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GOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

GOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

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XAUUSDK trade ideas

"Gold’s Golden Opportunity: Riding the Uptrend with Confidence"The gold chart shows that the main trend is upward, with strong support levels at $3,000 and $2,945, and resistance levels at $3,400 and $3,500. The chance of a rise (65%) is higher than a drop (35%), especially if the support levels hold and positive news (like lower inflation) continues. My strategy is to buy at the $3,000 support, aiming for $3,500, with a stop-loss below $2,945. In my journal, I’ll note to stay patient and avoid getting emotional, as I see gold’s long-term value, just like Warren Buffett. For you: If you’re a beginner, start with a small amount (e.g., 1% of your capital) at the $3,000 support and set a stop-loss. This is my personal opinion—do your own research! 😊
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by javadtips
1
Circular short selling is still the main themeGold has no power to rebound in the Asian session, and it keeps fluctuating and falling. The highest rebound was 3292, but it fell back under pressure, and the lowest touched 3217. The fluctuation and decline are still dominant, so we only need to short on the rebound. It is still difficult to fill the gap at the opening today, so don't have hope. Just keep shorting on the rebound. The weekend article also analyzes the bearish opening this week. After all, the international situation of India and Pakistan's comprehensive ceasefire and Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations are mainly bearish for gold. Coupled with the technical shorts, it is reasonable for gold to jump short. Today, we will treat gold as rebound shorting. In terms of operation, we will mainly short on rebound and be a steady trader. Judging from the current trend of gold, the main short rhythm of the pullback will continue to remain unchanged before the daily level breaks through and stands at this position.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Gold (XAU/USD) – Daily Analysis🌐 Geopolitical Context After a long standoff, the United States and China have finally reached a preliminary agreement on tariff reductions, easing one of the largest trade tensions in recent years. This move is likely to reduce market uncertainty, making risk-on assets more attractive than traditional safe havens like gold. 🗺 Market Structure Overview On the daily chart, we clearly see a double top formation starting to take shape, likely triggered by today’s market reaction to the US-China trade news. 🔻 This structure typically indicates a potential market reversal or at least a strong retracement, as sellers step in at a previously defined resistance. 📉 Key Technical Levels Double Top Resistance – Currently forming around the $3,500 level, a clear psychological barrier for buyers. Supply Zones – Multiple layers of overhead supply are visible, likely to cap any further upside. BULL OTE – Potential deep retracement zone if the market pulls back aggressively, located around $3,000 - $3,100. 50% Retracement – Sitting near $3,200, this level could act as an intermediate support if selling pressure increases. 📊 Short-Term Outlook For now, gold seems poised for a potential pullback, especially if the double top confirms with a clear rejection. However, the broader trend remains bullish unless the price breaks below the supply zones and the BULL OTE.
TVC:GOLDShort
by BenMcyInsights
Gold – Focus on the Specific Details of US/China Trade TalksGold prices rallied 0.6% on Friday to close at 3325 as traders rushed to obtain some safe haven protection against the uncertainty of whether the outcome of trade negotiations between the US and China, taking place in Geneva over the weekend, may yield positive or negative results which could have significantly impact all markets on the Monday open. Roll forward 2 days and Gold has fallen to a low of 3259 (at time of writing) in early Monday trading as traders digest and then react to both the US and China reporting ‘substantial progress’ in their talks. This news seems to have initially boosted risk sentiment and reduced the need for traders to own Gold as a hedge, at least for now anyway. While light on detail, initial reports indicate that the trade teams from the world’s two biggest economies have agreed to create a mechanism for further talks. US Treasury Secretary Bessant and Trade representative Greer are expected to hold a press briefing later this morning to share more specific details, so there is room for disappointment, which could see Gold rally back to higher levels, or more progress than anticipated by markets, which may see Gold extend its sell off down to potential key technical support levels. Technical Update: Decision Making Progress Develops On April 24th 2025, we published a commentary on Gold, highlighting its inability to break above the psychological round number