Gold Outlook: From Resistance Rejection to Bullish Revival1. Recap of Yesterday's Expectations
In my previous analysis, I highlighted the 3340–3350 zone as key resistance and suggested that any rise into that area could give sellers a better entry.
✅ Indeed, price rallied into that zone and was rejected, validating the plan.
2. What Happened Next?
After rejecting the resistance, gold touched 3300 again, but again, the bulls stepped in:
🔹 A higher low formed compared to the previous day.
🔹 This suggests the market is now shifting its structure from down to potential up.
3. Why 3300 Looks Like the New Floor
Several bullish clues:
- The quick bounce back to 3330 shows buying power.
- Price structure is developing a series of higher lows.
- This suggests growing confidence from buyers.
4. Trading Plan
🔸 A break above 3340 would confirm bullish momentum and open the door toward 3400 again.
🔸 Any dives toward 3300 should now be viewed as potential buying opportunities.
5. Final Thoughts
The market is telling a story of bullish pressure building under 3340 and potential break back above.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
What Will Be The Next Move Of Gold.XAUUSD Analysis
Timeframe: 4H/1W
Observation: XAUUSD is trading within an upward parallel channel, having previously rejected both the resistance and support trend lines. Currently positioned at the support line, we anticipate a potential false breakdown followed by an upward move.
Trading Opportunity:
- Buying Zone: 3250-3270
- Rationale: Liquidity is nearly depleted, and a 1W FVG gap is present.
- Strategy: Set Buy limits at 3250-3270
- Target: 3500
XAUUSD:06/06/2025 Update! Gold experienced a decline to 3314 following the release of unexpectedly strong NFP data. However, this decline is unlikely to lead to further price drops below 3314. This is primarily due to the ongoing turmoil within the president’s own political party, which is only just beginning to unfold and will likely intensify in the coming weeks.
Before making any trading decisions, it is advisable to conduct your own analysis. Additionally, the current price action has established an AB=CD pattern, where the price has successfully reversed from point ‘d’. This pattern suggests that waiting for the price to break out could be a prudent strategy for a safe entry.
Three targets have been reasonably set, with the potential to reach target two. However, the target three remains uncertain. The total potential profit from this idea is approximately 1300 pips.
It is also important to monitor the DXY closely. We recommend waiting for the price to complete its bullish correction before taking an entry on gold.
We sincerely hope that this analysis proves beneficial. Please consider liking, commenting, and sharing this post to encourage us to provide more such insights.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx_
Gold Rejected Below $3370 — Eyes on Lower Demand Zones! (READ)By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our previous analysis, the price climbed to $3388, giving us nearly 150 pips of return. However, gold was rejected from that level and failed to hold above $3370, eventually dropping below $3360.
Currently, gold is trading around $3348, and we may likely see further decline toward lower levels. The potential downside targets are $3338, $3332, $3326, and $3317.
Key demand zones to watch are:
→ $3327
→ $3311
→ $3298–$3300
→ $3278
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
(XAU/USD) Rising Wedge Breakdown Hints at Bearish ContinuationGold has completed a Rising Wedge pattern on the 4H chart, a classic bearish reversal structure. Price has broken below the lower trendline and is now retesting the wedge support as resistance, signaling potential continuation to the downside.
🔹 Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish)
🔹 Breakdown Level: ~$3,318
🔹 Immediate Support Zone: ~$3,244
🔹 Target Area: ~$3,167
🔹 Technical Bias: Bearish below $3,329
🔹 Fundamentals: Strong USD, Fed policy uncertainty, and lower inflation expectations add bearish pressure on Gold.
Short setup activated. Further confirmation may follow if Gold fails to reclaim above the wedge breakdown zone. 📉💡
Note : If you found this helpful, like and follow for more trade ideas!
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This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Gold surged, what will be the trend today?Information summary:
On Wednesday, the US dollar index plunged during the session as the CPI data that was lower than expected boosted the market's expectations of interest rate cuts. As of now, the lowest point is near 98.2.
After the release of the CPI data, gold rose in the short term and touched the 3360 US dollar mark, and then quickly gave up the gains and retreated to around 3320. However, it rose again due to the sharp escalation of the situation in the Middle East. As of now, the highest is around 3380.
Market analysis:
From the current 4-hour chart:
Yesterday's 3360 pressure level has been broken, and the Asian market has successfully stood above this position in the early trading. Then the suppression position of 3360 has turned into a support level. Therefore, the position we should pay close attention to next should be 3360-3350. If the price falls back to around 3350, it is possible to enter the market and do more. If the price rises again, it is very likely to break through 3400. Once it breaks through 3400, it will most likely reach around 3420.
