TradePlus-Fx|BRENT: closing the gap💬 Description: Oil quotes have been holding by buyers at current levels after the gap. The reason for the formation of the gap was the aggravated geopolitical situation in the Middle East. It should be noted that buyers even "overplaying", but there is no result, no growth is observed. In addition, it was no coincidence that the price hovered at the local level of 87.45, which is a medium-term area of liquidity accumulation. Based on the traditional our metrics, most likely in the near future we should expect a fall in order to cover the gap, as well as update local minimums.
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XBRUSD trade ideas
OIL WILL GO TO THE MOON FIRST !THE INTELLIGENCE SERVICE GAME
It is IMPOSSIBLE that the intelligence services (CIA, NSA, MOSSAD, SVR, MSS, ISI, RAW, MI6...) that have invested billions and billions in monitoring "every click," every "audio" message left on an encrypted messaging platform (i.e. Pegasus), COULD NOT have been aware that HAMAS was arming itself in preparation for an operation and suddenly became ineffective!
So if all the services were aware of the "scam," how did the opposing party anticipate managing this potential stumbling block?
SET MOOD AND ESTABLISH THE SCENE BEFORE THE ARMS RACE BEGINS THEN COMODITIES WILL FOLLOW
The internal security of a state depends on the quality of services provided by its protecting intelligence agencies
The failure of Western services in prediction, but above all, the conviction that the Russians were 30 years behind, becomes glaringly evident. Otherwise a part of them knew it (CIA, MI6) and chose to misinform EVERYONE to sow chaos with the aim of boosting markets and generating demand.
I always claimed this difference between USA and Russia in the fact that one are Poker players, and the others are chess players.
In poker, it's not just about knowing how to lie, but also about knowing how to raise the stakes or play probabilities to determine the strongest hand on the table.
The lack of information about one's potential can only be estimated through a provocation close to the borders; this is the opportunity the Americans seized in 2014 to overthrow the Ukrainian gvt. and repeat what they tried in 1936 by arming Poland (the former concept of the sanitary cordon).
How can they switch from a theater of war into another ? Easy ! It is a question of manipulating public opinion as they already did in 9/11 to SAVE AMERICA from the crisis.
Generally, we learn from our mistakes to avoid repeating them. And it's during an armed conflict that we delve into history to understand its origins. One must believe that only in fashion does a cyclical phenomenon exist. Without wanting to resort to sarcasm, artificially creating a conflict by using HAMAS to justify a local intervention is truly treating people like fools.
The image war is primarily the one that targets public opinion at the expense of the invisible mechanisms that are set in motion, in order to make the 'pill' go down more smoothly.
DEDOLLARIZATION TAKES A BACKSEAT, OIL FIRST !
Do not ignore that the USMCA (formerly NAFTA) still remains the largest consumer market ahead of the EEA.
What is vulnerable or fragile for one state is an opportunity for another.
The composition of teams is now known to all. The G7 against the BRICs, gradually marking the end of a G20, some countries seize an opportunity in investing in newly available areas (Africa is an example).
As we observe a blatant loss of the former Western colonies, on which the latter built its wealth, it is entirely normal to see a conservative mechanism at play, detaching/tearing away the European zone at all costs to preserve the development of its own economic activity, much like a dog would defend its stake.
From an objective standpoint, the Soviet Union and Europe share a similar economic framework :
> A zone bringing together a group of states
> Free movement of goods and individuals within it
> The development of common projects using different parts of the zone
> But above all, a common currency
So, It took time to establish a common currency, therefore dedollarization won't happen right away
And where some of them failed to stand out in creating alternatives to the dollar as they all got eliminated (HUSSEIN, KADHAFI, CHAVEZ), the probability that the BRICS succeed in this global "decentralization" becomes more and more evident. This is one of the reasons that is increasingly appealing to countries wishing to join this organisation.
