XAU/USD: Gold will fall ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that on Friday, after the price rose to $3248, it once again faced a correction and eventually closed at $3326. I expect that with the market opening, we’ll see further correction from gold, and the first potential target will likely be the $3213–$3216 area.
The key demand zones are $3253–$3274 and the $3313 level.
The key supply zones are $3355–$3369 and $3395–$3408.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold - Follow The Macro Trend!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 GOLD has been overall bullish from a macro perspective trading within the rising wedge pattern in orange.
After rejecting the $3,500 round number and upper bound of the wedge, XAUUSD signaled the start of the correction phase as marked by the red falling channel.
Moreover, the $3,100 - $3,150 zone is a strong support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower orange trendline acting non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #XAUUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD Eiffel Tower M pattern now completeI have been posting gold charts since February 2024. Both Bullish and GTFO charts. See below.
This current setup has presented a great risk-reward setup.
1. GTFO still remains firmly in place.
2. The lower high M pattern could be setting up for a corrective bull flag for more upside.
If the Eiffel Tower plays out. You will not be involved.
If the corrective pattern plays out, you will have a clear, solid buy signal.
Click Boost, Follow and Subscribe for more updated data and info. Let's get to 5,000! ;))
(XAU/USD) Bearish Trade Setup – Targeting $3,222 with 1:6 Risk/REntry Point: Around 3,409.33 - 3,408.41 USD.
Stop Loss: 3,437.87 USD.
Target (Take Profit): 3,222.53 USD.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:6, which is favorable.
📉 Price Action & Trend Analysis:
A rising wedge (or channel) appears to have formed and broken to the downside — a bearish signal.
The current price at 3,341.47 has broken below a minor support zone (highlighted in purple), indicating bearish momentum.
Price is now approaching the 200 EMA, which is acting as potential dynamic support.
📌 Key Levels Highlighted:
Support Zones: Near 3,347.47 (previous minor support) and 3,222.53 (main target zone).
Resistance Zones: At the entry level and above, near 3,437.87 (Stop Loss zone).
🔄 Indicators:
Moving Averages (Red and Blue Lines): Shorter-term moving average (red) is below the longer-term (blue), indicating downward pressure.
Momentum Shift: The sharp drop suggests a likely continuation of the bearish trend.
Why Gold Is Pulling Back Now – May 2025 Update⚡️After surging above $3,500/oz in late April, gold has since declined over 8%, recently breaking below key levels and now trading near $3,210. The retracement reflects fading panic buying and growing attention to fundamental drivers: U.S. monetary policy, the strong dollar, easing geopolitical risks, and completed trade agreements. Here’s a breakdown of the leading catalysts and their current impact (ranked 0–10).
1. Fed “Higher for Longer” Bias Strength: 9/10 The Fed kept interest rates at 4.25–4.50% at its June policy meeting and reiterated its cautious stance. The absence of cuts combined with persistent inflation pressure is lifting real yields and undercutting gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset.
2. U.S. Dollar Resurgence Strength: 8/10The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has climbed above 101 as investors digest the Fed’s hawkish tone. A stronger dollar reduces global gold demand, especially from non-USD buyers.
3. U.S.–China Trade Agreement Reached in Switzerland Strength: 7.5/10 A formal trade deal was announced in Geneva in May, easing longstanding tariff tensions. While specific tariff rollback details are pending, markets welcomed the de-escalation, pushing investors away from gold and into risk assets.
4. U.S.–U.K. Trade Deal Signed Strength: 7/10 The U.S. and U.K. finalized a bilateral trade agreement in early May, boosting global sentiment and further reducing the geopolitical premium priced into gold.
5. India–Pakistan Border De-escalation Strength: 6.5/10 After brief clashes in Kashmir in mid-May, both sides have since released statements of restraint. The calm has helped cap gold’s safe-haven bids.
6. Iran–U.S. Nuclear Talks Update Strength: 6/10 Talks resumed in Vienna in May with cautious optimism. While no concrete deal has been signed, progress and diplomatic language from both sides have eased fears of escalation.
7. Russia–Ukraine Ceasefire Developments Strength: 5.5/10 Localized ceasefires in eastern Ukraine, brokered by Turkey and the UN, have lowered near-term geopolitical risk. However, skepticism remains around long-term stability.
8. ETF Inflows & Institutional Demand Strength: 5/10 ETF inflows slowed in May (up just 48.2 tonnes), reflecting waning retail momentum. Still, central bank buying—especially from China—offers a medium-term cushion.
Catalyst Strength Rankings (May 2025)
🔸Fed “higher for longer” bias 9
🔸U.S. dollar rebound 8
🔸U.S.–China trade agreement 5.5
🔸U.S.–U.K. trade deal signed 5
🔸India–Pakistan border easing 6.5
🔸Iran–U.S. nuclear diplomacy 6
🔸Russia–Ukraine ceasefire 5.5
🔸Global gold ETF & central-bank inflows 5
Where Next for Gold?
