NVDA | $100 supportNASDAQ:NVDA update on how price action is looking like compared to the last post. We mainly saw price stalling out around $120 after the gap was made, and then a anticipation for movement back to resistance.
After analyzing how buyers did over time we expect more strength in sellers as buyers lost a bit of steam and also created lower highs.
Could imagine a selloff back to $100 then a quick move back up to resistance once again.
A bit too soon to tell but will keep an eye out.
NVD trade ideas
NVDA TA - Earnings Week 2/24### **NVIDIA (NVDA) - 1D Chart Analysis (Earnings Consideration)**
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### **1. Key Observations**
#### **NVDA Closed at $130.28 (-3.09%)**
- **Bearish pullback from resistance at $135 - $138**, rejecting near recent highs.
- Currently testing **$130 as support**, a key short-term level.
- **Earnings are this week**, which could lead to **increased volatility and large price swings**.
#### **Volume & Momentum**
- **Higher volume selling** today, indicating some profit-taking before earnings.
- RSI is cooling off but still within **neutral territory**, leaving room for further downside if earnings disappoint.
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### **2. Key Support & Resistance Levels**
#### **Resistance Levels (Upside Targets)**
- **$135 - $138** → Major resistance. Needs a breakout to confirm bullish continuation.
- **$140.87 - $144.90** → Strong resistance zone if NVDA rallies post-earnings.
#### **Support Levels (Bearish Targets)**
- **$127.69** → Short-term support. A break below could trigger further downside.
- **$124.50 - $121.50** → Strong demand zone.
- **$118.04 - $114.78** → Key level for a deeper correction.
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### **3. Earnings Consideration & Strategy**
#### **Scenario 1: Bullish Earnings Reaction**
- If NVDA **beats expectations** and provides strong guidance:
- **Break above $135 - $138** could target **$140 - $145**.
- **Calls or shares breakout play** on confirmed strength.
#### **Scenario 2: Bearish Earnings Reaction**
- If NVDA **misses or provides weak guidance**:
- **Break below $127.69** could lead to a drop toward **$124, then $118**.
- **Potential hedge play with puts or selling covered calls near $135 resistance**.
#### **Scenario 3: Neutral / Mixed Reaction**
- If earnings are **in line but not a major catalyst**:
- NVDA may **chop between $127 - $135**, leading to range-bound action.
- A **straddle or strangle options strategy** could capture post-earnings volatility.
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### **4. Hedge Strategy for Long-Term Investors**
💡 **Selling Covered Calls on Big Green Days**
- If holding NVDA long-term, consider **selling covered calls** into resistance near **$135 - $140** on any strong green days this week.
- **Expiration:** Post-earnings, to capture elevated IV.
- **Risk Management:** Be prepared to roll the calls if NVDA spikes post-earnings.
---
📌 **Conclusion:**
NVDA is at a **critical level ahead of earnings**, currently holding **$130 support** while rejecting **$135 resistance**. **Earnings will be a major catalyst**, with a **bullish reaction targeting $140+, and a bearish reaction potentially bringing $124 - $118 into play**. **For long-term holders, selling covered calls into strength this week could be a smart hedge.** 🚀
NVIDIA's Run is done!?With growing tensions between the two economical titans in U.SA & China further exasperated by the new administration in the white house & their looming tariff charges, we arrive at a major junction with what seems to be the worst possible time as Nvidia a major pillar of the recent success enjoyed by the tech industry and no doubt world economy as a by product gears up its financial data at a time where stains are being spotted on the floor leading to early signs of blood on the streets. Technical analysis shows that decline in price action could see a weak end of the month for Nvidia, the market is showing signs of fear with a large selloff in the tech sector with the S&P dropping 2.25% week ending 21/02, if financial data released by Nvidia is not pleasing to shareholders a major sell of could continue what was started in December and see price head to as low as $46. Eyes will also be on the situation of Taiwan and how hostile the relationship becomes between the USA, China & Taiwan.
Never Nvidia, No? Surely Not!I hadn't looked at the NASDAQ:NVDA chart for months until today and I simply can't unsee this.
