TESLA ANALYSEelliot analyse for tesla we still in the correction of wave 4 wait until the correction end and then buy
TL0 trade ideas
TSLA NEOWAVE ANALYSIS (DAILY)I thought of sharing this chart because the quality and pattern are working out to be excellent for the daily , and I'm curious to see where price will end up.
The pattern is an expanding triangle.
Normally, wave E will almost break above the A-C trendline.
Wave E is the largest, typically 138% to 161.8% of wave A or wave C, but it must be slightly longer than wave C.
Wave E appears to be most likely an impulsive 5 wave move with wave 5 just beginning.
Tesla (TSLA) Breakdown Alert: Bearish Momentum Building Monday!Here’s a suggested plan for Monday based on the bearish setup:
- **Entry:** Below $423 (confirmation of breakdown and bearish continuation)
- **Stop Loss (SL):** Above $450 (to account for false breakouts)
- **Target 1 (T1):** $388.96 (first major support level)
- **Target 2 (T2):** $358.46 (secondary support level for extended bearish move)
Why Chart Matters:** Charts visually represent price action and market sentiment, helping traders identify key trends, support, and resistance levels for informed decisions.
Conclusion:** With Tesla breaking critical support, bearish momentum could dominate Monday's session, making risk management and strategic entries crucial.
Tesla - We Will See The Four Digits!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is finally creating an all time high:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After waiting for over four years, Tesla finally created a new all time high and with that, Tesla is also starting the next major parabolic rally. The triangle breakout which happened a couple of months ago was just the required technical catalyst, and now all things are simply very bullish.
Levels to watch: $500, $1.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Tesla revised target - Dec 20'2024Taking a little conservative approach and keeping in mind the market's move , revising Tesla's target to $454 from $459.
Tesla Price Action - Dec 20' 2024Here is Tesla Price action for today .
Target as marked , it is expected to go as high as $459 according to charts .
Tesla (TSLA) - Short Setup Incoming Tesla (TSLA) - Short Setup
Looking at Tesla on the 1-hour chart, we are observing a potential bearish scenario. The price has retraced into the 0.618 - 0.786 Fibonacci zone, forming a reversal structure in line with Elliott Wave principles.
This zone coincides with the prior breakdown level, making it a critical area of interest.
Trade Details:
- Entry: $462.27
- Stop-loss: $476.65
Targets:
- Target 1: $403.07
- Target 2: $360.66
Analysis:
The current bearish impulse indicates a possible continuation to the downside. With the first target near $403.07 (0.236 extension), this area will be watched closely.
If momentum persists, we could see a push toward $360.66, aligning with the -0.382 extension.
TSLA Technical Analysis (TA) and GEX for Dec. 20Market Context
Tesla showed weakness today, closing lower after a significant intraday decline. The price action reflects selling pressure with volume increasing during the latter part of the session, indicating bearish sentiment.
1. Key Levels
* Support:
* $425.00: Put Wall support and critical level for a bounce.
* $420.00: Next downside target in case of further weakness.
* Resistance:
* $437.85: Immediate resistance, aligned with price rejection today.
* $445.00: Gamma level resistance that needs volume to break.
* $460.00: Significant GEX resistance above, unlikely to be tested tomorrow unless strong buying resumes.
2. Price Action Insights
* Tesla has broken out of a rising trendline, forming a bearish structure on the hourly chart.
* The current descending price channel indicates further downside unless $437 is reclaimed quickly.
* Intraday volume spiked during the sell-off, suggesting bearish conviction.
3. Indicators Analysis
* 9 EMA and 21 EMA:
* Both are trending downward, reflecting short-term bearish momentum.
* MACD:
* Bearish crossover on the hourly and 2-minute charts confirms the downtrend.
* Options Oscillator:
* Call activity still dominates at 105.2% GEX, but bearish price action overshadows sentiment.
4. GEX Analysis
* Gamma Levels:
* $430.00: High Volatility Level (HVL); this is the pivot for tomorrow’s trading.
* $445.00: Major call wall resistance.
* $425.00: Key put wall support.
* $420.00: Critical gamma floor; breaching this signals further bearish pressure.
Trading Outlook for Tomorrow
Bullish Scenario:
* A recovery above $430 with volume could target $437 and possibly $445.
Bearish Scenario:
* Failure to hold $425 leads to $420, with further downside potential if selling accelerates.
Neutral/Range-Bound Scenario:
* Likely consolidation between $425 and $430, given today’s sharp decline and investor caution.
