Rebound and short selling is still the main themeGold can be said to have fluctuated in a large range today, but the overall trend is more towards the short side. Although gold rose at the opening on Monday, it suddenly made a 360-degree turn at the 3250 line, which made those who were chasing the long position suddenly confused. We went short directly at the 3244 line and also went short near 3247 in the afternoon, and all of them made perfect profits. We have also analyzed gold. The pressure from above is relatively large, and the space above is relatively limited. On the contrary, the space below is relatively large, and rebound shorting is still the current short-term trend!
From the analysis of the 4-hour line, the support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 3170-75, the strong support is at the 3150 mark, and the pressure above is around 3253-60. The overall support range is to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Gold rebounds to 3243-50 line short, rebounds to 3255-60 line to cover short, stop loss 3266, target 3205-10 line, continue to hold if broken;
2. Gold falls back to 3170-75 line without breaking light position long, falls back to 3150-55 line to cover long, stop loss 3144, target 3226-3230 line, continue to hold if broken
XAUUSDK trade ideas
XAUUSD: The Ultimate Safe Haven Play! FOR THIS WEEK 12/05🏆 XAUUSD (Gold): The Ultimate Safe Haven Play!
📊 Live Market Snapshot (May 12, 2025)
- Current Price: $3,275
- Weekly Range: $3,201 - $3,455
- Key Liquidity Zones:
- Strong Support: $3,140-$3,145 (Best Buy Zone)
- Immediate Resistance: $3,335 (TP1)
- All-Time High: $3,500
💎 Why Gold Matters Now
1. Market Uncertainty: Perfect hedge against volatility
2. Technical Setup: Bouncing from weekly low of $3,201
3. Institutional Demand: Central banks accumulating
🎯 Trading Strategy
- Entry: $3,240-$3,245 zone
- Take Profit Levels:
→ $3,280
→ $3,330
→ $3,355
- Risk Management:
→ Stop Loss: $3,225
⚠️ Critical Notes
1. Watch USD strength (inverse correlation)
2. Monitor Fed policy decisions
3. Physical demand vs. paper gold flows
🔥 Key Indicators
1. Daily RSI: 52 (neutral)
2. 200-DMA: $3,180 (strong support)
3. Volume Profile: Key node at $3,250
📌 The Golden Opportunity
With global tensions rising, gold offers:
- Safe haven protection
- Inflation hedge
- Technical rebound potential
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📊 DYOR| Not financial advice 🖌️
Will gold surge or plummet today?Gold technicals: Gold closed with a long shadow and a medium-sized negative line last week. Today, it opened higher and returned to the opening point of 3252 last Friday and fell again. In the short term, it entered a period of repeated shocks and saws, and the 3200 integer mark was lost and regained. The daily line just stood firm on the 60-day moving average and went higher. The previous weakness has now turned into strength, which just closed the Bollinger Bands. Based on this, this week is expected to rise in strength or stand firm above the middle track of the Bollinger Bands.
Trading around 3200 at the beginning of the week⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) is staging a recovery from recent losses, trading around $3,230 per troy ounce during Monday’s Asian session, as investors seek refuge in safe-haven assets amid growing anxiety over the US economic outlook and fiscal sustainability.
The rebound comes on the heels of Moody’s decision to downgrade the US credit rating by one notch, from Aaa to Aa1, citing mounting debt and a rising burden from interest payments. This follows earlier downgrades by Fitch in 2023 and S&P in 2011. Moody’s now projects US federal debt to surge to roughly 134% of GDP by 2035, up from 98% in 2023, driven by ballooning debt-servicing costs, expanding entitlement programs, and weakening tax revenues—all of which have intensified investor concerns and lent fresh support to gold prices.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold traded around 3200 at the beginning of the week, not much news impact, continue sideways
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3259- 3261 SL 3266
TP1: $3250
TP2: $3240
TP3: $3230
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3192 - $3190 SL $3185
TP1: $3200
TP2: $3210
TP3: $3220
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
recovery, gold price traded above 3300 mark⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Beth Hammack of the Cleveland Federal Reserve emphasized that current U.S. government policies have made it increasingly challenging for the Fed to steer the economy effectively and fulfill its dual mandate of price stability and full employment. She also warned that the risk of a stagflationary environment—marked by stagnant growth and persistent inflation—is on the rise. In contrast, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem recently argued that the current monetary policy stance remains appropriately calibrated.
Despite elevated U.S. Treasury yields, gold has struggled to gain traction, suggesting that higher yields alone are not enough to drive safe-haven demand under current conditions.
