GOLD (XAUUSD): Strong Bullish Pattern
Following my previous analysis, Gold in going up.
Your next signal to buy will be a bullish breakout
of a neckline of an ascending triangle pattern on a 4H time frame.
A 4H candle close above 3392 will confirm a violation.
Next resistances will be 3408 / 3428
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold Faces Key Resistance: Potential Bull Trap Before bearish 🟢 Big Picture – What’s Happening on the Chart?
This is a 1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold), showing the recent trend, key levels, and a forecasted movement.
At a glance, you can see that Gold has been in a bullish recovery since the drop on May 29. The market is currently testing a key resistance zone (around $3,400), which aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending channel and a previous consolidation area.
---
🔍 Technical Breakdown (Experienced View)
1. Trend Structure
The market formed a higher low after a recent dip (around May 29), suggesting bulls are gaining control.
Price is respecting an ascending trendline, showing a short-term bullish channel.
However, the price is approaching an area of confluence resistance (horizontal resistance + channel top).
2. Chart Patterns
The current setup hints at a rising wedge, which is typically a bearish reversal pattern.
The chart shows projected arrows suggesting a breakout to the upside (short-term) followed by a pullback, which matches how wedges often behave: false breakouts before the real move.
3. Fib and Zone Analysis
The color bands behind the chart likely represent Fibonacci retracement zones or volume profile levels.
Notice how the price interacts with the green/yellow zone—it’s a clear area where price historically reacts.
If price rejects from here, a pullback to the 3,350 or even 3,300 zone is possible.
---
🧠 Experienced Interpretation
If I were trading this:
Scenario A (Breakout Trap): I’d be cautious about chasing a breakout above 3,400. This could be a liquidity grab, where market makers push price slightly above resistance to trap breakout buyers, then reverse.
Scenario B (Short Setup): After the false breakout, I’d look for bearish confirmation (rejection candle, bearish engulfing, or RSI divergence) to enter a short targeting 3,350–3,300.
Scenario C (Long Continuation): If price breaks out strongly and retests the 3,400 level as support, I might switch bias and go long toward 3,450. But I’d need a clear break and hold above this level first.
---
🧭 Trading Psychology Reminder
This chart reflects anticipation. The trader behind it expects a fake-out before a drop. As an experienced trader, I wouldn’t blindly follow arrows—but I’d use them to prepare “if-then” scenarios, like:
If price breaks above resistance but closes back inside → look to short.
If price holds above breakout → ride momentum long with tight risk control.
---
✅ Summary
Current bias: Bullish short-term, bearish correction expected.
Key zones: Resistance at $3,400–$3,420; Support at $3,350 / $3,300.
Strategy: Wait for confirmation of either breakout or rejection; prepare for both outcomes.
Risk Management: Crucial at resistance zones like this—false breakouts are common traps.
GOLD A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3392.95
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3378.37
Recommended Stop Loss - 3403.2
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for June 4Gold technical analysis
Weekly chart resistance 3500, support below 2955
Daily chart resistance 3412, support below 3350-22
Four-hour chart resistance 3390, support below 3322
One-hour chart resistance 3378, support below 3322
Gold news analysis: On Tuesday (June 3) in the NY market, spot gold accelerated its decline, falling to around $3333/ounce, a sharp drop of $59 during the day. Mainly affected by the rebound of the US dollar and the rebound in risk sentiment. Affected by the rise of risky assets the day before, the demand for safe-haven assets was weakened, causing some gold bulls to choose to take profits. However, the market remains vigilant about the global situation. The continued expansion of the US fiscal deficit, the escalation of trade tensions between Asian powers and the United States, and the failure of the second round of peace talks between Ukraine and Russia have made the market risk aversion still support gold.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the support of 3350-3322. The pressure above focuses on the suppression near the one-hour level 3378 and the four-hour level 3390. The short-term long-short strength and weakness watershed 3322. Continue to buy on dips before the four-hour level falls below this position.
Buy: 3322near SL: 3317
Buy: 3350near SL: 3345
Daily sharing →
GOLD → Correction after distribution. Bullish trendFX:XAUUSD is testing the liquidity zone at 3350 and forming a false breakout of resistance within the uptrend. A correction is possible before growth continues.