Actionable Suggestions
* Entry:
* Bullish: Above $430 for a move toward $437 and $445.
* Bearish: Below $425 for a drop toward $420.
* Stop-Loss:
* Long: Below $425.
* Short: Above $430.
* Scalping Opportunity:
* Quick trades between $425–$430 with tight risk management.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform due diligence and manage risk appropriately before trading.
$TSLA The High-Stakes Bet on Future Growth
"Tesla isn’t just an automaker—it’s a revolution in motion, blending cutting-edge technology with daring ambition. But is its sky-high valuation the cost of innovation or the price of perfection?"
Introduction
Tesla has evolved from a disruptor in electric vehicles (EVs) to a global powerhouse in energy storage, solar technology, and autonomous driving. With 2023 revenue soaring to $96.77 billion, the company is growing at a breakneck pace. Yet, with a forward P/E of 139.93, Tesla's valuation raises questions for investors: does the potential outweigh the risks?
This analysis unpacks Tesla’s financials, market position, growth opportunities, and the challenges it faces as an industry leader.
Financial Analysis
1. Revenue Growth
Tesla's $96.77 billion in revenue for 2023 reflects an impressive 18.8% YoY growth, driven by:
EV Sales: Bolstered by demand for the Model Y and Model 3.
Energy Storage: Expansion of Tesla’s Megapack installations for grid-scale projects.
Services: Growth in software and maintenance revenues.
💡 "Tesla’s revenue streams are diversifying, but EVs remain its lifeblood."
2. Profitability Metrics
Net Income: $15 billion, with margins improving despite supply chain challenges.
Earnings Per Share (EPS): $3.65 TTM, highlighting strong profitability.
Tesla's margin growth reflects its operational efficiency and cost control in an inflationary environment.
3. Cash Flow and Liquidity
Operating Cash Flow: $14.48 billion—a clear indicator of Tesla’s ability to generate cash from core operations.
Free Cash Flow: $3.61 billion after substantial capital expenditures of $10.87 billion.
💡 "Tesla’s aggressive spending on R&D and manufacturing is a double-edged sword: it fuels growth but pressures free cash flow."
4. Valuation Metrics
Tesla’s valuation is a hot topic:
Forward P/E: 139.93—a sign of immense market optimism but also a cautionary signal.
EV/EBITDA: 104.16, reflecting high expectations for future profitability.
PEG Ratio: 17.04, showing Tesla’s growth is priced at a premium.
Market Position and Competitive Advantage
Innovation at the Core
Tesla leads in:
Battery Technology: Pioneering advances in energy density and lifecycle.
Autonomous Driving: A front-runner in full self-driving (FSD) software development.
Infrastructure: The Supercharger network provides an unparalleled ecosystem for Tesla owners.
Brand Strength
Tesla has redefined itself as both a luxury and a technology brand, attracting loyal customers who value innovation and sustainability.
Growth Opportunities
1. Autonomous Vehicles (AVs):
Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology represents a massive untapped revenue stream. If approved and scaled, the potential for:
Licensing the tech to other automakers.
Launching a robotaxi network.
💡 "FSD is the golden goose, but regulatory hurdles keep it caged—for now."
2. Energy Storage and Solar:
Tesla’s Megapack and Powerwall systems are gaining traction in commercial and residential markets, while its solar division capitalizes on the global push for renewable energy.
3. Global Expansion:
Tesla continues to scale its manufacturing capacity with Gigafactories worldwide, including new projects in Mexico and expanded operations in China.
Risks and Challenges
1. Regulatory and Legal Risks:
Autonomous driving faces scrutiny due to safety concerns, while data privacy regulations could impact Tesla’s software-driven business model.
2. Intensifying Competition:
The EV market is growing crowded, with legacy automakers like Ford and GM ramping up EV production alongside newcomers like Rivian and Lucid Motors.
3. Execution Risks:
Elon Musk’s ambitious roadmap often hinges on breakthroughs that may not materialize on schedule, adding volatility to Tesla’s stock performance.
💡 "Innovation is Tesla’s greatest asset, but execution risks loom large when aiming for the stars."
Stock Performance and Institutional Sentiment
1. Price Trends:
Tesla’s stock remains volatile, reflecting high sensitivity to news, product announcements, and quarterly earnings.
2. Institutional Ownership:
With hedge funds and mutual funds maintaining significant stakes, Tesla continues to attract institutional interest despite its lofty valuation.
Conclusion
Tesla remains a leader in innovation, with growth prospects spanning EVs, energy storage, and autonomous driving. However, its high valuation demands flawless execution and belief in its long-term vision.