NVDA appears to be in the final stages of a Weekly Double Top pattern.
You can clearly see two near equal highs from November 24 and January 25.
After the neck of the Double Top was breached, the price attempted to reach a new high but failed. The failed high was powered by 3 consecutive weeks of declining volume which suggests momentum exhaustion.
If NVDA price drops through $126, it is very possible that the price could fall towards $55.
Why is the price projection so low?
The last 1/4 low has already been breached, so this level is unlikely to serve as strong support, leaving the price to potentially falls freely towards 2024's low.
The green areas highlight the Bullish Fair Values Gaps for NVDA on the Weekly time frame. As you can see there are numerous and they are all underneath the current price!
Won't Earnings push it to ATH? It's of course it's possible. And if it did, it wouldn't necessarily invalidate this set up!
Let's see what happens!
NVDA Near Historic Highs: Awaiting Key Breakout SignalsI’m sharing a weekly chart analysis for NVDA, focusing on its current position near historical highs at $129 after a bounce from $90.
From the logarithmic scale chart, it's clear that NVDA has been in a long-term progression channel since July 2015. Currently, the price is positioned on the upper deviation line of this channel, indicating a potential resistance area. Given this position on the logarithmic scale, I am leaning towards a short bias as it suggests we could see a pullback or correction.
I’ve also identified two cup & handle patterns, each with their respective targets. However, these patterns will only be validated based on the next price movements.
While there is still a blue support trend and a red resistance trend in play, the price near its historical highs and its proximity to the upper boundary of the progression channel suggest that a downward movement could be more likely. However, due to the large time scale of the weekly chart, we should wait for further confirmation of a downtrend before taking a short position.
For now, I recommend caution and suggest waiting for a confirmed breakout or breakdown from the current channel before making any decisive trades. I’d love to hear your insights and thoughts on this setup.
NVDA Corrections that Conquer: Discover Your Key Entry PointsIn today's market, corrections can offer great opportunities for finding the right entry points. For example, if you notice a price pullback, you might consider looking at levels such as 126, 113, and 103.
At 126, you might see the first moderate correction, suggesting a potential spot to step in as the selling pressure eases a bit. Moving down to 113, the price action often indicates a more solid support level where the market seems to have absorbed a fair share of the selling, possibly setting the stage for a rebound. Finally, 103 could represent a deeper correction where the price has hit a point of significant support—this might be the moment where the market is ready to turn around and resume its upward trend.
Remember, these levels are just part of a broader analysis. It's important to combine them with other technical indicators and risk management strategies to make well-informed decisions.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risks, and you should conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NVDA correction to $105-112 range- NVDA has completed it's motive wave 1-5 and currently is under corrective wave ABC.
- Within ABC leg, it's under the leg C where it will eventually find a bottom and then start fresh motive wave 1-5.
- Chart looks interesting and monitor carefully for the entry when it corrects!
NVIDIA 2-21🔥 Market Overview:
Trend: Bullish, but facing consolidation near resistance.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $143.90, $145.00.
Support: $139.50, $137.00.
Indicators:
MACD: Weak bullish momentum, indicating a possible slowdown.
RSI: 57.29, approaching overbought conditions.
Supertrend: Bullish, but a potential pullback is forming.
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Momentum Scalping
Buy near: $140.00, targeting $143.50 (+2.5%).
Sell near: $143.90, targeting $140.50 (-2.4%).
Stop-loss: Below $138.90.
🩸 2. EMA Pullback Scalping
Buy near: $139.50 (EMA 9), targeting $142.50 (+2.1%).
Sell near: $143.90, targeting $140.00 (-2.7%).
Stop-loss: Below $138.50.
🩸 3. Breakout Scalping
If $143.90 breaks, enter long toward $145.00 (+2.0%).
If $139.50 fails, short toward $137.00 (-2.7%).
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks):
If price holds above $139.50, the uptrend remains intact with a target of $145+.
If it breaks below $137.00, expect a deeper correction.
Consolidation is likely before the next big move.
