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GOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

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XAUUSDK trade ideas

GOLD XAUUSD oversold bounce after softer US Inflation dataGold recovers some of its early-week losses, trading around 3250 on Tuesday afternoon. A cautious market sentiment, combined with softer-than-expected U.S. April CPI inflation data, supports XAUUSD's stability. Conclusion: Gold remains resilient as easing inflation pressures and market caution provide a supportive backdrop. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 3288 Resistance Level 2: 3320 Resistance Level 3: 3350 Support Level 1: 3200 Support Level 2: 3173 Support Level 3: 3150 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradeNation
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategies Today, May 14Technical analysis of gold Daily chart resistance 3284, support below 3200-3167 Four-hour chart resistance 3270/3284, support below 3200 One-hour chart resistance 3250, support below 3200 Analysis of gold news: On Tuesday (May 13), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for April was released, showing that inflationary pressures have eased, providing a complex signal to the market. This mild data that was lower than expected, coupled with the uncertainty of recent tariff policies, triggered an immediate market reaction and reshaped the Fed's expectations of rate cuts. Although the data tended to be dovish, the market reaction was not completely one-sided, showing a game of caution and optimism. Because bargain hunting occurred after prices hit a one-week low. In the previous trading day, due to the tariff truce agreement reached between China and the United States, market risk appetite increased, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold, and gold prices were therefore under pressure. Yesterday, gold hit a high point before the data was released and then fell sharply, which also showed the repetitiveness of market sentiment. However, in the future, some negative factors have gradually landed, and the Fed's interest rate cut will be put on the agenda again in the medium term. The medium-term favorable pattern for gold has not changed, so gold is still bullish in the medium and long term, but there may be a decline in the short term. Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the lower support focuses on the 3200 integer support, and the upper pressure focuses on the one-hour chart resistance 3250 and the four-hour chart resistance 3284. The short-term long and short strength dividing line is 3284. SELL: 3283near SL: 3288 SELL: 3270near SL: 3275
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
“Gold Surfer – Is Wave 5 About to Begin?”📈 This daily Elliott Wave analysis of the gold market (XAUUSD) tracks the impulsive advance from the September 2022 low ($1614). We now stand at a critical juncture: has Wave 4 completed, opening the path for Wave 5? 🔹 **Aggressive Scenario:** If the correction (ABC) is over, a new bullish Wave 5 could take gold first toward the $3884 zone, and potentially to expanded targets of $4126–$4275. 🔹 **Conservative Scenario:** If the correction continues, alternate patterns (flat, triangle, or complex correction) may still unfold. However, as long as price holds **above $3120**, the bullish wave structure remains valid. 🔻 **Invalidation Level:** $3120.86 🟢 The wave structure so far aligns with Elliott’s classic principles, and the bullish momentum still has room to unfold. – Patterns whisper. I listen. – Mr. Nobody 🎧📊
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
Gold Mirage Trap: The Ultimate Liquidity Heist-[12May2025]What Retail Traders Don’t See in Today’s Gold Moves Institutional Liquidity Manipulation – A Step Ahead of Illusion Analysis My view is rooted in fact and data—no noise, no distraction, no rush. X-Plus, the system I designed, precisely maps liquidity and movement. A smart trader remains independent, confident, and waits for confirmation before acting. Introducing X-Plus: The Ultimate Precision System for Liquidity Mapping The market thrives on deception—misdirection, false breakouts, engineered liquidity traps. X-Plus exposes the illusion, pinpoints institutional execution layers, and keeps traders ahead of