HelenP. I Gold can decline to trend line and then start to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price after several failed attempts holds in a support zone. The structure of this correction has formed beneath the previously broken trend line, and the price is now approaching it from above. What’s important is that buyers previously stepped in around this level, forming a bounce that allowed the market to reach toward the resistance zone near 3350. This area still remains unbroken, making it a magnet for future bullish targets. Currently, price action shows signs of local weakness, but the broader context favors a potential rebound. The confluence between the horizontal support zone and the descending trend line adds extra technical weight to this level. If price can stabilize here, I expect a retest of 3205, and a potential breakout above it could open the way toward my goal at 3260. This scenario assumes continued respect of the trend line as dynamic support. A clean bounce from it would signal renewed bullish interest, especially if backed by momentum on lower timeframes. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
XAUUSDK trade ideas
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
A decent day on the markets after the frustrating range being played early week. We said we expected the play to be between the 3210 and 3255 region with a break either side deciding the short term direction. We waited lower for the 3203-5 region early session, managed to get 3204 and then long on the red boxes which guided the way as well as our trusted algo Excalibur. Excalibur completed 4 Gold targets in a day with another insane pip capture. Well done team.
So now we have an open level above 3290-95 with our indicator starting to show the stretch upside. Rather than attempt long up here, we'll look higher for a potential RIP based on a clean set up, if we get that support is on the flip at 3255-60 which is the retracement level.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 5/16/2025As mentioned yesterday, since my weekly target of 3165 was met, I would be cautious in placing buying orders. Indeed, after reaching 3120, gold quickly turned and closed above 3200. It is now quite bullish. I will place only buying orders today.
I am looking to buy from 3200-3210 level or the breaking of 3270. Targeting 3340.
XAU/USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot price against USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, featuring a Smart Money Concept (SMC) approach. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas presented:
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1. Downtrend & Trendline Break
The chart initially shows a downtrend with two red arrows marking lower highs.
A trendline is broken, indicating a potential shift in market structure.
CHOCH (Change of Character) is labeled — a key SMC concept signaling a reversal from bearish to bullish structure.
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2. Orderblock & FVG (Fair Value Gap)
A bullish orderblock is highlighted, indicating an area where institutional buying may have occurred.
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is shown, which often acts as a magnet for price to fill inefficiencies before continuing in the intended direction.
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3. Resistance & Target Zones
A resistance level is marked near 3248–3250, which price may revisit and possibly break.
Two target points are identified:
First target: ~3344
Final target: ~3433
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4. EMA 200
The EMA 200 is acting as dynamic resistance; a break above it adds confluence to the bullish bias.
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5. Expected Move
The analysis anticipates:
1. A pullback into the FVG or orderblock.
2. A bullish continuation after mitigating those zones.
3. Price aiming for the resistance and eventually the upper targets.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion
This is a bullish outlook based on a structural break (CHOCH), institutional demand (orderblock), and gap-filling logic (FVG). The price is expected to pull back slightly and then rally toward the 3344 and 3433 levels if it holds the orderblock zone.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Critical Reversal or Breakdown? | XAU/USD at Make-or-Break Zone📉 Chart Overview:
Instrument: XAU/USD (assumed from chart context)
Timeframe: 4H or Daily (based on candlestick size)
Indicators Used:
📏 EMA 50 (Red): 3,247.86
📏 EMA 200 (Blue): 3,221.42
🔍 RSI (14): Currently at 45.90 (below midline, showing weak momentum)
🔎 Key Zones:
🧱 Support Zone: ~3,180 – 3,220
Price is currently sitting on this key demand zone.
Price previously bounced here sharply ➡️ indicating buyer interest.
📦 Resistance Block: ~3,260 – 3,280
Short-term resistance, price has been repeatedly rejected from here.
🎯 Target Zone: ~3,420 – 3,460
If price breaks out from the support-resistance squeeze, this is the potential bullish target 🎯.
🧭 EMA Analysis:
EMA 50 is still above EMA 200 ➡️ Golden Cross formation (medium-term bullish bias) ✅
However, price is currently below both EMAs, signaling short-term weakness ❌
📉 Bearish Scenario (📍Blue Arrow Down):
If price breaks below the support zone at ~3,180, we could see a sharp drop toward the next support at ~3,032 🔻.
RSI is trending down near 40, close to oversold territory ⚠️
🚀 Bullish Scenario (📈 Blue Arrow Up):
A successful retest and bounce from this support area (currently forming a rounded bottom 🥄) could lead to a bullish move toward the target zone.
This is further supported by the potential RSI bounce from the 40 area, signaling renewed momentum 🔋.
✅ Bias & Conclusion:
Neutral-to-Bullish Bias 🤝: As long as the price holds above the major support zone (~3,180), buyers have a chance to reclaim higher levels.