For investors, Tesla represents both an opportunity and a challenge—a high-risk, high-reward play that requires conviction in its disruptive potential.
Recommendations:
Long-Term Investors: Hold or accumulate on dips if you believe in Tesla’s future vision.
Short-Term Traders: Consider rebalancing given the current valuation unless a clear catalyst for further upside emerges.
🚀 Want deeper insights into Tesla and other top stocks? Visit DCAlpha.net.
Tesla (TSLA) Descending Triangle Breakout - Key Levels!Tesla (TSLA) is showing a potential breakout from a descending triangle pattern on the 30-minute chart, indicating bullish momentum:
Entry: $435.66 (yellow line - breakout level).
Stop Loss (SL): $420.90 (white line - key support).
Target 1 (T1): $462.25 (red line - first resistance).
Target 2 (T2): $489.33 (green line - major resistance).
This breakout aligns with increasing volume, signaling strong upward potential. Keep an eye on $435.66 for confirmation.
11R Tesla LongNice pattern setting up on Tesla.
As long as the price reaches the buy zone within the specified timing window I think this idea probably has a 40% chance of success, so great positive expectancy.
Tesla (TSLA): Profits Taken, Pullback AnticipatedWhat a rise by NASDAQ:TSLA !
The stock has now reached the targeted wave 3 zone, and we might see some asset rotation out of Tesla into underperforming stocks that could attract renewed attention and capital inflows. Many traders have booked significant profits on NASDAQ:TSLA , and larger players are likely to do the same in the coming sessions.
As usual, our focus remains on building a new position during a pullback. We are targeting the 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement levels, which should provide sufficient support for another push higher, potentially toward $585 or more. A key level to watch is the old all-time high. Should bulls defend it effectively, waiting for an entry at $371.35 might leave us sidelined.
However, we see no reason to force or rush an entry into NASDAQ:TSLA at the moment. Patience remains critical as we wait for the market to come to us.
Tesla at the Crossroads: Breakout to $522 or a Slide to $420?Tesla’s price action is heating up as it hovers between $452 resistance and $441.54 support. A breakout above $452 could ignite a rally toward $522, while a breakdown below $441.54 might signal a drop to $420 or lower. This is the moment to stay sharp—will Tesla soar or stumble? Let’s dive into the key levels, actionable tips, and what to watch for next!
Any questions about this chart or any others send me a message
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Tesla ideas on Fib bollinger... TSLA in troubleSure you can have a squeeze or euphoria...but didn't like 7 Billion in Charging stations that are said to be a few hundred in all the 48 continuous combined...
There are like 100 TA and Love's on Interstate 80 Alone
AP running damage control...who cares, just look at that number...~200 divided by 48, gives you like 5 per state....yeah, autonomous screams success with one in each major city...
*only 10 handles per site and few may be out of sync, not sync, or be malfunctioning due to weather...if weather didnt cut their power- Its okay...diesel generators will help...wait, ??
TSLA ...Tesla is in a funny rainbow wedgeBeing as extensive of a CyQo-Cpyder-Nest asI can craft, with trendlines going from 2016 to present,well 3 days ago, You can see something funny going on.
Not constructed to look like that, just a compiling of data and then presentation. Explains the drop yesterday really well...but looks like any easy side up will be a terrible way down...
TSLAhello friends
According to the upward trend, we can buy in pullback in the specified area, which is a good area.
Capital management should be observed.
Be successful and profitable.
Tesla Short 30 Min Chart Tesla Short 30 Min Chart After we see Resistance from Exterem Fibonacci Extension level
Target is SMA200
TSLA ...trading levels for today.Notice the heavy lines at the bottom for support. Pretty empty trend lines at the current price action, so be careful of movements from the buy-the-dippers.
Options Indicator Explained - so you can SEE what you tradeEver since we created this indicator back around 2020 on the TradingView platform it is so far the best platform for our analysis, research, coding, and development of different trading tools. This was 4 years ago, but we have been with TradingView almost for a decade !
The whole concept of this indicator came when a long time ago we read the big big book of options, and could not understand how come the stock price moved up but our calls are losing money ! Yes, we have been there too. And then came this indicator to life. We don't make a trade without it ever since. If you saw the video, you clearly know why.
Let's delve into some key concepts that can elevate your trading game:
### 1. Visualizing Profit and Loss
One of the most powerful tools in an options trader's arsenal is the ability to plot profit and loss lines on a chart. This visualization helps you understand the time decay of the options you buy or sell. By seeing how your potential profits or losses change over time, you can make more informed decisions about when to enter or exit trades.
