Gold's Decline Not Over (Yet)#Gold is in a declining pattern that appears incomplete. Here are 2 models we are following closely.
1. A decline in wave (iii) of ((c)) - targeting $3,120
2. A decline in wave iii of (ii) - targeting $3,220-3,240
Both models imply the current decline is not over.
FLAT PATTERN
The flat pattern subdivides as a 3-3-5 ((a))-((b))-((c)) pattern. The decline appears to be in the latter stages of this pattern, wave ((c)).
This wave needs to unfold as a motive 5-wave pattern...it appears we are in the 3rd wave decline so a couple of more trends lower. The flat targets $3,120.
LEADING DIAGONAL
The leading diagonal is a motive pattern labeled i-ii-iii-iv-v. The leading diagonal pattern is already complete and now a partial retracement lower of the diagonal is underway. This partial retracement likely carries to $3,220-$3,240.
Under both scenarios, once they are complete, a strong rally is likely to follow. However, the downtrends need more price and time to develop so the rallies are on hold for the moment.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Bullish strategy around 3270 in US trading
Gold prices (XAU/USD) once again came under selling pressure during the Asian session on Friday, falling back below $3,300 following a lackluster performance the day before. Gold prices are approaching a two-week low hit on Tuesday as investors await the release of the US personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index. This key inflation indicator is expected to provide a new interpretation of the Fed's policy outlook and could significantly affect the direction of the US dollar (USD), ultimately determining the short-term direction of this non-yielding gold.
Selling pressure last weekend caused gold prices to fall below 3300, and today the selling pressure continued to fall
⭐️Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3326-3328 SL 3333
TP1: $3315
TP2: $3302
TP3: $3290🔥
Buy gold area: $3248-$3250 SL $3243
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3270
TP3: $3280⭐️
XAUUSD BULLISH ANALYSIS (READ CAPTION) GOLD READY FOR BIG FLYINGHi Traders! Here is my G0ld Analysis for today (Bullish Analysis) Chart 27 June 2k25 please read it and send the comment in the comments section
Gold pivot point is 3287 and market continually working bearish parallel and bears hit all sell targets. now Gold market ready for the Retracement. If Gold market going more down side then its jump our support area. our Bullish 1st Target is 3300 and then its show us some sell Retracement then again it jumps on buy and Easily hit our next Target 3320. If Market going Further up side then its hit our Demand zone.
Pivot Point: (3287)
Bullish Analysis:
Bullish Targets Are:
Target 1: (3300)
Target 2: (3320)
Demand Zone: (3350)
Disclaimer: This is not a Financial advice. Trade at your own risk
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Stay tuned for further Analysis
Gold accumulates and moves above 3350⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices declined by 0.80% on Thursday after a robust US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report boosted the US Dollar, dampening expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut at the upcoming July meeting. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,332, after reaching an intraday high of $3,365.
June’s employment data significantly outperformed forecasts and even surpassed May’s figures, reinforcing the resilience of the US labor market. Notably, the Unemployment Rate edged closer to the 4% mark, underscoring continued labor market strength. The upbeat report casts doubt on Wednesday’s softer ADP private-sector jobs data, which had shown a 33,000 drop in hiring.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price accumulates and recovers around 3350. Friday has no important news and bank holiday in US session, short-term recovery
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3365- 3367 SL 3372
TP1: $3355
TP2: $3342
TP3: $3330
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3311-$3313 SL $3306
TP1: $3325
TP2: $3338
TP3: $3350
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Bulls recover in new week, gold price returns to 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) regained some lost ground during Monday’s Asian session, buoyed by growing expectations that the US Federal Reserve may implement more interest rate cuts this year—and potentially sooner than previously anticipated. Such prospects weigh on the US Dollar, making the dollar-denominated metal more attractive to overseas buyers.
However, the recent improvement in global risk sentiment—driven by the US-China trade accord and a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran—could reduce demand for Gold’s safe-haven appeal. Investors now turn their attention to upcoming comments from Federal Reserve officials, with speeches from Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee expected later in the day.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovered, accumulating at the beginning of the new week around the price range of 3300. Still in the main downtrend.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3316- 3318 SL 3323
TP1: $3305
TP2: $3290
TP3: $3277
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3248-$3246 SL $3241
TP1: $3258
TP2: $3270
TP3: $3286
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Holds Steady as Focus Shifts to Fed Policy Over GeopoliticaGold Holds Steady as Focus Shifts to Fed Policy Over Geopolitical Risk
- Gold prices remained resilient. The US Dollar Index slipped 0.23% to 97.74, while U.S. equities ended mixed as markets braced for Federal Reserve policy signals.
