AAPL Trade Plan โ 2025 Outlook๐With global markets reacting to renewed tariff talk from Trump, Apple (AAPL) NASDAQ:AAPL could face short-term volatilityโbut thatโs also opportunity. As fears of a trade war ripple across Asia and Europe, AAPL may temporarily dip, especially with supply chain exposure in China.๐๐๐
๐ Entry Zones (Buy the fear, not the panic):
1๏ธโฃ 194 โ Light entry as weakness sets in
2๏ธโฃ 180 โ Strong support historically
3๏ธโฃ 166 โ High-conviction zone if macro panic escalates
๐ฏ Profit Targets (Scale out as strength returns):
โ
209 โ Quick recovery zone
โ
230 โ Pre-fear valuation
โ
260+ โ Full macro recovery with bullish momentum
๐ Strategy: Let the news create emotion. You trade the levels.
โ ๏ธ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Just sharing my personal trading plan based on current macro trends and technicals. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
APC trade ideas
TEXTBOOK H&S REVERSAL TO 5* BREAKOUT LEVELSApple: Navigating Market Challenges and Capitalizing on Future Opportunities
---------------Breaking out after building long-term breakout-pattern, retesting it through Head & Shoulds reversal pattern at local top ~240$-----------------------
As of today, Apple Inc. is experiencing significant market volatility, driven primarily by heightened recession fears and the impact of the yen carry trade. Recent market conditions have led to a noticeable drop in Apple's stock price, reflecting broader investor concerns about the global economic outlook. However, despite these challenges, there is a silver lining, and a target price of $240 is now within reach.
Market Challenges
The current downturn in Apple's stock can be attributed to several macroeconomic factors. Concerns about a potential recession have been exacerbated by central banks' tightening monetary policies and geopolitical uncertainties. Additionally, fluctuations in the yen carry trade have added pressure on the stock, as investors reassess their risk exposure in light of changing interest rates.
A Promising Outlook
Despite these short-term setbacks, Apple is well-positioned to recover and thrive in the coming months. Many analysts believe that the worst may be behind us, as the company remains resilient with a strong balance sheet and a loyal customer base. Apple's ability to innovate and adapt to changing market conditions has been a hallmark of its success.
The anticipated continuation of the supercycle is a key factor supporting this optimistic outlook. The impending release of Apple's next-generation products, including AI-powered phones, tablets, and Macs, is expected to drive a significant upgrade cycle. This innovation cycle could reignite consumer demand and bolster Apple's revenue growth.
The Role of AI
A crucial component of Apple's future growth strategy is its foray into artificial intelligence (AI). As the "Apple Intelligence" AI story unfolds, the company is poised to leverage AI to enhance its product offerings and create new customer experiences. The integration of AI into Apple's ecosystem will likely catalyze a new wave of demand, as consumers seek cutting-edge technology that offers greater functionality and personalization.
Apple's investment in AI not only strengthens its competitive position but also opens up new revenue streams, particularly in areas such as augmented reality, machine learning, and personalized services. This strategic focus aligns with the broader industry trend of AI adoption, positioning Apple as a leader in this transformative field.
Conclusion
In conclusion, while Apple faces current market headwinds due to recession fears and the yen carry trade, the company's robust fundamentals and innovative pipeline suggest that brighter days are ahead. The anticipated upgrade cycle, coupled with the integration of AI into its product suite, presents a compelling growth opportunity. Investors with a long-term perspective may find Apple's current valuation attractive, with the potential for substantial gains as the company navigates these challenges and capitalizes on future opportunities.
AAPL- RECESSION FEARS & YEN CARRY TRADEApple: Navigating Market Challenges and Capitalizing on Future Opportunities
As of today, Apple Inc. is experiencing significant market volatility, driven primarily by heightened recession fears and the impact of the yen carry trade. Recent market conditions have led to a noticeable drop in Apple's stock price, reflecting broader investor concerns about the global economic outlook. However, despite these challenges, there is a silver lining, and a target price of $240 is now within reach.
Market Challenges
The current downturn in Apple's stock can be attributed to several macroeconomic factors. Concerns about a potential recession have been exacerbated by central banks' tightening monetary policies and geopolitical uncertainties. Additionally, fluctuations in the yen carry trade have added pressure on the stock, as investors reassess their risk exposure in light of changing interest rates.
