GOLD (XAUUSD): Bearish Move From Resistance Confirmed
Gold tested a significant confluence cluster on a daily time frame
that is based on a rising trend line and a horizontal resistance.
A double top formation on that on an hourly time frame indicates
a highly probable retracement from that.
Goal - 3378.5
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XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold price continues to decrease, keep the rate unchanged✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 07/28/2025 - 08/1/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) looks set to close the week lower, pressured by upbeat U.S. economic data and progress in trade negotiations, which have reduced demand for safe-haven assets. Despite declining U.S. Treasury yields, the U.S. Dollar regained some ground. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,336, down nearly 1%.
Looking ahead, the Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% for the fifth time this year. Recent data supports this stance, with Initial Jobless Claims falling for the fourth straight week—signaling a resilient labor market—while Friday’s sharp drop in Durable Goods Orders, driven by weaker aircraft demand, adds a mixed tone to the outlook.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices continue to fall as interest rates remain unchanged almost this week. Along with the H4 time frame, prices continue to break important support and continue to follow a downward trend.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3350, $3428
Support: $3312, $3280, $3246
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold 8H Bullish Reversal Setup After Channel Break. Gold/USD 8H Chart Analysis:
Price has broken below an ascending channel, indicating potential short-term weakness. However, a bullish reversal setup is marked, with a suggested buy zone near current levels (~3339), targeting the 3428–3459 USD range. Stop loss placed below 3310 for risk management.
HelenP I. Gold, after small correction, can continue to move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart, the dominant feature is a strong, sustained bullish trend defined by a major ascending trend line that has repeatedly served as a reliable foundation for the price, confirming that buyers currently maintain firm control. At present, the price action is consolidating above a crucial horizontal pivot area, the support zone between 3385 and 3400. The significance of this zone is high, as it's a classic polarity point where previous resistance has flipped to become support, suggesting a concentration of buying interest. My core analysis hinges on the scenario of a brief, healthy corrective move down to retest this support zone. I believe this retest is a key market dynamic to confirm buyers' commitment. If the price dips into the 3385-3400 area and is met with a decisive rejection of lower prices, it would provide a powerful signal that the underlying bullish sentiment remains fully intact. A successful defense of this zone would be the primary trigger, creating the momentum for the next upward leg. Therefore, I have set the primary goal for this move at the 3460 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️
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Gold remains in a bearish trendGold followed our previous analysis closely, rejecting from the strong resistance level at $3430, confirming bearish momentum. This rejection has opened the door for a potential move toward the 3400 level, and further downside is likely.
Gold remains in a bearish trend. A temporary pause or minor consolidation may occur, but the overall direction remains to the downside. This week, markets are watching the outcome of the ES–US agreement closely. If a resolution is reached, it could strengthen the USD and increase risk appetite—potentially pushing gold even lower.
We expect gold to remain under pressure unless major market sentiment shifts. A break below 3400 could accelerate the drop toward 3322.
You May find more details in the chart.
Ps Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks.
Is the gold correction over?✏️Yesterday's D1 candle closed above the Breakout 3363 zone. This shows that the buyers in the US session are still strong. There is a possibility of a liquidity sweep in the Tokyo and London sessions, then in the New York session, Gold will recover and increase again. The uptrend is really broken when Gold confirms a close below 3345. In this case, we have to wait for 3320 to confirm the BUY point. The gold uptrend at this time also needs new momentum to be able to move towards ATH 3500.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 3345-3320
Resistance: 3373-3418
Buy zone: 3345 (bullish wave structure maintained); BUY DCA break 3373
Buy zone: 3320 (Strong support zone)
Target: 3417
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
GOLD Price Can rise catch the ResistanceGold is currently showing strong underlying momentum, although it is undergoing a short-term correction from the 3400 level. This pullback appears to be driven by profit-taking ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming speech, as well as uncertainty around U.S. trade negotiations with the EU and Japan expected to conclude before August 1.
Resistance Levels: 3420 / 3440
Immediate Support: 3375
A false breakout below resistance could result in a retest of 3375 before resuming upward momentum.
You can see more details in the chart.
Ps support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks.
XAUUSD Weekly July 2025 28 July - 1 Aug🧭 MARKET STRUCTURE OVERVIEW – H4
1. Major Trend: Bullish
The overall trend remains bullish, with multiple Bullish Breaks of Structure (BOS) recorded during the upward move since early July.