The fundamental background is quite controversial in the market. In the current situation, the focus is on relations between Russia and Ukraine, especially after the escalation that took place over the weekend. Everyone is watching the ongoing negotiations in Turkey. In addition, we should not forget about the situation with tariffs, which is still quite tense.
Gold has been rallying since the opening of the session and has reached the order block. A false breakout of resistance is forming, which could trigger a correction to the zone of interest. The dollar is hitting support, which could form a local correction before continuing its movement. This could also affect the price of gold, which remains bullish in the market.
Resistance levels: 3350, 3365, 3409
Support levels: 3303, 3264
The price has broken out of consolidation, with resistance tested and liquidity above 3350 realized. Relative to the current level, a correction is possible with the aim of retesting support before continuing to rise.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Market Analysis and Trading Strategy### Key Technical Levels & Patterns
1. Resistance Zones:
- $3,365–$3,392: Critical resistance levels. Breaking $3,365 with high volume could signal a bullish breakout, targeting $3,392 and beyond.
- $3,387–$3,357: A broader resistance zone identified by inverse head and shoulders and descending broadening wedge patterns. A break here may confirm an impulsive wave (per Elliott Wave theory).
2. Support Levels:
- $3,328–$3,342: Key support areas. A failure to hold these could trigger a short-term correction.
- $3,304.749: A strong support zone (green zone) that could act as a bearish target if the price breaks below it.
3. Demand Zones:
- $3,356.50: A defined demand zone with confirmed bullish reactions (e.g., wick rejections). Entry suggested just above this level with a stop-loss below $3,344.50.
### Fundamental Drivers
1. Geopolitical Tensions:
- Ukraine-Russia conflict: Escalating tensions are fueling safe-haven demand for gold.
- Middle East instability: Recent escalations are adding pressure on gold as investors seek refuge.
2. U.S.-China Trade Tensions:
- Trump’s threat to double tariffs on steel/aluminum has heightened market uncertainty, pushing investors toward gold.
3. U.S. Dollar Weakness:
- A weaker dollar (e.g., USD index near monthly lows) supports gold prices, as gold is priced in USD.
4. Federal Reserve Policy:
- Market expectations of a September rate cut and potential December cuts are bullish for gold. Powell’s speech could trigger volatility.
### Trading Strategies
1. Bullish Breakout Setup:
- Entry: Above $3,365–$3,372 with tight stop-loss (e.g., $3,360).
- Targets: $3,392 (short-term) and $3,400–$3,450 (mid-term).
- Risk Management: Strict stop-loss below $3,325 to protect against false breakouts.
2. Scalping Opportunities:
- Key Scalp Zones: $3,332–$3,352 (intraday pullbacks).
- Strategy: Buy on dips near $3,328–$3,342 if the price stabilizes.
### Key Watchpoints
- $3,365: A critical level for confirming bullish momentum.
- $3,325: A psychological support level that could act as a short trigger if broken.
- Fed Chair Powell’s Speech: Potential for emotional moves or reversals.
- Volume Confirmation: High volume on breakout levels (e.g., $3,365) is essential for validity.
### Risk Management & Recommendations
1. Stop-Loss Discipline:
- Always place stops below key support levels (e.g., $3,325) to limit losses.
- Avoid holding positions without a clear plan.
2. Position Sizing:
- Use smaller positions in volatile environments to manage risk.
3. Monitor Volatility:
- Gold may experience sharp swings due to geopolitical and macroeconomic factors. Stay alert.
4. Follow Trends:
- Short-term: Focus on $3,325–$3,392 range.
- Mid-term: Watch for a breakout above $3,400, targeting $3,450–$3,480.
### Conclusion
Gold is in a bullish phase, driven by geopolitical risks, weak USD, and Fed policy expectations. Key levels like $3,365 and $3,392 are critical for confirming momentum. Traders should focus on breakout strategies, scalping in pullbacks, and strict risk management. However, always do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making trades.
