Nvidia Shows Signs of Recovery -but the Bearish Channel Remains Over the last five trading sessions, Nvidia’s stock has gained more than 9%, and short-term bullish momentum remains intact as the tech giant appears to benefit from expectations of a potential easing in trade war tariffs. Notably, the company’s CEO, Jensen Huang, recently stated that the Chinese market for artificial intelligence chips could reach $50 billion within the next two years — highlighting the importance of maintaining access to this market. This reinforces the view that a diplomatic resolution to the trade conflict is crucial for Nvidia to sustain a steady recovery.
It’s also important to note that Nvidia is scheduled to release its next earnings report on May 28, with market expectations pointing to earnings of approximately $0.88 per share. Should results meet or exceed projections, this could reignite a bullish sentiment that has been largely absent from the stock over the past several months.
Bearish channel still in play:
Since early January of this year, Nvidia’s stock has formed a steady downward channel, pushing the price even below the $100 mark at times. While a consistent upward correction is underway, it remains insufficient to confirm a definitive breakout, meaning this bearish channel is still the dominant technical structure in the short term.
ADX:
The ADX indicator has been fluctuating below the neutral 20 level, signaling a decline in volatility over the average of the last 14 sessions. As long as this continues, the current phase of price neutrality may persist.
RSI:
The RSI is showing a similar picture, hovering near the 50 level — indicating a balance between buying and selling momentum in recent sessions, and reinforcing the lack of a clear short-term trend.
Key levels to watch:
$113: Current resistance level, aligned with the upper bound of the bearish channel and the 50-period simple moving average. Continued price action in this area may extend the current phase of consolidation.
$125: A critical resistance point tied to the 200-period simple moving average. A breakout toward this level could signal the end of the bearish channel.
$100: A key psychological support level in the short term. A move below this threshold could reinforce the bearish bias and trigger a deeper downtrend within the current price structure.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
NVD trade ideas
Flag like structure 2WPrice is consolidating in a downward channel or flag like structure; a bullish breakout can lead to price reaching to 134.85 price range,and a bearish breakout to price reaching 97.44 price range. Notice price is also between the 10 EMA in blue above and the 50 EMA in purple below. CCI is slowly returning from oversold territory. Stochastic RSI had a bullish crossover in oversold region. RSI is neutral. Price is also building up pressure in the Fibonacci golden zone.
NVDA Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025NVDA Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025
📈 111.90 109.90
📉 105.90 103.90
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Nvda low time frameLocal price action - the gap from 4/29 was filled in, but another was left on 4/30. During aftermarket hours the price jumped up to approach the weekly level above and dropped back down. We got a naked untapped pivot point below along with the range POC point of control, not a bad week of price action.
NVDA Heading into March 25'Still Bearish.
Clear top and been working down ever since
Yet another reject near the .382 FIB LEVEL, which was a reload zone in Q3 and Q4 of 2024.. now a sell zone since Q2 25' began as its cooled off from ATH to end 24 and begin 25.
Looking to buy @ .236 & lower.
Would not take a BUY higher until a break & hold above .5 to confirm some strength to an upside move.
NVDA overall as a company is going to be a powerhouse in multiple spaces in the future, we can all see that. It's not going anywhere and has multiple huge investments to push its industry hold even higher and revenue down the line to increase.
Their wide range of partnerships within the autonomous driving space with companies like GM, Toyota, TSLA (for its chips) and more position NVDA to be one of, if the not THE the largest market cap companies within the next 10 years to me.
Autonomous driving I personally feel will begin to make its way to a MAINSTREAM space beginning around 2030 and by 2030 will have an extreme space in day to day by 2035.
Long term vision beats short term gain!
How much is Nvidia worth next week?Nvidia is holding up a good 16% past the last post. I am currently neutral to the fact it has swung up and down and is now back to its price it was at last friday , $111.00 is ideal stable line average in 2%-3% either direction .The VIX is getting lower. If im bear i see potential for 3%-8% low(with no fear news).As for another up trending after consolidation a 5% - 12% gain ,high getting to $124.
INTEL DROP --- FIELD COMM LOG #02242025🪖 WAR ROOM DISPATCH — FIELD REPORT FROM CAMP JARVIS & CAMP LIVERMORE
Date: 4/24/2025
Status: STANDBY
Volume: Normal
Current Order: HOLD
⚔️ SUMMARY OF ENGAGEMENTS – LAST 30 DAYS
The battlefield has been blood-red. Abnormal reactions litter the map. Morale was tested—but our troops never broke. The Red Army pushed hard, exploiting weakness, creating chaos. Yet we held.