A Promising Outlook
Despite these short-term setbacks, Apple is well-positioned to recover and thrive in the coming months. Many analysts believe that the worst may be behind us, as the company remains resilient with a strong balance sheet and a loyal customer base. Apple's ability to innovate and adapt to changing market conditions has been a hallmark of its success.
The anticipated continuation of the supercycle is a key factor supporting this optimistic outlook. The impending release of Apple's next-generation products, including AI-powered phones, tablets, and Macs, is expected to drive a significant upgrade cycle. This innovation cycle could reignite consumer demand and bolster Apple's revenue growth.
The Role of AI
A crucial component of Apple's future growth strategy is its foray into artificial intelligence (AI). As the "Apple Intelligence" AI story unfolds, the company is poised to leverage AI to enhance its product offerings and create new customer experiences. The integration of AI into Apple's ecosystem will likely catalyze a new wave of demand, as consumers seek cutting-edge technology that offers greater functionality and personalization.
Apple's investment in AI not only strengthens its competitive position but also opens up new revenue streams, particularly in areas such as augmented reality, machine learning, and personalized services. This strategic focus aligns with the broader industry trend of AI adoption, positioning Apple as a leader in this transformative field.
Conclusion
In conclusion, while Apple faces current market headwinds due to recession fears and the yen carry trade, the company's robust fundamentals and innovative pipeline suggest that brighter days are ahead. The anticipated upgrade cycle, coupled with the integration of AI into its product suite, presents a compelling growth opportunity. Investors with a long-term perspective may find Apple's current valuation attractive, with the potential for substantial gains as the company navigates these challenges and capitalizes on future opportunities.
Heading for 4 days of strong gains, gold gets support from TrumpIn the Asian session, spot gold
XAUUSD
continued to rise, surpassing $3,145/ounce, up more than $24 on the day.
The global trade war has caused concerns in the market, continuing to push gold prices to new highs. Gold prices rose 8% in March and have increased for three consecutive months this year.
Gold prices have increased more than 18% this year, following a 27% increase last year, thanks to a favorable monetary policy environment, strong central bank buying and demand for exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Trump: Tariff details could be announced soon (Bloomberg)
US President Trump said on Monday local time that details of the tariffs could be announced either Tuesday night (April 1) or April 2.
Trump also said the US would be โvery friendlyโ to other countries and that tariffs could be significantly reduced in some cases. Trump then talked about other issues before returning to the tariff issue, adding: โThe tariff plan is in place.โ
White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt said on Monday that US President Trump will announce the reciprocal tariff plan โcountry by countryโ in the White House Rose Garden on April 2 and that no tariff exemptions are currently being considered.
In the latest escalation in the trade war, Trump is set to impose broad โreciprocalโ tariffs on all U.S. trading partners on Wednesday, which he has called โLiberation Day.โ Trump also plans to impose a 25% tariff on all non-U.S.-made cars this week.
Asked about the reciprocal tariffs and which countries would be affected, Leavitt declined to provide details. Asked whether lower tariffs would be applied to products used by U.S. farmers, Leavitt said โthere are no exemptions at this time.โ
Trump also said on Sunday that he would impose secondary tariffs of 25% to 50% on buyers of Russian oil if he determines Russia is trying to thwart U.S. efforts to end the war in Ukraine.
Gold Technical Outlook
XAUUSD
4 days of soaring, gold is heading for its fourth consecutive strong day as it breaks the target at the 0.618% Fibonacci extension of $3,139, followed by the target at the 0.786% Fibonacci extension of $3,177.
With the current technical conditions, there is no resistance or signal for a significant technical correction.
With the medium-term trend being highlighted by the price channel (a) and a blue price channel as the short-term trend. As long as gold remains above the EMA21, it will remain technically bullish in the long-term.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is operating in the overbought zone but is not giving any signal for a possible correction to the downside.
For the day, the technical outlook for gold remains bullish, and any current pullback should be viewed as a short-term correction or a buying opportunity. With that, the notable positions for the uptrend are listed as follows.
Support: 3,139 โ 3,128 โ 3,113 USD
Resistance: 3,177 USD
This is the end of the article, wishing you a productive and happy working day
Long APPL between 196-205A bat pattern forming at 0.886 price at 203 at point D.
Pricing goes lower than 196 below point X, would invalidate the pattern.
The support of 196 is the previous resistance, which is why I see this pattern will soon test this points and a buy call might be realises.
