SHORT BIASPrice broke structure before retracement to fill ower liquidity.
Potentially expect a sell having swept liquidity below down to support level.
Target should be resistance zone.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Let's cover the action of some instruments as we get the NFPLet's see what's happening with the market as we get the NFP number live.
Let's dig in!
MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX
TVC:DXY
TVC:GOLD
FRED:SP500
FX_IDC:EURUSD
MARKETSCOM:EURUSD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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Look out for 3111-3128 for GOLD
Gold is still bullish for the past couple of month without any signs of bearish appearing. If there was any Bearish momentum it was temporarily.
Next nearest gold target is 3111-3128 base on fibo extension.
And if there’s a retracement to 3057-48 there could possibly be a reentry buy area.
Unless its broke and break the whole latest base then we can expected for a temporary bear momentum to comes in before makin another ultimate HIGH for the year end or next one.
The decline of the golden stage is in line with expectations!Gold 4-hour chart relies on the middle track of the Bollinger Bands to rebound. The middle track is the short-term strength and weakness distinction point. In the adjustment trend, the weakness is below the middle track. It is also a distinction point, combined with the hourly chart above. In the step-down shock, although the rebound yesterday was slightly higher than the 3033 line, it was still running below the second highest point of 3038 as a whole, a complete step adjustment trend. The second highest point is not lost, the trend is not changed, and today's operation relies on the 3033 high point as a defense to continue to follow the trend and fall back. The low point of 2020-2026 is still a resistance point. After the short position of 2028 was reduced yesterday, the bottom position continued to break the 3000 small band. Short positions rebounded slightly today near 2020-2023 and continued to short. Defense at 3033 is enough. The target is to reduce the position and then leave the bottom position to look down at 2990-2980. The space depends on the shape. As long as it closes at a low level, the adjustment space will be further deepened the next day.
Today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3020-3025 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2999-2980 line of support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3020-3023, stop loss at 3055, target around 3010-3000, and look at the 2890 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2990-2993, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3000-3005, and look at the 3010 line if it breaks;
Gold recommends short entry at 3030Last week, the daily RSI of gold fell slightly below the overbought area of 70, but combined with the intact structure of the three-month rising channel, the current retracement is more inclined to a technical correction rather than a trend reversal. From a spatial perspective, the 3030 line as the midpoint of the channel constitutes the primary resistance. If this position cannot be effectively broken through, the gold price may test the support of the 3000 integer mark downward. It is worth noting that the static resistance formed near 3050 resonates with the recent negative fundamentals, further suppressing the upward space.
The current strategy needs to fluctuate in the range. In the morning, focus on whether the opening high of 3026 can be recovered. If it stabilizes, it will be seen to 3035, the opening point of last week; on the contrary, if it falls below the short-term moving average support of 3010, the short position can follow the trend to the expected level of 3000. It is recommended to adopt the range trading mode, and operate back and forth between high and low in the range of 3000-3035. Technically, we need to be alert to the stagflation signal formed by the continuous shortening of the MACD red column and the closing of the Bollinger Bands. It is recommended to avoid chasing highs and focus on the impact of the US CPI data on the market at noon.
Gold operation suggestions: short near the rebound of 3030-3035, stop loss 3042, target 3005
GOLD in a Bullish Flag – Breakout Incoming?OANDA:XAUUSD is undergoing a corrective move as it tests the lower boundary of the ascending channel, which serves as dynamic trendline support. The structure aligns with a bullish flag formation, indicating the potential for a continuation to the upside if buyers step in.
A successful rebound from this level could lead to a move toward the midline of the channel, with the next target at 3,100, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel. This scenario would preserve the broader bullish trend.
A confirmed breakdown below the trendline support, however, would invalidate the bullish outlook and open the door for further downside.
Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential for identifying buying opportunities. Proper risk management is advised, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
Gold dropping expectancythe same pattern golds did the last trading month, is the same im expecting around new month opening price (april), sellsideliquidity drop and then a pretty good distribution on po3
Bearish Divergence Across Multiple Timeframes on XAUUSD – PotentGold (XAUUSD) has shown strong bullish momentum recently, reaching an all-time high of $3,085.345. However, there are clear signs of bearish divergence forming across the daily, 1-hour, and 15-minute timeframes, suggesting the bullish momentum may be weakening.
