APC trade ideas
AAPL: Testing Support with Bearish Signals🔥 LucanInvestor's Strategy:
🩸 Short: Below $229.47, targeting $225 and $220. MACD remains bearish, and the price is below the 9-day EMA.
🩸 Long: Above $236.07, aiming for $240 and $246. A recovery above the 9-day EMA could trigger renewed buying interest.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $236.07 — A key level for bulls to reclaim upward momentum.
🩸 Support: $229.47 — Immediate support; breaking below this could intensify bearish pressure.
Apple (AAPL) is trading under bearish pressure, with MACD indicating continued weakness and the price below the 9-day EMA ($236.07). Elevated selling volume supports the current downtrend. A sustained move above $236.07 is needed to signal a potential reversal.
👑 "Master the moment when the market tests your conviction." — LucanInvestor
New Easy Play on Apple for EveryoneHello everyone, thank you for following me! If you're keeping up with the EASY PLAY idea series, here's a fresh one for 2025! As we've seen (and as you can check in my TW ideas), with AAPL, we've predicted every move: from the June idea with the pre-earnings candlestick pattern, to the March retracement stalemate with all targets hit, and up to the most recent idea with the triangle chart formation, which we fully achieved even before it was completed.
With all these fantastic gains, we can confidently say that my technical approach to APPLE works. So, here’s a simple idea for any trader, which could lead us to even more profits!
So let's proceed: we have Apple in a retracement phase after taking our profits with the target achieved using Fibonacci, precise and reliable. Apple dropped after reaching our target zone (see the Apple idea on my profile). Now, we move to buy in the lower green zone to sell immediately in the upper green zone, and the game is done! SIMPLE IDEAS ARE ALWAYS THE BEST.
INNOVATION TAKES APPLE TO NEW HIGHSApple has reached all times high, touching the price level of $237. This milestone underscores the tech giants sustained growth and investor optimism in its future prospects. Over the past year ,Apple has seen its stock value increase by an impressive 32.41% ,reflecting the company's s strong financial performance ,innovative product lineup, and robust consumer demand. Technically , apple is trending in a bullish triangle, breaking this triangle will bring new growth of about $266-270. BUY UP
Apple Significant Chart TopApple's stock has topped, and is rolling over.
Bearish chart is glaringly obvious.
KST peaked in early Dec 2024, and bearishly crossed
before the final blowoff peak in the stock at 260
Support now is at 220. That looks short term shaky.
Target for the move down is the prior high of 190.
Buffet has been selling its enormous position in 2024
Rallies in this perennial bull market market leader should be sold,
until further notice.
AAPL Last 228.26
THE_UNWIND
WOODS OF CONNECTICUT
Apple (AAPL) | Time to Buy When Everyone is BearishHere's a trade setup idea based on recent analysis:
Trade Plan:
- Entry Zone: Consider a buy within the green support box (~$217.80 - $224.76).
- Stop Loss: Place it below $213.56 to limit risk.
Targets:
- Target 1: $245.60
- Target 2: $269.22 (higher resistance zone)
Reasoning:
- The stock appears to be in a corrective phase within a strong uptrend.
- Expecting a rebound from the green support area based on Fibonacci levels and Elliott Wave analysis.
The overall trend remains bullish, with potential for higher highs after this pullback.
AAPL at a Critical Level! Key Trade Setups for This Week Analysis:
AAPL is showing significant weakness after a clear rejection near the $260-$265 resistance zone, forming a downward trajectory. It has broken below key support levels, now testing the $228-$230 range. The steep drop suggests bearish momentum is strong, as confirmed by the MACD crossing below zero and Stochastic RSI hovering in the oversold territory. Volume has also spiked, indicating potential capitulation in the short term.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance Levels:
* $240: Psychological resistance, aligned with a call wall.
* $244-$245: Major GEX resistance with limited upside if reached.
* $260-$265: Strong overhead resistance zone.
* Support Levels:
* $227-$228: Current key support where PUT walls provide temporary stabilization.
* $220: Next critical support, aligning with strong GEX negative levels.
GEX Insights:
* Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* Negative GEX levels dominate, indicating market makers are positioned for higher volatility.
* PUT support: Strong at $227-$225, but breaching this level could accelerate selling.
* Options Activity:
* IVR: Elevated at 53.3, signaling high implied volatility.
* Call-to-Put Ratio: Puts dominate, with bearish bets intensifying near $227-$230.
Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Break above $232.50 with volume confirmation.