🔥 News & Market Context:
NVIDIA earnings report is scheduled for February 26, increasing market volatility.
Options traders are pricing a 9.12% move, signaling high expectations.
AI sector remains a driving force, keeping bullish sentiment strong.
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Scalping the $139.50–$143.90 range is ideal.
🩸 Mid-term: Wait for earnings before taking larger positions.
🩸 Ideal Play: Trade range-bound setups while monitoring volatility.
👑 Final Verdict:
Volatility is fuel for the skilled. Those who hesitate become liquidity—move with intent.
🔥 LucanInvestor:
"In a market driven by momentum, only the decisive thrive. Indecision is an invisible loss."
NVDA 140 PUT exp Feb 21 (Win)Saw NVDA was extremely bullish for the previous 2 weeks with nom signs of breathing. Price reacted to a strong daily key level signifying a retracement coming soon. Made a uptrend trend line on the 1HR and 4HR timeframe, price broke below at market close on the previous day, formed 3 lower highs and a retest off the trend line break on the 1HR timeframe. Shorted it down to the first mini key level for the win.
NVDA: Spring effect on SL: Buy ideaOn NVDA we would have a high probability of having an upward trend over a time unit of one (01) hour. This is explained by the fact that we have two (02) spring effects on the support line. Red candles with a small body and a long, low wick. This upward trend will also be confirmed by the breaking of the resistance line with force and the vwap by a large green candle accompanied by a large green volume.
Furthermore, we must be careful because there may also be a continuation of this downward trend in the event of a strong break of the support line by sellers.
Nvidia Closes the Gap—Where Next?Nvidia has stormed back from its early February lows, rallying more than 20% to erase January’s sharp gap lower. But with the gap now closed, the stock has hit its first real test of resistance.
DeepSeek Reaction: Panic Fades
The initial sell-off was triggered by fears that DeepSeek’s AI breakthrough could loosen Nvidia’s grip on the industry. However, those concerns have since eased. While DeepSeek’s model offers cost advantages, it still relies on Nvidia’s GPUs, and overall AI accelerator demand remains strong. Nvidia’s software ecosystem remains a significant moat, making it difficult for the industry to shift away from its technology on a large scale. The broader takeaway? The market likely overreacted.
The Technical Significance of Gaps
Price gaps aren’t just voids on a chart—they represent key areas of supply and demand imbalance. When a stock gaps lower, it often creates a resistance zone as trapped buyers look to exit when price returns.
After rallying back earlier this month, Nvidia finally posted its first red candle the moment the gap was filled, snapping a ten-session streak of higher closes. This suggests sellers are stepping in, and the battle over direction is heating up.
Forward Scenarios: Breakout or Breakdown?
Breaking Higher: If Nvidia can push beyond the gap close, the next resistance is the late January swing high—the level that triggered the breakdown. Above that, the major hurdle remains the double-top all-time highs from the turn of the year.
Pulling Back: The rally to close the gap has formed a steep ascending trendline. A break below this could open the door for a deeper retracement, with the February swing lows as a key downside target. Given Nvidia’s multi-year uptrend, choppy consolidation phases like this are normal—but if support gives way, it could shift momentum in bears’ favour.
Nvidia (NVDA) Daily Candle Chart
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NVDA at a Decision Point! Trade Setups for Feb. 20Technical Analysis (TA) Overview
NVDA is currently trading near 138-139, consolidating after a strong uptrend. It recently rejected from 141, which aligns with a key gamma resistance level. If bulls can push above 141, momentum could continue toward 143-150. However, failure to hold current levels may lead to a deeper pullback toward 130-123 support levels.
📌 Key Support & Resistance Levels:
* Resistance: 141 (gamma resistance), 143.44 (previous high), 150 (major call wall)
* Support: 137, 129-130 (first demand zone), 123 (major put support)
📌 Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish crossover—momentum is slowing.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold at 17.34, meaning downside may be limited, but no immediate reversal yet.
