XAUUSD need some rest and fallWe are looking for dump asap here for gold price already broke resistance channel but i am expecting it will get back in channel and after that with high volume the dump expected to the targets like 2900$.
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XAUUSDK trade ideas
EUR/USD short: Is the USD out of the doghouse?Hello traders
Yesterday's trading was most profitable, riding the high speed elevator up and down with long and short positions throughout the session.
The chart seems to favor an upturn in the USD.
Why? Maybe because the US10 Y T-note is still one of the most reliable sources of yield. The one risk that we should watch out for is a downgrade of the USA AA+ credit rating.
The DE10Y and JP10Y are also turning up.
My EUR/USD short was triggered a short while ago at the 12H low of 1.0975. This is only a few pips below the NY session high of 1.0982. I have a tight stop above the 0.786 Fib at 1.0992. IF this trade proves to be successful, we may see a decline to test the weekly close of 1.0833 to the weekly high of 1.0856.
On the 4h chart, the 7D MA has crossed the 10 and 20 D MA's.
However, stay vigilant. The SS Turbulence is sailing through a small patch of still waters until the next storm arrives.
The FOMC minutes, USA CPII, 10Y note auction and initial jobless claims are on the calendar this week. All these events are first tier and can significantly move the markets-again. That is of course, bar more jawboning and contradictory statements from Washington DC about tariffs.
Best of luck.
GOLD H2 Outlook: Correction in progress 2900 USD in sight🏆 Gold Market Update (April 8th, 2025)
📊 Technical Outlook Update
▪️5 wave impulse completed
▪️Correction as expected previously
▪️currently trading at 3 000 usd
▪️Profit taking in progress now
▪️Price Target BEARS 2850/2900 USD
▪️Strategy: SHORT SELL rips/rallies
▪️target is 2900 USD
📢 Gold Market Update – April 2025
📈 Gold hits all-time high above $3,100/oz
🚀 Surge driven by Trump’s new global tariffs and rising trade war fears
🌍 Investors seek safety amid geopolitical uncertainty
📉 Pullback follows rally
💸 Sharp drop due to profit-taking and risk sentiment rebound
🔁 Analysts remain bullish as Fed rate cuts and tensions linger
🏦 Central banks keep buying
🛡️ China & others increasing gold reserves to hedge inflation & currency risks
Gold sell setup Why We Would Sell (Short) XAUUSD in This Setup:
Strong Resistance Zone:
Price is approaching a clear resistance level around 3,250, marked by multiple rejections in the past.
This zone acted as a ceiling for the bulls — each time price reached this level, it got pushed back down, showing strong selling pressure.
Double Top Formation (Potential Reversal Pattern):
The price formed a potential double top near 3,250.
This pattern often signals a shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
Bearish Rejection Wicks:
Candlesticks near the resistance show long upper wicks, indicating that buyers are getting weak and sellers are stepping in.
Lower High Forming:
After the second peak, price failed to make a new high, suggesting buying momentum is weakening.
The current price action is forming a lower high, which is a bearish signal.
Bearish Price Projection (Arrow Path):
The blue arrow suggests a retest of the resistance zone followed by a strong drop down to the support zone at 3,187.
This offers a good risk-to-reward ratio for a short trade setup.
Trade Parameters:
Stop Loss above resistance (around 3,250).
Take Profit around 3,187 (previous support).
This setup offers a clear invalidation point if the price breaks above resistance.
Consolidation Phase in XAU/USD with Bullish PotentialFollowing a period of strong bullish momentum, XAU/USD is currently trading sideways, remaining confined within the price range established between Friday and Monday. This consolidation suggests the market may continue ranging in the short term.
However, if the price dips below the lows of the past two days and breaches the ascending trendline, there is a strong potential for a rebound and continuation to the upside. An alternative scenario could see the formation of a triangle or rising wedge pattern near the current resistance zone.
Despite short-term uncertainty, a key support area around 3170–3180 remains critical. A bounce from this zone could signal the resumption of upward movement. Traders are advised to monitor these key levels closely for confirmation of the next significant directional move. The next target is the resistance zone near 3285
Why Gold bullish ?? Detailed AnalysisXAUUSD is currently showing strong bullish momentum after completing a clean retest of the breakout zone near 3200. Price action confirmed this level as new support, and we are now seeing price bounce back with conviction. This structure is a classic continuation setup, and as long as price holds above the retest zone, the next leg higher toward the 3265–3300 range looks highly probable.
