XCHUSDT trade ideas
Bottomed or it will going deeper to 20?Hi there!
I am still a big Chia fan still and never give up only in case if this project die.
For now, news that Chia fired 26 of its 70 employees was push the price under very strong multi support level and psychological level of 20 USD is nearby and a few scenarios is possible! Much depend on next BTC movement also for sure. First scenario is backtest to Fibonacci 61.8 level what is at same place where was the lowest low. Rejection is possible from there but if the price going above the multi support level everything can happen (we need some very good Chia fundamentals for that).
Price can also go directly to 20 from this point, but for now probability for backtest to 25 zone is look little higher for now.
Good luck traders, farmers and holders :-)
XCH. Exit liquidity.Is it likely that the future CHIA utility will be so niche that price will not be capable of upward movement, given the constant miners pressure. Mining is about making a profit and only then maintaining the network security. The price will need to go through many trade levels since the initial move was down and the price was extremely high. Every CHIA investor must understand that you risk being stuck in an asset for years, given the vague factor of the wallets availability, which will prevail over the circulating supply by 3.5 times.
If this project is successful, you will be an average investor, buyback a position over many years. Because even if active holders/CHIA supply reach parity of the circulating supply with two gigantic wallets, they can dump to 0.
In order to reduce the price impact of these two giant wallets, CHIA circulating supply would need to be around 280,000,000 coins. Then you will limit the emission/influence of these wallets to 10%. But even then, their influence remains enormous. You can safely multiply future circulation by 2-3 in order to reduce the dependence of the coin price rate relative to these two wallets. Otherwise, this is not decentralization.
CHIA is 5 percent from its historical bottom .
Chia - Long Term HoldThis one isn't so much of a technical entry as much of a long term buy and hold position.
Technically this could be a right translated cycle low as we have already exceeded the previous low by a couple weeks.
Chia's proof of space and time takes the best of Bitcoin and Ethereum and combines them into one block chain. They are also the only ones who did it correctly in terms of releasing the coin under the proper rule structure. Make sure you do your research on this one.
Compared to the value of the Ethereum, this coin has room to really run.
Cheers
Chia network and few words about regulationRegulations are coming, I have been talking about this for a long time, but even the projects themselves are not ready. Projects that will not be affected by the regulation are Bitcoin, Chia, Eth, Dydx, Rose, Astar, Shaiden network, Compound, Aptos, Flow, Kusama, Dot, Imx, Mina, etc..
Of course, some projects have their risks.
I have an assumption that the liquidity can flow into those in which there is less risk from the regulation side.
There are no public sales and initial sales of tokens in Chia . There have funds, but they had not received coins.
The ideal situation for a project - no public sale and the funds are not receive tokens, and there are only farmed tokens in circulation.
Who will survive the regulation is an open question, but I am sure in Bitcoin, Chia, Eth . There may be questions to the latter, but they will solve them.
It all depends on the project: how ready the team for and what kind of security they have to pay the fine. To what extent they have prepared documents that their public sale took place according to a coordinated legal process, most likely Coinlist was secured by such documents. Subsequently, the projects that came out there will be legal: Flow, Mina, Near..
Rose - no public sale, just an airdrop for USDC stakers on the Coinlist platform.
Astar had a lock-drop in exchange for the pledged eth and had an auction for parachains. There should be no questions about such a project.
Mina - there was a public sale, but it was on the Coinlist , and maybe from a legal point of view - everything was correct.
Dydx - there was no public sale, there was a private sale, and there were rewards and drops for activity. Looks more reliable than Mina, Flow, and others.
Aptos - the airdrop and private sale.
I can't tell you about all the projects.
Do your own research. The main thing is to understand where there was no public sale (or very legally correct) and a right private sale (or better without it). There are no such projects except for CHIA . Therefore, I bought this project for 10% of the portfolio.
Best regards, EXCAVO
XCH looking good in this rangeAfter the price drops massively the first year after trading started from the low volume ~1k USD per XCH during feature trading and a peak up above 2k USD the price now is in a range between ~30 USD and ~50 USD. The network space slowly started to grow ~10% since january 2023 and can be considered stable since july 2022. The node count is ~115k (ETH ~7k, BTC ~17k). The inflation is still high with ~9k XCH per day, 1st halving is ~ Q1 2024. Meanwhile the circulating supply reaches 25% of the total supply, 75% is hold by the Chia Company. The company announced a few days ago to have submited the registration to the U.S. SEC. In my opinion that is a positive sign but it should also not be overrated at this point. They still need to build valueable partnerships and the global market may dip again. ETH could build up sell pressure or other bad news can shock that market again. On the other side people could buy crypto because they think it is worth more in the future than keeping their fiat. I also still expect the tech market to dip again and maybe the financial market too. I just hope that china does not do the russian a**h*** move and invades it's neighbors too. Climate crises also can have a bigger impact on the markets the next years than many expect. I am still surprised that people think that buying a Tesla or "green" fuel does save us from destroing our own environment we need to live in. I just hope for a bullrun or two before the people wake up. ;-) But who knows what happens next, pls tell me. ;-)
As always, no financial advice.