liquidity hunts instead of becoming their victims. Before reading further, here is my take: This sequence represents the real institutional mechanics being set up for today’s move: First up —a deceptive liquidity sweep above $3,379, creating false bullish momentum. Then down —a sharp selloff, breaking below $3,265, targeting deeper liquidity around $3,169. Finally, a sharp up —a fast recovery, engineered to trap bears, before surging toward the next 3-drive pattern peak of wave D. Let's see how it will play out, yeah? Retail traders will think they understand the trend, but institutions are controlling every step of the trap—this is a pure liquidity engineering play. The inducement phase isn't just clearing liquidity—institutions are layering orders in dark pools while pushing a false trend onto visible exchanges. The pre-bell setup isn't about creating FOMO for retailers—it's actually about internal clearing for institutional portfolios that need rebalancing ahead of NYSE. Macro Price Engineering Beyond SMC Narratives Retail traders believe the pre-bell liquidity sweep is setting trend direction, but in reality, it’s engineering spread control for futures market execution. Volatility spikes aren’t retail-driven—they’re forced by institutional hedging adjustments in the fixed-income derivatives market, which most traders don’t factor into gold moves. The Hidden Psychological Manipulation Behind Today’s Price Action The illusion of market control isn't just baiting traders into stop-hunts—it’s actually resetting sentiment indicators that institutions use to fine-tune algorithmic executions later in the session. The price structure you're seeing isn't about accumulation or distribution—it's about forcing incorrect risk-reward calculations on retail traders so they mismanage their sizing, setting up deeper liquidity for NYSE execution. The Real Execution Plan – Not Just a Reflection of Speculation Liquidity sweeps aren't designed for direct stops today—they're actually pre-loading supply zones before derivative contract adjustments trigger auto-liquidation mechanisms. The predicted downside move isn't incorrect, but the true reversal won't happen where retail traders think—it'll be forced at a miscalculated low to trap institutions into forward-roll risk positions. NYSE won’t just sweep the bears before climbing—it’ll use forced dealer hedging activities to inflate volume before rejecting most breakout traders who take the upside move too early. Gold Price Action Breakdown 📍 Current Market Levels Front Month Gold Contract: $3,326.30 (Last Settlement Price) Resistance Zones: $3,360-$3,365, $3,400 (Psychological Barrier) Support Zones: $3,265-$3,264, $3,223-$3,222 (Next Downside Target) ⏳ Key Timing for Institutional Moves Asian Pre-Bell (Next 2-3 Hours): Expect high-frequency stop-hunts targeting retail traders entering positions too early. London Session Open (Critical Pivot Point): This will be the moment institutions flush liquidity out before positioning for the true move. NYSE Session (True Move Unfolds): Gold renounces sharply, sweeping bears before the next 3-drive pattern peak of wave D. 🚀 Institutional Execution Strategy Synthetic liquidity mirage—volume spikes will appear, but they’re not real demand, just engineered liquidity traps. Dark pool positioning—institutions will offload positions in hidden exchanges, making the real move invisible until execution. Delayed execution trap—the true reversal won’t happen immediately, forcing traders to hold onto losing positions longer than they should. Conclusion: The Illusion Will Break—But Only for Those Who See It Markets are designed to deceive—price action isn’t just movement, it’s manipulation. Today’s liquidity engineering is a masterclass in institutional deception, and only traders who understand where the true execution layers lie will emerge unscathed. Retail sentiment will chase breakouts, stop-hunts will lure in emotional entries, and miscalculations will force premature exits. But behind the illusion lies the real institutional mechanics—the precise sequence of moves that will dictate today’s liquidity flow. Gold Mirage Trap: The Ultimate Liquidity Heist is unfolding. Let’s see who escapes the trap and who falls into it. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on systematic liquidity mapping through X-Plus and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions are subject to manipulation, engineered liquidity events, and institutional strategies beyond the scope of retail trading. Traders are responsible for their own risk management, execution, and decision-making. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