Technical Breakdown:
📅 Daily Chart (1D)
Price is making higher highs.
RSI is making lower highs – a classic bearish divergence.
RSI currently at 73.87, in the overbought zone, indicating exhaustion.
🕐 1-Hour Chart (1H)
Similar structure: price climbing while RSI is trending downward.
RSI around 62.27, showing divergence from the new highs in price action.
🕒 15-Minute Chart (15M)
Intraday bearish divergence continues.
Price is riding an upward trendline, while RSI forms lower highs.
If the trendline breaks, it could lead to a swift correction.
Bias: Bearish (Short-Term)
Trade Idea:
If price breaks below the $3,070–$3,060 support zone (trendline on lower timeframes), we could see a pullback toward the following levels:
📉 Target 1: $3,032
📉 Target 2: $3,003
📉 Target 3: $2,980 (Previous consolidation area)
🛑 Stop Loss: Above the recent high at $3,090
Conclusion:
While the macro trend is bullish, the confluence of RSI bearish divergence across multiple timeframes hints at a potential short-term reversal or correction. Risk management is key as Gold remains fundamentally strong.
Let the price action confirm the divergence via a breakdown before entering a short position.
How to break the gold shock pull?Judging from the overall situation, gold is definitely rising in a bull market. It has already tested the 3,000 mark twice and found support, indicating that buying is still strong. What needs to be focused on now is whether the "W" bottom pattern of 3,000 can be effectively established. If it successfully breaks through the 3,035 watershed, it is expected to test the pressure near 3,045 and the historical high of 3,057. On the contrary, if the slight upward trend cannot be continued today, it will continue to maintain the 3,030-3,000 oscillation range. The 4-hour level currently forms a small double bottom support near 3,000. Today, the intraday rise has continued, and the K-line has re-stood above the short-term moving average. The short-term trend is strong. The current middle rail resistance has been broken. If it is stabilized again, the upper side will further see the upward rail pressure. The lower side 3013 will become the short-term long-short watershed. Whether the market will step back to confirm the continued rise or return to the bottom to continue to oscillate, focus on the next closing situation.
Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The upper short-term focus is on the 3036-3038 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3010-3015 first-line support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3036-3038, stop loss at 3055, target around 3025-3020, and look at the 3015 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3013-3015, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3025-3030, and look at the 3038 line if it breaks;
TO THOSE WHO THINK GOLD IS BEARISH; THINK AGAIN!I will let the chart speak for itself!
NFA and completely my own assumption. Do your own research!
Summary of this weekThis week, the gold market continued its bull market, breaking through the historical high of 84 and closing. The gold price broke through the psychological barrier of 3,000. The market sentiment continued to be optimistic.
In this week's trading, we took the main approach of going long, holding long positions, buying back, and making significant profits, achieving the expected goals.
Next week, we will continue to make steady progress and formulate a more efficient profit plan.
If you also want to learn gold trading skills and profits in the market, then join my team.
Wish you all: Have a good weekend
Gold breaks new high again, the market waits for a pullback to gFundamentals: Gold hits a new record high today, and the market continues to hold a bullish view after the decline.
Gold is currently maintaining a relatively strong oscillating trend in the large-scale cycle trend, and the upward space in the large-scale cycle trend is likely to have not yet been completed. The daily level trend continues to maintain a relatively strong oscillating trend along the short-term moving average. The wave of decline before and after the European session has completed the repair of the technical form to a certain extent. The oscillating repair temporarily maintained at a high level in the hourly level trend currently has no particularly obvious trend. The range in the short-term trend may be compressed to the oscillating repair trend between 3060-85. Although there are some rebounds in the small-scale cycle trend, the strength and continuity are not too large. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment and repair.
Operation suggestions:
Short near 3080-7, stop loss 3085.2,
Long near 3059-60, stop loss 3053.1.
Real-time market intraday guidance.