Final Note: The market is volatile, and news events (e.g., Powell’s speech) could cause rapid reversals. Stay informed and flexible! 🚀
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3314 and a gap below at 3248. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3314
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3314 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3363
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3363 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3412
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3412 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3468
BEARISH TARGETS
3248
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3248 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3194
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3194 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3130
3077
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3077 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3012
2988
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD Weekly Forecast : First LONG, then SHORT! (READ CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after dropping to $3270, the price faced strong buying pressure and opened today’s session with a 100-pip gap at $3298, continuing its rally up to $3370. This bullish move could potentially extend toward $3400, but keep in mind that gold is likely to retrace soon to fill this price gap — so this scenario should definitely be considered!
XAUUSD: Still Bullish with improved entry zones! Gold experienced a sudden drop today, falling to 3335 after briefly reaching 3391. This unexpected decline was not anticipated given the bullish price momentum. However, it has provided clarity for buyers, particularly swing traders. The price could drop to 3340 once more before reversing and hitting our first target, followed by a second target later.
Another possible scenario arises if the price continues to drop further. In this case, the second entry scenario becomes more secure, as Asian session volatility could cause the price to go sideways.
Please use accurate risk management and consider liking and commenting on this idea.
Good luck and trade safely.
Team Setupsfx_
LIVE UPDATE – June 5 NY Close | “Price Hits 3350 – What Now?”📍 GoldFxMinds tactical follow-up to the June 4 sniper plan
After spiking into the 3384–3398 kill zone and delivering a clean M15 CHoCH, price dumped aggressively — just as planned.
Now we’ve hit 3350, tapping the upper edge of our M30 demand zone (3342–3332). But… the question is: does it hold?
Let’s break it down 👇
🔍 Key Developments Since Original Plan
✅ Sell Setup A – Delivered perfectly
– Rejection from 3384–3398
– M15 shift + dump to 3332
– Precision sniper entry with clean CHoCH
– Target hit 🎯
⚠️ Buy Zone 3332–3342 – Currently in play
– Price reached 3350
– Small reaction, but:
❌ No M15 BOS yet
❌ No clear HL
✅ Minor bounce on M1/M5
🟡 Zone remains active, but needs confirmation.
📊 Updated Structure Summary
TF Bias Notes
D1 Neutral in Premium Weak high still in place — ranging at top
H4 Mixed Still in premium, weak follow-through after last CHoCH
H1 Bearish No BOS after drop from 3389
M30 Weak Tested 3350 zone, no major reversal yet
M15 Bearish Watching closely for CHoCH or BOS to shift long
🎯 Updated Trade Scenarios
📈 Buy Setup A – Still Possible (But Cautious)
3342–3332 zone is active
Look for M15 BOS + HL to confirm
Target: 3368–3375 first
📉 Sell Continuation Setup
If 3342 breaks, downside opens fast:
Target 1 → 3315 OB
Target 2 → 3270–3284 full discount FVG
Watch for no bullish shift before shorting
⚙️ Confluences Right Now
EMA 5/21 bear cross on LTFs (M15/M30)
RSI cooling off after premium exhaustion
FVG magnet below remains active (esp. 3315–3280 range)
🔔 What to Watch for Friday (Pre-NFP)
Will we see a final flush into clean discount zones before the NFP reaction?
If price holds 3332 and shows real strength → intraday long is valid.
If fails cleanly → wait for deeper liquidity zones (3305/3270).
💬 Final Word – GoldFxMinds Tactical Update
We nailed the sell. Now we wait for structure to tell us if this pullback becomes a new long… or just step one of a bigger drop.
📍 Let price confirm. No guessing. No chasing.
💛 If this plan helped guide you through today’s chaos:
👍 Smash the like
💬 Drop your intraday view below
📌 Follow GoldFxMinds for clean, no-hype sniper maps every day
Trade with logic. Let emotion follow structure.
— GoldFxMinds
GOLD (XAUUSD) 1H Chart | Bullish Breakout Idea With Key Zones > "Gold is showing strong bullish structure on the 1H timeframe. Price is approaching key breakout zones with momentum building. This idea highlights critical support/resistance levels and potential breakout targets. Watch for confirmation before entry."