A strong CHoCH followed by a solid Bullish BOS on H4 after the early July breakout confirms strong buyer intent.
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2. Bearish BOS?
You're absolutely right — there are no significant Bearish BOS on H4 after the recent rally.
The current downward movement appears to be a retracement, not a structural break. No confirmation of bearish market structure yet.
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🔵 CURRENT ZONE: H4 OB BUY (Active POI)
Price is currently rejecting from the H4 OB BUY zone, which aligns with the ascending trendline confluence.
If the H4 candle closes with a strong rejection (e.g. bullish engulfing or pinbar), this would confirm a potential buy entry for the next bullish leg.
This OB BUY is the main POI for next week and represents a:
✅ Buy from Discount
✅ Entry in Uptrend Structure
✅ Confluence of OB + POI + Momentum
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🟥 FVG & TP Structure
1. TP1 / Scaling Zone:
H4 Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 3368–3380 can serve as the first target.
2. Final TP / ATH Zone:
Upper FVG (3420+) near a previous POI could act as the final target or a potential ATH test zone if buyers push higher.
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🚀 TRADING PLAN – NEXT WEEK (Still Valid)
✅ Structure is still bullish
✅ Current drop is a retracement to OB BUY
✅ No valid Bearish BOS detected
✅ Current POI + OB BUY zone = prime entry level
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📌 ENTRY STRATEGY
Entry: Buy within the OB BUY H4 zone (around 3320–3340)
Confirmation: Wait for a strong H4 rejection candle
Stop Loss: Below OB H4 (~3310, or adjust to lower OB zone)
TP1: 3368–3380 (FVG zone)
TP2: 3420+ (Upper FVG / POI / ATH zone)
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⚠️ Additional Notes
If price breaks below OB BUY H4 with a strong bearish candle, this setup becomes invalid.
Then, we shift focus to lower OB zones (3280 / 3250).
Be cautious of high-impact news (FOMC/NFP?) – price may spike before confirming direction.
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🔥 FINAL VERDICT:
✅ Plan is highly valid
❌ No strong bearish structure in place
🔒 Current POI is a key sniper entry zone
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3397 (Wave 3).Dear colleagues, my previous forecast remains valid, but I have decided to update it.
At the moment, I still think that wave “3” of the medium order continues its upward movement.
At the moment, I think that the small correction in wave “2” is ending and we will see a continuation of the trend. I see the resistance area of 3397.94 as the target. The main thing is to overcome the local level of the small wave “1” at 3366.37.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
"Gold Price Reversal Setup: Targeting Bullish Recovery After BOSThis 1-hour gold (XAU/USD) chart shows a potential bullish setup. After a Break of Structure (BOS) and a drop into a support level, price may rebound through the Fair Value Gap (FVG) toward the target zone around 3,431.42–3,436.92. The dotted line outlines a projected bullish move.
Step-By-Step Guide to Building a Winning Gold Trading Strategy
In the today's article, I will teach you how to create your first profitable gold trading strategy from scratch.
Step 1: Choose the type of analysis
The type of analysis defines your view on the market.
With technical analysis you rely on patterns, statistical data, technical indicators, etc. for making trading decisions.
Fundamental analysis focuses on factors that drive the prices of gold such as micro and macroeconomics, news and geopolitics.
A combination of technical and fundamental analysis implies the application of both methods.
For the sake of the example, we will choose pure technical approach.
Step 2: Specify the area of analysis
Technical and fundamental analysis are complex and multilayered subjects. That is why it is crucially important to choose the exact concepts and techniques that you will apply in gold trading.
For example, with a technical analysis, you can trade harmonic patterns, or apply a combination of key levels and technical indicators.
With fundamental analysis, you can build your trading strategy around trading the economic calendar or important news releases.
Here we will choose support & resistance levels and smart money concepts.
Step 3: Select a trading time frame
Your trading time frame will define your trading style. Focusing on hourly time frame, for example, you will primarily catch the intraday moves, while a daily time frame analysis will help you to spot the swing moves.
You can also apply the combination of several time frames.
We will choose the combination of a daily and an hourly time frames.
Step 4: Define your trading zones
By a trading zone, I mean an area or a level on a price chart from where you will look for trading opportunities.
For example, a technical indicator trader may apply moving average as the trading point.