📍Camp Jarvis
Coordinates: 115.10
☑️ Status: HOLD
📈 Trend: UPTREND
📊 ATR: Tightening (3.39)
🟩 Zone: Top of box: 115.10 | Bottom: 86.62
📢 Latest: “We’re nearing breakout. Position secure. Scouting volume now.”
Jarvis is seeing a shift—momentum is whispering beneath the soil. There's life stirring. But RSI is low (sub-45). This isn't the time for heroes—it’s a time for patience. Let the weak exhaust themselves.
📍Camp Livermore
Position: Natural Reaction Zone
☑️ Status: HOLD
📉 Trend: Weak uptrend but too early to act
🔄 Recent movement: Mixed signals, sporadic action, no confirmation.
Livermore's forces are strong in discipline, but not yet in numbers. They report: “Volume’s stable, but not convincing. We’ll move when the field confirms it—not before.”
📛 INTEL WARNING
The maps are clear—we are not in breakout yet.
There’s a false calm in the air.
Do NOT chase. Do NOT preempt.
This is how armies get slaughtered in the fog.
💡 Key Quote from Command:
“The Red Army still has strength. We’re holding—but holding isn’t winning. We wait for the flinch. The break. The rally cry. That’s when we move.”
🎖️ Current Position: HOLD
🛡️ Camp Jarvis: Monitoring breakout zone
🧭 Camp Livermore: Awaiting troop confirmation
📉 RSI low, Trend early
🔕 No All-Signal-Go confirmed
🚨 Mixed Signals = DO NOT ADVANCE
The war is not over.
But neither are we.
cup with handle pattern on the 1-hour time frameWelcome to today's analysis! Let’s break down the current price action on NASDAQ:NVDA and potential trade setups.
🌐 Overview: NASDAQ:NVDA Forming a Cup with Handle Pattern
📈 NASDAQ:NVDA is currently forming a cup with handle pattern on the 1-hour time frame. This pattern is typically bullish and could indicate a potential upward move.
🔄 Current Scenario:
NASDAQ:NVDA has formed a cup shape and is now developing the handle. The handle is a consolidation phase before a potential breakout.
The key level to watch is the resistance at the top of the handle. A breakout above this level could signal a bullish continuation.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🔴 Resistance: Top of the Handle (Needs breakout for continuation)
🟢 Target: Measured move equal to the depth of the cup, projected from the breakout point.
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📌 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above Resistance)
If NASDAQ:NVDA breaks and holds above the handle resistance, it could move toward the target level.
This breakout would confirm the cup with handle pattern and suggest a potential upward trend.
📌 Bearish Scenario (Failure to Breakout)
If NASDAQ:NVDA fails to break out and instead moves lower, it could retest the support levels within the cup or handle.
A failure to hold above key support levels could indicate a potential reversal or further consolidation.
📌 Conclusion
NASDAQ:NVDA is forming a cup with handle pattern on the 1-hour time frame. A breakout above the handle resistance could signal a bullish move toward the target level. If the price fails to break out, further consolidation or a retest of support levels may be necessary.
NVDA Options GEX + Trade Forecast – April 23, 2025🔍 GEX Options Overview:
NVDA is experiencing a clear options-driven magnet toward 105–106, with notable call wall concentration and positive NET GEX at those levels:
* Highest positive GEX zone: 105–106 = bullish gamma magnet
* HVL for 3DTE anchored at 97 = strong bounce zone
* PUT walls stacked at 95, 93, 90 showing limited downside support but weakening pressure
* Options Oscillator confirms this bullish lean with green GEX dots, low IVX, and relatively low IVR (40.9)
Despite the macro softness, NVDA has gamma fuel to push up, especially with no strong call resistance until the 105–107 zone. This sets up a favorable risk/reward setup for short-term bullish trades.
📈 Technical Analysis & Trading Outlook:
From the SMC Co-Pilot chart, NVDA is rebounding after forming multiple BOS (Break of Structure) signals and is now consolidating under a previous CHoCH level, near the 102–103 zone.
* Trend Bias (MTF): 30m & 15m bullish, but 1h still recovering
* HTF Structure: Bullish SMC structure forming, but caution is required
* Volume: Extreme spike (1.6x) during reversal = institutions may be stepping in
* Setup Status: No trade confirmed yet – but we are in premium zone, so shorts are risky unless structure shifts
* EMA21 is the decision zone; price reclaiming and holding above would confirm further upside
🧠 My Thoughts:
This is one of those setups where the GEX setup is leading price, and technicals are just beginning to catch up. The move from 97 to 102 was gamma-fueled, and any dip toward 100 or 98 may provide high R/R re-entry zones for CALL scalps or spreads.
