sharktrade the big jaws recommands you to short tesla hi community viewers here my analyse before tesla earnings release , has compagny will face big challenge with china challenger BYD, i bet for a bif dump of earnings on 22/04
TL0 trade ideas
Dageedoo Follower Request $TSLA close up #Internals You saw how this very similar W/double bottom on #61fib worked out on AAPL... This is a 50% retrace W... I prefer #61 retraces, but with TSLA im not surprised with some extra volatility. Go with the flow... 186 first level to break, 198 next stop. then if strong enough hammer on 198 200 critical level breaks 10+ and youre at 220 like AAPL hit and people profit take.
Below redline or Diamond mid point (176) idea is DEAD.
LESSON TIME; Critical level breaks can bring quick moves 10-20% in a few days. I'm always "eyeing" critical levels on "Big Name/Mega Cap" stocks... ie; FB 500+ , would you believe me if I was "eyeing" AVGO under 1500... you wouldve caught splits on that n NVDA with critical levels in mind (1000 crit level for NVDA)... 3 big stocks all breaking through with these methods is not as strong as some might think, short term yes, long term questionable. Not everything is a critical level/ price "number" and markets psychology help determine these, usually round, usually act as resistance or support prior, see AAPL W... 1 2 3strikes then through at the old stock game...
LESSON CONT; I have a very unique set of tools. Tools I have acquired over many years. Tools that make me a nightmare for women who want a man with a "normal" job. Tools like Fibonacci Retracements, Technical Patterns, RSI, Stoch, Multiple Timeframes (3Day is my fav), and Bollinger Bands with MAs. Be sure you find your own trusted tools. Because I will be here, I will find the patterns, and I will execute them.
-Good Luck - Prof
THE DEATH CROSSDeath Cross Triggered During Consolidation: What It Could Mean
The 50 SMA (blue) just crossed below the 200 SMA (red), signaling a Death Cross—a traditionally bearish indicator. But here’s the catch: this didn’t happen during a steep downtrend. It happened during consolidation.
That changes the narrative.
When a Death Cross forms during a period of sideways chop instead of a clear downtrend, it often reflects lagging momentum, not accelerating weakness. It can trap shorts expecting a breakdown, especially if price is coiling above strong support or forming a basing pattern.
💡 Key things I’m watching:
Does price respect the consolidation range low?
Are we forming a bullish divergence on RSI or MACD?
How does volume behave around the cross?
This may not be a "short and hold" moment—this might be a shakeout before trend resolution. Stay sharp. Don't trade the cross, trade the context.
TESLA | Monthly Analysis After NASDAQ:TSLA hitting its ATH target, 87% - 90% retracement is next target
start of 2027 = will be a buying signal for tesla unless there's some issues involving with Elon Musk, then tesla could experience under performance
Long term investors - prepare for down side inside buying channel
TESLA LONGWe are going long here, good place to jump in and we expect some decent upside. Combo of FA and TA
TESLA | Weekly HTF TargetAfter having a deep retracement ~70% tesla looks ready to reach Higher Highs...
New High target: $490+
TSLA sideway then downTSLA sideway up a little bit then turn down.
Maximum target price this time soon $299.29. Because the volume so high.
But in frame Day, MA50 start cross down with MA200. TSLA will in correction.
At least will go back to $214.25.
IMO amateur trader.
Quantum's TSLA Trading Guide 4/13/25Sentiment: Neutral. EV and AI optimism persists, but tariff risks and high valuation concern traders. Chatter split—bulls eye robotaxi, bears see pullback.
Outlook: Neutral, slightly bearish. Options pin $250, with $240 puts active. ICT/SMT eyes $245-$250 buys to $260 if $245 holds. Bearish below $245 risks $240.
Influential News:
Federal Reserve: Two 2025 cuts support growth stocks, positive for $TSLA.
Earnings: Q1 due late April; no update today.
Chatter: Debates tariff impact vs. AI/EV growth.
Mergers and Acquisitions: None; focus on internal projects.
Other: Tariff volatility hit NASDAQ:TSLA ; stock swung (April 3-9).
Indicators:
Weekly:
RSI: ~50 (neutral).
Stochastic: ~45 (neutral).
MFI: ~40 (neutral).
SMAs: 10-day ~$255 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$260 (below, bearish).
Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs signal weakness.
Daily:
RSI: ~48 (neutral).
Stochastic: ~50 (neutral).
MFI: ~45 (neutral).
SMAs: 10-day ~$255 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$260 (below, bearish).
Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs suggest pullback.
Hourly:
RSI: ~45 (neutral).
Stochastic: ~55 (neutral).
MFI: ~50 (neutral).
SMAs: 10-day ~$255 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$260 (below, bearish).