TRADENATIONSB:XAUUSDShort
by jerryfc000
Firmly bullish on gold to 3280-3290 areaAs the trading strategy I published in my last article, I am still holding my gold long position. Obviously, I am confident that gold still has the potential and space to rebound. Gold just hit a low of around 3226 during the decline, and did not break the "W" shape structure formed by the recent low of 3207 and the second low of 3215. The oscillating upward structure remains intact, which is conducive to the continued rise of gold; the foreseeable resistance area in the short term is in the 3280-3290 area. Once this area is broken, the area around 3320 is just around the corner! Trading strategy: At present, our gold long position has made very good profits, continue to hold it, and let gold fly for a while! TVC:DXY FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
XAUMO x Heikin Ashi Chikou Fusion Strategy (Full Calibration) Timeframe-Synced Strategic Confluence: XAU/USD ⸻ 5M + 15M (Trigger Zone) • EMA/HMA/SMA Stack: All bearish — price below EMA21, HMA5 rolling down = trend aligned. • Ichimoku Cloud: Below Kumo, flat Kijun — choppy bearish bias. • Stoch RSI: Crossover from oversold — minor bounce brewing. • Chikou Span (HA): Still below price = bearish lag. • Volume: Weak green = bounce lacks conviction. Conclusion: Micro bounce trap. Stay patient for SELL SIGNAL from higher TF. ⸻ 1H + 4H (Execution Timeframe) • MA Confluence: Perfect bearish alignment (EMA21, SMA50/84/200 all above price). • Ichimoku: Bearish TK cross, Chikou Span far under price (lagging confirmation). • Stoch RSI: Just crossed from oversold on 1H — temporary pullback likely. • MACD: Red, contracting — confirms bounce but no reversal. • Fib Level: 61.8% & 78.6% = 3,260 - 3,275 resistance hot zone. Conclusion: Perfect zone for sell trap. Wait for bounce toward Fib+MA confluence, then strike. ⸻ D1 (Trend Validation Layer) • Chikou Span (HA): Bearish – lagging behind price, rejection at cloud = LONG-TERM SELL BIAS. • Ichimoku Cloud: Price under cloud, future cloud bearish. • Volume: Distribution spike from 3,500 = institutional sell. • Stoch RSI: Near mid-zone = no help to bulls. Conclusion: Downtrend intact. D1 confirms all signals. Time to hunt shorts. ⸻ Final Calibrated Hypothetical Trade Setup: XAU/USD (May 13, 2025) Order Type: Sell Limit • Entry: 3,263.00 (Fib 61.8%, SMA84 resistance, Chikou below) • Stop Loss 1: 3,276.00 (Above SMA50 & Ichimoku Cloud) • Stop Loss 2: 3,290.00 (Failsafe beyond Ichimoku Flat Kumo) • Take Profit 1: 3,209.00 (Volume support, Fib minor) • Take Profit 2: 3,183.00 (Daily Fib 100% AB=CD + institutional demand) • Confidence Level: 91% • Risk:Reward: 1:3.6 ⸻ Execution Rules • Only place order if Stoch RSI is above 80 on 15M/H1 at time of entry. • Confirm Chikou Span still below Heikin Ashi price. • Volume candle must not break upper band = no breakout. ⸻ Justification This setup is the offspring of two powerful systems fused in battle: • MA + Ichimoku + Fib give sniper zones. • Stoch RSI and Chikou confirm killer timing. • Volume shows us when the smart money exits — and we ride behind their smoke. ////////\\\\\\\ XAU/USD Tactical Kill Zones – Calibrated by Multi-System Fusion ////////\\\\\\\ 1. RED ZONE – NO TRADE / TRAP AREA Definition: Conflicting signals, exhaustion zones, or fake-out setups. Do not freaking touch. • Price Above 3,290 • Overextended against higher timeframe trend. • Chikou Span may cross price — invalidates bearish setup. • FOMO-buyers get slaughtered here. • Price Below 3,200 Without Breakout Volume • Could be fake breakdown into accumulation. • Stoch RSI may show oversold and HA reversal brewing. • Potential for bear trap reversal. ⸻ 2. YELLOW ZONE – WAIT & WATCH / REACTION ZONE Definition: Transitional price zones. Wait for confirmation before engagement. • Price Between 3,240 – 3,260 • Pullback rally zone. Price flirting with EMA21, SMA50, and Fib 61.8%. • Stoch RSI climbing toward OB. Chikou still under