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It's a LAUGH but Brent looks like it's heading to $56This looks like a JOKE. But when you look at the DAILY chart - text book says the price is going to hit $56.13! As long as the price remains below the DOwntrend, it will seem feasible and there may be a few fundamental reasons for such downside. Oversupply 📈: Too much oil flooding the market is keeping prices low. Economic Slowdown 📉: Sluggish global growth is cutting demand. Green Shift 🌱: More focus on renewables means less reliance on oil. US Production 🚀: A boost in US shale adds extra supply. Speculation 🔮: Traders betting on drops are fueling the downward trend. Technicals M Formation has formed and the price broke below the neckline. We have seen the price stay below 20MA and 200MA - BEARISH Target $56.13 WHat do you think? Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATIONSB:BRENTShort
by Timonrosso
Brent Crude Struggles at $69 as Global Demand Risks MountBrent crude hovered around $69 per barrel on Tuesday as concerns grew that U.S. tariffs could slow economic growth and weaken oil demand. Tariffs imposed by President Trump on major suppliers like Canada and Mexico, along with China’s retaliatory measures, heightened fears of a global slowdown. China’s deepening deflationary pressures further weighed on crude prices despite stimulus efforts. On the supply side, Russia’s Deputy PM Alexander Novak confirmed OPEC+ plans to boost production in April but noted the decision could be reassessed if market conditions shift. Technically, the first support is at $68.1, with subsequent levels at $65 and $63.6. On the upside, the initial resistance is at $70.2, followed by $73.3 and $75.80.
BLACKBULL:BRENT
by ChartMage
Crude Tests Key Support: How to Trade ItAfter a steady decline in recent weeks, Brent crude is currently testing a key level of support. Let's take a look at what's caused this year’s sell-off and the two scenarios that may play out at support this week following OPEC's upcoming report on Wednesday. OPEC’s Output Shift Sparks Sell-Off Brent crude’s sharp decline has been driven by a combination of factors, with OPEC+ announcing plans to bring back production in April, a larger-than-expected build in U.S. crude inventories, and renewed concerns over demand. OPEC+ members Saudi Arabia, Russia, and the UAE are set to unwind a portion of their voluntary production cuts next month, adding to market fears of a supply glut. Although OPEC’s official statement suggested these additions could be paused or reversed based on market conditions, traders have responded with skepticism. The announcement triggered a fresh wave of selling, with Brent crude now down over 6% this year. Adding to the pressure, U.S. crude stocks surged by 3.6 million barrels —well above analyst expectations—further dampening sentiment. Meanwhile, concerns over the impact of Trump’s latest round of tariffs have weighed on the demand outlook, with markets fearing a broader economic slowdown could hit energy consumption. The result? Energy stocks have tumbled alongside crude. The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund has slumped over the past week, with Big Oil names like Exxon Mobil, Chevron, and Occidental Petroleum all posting losses. With sentiment already fragile, OPEC’s upcoming Monthly Oil Report will be key in determining whether the market sees a reason to stabilise—or continues its downward slide. Brent Crude: A Key Test at Support Brent crude’s seven-week downtrend has taken prices back to a major support level at the September spike lows. Last week saw an initial bounce from this area, but the rally struggled to break through the steep descending trendline that has defined the market’s decline over the past month. Analysing a market across multiple timeframes can provide a clearer picture of trend strength and potential reversals. On the daily chart, Brent is testing a well-established support zone. However, the hourly chart reveals two possible scenarios that traders should watch closely: 1. A Double Bottom Reversal: If last week’s swing lows hold, Brent could form a double bottom on the hourly chart. This would indicate that buyers are stepping in, potentially leading to a counter-trend rally. If price clears the descending trendline, this could confirm a short-term bullish reversal. 2. A Breakdown Below Support: If Brent decisively breaks support on elevated volume, it would signal that bearish momentum is accelerating. In this case, traders may look to short pullbacks, using previous support as resistance and targeting lower levels. With Brent sitting at a major inflection point and OPEC’s report due midweek, volatility could pick up in the coming days. Whether this key support holds or gives way will determine the next leg of crude’s trend. Brent Oil Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Brent Oil Hourly Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_BRENT