For the sake of the example, we will choose support and resistance levels on a daily time frame as our trading areas.
Step 5: Choose confirmations
Confirmation is your entry reason . It is the set of conditions that indicates a highly probable projected outcome.
For an economic calendar traders, the increasing CPI (inflation) figures can be a solid reason to open a long position on Gold.
Our confirmation will be a local change of character on an hourly time frame.
Step 6: Define your stop loss placement, entry and target selection and desired reward to risk ratio
You should know exactly where should be your entry point, where will be your stop loss and where should be the target.
We will open a trading position immediately after a confirmed change of character, stop loss will lie below the lows if we buy or above the highs if we sell.
Target will be the next daily structure.
Minimal reward to risk ration should be 1.5.
Step 7: Define Your Lot Size and Risk Per Trade
You should have precise rules for the calculation of a lot size for each trade.
For our example, we will strictly risk 1% of our trading deposit per trade.
Step 8: Set trade management rules
When the trade is active, trade management rules define your action:
for example, whether you strictly wait for tp or sl, or you apply a trailing stop loss.
In our strategy, we will move stop loss to entry 10 minutes ahead of the release of the US news in the economic calendar.
Step 9: Back test your strategy
Study the historical data and back test at least 50 trading setups that meet your strategy criteria.
Make sure that the strategy has a positive win rate.
Step 10: Try a trading strategy on a demo account
Spend at least a month on demo account and make sure that you obtain positive overall results.
If you see consistent profits on a demo account, it is the signal for you that your strategy is ready , and it's time to start trading on a real account.
In case of negative results, modify your trading conditions and back test them again, or build a new strategy from scratch.
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XAUUSD ANALYSIS – JULY 18XAUUSD ANALYSIS – JULY 18: STRATEGY BASED ON FIBONACCI, TRENDLINE & STRUCTURE
1. XAUUSD Technical Overview (4H Chart)
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3,343 USD, showing signs of a slight rebound from key support. On the 4H timeframe, the price structure is forming higher lows, maintaining above a short-term rising trendline – a technically bullish signal.
2. Key Support & Resistance Zones
Immediate Supports:
3,338 USD: aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement – a zone tested multiple times.
3,333 – 3,335 USD: strong support, overlapping with EMA and rising trendline.
3,327 USD: previous swing low – last defense for the bullish structure.
Immediate Resistances:
3,345 – 3,346 USD: frequently rejected zone in recent sessions.
3,350 USD: psychological and technical resistance.
3,358 USD: recent swing high – breakout confirmation level.
3. Price Action & Fibonacci Confluence
Price is currently hovering between Fibo 0.5 (3,343 USD) and Fibo 0.618 (3,338 USD) – a potential bounce zone if bullish momentum holds.
The pullback from 3,358 to 3,286 has respected standard Fibonacci retracement levels, confirming technical price behavior.
4. Trendline Analysis
The ascending trendline from the 3,275 USD low remains intact, providing solid dynamic support.
If the price continues to bounce from this trendline, it may form a bullish continuation pattern (flag/pennant).
5. Suggested Trading Strategies
Long
Entry: 3,338 – 3,340 USD
SL: 3,327 USD
TP: 3,345 – 3,350 – 3,358 USD
Note: Buying the dip near Fib & trendline
Short
Entry: Below 3,327 USD (breakdown)
SL: Above 3,340 USD
TP: 3,310 – 3,298 USD
Notes: Only if price breaks trendline & support
6. Supporting Technical Indicators
EMA20/EMA50 show slight upward momentum – early bullish bias.
RSI (14) hovers near 50 – neutral zone, awaiting breakout confirmation.
Conclusion:
Gold is consolidating around a critical support zone. The short-term bias leans bullish if the 3,338 – 3,333 USD region holds and price breaks above 3,346 – 3,350 USD.
This is a key moment to position early using Fibonacci and trendline confluence.
👉 Follow for more strategies in upcoming sessions. Save this if you find it useful!
Do you have a different view? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
XAUUSD Forming descending ChannelXAUUSD Gold has just broken out of a descending wedge formation and is now building bullish momentum. The daily chart shows a clear breakout above the upper channel line, confirming that buyers have taken control. Across the 4‑hour and daily charts, price is holding above key moving averages (20/50/100) and recently formed a bullish hammer—classic signals of fresh upside potential. A fib retracement off the wedge low would likely find support around $3,300–3,320, which already held strong. With immediate resistance in the $3,342–3,350 range, I'm expecting a firm push toward the $3,400 zone next, positioning for a possible continuation to $3,450+.