Interpretation: Neutral, stabilizing.
Price Context: $252.31, 1M: +1%, 1Y: +38%. Range $240-$270, testing $250 support.
Options Positioning (May 2025):
Volume:
Calls: $260 (15,000, 60% ask), $270 (12,000, 55% ask). Mild bullish bets.
Puts: $240 (10,000, 70% bid), $245 (8,000, 65% bid). Put selling supports $245.
Open Interest:
Calls: $260 (40,000, +7,000), $270 (30,000, +5,000). Bullish interest.
Puts: $240 (25,000, flat), $245 (28,000, +4,000). Hedging. Put-call ~1.0.
IV Skew:
Calls: $260 (40%), $270 (42%, up 3%). $270 IV rise shows upside hope.
Puts: $240 (35%, down 2%), $245 (36%). Falling $240 IV supports floor.
Probability: 60% $240-$270, 20% <$240.
Karsan’s Interpretation:
Vanna: Neutral (~300k shares/1% IV). IV drop could pressure $250.
Charm: Neutral (~150k shares/day). Pins $250.
GEX: +50,000. Stabilizes range.
DEX: +7M shares, neutral.
Karsan view: GEX holds $240-$270; tariff news key.
ICT/SMT Analysis:
Weekly: Neutral, $240 support, $270 resistance. No $TSLA/ NYSE:NIO divergence.
Daily: Bullish at $250 FVG, targets $260. Bearish < $245.
1-Hour: Bullish >$250, $260 target. MSS at $245.
10-Minute: OTE ($249-$251, $250) for buys, NY AM.
Trade Idea:
Bullish: 50%. ICT/SMT buys $245-$250 to $260. Options show $260 calls. Fed cuts aid.
Neutral: 35%. RSI (~50), SMAs (bearish), $240-$270 range.
Bearish: 15%. Below $240 possible with tariffs. $240 put volume grows.
Hold TeslaTesla's shares are no longer excessively expensive, but they are still not cheap. 😅
Hopefully, we can see the price closer to $240 amid all the negativity. 🤞📉
TSLA 4H Analysis: Technical Outlook1. Price Structure and Trend:
TSLA has been in a clear downtrend since January 2025, dropping from ~$475 to a key support at ~$258. The price is currently consolidating at this level, hinting at a potential pause or reversal.
2. Support and Resistance Levels:
• Support: $258 (current level, with multiple bounces).
• Resistance: $300 (next significant zone, based on prior consolidation).
3. Volatility and Squeeze Indicators:
The "Volatility Squeeze" indicator (on the right) shows red and blue bars. Recent red bars signal a squeeze (low volatility), often preceding sharp moves. The shift to blue bars suggests volatility may be increasing.
4. Action Signals:
• "X" markers (blue and orange) highlight potential entry/exit points. Recent orange "X" marks at the $258 support could indicate a buying opportunity if the price confirms a bounce.
• If support breaks, the next level to watch is ~$225 (previous lows).
5. Conclusion:
TSLA is at a critical juncture. A bounce from $258 could target $300, but a breakdown might lead to $225. Keep an eye on volume and volatility for confirmation. What's your take?
Here is the link to the indicator
TSLA at a Crossroad: Can 252 Hold or Will It Crack?🔍 Technical Analysis (1H Chart Overview)
TSLA has formed a symmetrical triangle, compressing between an uptrend and a downtrend line. Price is hovering right near the apex, with a key horizontal level at $249.89, where it's showing indecision.
* Support levels:
* $239.67 → Previous demand zone
* $217.11 → Major swing low and last defense for bulls
* Resistance levels:
* $257.85 → Overhead rejection zone
* $276.91 → Major gamma wall and swing high
Volume is thinning out as price coils tighter, suggesting a breakout is imminent.
The RSI is neutral around 50, slowly curving upward, signaling slight bullish momentum building, but no confirmation yet. Price is consolidating on declining volume, which is often a pre-breakout setup.
🔧 Trading Bias:
Watch for breakout above $253 for potential long play toward $258–$265.
Breakdown below $249 flips bias bearish, with a retest of $239 then $230 likely.
⚙️ GEX Option Flow Insights
GEX data shows concentrated gamma resistance at $275–$280, with the highest positive NETGEX sitting right at $275 — that's our Gamma Wall. Above that, market makers become forced buyers, creating a squeeze scenario.
On the downside, there’s a strong PUT wall around $220 and $200, with -50.27% NETGEX at $200 acting as deep support.
Notably:
* IVR: 67.2
* IVx Avg: 108.9
* Call Flow: 15.2%
* GEX Sentiment: ☘️☘️🟢 (Bullish tilt, but not maxed out)
💡 Options Strategy Suggestion:
Consider a debit call spread if price breaks $253 with volume, targeting $265–$275.