by Capitalcom
"UK oil / Brent" Energy Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "UK oil / Brent" Energy market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Book Profits, Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!" Buy entry above 77.00 Sell Entry below 74.00 However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side. Stop Loss 🛑: -Thief SL placed at 75.30 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade -Thief SL placed at 75.70 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: -Bullish Robbers TP 81.50 (or) Escape Before the Target -Bearish Robbers TP 71.30 (or) Escape Before the Target 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT data, Sentimental Outlook: 🛢️"UK oil / Brent" Energy market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bearishness)., driven by several key factors. 🔥 Fundamental Analysis The global oil market is experiencing a slight imbalance, with supply exceeding demand. OPEC has agreed to extend production cuts, which may help stabilize the market. However, US shale oil production is expected to continue growing, potentially putting downward pressure on prices. Global economic growth is expected to slow down, which may reduce demand for oil. 🔥 Macro Economics The global economy is facing headwinds, including inflation, interest rate hikes, and geopolitical tensions. This may lead to reduced demand for oil and a potential decrease in prices. 🔥 COT Data Commercial Traders: Net short 55,000 contracts Non-Commercial Traders: Net long 30,000 contracts Trend: Commercial traders are increasing their net short positions, indicating a potential bearish trend. Non-commercial traders are decreasing their net long positions, also indicating a potential bearish trend. 🔥 Sentimental Analysis 70% of client accounts are long on UKOIL, indicating a bullish sentiment among traders. However, some analysts predict a potential bearish trend due to supply and demand imbalances. 🔥 Technical Analysis The short-term trend is bearish, while the long-term trend is neutral. A head and shoulders pattern is forming, which may indicate a potential reversal. The key trading level is at 7685, 20 Day Moving Average level. 🔥 Geopolitical Analysis Middle East tensions, US-Iran relations, and global trade agreements are affecting the oil market. The conflict in Ukraine and potential sanctions on Russia may disrupt global oil supply flows. 🔥 Inventory and Storage Analysis US crude oil inventories are at average levels, indicating a balanced market. However, global oil storage levels are high, indicating a surplus of oil. 🔥 Seasonal Analysis Oil prices tend to be higher during the winter months due to increased demand. The calendar spread is in contango, indicating a surplus of oil. 🔥 News and Events Analysis The market is awaiting the Federal Reserve's crude oil data, which may shed more clarity on the near-term trend. OPEC meetings and US economic data are also expected to impact the market. 🔥 Quantitative Analysis Statistical models indicate a high probability of a price decline. Machine learning algorithms predict a potential bearish trend. 🔥 Intermarket Analysis Oil prices are highly correlated with the US dollar index. There is a divergence between oil prices and the S&P 500, indicating a potential reversal. 🔥 Overall Outlook The UKOIL market is expected to experience a bearish trend in the short term, driven by supply and demand imbalances, geopolitical tensions, and technical indicators. However, the long-term trend remains neutral, with potential for a reversal. Traders should be cautious and monitor market developments closely. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
TVC:UKOIL
by Thief_Trader
The Inevitable Descent of UKOILIn the shadow of a market that continues to revel in its own delusions, I find myself compelled to address the elephant in the room – or rather, the oil in the barrel that is UKOIL. We stand on the precipice of what I predict to be a significant correction, one that will see UKOIL prices plummeting to the region of $48 per barrel. Why the Fall? OPEC+'s decision to phase out additional output cuts by September 2025, announced in June last year, is a clear signal. The return of 2.2 million barrels per day to the market, should market dynamics permit, will flood an already saturated market. Despite the rhetoric of control, the reality is that OPEC+'s spare capacity, currently at 5.9 million barrels per day, limits