⚡️Current price: ~$3,210/oz
📉Recent support levels broken: $3,300 and $3,250
🎯Next technical floor: $3,150/oz
✨Upside triggers: Renewed dollar weakness, inflation surprise, or geopolitical flare-up
Gold’s recent drop reflects the market's rotation out of fear-driven trades into yield-bearing and risk assets. While the Fed and the dollar remain dominant forces, any shock—whether geopolitical or inflationary—could quickly reignite interest in gold as a hedge.
Gold Strong Crash, Final Warning —Moving Below $2,000XAUUSD (Gold) will move below $3,000 with very strong bearish momentum. You cannot say that you were not warned. It will continue lower to hit a target around $2,750 after $3,000 fails as support.
After the $2,750 target hits, I will look again at the chart and see what it has to say. Below $3,000 is ultra high probability, guaranteed basically. $2,750 is also very high probability that it will hit.
Will it continue lower? At this point it is hard to tell because I don't know Gold's long-term dynamics in a correction, but it isn't looking pretty. If current geopolitical conditions is what's making Gold bearish, then XAUUSD is set for a long-term bear market because everything will continue in the same vein.
That is only if that's the reason why Gold is bearish.
» Looking at the monthly chart, it is a disaster. Gold is set to move below $2,000 in the coming months.
Do you agree?
Disagree?
Leave a comment.
Thank you for reading.
(Remember to follow, and boost...)
Namaste.
Hanzo | Gold min Bullish Break– Confirming the Next Move🔥 GOLD – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
Bullish After Break Out : 3154
🩸 Key Reasons for Entry:
☄️Strong bullish reaction from a refined demand zone.
☄️Entry based on Smart Money Concepts: Break of structure + order block confirmation.
☄️Confluence with higher time frame support or key level.
☄️Bullish engulfing / displacement candle shows clear intent.
☄️Market in premium-to-discount transition zone.
Hanzo | Gold min Bullish Break– Confirming the Next Move
Gold Bears Aim for 3200 – Selling Rallies Remains the PlayIn my Friday analysis, I highlighted the potential for Gold to retest the 3270 support zone, and indeed, the Asian session and the opening of the new trading week confirmed this move, pushing Gold down to a low of 3255.
The overall chart structure remains strongly bearish following the false breakout above the 3370 resistance and the spike above 3400. This suggests that sellers are firmly in control, with a high probability of further downside.
I expect a break below 3270 support in the coming sessions, targeting the 3200 zone as the next major level for bears.
For now, the strategy remains clear:
Sell rallies as long as 3350 resistance remains intact. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold on hard Resistance zoneTechnical analysis: Gold continues to Trade within healthy Hourly 4 chart’s Ascending Channel, holding tightly the #3,242.80 - #3,252.80 pressure point as an Resistance zone (see how it held throughout today’s session on the exact spot, aswell holding and untouched in #10-session base). Assuming that the Buying pattern continues, then the current market sentiment represent an additional solid Buying opportunity towards the #3,262.80 extension (taken from June - July Annual High’s), however recession sentiment is off the markets (at least for Short-term) so safe-haven assets such as Gold (which were on High-demand) should suffer as Investors are slowly losing interest which should add strong Buying pressure on Bond Yields and DX (my strongest correlation at the moment). There are only two Resistance lines left towards #3,262.80, which are currently Trading on #3,244.80 and #3,252.80 configuration. I’ve been highlighting the #3,252.80 potential, and I assume with current market overview, Gold may test it within current session. However keep in mind that rejection here can extend the Selling sequence below #3,227.80 Support in extension.
My position: Gold is Trading near hard Resistance zone and under Buying pressure due DX taking strong Intra-day hits. I will Trade the break-out, either #3,244.80 Resistance towards #3,252.80 benchmark and above or await will #3,227.80 Support reject every downside attempt. All depends on how DX fares into coming sessions.
Gold Price Drops to Lowest Level in Over a MonthGold Price Drops to Lowest Level in Over a Month
As shown on the XAU/USD chart, the price of gold fell below $3,130 this morning – its lowest level since 10 April.
Since its peak in May, gold has lost more than 8% in value per ounce.
Why Is Gold Falling?
Bearish sentiment in the gold market may be fuelled by easing geopolitical tensions. According to media reports:
→ China and the US have already reported progress in reaching a trade agreement, while details of potential deals with India, Japan, and South Korea are currently being developed.
→ Iran is reportedly willing to sign a nuclear deal in exchange for the lifting of sanctions. In addition, Donald Trump may lift sanctions on Syria during his visit to the Middle East.