If price breaks $249, put debit spreads to $230–$220 could offer solid reward.
🧠 Final Thoughts
TSLA is a coiled spring, and both TA and GEX show we’re at a key decision point. Let price tell you the story — react to breakout or breakdown. Gamma positioning offers high reward potential in both directions.
📌 Stay nimble, plan both scenarios, and use options to your advantage.
Tisk Tisk TSLAShort thoughts on a neutral area. TSLA broke out of what appears to be bear flag to me. I also see an inverse cup & handle. We may attempt to retest and/or regain the channel. If we fail, 225-220 is my target. Demand zone marked. More journal notes this week to stay focused on the trade(s).
Bear Flag:
www.bapital.com
Cup & Handle:
www.investopedia.com
Inverse Cup & Handle ( from our very own Trading View):
youtu.be
TSLATSLA still have some upside, we will see the reaction above 295.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
Understanding Market Types in Drummond GeometryThe 5 Market Types:
1️⃣ Congestion Entrance – The market slows down after a trend and starts moving sideways.
2️⃣ Congestion Action – Prices oscillate within a range, with no clear trend direction.
3️⃣ Congestion Exit – The market breaks out of congestion, starting a new trend.
4️⃣ Trending – Prices move in a clear direction, either up or down.
5️⃣ Trend Reversal – A trend suddenly shifts in the opposite direction.
🔥 The 3 Close Rule for Trends
A trend is defined when the PL Dot (a short-term moving average) remains on one side of the close for three consecutive bars. If this happens, the market is in a trend until congestion begins.
📌 Congestion Entrance: The First Sign of a Trend Change
A congestion entrance occurs when the PL Dot switches sides relative to the close. This signals that the market is entering a sideways phase. Until the next trend establishes itself, the market will stay in congestion.
🔹 How to spot it?
If a trend slows down and price closes on the opposite side of the PL Dot, it is the first bar of congestion.
The market remains in congestion until a new 3-close trend forms.
📌 Congestion Action: The Market Moves Sideways
During congestion action, prices move back and forth between support and resistance without breaking out. The PL Dot is often flat, and traders look for signals of continuation or breakout.
🔹 How to trade it?
Identify strong support & resistance levels.
Trade within the range (buy low, sell high).
Watch for signs of congestion exit (breakout).
📌 Congestion Exit: The Breakout Phase 🚀
A congestion exit happens when the market leaves congestion and starts a new trend. This is one of the most profitable trading opportunities.
🔹 How to spot it?
Price breaks above resistance or below support.
The PL Dot starts moving in a clear direction.
The market closes outside the congestion range.
🔹 How to trade it?
Enter after a confirmed breakout.
Use PL Dot & support levels to manage risk.
Pyramid your position if the trend continues strongly.
📌 Trending Market: The Sweet Spot for Traders 📈
Once the market has exited congestion, it enters a trend. This is when traders can ride momentum and maximize gains.
🔹 How to trade a trend?
Enter early & stay in as long as PL Dot supports the move.
Pyramid your position for bigger profits.
Monitor resistance & support to determine exits.
📌 Trend Reversal: Spotting the Shift in Direction 🔄
A trend reversal happens when the market suddenly changes direction. This is confirmed when three consecutive closes appear on the opposite side of the PL Dot.
🔹 How to spot it?
PL Dot pulls back into the range.
Resistance/support levels start breaking.
A major higher timeframe resistance level is hit.
🔹 How to trade it?
Exit your position before the reversal is confirmed.
Look for a new congestion entrance or a trend change signal.
If reversal is confirmed, trade in the new trend direction.
🎯 Key Takeaways for Drummond Traders:
✔️ Know the 5 market types. Each phase requires a different strategy.
✔️ The PL Dot is key. It signals trend strength and potential reversals.
✔️ Congestion action = patience. Wait for clear breakouts before entering trades.
✔️ Ride the trend. The best profits come from early identification of trends.
✔️ Monitor resistance & support. This helps determine potential reversals.
🚀 Master these market types, and you’ll be able to trade with more confidence, better timing, and higher accuracy.
📌 Do you use Drummond Geometry in your trading? Drop a comment below! 👇
TSLA: An alternate (bullish) viewMy primary count on TSLA is still bearish. On my primary view, this move is supposed to be wave Y of Primary wave 4. If that is still in progress, then the current consolidation is only wave b of Y and TSLA should fall back more towards the lows of $100 area. But we cannot ignore the other side altogether. In this alternative view, Primary wave 4 was complete back in Jan 2023 and since then TSLA has been making a gigantic ending diagonal wave5 to complete the cycle wave 3. If that is the case, then we should see some kind of a bottoming pattern to complete wave Y intermediate wave 4 and resume wave 5 upward.