No trade now unless we get either:
1. A clean pullback to 99–100 and bounce with confirmation (BOS/CHoCH + volume support)
2. Break and hold above 103.5 with strength — then scalp to 106
⚠️ Avoid chasing at highs without confirmation. Volume and structure will decide whether this is a dead cat bounce or start of a new leg up.
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always trade with a plan and proper risk management.
NVDA, CONFIRMED BAT, SWING TRADEWait for PA to pullback to VWAP after recent advance (100). VWAP may provide a good entry for a swing to TP2. Good risk to reward, stop just below lower band (light blue) loss = 1% of acct. 30% profit taking at TP1, exit at TP2 or if PA closes under TP1 after hitting TP1.
NVIDIA: From $300B to $3T – Is the Pullback a Setup?Between October 2022 and mid-2024, Nvidia's market capitalization surged from $300 billion to over $3 trillion — a tenfold increase that outpaced the GDP of entire nations such as Russia or Canada. This meteoric rise made Nvidia the largest public company in the world at one point.
A long-term investment in NVDA has dramatically outperformed the broader market. From May 2014 to May 2024, the stock gained over 22,000%, compared to 179% for the S&P 500 and 77% for gold.
However, in 2025, Nvidia stock declined by 43%, raising the question: does this mark the end of the rally or the beginning of a new accumulation phase?
Core Drivers
AI dominance: Nvidia controls 95% of the GPU market used in machine learning applications.
Strategic clients: Tesla, Meta, Microsoft, and Alphabet continue to deepen partnerships with NVDA.
Crypto leverage: The company holds 82% of the GPU market used for mining, benefiting from the renewed crypto upcycle.
Domestic production push: Nvidia is developing over 1 million square feet of manufacturing space in Arizona and Texas, aiming to produce $500B worth of AI infrastructure over the next four years.
Policy support: The US and EU are investing more than $240B to secure domestic chip production via the CHIPS Acts.
Financial Strength
FY2024 revenue grew 114% YoY to $130.5B
Q4 net income reached $22B
Nvidia joined the Dow Jones Industrial Average in late 2024
Announced a $50B buyback program
Executed a 10-for-1 stock split in June 2024
Trading View
After peaking in 2024, NVDA retraced to the $110 area, which now acts as a potential accumulation zone. The next major resistance lies near $150, offering a 35% upside if momentum returns.
The macro backdrop remains highly favorable — AI infrastructure investment continues to accelerate, and the recent correction may reflect short-term positioning rather than fundamental weakness.
Final Thoughts
Nvidia is no longer just a semiconductor company — it is a system-level platform powering the AI economy. With robust fundamentals, strategic expansion, and institutional demand, the current price levels could represent a key medium-term opportunity for trend-followers and long-term investors alike.
#NVDA #Nvidia #Semiconductors #AI #EquityMarkets #TradingViewIdeas
$NVDA – Going Long Long LONGTaking a long position here at $98 – yes, despite the noise.
There’s no denying the pressure across semiconductors following renewed tariff threats from the Trump administration. But I believe this is more short-term overreaction than long-term damage. Any meaningful negotiation or de-escalation could act as a slingshot for these names, especially leaders like Nvidia.
Nvidia's fundamentals remain incredibly strong. The company is still outpacing its peers in AI, data centers, and gaming hardware. Profitability remains intact, and there’s no indication of a breakdown in their competitive edge.
Technicals are giving us some strong signals:
We're seeing a long-term bullish divergence forming.
RSI is approaching oversold territory – rare for Nvidia and historically a signal for strong bounces.
Price is nearing key long-term support levels that held in previous cycles.
I'm positioning early here because I believe the broader market is mispricing geopolitical risk. If the situation improves – and it often does faster than expected – NVDA is one of the first names that will rebound aggressively.
Let’s see how this plays out, but I’m confident this is a high-conviction entry point in the 80's and 90's.
NVDA - DECENT CONFIRMATION Good Morning,
Seeing some strength in NVDA since yesterday. Trend is showing another strong movement upwards. There is a divergent volume profile since the original YTD low on April 7th 2025.
I feel a little like this is like taking candy from a baby, lets see what happens.