Look for confirmation breakout above the local resistance (~3,260) for a move toward 3,400+ 🚀.
A breakdown below support would invalidate the bullish thesis and target 3,030 instead 📉.
🛠️ Trading Plan (not financial advice!):
Long Entry: On bullish breakout & retest of ~3,260 ✅
Stop-Loss: Below ~3,180 ⚠️
Target: ~3,420 – 3,460 🎯
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around the 3170 level after pulling back from its recent highs near 3400. Price action is showing strong signs of bullish resilience as it bounces off a key support zone, suggesting the corrective phase may be nearing completion. The structure on the 2-day chart is shaping up as a healthy retracement within a strong uptrend, and the latest bounce is gaining volume, which indicates renewed buying interest and a potential re-entry point for bulls.
From a macroeconomic perspective, ongoing concerns about persistent inflation, global debt levels, and geopolitical tensions continue to support the bullish narrative for gold. With the latest U.S. CPI data showing inflation remaining above the Fed's comfort zone, the likelihood of prolonged higher interest rates remains in play. However, real yields have not kept pace, making gold an attractive hedge in this environment. Central banks worldwide are still aggressively accumulating gold as a reserve diversification strategy, which reinforces the broader demand.
Technically, the market is reacting precisely from a demand zone around 3120–3150, where historical resistance turned support. Momentum is building for a continuation of the bullish trend, and a push toward the 3500 level looks increasingly likely if price breaks above the minor resistance around 3250 with conviction. The risk-reward here remains favorable, especially with the clear invalidation level just below the recent lows.
As a professional trader, I view this structure as a textbook bullish continuation setup. The strong trend, clean bounce, and increasing volume are aligning for a potential breakout toward 3500. With macro catalysts and technical confirmation supporting the bullish bias, this is a solid opportunity for swing buyers to ride the next leg up in gold.
Gold prices are about to fall again!As expected in our previous analysis XAUUSD bounced to daily resistance and started to get rejected with a strong momentum in the major direction of the trend. As we see series of lower high formation XAUUSD may continue to drop to daily support level following the long term trend.
XAUUSD 2h chart technical analysisThis chart shows a technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) on a 2-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the elements:
🔍 Key Observations:
Downward Channel:
Price is moving inside a clearly defined descending channel, indicating a bearish trend.
The chart suggests price respects both upper and lower trendlines.
FVG Zones (Fair Value Gaps):
Multiple red and green FVG labels are marked.
Red FVGs typically indicate imbalance zones left by strong bearish moves — potential supply areas.
The green FVG near the bottom indicates a demand imbalance, potentially supporting price.
Pattern Outlook:
The current price around $3,201 is in a recovery phase within the descending channel.
Price is projected to:
Move up toward the upper trendline (near $3,300–$3,340).
Enter a consolidation or distribution phase (ranging).
Break downwards sharply around May 27–29, possibly heading toward $3,040 or even $3,000.
Bullish Breakout Scenario:
A bullish breakout above the channel and consolidation range may lead to a sharp upside move toward $3,600+, but that scenario is secondary on this chart.
📌 Strategic Implications:
If you're trading:
Short-Term (Intraday/Scalping):
Watch for entries near FVG zones.
Monitor reaction at $3,280–$3,320, potential reversal area.
Swing/Position:
Watch for breakout/rejection near upper channel line.
A break below $3,120 could be a strong confirmation for a drop to $3,000.
Would you like a trading strategy built around this chart (e.g., entry, SL/TP, risk management)?
Gold 100% Trading SignalsFrom a technical perspective, it is difficult for gold to have a large short position or a large downside in the short term. Last week, gold fell due to the news, with the lowest price at 3120, which clearly indicated that it could go long at 3120. After two trading days of rebound, the current highest price is 3252. Although it fell twice, it did not break 3120 and rebounded again, which shows the strong performance of gold and the solid bottom foundation. Under the influence of various factors and the performance of the market, gold maintained a bullish trend this week, with long positions being the main focus.
Gold daily line just stood firm on the 60-day moving average and went up. The previous weakness has now turned into strength, which just made its Bollinger band close. On this basis, it is expected to go up in a strong position or stand firm above the middle track of Bollinger band this week. Therefore, the bullish basis is obvious. The upper side can be seen to 3280, 3350, and 3400. Patiently wait for the bullish volume space in the daily cycle. There are some changes that need to be paid attention to in the 4-hour cycle. First of all, the second decline last week and the opening rise this week clearly confirm that the bottom has been formed in the short term, and there is still a large room for the rise. However, without breaking 3280, it is difficult for gold to have a unilateral rise. Therefore, although it is bullish this week, it is viewed in two stages. Below 3280 is a volatile rise, and above 3280 is a unilateral rise. Therefore, when trading, you must pay attention to the difference between short-term and medium- and long-term. For the intraday market, do not chase the market if it opens higher. After determining the direction, mainly go long when it falls back. The lower support is at 3210-3200. Consider going long when the Asia-Europe session falls back to these two points. Pay attention to the highs of 3265 and 3280 on the upper side.