### 2. Moving Beyond the Greeks
The Greeks—Delta, Gamma, Theta, and Vega—are often emphasized in options trading, but their standalone value can be limited. What truly matters is how these metrics impact your profit and loss curvature. Think of it like driving a car: while an acceleration meter provides some information, what you really need is the speedometer and a clear view of the road. Focusing on the profit and loss curves allows you to grasp the real impact of these factors on your trades.
### 3. Identifying Pivot Points
By observing profit and loss lines, you gain insights into optimal entry and exit points. Placing trades at pivot points can enhance your reward-to-risk ratios. Certain options offer generous room for stop-loss placement and quick profits if you choose pivot points where price rejections are likely. Seeing these lines helps confirm that your trading idea has a high probability of success.
### 4. Conducting Volatility Simulations
Professional volatility testing with your indicator is crucial. It allows you to anticipate how changes in volatility will affect your options' profit and loss. Each case is unique and dependent on the underlying stock, so it's vital to have contingency plans and avoid trading blindly. You must always take into account that the volatility can drop or rise against you, and you need to see that even if it happens, you will still be okay, and not be a dreamer. Reality is everything, trade realistically.
### 5. Timing Your Trades
Boost your performance by understanding how much profit you can lose (when buying options) or gain (when selling options) over the duration of your trade. This knowledge helps you make better timing decisions and manage your trades more effectively while you are inside the trade. In some trades you can clearly see that you just don't have the time to survive a correction and then wait for the next pulse wave to come and save you, you can see clearly that it is better to take profit today, since you just do not have enough time for a correction and a bounce back to the current profitable price. In options, what it is profitable today is NOT profitable tomorrow. I show you this in the video.
### 6. Simplifying with Profit Lines
You don't need to rely heavily on the Greeks anymore. Profit lines already account for these metrics, freeing your mind to focus on price action. This approach eliminates the confusion often associated with the non-linear behavior of options, rooted in complex models like Black-Scholes.
### 7. The Black-Scholes Model and Implied Volatility
Understanding the Black-Scholes model and implied volatility is fundamental. These concepts help you grasp how options are priced and how market conditions can impact their value. Using the indicator, you don't need even to know who or what is the Black-Scholes Model, since it does all the work and heavy lifting for you, by plotting you exactly what you truly need... Where you make a profit, where you will make a loss, and how much (profit lines).
### 8. In the Money vs. Out of the Money
Knowing the difference between "in the money" and "out of the money" options is crucial. In-the-money options have intrinsic value, while out-of-the-money options are more speculative and rely on price movements to become profitable.
### 9. Short-Term vs. Long-Term Options
Short-term call options offer quick potential gains but come with higher risks due to time decay. Long-term call options, on the other hand, provide more time for your trade to work out, reducing the impact of time decay but often requiring a larger capital investment. I show a clear example in the video.
### 10. Maintaining Reward-to-Risk Ratios
You should make sure you always maintain the reward-to-risk ratios in your favor BEFORE you enter the trade, this is what keeps you in the game and makes you thrive and not just survive. Do you think they let a pilot to land an airplane, just with his "gut feeling" or do they give them an indicator to SEE the runway? If you don't see your profit and loss lines, you don't see the runway when you land your plane. We've all seen those wallstreetbets BLIND crash landings in options and know how they end before they started. This can and should be avoided, always know your risk, and your potential reward.
### 11. Proof of Accuracy
Finally, reliable indicators provide proof of accuracy, showing you the same profit or loss you'd experience given stock movements and implied volatility changes. This consistency gives you confidence in your trades, eliminating confusion and preventing unexpected losses.
In the end of the video, there is proof of the accuracy, that the indicator in did shows you the same profit or loss you will have in the position, given the stock movement and implied volatility changes, so you can rest assured that your landing indicator will not surprise you no matter the weather, you will have full control on your options trade. No more the feeling of confusion and then your fast profit crushes to zero or even a loss and you don't know why.
Master these concepts, and you'll have a robust framework for navigating the complexities of options trading with precision and confidence.
TESLA: Fractal Metrics
Fractal Cyclicality
Cycle I
The chart displays fractal cyclicality leading up to a major breakout. It emphasizes the progression of swing percentages and cyclic patterns, potentially identifying the foundational structure for a larger trend. The use of layered channels adds depth to the analysis, showing both minor and major fractal levels.