* Target: $240 (first target), $244 (extended target).
* Stop-Loss: Below $228.
Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Break below $227 with increasing selling pressure.
* Target: $220 (first target), $213 (extended target).
* Stop-Loss: Above $232.
Directional Bias:
Bearish bias dominates, with a high likelihood of testing lower levels unless $227 holds firm. The broader structure points to a continuation of the downtrend, particularly if overall market sentiment remains weak.
Actionable Suggestions:
* For Scalpers: Focus on shorting rallies into resistance at $232-$235.
* For Swing Traders: Monitor the $220-$227 zone for potential breakdown or bounce opportunities.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
APPLE POSSIBLE BUY?The market is currently testing the current Weekly 0.786 Fib area. Based on Daily TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
APPLE - Bullish Setup at Channel SupportApple stock has recently rejected a significant support zone, which aligns with the lower boundary of the ascending channel. This rejection was accompanied by a strong bullish candlestick, signaling renewed buying momentum. The price is now positioned for a potential move toward the $250.00 level.
This setup suggests further bullish continuation as long as the support zone holds. Traders may look for additional signs of buying strength as the price approaches higher levels.
Apple: Bearish Movements Face the Most Important Barrier Apple's stock has experienced a decline of over 9% from its peak price of $260 , recorded during the last days of December. The stock has seen a reduction in market confidence, with selling positions now dominating.
Crucial Barrier: The current $234 zone serves as a critical support level, where the upward trendline, the 100-period moving average, and the 61.8% Fibonacci level converge. This is now the most solid barrier to consider for the long-term upward trend. Persistent bearish oscillations that manage to break below this level could dismantle the current bullish formation and pave the way for a potential sustained bearish movement.
MACD: Both MACD lines maintain a negative slope, and the histogram oscillates below the indicator's neutral 0 level. This indicates that, on average, bearish oscillations in recent periods have been significantly stronger, and selling pressure may increase as the histogram continues to diverge further from the 0 line.
By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
Apple Inc. (AAPL) Comprehensive Market Analysis and StrategyGreetings traders and investors! Denis Mikheev here with an in-depth analysis of Apple Inc. (AAPL) using advanced tools from TheWaved™. Buckle up as we dive into the technical, fundamental, and price action analysis to forecast price movements and provide actionable trading strategies.
Current Market Overview
Apple’s current price stands at $235.43, approximately 9.48% below its absolute high of $260.10 reached on December 26, 2024. Despite this pullback, the stock shows strong resilience, supported by robust fundamentals and technical setups.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support Zones:
$228.75
$224.05
$217.13
Resistance Zones:
$237.05
$242.41
$244.67
Key Levels for Monitoring:
Powerful Resistance at $258.55
Critical Support at $217.55
Technical Indicators Analysis
Moving Averages (1-hour interval):
MA50: $238.39
MA100: $241.09
MA200: $247.59
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
1-hour RSI: 49.41 (neutral zone)
Daily RSI: 34.6 (oversold zone suggests potential reversal)
Volume Indicators:
MFI60 (Money Flow Index): 49.28 (neutral, no divergence noted).
Key Patterns and Historical Analysis
From recent pattern sequences:
January 13, 2025: Increased Sell Volumes with a 6.84% movement, indicating short-term bearish pressure.
January 10, 2025: Multiple “Sell Volumes Take Over” patterns with mixed buy and sell signals.
January 8, 2025: VSA Buy Pattern Extra suggests a medium-term bullish rebound pending confirmation.
These patterns align with a potential range-bound movement in the near term before a decisive breakout.
Price Action Analysis
Apple’s price action over the past week has formed a consolidative structure near key support levels. Observations include:
Lower highs and consistent testing of the $228.75 support.
A potential inverted head-and-shoulders pattern forming on the 1-hour chart, with a neckline at $237.05.
Price tightly correlates with the 50-day MA, suggesting a tug-of-war between bulls and bears.
Fundamental Insights
Apple’s upcoming quarterly results are projected to beat consensus estimates, driven by robust iPhone and service segment sales. Furthermore, macroeconomic conditions, such as softening interest rate hikes, could favor tech stocks in the medium term.
Trading Strategy
Short-Term Strategy:
Entry: Buy near $228.75 support level.
Stop Loss: $224.05 to minimize downside risk.
Targets:
$237.05
$242.41
Confirmation: Look for RSI divergence or a bullish engulfing candle.