Gold Market Update: Bears will target 3150 USD🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📉 Gold Drops: Prices dip as risk appetite grows and profit-taking kicks in.
🤝 U.S.-China Deal: 90-day tariff pause boosts USD, pressures gold.
📊 Tech Watch: Key support levels eyed by traders for entry points.
🔮 EUROTLX:4K Forecast?: Analysts still see path to $4,000 amid uncertainty.
⚠️ Recession Signal: Oil-gold gap hints at slowdown—bullish for gold.
🏠 Investment Shift: Gold now 2nd-best long-term U.S. investment (after real estate).
🌍 BRICS Buying: Emerging nations hoard gold to ditch dollar.
🛡️ $3,200 Holds: Gold maintains key support despite volatility.
📈 JP Morgan Bullish: EUROTLX:4K gold possible even with growth.
💰 Live Price: Gold at $3,253.40 (+0.52%) today.
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️pullback in progress still
▪️3300 USD cleared by the BEARS
▪️market gapped down at open
▪️3300 is heavy resistance for now
▪️Compression on lower timeframes
▪️Flag on Flag Bearish pattern
▪️short-term expecting more losses
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️Short Sell Rips/Rallies
▪️TP Bears 3150 USD
#XAUUSD: +2000 Pips Correction US-China Trade Deal ConfirmedGold has experienced a significant decline in recent days, primarily due to fundamental market factors that have caused its price to fall from 3430 to 3209, resulting in a loss of approximately 2210 pips. Consequently, we recommend that you consider selling Gold if it aligns with your analysis and assessment. It is imperative that you implement strict risk management measures while trading Gold.
It is important to note that this analysis does not guarantee a price decline or that the market will behave as described. Therefore, we strongly advise you to conduct thorough trade planning before making any trading decisions.
We extend our sincere gratitude for your unwavering support over the years.
Our primary objective is to assist you in making well-informed decisions. Therefore, we encourage you to contact us if you have any inquiries or require further information.
Additionally, we would be delighted to receive your insights on which cryptocurrency pair you would like to explore next. Please do not hesitate to share your preferences.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx_
MarketBreakdown | GOLD, USDCAD, GBPNZD, GBPJPY
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #GOLD #XAUUSD 4H time frame 🥇
I see some clear signs of bullish accumulation on intraday time frames.
The price formed an ascending triangle pattern.
Its neckline represents a significant resistance.
Its violation and a 4H candle close above will provide
a strong bullish confirmation signal.
A growth to higher structures will be expected then.
2️⃣ #USDCAD daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇦
Do not forget that today is the official banking holiday in Canada.
For that reason, CAD pairs might be slow.
USDCAD is currently consolidating within a narrow range on a daily.
I believe that for now, a consolidation is likely to continue.
3️⃣ #GBPNZD daily time frame 🇬🇧🇳🇿
The price successfully violated a falling trend line - a
strong vertical resistance last week.
We see a strong bullish reaction to that after its retest.
I believe that the pair will continue growing, it will likely
test a current high first and violate that, setting a new one then.
4️⃣ #GBPJPY daily time frame 🇬🇧🇯🇵
The pair is trading in a strong bullish trend on a daily.
The price is texting a significant support cluster at the moment,
probabilities will be high that a growth will resume from that.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD weekly outlook My analysis revolves around the continuation of the current short-term bearish trend. To capitalise on this move, I’ll be watching for price to mitigate either the 4-hour supply zone or the 3-hour supply zone. If price instead decides to respect a nearby demand zone, I’ll shift focus and wait for a potential reaction from a 1-hour demand zone.
From there, we could see signs of accumulation followed by a bullish reaction, leading price back up into a supply zone before continuing the sell-off in line with the prevailing trend. However, if price breaks below the 1-hour demand, that would further confirm a stronger bearish bias.
Confluences for GOLD sells are as follows:
- Price has broken structure to the downside, confirming the short-term bearish trend.
- Price is approaching both the 4-hour and 3-hour supply zones, which could act as strong sell areas.
- There is a lot of downside liquidity that remains untapped and could be targeted.
- On the higher timeframes, price appears overbought due to the recent corrective move.
P.S. If price fails to respect the nearby supply zones and breaks through them, I’ll then look for a reaction from a more premium supply level. Overall, my long-term bias remains bullish based on the higher timeframes.
XAUUSD-Bearish Setup Within Descending ChannelHello, traders
This chart of XAU/USD (Gold Spot) on the 4-hour timeframe shows a clear descending channel, indicating a bearish trend. Price is currently near the upper boundary of the channel, around a previous support-turned-resistance zone. The chart suggests waiting for bearish confirmation before entering a short position.
