Why Invest in RheinmetallWhy Invest in Rheinmetall
Rheinmetall’s defense segment accounts for a significant portion of its revenue and profits, providing a stable and growing revenue stream due to increased global defense budgets. In recent years, global defense spending has risen, driven by geopolitical tensions and security concerns, particularly in Europe and NATO countries. Rheinmetall benefits from this trend with a focus on:
• Military vehicles: The company produces combat vehicles, armored trucks, and defense platforms, which are in high demand due to modernization efforts in several global defense forces.
• Ammunition: Rheinmetall is a leader in supplying ammunition for land, air, and naval forces, with long-term contracts in place to supply NATO forces.
• Defense electronics: The company produces advanced radars, communication systems, and sensor technologies for military and security applications.
Rheinmetall has a strong order backlog, which is a positive indicator for long-term growth. With long-term defense contracts with governments in Germany, NATO, and other international defense forces, Rheinmetall enjoys visibility and stability for the coming years. This gives investors confidence in sustained revenue streams, particularly in the defense sector, which is typically less sensitive to economic cycles.
In addition to its defense business, Rheinmetall is a key supplier in the automotive sector, particularly in areas such as electrification and safety technologies. The company’s automotive division produces components for electric vehicles (EVs), hybrid vehicles, and safety systems such as braking systems and collision sensors. This diversification makes Rheinmetall a dual-sector play, giving investors exposure to both the defense and automotive industries, both of which are poised for growth.
• Automotive Safety Systems: Increasing demand for active safety and driver assistance systems in the automotive sector provides Rheinmetall with solid growth prospects.
• Electrification: The company is expanding its presence in the electric vehicle market, benefitting from the global shift toward sustainable transportation.
Rheinmetall is highly focused on research and development (R&D), ensuring that it remains competitive in both the defense and automotive markets. The company continues to develop next-generation technologies such as cybersecurity solutions, autonomous military systems, and electric propulsion systems for vehicles. This commitment to innovation ensures that Rheinmetall remains at the cutting edge of both its sectors.
Rheinmetall offers a relatively attractive valuation compared to its peers in the defense sector, with a P/E ratio of 18x. The company's strong operating margins and high return on equity highlight its strong financial health, making it an appealing option for value-oriented investors. Additionally, the company’s low debt-to-equity ratio ensures financial flexibility, further enhancing its attractiveness.
Strong Buy Recommendation
In conclusion, Rheinmetall AG represents a strong investment opportunity, offering investors a diversified portfolio with strong exposure to both defense and automotive markets. The company benefits from long-term defense contracts, a growing order backlog, and strong positions in military vehicles, ammunition, and automotive safety systems. Its commitment to innovation and technological advancement, coupled with a strong balance sheet, makes it an attractive option for those seeking exposure to the growing global defense and automotive technology markets.
With solid revenue growth, high margins, and a relatively attractive valuation, we recommend Rheinmetall AG as a strong buy for investors seeking a balance of growth potential, stability, and defensive characteristics in both defense and automotive sectors.
RHM trade ideas
Rheinmetall AG: A great defence company to consider About the company
Rheinmetall AG is a holding company, which engages in the provision of development and sale of components, systems, and services for the security and civil industries. It operates through the following segments: Vehicle Systems, Weapon and Ammunition, Electronic Solutions, Sensors and Actuators, Materials and Trade, and Others. The Vehicle Systems segment offers a diverse portfolio of vehicles, including combat, support, logistics, and special vehicles. The Weapon and Ammunition segment includes products and solutions for threat-appropriate, firepower as well as comprehensive protection. The Electronic Solutions segment is involved in the chain of effects in the system network, from sensors and the networking of platforms and soldiers to the automated connection of effectors, as well as solutions for protection in cyberspace. The Sensors and Actuators consists of a product portfolio with exhaust gas recirculation systems, throttle valves, control dampers, and exhaust flaps for electromotors, solenoid valves, actuators and valve train systems, oil, water, and vacuum pumps for passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and light and heavy-duty off-road applications, as well as industrial solutions. The Materials and Trade segment focuses on the development of system components for the basic motor.
Summary of business
Next earnings: Wednesday 12th March 2025 (Full year 2024 results)
Given the latest developments, Europe needs to be able to defend itself against Russia or any other enemies, with or without the United States. Invasion by Russia will remain a key risk for the foreseeable future to Europe and it needs to move fast and arm itself. For now, Europe’s first priority is to continue supporting Ukraine – Ukraine’s experienced military is currently the most effective deterrent against a Russian attack on the EU due to its experience on the battle ground. If Ukraine decides that a US-Russian deal to end the war is unacceptable Europe needs to step in first. A recent example is when the United States cut off military intelligence to Ukraine, prompting the United Kingdom to step in and provide intelligence support instead. Should the United states, continue to pull out of Ukraine, we expect Europe to quickly fill up the gaps.