Enjoy!
simple chart of what I seeAnyone who knows me know I like to make simple charts that get to the point. Nothing fancy. Just lots of lines. Anyway, I did a ghost feed so you can get an idea of where I think we go from here. I seriously doubt we see any big changes until earnings. Unless China gets their heads out of the you know what, we will trade like this for a little while. I do feel there is hoppe. If NVIDIA has strong earnings , it could be enough push it to new highs. I would use caution. You will see by my chart we started off with an ascending wedge, moved right into a descending wedge and now I feel we will rinse and repeat. All the while ultimately creating new highs and new lows. Anywhere you see horizontal lines is where I see resistance. And yes, I do still think we could drop below 100 again, so get your buy fingers ready :) Not financial advice! Just an old trader's ideas. If we break above 130 before now and earnings, consider it could be a nice ride up!!
Where is the Nvidia ball bouncing?Good afternoon, at 15:48 p.m Nvidia is looking towards the up side. A sell off took place over the weekend (great deals).A swing up at least $3 in an accumulation or quick move up is likely. Decent entries to look for adding a steady 5% to 10% in a few days in this high volatile climate.
NVDA’s Wild Crash Alert: I’m Braced for a Heart-Stopping Drop!NVDA’s like a rocket losing altitude, and I’m on edge! It’s at $95.99, but I’m seeing it tumble to $90, maybe $88.95, then $83.59 if the bears go wild. If that breaks, whoa—$77.48 could hit hard! I’m glued to $90 for the first clue—big selling there, and it’s game on for a slide.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
NVDA Time For Bounce?Nvidia has been in a strict downtrend for the last few months, forming a constricting price action in the form of a falling wedge.
Generally, this can be seen as a bullish reversal pattern as "pressure" builds within the wedge before ultimately an explosive move.
I will look to take long trades here with a stop below the previous low with a 1H candle close as an invalidation.
Any potential good news can be a massive catalyst for the market, majorly Nvidia who has been a large target of trumps tariffs in relation to china.
Ride Nvidia’s AI Wave: Long-Term Promise Amid Short-Term Risks
- Key Insights: Nvidia faces near-term bearish pressures due to U.S.–China trade
tensions, AI chip export restrictions, and tariff challenges. However, it
remains the undisputed leader in AI infrastructure and GPU innovation,
positioning it for long-term growth. Entry points near critical support
levels may offer opportunities for patient investors to capitalize on its
leadership in AI-driven industries. A bullish reversal requires a breakout
above $104.75.
- Price Targets:
*Next Week Targets (Long Position)*
- T1: $103.25
- T2: $108.10
*Stop Levels*
- S1: $98.50
- S2: $94.75
- Recent Performance: Nvidia's stock has struggled within a bearish channel,
underperforming tech-heavy indices such as the Nasdaq, which have been
weighed down by sector-wide semiconductor weakness. The stock’s lower highs
and lower lows reinforce its short-term downside trajectory, amplified by
regulatory uncertainties and weakened demand from China. These factors have
contributed to gamma exposure-driven speculative price movements around the
$100 zone.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts highlight Nvidia's dominant position despite export
restrictions that may cost up to $5.5 billion. Nvidia continues to drive AI
innovation through its Kyber compute architecture and Dynamo software,
targeting industries like automotive and pharmaceuticals. While bearish
sentiment persists short term, long-term growth prospects remain robust due
to strong U.S. semiconductor policy support and widespread demand for AI
applications. Nvidia’s strategic positioning makes it a desirable asset for
long-term investors despite current macroeconomic risks.
- News Impact: Geopolitical tensions, specifically the Biden administration's
restrictions on advanced AI chip exports to China, remain pivotal for
Nvidia’s stock trajectory. These restrictions are expected to impact
Nvidia’s earnings through 2024. Additionally, escalating tariffs are adding
inflationary pressures, though efforts to negotiate market access highlight
Nvidia’s proactive approach to mitigating restrictions. Meanwhile, Nvidia’s
breakthroughs in AI technology continue to drive optimism for future growth
in multiple industries. Investors should remain vigilant as any easing of
trade restrictions could act as a significant upside catalyst.
We're seeing a nice box breakout NVDA | Bullish?We're seeing a nice box breakout here, which could indicate a good opportunity for a deeper correction. Therefore, we're setting the target at $91.5 and would continue moving lower until we see another box breakout in the opposite direction. Additionally, there is a major resistance level around the $91.5 zone, which will give us insight into how far NVDA's downtrend might go—or whether this could mark the turning point.