Key observations:
Price has failed to break above resistance and is showing signs of rejection.
A bearish confirmation (e.g., strong bearish candle or lower high) could signal continuation toward the lower boundary of the channel.
The target is around 3151, aligning with the channel's support and a previous demand level.
In summary: the bias is bearish, and traders are advised to wait for confirmation before shorting, with a target near 3151.
TP1: 3,200 – Near recent minor support, useful for partial profit-taking.
TP2: 3,151 – Main target shown on the chart, aligned with the lower boundary of the descending channel and a strong previous support zone.
You could also trail your stop after TP1 to lock in profits if price continues to move lower.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Reversal ConfirmedGOLD reached a significant horizontal support level last week..
The price formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern, leading to a bounce that broke through a strong downward trend line.
This indicates buyer strength, suggesting the market may continue to rise, with a target of 3322.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
After completing the bearish targets yesterday, confirmed by the EMA-5 cross and lock, we continued to buy dips. We noted that the swing range was active, but the full swing hadn't played out yet.
Today, that full swing completed, reaching 3254, marking a perfect move within the expected range.
Now, the price is likely to fluctuate between 3233/3201lower Goldturns and 3254 as the upper Goldturn.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3341
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3341 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3372
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3372 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3414
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3414 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3447
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3447 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3478 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3502
POTENTIALLY 3525
BEARISH TARGETS
3307 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3307 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3281 - DONE
3254 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3254 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE (SWING ACTION COMPLETE)
3233 - DONE
3201
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold sees strong high resistance; shorting on rebounds prevailsToday, gold can be described as fluctuating within a wide range, but overall it tends to be more bearish. Although gold rose at the opening on Monday, it suddenly made a sharp turn at the 3250 level, leaving those who chased long positions confused. We have analyzed that the upper resistance is strong, and the upside space is relatively limited. On the contrary, the downside space is larger, so shorting on rebounds remains the current short-term trend! If you are currently unsatisfied with your gold trading, I hope Barry can help you avoid detours in your investments. Welcome to communicate and exchange ideas!
From the hourly chart analysis, the support levels below should continue to focus on the 3170-3175 area, with strong support at the 3150 level. The resistance above is near 3253-3260. The overall trading approach remains centered on cyclic participation in shorting highs and longing lows within this range, with a core principle of exercising caution at intermediate levels – avoid excessive trading and impulsive order chasing. Be patient and wait for entry at key price points.
Gold Trading Strategies
sell@3240-3250
tp:3220-3200
buy@3170-3175
tp:3220-3230
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Is Gold About to Enter a Sharp Downtrend?Hey traders, looking at the chart, it’s quite clear that gold is currently undergoing a clean technical pullback – with the main objective being to fill the GAP around the $3,200 zone. This area is a strong confluence with the EMA34, and also marks a level where decisive selling pressure was previously observed.
Technically speaking, the overall structure remains bearish. Gold is still neatly confined within the descending channel, and recent rebounds appear to be nothing more than setups for sellers to "reload." The EMA34–EMA89 continue to serve effectively as dynamic resistance, and price action is already showing signs of fading bullish momentum as it approaches this key barrier.
The market is also responding to growing concerns over new U.S. tax policies, combined with a waning sense of defensive positioning. From my observations and feedback from various sources, the general sentiment leans toward gold continuing to weaken in the short term – not because of any sudden shock, but due to a lack of compelling bullish catalysts.
HelenP. I Gold can break resistance level and continue move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. At the moment, price is forming a tightening triangle structure, and the market appears to be respecting both the horizontal support levels and the rising trend line that frames the lower boundary of this pattern. After bouncing strongly from the support zone around 2970 - 2940 points, the price rebounded right off the trend line, confirming it once again as a key structural level. Recently, XAU approached the resistance zone between 3205 and 3230, which has acted as a cap for the price several times before. But this time, the move into resistance comes from a place of strength. Momentum is building steadily after each pullback, and buyers have consistently stepped in near the ascending support. Given the context sustained higher lows, compression within a triangle, and a base forming just under resistance, there’s a strong chance the price could push through the 3205 level on a renewed attempt. A clean breakout above this resistance, followed by a retest, would offer strong confirmation that bulls are ready to extend the move. That’s why I’ve set my current goal at 3320 points, which almost aligns with the upper range of the triangle projection. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD Pivot area with possibe Bullish move.Currently Gold is at a Pivotal area between 3153.46 and 3109.10 , this area holds a pivot turning point fot Gold next move , where we could head towards 3280 and 3407 for upward targets.
However failure to hold this area could send the price towards 2981.86 and 2855 for bearish Targets.