any significant price increase. This, coupled with near-record production levels from non-OPEC countries like the United States, sets the stage for an oversupply scenario. The notion that demand will continue to grow unchecked is flawed. Global oil consumption growth is expected to slow dramatically from 2.3 million barrels per day in 2023 to 1.1 million in 2024, with similar levels in 2025. This deceleration is driven by multiple factors including the rise of electric vehicles, increasing efficiency in traditional vehicles, and a stuttering economic recovery in major markets like China. The market's current bullishness is more sentiment than substance. Indicators like the Stoch RSI currently at 77.9 suggest we are nearing overbought territory, a strong indication that a reversal could be imminent. This high reading, combined with the parabolic SAR signaling an upward trend now, might just be the last gasp before a significant correction. The technical and fundamental analyses converge on a bearish outlook. Long Forecast anticipates Brent oil, which closely tracks UKOIL, to hover around $60-$65 by 2026 before a potential rebound. This, combined with other forecasts suggesting a further decline in demand, paints a picture not of a soft landing, but of a sharp descent. If we extrapolate current trends and market sentiment shifts, $48 is not just a possibility but a probable near-term floor. Investors should consider reducing exposure to oil-related equities or hedge against the risk through diversification into non-correlated assets. For those with the stomach for risk, this scenario presents a unique opportunity to short UKOIL CFDs. In closing, let us not be swayed by the siren song of current market highs. The fundamentals, much like gravity, will eventually pull prices back to earth. Prepare for the storm, for it's not a matter of if, but when. Horban Brothers. Alex Kostenich
FX:UKOILShort
by horbanbrothers
Brent Crude Bearish ahead of US weekly inventories dataBearish Scenario: Brent Crude remains in a bearish trend, with price action aligned with the prevailing longer-term downtrend. The key resistance level to watch is 71.68. If an oversold rally occurs but faces rejection at this level, the downtrend is likely to resume, targeting 69.90, followed by 69.33 and 69.00 as the next downside support levels over a longer timeframe. Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above 71.68 and a daily close above this level would negate the bearish outlook. This could lead to further upside movement, with resistance targets at 72.20, followed by 72.67. Conclusion: The broader sentiment remains bearish, but 71.68 serves as the key pivot level. A rejection from this resistance would reinforce the downside bias, while a breakout above it could signal a shift toward bullish momentum. Traders should monitor price action around this level to confirm the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BRENT
by TradeNation
Brent Crude Price Breaks Key Support LevelBrent Crude Price Breaks Key Support Level Today, Brent crude is sliding towards the psychological $70 per barrel mark, with the XBR/USD chart showing a break below a key support level (marked in blue) that had been holding since autumn last year. Why Is Brent Crude Falling? The bearish sentiment in the market is driven by OPEC+’s decision to increase oil production, contrary to analysts’ expectations that existing output cuts—designed to support prices—would remain in place. According to the Wall Street Journal, analysts now predict: → Oil production will rise by 137,000 barrels per day from April 2025 to September 2026. → Brent crude may drop below $70 per barrel. Technical Analysis of XBR/USD From a long-term perspective, Brent crude is forming a descending channel (marked in red), connecting the April and July 2024 peaks. The break below this support level could signal a renewed downtrend following a prolonged period of consolidation. If XBR/USD sees a short-term recovery from its yearly lows, key resistance levels to watch include: → The midline of the descending channel. → The former support level (marked in blue). Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XBRUSD
by FXOpen
1
Brent Wave Analysis – 3 March 2025 - Brent broke support zone - Likely to fall to support level 70.50 Brent recently broke the support zone between the support level 74.00 and the support trendline of the daily up channel from September. The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active intermediate impulse wave (3) from the end of February. Given the clear daily downtrend, Brent can be expected to fall to the next support level 70.50 (former strong support from September to November).