resistance at 3500, from which a sell-off was developing. Please look back at our timeline to read our thoughts at that time. The setback from these all-time highs at 3500 did extend further, and tests of 3228, which was equal to the 50% Fibonacci retracement (April 7th to April 22nd 2025 price strength) did materialise. After initially seeing the strong bounce from 3228 last week, it appears that traders may be focusing on this level as a possible important support over coming sessions. What is the Current Situation for Gold? While much will depend on future price trends and market sentiment, it could be suggested that recent price activity in Gold since the April 22nd session all-time high, has established both upper and lower extremes of a developing sideways range, between 3228 and 3500. This type of sideways activity represents something of a ‘balance’ between both buyers and sellers of Gold. Price strength has been met by selling pressure at 3500, while buyers have materialised around 3228, the 50% retracement level. However, it could even be suggested after the price weakness from last Tuesday’s 3435 session high, immediate resistance could now be lowered to this 3435 level. Predicting the direction of an eventual range breakout is difficult, and we must wait for either a confirmed closing break below 3228, or above 3435 to suggest the next possible direction of a more sustained phase of price movement. Until such a breakout materialises, extension of the choppy sideways activity, as seen recently, could continue. Upside Focus: If potential is to turn towards further attempts to extend price strength, it may well be suggested by closes above last week’s 3435 high. While breaks of these 3435 extremes won’t be a guarantee of price strength, it might lead to retests of the psychological 3500 high, even towards 3570, which is the 300% Fibonacci extension of the October 31st to November 14th 2024 decline. Downside Focus: To the downside, traders may well continue to focus on the 3228 Fibonacci retracement level as support, with closing breaks perhaps pointing to risks for further price declines. Such moves may then lead to weakness towards 3164, which is the lower 61.8% retracement level. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Pepperstone
How to plan a gold short selling strategyOn Monday, as China and the United States reached an agreement to reduce tariffs, market concerns about a U.S. recession eased, and the U.S. dollar index once approached 102, and finally closed up 1.37% at 101.80. U.S. bond yields both rose, and the interest rate market cut the Fed's pricing for rate cuts this year, boosting demand for the U.S. dollar. However, although the U.S. dollar is bullish in the short term, it faces key resistance, and the U.S. CPI data is coming. If inflation is lower than expected, bulls may take a break. Today's market rose slightly first, then fell strongly to 3216, and then rose strongly to 3260 in the Asian session before being under pressure. The market is currently in the repair stage, and CPI data is attracting much attention. If the European session does not continue to rise but falls, the bulls may end at 3270. Technically, the upper resistance is 3268-3274, and the lower support is 3244-3237. In terms of operation, it is recommended to rebound high and short as the main, and to pull back and long as the auxiliary. Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to short near the rebound 3268-3274, with a target of 15-20 points. Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to pull back near 3244-3237 and long, with a target of 10-15 points.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Gold (XAU/USD) – 1H Analysis 🏛 Market Structure Gold remains in a clear downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows on the 1H timeframe. 🔻 After rejecting from the Bear OTE and filling a GAP, price has consistently failed to reclaim any major supply zones. 📉 Current Price Action ⬜️ Supply Zones: The market has respected multiple supply zones on the way down, confirming strong selling pressure. 🟦 Bear OTE: Acted as a ceiling for the recent bearish continuation. ⬜️ Current Area: Price is sitting on a local Supply Zone, but shows no significant bullish reaction for now. 🟦 Bull OTE Zone (3,130–3,140): This is the next major demand area below, and could attract buyers if we sweep current lows. 🎯 Short-Term Expectations 📉 Bearish Bias Maintained : As long as the price stays below the $3,275–$3,300 area, sellers are in control. A clean sweep of the Supply Zone around $3,215 could trigger a move into the Bull OTE, offering a potential bounce zone. 📈 Bullish Recovery Only If : Price reclaims the GAP zone around $3,300, with strong momentum. This would invalidate the current bearish structure and suggest a rotation back up. ✅ Conclusion Gold is currently in distribution mode, with sellers dominating and the next key support sitting near the Bull OTE (3,130–3,140). Until we see clear signs of demand or a structural break, the downtrend remains in play.