Gold: How much higher will XAU go?Gold continues to find support amid haven flows as equities tumble on trade war concerns.
But how much further can gold rise?
Well I think a lot of people had $3K+ pencilled in as their target. We are obviously well above the $3K level now at $3085, which may trigger some profit taking.
While dip buyers are lurking, a rug pull is becoming increasingly likely at these levels in my view. When risk appetite turns sour and stocks start falling, people tend to liquidate their profitable long gold positions to free up margin. Could we see something similar?
For me, the short term trigger could be a potential break below recent low and support around $3057-$3066, while in the slightly longer term view, a potential move below $3,000 is needed to trigger a more meaningful drop.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
DeGRAM | GOLD has grown againGOLD is above the ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower trend line, support level and has already consolidated above the upper boundary of the channel.
The chart maintains an ascending structure.
Trading volumes have decreased.
We expect XAUUSD to continue rising while the indicators are forming a bearish divergence on the 1W Timeframe. It should be taken into account that opening long positions now is quite risky.
-------------------
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XAUUSD, EURUSD and GBPUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD:Still consider shorting at a high price.As I stated in my morning post, one could try shorting around 3080. It has been proven that this strategy is completely correct. Shorting around 3080 has achieved three consecutive profitable trades. Today is Friday and it's approaching the closing of the market. For gold, this strategy can still be implemented. Continue to short, with the take-profit level set around 3070.
sell@3080-3085
TP:3070-3065
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Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250328Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250328
XAU/USD 28 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has met expectations and analysis by printing a further bullish iBOS, however, pullback was minimal and with price not trading down to either discount of 50% EQ or Daily/H4 demand zone.
I will therefore, at present, not classify this as a bullish iBOS in order not to distort internal range
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, bnut not confirm bearish pullback phase initiaiton. Price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,086.090.
Alternative scenario:
Price could potentially continue to print higher.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias was not met with pricing printing a bullish iBOS.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,086.090.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold has tapped into the 3084-3094 premium rejection zone⚡ Market Overview:
Gold continues its bullish momentum, testing premium supply zones. Liquidity grabs and order flow shifts indicate potential reversals or continuation setups. Key imbalances and institutional levels are in focus.
🔴 Sell Setup (Short)
Entry Zone: $3,085 - $3,090
Stop Loss (SL): Above $3,097
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $3,067 (First reaction level)
TP2: $3,050 (Liquidity sweep target)
TP3: $3,032 (Deeper profit zone)
📌 Reasoning:
Price has reached a premium supply area, with exhaustion signs at the highs.
Strong imbalance below $3,067 suggests potential retracement.
Confluence with 1H bearish rejection wicks.
🟢 Buy Setup (Long)
Entry Zone: $3,066 - $3,070
Stop Loss (SL): Below $3,060
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $3,080 (First reaction level)
TP2: $3,089 (Supply imbalance zone)
TP3: $3,097 (Full retrace target)
📌 Reasoning:
Strong imbalance at $3,066, a level gold tends to respect.
Previous demand zone aligns with institutional orders.
Potential for liquidity grab and continuation if order flow remains bullish.
21 EMA confluence supports a bounce.
⚡ Execution Plan
Monitor price action at entry zones for confirmation (rejection wicks, engulfing candles).
Be cautious of high-impact news events that could create volatility.
Adjust SL & TP levels dynamically based on price behavior.
📌 Important Notice:
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Good luck on the market today.