- The Israel-Iran ceasefire has eased geopolitical concerns, typically a bearish signal for gold. However, the metal’s continued strength, outperforming the weaker dollar, points to renewed institutional and retail accumulation. This highlights a key shift: investors are now prioritising monetary policy outlooks over crisis-driven moves.
- All eyes are on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony, with particular focus on his comments regarding tariffs and interest rates. The CME’s FedWatch tool now shows a 24.8% probability of a July rate cut. Powell’s cautious tone—balancing inflation risks from potential tariffs against economic softness—has added uncertainty to the rate path, especially amid political pressure from the Trump administration.
- Gold’s recent price action suggests it’s evolving from a pure safe-haven asset into a hedge against broader monetary and economic instability. With geopolitical tensions easing, traders are now closely watching the Fed’s next steps and the dollar’s direction as key drivers of gold’s trajectory.
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionIn this video, I break down last week’s gold price action and give you a detailed outlook for the week ahead. With gold closing around $3,260 and major macroeconomic shifts unfolding—including the Israel-Iran ceasefire talks, rising US dollar strength, and concerns over the US Q1 GDP contraction, we are at a turning point.
📉 Will weakening economic data force the Fed to pivot?
📈 Could this create a fresh bullish wave for gold?
Or will stronger job numbers and inflation data drag gold lower?
✅ What you’ll learn in this video:
✅Key fundamental drivers affecting gold (XAU/USD)
✅Important economic events to watch (Fed Chair speech, NFP, ISM)
✅My technical analysis of gold price levels to watch
✅How to read the current market sentiment like a pro
✅Strategic trading zones for bulls and bears
🔔 Don’t forget to like the video in support of this work.
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
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GOLD GOLD is having RESISTANCE FROM EMA 4HR and the break of a demand floor retest at 3335-3337 zone made selling of gold possible at 3335-3337 .
and the demand floor floor remains 3311 -3314 another broken descending trend line that retested on Non-farm data at 3311 ,if this level is broken sell till 3300 and below .
GOLD Breakout Done Let`s Buy It To Get Clear 200 Pips !Here is my opinion on 30 mins T.F , We have a very good bullish price action and we have a very good breakout with amazing bullish candle and now the price back to retest the breakout area , it`s my fav place to enter a buy trade and the price can move 200 Pips easy , i`m waiting for retest and good bullish price action to enter a buy trade .
Gold W PatternActually 50-50 there is potential for prices to go up or down, but by chance it is safer for us to take a buy because of the w pattern, so here I took a buy, for conservative entry wait for a breakout, but if later it looks like a fake breakout has broken out upwards but goes back down then we will stop and reverse to take a sell.
Gold on upswing as expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Since #3,337.80 was neckline for upside Bull structure, I was aware if it gets invalidated to the downside, it will open doors for #3,327.80 extension (which held twice throughout late U.S. and Asian session). I don't expect much Selling action today however Bulls need another Fundamental push to invalidate wall of Resistances at #3,340's and #3,350's. I will continue Scalping as opportunity arise / no Swing orders."
I have expected Gold to test upside extension where I Bought (Scalp of course) #3,342.80 twice towards #3,348.80 and re-Sold #3,357.80 - #3,362.80 belt many times (excellent returns). I will await area to be engulfed and only then make my move.
As I am getting many Fundamental inquiries lately: Gold's current almost #2-Year perma-Bull outlook is driven by more than Fundamentals - rising Global debt, Central bank Buying (especially by China), and general declining trust in fiat currencies all play key roles in Gold's perma-Bull stance. It's considered undervalued by some part of my analysis when adjusted for Inflation and Money supply expansion (like #M2 growth). Gold acts as a Long-term hedge against currency devaluation and systemic Risk, especially during Global conflicts or financial crises. Mining costs are also on the rise while new discoveries are declining, which supports Higher future Prices. With ongoing de-Dollarization and interest in Gold-backed digital assets, the Long-term future of Gold looks structurally strong.
My position: Gold is Trading within #3,350's belt which represents crossroads for the Short-term. Either #3,362.80 - #3,368.80 break-out to the upside towards #3,377.80 strong Resistance, or #3,342.80 - #3,352.80 break-out to the downside towards #3,327.80 Support. Current Price-action is ideal for Scalping since I don't expect major movement until tomorrow's NFP numbers.
MULTIPLE TIME FRAME ANALYSIS, gather data to make good decisionsAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
www.tradingview.com
XAU/USD Reversal Signal Bullish Momentum: Targeting 3337The XAU/USD 15-minute chart indicates a strong bullish reversal after price action bounced from the key support zone near 3302. A clear breakout from the descending channel signals that bearish momentum has faded. Price is now trading above the Ichimoku cloud, reinforcing the shift in short-term sentiment. This move is supported by strong bullish candles and rising momentum, suggesting buyers have regained control. The price has also broken a key intraday resistance level, opening the door for further upside. The projected move targets the upper resistance zone around 3377, as marked on the chart. With favourable risk-to-reward and confirmation from technical indicators, this setup aligns well with a bullish intraday trade.
