Nvidia Just Under Major SupportNvidia seems to have been pulled down by the Dow just like Apple as both are just under major support. I'm sorry for my previous Nvidia chart that drew support near 140, I recognize where I screwed up, but this chart should be good. Fortunately actual 117 support wasn't that far below and my NVDA isn't too in the red.
NVDA has the lowest revenue multiple in years right now. I know it's well off it's long term trend line, but it's growth rate is unlike anything it's ever been so expecting a steeper trend line to appear makes a lot of sense. Eventually I would imagine we'll get back to that trend line, but not anytime soon.
The Dow hitting major support should finally lift NVDA and the others that have been dragged down like AAPL and AMZN.
Good luck!
NVD trade ideas
NVDA Weekly Trade Setup (2025-08-02)
### 🟢 NVDA Weekly Trade Setup (2025-08-02)
🚀 **BULLISH CONSENSUS** across 5 top-tier models
📉 Daily RSI: Weak — but weekly trend is STRONG
💼 Institutional Volume: Confirmed accumulation
📊 Options Flow: Call/Put leaning bullish
---
### 🎯 TRADE SETUP
**💥 Direction:** CALL (LONG)
**📍 Strike:** \$182.50
**📅 Expiry:** 2025-08-08
**💵 Entry:** \$0.73
**🎯 Target:** \$1.46 (100% gain)
**🛑 Stop:** \$0.36 (50% risk cap)
**✅ Confidence:** 75%
**🕒 Entry Timing:** At market open
---
### 🧠 Model Breakdown:
✅ **Grok/xAI:** Weekly bullish, 4/5 signals green
✅ **DeepSeek:** Volume confirms; cautious on daily RSI
✅ **Google/Gemini:** Bullish weekly > bearish daily
✅ **Claude:** Weekly momentum + rising options flow
✅ **Meta/Llama:** All signals aligned for \$182.50 call
---
### ⚠️ Risk Watch:
* Falling Daily RSI = short-term drag risk
* Key Support: Watch for \$178 breakdown
* Earnings/events could spike volatility
---
### 📦 TRADE JSON (for tracking):
```json
{
"instrument": "NVDA",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 182.50,
"expiry": "2025-08-08",
"confidence": 0.75,
"profit_target": 1.46,
"stop_loss": 0.36,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.73,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-03 00:54:05 UTC-04:00"
}
```
---
🔥 *“Smart money is circling. Ride the wave, not the noise.”*
💬 Drop your thoughts below. Will NVDA break \$185 next week?
$NVDA: Cycle-Wired Levels🏛️ Research Notes
The fact that the angle of linear connection between 3rd degree points (fractal hierarchy) acted multiple amout of times as support and eventually resistance from which tariff drop happened establishing bottom and expanding from there.
That means if we were to justify the texture of ongoing wave from that bottom, we would geometrically quantify the area of that triangle to project considering historic data to remain objective approach (and NOT what levels we subjectively want to see whether we are bullish or bearish). There is mean reversion rule also going on which will be structurally addressed.
No matter where your actual target is at, there are always structural boundaries that price must break through first in order to get there. And because markets tend to move in proportion to their own scale — often aligning with exponents of the golden ratio, we treat phi as a constant within this probabilistic space.
NVDA Bullish Weekly Trade Setup** – 2025-07-29
📈 **NVDA Bullish Weekly Trade Setup** – 2025-07-29
🚀 *"Momentum meets money flow!"*
### 🔍 Market Snapshot:
* 💥 **Call/Put Ratio**: 2.47 → Bullish sentiment confirmed
* 🧠 **RSI**: Rising on Daily & Weekly → Momentum building
* 🔕 **Low VIX**: Favors call strategies (cheap premiums)
* ⚠️ **Caution**: Light volume = soft institutional backing
---
### 🔧 Recommended Options Trade:
**🟢 NVDA \$182.50 CALL (Exp: Aug 1)**
💰 *Entry*: \~\$0.53 (Mid)
📈 *Profit Target*: \$0.69 – \$1.06
🛑 *Stop Loss*: \$0.32
📆 *DTE*: 3 days
🔄 *Entry Timing*: Market Open
✅ *Confidence*: 75%
🔥 *Theta & Gamma Risk*: Elevated — manage position size!