* Volume Profile: Price is at a high-volume node, meaning consolidation or a breakout attempt is likely soon.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) & Options Sentiment
🔹 Call Walls (Resistance):
* 141: Strong gamma resistance—breakout level for bulls.
* 150: Major call wall—tough level to break unless momentum strengthens.
🔹 Put Walls (Support):
* 130: First put support—likely to hold on a pullback.
* 123-120: Deeper put walls—if 130 breaks, downside could accelerate.
🔹 Options Sentiment:
* IVR: 42.3 (moderate implied volatility—expect bigger moves).
* Call Open Interest: 19.1% – Moderate bullish bias, but not extreme.
Trade Scenarios for Tomorrow
✅ Bullish Setup:
* If NVDA breaks above 141, expect a push toward 143-150.
* Ideal entry: Above 141, stop-loss below 139.
* Profit targets: 143.44, 145, 150 (extension).
❌ Bearish Setup:
* If NVDA fails at 141 and breaks below 138, expect a move toward 130-123.
* Ideal entry: Below 138, stop-loss above 140.
* Profit targets: 130, 127, 123.
Probability Estimate for NVDA’s Next Move: Bullish Move Above 141 (Targets 143-150)
Scenario Probability (%): 50%
Reasoning: NVDA is in a strong uptrend but faces key gamma resistance at 141.
• Needs strong volume to break through 141-143 levels. | | Choppy/Sideways (Range 137-141) | 30% |
Volume profile suggests heavy trading activity around 138-140, meaning price may consolidate.
* MACD suggests weak momentum, signaling possible chop before a breakout. | | Bearish Breakdown Below 138 (Targets 130-123) | 20% | - Bearish MACD crossover signals weakening momentum.
* If 138 fails, expect downside toward 130-123 levels. |
Final Thoughts
* NVDA needs to break 141 to continue higher toward 143-150.
* If 138 breaks, selling pressure could increase, pushing price to 130-123.
* IVR is moderate, meaning larger moves are possible, but momentum needs to pick up.
🔹 Best Trading Plan:
* Bullish Play: Look for a breakout above 141 → target 143-150.
* Bearish Play: Watch for rejection at 141 or a break below 138 → target 130-123.
🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade with proper risk management.
NVIDIA - Scalping + Forecast (2-19)🔥 Market Overview (NVIDIA - NVDA)
Trend: Bullish recovery after a consolidation phase.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $142.04 (Supertrend level)
Support: $132.88 (200 EMA), $138.29 (Intermediate support)
Indicators:
EMA 9: $140.21 (Price hovering around short-term trend)
EMA 200: $132.88 (Strong support)
MACD: Bearish momentum fading, but still negative.
RSI: 59.19, approaching overbought zone.
🔥 Scalping Strategy
🩸 1. Range Scalping (Preferred Strategy)
Buy near: $138.50-$139.00, targeting $142.00.
Sell near: $142.00, targeting $138.50.
Stop-loss: Below $137.50.
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping (If $142.50 Breaks)
Buy above: $142.50, targeting $145-$147.
Stop-loss: Below $141.50.
🩸 3. Momentum Scalping (For Quick Trades)
Short near: $142.00, targeting $138.50.
Buy near: $138.50, targeting $142.00.
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
NVDA needs to break $142.50 to confirm a continued bullish rally.
If rejected at $142.00, expect a pullback to $138.50.
MACD shows signs of recovery but remains weak.
🔥 News & Market Context
NVIDIA remains a market leader in AI and GPU sectors, with high institutional interest.
Investor sentiment remains strong, but macroeconomic factors could influence movement.
Earnings and sector-wide tech performance will play a role in confirming a breakout.
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Range scalp between $138.50-$142.00.
🩸 Mid-term: Wait for confirmation of $142.50 breakout.
🩸 Ideal Play: Short near $142.00 if rejection; buy on a confirmed breakout above $142.50.