Otherwise next support @ 169 would be the extreme for next buy call.
AAPL Breaks Structure! Will the 215 Level Hold or Crack Further?๐ง Smart Money Technical Analysis (1H Chart)
* Market Structure: AAPL recently broke its bullish trendline and confirmed CHoCH (Change of Character) twice, followed by a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on the 1H timeframe. Price is now in a minor bearish trend.
* Rejection Zone: Strong sell pressure came from the $225โ$228 supply zone, which aligned with both CHoCH and BOS, acting as confirmation of distribution by smart money.
* Current Price: ~$217.26โจPrice is hovering just above the red support zone (~$215) โ a key level. A breakdown here would suggest acceleration of the bearish move.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish crossover and momentum pushing down, though histogram is flattening โ potential loss of downside momentum.
* Stochastic RSI: Oversold, indicating a possible bounce, but not yet confirmed.
๐ Options GEX & Flow Analysis
* GEX Map:
* Gamma Resistance sits at $225โ$228, aligned with Smart Moneyโs CHoCH zone.
* GEX Walls:
* 2nd CALL Wall: $227.5 (34.53%)
* Highest NETGEX: $222.5
* 3rd CALL Wall: $230 (39.67%)
* PUT Support Zones:
* Strongest PUT Wall: $215 (-81.59%)
* Next downside wall: $210 (-60.42%)
* Extreme Support: $200 (-21.37%)
* Options Oscillator:
* IVR: 54.3 โ moderately elevated.
* IVx Avg: 38.4
* PUT$ Flow: 20% dominance, leaning bearish.
* Sentiment Lights: ๐ด๐ด๐ข โ Bearish Bias with Caution
โ๏ธ Scenarios & Trading Ideas
๐ข Bullish Scenario (Low Probability)
* If $215 holds as support and MACD reverses:
* Entry: Above $218.50
* Target 1: $222.5 (Gamma magnet)
* Target 2: $225โ$228 (Supply + GEX cluster)
* Stop: Below $214.50
๐ด Bearish Scenario (Preferred Bias)
* Break and close below $215 support opens downside:
* Entry: Under $214.50
* Target 1: $210 (Put Wall)
* Target 2: $205 / $200 (Deep put walls)
* Stop: Above $218
๐ Summary
AAPL is currently sitting at a pivotal level ($215), with bearish momentum taking hold. If it loses this level, expect a slide toward $210 and possibly deeper. GEX positioning supports downside flow, while SMC shows supply zones were defended. Watch closely for any bounce or breakdown confirmation โ this is a traderโs edge zone.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk appropriately.
Tecnical level for new buy entry is 185Not yet time to go heavy longs on Apple....If you wanna go heavy longs, 180-185 would be a safe level...If the channel breaks, then all hands in the air for a mega diarrhea fall.....I hope it doesn't come to that but....It looks like Wyckoff distribution at the moment for Apple....For very long term investors, buy some with every 10% dip.....
APPLE: Fibonacci Fractal Mapping IApple Inc has some complex cycles which we're about to breakdown to composite phases via fibonacci ratios.
REGULARITIES
Continuous Fractal
Since start 00's, bearish trends in Apple have notably shrunk in percentage terms, painting the past two decades as a period of ever growing optimism. Many long-term cycles remain incomplete for an extended time amplifying the opposing force.
A linear extensions through local tops can serve a future support level.
A parallel line of that same angle carries the same deterministic properties.
This unlocks use of Fibonacci channels to further analyze the structure factoring in specific side tilt.
Continuous Fractal Type - forces alternative approach in interconnecting critical points
Fibonacci Fractal Mapping
Fractal Hierarchy
AAPL will go short Mar 27Based on recent price action and indicators (with RSI and MACD hinting at possible weakness on the higher time frame), a short setup carries roughly a 60% probability of success over the next trading session. Conversely, a long move has an estimated 40% chance if prices find support and reverse from the current vicinity.
A target near 219โ219.5 might be reasonable.
AAPL Eyeing Gamma Reversal Zone โ Will Bulls Defend the Pullback๐ Technical Analysis (TA) โ Intraday Setup
Current Price Zone: ~$221.39
* AAPL recently broke structure to the upside (BOS) after a clean reversal from the CHoCH zone near 210โ213.
* Price tapped the supply zone at 225โ227.5 (aligned with GEX call resistance) and is now retracing.