CFI:BRENTShort
by FxProGlobal
BRENT weaker after inventories and tariffs expectationsThe BRENT Crude (Brent Crude) price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 7444, 13th and 24th February swing low level. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 7444 level could target the downside support at 7245 followed by 7134 and 7050levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 7444 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 7530 resistance followed by 7640 levels. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BRENT
by TradeNation
Declining Brent and the New Energy ParadigmBy Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst Yesterday, marked by uncertainty and transformation in the energy sector, Brent crude oil for April delivery closed the London futures market session down 0.67% at $72.53 a barrel. This drop, which translated into a fall of 0.49 dollars with respect to the last trading on the Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE:ICE) - where the price had reached 73.02 dollars - reflects the volatility that currently characterizes the energy markets. Brent, considered the European oil benchmark, is experiencing fluctuations that respond both to geopolitical factors and to the strategic decisions of the major oil companies. In this context, there were important news on the international scene: the President of the United States, Donald Trump, and the Ukrainian President, Volodymir Zelenski, plan to sign this Friday an agreement in which Ukraine will share its natural resources. According to sources, this pact aims to bring about a “secure peace” in the country, which could redefine the flow of energy supplies and, in turn, impact the stability of crude oil prices. On the other hand, the reorientation of BP's corporate strategy adds another layer of complexity to the scenario. The British oil company announced that it will reduce its investments in renewable energies, figures that reached 5 billion dollars a year (approximately 4.75 billion euros), to focus on increasing crude oil and gas production. This strategic shift is part of the search for higher operating profits, in a context in which the energy transition has generated debates on the short and medium-term profitability of sustainable investments versus the traditional hydrocarbon business. BP's decision could be interpreted as a sign that, despite growing pressures to adopt cleaner energy sources, some market players are choosing to consolidate and leverage their operations in the fossil fuel sector. The strategy of cutting investments in renewables in favor of oil and gas production not only seeks to improve profit margins, but also to take advantage of the current situation of moderate market prices, despite the fluctuations evident in futures. The combination of these factors-the imminent signing of the Trump-Zelenski deal and BP's reorientation-suggests that the oil market is at an inflection point. On the one hand, the Ukraine deal could have implications for supply and, potentially, natural resource geopolitics, while on the other, BP's strategy could incentivize other companies to rethink their investments in the context of an accelerated energy transition. Technical analysis If we look at the chart it is possible to see that on February 3rd, 11th and 20th we have witnessed three resistances in oil's attempts to move up and recover price positions. The bearish slide initiated on the 20th has been prolonged until Monday, yesterday being a sideways day, the Asian session and today's European opening seems to have kept the price unchanged. Looking at the crosses of averages we have a bearish cross of averages started last Friday that has been widening its space. The RSI has marked a recovery from the excessive oversold 20% of the afternoon session and currently marks a recovery zone at 45.81%. It appears that the Christmas supports at $71.61 are holding for the time being after yesterday's small bounce. It is very likely that Trump's move will continue to pressure through tariff releases a bearish oil value to directly penalize the BRICs group countries very dependent on this particular asset. While the 0.67% decline in Brent may appear moderate, taken together with these developments, it reflects a juncture in which political uncertainty and strategic restructuring are combining to influence prices. The evolution of these factors will be decisive in determining the direction of the market in the coming weeks, both in terms of supply and demand. All in all, today's trading day evidences a changing energy landscape, with political and corporate players reconfiguring their strategies in the face of an increasingly dynamic and complex global environment. With the natural resources agreement on the horizon and BP's renewed commitment to hydrocarbons, the oil sector is preparing to face new challenges and opportunities in an era of change. Tomorrow's trading day will be relevant to see the U.S. oil inventories that can move the energy market. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:BRENTShort
by ActivTrades
Brent Crude Oil Short Setup: Break Below $72.73 for Further DownTrade Idea: Brent crude oil has been in a strong downtrend, with price currently consolidating near the $72.73 support level. The Fibonacci retracement suggests that price has struggled to reclaim key levels, and a breakdown below $72.73 could open the door for further downside momentum. Entry: Look for a confirmed break and retest of $72.73 as resistance to enter a short trade. A strong bearish candle close below this level increases the probability of further declines. Targets: First target (TP1): $71.17 (1.618 Fibonacci extension) Second target (TP2): Psychological level at $70.50 Stop Loss: Above $73.30 (recent consolidation highs), ensuring risk-reward remains favorable. Risk Management: A tight stop-loss strategy is crucial to avoid potential reversals. Adjust the stop-loss to breakeven once price reaches the first target. Confirmation Indicators: Increased selling volume after the breakdown. RSI and MACD confirming bearish momentum. This setup provides a high-probability short opportunity if Brent crude oil continues its downward trajectory, respecting technical levels.