TVC:GOLDShort
by BenMcyInsights
GOLD Will Go Up! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,242.49. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,415.14 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
2
Gold – False Break Signals More DownsideIn my commentary yesterday, I highlighted the importance of the 3360 support zone. While Gold initially found a bid around this level, the sharp reversal from the 3415 Asian session high suggests a failed breakout. Key Observations: • The quick rejection above 3360 now looks like a false break, reinforcing the bearish outlook. • The recent high around 3415 appears to be a lower high following the 3500 ATH, confirming potential trend weakness. • Given this structure, a drop back to at least the 3270 support zone seems highly probable. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
3
Gold: Potential Bullish Reversal Setup on XAU/USD from QML ZoneHello guys! What I see: QML in Lower Time Frame: Price is currently testing a QML zone from a lower timeframe (marked in light blue). This area aligns with a significant reaction point, suggesting institutional interest. QML in Higher Time Frame: Below this lies a higher timeframe QML, acting as a secondary support. This adds confluence for a potential strong bullish rejection if the price dips further. Engulfed Level: A previously engulfed resistance level has been marked, showing where sellers lost control. Price returning toward this area with reduced momentum indicates possible accumulation. Targets Identified: Multiple target levels are projected with an ascending structure. These align with liquidity pools above recent highs, suggesting buy-side liquidity engineering. Market Structure: Current price behavior suggests the formation of higher lows and potential bullish continuation. A corrective move into the QML zone could spark a strong impulsive leg upward.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
28
XAUUSD 08/05 | The JW Trade Centre Precision. Patience. Profit.XAUUSD 08/05 The JW Trade Centre Precision. Patience. Profit. Article Submission; Jordan Webb, Senior Analyst and Consultant FT and CS, TV. Gold Volatility Erupts - XAU/USD Sheds Over 120 Points in Wild Intra-Day Swing Date: 08 May 2025
21:17 UK Time | Price: 3308 XAU/USD delivered a day of extraordinary volatility, swinging 126 points from peak to trough within a 19-hour window. This type of high-magnitude price action highlights growing sensitivity to macro shifts, liquidity changes, and technical breakdowns. What Triggered the Volatility in Gold Today? 1. Dollar Strength The US Dollar Index surged past 105.60, breaking multi-day resistance and triggering flows out of gold. A combination of hawkish Fed tone and sticky inflation concerns may have underpinned this move. 2. Bond Yields Spike A surge in US 10Y real yields decreased the appeal of gold, which offers no yield. Fast intraday rises in yields are typically met with aggressive gold selling. 3. Liquidity Vacuum + Gamma Flip Following yesterday’s compressed range, today’s structural break triggered algo-driven volatility and likely options-related gamma flows. Once gold lost 3340, momentum snowballed into a stop cascade. 4. Position Unwinding The 3435 high earlier this week appears to be a local top. Institutional positioning looks to be unwinding, especially ahead of critical US CPI data and further Fed rhetoric. What’s Next for Gold? Gold is currently testing a fragile support zone at 3300–3310. A firm break lower could see price rapidly spill toward 3282, with extension risk down to 3264 — both being institutional demand zones from April. Key Technical Levels Noted Current Bias (21:17 UK Time) Short-term view: Bearish Price trading below VWAP and daily mid Structure below 3364/3340 remains broken Dollar and yields both holding firm = bearish drag on gold Trade Set Up Sell into 3318-3322 Set Stop Loss at zone 3332 Staggered Take Profit 3288 zone 1, and Take Profit 3264 as per above. Gold appears to of lost it’s bullish structure, trade deal today announced with UK/US, improved dollar strength, DXY and US10Y, which are correlated to Dollar performance, and as gold is usually save haven amidst any trade deal, the rational to short overnight, targets further downside potential as sellers defend rallies into the broken support zone. Could gold rekindle post US session Close? Unlikely, but see below: US Session profit taking, 130 point flush in last 24 hours, over 1k pips! Short term traders may cover positions and protect price into the NY Close. Asia often buys dips, if no major risk overnight, 3300/3288 will be achievable. If DXY rebounds or stalls, perhaps gold could go for a run/technical bid. Over sold conditions, short term relief bounce to 3332 wouldn’t surprise me. However with that said, I do remain Bearish for now. Structure remains broken, 3340-3364, still well above price and Gold is under the former support level. Yields and Dollar are still elevated and showing no signs of any reversal. Price struggling to hold over 3310, if bulls had control, we’ve be seeing a elevated price now US session winds down. Asia is so unpredictable, whilst they may drive bids, they also sell hard if US Direction is dominant, like today where we’ve had complete upheaval on the charts. My strategy explained! Short bias on 3318-3322, with a tight SL of 10 points (100 pips from your entry whichever you catch) Key here not to sell blindly until we see a pop up to 3318/22. This is our entry before Asia takes over. If price surpasses our zone, and reclaims and holds to 3336/40, bias completely flips back to neutral / bullish, trade invalid. A mild late session bounce is likely, but until we see a reclaimed structure, that’s our trigger for the sell rally market. This is not