So, how can we prepare for whichever direction things play out? If price to follow the bearish count, price would break below the $214 low and continue on a strong 5 waves C down to complete the correction. If price to take the bullish route, should not create any lower low from $222.79 and ultimately break above $291.85.
TSLA GEX & Price Action Outlook – April 23🧠 GEX Sentiment (Options Flow Insight):
TSLA is showing bullish options sentiment, with the HVL (high-volume level) pinned at 240, acting as short-term support. GEX shows strong call resistance at 260–265, with the highest positive NET GEX wall just below that zone. We also have significant put walls stacked down at 220 and 225, forming a clear risk floor.
* GEX Status: Triple Green ✅✅✅
* IVR: 58.9
* IVx Avg: 106.6
* Flow Bias: CALLS 26.5% — moderately bullish
The options oscillator is still trending upward, giving bulls the upper hand — but not an aggressive breakout just yet.
📊 Price Action & Trade Setup (1H + SMC Analysis):
TSLA just fired an explosive bullish move from the 220s, reclaiming 240 and running up toward 250 into resistance. However, the SMC dashboard suggests “No Trade Suggested” yet. Why?
* The price is now entering a premium zone, where R/R becomes unfavorable
* We have no CHoCH/BOS trigger from this zone yet
* EMA9 and EMA21 have not confirmed a full retest yet
* Strength Meter is bullish but not at full momentum
What to Watch:
* If price can hold above 249–250 and break through 252 with volume → 260+ is possible
* If price stalls or rejects around 252, a pullback to 240–241 could be a high-RR dip entry
* EMA9 and EMA21 are critical — volume reactions there will set up the next clean move
* If volume fades below 240 → be cautious of a rollover into 225–230 demand zone
📌 Summary / Thoughts:
TSLA bulls are reclaiming territory fast — but the move is reactionary and volume-driven. For now, I’m waiting for a confirmation BOS/CHoCH in this premium area before committing. Risk is elevated at these levels. I’d prefer a pullback into the 240 zone with EMA confirmation for a cleaner long setup. If we break and hold above 252, targets toward 260–265 open up fast.
TSLASend her back to $400 with haste.. magnet inbound.. elon coming back into play will help drive the business and with his name being removed from the political spotlight is a huge tail end for tsla.. folks have the memory of a hamster
$TSLA - Weakness Persists Ahead of Earnings.NASDAQ:TSLA : The stock failed to recover last week and registered consistently lower swing highs. Unless we see a decisive breach of $250, lower lows are on the table.
TSLAR PRICE BACK TO $355+Tslar seems to have seen the last of its stock price as the price is pose for $375 or $355+ per a share as investors getting used the tariff battle
$TSLA in penalty box. Stock remains range bound. After the new administration was elected in Nov 2024, AMEX:TSLY stock had a huge bull run since then. It doubled between Nov 2024 to Dec 2024. Since the stock has sold off heavily and has lost more than 50% of its value. It recently bounced back from the lows of 214 $ which was the 0.785 Fib Retracement level if we plot the Fib levels from its highs to the lows. And then it bounced back lower 254 $ which is the 0.618 Fib Level.
AMEX:TSLY is steadily trading within these 2 Fib levels and seems that it fails to break out of this pattern. The stock seems to build a base between 250 and 214 which can be a good place to accumulate the stock. With Elon distracted by DOGE affairs it seems we are missing any catalyst for this stock. So NASDAQ:TSLA fans can keep on accumulating here and wait for a breakout. But to all my NASDAQ:TSLA fans there are already breaks out in other large caps in progress. Look at $MSFT. More regarding NASDAQ:MSFT in the upcoming blogs
Verdict: NASDAQ:TSLA accumulate between 214 – 250 $ if you need to. Else look for other mega caps.
TSLA LongTSLA Long
Current demand Zone (218) confirmed,
Sell put below next two demand
Long entry 225
no Stop
Target 300
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader.
In my trading plan, the Max Risk of each short term trade should be less than 1% of an account.
20.4.2025 What should we expect? Will Elon's magic number play a role in the change in market direction? 4. 20.
What should we expect?
TSLA Elliott wave Analysis 20/4/2025For me, I think that TSLA have already End the Cycle (count from the first day TSLA is IPO).As you can see there is a clear divergence at the wave 5 of the A wave,suggesting that A wave of the corrective wave should be end and ready for the huge B wave that might take a lot of time (Since it is the B wave of the massive wave 2).But there is a change that the wave A that is coming down might be the part of WXY pattern or others pattern so we have to keep an eye on.