price. • Wait for Stoch RSI OB + HA candle rejection + volume spike for sell trigger. • Price Between 3,209 – 3,200 • First support cluster. • Watch for volume spike and RSI divergence. Decide whether it’s bounce or breakdown. ⸻ 3. GREEN ZONE – HIGH PROBABILITY EXECUTION ZONE Definition: Multiple timeframe confluence. This is where the kill shot is taken. • SELL ENTRY ZONE (Green Box): • 3,263 – 3,275 • Fib 61.8% – 78.6% • SMA84, SMA50, EMA21 cluster • Ichimoku flat Kumo rejection • Chikou below price (Heikin Ashi candle) • Stoch RSI must be OB with bearish crossover • TP ZONE 1 (Green TP): • 3,209 – 3,200 • Fib support + Volume support • First liquidation level from sell pressure • TP ZONE 2 (Green TP): • 3,183 – 3,175 • Fib 100% AB=CD completion • Strong volume absorption zone • Potential D1 reversal point
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
XAUUSD M15 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price could rise toward our sell entry level at 3241, a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 3211,79, a support level. The stop loss is set at 3276.17, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAUUSDShort
by Tradu
Gold Bulls Are Loading — Don’t Miss the Fair Value Launch Zone🔍 XAUUSD 30M | Smart Money Breakdown Gold just gave a liquidation + FVG bounce setup with a high-probability bullish reaction. Let’s break it down like a sniper 🧠👇 🔻 1. Falling Channel Structure Gold’s been grinding down in a neat descending channel, consistently taking out liquidity beneath swing lows. This compression usually ends in aggressive expansion — and Smart Money knows it. 🔁 2. FVG Reclaim = Institutional Entry Zone The chart shows a Fair Value Gap (FVG) perfectly respected around $3,226 – $3,236. Price dipped into this imbalance and is now reacting — textbook Smart Money entry. You're seeing clear demand stepping in after a sell-side liquidity sweep. 📈 3. Target = Upper Channel + Imbalance Fill If momentum holds, Gold likely reaches for the upper channel resistance and fills the imbalance zone up to ~$3,280+. That’s your primary draw on liquidity. 🎯 4. Trade Plan (RR ~3:1) 📍 Entry: Around FVG zone ($3,226–$3,236) ❌ Stop-Loss: Below the FVG zone ✅ TP: $3,280 (upper channel tap) Smart Money is entering early while retail waits for confirmation breakouts 👀 🧩 Key Confluences: ✅ Falling Channel ✅ Fair Value Gap Tap ✅ Bullish Engulfing Response ✅ Clean RRR Setup ✅ Liquidity Sweep Prior to Entry 📊 Summary: This setup screams Smart Money Accumulation. Gold hunts the lows, reclaims the imbalance, and is now gearing up for a bullish run. The reaction off the FVG is your golden ticket. Let price work — don’t chase, just manage risk like a pro. 💬 Comment “💰 XAU Sniper Setup” if you caught this one early! ⚔️ Follow @ChartNinjas88 for elite Smart Money plays. 👀 Tag a trader still shorting this range 😅
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartNinjas88
13
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for Today, May 12Gold technical analysis 4-hour chart resistance level 3300, support level 3168 1-hour chart resistance level 3260, support level 3200 30-minute chart resistance level 3248, support level 3216, The decline in gold is due to the joint statement issued by China and the United States at the Geneva economic and trade talks today, and the Sino-US tariff war has been eased. Risk aversion has subsided, and gold has fallen again under pressure. The 4-hour chart MACD crosses below the zero axis, and KDJ diverges downward. If the price cannot return to above 3260, the medium- and long-term bearish trend will be difficult to change. The 1-hour chart RSI and ADX indicators show strong bearish momentum. If it falls below 3200, it may accelerate downward and continue to test the previous top and bottom conversion position of 3168. The gold market is suppressed by trade optimism and the strengthening of the US dollar, and the short-term technical side is bearish. Short-term support focuses on 3210~3200, and the upper resistance area of ​​3245~3260 can be sold at highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
Gold Trade plan 13/05/2025Dear Traders, It seems that the price is approaching the middle of its descending channel. The 3270–3300 zone is an important area for gold. In case of a fake breakout or rejection, the price could drop to the 3140–3150 zone. I’m waiting for a confirmation candle to enter a position in that area. If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content." Regards, Alireza