Technically, the 8H chart displays a strong impulse move followed by a controlled pullback into a demand zone. Price formed a higher low and immediately pushed back into bullish structure, signaling continuation. If gold stays above the 3200–3180 level, I expect buyers to maintain control, and the market could drive further upside targeting the previous swing high and beyond. The rejection wicks and volume spike at the base of the retest add to the bullish conviction.
From a fundamental standpoint, gold continues to benefit from a combination of factors including global uncertainty, persistent inflation, and dovish sentiment from major central banks. With US inflation data keeping rate cut expectations alive and the dollar softening slightly, gold remains a preferred hedge. Additionally, increased demand from central banks and institutions continues to support gold's long-term uptrend.
This setup is one of the most closely watched on TradingView right now due to its clean structure and strong confluence. With macro and technical conditions aligned, this bounce off support could lead to another wave of bullish momentum. As a professional trader, I’m staying long-biased above 3180 and will look for momentum confirmation to scale into the next bullish wave.
Gold Trade Plan 11/04/2025Dear Traders,
Gold, contrary to technical analysis, broke the previous high and is currently within the upper boundary of the ascending channel. I expect gold to start a decline from the 3245–3280 zone, and the correction will likely be deep in terms of time. The initial target is 3100, and the final target is 2900, which is the bottom of the ascending channel.
If the ascending channel is broken, a new analysis will be required.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Gold signal, 200% profit in one weekGold hit the highest point of 3245 at the opening today and then began to fall back. This is what we have been saying that gold is going to start to fluctuate and adjust. Now it depends on whether gold starts to adjust by exchanging space for time or time for space. However, no matter which method is used, gold must patiently wait for the opportunity to fall back. The hourly moving average of gold is still in a bullish arrangement with a golden cross upward. Now the price is gradually approaching the moving average. If gold uses time to exchange space for adjustment, then gold will continue to resist falling at a high level. Then gold may start to exert strong strength in the European and American markets. At that time, just continue to follow the trend and buy more.
Judging from the current gold trend, today we still focus on the short-term suppression of 3245-3250, and the short-term support of 3200-3206, with a focus on the support of 3188-90. Don't chase the current high position. The daily level reversal and negative closing may occur at any time.
Gold operation strategy:
If gold falls back to 3200-06 and does not break, you can buy more. If it falls back to 3188-90, you can add more positions, stop loss at 3178, target 3248-3250, and continue to hold if it breaks;
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Good day to have away from the markets as nothing has really happened on Gold since the London session. We did say support 3210 needs to break, and it's given numerous opportunities to take the red box trades, apart from that nothing exciting compared to recent PA.
We have a slight break here with resistance 3230 above which is likely, we want to see if they can break through and attempt that 3250-55 region shown on the chart. We're accumulating so we can expect a breakout, lets see how that level reacts if it gets there.
Not much more to report on.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD Daily Analysis📈 XAUUSD Daily Analysis – 12/04/2025
🔥 Strong bullish move after a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) and liquidity grab below the Previous Daily Low.
📉 A significant Fair Value Gap (FVG) remains between 3,100,000 and 3,175,000 – a potential pullback zone.
📍 Price could revisit this FVG before continuing the bullish momentum towards 3,300,000+.
🔹 PDL = Previous Daily Low
🔴 BAG = Breakaway Gap
🧠 Patience is key – wait for price reaction in the zone of interest.
📌 For educational purposes only – not financial advice.
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments ⬇️
🔁 Like if you found this helpful!
Gold fluctuates at a high level, how to choose the direction?This week, the gold market showed a high range oscillation pattern. After opening at 3210 on Monday, it quickly rose to the historical high of 3245, but the daily line closed with a negative cross needle, indicating that the long-short game intensified. The gold price fluctuated and fell in the Asian and NY periods. Although the NY period showed a short-term illusion of a high rise, it failed to break through 3227 and plunged to 3193 under pressure. The rebound in the late trading recovered some of the lost ground.