This is just idea not a financial advice !
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3305 and a gap below at 3271. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3305
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3305 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3334
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3334 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3359
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3359 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3271
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3271 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3227
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3227 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3185
3146
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Here's an update on the daily chart setup we've been tracking and trading successfully over the past few weeks.
As anticipated, price action rejected off the midline of the channel and produced a strong bounce, exactly as we had analysed. This move reached the 3272 Goldturn level and closed above it, opening the path for a potential test of the channel top near 3433. We captured a solid move of over 600 pips, aligning perfectly with our strategy of buying the dips for the ideal swing setup.
The channel half line continued to provide support and bounces, with a gap left above at 3433. Our channel top also falls in line with this level.
Please note that the gap remains open, but we are not looking to chase from the top. We'll continue to focus on buying pullbacks for better entries.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders.
Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalise on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings.
Thank you all again for your continued likes, comments, and follows, we truly appreciate your support!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD – After the Surge, Is the Down Correction Really Over?🟡 What Happened Yesterday
Gold surged strongly yesterday due to escalating geopolitical tensions and a new chapter in the global tariff saga. From top to bottom, the range counted over 1200 pips, marking one of the most volatile sessions in recent weeks.
❓ Is the Down Correction Finished or Will It Continue?
Technically, the chart looks bullish at this moment. The descending trendline has been broken, and the 3350 horizontal zone is now forming a confluence support area.
However, I remain cautious.
Despite the bullish signal, this yo-yo price action could continue. The idea that Gold has not yet finished correcting the broader uptrend still persists in my mind and the 3200 level remains a strong candidate for retesting in the appropriate future.
📊 Why I Expect Further Down Correction
The recent spike might be reactionary, not structural
3340–3350 could provide short-term support, but it may not hold long-term
The overall macro structure still leaves room for another leg down
📉 Trading Plan
While the market holds 3340–3350 support, we might see a bounce toward 3400.
But I prefer to stay out for now and I would buy in that zone only with low volume and clear confirmation
If the 3340 zone fails, I’ll start watching for a new drop to 3280 zone and eventually 3200.
🚀 Wait for Confirmation In both cases, bullish or bearish
The key right now is confirmation. Volatility is high, and the narrative shifts fast.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
#XAUUSD[GOLD]:At Critical Level, Bullish Swing Is Very LikelyHey There Everyone,
So, gold prices took a bit of a dip, hitting 3250 gold. But guess what? They bounced back like a rubber ball and reached 3332! And here’s the exciting part: they broke through that pesky bearish trend line. This means they’re probably going to retest that line to confirm the trend.
Right now, it looks like they’re at a potential retest point, and that’s where things could get really interesting. If strong bullish volume comes in, the price could skyrocket! There are three possible targets here: 3332, 3362, and 3420.
Now, here’s something important to keep in mind: next week, there are some big news and events coming up that could totally shake things up in the gold market. And let’s not forget about price manipulation. If someone tries to mess with the price, it could drop back to 3250 and then reverse course. So, it’s crucial to have backup plans in case of any unexpected twists.
The US dollar is also going to be all over the place due to upcoming news, which could disrupt the gold market and other currencies. So, it’s best to trade cautiously today and next week. The price can be a bit unpredictable, so take your time to do your own analysis and assess your risk before making any moves.
Good luck and trade safely! We wish you all the best in your trading journey!
Cheers,
Team Setupsfx_
Let’s analyze the gold (XAU/USD) chart from technicalLet’s analyze the gold (XAU/USD) chart from technical, fundamental, sentiment, and social media perspectives as of June 2, 2025, at 10:09 PM CEST. I’ll incorporate the latest available X posts (from May 23–31, 2025) for the social media sentiment analysis, though they are slightly outdated. I’ll also update the analysis with current market conditions where possible.
1. Technical Analysis
The chart is a 4-hour candlestick chart of gold from TradingView:
Trend Overview: Gold has been volatile. It rose from around $3,122 in mid-April to a peak of $3,480 in early May, then corrected sharply to $3,127 by late May. Currently, it’s recovering, trading at $3,381.72.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support: The $3,122–$3,127 zone is a strong support (price bounced multiple times here).