However, global monetary easing could provide a tailwind for the precious metal. In the latest moves during the Asian session, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) cut its benchmark rate, followed by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which unexpectedly reduced its Cash Rate from 4.10% to 3.85%—actions that typically support non-yielding assets like gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices recover due to military instability in the Middle East, growth momentum above 3300
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3354- 3356 SL 3361
TP1: $3345
TP2: $3332
TP3: $3320
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3252 - $3250 SL $3245
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3270
TP3: $3280
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD Gold prices are dropping in mid-May 2025 primarily due to easing geopolitical and trade tensions, which has reduced safe-haven demand and triggered a shift in investor sentiment:
Easing U.S.-China Trade Tensions: The United States and China have agreed to significantly lower tariffs and implemented a 90-day pause to finalize a broader trade agreement. This breakthrough has boosted global risk appetite, leading investors to move out of safe-haven assets like gold and into riskier assets such as equities. Major stock indexes have rallied on this optimism, further weakening gold’s appeal.
Reduced Geopolitical Risks: Optimism about a potential resolution to the Russia-Ukraine conflict has also contributed to the decline. Announcements of high-level diplomatic meetings between Russia and Ukraine have encouraged hopes for peace, further reducing the need for gold as a geopolitical hedge.
Technical Correction: Gold had recently surged to an all-time high of $3,500 per ounce, entering overbought territory. The current drop reflects a technical correction, with profit-taking and liquidation by futures traders accelerating the decline as key support levels were broken.
Stronger U.S. Dollar and Yields: A stronger U.S. dollar-buoyed by improved economic data and the completion of a technical bullish pattern in the USD Index-has also pressured gold lower. Rising U.S. Treasury yields, following a better-than-expected U.S. jobs report, increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, further weighing on prices.
In summary:
Gold prices are falling because improved trade and geopolitical conditions have reduced safe-haven demand, while technical selling and a stronger dollar amplify the decline. The market is experiencing a correction after recent record highs, but long-term structural drivers for gold remain intact.
GOLD consolidated below a key level on FridayGold is in a downtrend forming a counter-trend correction. Friday's trading session closes below the key level of 3203-3205. Buyers are weaker than sellers.
But, before the continuation of the fall MM is quite likely to test the resistance to provoke ordinary buyers before the fall
Scenario: the growth attempt may turn out to be false. A retest of 3203 resistance, a false breakout and price consolidation below 3203 is a sell signal.
Additional scenario: MM trap to provoke buyers to buy. A retest of the far resistance 3230, a false breakout and a price fixing below 3223 could start a decline
Key Rejection Zone Approaching – Bearish Setup in PlayChart Summary:
Asset: Unspecified (USD-based)
Timeframe: Short-term (likely 1H or 4H)
Indicators:
EMA 50 (red): 3,245.772
EMA 200 (blue): 3,223.635
Key Zones:
Resistance Zone (Red box): ~3,310–3,360
Target/Support Zone (Red box): ~3,110–3,160
Mid Support Zone (Blue box): ~3,200–3,230
Trendline: Downward sloping resistance connecting major highs
---
Technical Breakdown:
Trend Analysis:
Primary Trend: Bearish ⬇️
Confirmed by the downtrend line (black) which has been respected multiple times (3 clear touches).
Current Price: 3,290.090
Price is approaching a key confluence zone: resistance area + trendline.
This area has previously acted as strong supply.
Moving Averages:
EMA 50 > EMA 200: Minor bullish signal (Golden Cross), but price action is still below major resistance.
However, this cross may be a false signal if price gets rejected here.
---
Price Action:
Current Move: Strong bullish push toward resistance after rebounding from the target zone ✅
The resistance zone and trendline are likely to act as a rejection point unless broken decisively.
---
Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
If price fails to break above the resistance zone:
Expect a rejection and move back toward:
Blue mid-support: ~3,220
Target zone: ~3,130 (major demand area)
Confirmation: Bearish candlestick pattern or strong wick rejections near resistance.
🔵 Entry Idea: Short near 3,310–3,350
🎯 Target: 3,130 zone
✋ Stop-Loss: Above 3,360 (above trendline + resistance)
---
Bullish Scenario (Less Likely):
If price breaks above the resistance zone with strong volume:
Could signal trend reversal
Next target levels: ~3,400+
---
Conclusion:
Bias: Bearish near resistance zone
Key Level to Watch: 3,310–3,360 (critical for direction)
Trading Approach: Wait for confirmation, don't preemptively short without rejection signals.
XAUUSD-Elliott Wave TheoryCurrent price action is unfolding in a 5-wave bearish structure wave (1) of ((3)) with wave ((V)) of 3 in progress.
A corrective ABC structure completed near the CISD zone.
Wave 3 extends to the 3.618 Fibonacci projection (~3,148), with wave 5 targeting a support block near 3,120–3,130.