OANDA:BCOUSDShort
by HUGO_DT150
#024 Trust The Process BCOUSD 1336SGT 25022025Buying BCO. Shall see what happens next. Price is currently at Major Support area, so, I think, unless if you are a contrarian trader, otherwise you would be buying in this situation. Of course, besides contrarian traders, there would be breakout traders, people seeing the " build up ", and all kinds of ideas. And I think, most traders lose money. Why? I am also a long term loser, hahaha. I have no idea why I lost for almost 10 years, too. March 2025 is my 9th year trading forex. I'm a short term winner, long term loser. 1339SGT 25022025
OANDA:BCOUSDLong
by goh8888lester
UKOIL (Brent Crude)UKOIL (Brent Crude) has recently tested a strong support level at $73.80, where buying pressure has prevented further declines. This level has historically acted as a significant price floor, indicating a potential reversal or continuation of bullish momentum. Bullish Scenario: As long as UKOIL remains above $73.80, we can expect an upward move toward the next resistance levels. The first key resistance is at $74.70, a level where sellers have previously shown interest. If price action remains strong, the next upside target would be $75.30. Bearish Scenario: If UKOIL fails to hold $73.80 and breaks below this level, it may signal a further decline.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_BRENTLong
by Pipsview_Analysis
BRENT Bearish capped by resistance at 7580The BRENT Crude (Brent Crude) price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 7580, 20th February swing low level. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 7580 level could target the downside support at 7373 followed by 7300 and 7242 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 7580 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 615 resistance followed by 7690 levels. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BRENT
by TradeNation
The Anticipation of Brent OilIn the bustling world of forex trading, Alex will be positioned at his screen, eyes fixed on the charts that pulse with potential. He will see Brent Oil at 76.20, and he will know that the price will touch a peak of 76.90. As he sips his coffee, he will remember the buzz in the trading forums: "Watch for any pullback." Pullbacks will be the key to unlocking great opportunities for those ready to act. With the blue EMA (Exponential Moving Average) just below the current price, Alex will feel a mix of excitement and tension. He will recognize that the blue EMA is his signal—a guiding line that could set the stage for a promising long trade. He will remind himself to be patient, recalling the strategy he has meticulously crafted over countless hours. The plan will be simple: wait for the price to pull back to the blue EMA before entering his position. He will know that this calculated move could lead to a rewarding trade, but he must remain vigilant. As he watches the price, he will notice a slight dip approaching the blue EMA. His heart will quicken; this could be the moment he’s been waiting for. He will prepare to act, fingers hovering over the mouse, ready to place his order as soon as the price touches that line. The market will be alive with possibilities, and Alex will feel the thrill of the impending trade. He will know that this moment could define his day, his week, even his trading career. As Brent Oil inches closer, he will hold his breath, waiting for the perfect opportunity to take his position and ride the wave back up. In that moment, anticipation will fill the air, and Alex will be ready to seize the chance that the market offers. The dance with Brent Oil will soon begin, and he will be poised for victory.
BLACKBULL:BRENTLong
by Rix1113
1