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by alirezak
2
GOLD → Return to range. Fall from resistance...FX:XAUUSD is reacting to data related to the tariff war. The price is returning to the range and forming a false breakout of resistance. The level of 3370 and the zone of interest at 3387 play a key role. On Thursday, gold rose to $3,400 amid a weaker dollar, increased demand for safe-haven assets, and continued uncertainty due to US trade policy and tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine. The Fed left rates unchanged and expressed caution in its assessment of the outlook, which also supports gold's rise. However, in the European session, we are seeing gold react to the trade deal with Britain, most likely due to the easing of tariffs. Now the main focus is on the terms of the deal. We should not forget about China, where the situation remains tense, but everyone is waiting for a resolution. Resistance levels: 3352, 3369, 3385 Support levels: 3319, 3269 The fundamental backdrop changes several times a day. At the moment, the situation is as follows: the rise of the dollar, the weakening of the tariff war, and the hawkish stance of the Fed may put pressure on gold. Therefore, I expect the decline to continue after a retest of 3370-3386. In this case, the target could be 3319. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
36
XAUUSD | UNPRESIDENTED GOLD RALLY : Where to Next?GOLD has been trading extremely bullish over the past year, with high volume indicating lots of interest and movement in this commodity's market: Is this where we should be getting worried? Rapid surges in gold prices have historically been followed by sharp corrections as markets adjust. Three key examples illustrate this; 🧨 the 1980 spike to $850 due to global instability, followed by a 65% drop; 🧨 the 2011 peak near $1,900 driven by economic anxieties, leading to a 40% decline by 2015; 🧨and the 2020 high above $2,075 amid pandemic fears and stimulus, which subsequently settled into a lower range. Noticing how gold has been trading in a parabolic curve, first corrections are likely to be down the curve (as it has been, historically): Across past gold peaks ( 1980, 2011, and 2020) and recent record highs, markets share four core similarities: 🎈elevated inflationary expectations, 🎈low or negative real interest‐rate environments, 🎈heightened geopolitical and trade‐war tensions, 🎈aggressive central‐bank and ETF buying. Today’s gold rally mirrors these patterns, driven by persistent inflation concerns and renewed safe‑haven demand amid Middle East conflicts and Ukraine risk. Aggressive central‑bank and ETF purchases have also replicated past behavior. Emerging‑market central banks have accelerated gold reserves diversification since 2022, just as they did after the 2008 crisis and the Euro‑debt peak in 2011. Historically, swift peaks have been followed by multi‑year corrections as external conditions normalize. After January 1980’s peak, gold fell by two‑thirds over two years; following 2011’s high, it dropped 40% by 2013. If inflation cools or central banks signal genuine rate normalization, this rally may likewise give way to a sustained consolidation or correction. Did the BBC just signal the peak?? Recently the BBC warned that while current trade‑war and market volatility parallels past booms, overreliance on gold alone risks miss-timing the eventual downturn when macro fears realize. Therefore, if the curve breaks, it's likely the beginning of the hard correction. __________________________ OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Crypto-Check-
XAUUSD: Analysis and Signals for May 13Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 3284, support below 3200-3167 Four-hour chart resistance 3284, support below 3200 One-hour chart resistance 3270, support below 3200 Gold operation suggestions: In the Asian market on Tuesday, spot gold fell to 3216 and continued to rise, eventually breaking through 3260 US dollars. From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the first-line support of the 3200 integer mark, and the upper pressure focuses on the one-hour level resistance 3270 and the four-hour level resistance 3284 near the suppression. The short-term long and short strength watershed 3284 first-line mark, before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position, continue to maintain the idea of ​​rebound selling unchanged. Today's CPI data, the volatility of the US market has increased, reduce the transaction size, set stop losses, and prevent unilateral market movements. Sell: 3283near SL: 3288 Sell: 3270near SL: 3275