There is a certain logic if one looks at the geographic perspective of the 6 new members who have joined the BRICS, that it is imperative to secure the area to supply the new markets (Middle East / Africa), and consequently gain full control of the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden (part of the BRI).
Israel is merely an opportunity for the West to slow down the development of this project !
Therefore, to return to this "small" war of secret service cartels, MOSSAD (and indirectly the CIA) could not have been unaware that Hamas was arming itself progressively, but above all, qualitatively. One might even assume that it was evident to anticipate, following the abandonment of 50 billion dollars worth of military equipment in Afghanistan, just like the initiation of the Marshall Plan for Ukraine in the supply of heavier weaponry, a scenario concocted from scratch to set up this new theater of war!
Something tells me that the cancelled cereal deal by the Russians has something to do with it...
What are you ready to do at any cost ?
www.macrotrends.net
No matter the price you put into it, it will be nothing compared to the resources of governments !
In conclusion, not only have you been manipulated in a 'scam' with war images you could never have imagined seeing in 1973, but you will all watch how the price of a barrel will skyrocket and get ready to pay your "full of tank" 5 times more expensive.
Russia's deputy PM NOVAK on NSE:OIL prices by year end : "Market sets the prices itself"
Why? Quite simply because the geographical area of the conflict is composed of OPEC, and therefore the likelihood of a refinery receiving a 'stray missile' is very significant.
As a result, the "Peace Makers" have decided to replenish their coffers to continue funding the production of ammunition...
FOR THE PLAYERS :
The last week close, before the busy weekend from the Gaza Strip left a gap between 84.90$ and 85.95$. There are barely 0.24$ left to close this one.
The experience of 1973 raised the thermometer by over 35$ (from 28$ to 65$) initially, ultimately ending above 146$ over the decade following the conflict.
147.5$ was the 2008's ATH (we know the reason...)
138.4$ was the Russia's SMO over Ukraine, which shows the first attempt to Break the Creek
Pull back above 92.63$ will trigger my Swing LONG
STOP BUY > 92.63$ | STOP LOSS 79$
TARGET 1 > 147.50$
TARGET 2 > 215.32$
Just take a look of 1973-1983 chart to understand !
I don't make the rules!
Crude oil I've been watching oil closely for the last two months. I would like to say that oil is a trending instrument, we started the decline from 95$ per barrel and fell quite rapidly until the conflict in the Middle East. all news resources said that oil rose in price on the background of this news. Technically, I was waiting for this upward correction. But if the war will really be global, the price of oil should be cheap to strengthen the US and the dollar, and these goals began to be fulfilled. In what way?
I have written about this many times, that what we trade is futures oil, in the financial market, and the main players in futures oil are City Bank, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase
read more
Best regards EXCAVO
Brent Oil: Ready for a Rally?Brent oil prices have skyrocketed in recent months, from about $70 a barrel in June to more than $90 a barrel today. This is due to a number of factors, including:
Fundamentals
Tight supply:
OPEC+ has cut output to support prices and there are concerns about supply disruptions from Russia due to the ongoing war in Ukraine.
Strong demand:
Global oil demand is recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic and is expected to continue growing in the coming months.
Weaker US Dollar:
A weaker US dollar makes oil more affordable for buyers using other currencies.
Technicals
30-minute chart: Brent oil is currently trading in a bullish trend channel on the 30-minute chart. The RSI indicator is above 50, suggesting that buyers are in control. The MACD indicator is also bullish, with the MACD line above the signal line and the histogram turning positive.
4-hour chart: On the 4-hour chart, Brent oil is also trading in a bullish trend channel. The RSI indicator is above 50, and the MACD indicator is bullish, with the MACD line above the signal line and the histogram turning positive.
Daily chart: On the daily chart, Brent oil is trading above its 200-day moving average, which is a bullish signal. The RSI indicator is above 50, and the MACD indicator is bullish, with the MACD line above the signal line and the histogram turning positive.