We expect European defence spending and capabilities to continue growing for the next number of years. As a result, we see opportunity for Rheinmetall. Rheinmetall is well positioned to benefit from the increase in budget allocations towards defense, especially as Germany is expected to play a key role in Europe’s defence as US military support declines. Since Europe is coming from an economic crisis, spreading costs over time looks like a feasible route Europe will take for this. Rheinmetall has a well-diversified portfolio across geographies and platforms, with 70% of its revenue from its defense business and 30% from its civil one. Escalating global security concerns are driving higher growth in the defence market as many countries in Europe have underspent over along time. European nations are expected to boost defence budgets to a minimum of 2% of gross domestic product, a trend likely to accelerate due to the Russia-Ukraine war. This situation offers a significant opportunity for Rheinmetall to benefit from its well-diversified geographical presence and product portfolio.
On Thursday 06th March 2025, European Union (EU) leaders convened in Brussels for an extraordinary summit focused on defence and Ukraine, amid growing concerns over Europe’s security architecture and its financial underpinnings. The summit takes place in the wake of Washington’s abrupt suspension of military aid to Ukraine, placing increased pressure on the bloc to enhance its own defence commitments. During the meeting European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said the 27 EU leaders are “determined to ensure Europe’s security and to act with the scale, the speed and the resolve that this situation demands. We are determined to invest more, to invest better and to invest faster together.” She added “These are extraordinary times. They call for extraordinary measures. With REARM Europe, we'll equip our Union with the capabilities it needs to support Ukraine and defend itself”. This reinforces the fact that more money will flow towards the defence industry and will more likely benefit Rheinmetall.
The EU’s executive arm expects around 650 billion euros ($702 billion) to be unlocked through this initiative over the next four years. Even if only 30% of that trickles down to Rheinmetall each year — about 48 billion euros — it would more than triple the company’s current revenue. This makes the stock a strong buy from the current price with a price target of EUR 1800.
Rationale for
As the capacity leader in ammunition production, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on surging demand through long-term framework contracts lasting up to 10 years.
Its strong incumbent role in the European Strategic Safety Initiative and the F-35 Lightning II fighter jet program — two of the largest air defence projects — will drive sustained production and revenue growth for decades.
Risks to consider
Rheinmetall's sales heavily rely on military funding, making its revenue stream inherently political and subject to uncertainty.
Geopolitical risks and shifting alliances may restrict the company's ability to deliver products to certain countries like the USA which is a big market.
Despite earnings growth, global defence stocks, including Rheinmetall, face persistent valuation pressure due to rising ESG-driven constraints on investment mandates.
Revenue by country
Europe: EUR3.40B
German: EUR1.72B
Asia: EUR817.00M
Other regions: EUR642.00M
North, middle and South America: EUR594.00M
Possible Final Rally?
RHM is in a steady upward trend, but in early February both price and volume rose sharply to around 1200 EUR. Since then, there’s been a drop in price and volume that may continue to develop. We haven’t seen a final rally yet, but it could be on the horizon. At the very least, it appears we’ll see a correction of some significance.
Volume balance is positive, which strengthens the stock. However, RSI21 is above 70, indicating the stock is overbought according to classic technical analysis. This factor weakens the near-term outlook.
From a fundamental perspective, I believe the stock is a good buy if the price comes down, both in the short and long term. Europe must rearm and produce its own weapons so it isn’t dependent on unpredictable politicians outside of Europe.
Disclaimer: I have no position in RHM.
RHM buy the retracement (II)I believe good spots to enter will still appear on RHM. This is my plan at the moment, to enter on the .382 or .5 retracement of the last 5 waves.
Orange line represent previous retracement in logarithmic scale.
Of course, who knows where to top of this move up is. Let's see what happens!
Rheinmetall - time for a correction after 10x ?Like many other big stocks RHM could have completed 5 waves up with gains of roughly 1000% in 3 years.
Considering their order backlog, a market cap of around 30 billion is not too unreasonable but the profit margins are still quite low. Demand for their products will remain high, the EU needs to invest in their military to be protected and independent.
So a correction to the 0.618 retracement would be healthy before this can move to 1000€ in the next few years.
What will it take to reach 1000€? Will we ever see it?Had an interesting conversation in the comments of my last RHM analysis - someone pointed out that they see €1,000 for this stock. Since I haven’t covered a broader timeframe yet, I figured it was time to take a look. And to my surprise, he wasn’t entirely wrong… well, kinda.
Let’s break it down. RHM has been in a long consolidation (highlighted in grey), so this recent push to the upside shouldn’t come as a shock to anyone. But here’s where it gets interesting: we overshot the green structure by a lot - and that’s okay. Structures are allowed to extend beyond their original targets under certain conditions.
First, we need a fakeout in the opposite direction - which we got, marked by the red dot. The next key factor? Where the chart turns. That’s why I placed a line called “The Ceiling” at the -1.236 Fibonacci. Here’s the rule: if price expands significantly beyond The Ceiling, the GKL (red box) becomes invalid, meaning we can no longer use it as a safe level for long entries due to the high risk of slicing straight through it.
So what’s the play? The next few days are crucial. If RHM turns up around till €820, everything stays healthy and within a controlled correction, setting up a prime long opportunity. But if we keep pushing higher, the risk of major downside increases exponentially. Trying to catch a falling knife at that point is a death wish - investors should allocate margin accordingly to avoid liquidation.
RHM is a few steaps ahead of TKARHM is already a couple steps ahead its little brother TKA, we have the same structural buildup with the only difference being that RHM already turned inside the correction zone and continued its way downward, activating the orange structure. GG to everyone who listened to my call & prediction last year.
Rheinmetall just surpassed their All-time high!Good afternoon everyone. GETTEX:RHM just surpassed their All-Time high (Adjusted for dividends). They tested their new resistance at €568.274, which is about 0.8% above their previous All-Time high from April 09th.
There will likely be a small correction in the next few days. Worst case, Rheinmetall has a downward potential of 17.9% to their last big support zone, but in my opinion, this is highly unlikely.
I will personally hold Rheinmetall, as I'm still seeing big potential in them.
I'm working on a bigger Analysis on Rheinmetall's Long-Term potential, which will be published in the next few days. Please check out my Analysis on the Uranium mine GETTEX:CJ6
I wish you a pleasant weekend, see you soon.
Rheinmetall opportunity of 25% upsideRheinmetall dipped today due to concerns of the European "far-right" (half of them centrists lmao) wanting peace with Russia in the future. This doesn't change anything for Rheinmetall though.
Key facts:
- Earnings grew by 21.8% over the 2023.
- Earnings are forecast to grow 26.06% per year.
- Revenue expected to grow 40% this year.
- New deal with Continental Ag. to hire new employees to fulfill the demand.
- Fair value estimated at 1100-1200 EUR per share.
War scenarios:
- A new conflict means growth of 5% + for each arms dealer as seen many times.
- If the war in Ukraine continues, Rheinmetall gets more deals.
- If the war ends, European countries will need to replenish ammunition storages, which is expected to take up to 10-15 years.
Additionaly:
- Both Trump and Kennedy Jr. expressed how European NATO members should start to fulfill their obligations of 2% GDP budget for army if they want the US to protect them.
- Around 17-18 countries do not meet this obligation yet, most of them being customers of Rheinmetall already.
- The total combined deficit of these countries sits around 44 billion USD as of 2024.
Sources:
www.reuters.com
www.reuters.com
www.ft.com
simplywall.st
Rheinmetall - the time for profit-taking has comeThe ongoing war in Ukraine has driven Rheinmetall's stock to new record highs since 2022. Today, unexpectedly aggressive remarks from French President Macron led to a volatility explosion, which could signal the end of the uptrend. Year-to-date, the German arms manufacturer's stock has risen by more than 72%. A double top formation is evident in the OBV, which is noteworthy as the OBV has consistently confirmed the previous increase. Therefore, in our view, a good opportunity for profit-taking in Rheinmetall stock has arisen. Here we present a short idea, but we emphasize that Rheinmetall's stock is in a very strong uptrend, making short positions particularly risky. Nonetheless, in our opinion, investors should consider realizing at least a substantial portion of their profits at this price level.
Momentum, Growth and Innovation: RHMWe have just added a new position (RHM) to our 'Growth, Momentum and Innovation' portfolio with 11% of total equity.
Here is the link to our updated portfolio, which is up > 18% in the last month:
www.tradingview.com
Technical Analysis According to Minervini’s Principles
Trend: Rheinmetall's stock should be evaluated against the major moving averages. Minervini looks for stocks trading above their 50-day and 200-day moving averages to indicate an overall uptrend. If RHM is above these averages and they are sloped upwards, it aligns with Minervini’s criteria for a bullish trend.
Price Action: Minervini favors tight price action and volatility contraction. It's key to look for lower volatility and tighter price consolidation before the breakout. This can be seen in the narrowing of the Bollinger Bands or a decrease in daily price range. If your entry corresponds with a breakout from such a consolidation with a definitive move above resistance, this is in line with Minervini’s strategy.