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – May 12–17, 2025High Timeframe Bias: Bullish with active pullback under premium supply 🔍 Macro Structure Insight: Market structure remains bullish on Weekly, with a recent ATH at ~3500. Price showed a strong rejection from the 3448–3500 premium supply zone but found support near 3284–3292. We are currently in a retracement phase, and the next few candles will determine if it’s a reload or deeper correction. 📌 Key Weekly Structural Zones Zone / Level Description 3500 ✅ ATH – liquidity sweep & rejection 3448–3500 🔺 Premium Weekly Supply – key rejection zone 3380–3395 🔁 Weekly FVG – potential short-term resistance 3284–3292 🔵 Fresh Support – demand reaction after daily wick bounce 3220–3250 🔵 HTF Weekly Demand – equilibrium & previous BOS zone 3120–3150 ❗ Critical Support – losing this would break bullish structure 📈 Fibonacci Weekly Extension Zones (Above ATH – 2285 → 3500 Leg) Extension Level Target Price Description 1.0 3500 Current ATH 1.12 3560 First minor extension 1.18 3590 Shallow breakout target 1.236 3620 Key fibo confluence zone 1.272 3645 Round-level + breakout magnet 1.33 3680 Sentiment shift potential 1.414 3720 Major HTF fibo extension 1.5 3760 Mid-range round milestone 1.618 3800–3820 Golden extension + HTF magnet zone 🔁 Scenarios for This Week: Bullish Continuation: If 3284–3250 holds as a higher low → market may aim for 3380–3395, then test 3448–3500 again. Breaking above ATH could trigger targets toward 3560 → 3590 → 3645. Bearish Retracement: If price breaks below 3250, a deeper move toward 3120–3150 could begin. This would threaten the weekly bullish leg. ⚠️ Watch for: Weekly close below 3250 = short-term bearish shift Push and hold above 3360–3380 = signs of bullish continuation Rejection from 3448–3500 again = potential double-top liquidity trap
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD Daily Outlook – Monday, May 12, 2025🔍 Daily Structure Summary: After rejecting from the ATH zone (3500), price formed a corrective wave, with a clean bullish reaction from 3284–3292, now confirmed on Daily. Friday’s daily candle closed bullish, forming a strong wick rejection from demand, indicating buy-side interest around 3290. EMAs show price still in a pullback phase, with EMA21 and EMA50 overhead acting as dynamic resistance (~3360–3380). 📌 Key Daily Zones & Levels Zone / Level Description 3448–3500 🔺 Premium Supply Zone – major rejection area (same as Weekly top) 3380–3395 🔁 Daily FVG + EMA confluence – near-term resistance zone 3340–3360 🔁 Old support → new resistance – possible rejection if unconfirmed 3284–3292 ✅ Confirmed Demand – recent bounce and bullish PA 3250–3265 🔵 Last defense zone – if this breaks, 3220 may be exposed 3220–3235 🔵 Major Daily Demand – matches Weekly BOS and potential reversal zone 📈 Current Price Action Notes: Price is pushing away from 3290, aiming toward 3340–3360, where we may see the first intraday test of resistance. A clean break above 3360 would open space toward 3380–3395, where FVG and EMA50 could slow price. If price fails to hold above 3290, it may revisit 3250–3265 for a deeper liquidity sweep. 🧠 Flow Outlook for Monday: Bullish scenario: Price holds above 3290 and forms higher low → potential to reach 3360–3380 intraday. If that breaks, we target 3395. Bearish scenario: If we reject below 3340 and lose 3290 again, price may head back toward 3250–3235 for stronger demand testing. 📌 Summary of Levels (For May 12): Type Price Zones Notes Resistance 3448–3500 Premium HTF rejection zone 3380–3395 FVG + EMA confluence 3340–3360 Near-term intraday resistance Support 3284–3292 Daily demand, bullish reaction confirmed 3250–3265 Key intraday demand & bounce zone 3220–3235 HTF daily demand + structure base
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds