An idea for you tradesHello Everyone
I want to say something that might be your strategy or you may criticize me about that but I am sure whoever disagrees with me about it is struggling to get profit in his account.
Note: Always and always trade in a chart that is in a weekly trend.
I man it does not matter what timeframe you are trading and with what method, it is incredibly vital that chose a trend (Bullish for long positions and Bearish for short positions) and never and ever try to trap yourself in a chart that is ranging in WEKLY TIMEFRAME. There are many reasons for that and I have paid a lot of money to learn it.
The first reason is a lot of support/resistance level existing in this area that try to hit your Stops.
Second reason is that we should follow the wales in every market and big whales do not waste their time and money for trading in this long term consolidations.
Oil is a good example for now and I just want to say, these symbols are not ours and we should chose more profitable ones.
This is the most reason that all charts do not move together and liquidity shifts between them.
Thanks
XBRUSD trade ideas
BRENT. Weekly trading levels 20 - 24.05.2024During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a transaction and its support is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post.
! Please note that brokers have a difference in quotes, take this into account when trading.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no directional arrows), but zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade.
Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
Don't forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!! Feedback is very important to me!
Brent will drop soon After a long rally started in April 2020 with 16.1 USD, an impulse wave was made for Brent Oil and it stoped in 138.03. After this impulse we are having a big correction pattern ( maybe as wxy ) and for now we in the last wave (Y).
It seems that after finalizing of wave (x) second downtrend correction as wave (y) has been started and I guess wave b of (y) is ending to show us last wave correction(c of y).
Thanks
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Brent $: might it be the move this time?Been struggling with the price action.
A price action above 83.50 supports a bullish trend direction. Crossing above its 200-day will act as further bullish support.
The target price is set at 88.00 (its 23,6% Fibonacci retracement level).
The stop-loss is set at 82.00 (its 50% retracement level).
A bullish crossover on the MACD (see the lower panel) highlights a change in trend direction to bullish. This crossover is also in oversold territory.
BRENT. Levels for intraday trading 16.05.2024During the day you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.Relevant to use as a location for installing TP.
Levels are valid throughout the day, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on current data and publish a new post.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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Levels are drawn before the European session, based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as zones of interest for intraday trading. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level. If there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
TV does not allow publishing timeframes smaller than M15.Reactions to levels and the search for entry points are more convenient to look at M5-M1.
Don’t forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!!
Oil in a depressed phaseThe Brent barrel (Brent) this week has cut its price by -1.05% versus -491% on a monthly basis, versus West Texas (LCrude). Crude oil prices rose 32 cents during the American afternoon session for Brent and 31 cents higher for West Texas Intermediate.
More subdued inflation, much weaker retail sales, coupled with lower-than-expected U.S. consumer prices in April, triggered a boost in financial market expectations of a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which could moderate dollar strength and make oil more affordable for holders of other currencies.
Prices have also been affected by the fact that the long-awaited reduction in U.S. crude oil inventories has brought some peace despite the fact that the Middle East conflict continues to reproduce and generate distribution problems. According to data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA), U.S. inventories of crude oil, gasoline and distillates fell, reflected in an increase in refining activity and fuel demand. Inventory figures fell to 2.5 million barrels to 457 million in the week to May 10, versus the 543,000 expected. There have also been possible signs of slowing US inflation and strengthening price-supported demand, as well as we say geopolitical risk in the Strait of Hormuz area remains elevated. In addition to the Russian-Ukrainian conflict that is generating a redistribution and increase in the cost per barrel to Europe.
The fact that the news is showing a shortage may simply be a rash of geopolitical risk and failed negotiations between OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) and Russia. Both Russia and Saudi Arabia have reduced their production volumes. One of the reasons is purely geopolitical but the more important reason is purely economic, the world economy remains weak and with it the demand for oil. The world's leading economy is on the borderline of a coma to go into recession, and although the second largest economy, China, is growing in GDP, it does not mean that it will have the same dynamism as before 2020. This depresses the outlook for demand and therefore the price.
Looking at the chart, it can be seen that the support zone of Brent barrel is located at $71.47 and the resistance to be overcome is located at $95.12. The constant fall in the price has been gradual, so we may continue to see a decline towards the long term support in the coming weeks if the geo-economic picture does not change much.
Ion Jauregui - Analista AT
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Black Gold Judgment Says Huge Challenge Is Just One Step AheadGlobal shares rose while the dollar retreated on Wednesday, after a hot reading of U.S. wholesale inflation set a nervous tone for trading before a consumer price report that could prove decisive about when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates.
The frenzy in so-called meme stocks entered a third day, with shares in AMC and GameStop soaring by more than 25% at one point in premarket trading before retracing some of those gains.
Price action was more subdued as investors were reluctant to push any market too aggressively one way or another ahead of the monthly U.S. consumer price index later in the day.
The boom has drawn parallels with the meme-stock craze that gripped markets in early 2021, where retail traders, using trading platforms and social media investment advice pumped up the value of stocks that many large investors had bet heavily against.
Technical graph for Brent crude oil says, right here is a similar challenge like in 2021.
BRENT. Levels for intraday trading 15.05.2024During the day you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.Relevant to use as a location for installing TP.
Levels are valid throughout the day, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on current data and publish a new post.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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Levels are drawn before the European session, based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as zones of interest for intraday trading. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level. If there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
TV does not allow publishing timeframes smaller than M15.Reactions to levels and the search for entry points are more convenient to look at M5-M1.
Don’t forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!!
Brent Retreats Below 200MA Ahead of Key ReportsWith OPEC's Oil Market Report set for release on Tuesday and the International Energy Agency's Oil Market Report on Wednesday, volatility looms over crude prices this week. Let's delve into the technical landscape of Brent Crude, the international oil benchmark, as we approach these pivotal reports.
Brent Technical Outlook: Retracement Channel in Focus
After reaching six-month highs in early April, Brent crude has eased off in recent weeks. Driving factors behind this pullback include the increasing likelihood of higher-for-longer US interest rates, and a subtle easing of tensions in the Middle East
The price action during this retreat has formed an orderly retracement channel for Brent crude, marked by a sequence of lower swing highs and lower swing lows on the daily candle chart.
This retracement has pushed prices below the 200-day simple moving average, which has maintained a sideways trajectory since September 2023, coinciding with the formation of a long-term wedge pattern in the market. Brent bears are now eyeing a potential retest of the wedge pattern's lower boundary.
However, Brent crude currently finds support at two levels - the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the December-April rally and the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) anchored to the December lows. Brent bulls are hopeful that these combined support levels might serve as a foundation for a price recovery.
Brent Crude Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Pre-Event Trade Plan
The impending oil market reports could trigger significant trade opportunities.
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the descending retracement channel, followed by a close above, could pave the way for a retest of April's highs.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the anchored VWAP might increase the likelihood of revisiting the lower boundary of the long-term wedge pattern.
Risk Management:
Traders can utilise Brent Crude's Average True Range (ATR), currently standing at $1.63, to gauge daily price volatility. This information should guide decisions regarding stop placement and price targets.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
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OIL MAY 2024 WEEK 3 OUTLOOK -
Daily- bearish. looks bearish but we have been trading near S1 for a week now and we have multiple POCs below current price where we can see buyers stepping in. so I will take entries on both sides but will look to close quickly.
Origin - bearish, in need of pullback. 2 zones I am looking at are **82.82 - 83.13** and **83.67 - 83.32**. I will look for a reaction from these areas on oil this week.
Brent Crude Oil - Going upPrice printed a running flat last week, which typically fails.
The impulse 5-wave up has now retraced for an entry.
At the minimum, we should hover for a while and see another 5-wave move up.
This appears to be a corrective trade that is counter to the main direction, so be nimble to exit at any signs of a top.
Invalid below 82.25.
BRENT. Levels for intraday trading 10.05.2024During the day you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.Relevant to use as a location for installing TP.
Levels are valid throughout the day, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on current data and publish a new post.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
---------------------------------------
Levels are drawn before the European session, based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as zones of interest for intraday trading. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level. If there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
TV does not allow publishing timeframes smaller than M15.Reactions to levels and the search for entry points are more convenient to look at M5-M1.
Don’t forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!!
BRENT. Levels for intraday trading 9.05.2024During the day you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.Relevant to use as a location for installing TP.
Levels are valid throughout the day, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on current data and publish a new post.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
---------------------------------------
Levels are drawn before the European session, based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as zones of interest for intraday trading. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level. If there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
TV does not allow publishing timeframes smaller than M15.Reactions to levels and the search for entry points are more convenient to look at M5-M1.
Don’t forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!!
Zigzag pattern bullish scenarioEsteemed analysts and traders,
I hope this correspondence finds you in good health and high spirits, prepared to tackle the upcoming week with renewed energy. I extend my best wishes for your continued success in all your business endeavors. It is worth noting that success in trading is largely dependent on the consistent definition and adherence to one's own rules.
As a supporter of the Elliott Wave Principle, I consider this methodology an invaluable tool for market analysis. After three years of personal experience, I have developed my approach by combining this principle with meticulous consideration of different market scenarios. I strive to avoid market surprises by maintaining a range of market prospects, which enables me to recognize the market structure forming with 100% accuracy.
I am pleased to share my analysis with you, with the caveat that I do not provide buy or sell signals. My perspective on idea analysis is entirely impartial, and if my analysis meets your standards, it may serve as a guide to making an informed decision.
For your reference and comparison, I have attached my previous analysis of the same market. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled for ease of comprehension. Nonetheless, familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory would facilitate an understanding of the analytical idea.
My study of the Elliott Wave Principle took nearly three years, during which my understanding and experience with this invaluable tool have grown. My progress thus far is a testament to the legacy of Ralph Nelson Eliot, whose genius has provided the foundation for my achievements. May he rest in peace.
I express my gratitude for your continued support and kindness, and welcome your comments and critiques.
May my analysis be a valuable asset to your business journey, and I remain sincerely yours,
Mr. Nobody
BRENT. Levels for intraday trading 8.05.2024During the day you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.Relevant to use as a location for installing TP.
Levels are valid throughout the day, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on current data and publish a new post.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
---------------------------------------
Levels are drawn before the European session, based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as zones of interest for intraday trading. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level. If there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
TV does not allow publishing timeframes smaller than M15.Reactions to levels and the search for entry points are more convenient to look at M5-M1.
Don’t forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!!
OIL Exended RunMonthly: Failed to break above the 6 Months High and made Turtle
Daily: Note the crude numbers realised on the 1st May 2024, its only current that the Candles are breaking out of the news bar after 3 bar Range
Note:
Normally this break with have 3-5 days follow through
Note also, for further confirmation Ichimuko trending bearish for 8hr-1hr confirming sells
UKOIL Preps to Face a Res-Test Near $90UKOIL didn't have the strength to reach $94, but it seems that Bulls have not gotten the memo just yet. Perhaps a break above $90 reignites the path?
I'm doubtful, but we'll see. Failure to pass and hold levels above $90, will likely send UKOIL back to mid-high $70s (before the next major run).