Volume: Volume is critical in confirming breakouts. For Minervini, an ideal entry is accompanied by a significant increase in volume, indicating strong institutional buying. If the entry day shows higher volume compared to previous days, particularly if it is 40-50% above the average, it validates the trade entry.
Relative Strength: Minervini often emphasizes the importance of relative strength, especially in a weak market. If RHM is outperforming the market and its peers, that would be a positive sign.
Entry Point: A proper entry is at the breakout from a sound base pattern. If RHM is breaking out from such a base, ideally after a period of price contraction, and doing so on higher volume, it would be considered a good entry point.
Risk Management: Setting a stop loss is crucial. Minervini typically sets stop losses just below the breakout point or a recent swing low to minimize potential losses.
Background Information on Rheinmetall AG
Rheinmetall AG is a significant player in the automotive and defense industries. They are known for:
Defense: Producing military vehicles, weapons, ammunition, and electronics. They are often involved in large contracts with governments around the world.
Automotive: Supplying engine systems, pumps, pistons, and other automotive parts to the commercial vehicle and passenger car markets.
Market Position: As a leading defense contractor and automotive supplier, Rheinmetall has a strong market position in Europe and significant international presence.
RHM | Command and Conquer | 1 Buy scenarioOverview
Rheinmetall had a great run specially fueled by the war in Ukraine. With an additional crisis forming in the Middle East i can see the price going further up. From a chart point we see that the current resistance (100% Fib Line) was 2 times pierced (yellow circle) but price never really broke it.
The Buy zone is based on the confluence of the 50% Fib level and an already engulfed (blue circle) support level that lead to the current ATH / Swinghigh.
Target 1: The First big resistance level (S/R Level 1) which stopped this really for quite some time. I would close 50% of the position here.
Target 2: Slightly below the former Swinghigh / ATH. The remaining 50% of the position would be closed here
Stop- Loss: None (Long- term- holding
Invalidation: Price always stay above the buy zone
Good luck
Disclaimer:
- This information does not constitute as financial advice and is only for entertainment purposes. I am not your financial advisor.
- You trade entirely at your own risk
- Make your own research
- Finance and trading is evil, capitalism is bad, duh
Rheinmetall: Locked and Loaded 💥After briefly dipping below the turquoise target range of €245.60 to €228.40, Rheinmetall's stock price has rebounded into this zone. We now believe it has set the low for the magenta wave (iv at this point. Consequently, a substantial increase to €320 is anticipated.
The 1. Chapter of Rheinmetall2 areas marked (green rectangle) where i plan to buy for the long term. Not sure if those area will be reached with the current sentiment but i dont want to buy without a retrace.
+ aswell on a retake of the blue line as shown with the blue arrow
Targets:
Closing 20% of the position every 25% of stock increase
Fundamentals:
- Increase of military budget Germany + other NATO Nations
- War in the Ukraine
World militarisation?Rheinmetall looks bullish for couple of next decades. If no extension, it looks like it passed middle of its projected growth. Since I am from Ukraine this picture looks horrendous.
Huge leep was made on 28th of February, 4 days after the invasion. Not on 24th. Perhaps, after "smart money" understood that it is not a 3 days conflict and RHM production will be in demand in the nearest time.
For now it looks lie the whole impulse is coming to an end. Started from Mar.2020. That seems like a kinda positive news.
But the whole wave picture still implies that future for RHM is bright. Whatever that means... Anyway, just couple of guesses what that can mean: 1. WW3. 2. Europe will become separate power apart from the US. As Zbigniew Brzezinski wrote in his books. 3. The world will be bying RHM products more as one proven to be good.
Rheinmetall bullish ascending triangleThe ascending triangle points to a potential increase in the value of Rheinmetall's stock. These indicators include a bullish trend in the stock's price over the past several months, positive momentum, and strong support levels. Additionally, historical data shows that Rheinmetall's stock tends to perform well during times of military threats or escalations, which may indicate that current global events could be contributing to the stock's upward trend.
Hopefully, the war in Ukraine will come to an end, but Rheinmetall is still looking strong, possibly indicating an upcoming real-world event.
It is important to note that technical analysis is not a guarantee of future performance and should be considered alongside other forms of analysis such as fundamental and news analysis. Additionally, it is also important to consider the company's overall financial health and any recent company-specific news or announcements.
#RHM to 228€?Hello dear Traders,
Here is my idea for #RHM
Price closed above yellow line (previous month high)
Price closed (15min Chart) above purple trigger line to enter trade.
Targets marked in the chart (black lines)
Invalidation level marked with red line
Good luck!
❤️Please feel free to ask any question in comments. I will try to answer all! Thank you.
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