→ The situation between India and Pakistan has stabilised, and today, talks between Russia and Ukraine are expected to take place in Istanbul, with a potential ceasefire on the agenda.
These developments could be seen as reducing the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
In our 7 May gold price analysis, we:
→ outlined a descending channel (marked in red);
→ noted that bearish pressure persisted above $3,400.
Since then, the gold (XAU/USD) price has continued to move within this channel, breaking support around the $3,200 level and approaching a key support zone formed by:
→ the lower boundary of the red channel;
→ a long-term trendline (marked in blue);
→ a former resistance level (highlighted with arrows) at $3,140.
Given these conditions, traders should consider a scenario in which a minor rebound may occur – for instance, towards the median line of the red channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XAU/USD..1h chart pattern..**short trade on gold (XAU/USD) from 3272 with a target of 3200**—a **75-point drop**. Let’s break this down:
---
### **Trade Analysis: Sell Gold @ 3275 → Target 3200**
1. **Potential Profit**:
- **72 points** (3272 – 3200).
- If trading 1 lot (100 oz), this is **$720 profit**.
2. **Key Levels**:
- **Entry**: 3275
- **Target**: 3200 (support level)
- **Stop-Loss (SL)**: Should be above a recent swing high (e.g., 3300–3320).
3. **Risk-Reward Ratio**:
- If SL = 3320 (48 points risk), Reward = 72 points → **1:1.5 ratio** (acceptable).
4. **Technical Justification**:
- **Bearish Scenario**: Gold fails to break 3300 resistance, pulls back to 3200.
- **Support at 3200**: A break below could lead to 3150 or lower.
- **Confirmation Needed**: Look for rejection at 3272 (bearish candlestick patterns, RSI divergence).
5. **Fundamental Factors**:
- **Strong USD** → Gold weakens.
- **Fed Hawkishness** (rate hikes) → Negative for gold.
- **Geopolitical Calm** → Less safe-haven demand.
---
### **Trade Execution Plan**
- **Entry**: Sell at **3275** (or wait for rejection confirmation).
- **Stop-Loss**: **3300–3320** (adjust based on volatility).
- **Take Profit**: **3200** (first target), then trail if momentum continues.
- **Alternative**: Partial profit at 3225, move SL to breakeven.
---
### **Caution**
- Gold is volatile—unexpected news (war, Fed pivot) could spike prices.
- If 3200 holds as support, consider closing the trade or tightening stops.
Would you like a chart reference or an update on current gold trends? 🚀
SHORT - GOLD (XAU/USD): Decending Triangle on GOLD Good Morning, Traders.
As always, please note that this is not financial advice — always do your own research (DYOR).
This morning, we are observing the development of a descending triangle pattern on the 15-minute timeframe, forming at a critical support level. This technical formation is often indicative of bearish momentum.
Should the price action decisively break below this key support, it would signal a potential shorting opportunity. Such a breakdown could trigger accelerated selling pressure, offering the possibility of favourable risk-to-reward setups for short positions.
Traders are advised to closely monitor price behavior around the support line, watch for increased volume on the break, and ensure proper risk management before entering any positions.
Stay vigilant and trade smart.
DeGRAM | GOLD triangle volume reduction📊 Technical Analysis
● A lower-high formed at $3 280 re-entered the red supply and slid back beneath the blue trend-line, converting last week’s “break-out” into a bull-trap.
● Price is compressing in a bear-flag whose base rests on $3 200; a 1 h close below it exposes the descending-channel floor/ horizontal support at $3 100.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● FOMC minutes stressed rates may stay “restrictive for some time”, lifting 2-yr yields to 4.9 % and firming the USD, while the World Gold Council logged a 6-tonne ETF outflow on 17 May, signalling weaker investment demand.
✨ Summary
Sell rallies into 3 230-3 250; flag break targets 3 200 ➜ 3 100, risk capped above 3 280.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
XAUUSD Targeting the 1D MA100.When we looked at Gold (XAUUSD) on May 05 (see chart below), we called for a strong sell on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and a 3155 Target:
Now that this target was hit and the 1D MA50 broke, we expect a short-term bearish continuation, as the last 3 times the price broke below the 1D MA50, it always hit the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
Still, all candles since the test closed above the 1D MA50 so we need to seek a confirmation of the bearish continuation and that is the 4H MA50 (red trend-line). If rejected there, expect an instant drop. If not, the last Resistance is the top of the Channel Down. In both cases, our short-term Target is 3060.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Gold Long: Completed Wave 4, target above $3500.A detailed walkthrough on Gold since 2011, the start of the first Cycle level wave. I go through my Elliott Wave counts for Gold, breaking down waves, focusing more on the recent wave 4 downturn.
The alternate count will be another wave Z down, giving up a triple combination.
Depending on the opening this coming week, the stop for this idea is either below 3154, or 3120.
Good luck!