---
### 💡 Why This Trade?
✅ RSI Strength across timeframes
✅ Flow favors upside
✅ Cheap premium in a low-volatility regime
🟡 Just watch that volume…
---
📊 **TRADE SNAPSHOT (JSON):**
```json
{
"instrument": "NVDA",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 182.50,
"expiry": "2025-08-01",
"confidence": 0.75,
"profit_target": 1.06,
"stop_loss": 0.32,
"size": 10,
"entry_price": 0.53,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-07-29 11:59:10 UTC-04:00"
}
```
---
📣 **Taglines for Sharing:**
* "NVDA setup is 🔥—momentum + flow = GO!"
* "Gamma risk is real—but so is this profit window 💸"
* "Short-term sprint or fade? This call has range."
$NVDA ~ An Elliott Wave Breakdown.Earlier in the main wave, our Wave 2(Black) was a Zigzag hence a Flat was expected for Wave 4(Black). Wave B(Blue) closed beyond Wave 3(Black) and our Wave 4 made a 5 wave move(Shown in Red) that retested at the 261.8% Fib. level. With Wave C(Blue) complete, it was coined Wave 4(Black). Wave 5(Black) was launched and has a 5 wave move shown in Green. With a Zigzag for Wave 2(Green), a Flat should be expected for Wave 4(Green). Wave 3(Green) has 5 waves with a triangle for Wave 4(Blue). A confirmation at its current location(423.6% Fib. level) would mean that Wave 3(Green) is complete and a Wave A(Black) of the previously mentioned Flat should be anticipated. Please check my detailed breakdown for a broader perspective into the same.
NB: The placement of Wave A(Black) of the Flat mentioned above is purely for demonstrative purposes.
$NVDA ~ An Elliott Wave Breakdown.(Detailed Spectrum)Our Wave 2(Black) of the main wave was a Zigzag hence a Flat for Wave 4(Black). When Wave 3(Black) completed a three wave move, shown in Green, was made, hence A(Blue). Wave B(Blue) went beyond the end of 3(Black) and had 3 waves, shown in Red, also(as expected for Flats). The last of this 3 wave move(Wave c-Red) had 5 waves shown in Black. Upon completion, our Wave B(Blue) was over and we expected a Wave 4(Black). Our Wave 4 made a 5 wave move(Shown in Red) that retested at the 261.8% Fib. level. With Wave C(Blue) complete, it was coined Wave 4(Black). Wave 5(Black) was launched and has a 5 wave move shown in Green. With a Zigzag for Wave 2(Green), a Flat should be expected for Wave 4(Green). Wave 3(Green) has 5 waves with a triangle for Wave 4(Blue). A confirmation at its current location(423.6% Fib. level) would mean that Wave 3(Green) is complete and a Wave A(Black) of the previously mentioned Flat should be anticipated.
NB: The placement of Wave A(Black) of the Flat mentioned above is purely for demonstrative purposes.
“NVDA Setting Up — Small Triangle, Big Potential”
📈 Trade Snapshot:
NVDA is forming a mini triangle with higher lows. Breakout above $180.16 could push it toward $181.58.
🎯 Setup:
→ Entry: $179.29
→ SL: ~$176.00
→ Target: $181.58
📌 Tight structure + bullish momentum = strong breakout chance.
📋 Hashtags:
#NVDA #BreakoutSetup #PriceAction #ProfittoPath #SwingTrade #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartSetup
Quantum's TSLA & NVDA Trades 8/1/25Simply breaking down what I look at going into the trading day. Premarket watchlist was short but nailed TSLA short for 150% and could have made double that on TSLA and NVDA longs. Due to hitting my daily goals I had to walk away to avoid overtrading but what an amazing day.
NVDA: 177.87Bullish Entries: 174.00/178.50 Stop 177.00 Target 182.00–184.00
Bearish Entries: 178.50/176.00 Stop 177.00 Target 172.00................Note if you find it somewhat confusing, here is the clarification 178.50 possible bullish reach zone wait for confirmation. 174.00 possible rebound zone or rejection of the bearish entry wait for confirmation for the bearish entry.
NVDA don’t Miss Out--$190 Call Target, Momentum on Fire## 🚀 NVDA Weekly Options Breakdown (Aug 11, 2025) 🚀
### 🔥 Market Sentiment: Bullish Bias Across Models
* **Grok/xAI**: Strong Bullish — rising RSI & bullish flow, but *watch weak volume*.
* **Claude/Anthropic**: Moderate Bullish but *no trade* due to policy risks & volume doubts.
* **Gemini/Google**: Moderate Bullish, recommends **\$192.5 calls** with stop loss — volume risk noted.