Conclusion
Overall, the fundamental and technical outlook for Brent oil is bullish. Prices could continue to rise in the coming days and weeks, especially if there are any supply disruptions or if the US dollar continues to weaken.
The increase in Brent Crude ⛽️Oil⛽️ prices due to the WAR🚀➕15%😔Unfortunately, in recent days, there has been a war between Israel and Palestine, and I hope that this war will end as soon as possible.🙏🙏🙏
🧐Now, how can the effect of this war show itself in the oil chart❗️❓
💡At the same time, as geopolitical tensions increase throughout the Middle East , oil prices are likely to rise even more. Meanwhile, US Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) are down to just 17 days , the lowest in history. This is almost half the historical average of 33 days dating back to 1990 .
💡In addition, OPEC this week reaffirmed its commitment to voluntarily cut production to a ceiling of more than 1.5 million barrels per day.
💡In the days when Russian crude oil exports are limited, and the world's largest oil producers are also at war.
😱There's never been a worse time to have an unloaded SPR than today.
📈In terms of technical analysis, Brent Crude Oil is moving near the bottom of the ascending channel , 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and SMA(100) .
🔔I expect that starting next week, the trend of Brent Crude ⛽️Oil⛽️ will rise and at least reach the 🔴 Resistance zone($100.48_$95.80) 🔴 again( ➕15%) .
⛽️Brent Crude Oil⛽️Analyze (USDBRO), Daily time frame ⏰.
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UKOIL Waves UpdateHello Traders, Base on technical and wave analysis we see this scenario for #UKOIL for next move. let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Oil Brent - H4Oil Brent
The ABC correction structure has come to an end - You can observe an impulse rebound after the fall, which could lead to further growth and the 5th wave on W1
The nearest target is at 95.90
What can you expect now?
You can consider entering from current price levels, but reduce the risks. Or wait for the breakdown of the level of 88.90
When opening a position, it is best to exit the position from the level of 83.30, if this scenario does not materialize. You should be careful, since the first wave is impulsive and the correction to this wave may be stronger than it is now.
Targets 92.40 - 94.50 - 95.90 - 97.90
THE WORLD IS CHANGING, SO IS THE OIL PRICE MOVEMENTSCAPITALCOM:OIL_BRENT
On the fundamental side, Brent oil prices have been supported by a number of factors in recent months, including:
Strong global economic growth, which has boosted demand for oil.
Supply disruptions caused by the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.
The decision by OPEC+ to cut production by 2 million barrels per day.
The war in Iran, which has raised concerns about further supply disruptions.
However, there are also some headwinds facing Brent oil prices, including:
The potential for a global economic recession, which would reduce demand for oil.
The release of oil from strategic reserves by the United States and other countries.
The increasing popularity of electric vehicles, which could reduce demand for oil in the long term.
Overall, the fundamental outlook for Brent oil is bullish. The factors supporting prices are likely to outweigh the headwinds in the near term, but there are some risks to the upside potential.
Technical analysis
On the technical side, Brent oil is currently in an uptrend. On the 30-minute chart, the price is above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and the RSI indicator is above 50. This suggests that the bulls are in control and that the price is likely to continue to rise in the near term.
On the 4-hour chart, the price is also above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and the MACD indicator is giving a bullish crossover signal. This further confirms the uptrend on the 4-hour chart.
On the daily chart, the price is also above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and the RSI indicator is above 50. This suggests that the uptrend is likely to continue on the daily chart as well.
Elliott wave analysis
Elliott wave analysis suggests that Brent oil is currently in the fifth wave of a five-wave Elliott wave sequence. This means that the price is likely to continue to rise until it reaches its target, which is around $100 per barrel.
Conclusion
Overall, the fundamental and technical outlook for Brent oil is bullish. The price is likely to continue to rise in the near term, with a target of around $100 per barrel. However, investors should be aware of the risks posed by a potential global economic recession and the ongoing war in Iran.