Fundamentals continue to steer price in our favor. In Q3 2025, gold remains elevated as the U.S. dollar loses steam and rate‑cut expectations rise. The market is pricing in a possible Fed move as early as next month, while tariff and trade uncertainty continues to dominate headlines. Central bank gold purchases remain strong, and investors are seeking safe‑haven shelter amid economic jitters—supporting gold’s role as a defensive asset. With YTD gains nearing 26%, momentum remains firmly bullish.
Looking ahead over the next couple of weeks, the risk/reward remains favorable. If gold holds above the $3,330–3,340 zone, we can remain bullish toward targets $3,400–$3,450. A dip toward that zone would present an attractive long entry, reinforcing our position. However, a breakdown below $3,300 would warrant caution and could introduce a deeper correction.
Given current technicals, fundamentals, and macro backdrop, this setup offers a strong opportunity. With proper risk management and support confirmation, another significant bullish leg toward $3,450–$3,500 is well within reach. Have a profitable trade.
Xauusd Analysis is Ready technical analysis of XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs. US Dollar) on the 15-minute timeframe using support and resistance levels, with projected price movements annotated.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: Around 3350 USD (labeled as "Support 3350")
Resistance Zones:
Minor resistance: Around 3380.18 USD
Major resistance: Around 3390.77 USD
Target: 3390 USD, highlighted as the ultimate bullish goal.
Current Price:
Price at the time of analysis: ~3368.30 USD
Analysis Summary:
1. Support Retest Scenario:
Price may pull back to the 3350 support zone.
If this support holds, a bullish reversal is expected.
The anticipated move is a rebound back toward the resistance zone at 3380, and possibly to the target at 3390.
2. Immediate Bullish Continuation:
Alternatively, price could continue upwards from the current level without revisiting support.
Resistance around 3380 may act as a minor barrier.
If broken, the price could reach the target at 3390.
3. Bearish Risk:
If 3350 fails to hold as support, further downside may occur, invalidating the bullish setup.
Strategy Implication:
Buy positions could be considered on a successful retest and bounce at 3350.
Take-profits might be set near 3380 and 3390.
Traders should watch for price action confirmation at key levels before entering trades.
This is a classic support-resistance trading setup with short-term bullish bias aiming for a breakout toward higher resistance levels
Gold surges! Gold prices soar!Market news:
In the early Asian session on Wednesday (July 23), spot gold fell slightly and is currently trading around $3,422/oz. Supported by the increasing uncertainty in global trade, the downward trend in U.S. Treasury yields and the weakening of the U.S. dollar, spot gold rose strongly, hitting a five-week high. The market's tension over the August 1 deadline for the implementation of U.S. President Trump's tariffs has intensified, driving safe-haven funds to continue to flow into the international gold market. Investors are focusing on the progress of the U.S. multilateral trade negotiations and the new round of tariffs that the Trump administration is about to launch: while the demand for safe-haven assets has increased, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has fallen to a two-week low, further enhancing the attractiveness of non-interest-bearing gold. The global economic slowdown, expectations of loose monetary policy and geopolitical risks will continue to support gold's status as a safe-haven asset. Looking ahead to the market this week, the market focuses on: the Fed's FOMC policy meeting will be held next week. Although the meeting is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, investors have begun to bet on the possibility of a rate cut in October; Fed Vice Chairman Bowman reiterated on Tuesday that the central bank should maintain policy independence, and Powell's upcoming policy meeting may release further signals; in terms of inflation, as signs of tariff costs being transmitted to consumer goods emerge, Powell has previously warned that inflation may accelerate again in the summer.
Technical Review:
Gold maintained its expected bulls and hit a new high yesterday. The daily line maintained a long-term structure of consecutive positive bulls. The MA10/7-day moving average opened upward, and the RSI indicator ran above the central axis. The Bollinger Bands of the hourly and four-hour charts opened upward, the price maintained the middle and upper track channel, and the moving average system opened upward. The idea of gold trading remains unchanged, and the layout is mainly based on buying at a low price and selling at a high price. After a sharp rise last night, gold began to fluctuate at a high level in the second half of the night, and the adjustment was very small, which means that the market is still the strong market. The recent pattern of gold price fluctuations and rises remains. Since it is fluctuating upward, the overall trend of gold today is still biased towards buying, but we need to be alert to the risk of short-term corrections. It is recommended to arrange buy orders based on technical support levels, and pay attention to trade policies and the Fed's trends!