* **Llama/Meta**: Bullish — buy **\$190 calls**, manage volatility & premium decay.
### ✅ Consensus Trade Setup:
**Buy \$190 Calls** expiring Aug 15 @ \$0.70 premium
* 🎯 Profit Target: \$0.91
* 🛑 Stop Loss: \$0.35
* 📊 Confidence: 70%
* ⏰ Entry: Market Open Next Trading Day
### ⚠️ Key Risks:
* Policy/news impact on semiconductor sector
* Moderate gamma risk & possible volatility spikes near expiry
---
### 🔍 Model Insights Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Trade Idea | Confidence |
| ---------------- | ---------------- | ------------------------------ | ---------- |
| Grok/xAI | Strong Bullish | Buy \$190 Calls | 70% |
| Claude/Anthropic | Moderate Bullish | No trade (high news risk) | 45% |
| Gemini/Google | Moderate Bullish | Buy \$192.5 Calls w/ stop loss | 65% |
| Llama/Meta | Bullish | Buy \$190 Calls w/ risk mgmt | 70% |
---
### 💡 Why This Matters
* RSI and options flow point strongly bullish — calls dominate puts 1.2+ ratio
* Volume confirmation weak, so *manage risk tightly*
* Position best for aggressive traders ready to manage fast moves
---
📈 **NVDA Weekly Options Trade Summary**
```json
{
"instrument": "NVDA",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 190.0,
"expiry": "2025-08-15",
"confidence": 0.70,
"profit_target": 0.91,
"stop_loss": 0.35,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.70,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-11 10:33:48 UTC-04:00"
}
```
NVDA Technical Analysis & GEX Outlook. Aug. 11Technical Analysis (1H Chart)
NVDA is currently trading at 182.81, forming a rising wedge pattern — typically a bearish reversal setup, especially when nearing resistance. Immediate resistance is at 183.37, the upper bound from recent swing highs. Support is layered at 180.70, 178.75, and 175.70. MACD shows momentum flattening after a bullish run, while Stoch RSI is in mid-range, suggesting room for either a continuation push or a rejection. A break below the wedge’s lower trendline could trigger a retracement toward 178.75 first.
Bullish Case: Break and hold above 183.37 could retest 185–187 in short order, with momentum needing confirmation from volume.
Bearish Case: Failure to push past 183.37 and a wedge breakdown could accelerate selling toward 180.70, then 178.75.
GEX & Options Sentiment (1H View)
* Key Gamma Resistance: 185.0 — largest positive NET GEX and call wall.
* Above 185: Next strong resistance is 187.5 (33.3% / GEX7), then 190 (2nd call wall).
* Support Levels: 172.5 (2nd put wall, -2.16%), 167.5 (put support, -2.86%).
* Options Metrics: IVR 17.1 (low), IVX avg 42.6 (slightly declining -3.65%), Calls 2.1%, GEX +47m (positive skew).
Implication: Positive GEX above 182.5 suggests dealer hedging could dampen upside momentum, but a breakout over 185 could trigger a gamma squeeze toward 187–190. If price drops below 180, downside could accelerate toward 175–172 zone due to put wall positioning.
Thoughts & Strategy
* For Calls: Safer above 185 on volume confirmation for a push toward 187–190.
* For Puts: Watch for wedge breakdown below 180.70 to target 178.75–175.70.
* Avoid mid-zone trades between 181–183 without strong momentum confirmation.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk and do your own research before trading.
NVDA - Few Warning Signs Please refer to our previous post:
Here we were pointing out the structural break of our blue trendline on the daily. It acted as support the whole way up (green arrows) and now has been flipped into resistance so far (red arrows).
Also if you look at the chart on the right we had a MAJOR bearish signal flash. A weekly gravestone doji formed which could end up marking the top. We haven't had the confirmation yet, but depending on how price action play out this week we could have a very good idea of what next.
If we see bearish momentum and this weekly candle flip red that could be the first sign of this gravestone marking the top as it is a reversal candle. That would also send our strength on the RSI below the 70 which could look as a rejection from overbought conditions.
However, if we are able to maintain this weekly candle green (better yet break the gravestone doji high) that would show strength bouncing from overbought and send us towards that $200 target.
Nvidia’s Historic 2025 Stock Rally: What’s Driving It?Nvidia’s stock has once again captivated Wall Street in 2025, breaking records and fueling debates on whether its blistering momentum will continue or eventually ease. Here’s an in-depth look at why Nvidia is surging, the key drivers behind the rally, and what the long-term future could hold.