Entry Point: 3330
Target Point: 3377
XAU/USD) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on a short-term timeframe, incorporating several key tools and concepts:
---
Overview of the Analysis
Price Level (Current): Around $3,273.40
EMA 200 (Blue Line): Around $3,337.95 (signaling broader trend)
Resistance Zone (Yellow Box): Between approximately $3,300–$3,320
Support/Target Zone: Around $3,231.11
RSI (Relative Strength Index): At 32.88, which is near oversold territory (below 30)
---
Interpretation of Chart Structure
1. Descending Channel:
Price is moving within a downward-sloping channel.
Suggests a bearish trend is in play.
2. Resistance Level (Yellow Box):
Price is expected to retest this area and face resistance.
Confluence of a supply zone and upper trendline, reinforcing its strength.
3. Projected Price Action:
Price may climb back up into the resistance zone.
A rejection is anticipated, leading to another leg down.
The target is around $3,231.11, which matches previous measured moves.
4. Measured Moves (Blue Arrows):
Highlights historical price drops of ~79 points.
Repeating this pattern suggests symmetry and continuation.
5. RSI Indicator:
Currently at 32.88: nearing oversold, but not quite.
No clear bullish divergence, so price could drop further.
---
Trade Idea Summary
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near $3,300–$3,320 (resistance)
Target: Around $3,231.11
Invalidation: If price breaks and holds above $3,337–$3,340 (EMA 200 and channel breakout)
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Caution/Considerations
Watch for false breakouts above the resistance zone.
Monitor RSI for potential bullish divergence that could invalidate the downside.
Be cautious around the U.S. economic news event icon, which might cause volatility.
plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A fantastic close to the week as our analysis once again played out level to level with precision!
As a follow-up from yesterday's post:
- The swing range completed the move into 3348, as expected.
- However, we had no further EMA5 lock above, confirming rejection back into the swing range.
- This was followed by an EMA5 cross and lock below 3306, opening the secondary swing range.
- That range played out perfectly today, hitting both 3288 and 3271 targets.
We’re now seeing a bounce off those levels giving the 20 to 40 pips, and we will now be observing to see if the full secondary swing is completed.
It's Friday, and it's been a PIPTASTIC week across the board. Well done to everyone following the plan and sticking to the levels.
QUICK RECAP
BULLISH TARGET
3376 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
3348 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3330 - DONE
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3288 - DONE
3271 - DONE
We’ll be back now on Sunday with our multi-timeframe analysis and trading plans for the week ahead. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Market Analysis: Gold Drops — Traders Eye Macro TriggersMarket Analysis: Gold Drops — Traders Eye Macro Triggers
Gold price started a fresh decline below $3,320.
Important Takeaways for Gold Oil Price Analysis Today
- Gold price climbed higher toward the $3,400 zone before there was a sharp decline against the US Dollar.
- A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $3,300 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Technical Analysis of Gold Price
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price climbed above the $3,320 resistance. The price even spiked above $3,350 before the bears appeared.
A high was formed near $3,395 before there was a fresh decline. There was a move below the $3,350 support level. The bears even pushed the price below the $3,300 support and the 50-hour simple moving average.
It tested the $3,245 zone. A low is formed near $3,247 and the price is now showing bearish signs. There was a minor recovery wave toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,393 swing high to the $3,247 low.
However, the bears are active below $3,300. Immediate resistance is near $3,280. The next major resistance is near the $3,300 zone. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $3,300.
The main resistance could be $3,320 or the 50% Fib retracement level, above which the price could test the $3,350 resistance. The next major resistance is $3,395.
An upside break above the $3,395 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,420. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,450 level.
Initial support on the downside is near the $3,245 level. The first major support is near the $3,220 level. If there is a downside break below the $3,220 support, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $3,200 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,734 (UPDATE)While we currently hold a bearish bias, let's not forget what I said on this previous 'bullish bias' post. I said Gold bullish structure is only invalidated AFTER we see price go BELOW $3,245. Price came very close to our 'Wave 2 low' but did not surpass it.
Just keep an eye out & always be prepared.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHappy Sunday traders. Welcome to a new trading week. Taking a quick look at the 4 hour chart, I have marked my current area of interest for gold. I get up early so I will check to see how the overnight sessions go. First day of the week is not a trading day for me. Got to wait to see the paths that gold carves out the first few days. Lower time frame confirmation is a must. Big G gets a shout out. Let's see how things play out over the next 4 hour candle. Be well and trade the trend.