* This pullback is happening in low volume, hinting at a possible reload phase.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish crossover, but fading momentum โ potential for a bullish crossover soon.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold and curling, signaling potential bounce opportunity.
๐ Key Zones
Support Levels:
* 217.5 โ HVL support zone, critical gamma level.
* 215 โ Strong PUT support zone; multiple touches + GEX protection.
* 210 โ 2nd PUT wall and base of previous accumulation.
Resistance Levels:
* 225 โ CALL resistance (Highest NetGEX + Gamma Wall)
* 227.5 โ 2nd CALL Wall
* 230 โ Extended target / 3rd CALL Wall
๐ง GEX & Options Flow (TanukiTrade)
* GEX Sentiment: ๐ข๐ข๐ข โ Bullish
* IVR: 39.1
* IVx avg: 30
* PUT$%: 14.7% โ Dealers are likely hedged long โ may support dips
* Gamma Wall: 225 โ Key resistance (calls dominate here)
* HVL Cluster: 217.5 โ strong likelihood of pin or bounce at this level
๐ This sets up a Gamma Pin Scenario between 215 and 225, with room to breakout if buyers step in early.
๐ ๏ธ Trade Scenarios
๐ Bullish Setup โ Bounce at 217.5โ215
* If AAPL reclaims 220+ after defending HVL, expect push to retest resistance.
* Entry: On reclaim of 222 with volume
* Target 1: 225
* Target 2: 227.5
* Target 3: 230
* Stop-Loss: Below 215
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $225 Calls
* OR Bull Call Spread: Buy $222.5 / Sell $230 Calls for a defined risk
๐ Bearish Setup โ Breakdown Below 215
* Would indicate bulls failed to defend demand zone.
* Entry: On clean break of 215 with selling volume
* Target 1: 210
* Target 2: 208
* Stop-Loss: Above 218
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $210 Puts
* Bear Put Spread: Buy $215 / Sell $210
๐งญ Final Thoughts & Bias
* Bias: Leaning Bullish above 217.5 โ structure still supports higher low formation.
* If 217.5 breaks, watch 215 for final support test.
* GEX zones suggest dealers may support near 215 and sell near 225, so expect chop unless a catalyst forces breakout.
๐ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
APPLE My Opinion! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for APPLE is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 218.33
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Point sHigh anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 229.62
My Stop Loss - 213.08
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
โโโโโโโโโโโ
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AAPL Bullish Opportunity โ Momentum BuildingApple (AAPL) has recently pulled back and is now showing early signs of a bullish reversal. The price has bounced from key Fibonacci support and is reclaiming the 9 EMA โ with bullish signals appearing on both MACD and RSI.
๐ Technical Highlights:
โ
Bounce from 0.236 Fibonacci level
โ
MACD bullish cross forming with momentum picking up
โ
RSI climbing from oversold conditions
โ
Daily candles reclaiming the 9 EMA
โ
Room for continuation toward key retracement levels
๐ Fundamental Tailwinds:
๐น Apple is entering the AI data center space, signaling a major expansion into infrastructure behind the scenes
๐น The upcoming WWDC in June is expected to reveal powerful new AI software integrations across iOS and macOS
๐น Apple remains one of the top โMagnificent 7โ stocks, often leading institutional flows during tech recoveries
๐น Anticipation is building ahead of new software announcements, which historically lift investor sentiment
๐ Trade Setup:
๐ข Entry Zone: $221โ224
๐ด Stop Loss: Below $205
โ
TP1: $228 โ 0.382 Fibonacci
โ
TP2: $234 โ 0.5 Fibonacci
โ
TP3: $248 โ 0.618 Fibonacci / resistance zone
Apple is now combining technical recovery with fresh fundamental momentum, creating a well-aligned opportunity for swing traders and position holders alike.
Apple.. Now becoming A-Peeling ??APPLE (APPL) has retraced about 50% of its range from April 2024
Currently I see a bullish Wolfe Wave emerging on a 4H timeframe.
Additionally points 2-3-4-5 have formed a nearly perfect ABCD pattern
We do need a broad market reversal and more business clarity from the Waffle House to engage.
I have indicated my targets.
A safer way to play this is to wait for a confirmation with an upwards break of the 1-3 line.
(~219/220 area)
Not about Investment advice. Do your own due diligence.
S.