Resistance: The $3,480–$3,483 zone is a key resistance (previous high).
Breakouts and Patterns: Recently, gold broke out of a consolidation range ($3,127–$3,348) and moved up to $3,381. This suggests potential for further upside, but confirmation above $3,483 is needed.
Volume and Indicators:
Volume (on the right) increased during the recent upmove, indicating strong buying pressure.
Indicators like RSI or MACD aren’t visible, but given the sharp rise, RSI might be in overbought territory (above 70).
Short-Term Outlook: If gold holds above $3,348, it could test $3,483. A break above $3,483 might target $3,500. However, a drop below $3,348 could lead to a retest of $3,127.
2. Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental factors driving gold prices include:
Interest Rates and Monetary Policy: Gold typically has an inverse relationship with interest rates. If the Federal Reserve has cut rates in 2025 (due to lower inflation or economic slowdown), this could support gold’s rise. Conversely, high rates would pressure gold downward.
US Dollar Strength (DXY): Gold and the dollar are inversely correlated. A weaker dollar (due to dovish Fed policies or geopolitical tensions) could explain gold’s rise.
Inflation and Economic Uncertainty: Gold is a safe-haven asset. High global inflation, geopolitical tensions (e.g., Middle East or Ukraine), or financial crises could drive demand.
Physical Demand: Demand from major markets like India and China (e.g., during wedding seasons) can push prices up.
Chart Data Insight: The current price of $3,381 suggests strong demand, possibly driven by geopolitical tensions or a weaker dollar.
3. Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment analysis focuses on trader behavior and market psychology:
Trader Behavior: The bid ($3,381.75) and ask ($3,381.87) show a tight spread (less than $1), indicating high liquidity and trader interest in gold.
Buying/Selling Pressure: High volume during the recent upmove suggests bullish sentiment. Traders likely expect the uptrend to continue.
Fear and Greed Index: If the Fear & Greed Index is high (greed dominant), traders might shift to riskier assets, avoiding gold. However, the price increase suggests fear (safe-haven demand) is dominant.
4. Social Media Sentiment (Updated as of June 2, 2025)
I’ll analyze the latest X posts (May 23–31, 2025) to gauge social media sentiment. Since these posts are slightly outdated, I’ll extrapolate based on the current price action.
Overall Sentiment:
On May 23 and 25, @Talaforoosh noted that the gold market was “asleep,” with lower trading volumes compared to earlier in the year. This indicates a cautious sentiment among traders.
On May 28, @IRNA_1313 reported a slight increase in gold to $3,319, but with minimal volatility, suggesting a stable but stagnant market at that time.
On May 29, @TgjuSocialMedia provided a technical analysis, noting gold was in a critical range of $3,200–$3,255, with negative RSI and MACD signals pointing to selling pressure. This reflects a bearish sentiment during that period.
Key Influencing Factors:
Iran-US negotiations were a major focus. @TgjuSocialMedia (May 29 and 31) highlighted that the outcome of these talks could dictate gold’s direction. A breakdown in talks could lead to a bullish scenario for gold, while an agreement might trigger a bearish move.
@Talaforoosh (May 23) predicted that negotiation outcomes could either push gold to new highs or cause a sharp drop (to the 26 million IRR range for domestic gold in Iran), describing the market as “crazy.” This reflects expectations of high volatility.
Technical Sentiment on X:
Technical analyses on X (e.g., @TgjuSocialMedia on May 28) leaned bearish, noting a drop to $3,304 and a key support at risk. This suggests traders on X were more inclined toward a correction at that time.
Current Sentiment (Extrapolated):
The X posts from late May show caution and bearish sentiment, likely due to uncertainty around Iran-US negotiations. However, the chart shows gold has since risen to $3,381.72 as of June 2, a significant recovery from the $3,127 low. This suggests that sentiment has likely shifted to bullish in the past few days, possibly due to favorable news (e.g., stalled negotiations or new geopolitical tensions) or a weaker dollar.