Nvidia’s Stock Rally: By the Numbers
As of July 2025, Nvidia stock has rallied more than 39% year-to-date, reaching new all-time highs above $170 and propelling the company’s market cap past $4 trillion, the largest in the world.
The stock has added nearly $2 trillion in valuation since April, outpacing tech giants like Microsoft and Apple.
Analyst price targets for the rest of 2025 vary: the average ranges from ~$174 to ~$235, with bullish forecasts up to $250 and more cautious targets down to $135.
What’s Powering the Rally?
1. Surging AI Demand:
Nvidia remains at the center of the artificial intelligence (AI) boom. Its graphics and AI accelerator chips (notably the new Blackwell AI family) are the backbone of AI infrastructure for Global Tech firms (Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Google) and cloud service providers. This AI-centric demand has kept revenue growth robust and margins high (approaching 70%).
2. Easing China Trade Fears:
Earlier in 2025, U.S.–China export controls severely restricted Nvidia’s sales of advanced AI chips like the H20 to Chinese customers, causing a temporary selloff. However, a subsequent pause on tariffs by the U.S. and optimism about renewed China shipments reignited investor confidence, helping reverse earlier losses and extending the rally.
3. Massive Tech Investment Cycle:
The global rush to build out AI infrastructure is bringing huge investments from U.S. and international hyperscalers. Meta and Amazon alone have announced plans to pour “hundreds of billions” into AI data centers, much of it destined for Nvidia-powered hardware.
4. Strong Fundamentals and Diversification:
Nvidia sports some of the highest profit margins among mega-cap tech stocks. Its free cash flow, dominant market share, and expanding ecosystem, including platforms like Omniverse (for 3D and digital twins) and Drive (autonomous vehicles)—cement its leadership well beyond just chips.
What Could Slow Nvidia Down?
Despite the excitement, several risks linger:
Valuation Concerns: Nvidia trades at a premium (P/E above 50 for trailing earnings), raising worries of a pullback if growth slows.
Geopolitical and Regulatory Threats: Further U.S.-China tensions, new export regulations, or rising competition from rivals like AMD, Huawei, or custom silicon at cloud giants could erode growth or margins.
Cyclicality of the AI Boom: Some market watchers worry that AI infrastructure spending could prove cyclical, making Nvidia’s revenue growth more volatile in future years.
The Long-Term Outlook (2025 & Beyond)
Bullish Case: Most analysts expect continued dominance for Nvidia as AI, autonomous vehicles, robotics, and edge computing keep growing exponentially. Price targets range as high as $250 for 2025, climbing to $1,000+ by 2030 if AI adoption continues its rapid expansion.
Base Case: Moderate growth continues into 2026–2027, with a price target cluster around $180–$235 (2025) and $200–$428 (2027), assuming AI demand moderates, margins remain stable, and Nvidia fends off competitive threats.
Bearish Case: If U.S.-China relations sour and hyperscaler spending slows, the stock could retest support levels ($135–$150). However, few analysts expect a sustained collapse unless there is a fundamental change in AI or chip technology trends.
#nvda #stockmarket #finance #revenue #profit #financials #economy #technology #ai #chips
Catch the bounce on NVDAHi, I'm The Cafe Trader.
We’re taking a deeper dive into NVIDIA (NVDA) — one of the leaders in the MAG 7 — with a short-term trade setup you can apply to both shares and options.
Setup Context:
NVDA is pushing into all-time highs, and we’re now approaching the average analyst price target (around $180). While we don’t know how price will react at this level, traders should be watching for pullbacks and trend continuations — prime zones for entry.
If we get a strong move down, I see $153 as a high-probability bounce area — where buyers are likely to step in aggressively.
Price Target Outlook:
The final price target will depend on how price moves into this zone:
- If NVDA runs to $200 before pulling back, targets shift higher.
- If it tops out around $180, we adjust accordingly.
That said, an initial bounce toward $169–$170 looks reasonable.
Options Note:
If NVDA sells off hard and fast, implied volatility (IV) will spike, making options expensive and reducing your edge. This is a setup that could play out over 2–3 weeks, but the first bounce could be quick — so timing matters.
Strategy: Staggered Entry Using Two Contracts
Use two contracts — one short-term, one mid-term — to maximize reward while managing time decay.