Secondly, from the hourly chart, there are some signs of head and shoulders bottom. It would be perfect if it can fall back and then go up again. But gold cannot fall below 3345 again. If it falls below 3345 again, it cannot be long.
Operation strategy:
Go long when the price falls back to around 3350, stop loss at 3340, profit range 3375-3400.
Gold layout on the eve of non-agricultural
💡Message Strategy
Gold has experienced the baptism of war, the first round of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and the stimulus of trade tariffs, and has reached a high of $3,500 in one fell swoop. What kind of support is needed for the next round to continue to rise? Obviously, on the first day, the US dollar must fall before gold can rise.
The only condition for the dollar to fall is that the Fed cuts interest rates and releases the dollar. At that time, the US stock market will continue to rise and remain strong, and commodities will continue to rise. Behind this, inflation will be re-stimulated, but the premise is that the inflation problem is controllable, which is exactly what the Fed needs to balance. On the contrary, Trump hopes for superficial prosperity, which is why Trump called on the Fed to cut interest rates as soon as possible, but the Fed did not do anything.
📊Technical aspects
Today's main strategy non-agricultural layout ideas
ADP data is bullish for gold, and gold will rise in the short term. Once it goes sideways at a high level, even if tomorrow's non-agricultural data is positive or negative, the probability of gold changing is very high. The positive news at a high level will inevitably limit the upward momentum. In addition, near $3,400, it will inevitably trigger profit-taking. Therefore, it is unwise to chase the rise in the current situation.
If the non-agricultural data is negative, gold may fall sharply. At present, around $3,370, the idea of looking at a periodic correction remains unchanged. Around $3,370-3,390, the layout is still based on the high-altitude idea.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3355-3365,3375-3395
Hanzo / Gold 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 15-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 3345
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3326
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Selling pressure, bears active⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) edge higher toward $3,325 during the early Asian session on Tuesday, supported by a softer US Dollar as markets turn cautious ahead of key developments in US-China trade negotiations.
Delegations from the United States and China are set to continue discussions for a second consecutive day in London. President Donald Trump expressed optimism, stating the talks “should go very well.” According to US officials, discussions may lead to Washington lifting certain tech export restrictions in exchange for Beijing easing controls on rare earth exports — materials vital to sectors ranging from energy and defense to advanced technology. The outcome of these negotiations could provide fresh direction for the precious metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The market is mainly sideways and accumulating, under selling pressure below 3300 due to the US-China trade negotiations taking place today.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3350- 3352 SL 3357
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3320
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3276- $3274 SL $3269
TP1: $3285
TP2: $3300
TP3: $3312
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD: Another Important Update On Gold Prices! We recently posted an idea analysis on Gold, but our first entry was invalidated due to the heavy sell-off. We expect a smooth move from the current price point. However, please remember that the market conditions will remain volatile and uncertain due to important economic data being published tomorrow.
Good luck, trade safely!
Team Setupsfx_
Gold Takes the Throne as Safe Haven AgainThe recent escalation in the Middle East — particularly Israel’s surprise strike on Iran — has stirred up significant volatility in global financial markets. Oil prices surged, stock markets around the world turned red, just as many had predicted. However, in a surprising twist, capital did not rush into the usual safe havens like the US dollar or Treasury bonds. Instead, it flowed decisively into gold.
In fact, US Treasury yields have soared from 3.98% in April to around 4.42% now. This surge doesn’t signal growing confidence — it reflects investor demand for higher returns to compensate for the rising risk of holding dollar-denominated assets.
Against this backdrop, gold is emerging as an “unshackled safe haven” — immune to political instability tied to fiat-currency-issuing nations. The precious metal is once again proving its value in times of global uncertainty.
XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Analysis – June 13, 2025🔍 Key Observations
Uptrend Structure:
Gold remains in a rising channel (higher highs, higher lows).
$3265 flipped from support to springboard for continued upside.
$3365–$3375 has held as a solid support zone.
Resistance Levels:
💠 $3400 – psychological barrier and channel resistance.
💠 $3480 – upper channel boundary, long-term target.
💠 $3490 – historical ATH, may trigger pullbacks.
Macro/Geopolitical Drivers:
Israel–Iran tensions and soft U.S. data boost safe-haven demand.
Central bank accumulation reinforces bullish case.