Chia XCH looks for a temporary pull back and start to an uptrendDouble long-legged doji on the daily marks a potential reversal downward during the short term. Levels almost certainly to be tested:
- $42.85
- $42.02
- $41.19
Top daily wick looks to have established a trend line using a pitchfork where HKEX:52 to HKEX:62 are the top-side limits on the daily. Of course a down-side risk is well in play around $30. Retesting and holding that level (or HKEX:27 at the lowest) would probably mark a bottom since a triple bottom was already plumbed in the high twenties over the past year.
Chia is a blockchain founded and currently maintained by Bram Cohen (BitTorrent inventor). Chia uses proof of space, limited supply (near Bitcoin's total supply number), and low energy to offer the functionally of CRYPTOCAP:ETH with the privacy, decentralization, and scarcity of CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Level that we are waiting for!!!Hi there.
And finally, here we are!
Many good news at Chia !Farming with madMAx Gigahorse Compressed Plots is started already. New wallet, updated web page and many good news from developers also If the whole market turn to bullish or even stay in consolidation mode XCH have a chance for next big move to the upside!
If the whole market starts to decline than this should wait a little!
Good luck traders!!!
XCH. The only way for chia - fork.Fork to move chia into a "community project". Fork that will completely REMOVE PREFARM. You will start with 1 block by mining the first XCH and start building. Also, advice for fanatical adherents led by "opinion leaders" communities. DO NOT AVERAGE THE PURCHASE PRICE. If you're willing to risk throwing your money into it, don't do it with a fanatical belief that it's a "second bitcoin". There were dozens of second bitcoins, now they are called ruined lives. XCH is a completely ordinary project, with a different form of mining - that's it. Do not build castles in the air - the fall can be too steep.
XCH can go down againThe downtrend is still intact even after the +100% from ATL to it's last high (+65% to current price tag). I am not very optimistic that it will keep staying above the daily MA50. If it stays above the next challange will be to get above the weekly MA20.
* It is possible that the price will rise over the resistance, that could also bring the trend above the weekly MA20
* Price can stay between ~ 35 and ~ 45 USD for a while in a sideway trend
* It is likely, especially if BTC and ETH dump again, that the bottom will be retested
* It is possible that the "maybe bottom" is not the bottom. Next bottom target would be ~ 15 to 20 USD in that case
As always, no financial advice, just my 5 cent.
XCH head & ShouldersWhat Is Chia Network (XCH)?
Chia Network (XCH) is a layer 1 blockchain that uses its own custom-designed programming language called Chialisp and a novel consensus mechanism called proof-of-space-and-time (PoST). The combination of these two allows the blockchain to use less energy without compromising network security. In contrast to most other blockchains, Chia Network is a public, for-profit, open source company that aspires to become listed on NYSE or NASDAQ. Its blockchain is aimed at enterprise use, which is why Chia Network plans to have XCH on its balance sheet in case of a listing.
Chia Network’s first proof-of-time function was released in 2019, with the first beta version of its blockchain launching in 2020. Chia Network achieved full functionality, including wallet functionality, transactions and smart contracts, with its mainnet launch in 2021.
Up or Down? If volume keeps ticking up we could see another big move.
Unexpected +100% - maybe more pump, or a dump back to realityI rly did not expect the XCH USD price to rise quickly that much. Maybe it happend because of the low volume and because the two quick dumps before and therefore the sell pressure was low. The general downtrend is still intact. I am curious if and when we will see a retest of the resistance arround 30 USD and if it can hold. I am also very curious how high the price can rise. I still expect a decreasing price below 20 USD in mid term because of the high supply before the first halving will happen in ~ Q1 2024. But we will see. At the moment farming is still not covering the costs for many people, even with the still decreasing netspace. This could result in more farmers to hodl and waiting for higher prices to sell at and therefore lower the real supply at the market. And AFAIK there are no major announcements in the pipeline for rly big unique features or new industrial, financial or state partners. I also don't expect the company to go public within the current global market situation.
As always: No financial advice, just my thoughts.