a buy the dip idea. The reason I say that is because We are in mid range, not support or resistance. No clear confluence, price not reclaimed any structure or broken lower. We don’t sell here after the move has happened from previous session and certainly not long as we’d be buying into uncertainty. I advised a wait for bounce into 3318-3322, await price settle, then short if price does not break and hold over 3322. Then.. If you’re looking to enter on the long, post sell, you must wait to see if price bounces off 3288, and holds, and then long of 3336 is in sight. I call current zone - no mans land, as blasé as it sounds, we don’t have the answer we need on the technical or fundamental side. So be smart. I have a reminder set for 3318 tonight, and every .5 above that to 3322, so I can enter the trade should price reach our marked zone. Likewise if we don’t see a pop and price moves to 3288 from current 3308, and await to see if price holds or breaks further for a sell to TP2. I hope this has proved informative and constructive to your trading regime and strategy. Have a blessed evening. JW
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JW_
2
XAU/USD: Short-term Operation UpdateAt present, the gold price has broken through 3260. In the short term, we should pay attention to shorting at the resistance level of the Fibonacci retracement during the pullback. The range of 3270-3280 US dollars is the position for shorting, with a stop loss at 3295 US dollars. However, the probability of reaching this position is not high. Meanwhile, we can go long when the price retests the range of 3235-3230 US dollars. The key lies in the US CPI data during the US trading session. XAU/USD sell@3270-3280 tp:3240-3230 sl:3290 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_01
Gold just swept some key lows on 4H and is starting to bounce.I’m keeping an eye on the area between 3355 and 3392 , where we have both the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement and a descending trendline acting as resistance. That area has a high chance of attracting price. Why I’m watching for a move up: 1. Clean liquidity grab and quick bounce 2. MACD showing early momentum shift 3. Key Fib levels + previous resistance overlap 4. Price still within a large range—this looks like a mid-range rebound Invalidation: If price drops and closes below the recent low, I’ll step aside. Potential target: 3350–3390 Stop: Below the most recent swing low Let’s see how price reacts when/if it gets there.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by Ziolian_VTMarkets
Gold rebound is a good time to shortGold has been in a volatile state since the opening today, opening at 3236 and reaching a high of 3243. It is currently fluctuating in the form of shocks. With the comprehensive ceasefire between India and Pakistan and the peace talks in the Sino-US tariff war, gold will still be in a downward trend. Although it is in a downward trend, we should not chase the short position directly. We can just treat the rebound as shorting. The main trend is still to short on the rebound. After all, the general trend is bearish. In the 4-hour chart, the weak stage is oscillating downwards, and the resistance of the middle rail has moved down to the 3300 mark. At the same time, there is still a gap to be filled, and it is currently in shock above the neckline. There are two differentiated moves here. One is to go sideways and weakly consolidate and then directly break the neckline of 3200 and go for in-depth adjustments. The other is to rebound above 3200 to correct and build momentum, forming a wave of poised to break low. One is weak consolidation to break low, and the other is poised to break low. Overall, it is optimistic that the market will break through the low of 3200, but it reflects the various changes in the short-term form. The upper 3250-3260 range has gathered intensive trading resistance, forming short-term strong pressure. In short-term operation, first go short on rallies below 3260, and first look at the profit from this wave of correction! Next, we will look at the previous low support of 3200. If the position is broken, we will continue to see the downward continuation. If the position is not broken, we will place long orders on the backhand. At that time, we will choose the opportunity to lay out the long-term plan based on the support of 3200. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3248-3252 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3200-3160 support line. Gold operation suggestion: short gold near 3245-3255, target around 3220-3210. Gold will go long when it pulls back around 3210-3200, with the target around 3230-3250.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
2
XAU/USD Bearish Trade Setup Supply Zone Rejection to Target 3350Trend Overview 📉 Downtrend in Play Price has reversed from the peak near $3,354 Currently trading below the 70 EMA (📍$3,299.86) Forming lower highs – indicating bearish momentum. Key Zones & Levels 🔶 Supply Zone (Resistance) 📍 $3,290.72 – $3,353.41 Strong selling pressure expected here Possible short entry if price gets rejected 🟦 Support Zone (Previous Support) 📍 Around $3,254 – $3,210 Price has previously bounced here 🎯 Target Point (Take Profit) 📍 $3,050 Clear support level – used as a profit target Trade Setup – Bearish Bias 🟩 Entry Point 📉 Sell near $3,290.72 (inside supply zone) 🛑 Stop Loss ❌ Above $3,354.69 (above resistance line) ✅ Take Profit 💰 Target $3,050 ⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio Approx. 1:3 – Favorable for short trades. Summary 🔍 Watch for a rejection in the supply zone 💼 Setup is ideal for short sellers 📊 Downtrend is supported by structure and EMA
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Jameshead007