Today's analysis:
Gold buying has been as strong as a rainbow in the past two days, and it is also a buying carnival. Gold is now buying strongly and the momentum is winning. Once the trend is formed, it is necessary to follow the trend. Now the trend of gold buying is very obvious, constantly refreshing the recent highs, so continue to buy gold to the end, and continue to buy if it rises. Continue to buy if it falls during the day!
The gold 1-hour moving average continues to form a golden cross upward buying arrangement. The gold buying power is still there, and gold continues to exert its strength. Gold has risen step by step in the past two days. As long as there is no sharp decline, it is accumulating momentum to attack. The gold support continues to move up. Now it has broken through and stabilized at the 3400 line. If gold falls back to 3400, it can still be bought at low prices.
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3400-3403 buy, stop loss 3392, target 3420-3440;
Short-term gold 3438-3441 sell, stop loss 3450, target 3400-3380;
Key points:
First support level: 3412, second support level: 3403, third support level: 3390
First resistance level: 3438, second resistance level: 3450, third resistance level: 3468
GOLD → Retest of consolidation resistance. Chances of a breakoutFX:XAUUSD bounces off support at 3312, forming a false breakdown at 3320. The price is heading towards consolidation resistance. The chances of continued growth are increasing...
Gold rebounded from its low amid statements by Fed member Waller about a possible rate cut in July. However, strong US sales and labor market data strengthened the dollar and held back XAU/USD growth. Despite statements by some Fed members about maintaining a tight policy, traders continue to expect rate cuts before the end of the year. The focus is on new economic data that could affect the dollar and gold prices.
Technically, consolidation is narrowing, which could lead to distribution. Gold is feeling market support, and after retesting resistance at 3365, we need to watch the price reaction to the level. A pullback and quick retest could increase the chances of a breakout and growth to 3400.
Resistance levels: 3365, 3375
Support levels: 3332, 3320, 3312
There is a high probability that there will be an attempt to break through the consolidation resistance amid expectations of a rate cut. This phase may be accompanied by either a correction to retest and return for a breakout, or a breakout and consolidation of the price above the level. Today, Friday, I expect a retest and correction, as there may not be enough local potential for a breakout of this level, and the price has already lost some of its momentum since the opening of the session...
Best regards, Linda!
Gold bullish run continuation supported at 3308The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3308 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3308 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3387 – initial resistance
3400 – psychological and structural level
3435 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3308 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3290 – minor support
3268 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3308. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold safe-haven retreat? It will continue to rise!
Why did gold return to 3,400? Reasons explained!
1 As investors continue to focus on US President Trump's August 1 tariff deadline, trade uncertainty and weaker US Treasury yields have pushed gold prices to a five-week high. At the same time, trade uncertainty is also triggering some safe-haven demand.
2 At the same time, investors are also preparing for the Federal Reserve meeting next week. Although the Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, the market expects that the Fed may cut interest rates in October. Gold is traditionally seen as a hedge tool in uncertain times and tends to perform well in a low-interest rate environment.
Views on today's gold trend!
After two consecutive days of rising this week, the sentiment of gold bulls has basically been ignited. There has been basically no obvious retracement in the past few days. Either it is a slow rise in a row, or it is a direct acceleration of the rise after sideways fluctuations. After the first wave of highs at the opening today, the market is still at a rising node!
The watershed of the retracement on the hourly chart is still the break point of 3403, but it is too far from our current position to enter the market at this position. In addition, the current continuous rise of gold and the turning of the moving average have made the market bulls more aggressive, which means that the previous short-term downward trend has ended. The point of today's retracement layout can focus on the vicinity of 3412!
Gold: Long near 3411, defend below 3403, and target 3440-50!
XAUUSD 2H | Smart Money Buy from Strong DemandXAUUSD 2H | Support Rejection with Upside Targets 🎯
Price respected the key support zone and is now showing bullish momentum. Two clear target levels are marked above. Ideal buy opportunity after rejection confirmation from demand zone. Watch for clean continuation toward 3370 and 3390.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #Forex #PriceAction #BuySetup