Additional thoughts on the war in Iran
The war in Iran is a significant wildcard for the oil market. If the war escalates, it could lead to a major disruption in oil supplies, which would send prices soaring. However, it is also possible that the war will be resolved quickly, with minimal impact on the oil market.
Investors should closely monitor the situation in Iran and be prepared to adjust their positions accordingly.
I am deeply saddened by any war and the conflicts happening around the world. My heart goes out to all those who have been affected by this violence.
I know that words alone cannot heal the pain of those who have lost loved ones or been displaced from their homes. However, I want to express my solidarity with all those who are suffering and to let them know that they are not alone.
I believe that peace and understanding are essential for a better future. I hope that we can find a way to resolve these conflicts peacefully and build a more just and equitable world for all.
This being said, coming back to our analysis, good luck everyone in your financial decisions.
Strifor || UKOIL-10/09/2023Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: Monday's oil gap surprised everyone, but given this geopolitical background, this is not surprising in principle. The strengthening of oil is most likely short-term and a fall can be expected soon. Most likely it will be in the middle of this week. The goal of the fall will, of course, be closing the gap, and even moving lower.
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Gold and Oil Gap Higher on Middle East ConflictContent:
Amidst escalating tensions in the Middle East, both oil and gold prices have gapped higher in early trading on Monday. Let’s delve into the factors driving these market moves.
Oil Prices Surge Amidst Middle East Unrest
While Israel itself is not a major oil producer, there are worries that the conflict in the Middle East could lead to tougher enforcement of sanctions on oil from Iran, a nation that has supported Hamas.
Additionally, the conflict could complicate efforts by the U.S. to normalise relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel. This, in turn, might affect Saudi Arabia's willingness to increase its oil output.
Brent crude, the international benchmark has gapped back above the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) from the June swing lows and briefly flirted with the 50 Day Moving Average (see chart below).
Brent Crude Daily Candle Chart
Gold Prices Reflect Safe-Haven Demand
Gold, often viewed as a safe-haven asset, has also gapped higher this morning, driven by growing concerns over geopolitical tensions.
The precious metal's price has surged as investors seek refuge from uncertainty and global instability. Geopolitical conflicts, such as the one in the Middle East, often drive investors toward safe-haven assets like gold.
On the price chart (below), we can see that this morning’s bullish gap has followed Friday’s bounce from key support. Prices are now within touching distance of the VWAP anchored to the September swing highs and this is an area which may provide resistance moving forward.
Gold Spot Price Daily Candle Chart
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance.
Israel Under Attack, Oil Prices Rise Sharply On Friday, trading in WTI oil futures on the NYMEX closed at USD 82.81 per barrel. And on Monday morning, they opened at a price of USD 85.25 and began to quickly rise in price, reaching 87.24. Natural gas prices have also risen sharply.
The reason is Saturday's attack on Israel. And, of course, associations arise with the oil crisis of 1973, when Arab oil-producing countries refused to supply raw materials to the United States and other allies that supported Israel. Then the price of a barrel rose from USD 3 to 12 in six months.
Is such a 4-fold increase possible after 50 years? The rise in oil prices seems to hint at this possibility. Nothing can be ruled out. Although the US created a strategic reserve as a result of the oil crisis, it was greatly depleted due to the fight against inflation.
Technical analysis of the WTI oil price market shows that:
→ the price pushed off the lower border of the blue ascending channel, finding support around USD 84;
→ the price may fall to the lower border of the downward red channel to close the gap;
→ resistance to growth can be provided by both the median line of the red descending channel and the psychological level of USD 90.
However, the main price driver should be expected to be news related to Israel and the position of Arab oil producers.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
The Price of Black Gold: A Poetic Analysis
-- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator that measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions in the price of a stock or other asset.
-- The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of prices.
-- The MACD for Brent Oil is currently above the signal line and in positive territory. This suggests that the uptrend in Brent Oil remains intact.