Final Conclusion and Outlook
Technical: Gold has short-term upside potential to $3,483 if it holds above $3,348. A break above $3,483 could target $3,500. However, a drop below $3,348 might lead to a retest of $3,127.
Fundamental: A weaker dollar, high inflation, or geopolitical tensions (e.g., stalled Iran-US talks) could be driving the price increase.
Sentiment: High trading volume during the recent upmove indicates bullish market sentiment.
Social Media: X posts from late May showed caution and bearish sentiment due to negotiation uncertainties. However, the price increase to $3,381 by June 2 suggests sentiment has likely turned bullish in the past few days, though I’d need more recent X data to confirm.
Overall Forecast: In the short term, gold could reach $3,483, but watch the $3,348 level closely. In the longer term, if fundamental drivers like geopolitical tensions or a weaker dollar persist, gold might climb to $3,500 or higher.
If you’d like a deeper dive into more recent social media sentiment, I can search for fresher X posts. Would you like me to do that?
Why XAUUSD is 50/50XAUUSD created a new LH and didn't want to continue last week's demand. However, it also created a new HL. Who takes precedence in this scenario? The HL since it's an overall Up Trend. It might consolidate in the next few days and the 4th of June will be a good indicator if it break to the upside or continue to drop.
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly MARKET Update: Price Coiled for Major Move OANDA:XAUUSD has formed an inside bar pattern on the monthly timeframe, creating a high-probability setup for the next major directional move. May's candle sits completely within April's range, with this compression typically preceding explosive moves in either direction. The 4H chart shows a complex corrective structure following multiple failed breakout attempts from the April high around. The recent bounce from support, which is May's low, suggests potential accumulation, though the overall structure remains corrective with descending highs.
Current price sits near the middle of the critical range. A break above May's high at 3,400 could trigger rapid acceleration toward 3,500-3,600, while breakdown below 3,120 would likely target major support around 3,000-3,050. Multiple fake breaks on shorter timeframes suggest accumulated stops on both sides, potentially fueling rapid acceleration once genuine breakout occurs. The A-B-C corrective pattern visible suggests the recent decline may be nearing completion.
The monthly inside bar pattern's resolution will likely determine gold's trajectory through the summer months. A bullish breakout could reignite the broader uptrend toward new highs, while a bearish resolution might trigger a deeper correction that tests major support levels. Either outcome would likely provide substantial trading opportunities for those positioned correctly when the pattern resolves.
The broader fundamental backdrop continues to support gold's long-term bullish case, though short-term technical factors may drive the immediate direction. Central bank policies, geopolitical tensions, and currency debasement concerns provide underlying support, while technical positioning suggests the market is primed for significant movement.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
XAUUSDThe trend of XAUUSD is fluctuating.
Wednesday: XAUUSD in the Asian market rose sharply to 3372 and then quickly dropped to 3348. The current quotation is 3360.
It is a good trading opportunity for traders who bought low yesterday. The lowest yesterday fell to 3333. The operating space fluctuates by about $40/ounce. Many people have no idea. The profit of trading 1 lot of buy orders is 4. The profit of trading 5 lots is 20k.
This week is the monthly data news week. Including ADP. ECB interest rate decision, big non-agricultural data that have a significant impact on the economy.
Trend observation. There is still an intention to continue to rise. In terms of operation, you can focus on buying at low levels.
Pressure range: 3400-3390
Support range: 3340-3350
Under the influence of news. Many trends will be distorted due to the influence of data news. So I have been reminding you not to trade alone. If you want to follow good swing trading instructions to make reasonable trades and expand your profits, please leave us a message.
XAUUSD Critical Lower Highs break-out just happened.Gold (XAUUSD) broke above the Lower Highs trend-line that originated from the April 22 All Time High (ATH) and has basically re-established the long-term bullish trend and confirmed the bullish break-out.
The extension can go as high as 3700, which represents a +18.37% rise from the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) bottom. That is how much the last 1D MA50 (near) test increased (April 07). A Higher Lows trend-line (dashed) may potentially support this uptrend all the way before the next correction.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