XAUUSD – H4 Trading Plan📍 Structure
✅ Market structure: Bullish
🔼 Recent BOS confirms continuation
📈 Price is pushing into resistance zone @ 3065
⚠️ No CHoCH yet = no shift, but signs of potential slowing momentum
🧩 Zones of Interest
🔵 3065–3090 → Supply / Premium zone
– Major liquidity draw
– Inside weekly imbalance → potential reversal zone
🔵 2955 → Prior range high + FVG
– Ideal first mitigation target
🔵 2790–2800 → OB zone + consolidation base
– Swing target if breakdown continues
🎯 Trade Scenarios
🔼 Bullish Breakout
Break & retest of 3065 (clean H4 close above)
LTF entry (M15–H1) on pullback
🎯 Target: ATH sweep (3100+)
🛡️ SL: Below HL or valid OB
🔽 Bearish Rejection
Strong reaction from 3065–3090 zone
Wait for H4 CHoCH → then Lower High
🎯 TP1: 2955
🎯 TP2: 2800
🛡️ SL: Above rejection wick
📌 Notes
✋ No short without H4 CHoCH confirmation
🧠 Structure is king – reaction first, entry second
Premium zone = decision zone → be reactive, not predictive
Gold update 4H 28.03.2025Technical Overview
Gold has broken out of a bullish pennant, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. XAU/USD is currently testing resistance around $3,087. A successful breakout could push prices toward $3,108–$3,138 (0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels).
Key Levels:
Support: $3,066 | $3,040
Resistance: $3,087 | $3,108 | $3,138
Indicators:
The oscillator shows overbought conditions, suggesting a possible short-term pullback.
A retest of $3,066 could provide a support zone for continuation.
Fundamental Factors
Fed interest rate decisions and inflation data will impact gold.
Market uncertainty continues to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish: A strong breakout above $3,087 could lead to a rally toward $3,108 and $3,138.
Bearish: Failure to hold above $3,087 may trigger a pullback toward $3,066 and $3,040.
A breakout above $3,087 could open the path toward $3,108–$3,138.
GOLD breaks and refreshes All-Time High, on PCE Data dayOn Friday (March 28) in the Asian trading session, the spot OANDA:XAUUSD unexpectedly accelerated and the gold price surpassed the level of 3,077 USD / ounce, up more than 20 USD on the day.
The threat of additional tariffs by US President Trump has affected the USD. Gold still maintains a positive growth momentum and is expected to reach a new record high.
The spot OANDA:XAUUSD closed up 37.50 USD on Thursday as new auto tariffs announced by President Donald Trump have increased trade tensions around the world and sent stock markets plunging, sending investors fleeing for safe-haven assets.
Gold traders will focus on U.S. PCE inflation data on Friday to gauge the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting path.
Markets will now focus on upcoming U.S. economic data. On Friday, the U.S. will release data on the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index for February, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge.
The U.S. core PCE price index is expected to have risen 2.7% year-on-year in February, up slightly from 2.6% in January.
“A mild PCE inflation reading could reinforce the Fed’s dovish stance and maintain support for gold”
Gold is traditionally seen as a safe haven from economic and political uncertainty and tends to perform well in low-interest-rate environments.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Continuing to rise, gold reached all the target levels sent to readers in the weekly publication and also broke these levels. With the current position, gold is expected to continue to rise with the next target at the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level.
The RSI is upright moving back to the 80 area, showing surprisingly strong buying momentum without any signs of weakening in the oversold area.
In the short term, the confluence of the upper edge of the price channel with the 0.50% Fibonacci extension will be the most important position to watch, as it acts as an expected resistance for a slight correction when the RSI enters the overbought zone. However, once gold continues to break $3,113, there will be nothing to stop gold from continuing to increase rapidly.
Overall, the overall bullish outlook for gold prices during the day will be focused on the following technical levels.
Support: $3,057 – $3,051
Resistance: $3,086 – $3,100 – $3,113
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3101 - 3099⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3105
→Take Profit 1 3093
↨
→Take Profit 2 3087
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3004 - 3006⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3000
→Take Profit 1 3012
↨
→Take Profit 2 3018
Gold's rise is not over yet! Continue to go long if it falls bacThis round of price fell from the previous high of 3057, and the first round of selling was at 3000; it fell to 3002 at the beginning of the week and then stabilized and rebounded. The article emphasizes that the market will focus on the key attack and defense of 3035, the 61.8% node of the 3000-3057 line; if it is under pressure, the short-selling idea will be maintained, and if it breaks through, it will return to a high level;
Strategy 1: Buy near 3048, protect 3038, target 3059-3070;
Strategy 2: Buy near 3038, protect 3028, target 3059-3070; (alternative)