Contract 1: Short-Term (3–5 Days to Expiry)
Trigger Entry: As soon as price taps the demand zone (~$153)
Strike Entry Price ^^Target Price
155 $2.00 ^^ $6.00
157.5 $1.50 ^^ $4.50
160 $0.75 ^^ $2.50
You’re looking for a quick reaction: get in, take profit, and step aside while the market finds new balance.
Contract 2: Medium-Term (7–10 Days to Expiry)
Timing Tip: Wait for NVDA to stall or consolidate after the initial bounce — this is when IV comes down and contracts get cheaper.
Strike Entry Price ^^Target Price
155 $3.00 ^^ $15.00
157.5 $2.50 ^^ $12.50
160 $1.80 ^^$9.00
Important: Be careful trading too close to earnings. Contracts tend to get overpriced right before and after earnings drops.
That wraps up the short-term NVDA view.
Stay tuned for more trades and setups across the MAG 7.
@thecafetrader
Take care, and happy trading!
NVDA-the AI TitanNVIDIA (NVDA) continues to dominate the AI semiconductor space and remains one of the strongest momentum names in the market. After reaching new highs, price action is now offering a clean multi-tiered entry opportunity for swing traders positioning for the next leg up.
Entry Points
✅ $160 – Breakout retest zone
✅ $145 – Key technical support
✅ $130 – Strong demand zone from prior consolidation
Profit Targets
📈 TP1: $180
🚀 TP2: $190
💰 TP3: $200+
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just sharing my view and trade idea. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Why To Draw Before You Trade ?Hello fellow traders and respected members of the trading community, In a fast paced market dominated by automation and algorithms, we often forget the value of simply picking up a tool and drawing on our charts. Let’s revisit why this fundamental habit still holds the power to sharpen our edge and elevate our decision-making.
Why We Should Draw and Trade? Turning Charts Into Clarity
Introduction-:
In an age of auto-generated indicators, black-box algorithms, and AI-driven signals, many traders are drifting away from one of the most fundamental trading tools: manual chart drawing.
But what if the very act of drawing is not just an old habit—but a powerful trading edge?
This publication explores why actively drawing on charts and trading based on visual context can elevate your market understanding and execution like nothing else.
1. What Does It Mean to “Draw and Trade? Drawing isn’t just technical analysis it’s interactive thinking. When you draw, you're mapping the structure of the market using tools like
Trendlines
Support & Resistance zones
Chart Patterns (Head & Shoulders, Flags, Triangles, etc.)
Supply & Demand levels
Gaps, Fibonacci levels, and more
Once the chart is marked, you’re no longer entering trades blindly you’re entering with context, clarity, and confidence.
2. The Psychology Behind Drawing
Manual drawing engages your focus, discipline, and decision-making. You don’t just predict, you process and It forces you to slow down helping reduce impulsive trades. Drawing anchors your emotions and keeps you mindful. The act of drawing becomes a psychological filter—helping you trade from structure, not stress.
3. Why It Beats Indicator Only Trading?
Indicators are reactive. Drawing is proactive.
Here’s the difference:
Indicators show what already happened
Drawing lets you prepare for what could happen
You learn to-:
Anticipate breakouts, fakeouts, and reversals, Understand market structure and Develop your own strategy not depend on someone else's signal. In short you become the strategist, not just a follower.
4. The “Chart Time” Advantage
Just like pilots need flight hours, traders need chart hours. Drawing charts manually gives you those hours.
You start to see patterns that repeat and notice behavior shifts before they show on indicators. Build a visual memory of how the market moves and It’s this visual experience that separates analysts from traders.
5. Real-World Edge: Case Studies
Wyckoff Distribution: Mapping the structure—BC, AR, ST, UT, LPSY—helps anticipate smart money exits.
Gap Zones: Marking an old breakaway gap can help predict future rejection or support
Demand Zones + Fib Confluence: Drawing reveals high-probability reversal zones most indicators miss
Each drawing becomes a trade-ready story with logic and risk control.
6. From Drawing to Discipline
Drawing is not just prep it’s planning. You trade with a clear plan and pre-identified entry/exit zones this reduced emotional interference and It becomes your personal visual rulebook. No noise no randomness just structure driven action.
7. Final Thoughts: The Trader’s Mind vs. The Machine
Yes, AI and indicators are useful.
But your most powerful edge?
Your mind.
Your eyes.
Your experience sharpened through drawing.
If you want to evolve from a reactive trader to a consistent performer, here’s the golden rule:
Stop watching. Start drawing. Trade what you see, not what you hope.
I hope you will like this post, Thanks for giving your valuable time for reading.
Regards- Amit