The current price of gold is running in the range of 3245-3193, and it continued to consolidate in a narrow range at 3215 today. It is worth noting that the market generally expects the unilateral 100-point market last week to reappear, but ignores the characteristics of this week's oscillation and energy storage. Blindly chasing ups and downs is easy to fall into passivity. From the technical form, the upper 3237-3245 constitutes a strong resistance zone, and the lower 3193-3188 forms a key support. It is recommended that everyone maintain the thinking of range operation, rely on support and resistance to choose the opportunity to buy low and sell high, and wait patiently for the market to clarify the direction before making trend layout.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go short at rebound 3225-3230, SL: 3237, TP: 3200-3190.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go long at callback 3190-3185, SL: 3177, TP: 3210-3220.
GOLD All Key Levels! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in a MASSIVE
Uptrend and the slope of the
Price increase is getting steeper
And steeper which begs a question
Of how sustainable is this growth
In the future, however we are
Still bullish biased as the turmoil
In the markets makes makes Gold
Particularly attractive as a safe
Haven asset and so the next
Target seems to be a strong
Psychological level of 3300$
Buy!
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Gold is risingHello Dear Traders Eric Is Here !! Here Is My predictions About Gold Kindly Check And Share your ideas About it.
XAUUSD (Gold) Currently Running Near 3210-08 i Expect If Gold Breaks Resistance OF 3230-32 Price Will Move to 3270-68 , 3191 is Strong Support of The Week If Gold Breaks it we will Stop The Bullish .
Key Points Are Given:
Support Area 3191
Resistance Area 3230
Target Point 3268-70
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Xau/usd..1H Chart Pattren..It looks like you're sharing a trading idea for XAUUSD (gold), analyzing its recent price action and key technical indicators. Here's a summary and clarification of the key points:
Trend Analysis: Gold has risen following Trump's softened stance on tariffs, and is currently approaching a resistance level at 3115.
Technical Indicators:
The 50-period moving average (50-MA) has crossed above the 100-period moving average (100-MA), suggesting a potential bullish signal.
The MACD histogram is below the signal line, which indicates some bearish momentum or a weakening bullish trend.
Trade Setup:
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above 3115, gold may continue higher to the next resistance around 3160.
Bearish Scenario: If the price drops below the trendline, it could signal a decline toward 3075.
Seems like you're positioning for a breakout or breakdown scenario. The mixed sentiment (based on the MACD and moving averages) suggests traders should be cautious and wait for confirmation before entering.
If you have any further analysis or need more specific advice, feel free to ask!
XAUUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my XAUUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Will the explosive gold rally continue?Today's international gold is still experiencing large fluctuations under the influence of tariffs. From the sharp rise on Wednesday, we can see that the risk aversion sentiment for gold has heated up again. The current highest is 3130, which is the first target point for the rise. If it continues to rise, it can reach 3150. Therefore, there is still a lot of room above. Everyone should pay attention to trading in line with the trend as much as possible.
From a technical perspective, a towering positive line on the daily line directly changed the extremely weak adjustment state in the previous period. Now the positive line breaks through the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, pulling up the moving average and increasing the volume. Then, gold has entered an extremely strong state of bullish trend. Under this state, it will continue to rise to the previous high of 3150. Therefore, the main direction today is definitely bullish.
The Bollinger Bands in the current 4-hour cycle have just opened, and the unilateral trend has just emerged from the first wave of strength. It is not a big problem for the next wave to rise to the high point of the daily cycle. Therefore, as long as the 4-hour cycle falls back to the support of the unilateral moving average, it is an opportunity to go long. The lower support is around 3070, and the rise of the hourly cycle is around 3060.
Investment strategy: Gold more than 3100, stop loss 3090, target 3150
XAUUSD Rejection from Support Reversal Expected Gold AnalysisGold Reaches Major Sell Zone High Probability Reversal Area
Price has now tapped into a strong sell zone that aligns with previous supply levels and key resistance on the higher timeframe This area has historically triggered significant bearish reactions making it a potential turning point for price action
Gold Ideas ahead of CPI on April 10thCurrently, Gold is at 3082, with a mix of uncertainty ahead of tomorrow's CPI release. The market is in a wait-and-see mode as traders position ahead of the data, which could drive volatility. With the macro context in mind, we’ll be focusing on key support and resistance levels, aiming to capture price action based on SMC &more.