-- Potential Direction for Brent Oil
Based on the Elliott Wave, RSI, MACD, and other technical tactics, the potential direction for Brent Oil on the weekly timeframe is bullish.
Brent Oil is likely to continue its uptrend, with the next target being the 100 USD level. However, if Brent Oil breaks below the 80 USD level, it would suggest that the uptrend is at risk.
-- Factors That Could Affect the Analysis
There are a number of factors that could affect the analysis of Brent Oil, including:
Global economic growth: A strong global economy will lead to increased demand for oil, which would support prices.
Geopolitical tensions: Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and other oil-producing regions could lead to supply disruptions, which would boost prices.
US monetary policy: The US Federal Reserve is raising interest rates in an effort to combat inflation. This could lead to a slowdown in the global economy and a decline in oil demand, which would weigh on prices.
Overall, the technical outlook for Brent Oil is bullish on the weekly timeframe. However, investors should be aware of the factors that could affect the analysis and should adjust their positions accordingly.
-- Additional Notes
It is important to note that no technical analysis is perfect, and the price of Brent Oil could move in a way that is not anticipated by the analysis above.
Investors should always do their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BRENT OIL ( UK OIL ) LONG term Trade AnalysisHello Traders
In This Chart UK OIL HOURLY Forex Forecast By Forex Planet
today UKOIL analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (UKOIL market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on UKOIL Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This Video is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts.
SasanSeifi 💁♂️Brent 👉1D🔼 90 / 94 Hey there! 😊
On the daily chart, As you can see, the trend turned quite bullish after it broke past that pesky resistance at 78 and overcame the dynamic resistance too. Right now, it's hanging out around 86. Fingers crossed, if it stays above the 82 mark, we could see it making its way up to the 90.70 resistance level and even touching the long-term supply zone. If it keeps climbing, we'll want to keep an eye on how it interacts with those resistance spots. Let's see where it goes from here! 🚀
Just keep these scenarios in mind as you analyze the market. Remember, things can always change unexpectedly, so stay flexible in your trading approach.❗
Wishing you loads of success in your trading adventures, my friend!✌
❎ (DYOR)...⚠️⚜️
Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!
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Brent OIL - 200dmaBrent oil price has returned to the 200day moving average and a previous support zone.
Wedge breakdown TP1 is 81.60
MACD crossover signaled the loss of momentum + double top.
RSI is approaching oversold.
The **200-day moving average** is a technical indicator used to analyze long-term trends. It's a line that represents the average closing price for the last 200 days. If the price is consistently above the 200-day moving average, it's an upward trend. If it's below, it's a downtrend. The 200-day moving average can also be used to identify key levels in the market. When shorter-term moving averages cross the 200-day moving average, it can signal changes in the trend.
$UKOIL could revisit $105 by early 2024Hi guys! 👋🏻
🔔 Brent Crude may revisit $105 based on this weekly chart, on a longer term, we might see the price of the oil to rise to $170.
🔔 The US is easening the access to the market for Iran, whereas Iran reported that it will increase its production to fulfill the market's demand.
🔔 On the other side, OPEC will take necessary measures to keep the price higher by either cutting the production or negotiating with Iran on global oil production quota.
🔔 Iran's access to the global market won't intie Iran's hands on producing and selling oil at its will, as the state is also a long-time member of the Cartel.
✊🏻 Good luck with your trades! ✊🏻
If you like the idea hit the 👍🏻 button, follow me for more ideas.
Oil Brent - H4Oil Brent
You can already see the formation of an ABC correction - if the price does not form a full-fledged three-wave structure and turns the trend downward.
The nearest target is at 87.50
What can you expect now?
You can consider entering from current price levels, but reduce the risks . When opening a position, it is best to exit the position from the level of 91.50, if this scenario does not materialize. You should be careful, as this is a correctional formation.
Targets 89.15 - 88.20 - 87.50