Anticipated short-term retracement for wave 4, followed by one more impulsive drop into demand.
Indicators:
RSI shows consistent bearish momentum with room for divergence
The recent gold short position has a perfect harvestIt can be said that the market of gold on Wednesday was mainly range-bound. After the US market, gold began to follow a unilateral decline pattern, with the lowest reaching the 3173 line. The current rebound of gold is not strong. On the rebound, we will focus on the 3206-3210 line for suppression at the top and 3154-3154 at the bottom. 3160 is a first-line support. The general trend is still mainly rebounding and shorting. We continue to rebound and take advantage of the trend to intervene in short orders and be a stable trader. I have always been here. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope that your investment can avoid detours. Welcome to communicate!
Judging from the 4-hour analysis, the upper side is currently focusing on the short-term suppression of the 3206-3210 first line. The counter-draw relies on this position to continue to go short first and then fall back. Before breaking through and standing at this position, the counter-draw main short-term rhythm will remain unchanged. The short-term support below is around 3154-3160, with interval operations as the main focus.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold rebounds and goes short at 3206-3210 line, stop loss at 3219, target 3160-3165 line, continue to hold if the position is broken;
XAUUSD – Bearish Structure Intact, Awaiting Key Reaction Zones Gold remains in a clear 1H downtrend. Late last week, price tapped into a 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a strong 4H order block, which triggered a solid reaction—an opportunity we capitalized on.
Now, we’re observing price behavior around the previous day's high and low to determine whether the bearish momentum will continue, or if a larger bullish leg may develop on the higher timeframe.
📌 Key Levels
🟢 Support: $3,120
🔴 Resistance Zones: $3,241 / $3,280
🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX
If this outlook aligns with your bias, or if you see it differently, feel free to share your perspective in the comments. Let’s grow together 📈
Gold Heist Blueprint: "XAU/USD" Short Setup!?Greetings, wealth snatchers and market bandits! 🤑💸
Welcome to the Thief Trading Style, where we combine slick technicals and crafty fundamentals to pull off the ultimate XAU/USD heist. This is our plan to raid the "Gold" market with a short entry, targeting the high-stakes GREEN MA Zone. Expect a risky, oversold setup with consolidation and a potential trend reversal—a trap where bullish robbers get outplayed. 💪🎯 Stick to the chart, execute with precision, and treat yourself to the spoils! 🍾
Why This Trade? 💰
XAU/USD is showing a neutral trend with a bearish tilt as of 18 May 2025, driven by:
📊Technicals: Price is testing a key support zone (~3120) after a breakout from a consolidation pattern on the 30-minute chart. Oversold RSI signals a potential reversal, with the Pink MA (50-period) acting as dynamic resistance.
📰Fundamentals: Recent COT reports indicate reduced speculative long positions, hinting at weakening bullish momentum. Quantitative analysis suggests gold’s correlation with USD strength is tightening, supporting a bearish outlook.
😇Sentiment: Intermarket analysis shows rising Treasury yields pressuring gold, while market sentiment leans cautious ahead of upcoming economic data releases.
💡Data Point: Gold’s average daily range (ADR) over the past 5 days is ~35 points, aligning with our target and stop-loss levels for a day/scalp trade.
Entry 📈: Set your trap at 3120 post-breakout.
Option 1: Place sell stop orders below the support breakout level (~3115) for confirmation.
Option 2: For pullback entries, set sell limit orders near the swing low/high on a 15/30-minute timeframe.
Pro Tip: Set an alert to catch the breakout in real-time. Don’t miss the heist! 🚨
Stop Loss 🛑: Protect your loot!
Place your stop loss above the nearest swing high (~3270) on the 30-minute chart for day/scalp trades.
Adjust based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of orders.
Note: If using sell stop orders, wait for breakout confirmation before setting your stop. Risk is yours—play it sharp! 🔥
Target 🎯: 3000 (120-point move, aligning with ADR and support zones).
Trading Alert 🚨:
News Risk: Upcoming economic releases (e.g., CPI, FOMC minutes) could spike volatility. Avoid new trades during high-impact news and use trailing stops to lock in profits.
Position Management: Scale out at key levels (e.g., 50% at 3060) to secure gains.
Join the Heist! 💥
Hit the Boost Button to power up our robbery squad. With the Thief Trading Style, we make markets bleed profits daily. 🏆 Stay sharp, follow the plan, and let’s stack those wins! Another heist is coming soon—keep your eyes peeled. 🐱👤💰
Check fundamentals, COT reports, and intermarket trends for deeper insights.
check linkkss..🔗
Happy thieving! 🤝🚀
AJA's Gold view This weekRight after gold hit it's all time high. ATH. Viewing from the daily timeframe, it created an inducement, which we've been waiting for, for a while now.