🔻 Sell Zone #1 – Intraday Fade
📍 Sell (confirmation only): 3,095 – 3,108
📉 SL: 3,110
🎯 TP1: 3,080
🎯 TP2: 3,060
🎯 TP3: 3,040
⚠️ Tip: Move SL to breakeven when TP1 hits fast
🔺 Sell Zone #2 – Double Tap and Dump
📍 Entry: 3,125 – 3,139 (Ideal: 3,135 – 3,139)
📉 SL: 3,145
🎯 TP1: 3,105
🎯 TP2: 3,080
🎯 TP3: 3,055
⚠️ Tip: Use only with clear rejection (M5/M15 M-pattern or bearish engulfing)
🟢 Buy Scenario 1 – “Reclaim Retest”
📍 Entry: 3,066 – 3,068.50
📉 SL: 3,062
🎯 TP1: 3,089
🎯 TP2: 3,113
🎯 TP3: 3,127
🧠 Trigger: M1/M5 CHoCH or Bullish Engulfing
📌 Confluence: M5 Order Block + Fair Value Gap (Discount Zone)
🟩 Buy Zone – Deep Value Pullback (Fresh Setup)
📍 Entry: 3,035 – 3,040
📉 SL: 3,025
🎯 TP1: 3,080
🎯 TP2: 3,095
🎯 TP3: 3,110
⚠️ Tip: Wait for strong bullish reaction (M5/M15)
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
📣 If this strategy sparked clarity, hit that like button and follow. 💛
THE KOG REPORT - Update End of day update form us here at KOG:
Yesterday we shared the idea from Friday where we said we would stick with the plan as our trades we in and protected after being managed. We said, if we break below we'll wait lower again to target that region above 3050-55 which was achieved with that move we saw on the open, however, after the undercut low.
Today we've taken a long again into the resistance level and then the indi's went crazy for the short on the red boxes which we gladly obliged to. A fantastic start to the week with Excalibur hitting on the nose down to where we are now.
We now have resistance 2977-80 with support below 2945-50. We would like to see how we close, but a dip down overnight could give traders an opportunity to capture the long trade into the higher resistance.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD AHEAD OF FOMC & INFLATION RATE!Gold made over 2.58% increase today after a massive drop in price from ATH price of $3150. What next do we expect from the Market Ahead of this two major fundamental report ?
Technical , I believe that gold will fall back to a recent H4 support level of $3006 considering a fast decline in prices in H4 timeframe. A sell opportunity is envisaged
Gold Market Analysis: Key Levels to WatchGold Market Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Gold is currently in a highly overbought state. Since April 10th, its price has surged past a strong resistance level, climbing up to 3245.
The price could now make a minor correction before continuing its rise, or a deeper pullback before resuming its upward trend. Let's examine two possible scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
If gold rises above 3245, it could aim for higher targets at 3284 and 3300.
Bearish Scenario:
If gold drops below 3206, a bearish trend may unfold, with potential declines to 3167 and 3128. Both levels should be closely monitored, as a rebound from these areas could lead to a stronger upward wave. In particular, 3167 seems to be a solid support level with a higher chance of reversing the downward trend.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
HelenP. I Gold may continue to fall and break support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After failing to hold above the resistance zone between 3140 and 3155 points, Gold made a sharp reversal. The strong bearish reaction from this area marked the end of the previous bullish momentum and triggered an aggressive sell-off. That move broke several minor support levels and pushed the price all the way down to the current support zone between 3010 and 2990 points. Previously, Gold had shown a stable uptrend, consistently bouncing from the trend line and using it as a dynamic support. Each pullback was met with buying pressure, allowing the price to climb higher. However, this time, after reaching the 3140 resistance level, buyers were overwhelmed by strong selling activity. Currently, Gold is trading just above the key support zone and close to the trend line. This area has acted as a pivot level multiple times, but the latest price action shows hesitation from buyers and growing control from sellers. Given the recent sharp decline, the break from the resistance zone, and the pressure near the current support, I expect Gold to continue falling toward 2960 points — my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️