👑 Final Verdict:
NVDA is at a key resistance zone. A breakout above $142.50 could push towards $145+, while rejection could bring a pullback to $138.50.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Quote:
"The market is a battlefield—know when to strike, and when to hold." 👑
NVIDIA Rejected on the most important Resistance of all.Last time we looked at NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) was just 20 days ago (January 29, see chart below) but we managed to get the exact bottom buy opportunity on the 1W MA50:
As the stock reacted with an immediate and relentless rally of 10 straight green 1D candles, it hit yesterday its first hurdle, the All Time High (ATH) Lower Highs trend-line and closed in red.
This Lower Highs trend-line is historically very important as every time a similar technical structure broke in the past 2 years, a strong rally followed. The early ones were stronger, which is natural to expect as the company was recovering from the 2022 Inflation Crisis and had enormous room to grow. On a side-note, the 1D RSI rebounded on its 34.00 Support, where the stock's last two bottoms were priced.
As a result, we believe that if NVIDIA breaks and closes above the current Lower Highs trend-line, it should at least repeat the last rally from its bottom (+68.69%), which translates to a $190 medium-term Target.
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NVDA - Back again, now down again?The pattern seems to repeat.
Again, we had a HAGOPIAN, which sais, that price goes back more than from where it came, and this rule was right.
Up in here, I'm not that confident anymore that price will reach the Centerline. But, it's not about what I think, or how confident I'm are. I just have to follow my Strategy and act according to the Rules, the trading framework of the Medianlines.
That said, we either shoot up on earnings, or we definitely tank down. For now, there is no trade, only a Gamble. I rarely gamble, so I'll sit on the sidelines and let it happen whatever will come out on earnings.
As for a Lotto-Ticket, I would buy some Puts and just have fun to watch how they get burned, or how I get a Christmas Moment in the beginning of the new year §8-)
NVIDIA & xAI’s Grok 3: A Game-Changer or Overhyped AI Play?NVIDIA’s stock ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) has been on an unstoppable rally, driven by the AI boom. Now, with Elon Musk’s xAI set to launch Grok 3 —trained on an impressive 100,000 NVIDIA H100 GPUs —the market is buzzing with speculation. Could this be the catalyst that propels NVDA to the next level, or are we approaching an AI-driven valuation bubble?
Key Developments :
Massive GPU Demand : xAI’s Grok 3 will utilize a staggering 100,000 H100 GPUs, reinforcing NVIDIA’s dominance in AI hardware and boosting its market position.
Supercomputer Expansion : Musk’s team is building one of the most powerful AI training clusters in Memphis, Tennessee. This development could significantly increase NVIDIA’s long-term revenue streams, given its key role in powering these systems.
Release Date : Grok 3 is set to launch today, February 17, 2025(4 AM GMT) , with a live demonstration, which may influence sentiment around AI-related stocks, especially NVIDIA.
Market Sentiment & Risks : While these developments seem bullish for NVIDIA, some analysts, including hedge funds like Elliott Investment Management, have raised concerns over the potential for overvaluation as the AI euphoria spreads.
Conclusion: Grok 3’s launch will be a pivotal moment, with NVIDIA at the heart of the AI revolution. Whether this sparks a fresh rally or raises concerns about an AI bubble remains to be seen.
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Now, let's use Technical Analysis to analyze NVIDIA stock(NVDA) .
In terms of technical analysis, the loss of an Ascending Channel is not good news for any asset and is a sign of weakness in the upward trend . This has happened to the NVIDIA stock(NVDA) .
From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that NVIDIA stock is completing the Rising Wedge Pattern .
Educational tip : The Rising Wedge Pattern is a bearish reversal or continuation pattern characterized by converging upward-sloping trendlines. It signals weakening bullish momentum, often leading to a breakdown below support. A confirmed breakout to the downside indicates a potential price decline.
I expect the launch of Grok 3 Artificial Intelligence(AI) can increase at least +10%+15% of NVIDIA stock(NVDA) . If the upper line of the Rising Wedge Pattern breaks , we can expect a further increase [ the next target can be Yearly Resistance(1=$175.68)(in case of breaking) ].
What’s your take? Drop your thoughts about NVIDIA in the comments! 👇
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
NVIDIA Analyze (NVDAUSD), Daily time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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