Medium-Term Strategy:
Monitor breakout above $237.05 for long positions.
Resistance to Watch: $244.67 and $250.34.
Use trailing stops to secure profits.
Long-Term Strategy:
Accumulate near $217.13 if tested, considering its historical significance as a strong support level.
Target: $258.55 with a 6-12 month horizon.
Risk Management
Employ disciplined risk management:
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Maintain a minimum of 1:2.
Position Sizing: Limit exposure to 2% of your trading capital per trade.
Stop-Loss Placement: Use dynamic stop-loss levels based on ATR (Average True Range).
Market Outlook
1. Short-Term: Expect consolidation between $228.75 and $237.05, with potential for a breakout.
2. Medium-Term: A bullish continuation is likely if $242.41 resistance is cleared.
3. Long-Term: A test of the $258.55 resistance is probable, contingent on broader market sentiment.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement.
Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases.
Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray.
Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel.
How to Use Rays
Historical Analysis: On historical charts, observe how price interacted with rays. This helps evaluate how often levels defined by rays led to significant movement changes.
Real-Time Monitoring: By observing current price behavior relative to rays, you can highlight key points where scenarios such as reversal or continuation are likely.
Confirmation Tool: Rays do not replace other analysis methods but enhance them, adding a structured perspective on market behavior.
Conclusion
Apple remains a solid investment with clear technical setups and a favorable long-term outlook. Utilizing TheWaved™ tools, we’ve pinpointed actionable strategies to navigate its price movements effectively. Remember to follow your trading plan and adapt to market conditions.
For any queries or further clarifications, feel free to reach out via direct messages. All our professional-grade indicators are accessible via the link in our profile. Let’s trade smarter, not harder!
Stay disciplined and trade safely,
Denis Mikheev
TheWaved™
AAPL: Bearish Momentum and Short-term Risk🔥 LucanInvstor's Strategy:
🩸 Short: Below $233.06, targeting $220.63 and $210. The MACD is negative, and the price remains below both the 9-day and 200-day EMAs, signaling a continued downtrend.
🩸 Long: Above $247.37, targeting $250 and $260. A breakout above resistance could lead to a reversal of the bearish trend, but the current trend remains bearish.
🔥 LucanInvstor's Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $247.37 — A key resistance level; breaking above this could signal a shift towards a bullish trend.
🩸 Support: $233.06 — A critical support level; a breakdown below this could lead to further declines.
Apple continues to face bearish pressure, with negative momentum indicated by MACD and the price below key EMAs. A breakdown below support could lead to a further pullback, while a breakout above resistance may offer a chance for a trend reversal.
👑 "Clear action is needed in volatile times to secure your position."
Is Apple Stock Really Worth Investing in January 2025?Strong weekly demand level took control. Expecting a decent reaction.
As we enter 2025, the financial landscape is buzzing with excitement and uncertainty. Investors are searching for promising opportunities, and one name that consistently tops the charts is Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL). Love it or hate it, this tech giant has become synonymous with innovation and growth—drawing both seasoned investors and newcomers alike to its stock like moths to a flame.
Apple (AAPL) Stock Price Drops Below $240Apple (AAPL) Stock Price Drops Below $240
The last time Apple (AAPL) stock traded below the $240 mark was in late November last year.
Bearish sentiment is being driven by negative news surrounding the company:
→ CNBC reports analysts' views that the excessively thin design of the new iPhone SE 4 models will complicate sales in China. The analysts also note a decline in the appeal of the Apple Intelligence feature.
→ Investment firm Moffett Nathanson downgraded Apple’s stock rating from "Neutral" to "Sell" and lowered its target price for AAPL from $202 to $188. According to analysts, the 30% growth in Apple stock for 2024 is largely unjustified.
→ Criticism from Mark Zuckerberg, who believes that Apple has not invented anything groundbreaking for a long time.
As we mentioned on 27 December, Apple’s stock appeared overbought and vulnerable to a correction.
Technical analysis of the AAPL chart today shows that the price has dropped to:
→ The median of the current channel (marked in blue);
→ The $235 level, which previously acted as resistance.
Therefore, it is plausible that in the short term, this block formed by these two lines may provide support to the falling price. This hypothesis is supported by the long lower wick on Friday’s candle, indicating increased buyer activity.
According to TipRanks:
→ Analysts' 12-month price target for AAPL stock averages $244.77;
→ Of 29 analysts surveyed, 19 recommend buying AAPL stock, while 3 recommend selling.
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