Bearish Contingency:
Failure to break $3432.57 (double top) could pull price down to:
🔻 $3384.83 – intermediate support
🔻 $3270.06 – final downside target
📈 Trade Setup – Bullish Continuation
📥 Entry Zones:
$3377–$3380 support area (pullback entry)
OR $3400 breakout confirmation (high-volume thrust)
⛔ Stop-Loss:
Below $3350 to guard against fakeouts
🎯 Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: $3444.75
TP2: $34458.44
TP3: $3472.14
TP4: $3490 (ATH zone)
📊 Risk/Reward:
Favorable 3:1 (e.g., risking $25 to gain $75 from $3375 entry)
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: $3400, $3432.57, $3456, $3480, $3490
Support: $3384.83, $3375, $3340, $3319
🧭 Sentiment & Volume Cues
Bullish Confirmation:
Volume spike above $3365–$3400
Continued soft US data / geopolitical fear
Bearish Signals:
Weak breakout at $3432.57
Breakdown below $3384.83 with low volume
✅ Summary
Gold maintains bullish structure. Look for long entries around $3375–$3384.83 or wait for a strong breakout above $3400. Use tight stops and monitor both technical levels and macro triggers.
🛑 Disclaimer: Trade with proper risk management. This analysis reflects technical outlooks and may change based on real-time events.
XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD) H1 Chart AnalysisBullish Trade Setup – XAUUSD (Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar)
🟢 Entry Point:
Buy at: $3,327
🎯 Targets:
1. 1st Target: $3,360
2. Final Target: $3,390
🔐 Stop-Loss:
Place below recent swing low or lower channel line, e.g., around $3,315 (adjust based on volatility or tighter risk tolerance)
XAUUSD - Risk Management - How much % do you risk daily?⭐It’s not about how much you know. It’s about how much you risk.⭐
The lesson you only learn after blowing up your account.
You’ve read hundreds of articles, watched countless hours of YouTube.
Joined 5 groups.Subscribed to 10 channels.
Maybe you even tried a prop firm challenge and failed it in two days.
Paid for mentorship.
Kinda know structure. See price action.
And yet… your account still shrinks faster than your patience.
Because at the end of the day:
It’s not about what you know. It’s about how much you risk.
⚠️ The trade was right. Your lot size wasn’t.
You had a good setup.
Price reached your zone. There was confluence.
Everything looked clean — until your lot size showed up to ruin everything.
Example: You entered with 0.50 lots on a $200 account, using a 40-pip stop loss.
Let’s break it down:
• $0.50 per pip × 40 pips = $200 loss
• You lost 100% of your account on a single trade
The strategy didn’t fail.
The size did.
💡 Why “risking 1%” works on paper — but not on XAUUSD
Every trading book, coach, and Twitter guru screams:
“Just risk 1-3% per trade.”
Cool. Sounds disciplined.
But in Gold, most traders use tight stop losses — 20, 30, maybe 50 pips.
To stay within 1% risk with such a small SL, your lot has to be bigger.
And that’s where accounts explode.
Gold doesn’t move like EURUSD.
It spikes, wicks, manipulates, and throws fakeouts for fun.
Experienced traders know that sometimes a 150–180 pip SL isn’t weak — it’s smart.
It’s not about “being wrong.” It’s about giving the setup room to breathe.
📌 What actually works
Instead of risking 1-3%, many experienced traders manage risk more conservatively:
• 0.25%–0.35% per trade is more sustainable
• 0.50% is rarely reserved for highly valid, high-confluence setups only
This allows for:
• More breathing room
• Emotional control
• Less panic during drawdown
• And more trades that survive manipulation
🧠 Your position size is your psychology, exposed.
Most traders don’t lose because they picked the wrong zone.
They lose because they sized their trade like they were trying to get rich overnight.
You want to measure discipline?
Forget strategy.
Look at how much someone risks per trade.
A 0.10 lot on a $500 account means control.
A 1.00 lot on the same account means desperation or showoff.
🧮 A quick example to make it real
You have a $1,000 account.
You risk 0.20% — that’s $2/pip.
Your stop loss is 50 pips.
That means you can trade 0.10 lot safely.
Now you’re giving the trade room to work — and if it fails, you’re still in the game.
That’s the difference between blowing up and showing up.
📉 Bonus risk reminder: Daily exposure ≠ per-trade risk
If you’re taking 2–3 trades per day, don’t risk 0.30% on each one. That’s not low risk — that’s stacking exposure. ✅ What you should do: Decide your daily risk limit (let’s say 0.30%), then split it across your planned entries. 2 trades? → 0.15% each 3 trades? → 0.10% each
🎯 Final thoughts
Your setup doesn’t need to be perfect.
You do.
→ Risk according to volatility, not emotion
→ Respect your stop loss, and scale your lot size to match
→ Don’t try to force profits out of every candle
The best traders aren’t always right —
they just size smart enough to be wrong and still come back.
If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
XAUUSD 4H AnalysisBased on Ichimoku, we expect short-term uptrend toward 3348 and after that we expect rejection from these levels and starting downward movement to support levels (3228-3179).
we consider all these levels as valuable zones for our trading so be cautious about the reaction of XAUUSD.