Cycle II
The upward and downward swings in this cycle demonstrate increased volatility and amplitude compared to the initial cycle. This suggests a stronger market reaction and more pronounced trends within the fractal structure.
The price action aligns closely with the channel boundaries, indicating the preservation of the fractal framework while showcasing expansion within the structure.
The swings are visually more aggressive, with higher peaks and deeper corrections, highlighting the market's larger movements leading up to the breakout.
The cyclical patterns and overlapping fractal waves are more intricate, suggesting a maturing market phase with more participants and liquidity.
Cycle III
All three cycles exhibit a fractal nature with nested waves, maintaining consistency in cyclic progression through identifiable peaks and troughs.
The price movement continues to respect the broader channel boundaries, reinforcing the fractal geometry's framework.
Similar to the first two cycles, the third cycle shows distinct swings with well-defined percentage movements, suggesting a rhythmic market behavior.
Like the earlier cycles, the third cycle builds on the previous fractal structure, with larger amplitudes and deeper corrections, indicating scaling behavior.
Phi remain prominent and rooted across all cycles, suggesting persistent harmonic proportions.
Evolutionary Growth in the Third Cycle
The swings in the third cycle appear to be significantly larger than those in the first two, reflecting an increase in market volatility and participation.
The third cycle seems to be emerging over a more extended period, indicating maturation in the fractal evolution.
The deeper corrections, such as the -75.44% retracement, highlight stronger mean reversion tendencies before significant expansions.
the effectiveness of Staying with the Trend...Can you see, How buying *Only when the Lines are Blue; Short-Selling *Only* when the Lines are Orange, Would have been an Effective Strategy?
Can you See how going-against the Trend would have been costly endeavor the first six blocks or so, and again, in the September drop, Mid-Screen?
I don't know about You, but I say "Buy in BLUE." not exactly Rocket Science : : )
-You don't Even have to know much about Stocks....
TSLA Cont. Bull Run after Market Downturn Today? for Dec. 19Tesla experienced a significant decline during today’s trading session, aligning with broader market weakness. This sharp drop follows a recent bullish rally, prompting key questions regarding whether the stock is consolidating, forming a reversal, or preparing for another leg higher.
Market Structure Analysis: Tesla has been in a strong uptrend for several weeks, recently reaching a high of $488. However, today’s action suggests a possible break in momentum, with the price closing below $450. The intraday sell-off has brought TSLA closer to key support zones, with a significant volume spike signaling heightened activity from institutional traders.
Supply and Demand Zones:
* Supply Zone: $467 - $488 (overhead resistance, marked by recent highs and profit-taking areas).
* Demand Zone: $420 - $429 (critical support from the last consolidation zone in late November).
Order Blocks and Support/Resistance Levels:
* Key Resistance Levels:
* $452: Near-term resistance where sellers became active today.
* $467: Intermediate resistance from prior week’s breakout level.
* Key Support Levels:
* $442: Immediate support tested during the day.
* $429: Lower support, coinciding with today’s intraday low and significant buying interest.
Key Indicators:
* EMA (9/21):
* The 9 EMA has crossed below the 21 EMA on the hourly chart, indicating a bearish shift in momentum.
* MACD:
* Bearish crossover with increasing histogram bars below the zero line.
* This suggests accelerating downside momentum.
* RSI:
* Dropping below 40 on the hourly timeframe, signaling oversold conditions but room for further downside.
Options Flow and Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* Call Walls: $480 and $500 (significant resistance levels based on options activity).
* Put Walls: $430 and $420 (high open interest for puts, likely providing temporary support).
* GEX: Gamma levels indicate that market makers may sell into rallies, adding downward pressure.
Scalping vs. Swing Outlook:
* Scalping:
* Focus on intraday levels such as $442 for potential quick rebounds, targeting $450-$452 resistance. Set a tight stop-loss below $440.
* Swing Trading:
* Watch for a decisive break below $429 for confirmation of a deeper pullback. Alternatively, a reclaim of $452 could trigger a move back toward $467.
Actionable Suggestions:
* Bearish Setup:
* Entry: Below $429
* Target: $420
* Stop-Loss: Above $435
* Bullish Setup:
* Entry: Above $452
* Target: $467
* Stop-Loss: Below $445
Conclusion: Tesla’s recent sell-off has brought the stock into critical support zones, offering opportunities for both bears and bulls. However, caution is warranted given broader market volatility and bearish technical signals. Traders should monitor key levels and volume to confirm the next move.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