We've our inducement at 3,201. Right where my alert is set at. Hoping it takes it down to our breaker block right at 3,164 and 3144, where the buys can start coming in.
Major trend for gold is still Bullish, so we only wait for this correction to be over. Hopefully, with time, giving us a new all time time. ATH
Do comment what you think. Thank you.
Gold price bears want to take over the 3200 mark
💡Message Strategy
On Monday, the price repeatedly swept around the 3255-3200 range, repeatedly tested the pressure of 3250, confirmed the resistance and fell under pressure, confirmed the resistance and fell under pressure again, and repeated again and again
Today, the price also repeatedly confirmed the resistance and fell under pressure. This time the pressure is 3230-3232, and fell under pressure to find the 3200 area
The second rebound is at 3240, and it is currently below here
📊Technical aspects
1. The daily line is swept alternately by yin and yang, and is still in the range of 3290-3160 from the lifeline to the lower track.
2. The four-hour lifeline is exactly at 3200, and the pattern closes at 3265-3160. Pay attention to the lifeline to switch up and down.
3. Sweeping the double-line range in the short cycle, yesterday it was in the space of 3210-3250, the price repeatedly tested the double-line upper track (purple trend line) area, and finally fell under pressure
4. Sweep within the channel range. As shown in the figure, the price is in the range of 3250-3200, which is the existing channel range.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 3130-3155
Short Position:3230-3250
Hanzo / Gold 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🔥 GOLD – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
👌Bullish After Break Out : 3224
👌Bearish After Break Out : 3207
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer
Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase
Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
Gold: cooled by weaker tariffs tensionsAs US-China trade tensions calmed down after the successful negotiations, it supported the US Dollar and decreased the demand for gold on financial markets. Analysts are noting that this was the worst week for the price of gold since November last year. Certainly, it should be taken into account that the price of gold significantly gained from the start of this year, of around 30%, in which sense, a short term reversal could be expected at some point.
The price of gold had a significant drop at Monday's trading session, right after the US-China tariffs negotiations were settled. The gold dropped from the level of $3.323 down to $3.205. The rest of the week it was also traded with a negative trend, ending the week at the level of $3.202. Charts are showing that the price shortly reached the MA50 line at Friday's trading session. The RSI is moving around the level of 50, ending the week at the level of 46, indicating that investors are modestly eyeing the oversold market side. Despite the recent drop in the price, the MA50 is still diverging from MA200, without an indication that the potential cross and trend change is in store for gold in the coming period.
Short term reversal was expected, at least based on charts. The strong demand for gold, started due to uncertainty over the geopolitical and tariffs risks, was pushing the price of gold to ATHs. The settlement of these issues indicated that there might come to some relaxation in the price of gold, which occurred, during the last two weeks. Current charts are showing that there is a space for further relaxation in the coming period, only in case that there are no surprising fundamentals which might increase fear among investors. At this moment, the level of $3.150 might easily be the next target of gold. This would be the second testing of this level for the last two weeks. There is also some probability for the move toward the upside, but charts are not indicating a move higher from $3.300 level.
Gold Update – Bearish Structure Intact, 3165 in SightIn my Monday analysis, I mentioned the possibility of Gold retesting the 3200 zone, and that scenario played out as expected.
After breaking back below the 3270 support, price accelerated to the downside, reaching a low around 3208.
A rebound followed, with XAUUSD retesting the 3270 zone, which now acts as resistance after the breakdown.
Looking ahead, I expect a break below the 3200 level, with the next bearish target set around the 3165 support zone.
The plan remains unchanged:
As long as Gold stays below 3270, I’m looking to sell rallies into that resistance area. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD: Get Ready For The Third Target!GOLD: Get Ready For The Third Target!
Price just broke out also from a large pattern after accumulating clearly and finally confirmed a triangle pattern.
Overall it was not supported by any big news but this is gold:)
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you:)
Gold can correct to support line of channel and then start growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. In this chart, we can see how the price, after forming a triangle structure and breaking out to the upside, Gold entered a downward channel, where it has been consistently respecting both the resistance and support lines. Each bounce from the lower boundary of this channel signals local buyer interest, especially near the support level around 3060, which also overlaps with the buyer zone. Recently, the price rebounded from this support line, indicating a potential start of a bullish correction inside the channel. This move is consistent with past price behavior, strong impulses from the bottom boundary followed by gradual movement toward the upper resistance line. Given the structure and the ongoing bounce, I expect Gold can correct the support line of the channel, after which it turns around and starts to grow to the 3290 resistance level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the pattern and the beginning of the seller zone. That’s why my TP 1 is set at 3290 points - a reasonable technical target within the current channel formation. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.