentum. Gold prices are currently hovering around $3,302.05, with a slight drop of 0.01%. The intraday price range has been tight, between $3,330.00 and $3,350.00, indicating a battle between the buyers and sellers around the short-term equilibrium zone. Recent price action suggests that after a brief recovery, gold is once again encountering resistance at the $3,350.00 level. In the coming hours, a decisive breakout either above this resistance or below current support will dictate the market’s next move. Key Technical Levels to Watch: Support Levels: The first significant support is at the $3,295.37 level (50% Fibonacci retracement), with the next support at $3,296.60 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement), followed by a crucial level at $3,300.56. Resistance Levels: The primary resistance area lies around $3,350.00, with the second resistance at $3,327.72, which coincides with the 3.618 extension of the previous price swing. Price Action Analysis As seen in the chart, XAUUSD is currently trading below both the 50-period (blue) and 200-period (yellow) moving averages, indicating a strong bearish trend. The price action is forming a series of lower lows and lower highs, reinforcing the downtrend. Bearish Trend Continuation: A break below the support at $3,295.37 could signal further downside towards $3,290.00 or even $3,275.00. The yellow trendline indicates the overall bearish direction, and any failure to hold above $3,300.00 could trigger additional selling pressure. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Price is testing the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels. A rejection at these levels could cause a pullback towards lower support zones, confirming the bearish outlook for the short term. Volume Analysis The volume chart shows relatively low volatility, with decreasing volume during the price pullbacks. This suggests that there is not enough buying interest to push the price higher, and the market may be more inclined towards bearish continuation in the near term. Market Sentiment Currently, the market is undecided. The recent price action suggests that traders are waiting for a confirmation of direction. The next few hours are critical in determining if the downtrend will continue or if we will see a short-term bounce at one of the key support levels. Trading Strategy Short Position: A break below $3,295.37 would be an excellent opportunity to short XAUUSD with a target at $3,290.00, and further down to $3,275.00. Long Position: Only consider long positions if XAUUSD manages to break above $3,350.00 decisively, with the next target near $3,375.00. Conclusion XAUUSD remains under pressure, and unless there’s a strong reversal at support levels, the bearish momentum could continue in the short term. Traders should monitor the key levels mentioned above closely to adjust positions accordingly.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion